NFL DFS First Look: Week 16

The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, EPA rankings, and more to help you get a head start on your research for the coming week.

NFL Schedule & Vegas Lines

Road Team R-Total Home Team H-Total Favorite Spread Total Date Time (ET) Slate
New Orleans Saints 20.5 Los Angeles Rams 25.0 LAR -4.5 45.5 Thursday 8:15 pm SDThu
Cincinnati Bengals 20.5 Pittsburgh Steelers 18.0 CIN -2.5 38.5 Saturday 4:30 pm 2-Game
Buffalo Bills 28.0 Los Angeles Chargers 15.5 BUF -12.5 43.5 Saturday 8:00 pm 2-Game
Detroit Lions 25.0 Minnesota Vikings 22.0 DET -3.0 47.0 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Seattle Seahawks 22.3 Tennessee Titans 19.3 SEA -3.0 41.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Indianapolis Colts 21.0 Atlanta Falcons 23.5 ATL -2.5 44.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Green Bay Packers 20.8 Carolina Panthers 16.8 GBP -4.0 37.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Cleveland Browns 21.5 Houston Texans 19.0 CLE -2.5 40.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Washington Commanders 16.8 New York Jets 19.8 NYJ -3.0 36.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Jacksonville Jaguars 20.0 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21.5 TBB -1.5 41.5 Sunday 4:05 pm Main
Arizona Cardinals 19.3 Chicago Bears 23.8 CHI -4.5 43.0 Sunday 4:25 pm Main
Dallas Cowboys 24.5 Miami Dolphins 26.0 MIA -1.5 50.5 Sunday 4:25 pm Main
New England Patriots 14.0 Denver Broncos 21.5 DEN -7.5 35.5 Sunday 8:15 pm SDSun
Las Vegas Raiders 15.3 Kansas City Chiefs 25.3 KCC -10.0 40.5 Monday 1:00 pm Xmas
New York Giants 14.8 Philadelphia Eagles 28.3 PHI -13.5 43.0 Monday 4:30 pm Xmas
Baltimore Ravens 21.0 San Francisco 49ers 26.5 SFO -5.5 47.5 Monday 8:15 pm Xmas

Implied Team Totals & Matchup Chart (DVOA, EPA, DvP)

DVOA stats courtesy of FTN data
Offense Spread Total Matchup tDVOA totEPA pDVOA pasEPA rDVOA rusEPA QB DvP RB DvP WR DvP TE DvP TIME (ET) SLATE
Los Angeles Rams -4.5 25.0 vs NOS 12 3 8 7 24 8 6 6 3 21 8:15 pm SDThu
New Orleans Saints 4.5 20.5 at LAR 21 19 22 17 19 13 21 3 18 25 8:15 pm SDThu
Pittsburgh Steelers 2.5 18.0 vs CIN 26 28 20 26 29 26 26 17 19 31 4:30 pm 2-Game
Cincinnati Bengals -2.5 20.5 at PIT 9 12 9 11 15 18 13 20 15 19 4:30 pm 2-Game
Los Angeles Chargers 12.5 15.5 vs BUF 10 15 13 13 17 22 9 19 10 8 8:00 pm 2-Game
Buffalo Bills -12.5 28.0 at LAC 28 26 28 26 25 23 29 28 30 25 8:00 pm 2-Game
Minnesota Vikings 3.0 22.0 vs DET 15 19 16 23 4 5 27 1 24 23 1:00 pm Main
Detroit Lions -3.0 25.0 at MIN 5 7 7 8 8 10 17 7 23 13 1:00 pm Main
Tennessee Titans 3.0 19.3 vs SEA 24 29 26 22 20 30 23 27 26 16 1:00 pm Main
Seattle Seahawks -3.0 22.3 at TEN 20 26 27 30 11 11 11 14 27 1 1:00 pm Main
Atlanta Falcons -2.5 23.5 vs IND 16 13 14 12 23 21 18 30 8 22 1:00 pm Main
Indianapolis Colts 2.5 21.0 at ATL 23 10 30 16 10 2 19 2 5 24 1:00 pm Main
Carolina Panthers 4.0 16.8 vs GBP 29 24 29 28 26 20 14 23 14 15 1:00 pm Main
Green Bay Packers -4.0 20.8 at CAR 27 23 17 15 31 32 1 29 4 10 1:00 pm Main
Houston Texans 2.5 19.0 vs CLE 1 1 1 1 2 9 4 9 2 1 1:00 pm Main
Cleveland Browns -2.5 21.5 at HOU 19 18 23 20 5 4 22 15 11 29 1:00 pm Main
New York Jets -3.0 19.8 vs WAS 31 32 32 32 13 16 32 26 31 11 1:00 pm Main
Washington Commanders 3.0 16.8 at NYJ 3 5 3 9 7 7 2 25 1 16 1:00 pm Main
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1.5 21.5 vs JAC 7 15 12 14 6 19 30 18 25 28 4:05 pm Main
Jacksonville Jaguars 1.5 20.0 at TBB 18 21 15 25 14 6 28 7 29 27 4:05 pm Main
Chicago Bears -4.5 23.8 vs ARI 32 31 31 31 30 24 25 32 21 4 4:25 pm Main
Arizona Cardinals 4.5 19.3 at CHI 17 17 19 19 3 3 20 22 16 30 4:25 pm Main
Miami Dolphins -1.5 26.0 vs DAL 6 6 6 6 16 13 10 11 6 6 4:25 pm Main
Dallas Cowboys 1.5 24.5 at MIA 13 4 11 4 21 17 16 9 17 13 4:25 pm Main
Denver Broncos -7.5 21.5 vs NEP 14 13 21 21 1 1 5 16 22 3 8:15 pm SDSun
New England Patriots 7.5 14.0 at DEN 30 25 25 24 32 27 24 31 8 32 8:15 pm SDSun
Kansas City Chiefs -10.0 25.3 vs LVR 11 11 10 10 22 15 11 24 13 18 1:00 pm Xmas
Las Vegas Raiders 10.0 15.3 at KCC 8 9 5 3 27 31 7 13 7 8 1:00 pm Xmas
Philadelphia Eagles -13.5 28.3 vs NYG 25 22 18 18 28 24 15 21 28 5 4:30 pm Xmas
New York Giants 13.5 14.8 at PHI 22 30 24 29 12 28 31 5 32 20 4:30 pm Xmas
San Francisco 49ers -5.5 26.5 vs BAL 2 2 2 2 9 11 3 4 12 7 8:15 pm Xmas
Baltimore Ravens 5.5 21.0 at SFO 4 8 4 5 18 29 8 12 20 12 8:15 pm Xmas

Note: tDVOA = total defensive DVOA, totEPA = total defensive EPA, pDVOA = DVOA against the pass, pasEPA = EPA against the pass, rDVOA = DVOA against the run, rusEPA = EPA against the run, DvP = defense vs. position. Blue and green cells mark favorable matchups for the offense in the first column.

D-Line vs. O-Line – Pressures & Sacks

Defense Spread DraftKings FanDuel Press PrROE Sacks/G Matchup Opp Total O Press O PrROE O Sacks/G Defense Sack Pot Time (ET) Slate
Rams -4.5 $3,000 $9,500 17 24 24 vs NOS 20.5 2 2 8 Rams 30 8:15 pm SDThu
Saints 4.5 $2,500 $9,000 25 29 24 at LAR 25.0 9 9 5 Saints 31 8:15 pm SDThu
Steelers 2.5 $3,000 $4,000 19 14 13 vs CIN 20.5 8 14 22 Steelers 18 4:30 pm 2-Game
Bengals -2.5 $3,700 $4,200 8 9 17 at PIT 18.0 22 24 9 Bengals 11 4:30 pm 2-Game
Chargers 12.5 $2,700 $3,000 20 25 6 vs BUF 28.0 22 18 1 Chargers 19 8:00 pm 2-Game
Bills -12.5 $3,500 $5,000 9 7 5 at LAC 15.5 17 17 15 Bills 6 8:00 pm 2-Game
Vikings 3.0 $2,500 $3,600 28 20 8 vs DET 25.0 6 5 6 Vikings 29 1:00 pm Main
Lions -3.0 $3,500 $4,600 6 11 24 at MIN 22.0 14 6 19 Lions 12 1:00 pm Main
Titans 3.0 $2,600 $4,200 25 22 8 vs SEA 22.3 26 23 15 Titans 13 1:00 pm Main
Seahawks -3.0 $3,200 $3,500 14 18 13 at TEN 19.3 21 27 28 Seahawks 10 1:00 pm Main
Falcons -2.5 $3,300 $4,000 24 28 24 vs IND 21.0 13 16 10 Falcons 28 1:00 pm Main
Colts 2.5 $3,800 $4,500 27 16 3 at ATL 23.5 10 12 20 Colts 22 1:00 pm Main
Panthers 4.0 $2,400 $3,200 30 31 32 vs GBP 20.8 4 1 6 Panthers 32 1:00 pm Main
Packers -4.0 $3,900 $4,900 13 10 22 at CAR 16.8 28 29 29 Packers 5 1:00 pm Main
Texans 2.5 $3,600 $4,000 10 8 17 vs CLE 21.5 16 10 24 Texans 8 1:00 pm Main
Browns -2.5 $3,400 $4,800 2 2 8 at HOU 19.0 15 7 26 Browns 4 1:00 pm Main
Jets -3.0 $3,100 $5,000 5 6 13 vs WAS 16.8 24 25 30 Jets 1 1:00 pm Main
Commanders 3.0 $3,700 $3,800 20 19 17 at NYJ 19.8 29 30 31 Commanders 7 1:00 pm Main
Buccaneers -1.5 $2,600 $3,700 12 15 11 vs JAC 20.0 3 11 15 Buccaneers 22 4:05 pm Main
Jaguars 1.5 $2,900 $4,300 22 23 24 at TBB 21.5 11 14 10 Jaguars 26 4:05 pm Main
Bears -4.5 $2,800 $4,400 31 32 30 vs ARI 19.3 18 22 22 Bears 27 4:25 pm Main
Cardinals 4.5 $2,700 $3,300 29 27 23 at CHI 23.8 30 28 26 Cardinals 15 4:25 pm Main
Dolphins -1.5 $2,700 $4,100 4 3 2 vs DAL 24.5 5 8 10 Dolphins 9 4:25 pm Main
Cowboys 1.5 $3,000 $3,900 1 1 11 at MIA 26.0 1 3 3 Cowboys 21 4:25 pm Main
Broncos -7.5 $3,300 11 21 20 vs NEP 14.0 11 19 20 Broncos 22 8:15 pm SDSun
Patriots 7.5 $2,800 22 26 29 at DEN 21.5 31 31 24 Patriots 15 8:15 pm SDSun
Chiefs -10.0 $3,400 7 5 3 vs LVR 15.3 7 4 10 Chiefs 14 1:00 pm Xmas
Raiders 10.0 $2,300 16 17 20 at KCC 25.3 18 13 2 Raiders 20 1:00 pm Xmas
Eagles -13.5 $3,600 15 12 13 vs NYG 14.8 32 32 32 Eagles 2 4:30 pm Xmas
Giants 13.5 $2,400 32 30 31 at PHI 28.3 27 20 10 Giants 25 4:30 pm Xmas
49ers -5.5 $3,200 3 4 7 vs BAL 21.0 25 26 15 49ers 3 8:15 pm Xmas
Ravens 5.5 $2,300 17 13 1 at SFO 26.5 20 21 3 Ravens 17 8:15 pm Xmas

Note: Press is pressure % on the opposing quarterback, PrROE is pressure rate over expectations, and sacks/g is sacks per game. The stats with O in front are for the opposing offensive line. Blue and green cells mark favorable stats for the defense in the first column.

Offense vs. Defense – Rushing & Passing Potential

Offense Spread Total pDVOA pEPA rDVOA rEPA Matchup pDVOA dEPA rDVOA rEPA Offense P-POT R-POT Time (ET) Slate
Rams -4.5 25.0 12 14 8 7 vs NOS 8 7 24 8 Rams 25 9 8:15 pm SDThu
Saints 4.5 20.5 20 20 11 19 at LAR 22 17 19 13 Saints 17 16 8:15 pm SDThu
Steelers 2.5 18.0 22 26 17 21 vs CIN 20 26 29 26 Steelers 17 9 4:30 pm 2-Game
Bengals -2.5 20.5 14 15 14 11 at PIT 9 11 15 18 Bengals 23 15 4:30 pm 2-Game
Chargers 12.5 15.5 15 17 30 30 vs BUF 13 13 17 22 Chargers 21 23 8:00 pm 2-Game
Bills -12.5 28.0 2 4 5 2 at LAC 28 26 25 23 Bills 1 2 8:00 pm 2-Game
Vikings 3.0 22.0 18 13 28 27 vs DET 16 23 4 5 Vikings 9 32 1:00 pm Main
Lions -3.0 25.0 9 9 4 5 at MIN 7 8 8 10 Lions 19 14 1:00 pm Main
Titans 3.0 19.3 21 18 16 14 vs SEA 26 22 20 30 Titans 7 8 1:00 pm Main
Seahawks -3.0 22.3 11 12 19 13 at TEN 27 30 11 11 Seahawks 2 20 1:00 pm Main
Falcons -2.5 23.5 23 22 20 26 vs IND 14 12 23 21 Falcons 30 18 1:00 pm Main
Colts 2.5 21.0 19 19 7 17 at ATL 30 16 10 2 Colts 9 22 1:00 pm Main
Panthers 4.0 16.8 32 28 26 25 vs GBP 29 28 26 20 Panthers 19 19 1:00 pm Main
Packers -4.0 20.8 5 6 21 16 at CAR 17 15 31 32 Packers 4 5 1:00 pm Main
Texans 2.5 19.0 6 11 29 24 vs CLE 1 1 2 9 Texans 27 31 1:00 pm Main
Browns -2.5 21.5 29 29 22 18 at HOU 23 20 5 4 Browns 27 27 1:00 pm Main
Jets -3.0 19.8 31 32 32 32 vs WAS 32 32 13 16 Jets 16 30 1:00 pm Main
Commanders 3.0 16.8 25 23 23 22 at NYJ 3 9 7 7 Commanders 31 27 1:00 pm Main
Buccaneers -1.5 21.5 16 8 25 22 vs JAC 12 14 6 19 Buccaneers 14 24 4:05 pm Main
Jaguars 1.5 20.0 7 16 24 29 at TBB 15 25 14 6 Jaguars 5 29 4:05 pm Main
Bears -4.5 23.8 24 25 15 10 vs ARI 31 31 30 24 Bears 6 4 4:25 pm Main
Cardinals 4.5 19.3 27 27 9 8 at CHI 19 19 3 3 Cardinals 29 21 4:25 pm Main
Dolphins -1.5 26.0 3 3 2 4 vs DAL 6 6 16 13 Dolphins 11 6 4:25 pm Main
Cowboys 1.5 24.5 10 2 13 9 at MIA 11 4 21 17 Cowboys 13 11 4:25 pm Main
Broncos -7.5 21.5 17 21 12 15 vs NEP 21 21 1 1 Broncos 12 26 8:15 pm SDSun
Patriots 7.5 14.0 28 31 18 20 at DEN 25 24 32 27 Patriots 24 7 8:15 pm SDSun
Chiefs -10.0 25.3 4 7 10 12 vs LVR 10 10 22 15 Chiefs 7 12 1:00 pm Xmas
Raiders 10.0 15.3 26 24 27 28 at KCC 5 3 27 31 Raiders 32 16 1:00 pm Xmas
Eagles -13.5 28.3 8 5 6 6 vs NYG 18 18 28 24 Eagles 3 2 4:30 pm Xmas
Giants 13.5 14.8 30 30 31 31 at PHI 24 29 12 28 Giants 22 24 4:30 pm Xmas
49ers -5.5 26.5 1 1 3 3 vs BAL 2 2 9 11 49ers 14 12 8:15 pm Xmas
Ravens 5.5 21.0 13 10 1 1 at SFO 4 5 18 29 Ravens 26 1 8:15 pm Xmas

Note: pDVOA = DVOA against the pass, pEPA = EPA against the pass, rDVOA = DVOA against the run, rEPA = EPA against the run, P-POT = offensive passing potential, R-POT = offensive rushing potential.

Projected Starters — Quarterback

Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel PaY/G PaT/G RuY/G RuT/G Int/G QBR Opp pDVOA pasEPA DvP Time (ET) Slate
Matthew Stafford LAR -4.5 25.0 $6,300 $15,500 255.4 1.6 5.4 0.0 0.7 90.9 vs NOS 8 7 6 8:15 pm SDThu
Derek Carr NOS 4.5 20.5 $5,400 $14,000 221.3 1.1 2.5 0.0 0.5 92.5 at LAR 22 17 21 8:15 pm SDThu
Mason Rudolph PIT 2.5 18.0 $4,800 $6,600 3.0 0.0 0.0 70.1 vs CIN 20 26 26 4:30 pm 2-Game
Jake Browning CIN -2.5 20.5 $6,100 $7,800 208.0 1.2 12.8 0.3 0.5 107.1 at PIT 9 11 13 4:30 pm 2-Game
Easton Stick LAC 12.5 15.5 $5,500 $6,400 218.0 1.5 5.5 0.0 0.5 98.5 vs BUF 13 13 9 8:00 pm 2-Game
Josh Allen BUF -12.5 28.0 $8,100 $9,500 252.9 1.9 28.4 0.8 1.0 93.2 at LAC 28 26 29 8:00 pm 2-Game
Nick Mullens MIN 3.0 22.0 $5,300 $7,000 193.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 96.8 vs DET 16 23 27 1:00 pm Main
Jared Goff DET -3.0 25.0 $6,900 $7,800 266.2 1.9 1.5 0.1 0.7 98.2 at MIN 7 8 17 1:00 pm Main
Ryan Tannehill TEN 3.0 19.3 $5,000 $6,500 188.0 0.3 6.7 0.2 1.0 71.9 vs SEA 26 22 23 1:00 pm Main
Geno Smith SEA -3.0 22.3 $5,800 $6,600 243.2 1.3 7.7 0.1 0.8 89.1 at TEN 27 30 11 1:00 pm Main
Taylor Heinicke ATL -2.5 23.5 $4,800 $6,500 166.0 1.0 22.7 0.0 0.3 84.2 vs IND 14 12 18 1:00 pm Main
Gardner Minshew IND 2.5 21.0 $5,900 $6,800 210.7 1.1 4.4 0.2 0.6 86.2 at ATL 30 16 19 1:00 pm Main
Bryce Young CAR 4.0 16.8 $4,700 $6,300 181.5 0.7 16.2 0.0 0.7 72.2 vs GBP 29 28 14 1:00 pm Main
Jordan Love GBP -4.0 20.8 $6,500 $7,500 240.6 1.8 16.7 0.1 0.8 91.0 at CAR 17 15 1 1:00 pm Main
Case Keenum HOU 2.5 19.0 $4,900 $6,300 114.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 79.5 vs CLE 1 1 4 1:00 pm Main
Joe Flacco CLE -2.5 21.5 $5,500 $7,100 313.0 2.3 -0.7 0.0 1.7 81.6 at HOU 23 20 22 1:00 pm Main
Trevor Siemian NYJ -3.0 19.8 $4,700 $6,400 88.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 40.1 vs WAS 32 32 32 1:00 pm Main
Sam Howell WAS 3.0 16.8 $6,200 $7,200 254.8 1.4 18.9 0.4 1.1 83.9 at NYJ 3 9 2 1:00 pm Main
Baker Mayfield TBB -1.5 21.5 $6,000 $7,300 236.8 1.7 10.9 0.1 0.6 94.7 vs JAC 12 14 30 4:05 pm Main
Trevor Lawrence JAC 1.5 20.0 $6,600 $7,900 251.8 1.3 21.4 0.3 0.7 90.5 at TBB 15 25 28 4:05 pm Main
Justin Fields CHI -4.5 23.8 $7,100 $8,300 197.6 1.4 48.8 0.2 0.8 85.6 vs ARI 31 31 25 4:25 pm Main
Kyler Murray ARI 4.5 19.3 $6,400 $7,600 215.0 0.8 31.0 0.6 0.8 78.4 at CHI 19 19 20 4:25 pm Main
Tua Tagovailoa MIA -1.5 26.0 $7,800 $8,000 280.1 1.8 3.9 0.0 0.7 106.0 vs DAL 6 6 10 4:25 pm Main
Dak Prescott DAL 1.5 24.5 $7,900 $8,500 259.9 2.0 15.1 0.1 0.5 104.0 at MIA 11 4 16 4:25 pm Main
Russell Wilson DEN -7.5 21.5 $6,100 202.3 1.7 22.9 0.2 0.6 97.5 vs NEP 21 21 5 8:15 pm SDSun
Bailey Zappe NEP 7.5 14.0 $4,900 102.7 0.6 4.4 0.0 0.6 73.9 at DEN 25 24 24 8:15 pm SDSun
Patrick Mahomes KCC -10.0 25.3 $7,700 264.5 1.8 23.9 0.0 0.9 93.2 vs LVR 10 10 11 1:00 pm Xmas
Aidan O’Connell LVR 10.0 15.3 $5,200 201.6 1.0 1.4 0.1 0.9 81.2 at KCC 5 3 7 1:00 pm Xmas
Jalen Hurts PHI -13.5 28.3 $8,000 238.2 1.4 38.7 1.0 0.9 89.9 vs NYG 18 18 15 4:30 pm Xmas
Tommy DeVito NYG 13.5 14.8 $5,000 147.4 1.1 27.1 0.1 0.4 91.5 at PHI 24 29 31 4:30 pm Xmas
Brock Purdy SFO -5.5 26.5 $6,800 271.1 2.1 9.9 0.1 0.5 119.0 vs BAL 2 2 3 8:15 pm Xmas
Lamar Jackson BAL 5.5 21.0 $7,600 221.8 1.2 52.9 0.4 0.5 96.5 at SFO 4 5 8 8:15 pm Xmas

Note: PaY/G = passing yards per game, PaT/G = passing touchdowns per game, RuY/G = rushing yards per game, RuT/G = rushing touchdowns per game, Int/G = interceptions per game, QBR = quarterback rating, pDVOA = opponent’s DVOA against the pass, pEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Projected Starters — Running Back

Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Att/G RuY/G Tar/G ReY/G Tar % Rte % Opp rDVOA rusEPA DvP Time (ET) Slate
Kyren Williams LAR -4.5 25.0 $7,800 $16,000 18.6 95.3 4.5 19.2 12% 68% vs NOS 24 8 6 8:15 pm SDThu
Royce Freeman LAR -4.5 25.0 $4,400 $7,000 7.3 31.7 0.1 0.0 0% 14% vs NOS 24 8 6 8:15 pm SDThu
Alvin Kamara NOS 4.5 20.5 $7,700 $15,000 14.6 57.3 7.1 40.5 20% 53% at LAR 19 13 3 8:15 pm SDThu
Jamaal Williams NOS 4.5 20.5 $4,300 $7,000 7.1 21.4 1.2 3.6 3% 21% at LAR 19 13 3 8:15 pm SDThu
Najee Harris PIT 2.5 18.0 $5,000 $6,100 13.1 51.6 2.2 10.6 7% 32% vs CIN 29 26 17 4:30 pm 2-Game
Jaylen Warren PIT 2.5 18.0 $5,400 $6,000 8.5 46.6 4.0 21.4 13% 39% vs CIN 29 26 17 4:30 pm 2-Game
Joe Mixon CIN -2.5 20.5 $6,800 $8,300 15.1 58.2 3.9 24.4 11% 47% at PIT 15 18 20 4:30 pm 2-Game
Chase Brown CIN -2.5 20.5 $4,900 $5,200 2.9 12.8 1.0 12.8 3% 5% at PIT 15 18 20 4:30 pm 2-Game
Austin Ekeler LAC 12.5 15.5 $7,200 $6,800 12.8 46.0 5.2 33.9 14% 52% vs BUF 17 22 19 8:00 pm 2-Game
Joshua Kelley LAC 12.5 15.5 $4,500 $4,600 7.3 28.9 0.9 2.3 2% 24% vs BUF 17 22 19 8:00 pm 2-Game
James Cook BUF -12.5 28.0 $6,900 $8,500 13.4 69.1 3.4 30.9 10% 40% at LAC 25 23 28 8:00 pm 2-Game
Ty Johnson BUF -12.5 28.0 $4,300 $5,000 3.4 15.0 0.9 7.6 2% 8% at LAC 25 23 28 8:00 pm 2-Game
Ty Chandler MIN 3.0 22.0 $5,600 $6,900 5.5 25.8 1.5 8.8 4% 14% vs DET 4 5 1 1:00 pm Main
Kene Nwangwu MIN 3.0 22.0 $4,400 $4,500 1.0 2.6 0.0 0.0 0% 2% vs DET 4 5 1 1:00 pm Main
Jahmyr Gibbs DET -3.0 25.0 $7,000 $8,400 11.6 66.0 4.9 24.7 14% 56% at MIN 8 10 7 1:00 pm Main
David Montgomery DET -3.0 25.0 $6,900 $7,300 16.2 77.7 1.7 9.4 5% 27% at MIN 8 10 7 1:00 pm Main
Derrick Henry TEN 3.0 19.3 $6,800 $7,900 16.4 63.1 2.1 14.5 7% 24% vs SEA 20 30 27 1:00 pm Main
Tyjae Spears TEN 3.0 19.3 $4,700 $5,400 5.9 27.7 3.8 20.6 13% 47% vs SEA 20 30 27 1:00 pm Main
Kenneth Walker SEA -3.0 22.3 $6,200 $6,800 14.7 60.0 2.4 19.3 7% 32% at TEN 11 11 14 1:00 pm Main
Zach Charbonnet SEA -3.0 22.3 $5,000 $5,700 7.6 32.9 2.3 11.2 7% 39% at TEN 11 11 14 1:00 pm Main
Bijan Robinson ATL -2.5 23.5 $6,300 $7,100 12.6 57.2 4.4 23.1 14% 63% vs IND 23 21 30 1:00 pm Main
Tyler Allgeier ATL -2.5 23.5 $4,600 $5,700 11.9 41.2 1.2 6.4 4% 15% vs IND 23 21 30 1:00 pm Main
Jonathan Taylor IND 2.5 21.0 $7,200 $9,000 14.3 59.1 2.7 19.6 8% 41% at ATL 10 2 2 1:00 pm Main
Trey Sermon IND 2.5 21.0 $4,800 $6,000 2.8 12.5 0.4 0.4 1% 6% at ATL 10 2 2 1:00 pm Main
Chuba Hubbard CAR 4.0 16.8 $5,700 $6,400 13.4 52.2 2.5 13.6 7% 42% vs GBP 26 20 23 1:00 pm Main
Miles Sanders CAR 4.0 16.8 $4,400 $5,300 9.3 30.8 2.7 10.5 8% 30% vs GBP 26 20 23 1:00 pm Main
Aaron Jones GBP -4.0 20.8 $6,400 $6,700 9.9 37.3 4.1 23.1 12% 34% at CAR 31 32 29 1:00 pm Main
Patrick Taylor GBP -4.0 20.8 $4,400 $4,500 2.6 13.4 2.0 6.3 6% 33% at CAR 31 32 29 1:00 pm Main
Devin Singletary HOU 2.5 19.0 $5,500 $6,200 11.9 50.8 2.2 11.9 6% 42% vs CLE 2 9 9 1:00 pm Main
Dameon Pierce HOU 2.5 19.0 $4,500 $5,000 12.2 35.8 1.3 7.8 4% 21% vs CLE 2 9 9 1:00 pm Main
Jerome Ford CLE -2.5 21.5 $5,400 $6,300 12.4 51.3 3.9 17.0 10% 44% at HOU 5 4 15 1:00 pm Main
Kareem Hunt CLE -2.5 21.5 $4,800 $5,600 9.8 30.8 1.3 6.2 3% 19% at HOU 5 4 15 1:00 pm Main
Breece Hall NYJ -3.0 19.8 $6,100 $7,400 10.9 45.5 4.6 31.5 13% 39% vs WAS 13 16 26 1:00 pm Main
Dalvin Cook NYJ -3.0 19.8 $4,400 $4,700 4.8 15.3 1.4 5.6 4% 13% vs WAS 13 16 26 1:00 pm Main
Antonio Gibson WAS 3.0 16.8 $5,200 $5,500 3.8 16.0 3.7 26.3 10% 44% at NYJ 7 7 25 1:00 pm Main
Chris Rodriguez WAS 3.0 16.8 $4,500 $5,400 4.6 21.0 0.1 0.6 0% 4% at NYJ 7 7 25 1:00 pm Main
Rachaad White TBB -1.5 21.5 $7,400 $7,700 15.9 59.6 3.9 33.5 12% 62% vs JAC 6 19 18 4:05 pm Main
Chase Edmonds TBB -1.5 21.5 $4,400 $4,600 3.2 10.8 0.9 4.4 3% 12% vs JAC 6 19 18 4:05 pm Main
Travis Etienne JAC 1.5 20.0 $6,600 $8,000 16.4 59.8 4.1 29.4 11% 51% at TBB 14 6 7 4:05 pm Main
D’Ernest Johnson JAC 1.5 20.0 $4,900 $5,600 2.6 7.6 0.9 10.0 2% 13% at TBB 14 6 7 4:05 pm Main
D’Onta Foreman CHI -4.5 23.8 $4,700 $5,900 12.1 47.2 1.7 8.6 5% 23% vs ARI 30 24 32 4:25 pm Main
Khalil Herbert CHI -4.5 23.8 $4,600 $5,100 9.1 38.6 2.3 11.9 7% 28% vs ARI 30 24 32 4:25 pm Main
James Conner ARI 4.5 19.3 $5,900 $6,500 14.3 71.7 2.1 3.9 7% 34% at CHI 3 3 22 4:25 pm Main
Michael Carter ARI 4.5 19.3 $4,200 $4,700 1.6 9.1 2.3 7.8 7% 28% at CHI 3 3 22 4:25 pm Main
Raheem Mostert MIA -1.5 26.0 $7,300 $8,800 14.1 69.0 2.2 12.2 7% 38% vs DAL 16 13 11 4:25 pm Main
Devon Achane MIA -1.5 26.0 $7,100 $7,500 9.0 76.6 3.4 19.4 11% 36% vs DAL 16 13 11 4:25 pm Main
Tony Pollard DAL 1.5 24.5 $6,700 $7,000 14.8 60.6 4.4 20.7 12% 51% at MIA 21 17 9 4:25 pm Main
Rico Dowdle DAL 1.5 24.5 $4,500 $4,800 5.6 22.2 1.1 6.4 3% 13% at MIA 21 17 9 4:25 pm Main
Javonte Williams DEN -7.5 21.5 $5,800 14.0 52.1 3.2 13.3 11% 26% vs NEP 1 1 16 8:15 pm SDSun
Samaje Perine DEN -7.5 21.5 $4,400 3.2 15.6 3.1 27.8 11% 34% vs NEP 1 1 16 8:15 pm SDSun
Ezekiel Elliott NEP 7.5 14.0 $5,800 10.4 37.3 3.1 17.6 9% 31% at DEN 32 27 31 8:15 pm SDSun
JaMycal Hasty NEP 7.5 14.0 $4,000 1.0 0.0 3% 4% at DEN 32 27 31 8:15 pm SDSun
Isiah Pacheco KCC -10.0 25.3 $6,400 14.7 64.9 3.2 17.4 8% 36% vs LVR 22 15 24 1:00 pm Xmas
Jerick McKinnon KCC -10.0 25.3 $5,100 1.8 5.0 2.7 16.0 7% 31% vs LVR 22 15 24 1:00 pm Xmas
Josh Jacobs LVR 10.0 15.3 $6,300 17.9 61.9 4.0 22.8 12% 45% at KCC 27 31 13 1:00 pm Xmas
Zamir White LVR 10.0 15.3 $5,000 3.1 10.3 0.8 4.5 2% 10% at KCC 27 31 13 1:00 pm Xmas
D’Andre Swift PHI -13.5 28.3 $6,100 14.0 64.0 3.2 14.9 10% 38% vs NYG 28 24 21 4:30 pm Xmas
Kenneth Gainwell PHI -13.5 28.3 $4,800 5.3 19.7 2.2 10.0 6% 34% vs NYG 28 24 21 4:30 pm Xmas
Saquon Barkley NYG 13.5 14.8 $6,800 17.6 72.5 4.0 18.7 14% 50% at PHI 12 28 5 4:30 pm Xmas
Matt Breida NYG 13.5 14.8 $4,500 3.9 10.8 1.4 6.1 5% 24% at PHI 12 28 5 4:30 pm Xmas
Christian McCaffrey SFO -5.5 26.5 $9,500 17.4 92.3 4.6 36.4 16% 70% vs BAL 9 11 4 8:15 pm Xmas
Jordan Mason SFO -5.5 26.5 $4,600 2.5 12.8 0.2 1.5 1% 4% vs BAL 9 11 4 8:15 pm Xmas
Gus Edwards BAL 5.5 21.0 $5,700 11.6 47.4 0.8 10.1 3% 24% at SFO 18 29 12 8:15 pm Xmas
Justice Hill BAL 5.5 21.0 $4,000 5.5 24.1 1.5 6.5 5% 32% at SFO 18 29 12 8:15 pm Xmas

Note: Att/G = rushing attempts per game, RuY/G = rushing yards per game, Tar/G = targets per game, ReY/G = receiving yards per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, rDVOA = opponent’s DVOA against the run, rusEPA = opponent’s ERA against the run, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Projected Starters — Wide Receiver

Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Tar/G Rec/G Yar/G Tar % Air % Rte % Opp pDVOA pasEPA DVP TIME (ET) SLATE
Cooper Kupp LAR -4.5 25.0 $8,000 $14,500 7.4 4.9 65.8 23% 29% 82% vs NOS 8 7 3 8:15 pm SDThu
Puka Nacua LAR -4.5 25.0 $7,200 $12,000 9.4 6.2 83.1 27% 32% 85% vs NOS 8 7 3 8:15 pm SDThu
Tutu Atwell LAR -4.5 25.0 $3,500 $7,500 4.8 2.8 36.6 14% 22% 71% vs NOS 8 7 3 8:15 pm SDThu
Chris Olave NOS 4.5 20.5 $6,600 $12,500 8.8 5.5 70.6 24% 41% 84% at LAR 22 17 18 8:15 pm SDThu
Rashid Shaheed NOS 4.5 20.5 $4,500 $9,500 4.9 3.0 47.5 13% 22% 68% at LAR 22 17 18 8:15 pm SDThu
A.T. Perry NOS 4.5 20.5 $3,500 $6,500 1.7 1.0 21.9 5% 11% 53% at LAR 22 17 18 8:15 pm SDThu
Diontae Johnson PIT 2.5 18.0 $5,100 $7,000 7.3 4.1 53.7 23% 41% 82% vs CIN 20 26 19 4:30 pm 2-Game
George Pickens PIT 2.5 18.0 $4,700 $6,200 6.4 3.7 58.1 21% 38% 90% vs CIN 20 26 19 4:30 pm 2-Game
Allen Robinson PIT 2.5 18.0 $3,000 $4,800 3.1 2.1 17.4 10% 10% 66% vs CIN 20 26 19 4:30 pm 2-Game
Tee Higgins CIN -2.5 20.5 $6,500 $7,800 6.5 3.6 49.7 18% 39% 74% at PIT 9 11 15 4:30 pm 2-Game
Tyler Boyd CIN -2.5 20.5 $4,600 $5,900 5.9 4.2 41.1 16% 17% 77% at PIT 9 11 15 4:30 pm 2-Game
Trenton Irwin CIN -2.5 20.5 $3,000 $5,100 1.8 1.4 18.5 5% 9% 35% at PIT 9 11 15 4:30 pm 2-Game
Josh Palmer LAC 12.5 15.5 $5,000 $6,000 5.1 3.4 61.3 14% 25% 74% vs BUF 13 13 10 8:00 pm 2-Game
Quentin Johnston LAC 12.5 15.5 $4,000 $5,600 3.6 2.2 25.4 10% 17% 60% vs BUF 13 13 10 8:00 pm 2-Game
Alex Erickson LAC 12.5 15.5 $3,100 $4,500 2.6 1.0 14.8 7% 14% 50% vs BUF 13 13 10 8:00 pm 2-Game
Stefon Diggs BUF -12.5 28.0 $8,700 $8,900 9.7 6.5 74.4 28% 36% 89% at LAC 28 26 30 8:00 pm 2-Game
Gabriel Davis BUF -12.5 28.0 $5,300 $6,300 4.9 2.8 42.5 14% 28% 81% at LAC 28 26 30 8:00 pm 2-Game
Khalil Shakir BUF -12.5 28.0 $3,500 $5,000 2.3 1.9 30.1 7% 8% 43% at LAC 28 26 30 8:00 pm 2-Game
Justin Jefferson MIN 3.0 22.0 $8,100 $9,200 9.4 6.4 97.4 24% 37% 78% vs DET 16 23 24 1:00 pm Main
Jordan Addison MIN 3.0 22.0 $6,000 $7,300 6.4 4.4 58.9 17% 29% 81% vs DET 16 23 24 1:00 pm Main
K.J. Osborn MIN 3.0 22.0 $3,900 $5,000 4.8 3.2 33.5 13% 16% 77% vs DET 16 23 24 1:00 pm Main
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET -3.0 25.0 $8,200 $8,600 9.9 7.2 90.4 27% 32% 89% at MIN 7 8 23 1:00 pm Main
Jameson Williams DET -3.0 25.0 $3,700 $5,200 3.3 1.7 24.2 9% 22% 47% at MIN 7 8 23 1:00 pm Main
Josh Reynolds DET -3.0 25.0 $3,300 $5,500 3.5 2.4 38.2 10% 18% 67% at MIN 7 8 23 1:00 pm Main
DeAndre Hopkins TEN 3.0 19.3 $6,100 $7,100 8.0 4.2 65.6 27% 45% 79% vs SEA 26 22 26 1:00 pm Main
Treylon Burks TEN 3.0 19.3 $3,100 $5,200 2.9 1.5 23.1 9% 19% 59% vs SEA 26 22 26 1:00 pm Main
Chris Moore TEN 3.0 19.3 $3,300 $4,800 1.8 1.2 25.2 6% 12% 43% vs SEA 26 22 26 1:00 pm Main
D.K. Metcalf SEA -3.0 22.3 $6,700 $7,600 7.4 4.3 72.5 21% 42% 82% at TEN 27 30 27 1:00 pm Main
Tyler Lockett SEA -3.0 22.3 $5,600 $6,700 7.1 4.9 52.3 21% 32% 83% at TEN 27 30 27 1:00 pm Main
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA -3.0 22.3 $4,500 $5,900 5.6 3.8 38.6 17% 14% 70% at TEN 27 30 27 1:00 pm Main
Drake London ATL -2.5 23.5 $5,100 $6,200 6.5 4.5 59.2 22% 32% 81% vs IND 14 12 8 1:00 pm Main
Van Jefferson ATL -2.5 23.5 $3,000 $4,500 2.3 1.0 11.7 7% 15% 56% vs IND 14 12 8 1:00 pm Main
Khadarel Hodge ATL -2.5 23.5 $3,000 $4,700 1.4 0.9 16.2 4% 8% 28% vs IND 14 12 8 1:00 pm Main
Michael Pittman IND 2.5 21.0 $7,400 $7,700 9.9 7.1 75.9 28% 32% 88% at ATL 30 16 5 1:00 pm Main
Josh Downs IND 2.5 21.0 $5,500 $6,000 5.8 4.1 45.1 17% 18% 68% at ATL 30 16 5 1:00 pm Main
Alec Pierce IND 2.5 21.0 $4,000 $5,300 3.8 2.0 30.4 11% 24% 82% at ATL 30 16 5 1:00 pm Main
Adam Thielen CAR 4.0 16.8 $5,900 $6,600 8.6 6.4 62.1 24% 28% 88% vs GBP 29 28 14 1:00 pm Main
Jonathan Mingo CAR 4.0 16.8 $3,600 $5,400 6.1 3.1 31.5 17% 28% 83% vs GBP 29 28 14 1:00 pm Main
DJ Chark CAR 4.0 16.8 $3,100 $5,200 3.9 2.2 30.3 11% 23% 74% vs GBP 29 28 14 1:00 pm Main
Romeo Doubs GBP -4.0 20.8 $5,300 $5,700 5.9 3.7 40.5 17% 25% 74% at CAR 17 15 4 1:00 pm Main
Jayden Reed GBP -4.0 20.8 $5,400 $6,700 5.7 3.9 42.3 17% 18% 59% at CAR 17 15 4 1:00 pm Main
Dontayvion Wicks GBP -4.0 20.8 $4,300 $5,400 3.7 2.4 37.8 11% 14% 43% at CAR 17 15 4 1:00 pm Main
Nico Collins HOU 2.5 19.0 $6,800 $8,000 7.2 5.0 83.7 21% 29% 67% vs CLE 1 1 2 1:00 pm Main
Noah Brown HOU 2.5 19.0 $5,200 $6,900 5.5 3.6 65.1 16% 23% 73% vs CLE 1 1 2 1:00 pm Main
Robert Woods HOU 2.5 19.0 $4,100 $5,300 5.3 2.8 29.5 15% 18% 66% vs CLE 1 1 2 1:00 pm Main
Amari Cooper CLE -2.5 21.5 $6,400 $7,500 7.9 4.4 70.4 21% 36% 80% at HOU 23 20 11 1:00 pm Main
Elijah Moore CLE -2.5 21.5 $4,200 $5,500 6.6 3.7 40.0 18% 25% 81% at HOU 23 20 11 1:00 pm Main
Cedric Tillman CLE -2.5 21.5 $3,300 $5,000 2.7 1.4 14.5 7% 11% 53% at HOU 23 20 11 1:00 pm Main
Garrett Wilson NYJ -3.0 19.8 $5,800 $7,000 9.5 5.6 63.0 27% 46% 92% vs WAS 32 32 31 1:00 pm Main
Allen Lazard NYJ -3.0 19.8 $3,200 $5,200 3.5 1.6 22.2 10% 19% 68% vs WAS 32 32 31 1:00 pm Main
Xavier Gipson NYJ -3.0 19.8 $3,100 $4,800 1.7 1.1 13.6 5% 7% 41% vs WAS 32 32 31 1:00 pm Main
Terry McLaurin WAS 3.0 16.8 $5,700 $7,200 7.8 4.7 59.6 20% 34% 83% at NYJ 3 9 1 1:00 pm Main
Jahan Dotson WAS 3.0 16.8 $4,400 $5,600 5.1 3.2 33.6 13% 18% 83% at NYJ 3 9 1 1:00 pm Main
Curtis Samuel WAS 3.0 16.8 $4,800 $6,500 5.8 4.3 42.2 15% 15% 56% at NYJ 3 9 1 1:00 pm Main
Mike Evans TBB -1.5 21.5 $7,600 $8,700 8.0 4.7 76.9 24% 41% 79% vs JAC 12 14 25 4:05 pm Main
Chris Godwin TBB -1.5 21.5 $6,200 $6,900 7.7 4.9 58.1 23% 27% 82% vs JAC 12 14 25 4:05 pm Main
Trey Palmer TBB -1.5 21.5 $3,100 $4,600 3.5 2.1 17.8 11% 13% 66% vs JAC 12 14 25 4:05 pm Main
Calvin Ridley JAC 1.5 20.0 $6,300 $6,800 7.7 4.3 55.8 21% 37% 83% at TBB 15 25 29 4:05 pm Main
Parker Washington JAC 1.5 20.0 $3,800 $5,300 2.3 2.0 16.7 6% 6% 34% at TBB 15 25 29 4:05 pm Main
Jamal Agnew JAC 1.5 20.0 $3,400 $4,500 1.6 1.2 17.8 4% 6% 29% at TBB 15 25 29 4:05 pm Main
D.J. Moore CHI -4.5 23.8 $6,900 $8,200 7.8 5.7 80.2 25% 43% 90% vs ARI 31 31 21 4:25 pm Main
Darnell Mooney CHI -4.5 23.8 $3,300 $5,100 3.8 2.1 29.2 12% 20% 75% vs ARI 31 31 21 4:25 pm Main
Tyler Scott CHI -4.5 23.8 $3,000 $4,700 1.7 1.0 10.1 6% 9% 35% vs ARI 31 31 21 4:25 pm Main
Michael Wilson ARI 4.5 19.3 $3,700 $5,100 4.3 2.8 43.5 13% 24% 79% at CHI 19 19 16 4:25 pm Main
Rondale Moore ARI 4.5 19.3 $3,500 $5,000 3.5 2.2 18.9 11% 9% 71% at CHI 19 19 16 4:25 pm Main
Greg Dortch ARI 4.5 19.3 $4,000 $4,700 1.8 1.0 10.7 6% 8% 30% at CHI 19 19 16 4:25 pm Main
Tyreek Hill MIA -1.5 26.0 $9,600 $10,000 9.9 7.5 118.6 30% 43% 74% vs DAL 6 6 6 4:25 pm Main
Jaylen Waddle MIA -1.5 26.0 $7,800 $8,100 7.7 5.5 74.2 23% 31% 70% vs DAL 6 6 6 4:25 pm Main
Cedrick Wilson MIA -1.5 26.0 $3,200 $4,900 2.1 1.3 16.9 6% 11% 35% vs DAL 6 6 6 4:25 pm Main
CeeDee Lamb DAL 1.5 24.5 $9,200 $9,400 9.9 7.4 93.3 28% 37% 88% at MIA 11 4 17 4:25 pm Main
Brandin Cooks DAL 1.5 24.5 $4,900 $6,100 4.8 3.2 41.8 14% 21% 76% at MIA 11 4 17 4:25 pm Main
Michael Gallup DAL 1.5 24.5 $3,200 $5,100 3.8 2.3 29.6 11% 15% 57% at MIA 11 4 17 4:25 pm Main
Courtland Sutton DEN -7.5 21.5 $6,500 6.1 4.1 55.0 21% 40% 82% vs NEP 21 21 22 8:15 pm SDSun
Jerry Jeudy DEN -7.5 21.5 $4,800 5.2 3.5 44.7 18% 31% 78% vs NEP 21 21 22 8:15 pm SDSun
Marvin Mims DEN -7.5 21.5 $3,200 2.0 1.3 21.3 7% 16% 40% vs NEP 21 21 22 8:15 pm SDSun
Demario Douglas NEP 7.5 14.0 $4,100 5.4 3.5 40.3 15% 17% 52% at DEN 25 24 8 8:15 pm SDSun
JuJu Smith-Schuster NEP 7.5 14.0 $3,600 4.2 2.6 23.6 12% 12% 52% at DEN 25 24 8 8:15 pm SDSun
DeVante Parker NEP 7.5 14.0 $3,600 4.4 2.7 30.8 14% 21% 72% at DEN 25 24 8 8:15 pm SDSun
Rashee Rice KCC -10.0 25.3 $6,600 6.0 4.9 53.9 16% 12% 49% vs LVR 10 10 13 1:00 pm Xmas
Marquez Valdes-Scantling KCC -10.0 25.3 $3,100 2.6 1.4 22.3 7% 20% 58% vs LVR 10 10 13 1:00 pm Xmas
Kadarius Toney KCC -10.0 25.3 $3,100 2.8 2.1 13.0 7% 3% 26% vs LVR 10 10 13 1:00 pm Xmas
Davante Adams LVR 10.0 15.3 $7,300 9.6 6.0 69.1 30% 44% 89% at KCC 5 3 7 1:00 pm Xmas
Jakobi Meyers LVR 10.0 15.3 $5,400 6.6 4.5 49.8 20% 26% 82% at KCC 5 3 7 1:00 pm Xmas
Hunter Renfrow LVR 10.0 15.3 $3,000 2.6 1.8 18.2 8% 5% 46% at KCC 5 3 7 1:00 pm Xmas
A.J. Brown PHI -13.5 28.3 $8,700 9.9 6.8 93.9 30% 47% 86% vs NYG 18 18 28 4:30 pm Xmas
DeVonta Smith PHI -13.5 28.3 $7,100 7.1 5.3 68.4 22% 32% 91% vs NYG 18 18 28 4:30 pm Xmas
Quez Watkins PHI -13.5 28.3 $3,000 1.4 1.0 7.0 4% 7% 53% vs NYG 18 18 28 4:30 pm Xmas
Wan’Dale Robinson NYG 13.5 14.8 $3,900 4.6 3.8 30.8 16% 11% 63% at PHI 24 29 32 4:30 pm Xmas
Jalin Hyatt NYG 13.5 14.8 $3,200 2.4 1.4 24.5 8% 27% 55% at PHI 24 29 32 4:30 pm Xmas
Darius Slayton NYG 13.5 14.8 $3,300 4.2 2.7 36.6 14% 26% 77% at PHI 24 29 32 4:30 pm Xmas
Deebo Samuel SFO -5.5 26.5 $7,700 5.8 4.1 65.6 21% 21% 79% vs BAL 2 2 12 8:15 pm Xmas
Brandon Aiyuk SFO -5.5 26.5 $6,700 6.5 4.5 83.8 24% 42% 85% vs BAL 2 2 12 8:15 pm Xmas
Chris Conley SFO -5.5 26.5 $3,000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0% 0% 3% vs BAL 2 2 12 8:15 pm Xmas
Zay Flowers BAL 5.5 21.0 $5,500 6.4 4.6 48.6 22% 23% 90% at SFO 4 5 20 8:15 pm Xmas
Odell Beckham BAL 5.5 21.0 $4,300 4.8 2.7 43.3 16% 27% 54% at SFO 4 5 20 8:15 pm Xmas
Rashod Bateman BAL 5.5 21.0 $3,300 3.5 2.1 23.0 12% 21% 52% at SFO 4 5 20 8:15 pm Xmas

Note: Tar/G = targets per game, Rec/G = receptions per game, Yar/G = receiving yards per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Air % = percentage of team air yards, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, pDVOA = opponent’s DVOA against the pass, pasEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Projected Starters — Tight End

Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Tar/G Rec/G Yar/G Tar % Air % Rte % Opp pDVOA pasEPA DVP TIME (ET) SLATE
Tyler Higbee LAR -4.5 25.0 $3,400 $7,500 4.4 2.9 31.0 13% 11% 74% vs NOS 8 7 21 8:15 pm SDThu
Taysom Hill NOS 4.5 20.5 $5,000 $10,000 2.5 2.1 17.9 7% 5% 35% at LAR 22 17 25 8:15 pm SDThu
Pat Freiermuth PIT 2.5 18.0 $3,800 $5,100 4.3 3.0 27.0 14% 13% 63% vs CIN 20 26 31 4:30 pm 2-Game
Tanner Hudson CIN -2.5 20.5 $3,600 $5,300 4.2 3.7 33.1 12% 10% 39% at PIT 9 11 19 4:30 pm 2-Game
Gerald Everett LAC 12.5 15.5 $3,500 $5,200 4.3 3.3 27.8 12% 6% 49% vs BUF 13 13 8 8:00 pm 2-Game
Dalton Kincaid BUF -12.5 28.0 $5,000 $6,000 5.1 4.4 35.4 15% 10% 65% at LAC 28 26 25 8:00 pm 2-Game
T.J. Hockenson MIN 3.0 22.0 $5,800 $6,800 8.8 6.5 64.4 24% 25% 79% vs DET 16 23 23 1:00 pm Main
Sam LaPorta DET -3.0 25.0 $6,400 $7,200 6.9 5.1 54.1 19% 22% 73% at MIN 7 8 13 1:00 pm Main
Chigoziem Okonkwo TEN 3.0 19.3 $3,100 $5,000 4.4 3.1 28.2 15% 11% 62% vs SEA 26 22 16 1:00 pm Main
Noah Fant SEA -3.0 22.3 $2,900 $4,700 2.6 1.9 25.4 8% 7% 48% at TEN 27 30 1 1:00 pm Main
Kyle Pitts ATL -2.5 23.5 $4,000 $5,500 5.4 3.4 41.9 18% 25% 71% vs IND 14 12 22 1:00 pm Main
Kylen Granson IND 2.5 21.0 $2,600 $4,600 3.0 1.9 22.5 9% 10% 46% at ATL 30 16 24 1:00 pm Main
Tommy Tremble CAR 4.0 16.8 $2,600 $4,600 1.5 1.2 9.1 4% 4% 30% vs GBP 29 28 15 1:00 pm Main
Tucker Kraft GBP -4.0 20.8 $3,700 $5,300 1.7 1.3 15.4 5% 3% 34% at CAR 17 15 10 1:00 pm Main
Dalton Schultz HOU 2.5 19.0 $4,600 $5,800 5.3 3.7 42.8 15% 15% 65% vs CLE 1 1 1 1:00 pm Main
David Njoku CLE -2.5 21.5 $5,300 $6,600 7.4 4.9 50.3 20% 11% 75% at HOU 23 20 29 1:00 pm Main
Tyler Conklin NYJ -3.0 19.8 $3,200 $5,000 4.9 3.6 37.4 14% 15% 60% vs WAS 32 32 11 1:00 pm Main
Logan Thomas WAS 3.0 16.8 $3,500 $4,900 5.0 3.5 33.2 13% 11% 69% at NYJ 3 9 16 1:00 pm Main
Cade Otton TBB -1.5 21.5 $3,300 $5,200 4.1 3.0 29.1 12% 10% 79% vs JAC 12 14 28 4:05 pm Main
Evan Engram JAC 1.5 20.0 $5,400 $6,300 7.6 6.3 52.1 21% 13% 80% at TBB 15 25 27 4:05 pm Main
Cole Kmet CHI -4.5 23.8 $4,400 $6,200 5.7 4.7 40.8 18% 17% 67% vs ARI 31 31 4 4:25 pm Main
Trey McBride ARI 4.5 19.3 $5,700 $7,000 6.0 4.7 50.9 18% 15% 56% at CHI 19 19 30 4:25 pm Main
Durham Smythe MIA -1.5 26.0 $2,700 $4,700 2.4 1.8 17.4 7% 6% 57% vs DAL 6 6 6 4:25 pm Main
Jake Ferguson DAL 1.5 24.5 $4,900 $6,000 5.6 4.1 43.9 16% 12% 71% at MIA 11 4 13 4:25 pm Main
Adam Trautman DEN -7.5 21.5 $3,000 2.1 1.4 12.4 7% 8% 56% vs NEP 21 21 3 8:15 pm SDSun
Hunter Henry NEP 7.5 14.0 $4,100 4.4 3.0 29.9 13% 17% 62% at DEN 25 24 32 8:15 pm SDSun
Travis Kelce KCC -10.0 25.3 $7,500 8.3 6.5 71.1 22% 26% 72% vs LVR 10 10 18 1:00 pm Xmas
Michael Mayer LVR 10.0 15.3 $3,300 2.7 1.9 21.7 8% 7% 48% at KCC 5 3 8 1:00 pm Xmas
Dallas Goedert PHI -13.5 28.3 $4,700 5.9 4.2 42.7 18% 11% 81% vs NYG 18 18 5 4:30 pm Xmas
Darren Waller NYG 13.5 14.8 $4,500 6.2 4.4 47.1 20% 26% 68% at PHI 24 29 20 4:30 pm Xmas
George Kittle SFO -5.5 26.5 $5,600 5.4 3.9 61.8 19% 23% 82% vs BAL 2 2 7 8:15 pm Xmas
Isaiah Likely BAL 5.5 21.0 $4,200 2.1 1.6 20.1 7% 5% 37% at SFO 4 5 12 8:15 pm Xmas

Note: Tar/G = targets per game, Rec/G = receptions per game, Yar/G = receiving yards per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Air % = percentage of team air yards, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, pDVOA = opponent’s DVOA against the pass, pasEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Cover Image Credit: Getty Images

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious