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MLB Grind Down: Sunday, October 2nd

by Andrew Cook (louiescards) Last Updated 2016-10-03 03:11:22

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The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code and FanDuel promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.

Stackability Rating System:

GREEN – One of the top stacks of the day, viable in cash games and GPPs
YELLOW – A viable stack option in most formats, specifically GPPs
ORANGE – There are better stacks out there, but playable in large GPPs
RED – Not a recommended stack for cash games or GPPs

Baltimore at NY Yankees – 3:05 PM ET

Baltimore NY Yankees
Article Image Kevin Gausman Article Image Luis Cessa
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
BAL -130 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.281 10 31.7% 25.1% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.324 7 40.2% 18.4%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.351 17 30.6% 22.3% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.318 8 27.4% 13.0%

Pitcher Grind Down

Kevin Gausman
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,400 Salary: $8,500
FPPG: 31.6 FPPG: 16.8
Pitcher Rating: 70.7 Pitcher Rank: 7
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 109.4 3.77 3.34 23.1% 6.0% 12.1% 44.6% 34.8% 31.2%
2016 29 103.7 3.78 3.66 23.5% 6.3% 10.9% 43.4% 35.3% 31.1%
2015 17 110.4 3.69 4.25 21.9% 6.2% 10.9% 44.4% 38.1% 27.4%

Kevin Gausman: It has been a rough go of it for Gausman in his last two starts, as he’s allowed five runs in both. With that said, he had been on a pretty good run leading up to those starts and offers a solid strikeout rate, as well. The thing is, we have no shortage of high-quality arms throwing today and Gausman is in that second tier of options, but he’s priced pretty well.

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 2.47 — K%: 22.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.283
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 5.10 — K%: 23.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.348

Luis Cessa
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,200 Salary: $5,400
FPPG: 17.0 FPPG: 8.5
Pitcher Rating: 40.1 Pitcher Rank: 26
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 82.7 4.87 4.24 13.8% 4.4% 9.5% 39.3% 42.0% 33.9%
2016 8 121.9 4.61 4.18 15.2% 5.3% 10.4% 42.2% 39.2% 32.5%

Luis Cessa: I am not a huge fan of pitching guys against the Orioles in the first place, but especially when we have a ton of solid options on the board. It’s not that Cessa has been bad; it is more the fact that he is not likely to produce the numbers we are going to need from the position today.

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 5.12 — K%: 14.7% — wOBA Allowed: 0.327
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.27 — K%: 15.7% — wOBA Allowed: 0.314

Batter Grind Down

Baltimore

Orioles: It has been a bit of a struggle over the past month or so for the Orioles, but this is a team that can mash on right-handed pitching, and the team ISO cannot be ignored as one of the highest-upside stacks on the board.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Adam Jones RIGHT 0.347 0.196 32.6% 0.273 OF $3,200 OF $3,900
2 Hyun-Soo Kim LEFT 0.370 0.131 31.6% 0.338 OF $3,100 OF $3,200
3 Manny Machado RIGHT 0.363 0.253 34.9% 0.241 3B $3,300 3B/SS $2,900
4 Mark Trumbo RIGHT 0.385 0.299 39.8% 0.376 OF $3,300 OF $4,600
5 Matt Wieters SWITCH 0.314 0.180 31.6% 0.349 C $2,700 C $3,400
6 Chris Davis LEFT 0.349 0.270 42.4% 0.210 1B $3,000 1B $3,700
7 J.J. Hardy RIGHT 0.305 0.125 31.8% 0.326 SS $2,500 SS $2,900
8 Jonathan Schoop RIGHT 0.329 0.194 28.8% 0.176 2B $2,900 2B $3,600
9 Michael Bourn LEFT 0.281 0.112 25.3% 0.207 OF $2,500 OF $3,800
Team Averages — 0.338 0.196 33.2% 0.277 — — — —

Elite Plays – Manny Machado

Secondary Plays – Hyun-Soo Kim , Mark Trumbo , Chris Davis

Stackability – Yellow

NY Yankees

Yankees: Outside of Gary Sanchez, we have not really been able to rely on much of anything from this Yankees lineup in terms of consistency. That is pretty much where we stand in this one, as well.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Brett Gardner LEFT 0.329 0.107 26.2% 0.360 OF $3,200 OF $3,700
2 Jacoby Ellsbury LEFT 0.322 0.128 26.8% 0.196 OF $3,500 OF $3,500
3 Gary Sanchez RIGHT 0.469 0.374 41.1% 0.431 C $3,600 C $4,500
4 Brian McCann LEFT 0.330 0.176 36.9% 0.319 C $2,900 C $3,100
5 Mark Teixeira SWITCH 0.283 0.179 32.5% 0.435 1B $3,100 1B $3,200
6 Didi Gregorius LEFT 0.307 0.182 25.1% 0.361 SS $2,800 SS $3,000
7 Chase Headley SWITCH 0.312 0.157 33.6% 0.202 3B $2,800 3B $2,600
8 Mason Williams LEFT 0.351 0.000 30.0% 0.337 OF $2,300
9 Ronald Torreyes RIGHT 0.322 0.159 21.7% 0.156 3B $2,200 3B/SS $2,200
Team Averages — 0.336 0.162 30.4% 0.311 — — — —

Elite Plays – Gary Sanchez

Secondary Plays – Brian McCann , Mark Teixeira

Stackability – Orange

Oakland at Seattle – 3:10 PM ET

Oakland Seattle
Article Image Sean Manaea Article Image Felix Hernandez
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
SEA -160 8.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.233 3 35.4% 26.8% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.318 7 29.7% 17.6%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.323 17 34.0% 19.6% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.312 11 27.4% 19.3%

Pitcher Grind Down

Sean Manaea
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,800 Salary: $8,400
FPPG: 27.7 FPPG: 14.7
Pitcher Rating: 57.9 Pitcher Rank: 18
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 3 79.3 3.55 0.50 22.7% 6.1% 10.1% 52.3% 22.7% 28.3%
2016 23 90.5 4.06 3.89 20.8% 6.3% 11.8% 43.6% 34.7% 34.2%

Sean Manaea: It has been quite the finish to the season for Manaea, who did not look comfortable on a big league mound through quite a few starts but has really settled in. He is an arm I like more for tournaments today because the ownership should be pretty low with all of the studs taking the bump to finish the season.

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.02 — K%: 21.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.287
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 5.20 — K%: 20.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.337

Felix Hernandez
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $9,100 Salary: $8,000
FPPG: 31.4 FPPG: 15.5
Pitcher Rating: 64.2 Pitcher Rank: 11
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 94.8 5.78 5.79 12.1% 11.4% 9.1% 43.6% 31.8% 31.9%
2016 24 100.3 4.66 3.71 18.5% 10.1% 9.6% 50.7% 29.2% 28.4%
2015 31 98.1 3.38 3.53 23.1% 7.0% 10.7% 56.2% 26.9% 25.4%

Felix Hernandez: Even time can get to a king. It has been a year of decline for Felix, who honestly was supposed to do this about two or three years ago according to all of the season long guys producing contest. While this is the A’s and it is the last game of the season, I just do not have the confidence in him to produce a top-tier game that will be needed with guys like Scherzer and Sale available.

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.32 — K%: 22.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.283
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.98 — K%: 20.1% — wOBA Allowed: 0.334

Batter Grind Down

Oakland

A’s: This is not a good lineup. Even though Hernandez is not a guy I trust today, it is more the fact that we have other options than my fear Oakland crushes him. Khris Davis is probably the only player I would roll out there with confidence unless you are building a risky stack.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Joey Wendle LEFT 0.251 0.043 29.3% 0.240 2B $2,200 2B $2,400
2 Stephen Vogt LEFT 0.319 0.162 27.3% 0.302 C $3,000 C $3,000
3 Ryon Healy RIGHT 0.369 0.214 28.4% 0.437 3B $3,500 3B $3,600
4 Khris Davis RIGHT 0.338 0.270 39.0% 0.391 OF $3,400 OF $3,600
5 Yonder Alonso LEFT 0.306 0.116 34.4% 0.296 1B $2,600 1B $2,500
6 Marcus Semien RIGHT 0.300 0.175 27.5% 0.320 SS $2,700 SS $2,800
7 Bruce Maxwell LEFT 0.354 0.145 45.8% 0.410 C $2,900 C $2,500
8 Jake Smolinski RIGHT 0.250 0.067 28.2% 0.111 OF $2,200 OF $2,400
9 Matt Olson LEFT 0.295 0.000 10.0% 0.241 OF $2,500
Team Averages — 0.309 0.132 30.0% 0.305 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Khris Davis , Stephen Vogt

Stackability – Red

Seattle

Mariners: Seattle is sneaky good against left-handed pitching mainly in part to the fact that Gutierrez and Cruz smash them, but an overlooked fact is that both Cano and Seager more than hold their own against lefties, as well. Manaea has closed the season strong, so beware of that, but I cannot blame you for seeing that power in the middle of the lineup and taking a shot.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Guillermo Heredia SWITCH 0.280 0.078 19.6% 0.309 OF $2,700 OF $2,500
2 Franklin Gutierrez RIGHT 0.386 0.238 52.0% 0.245 OF $2,600 OF $3,300
3 Robinson Cano LEFT 0.334 0.183 30.8% 0.386 2B $3,300 2B $4,500
4 Nelson Cruz RIGHT 0.415 0.340 39.3% 0.400 OF $4,100 OF $5,300
5 Kyle Seager LEFT 0.320 0.209 35.1% 0.273 3B $3,400 3B $3,500
6 Dae-ho Lee RIGHT 0.332 0.187 29.9% 0.083 1B $2,400 1B $3,000
7 Leonys Martin LEFT 0.295 0.125 28.7% 0.240 OF $3,100 OF $2,900
8 Jesus Sucre RIGHT 1.096 0.800 60.0% 0.785 C $2,300
9 Shawn O’Malley SWITCH 0.289 0.106 21.9% 0.263 OF $2,000 OF/SS $2,500
Team Averages — 0.416 0.252 35.3% 0.332 — — — —

Elite Plays – Nelson Cruz

Secondary Plays – Franklin Gutierrez , Robinson Cano , Kyle Seager

Stackability – Orange

Houston at LA Angels – 3:05 PM ET

Houston LA Angels
Article Image Brady Rodgers Article Image Jhoulys Chacin
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
LAA -130 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.605 0 30.8% 0.0% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.334 9 35.7% 13.4%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.319 0 25.0% 27.3% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.323 5 28.0% 23.6%

Pitcher Grind Down

Brady Rodgers
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $3,000 Salary: $4,000
FPPG: -1.8 FPPG: -3.1
Pitcher Rating: 22.6 Pitcher Rank: 30
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 0 0.0 6.31 19.29 10.3% 13.8% 9.9% 28.6% 42.9% 28.6%
2016 0 0.0 6.31 19.29 10.3% 13.8% 9.9% 28.6% 42.9% 28.6%

Brady Rodgers: This will be Rogers’s first major league start, which he earned after posting fantastic numbers in AAA this season. Rodgers has not looked good out of the bullpen for the Astros, but perhaps that was more nerves than anything. Even so, this is not the time to get cute unless we are building a team full of big salary hitters and pairing him with an ace on multiple pitcher sites. Outside of that scenario, we do not want to play him today.

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 0.00 — K%: 18.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.143
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 54.00 — K%: 5.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.713

Jhoulys Chacin
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,500 Salary: $6,100
FPPG: 17.5 FPPG: 8.4
Pitcher Rating: 62.7 Pitcher Rank: 14
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 3 134.3 4.00 3.38 22.3% 8.7% 8.7% 42.3% 25.4% 28.2%
2016 21 109.4 4.47 5.06 18.5% 8.9% 8.0% 47.4% 29.1% 32.2%
2015 4 106.5 4.28 3.38 18.9% 9.0% 8.9% 47.4% 33.3% 38.8%

Jhoulys Chacin: He appears to be one of the bigger boom-or-bust candidates on the day with decent strikeout potential facing the Astros, who could also plate some runs against him. The price on DraftKings is intriguing as a secondary pitcher, but even if we go that route, do not over-expose yourself to a pitcher like Chacin, who can be inconsistent.

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.70 — K%: 19.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.281
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 5.71 — K%: 17.7% — wOBA Allowed: 0.362

Batter Grind Down

Houston

Astros: This was supposed to be a playoff-caliber team for the year that really never got consistent with the bats. With that said, there is potential in the front end of this lineup to put up runs in bunches, and as such, they make for a decent tournament team today.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 George Springer RIGHT 0.337 0.166 31.5% 0.386 OF $3,900 OF $4,200
2 Marwin Gonzalez SWITCH 0.293 0.134 35.8% 0.304 1B $2,600 1B $3,200
3 Jose Altuve RIGHT 0.396 0.200 32.4% 0.302 2B $3,800 2B $5,100
4 Carlos Correa RIGHT 0.362 0.189 36.3% 0.373 SS $3,700 SS $4,200
5 Evan Gattis RIGHT 0.332 0.260 32.7% 0.408 C $3,000 C $3,900
6 Yuli Gurriel RIGHT 0.297 0.128 24.7% 0.156 3B $3,000 1B/3B $2,500
7 A.J. Reed LEFT 0.275 0.120 33.3% 0.000 1B $2,100 1B $2,900
8 Teoscar Hernandez RIGHT 0.248 0.161 19.5% 0.176 OF $2,200 OF $2,500
9 Jake Marisnick RIGHT 0.231 0.082 22.6% 0.213 OF $2,200 OF $2,500
Team Averages — 0.308 0.160 29.9% 0.258 — — — —

Elite Plays – Carlos Correa

Secondary Plays – Jose Altuve , George Springer , Evan Gattis

Stackability – Orange

LA Angels

Angels: When your best attribute is the fact that you do not strike out a bunch, it means that we are not going to find a ton of fantasy value. Obviously Mike Trout is a stud and is in play every single night he plays, but outside of that, you want to stack to the top of the order with Los Angeles.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Kole Calhoun LEFT 0.336 0.165 35.9% 0.438 OF $3,500 OF $3,500
2 Mike Trout RIGHT 0.421 0.243 40.6% 0.447 OF $4,300 OF $5,400
3 C.J. Cron RIGHT 0.358 0.205 32.9% 0.302 1B $2,900 1B $3,600
4 Jefry Marte RIGHT 0.328 0.214 35.8% 0.373 3B $3,000 1B/OF $3,300
5 Andrelton Simmons RIGHT 0.294 0.078 25.0% 0.283 SS $2,800 SS $2,500
6 Jett Bandy RIGHT 0.288 0.137 26.2% 0.165 C $2,600 C $2,300
7 Rafael Ortega LEFT 0.264 0.071 22.9% 0.392 OF $2,000 OF $2,400
8 Kaleb Cowart SWITCH 0.158 0.065 21.7% 0.000 3B $2,000 2B/3B $2,200
9 Ji-Man Choi LEFT 0.266 0.179 30.5% 0.220 1B $2,000 1B/OF $2,700
Team Averages — 0.301 0.151 30.2% 0.291 — — — —

Elite Plays – Mike Trout

Secondary Plays – C.J. Cron , Kole Calhoun , Jefry Marte

Stackability – Orange

LA Dodgers at San Francisco – 3:05 PM ET

LA Dodgers San Francisco
Article Image Kenta Maeda Article Image Matt Moore
RIGHT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
SF -129 8.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.299 10 32.7% 19.4% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.302 5 31.2% 21.8%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.251 10 25.0% 30.2% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.311 20 31.4% 21.1%

Pitcher Grind Down

Kenta Maeda
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $9,200 Salary: $8,900
FPPG: 30.9 FPPG: 16.5
Pitcher Rating: 74.4 Pitcher Rank: 6
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 87.4 3.54 2.73 26.2% 7.5% 10.5% 45.7% 28.6% 24.3%
2016 31 92.4 3.66 3.28 25.2% 6.9% 11.5% 43.9% 35.9% 28.8%

Kenta Maeda: I will be watching this game despite the fact that there will be football on. The main reason is that the Cardinals and Giants are fighting for the last wild card spot in the NL, and Maeda and company can do Saint Louis fans a solid and knock San Francisco off today. The good news is that Maeda is a great pitcher to have going for a team you need to win. The bad news is that the Giants also have a solid pitcher going. In terms of DFS, Maeda ranks near the top of this crowded position, and if you can find enough bats makes for an excellent secondary pitcher on multiple-pitcher sites.

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.22 — K%: 25.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.284
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.34 — K%: 24.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.261

Matt Moore
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,000 Salary: $7,400
FPPG: 30.1 FPPG: 15.3
Pitcher Rating: 69.6 Pitcher Rank: 8
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 84.2 3.68 5.65 26.0% 7.6% 12.5% 40.0% 34.1% 30.2%
2016 32 99.3 4.40 4.21 21.2% 8.6% 10.3% 38.3% 41.8% 31.3%
2015 12 88.0 4.67 5.43 16.6% 8.3% 9.9% 39.2% 38.7% 31.7%

Matt Moore: While I am hoping for a similar fate to what he had in his last start against the Dodgers, the reality is that Los Angeles struggles against lefties. This will likely be a pitcher duel today and you can make a case for both as complimentary plays on multiple-pitcher sites, especially with this discounted price on DK.

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.81 — K%: 21.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.304
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 5.43 — K%: 18.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.346

Batter Grind Down

LA Dodgers

Dodgers: Los Angeles is flat out bad against left-handed pitching but the one thing they have going for them today is the fact that they roughed up Moore when they faced him a couple of weeks ago. I do not have a ton of faith in this offense to get things done, but guys like Seager and Puig are certainly playable.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Howie Kendrick RIGHT 0.302 0.063 31.3% 0.227 2B $2,800 2B/OF $3,200
2 Justin Turner RIGHT 0.282 0.132 39.8% 0.334 3B $3,700 3B $3,700
3 Corey Seager LEFT 0.321 0.171 40.9% 0.310 SS $4,000 SS $4,000
4 Yasiel Puig RIGHT 0.330 0.215 28.6% 0.315 OF $2,700 OF $3,500
5 Carlos Ruiz RIGHT 0.353 0.125 42.3% 0.258 C $2,400 C $2,600
6 Rob Segedin RIGHT 0.246 0.121 28.6% 0.175 OF $2,300 3B/OF $2,400
7 Kike Hernandez RIGHT 0.303 0.184 30.5% 0.258 OF $2,000 2B/OF $3,200
8 Charlie Culberson RIGHT 0.345 0.098 29.4% 0.662 2B $2,200 2B/SS $2,300
9 Kenta Maeda RIGHT 0.146 0.000 18.2% 0.176 P $9,200 P $8,900
Team Averages — 0.292 0.123 32.2% 0.302 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays -Corey Seager , Yasiel Puig

Stackability – Red

San Francisco

Giants: San Francisco has been struggling at the plate over the last month or so, and Maeda is more than capable of shutting them down today. With that said, this is a game where they are fighting for their playoff lives, and I have no problems using a couple of their main hitters here and there.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Denard Span LEFT 0.332 0.136 26.7% 0.375 OF $3,000 OF $3,700
2 Brandon Belt LEFT 0.366 0.185 38.2% 0.400 1B $3,000 1B $3,800
3 Buster Posey RIGHT 0.324 0.136 35.7% 0.340 C $3,300 C $3,600
4 Hunter Pence RIGHT 0.349 0.131 28.2% 0.336 OF $2,800 OF $3,500
5 Brandon Crawford LEFT 0.333 0.186 33.9% 0.376 SS $2,600 SS $3,900
6 Angel Pagan SWITCH 0.324 0.126 24.5% 0.230 OF $2,900 OF $3,400
7 Joe Panik LEFT 0.316 0.171 27.0% 0.205 2B $3,000 2B $3,700
8 Conor Gillaspie LEFT 0.306 0.177 33.6% 0.377 3B $2,500 3B $2,700
9 Matt Moore LEFT 0.038 0.000 31.3% 0.000 P $8,000 P $7,400
Team Averages — 0.299 0.139 31.0% 0.293 — — — —

Elite Plays – Brandon Belt

Secondary Plays – Buster Posey , Brandon Crawford

Stackability – Red

Miami at Washington – 3:05 PM ET

Miami Washington
Article Image Tom Koehler Article Image Max Scherzer
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
WAS -250 7.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.331 12 29.7% 20.8% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.313 16 30.3% 25.8%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.325 10 26.7% 16.9% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.205 13 28.5% 37.6%

Pitcher Grind Down

Tom Koehler
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,700 Salary: $5,600
FPPG: 25.7 FPPG: 12.5
Pitcher Rating: 47.6 Pitcher Rank: 22
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 92.3 4.85 5.65 21.8% 12.8% 10.1% 38.4% 37.2% 34.5%
2016 32 94.1 4.80 4.15 19.0% 10.3% 9.7% 42.1% 34.6% 28.3%
2015 31 96.0 4.67 4.08 17.1% 9.6% 7.3% 46.0% 35.6% 34.5%

Tom Koehler: It has been a rough finish to the season for Koehler, who is matched up against a tough Nationals squad, and it is even tougher when Scherzer is on the hill for them. I have no interest at all in Koehler on this slate, as the risk is just too high with little reward to be had, even on a good outing.

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.69 — K%: 19.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.311
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.49 — K%: 16.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.338

Max Scherzer
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $11,400 Salary: $13,200
FPPG: 46.0 FPPG: 26.2
Pitcher Rating: 99.4 Pitcher Rank: 1
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 105.3 3.24 2.40 29.9% 6.0% 15.8% 28.8% 48.1% 30.5%
2016 33 105.1 3.04 2.82 31.6% 6.2% 15.3% 33.0% 48.5% 29.5%
2015 33 101.8 2.63 2.79 30.7% 3.8% 15.3% 35.8% 45.4% 28.1%

Max Scherzer: He is going for win number 20 today, and you have to like his chances against a hurting Marlins squad. Virtually all of the numbers are elite, and there is a ton of red in that projected lineup. Scherzer is my number one pitcher on the board. If you can afford to squeeze him in today, then you need to do it.

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 2.87 — K%: 30.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.254
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 2.76 — K%: 31.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.264

Batter Grind Down

Miami

Marlins: It has been a week since we lost Jose Fernandez and just the thought as a fan is still crushing to think about, let alone these players who were close friends with Fernandez. As much as I would love to think they go out with big game today, it just does not seem realistic.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Dee Gordon LEFT 0.289 0.077 18.0% 0.349 2B $3,100 2B $3,500
2 Derek Dietrich LEFT 0.375 0.161 30.0% 0.690 1B $2,700 2B $2,600
3 Martin Prado RIGHT 0.303 0.104 26.4% 0.322 3B $3,000 3B $2,500
4 Christian Yelich LEFT 0.380 0.211 41.6% 0.232 OF $3,200 OF $3,500
5 Marcell Ozuna RIGHT 0.314 0.155 33.6% 0.241 OF $2,900 OF $2,900
6 Justin Bour LEFT 0.352 0.234 37.0% 0.256 1B $3,000 1B $2,600
7 J.T. Realmuto RIGHT 0.350 0.123 30.9% 0.246 C $2,500 C $2,800
8 Adeiny Hechavarria RIGHT 0.261 0.072 30.8% 0.279 SS $2,200 SS $2,000
9 Tom Koehler RIGHT 0.073 0.000 0.0% 0.000 P $6,700 P $5,600
Team Averages — 0.300 0.126 27.6% 0.291 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Christian Yelich , Justin Bour

Stackability – Red

Washington

Nationals: Attacking Koehler with Washington bats seems like a good idea today. The front of the order is in play, but do not be surprised to see someone from the bottom come through with a decent performance, as well. We have to wait to see how the lineup shakes out, but this is a team I like a lot today.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Trea Turner RIGHT 0.407 0.257 33.5% 0.428 OF $3,800 2B/OF $5,500
2 Jayson Werth RIGHT 0.298 0.138 32.7% 0.329 OF $3,400 OF $3,200
3 Bryce Harper LEFT 0.353 0.192 34.8% 0.252 OF $3,700 OF $4,500
4 Anthony Rendon RIGHT 0.339 0.184 36.7% 0.278 3B $3,500 3B $3,900
5 Stephen Drew LEFT 0.372 0.270 41.2% 0.340 SS $2,500 2B/SS $3,300
6 Clint Robinson LEFT 0.276 0.119 30.8% 0.253 1B $2,000 1B $3,000
7 Danny Espinosa SWITCH 0.290 0.136 30.7% 0.209 SS $2,800 SS $2,500
8 Jose Lobaton SWITCH 0.323 0.125 28.1% 0.376 C $2,300 C $2,600
9 Max Scherzer RIGHT 0.178 0.018 24.4% 0.176 P $11,400 P $13,200
Team Averages — 0.315 0.160 32.5% 0.293 — — — —

Elite Plays – Trea Turner

Secondary Plays – Bryce Harper , Stephen Drew , Anthony Rendon

Stackability – Yellow

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About the Author

louiescards
Andrew Cook (louiescards)

Andrew “LouiesCards” Cook is a DFS veteran who has been playing since 2009. You will see him grinding MLB, NBA, and NFL with a main focus on DraftKings. Over the years he has held several roles at RotoGrinders helping write articles and features, both in-front and behind-the-scenes. Andrew was able to throw the first pitch out at a St. Louis Cardinals game, courtesy of DraftKings. You can follow Andrew on twitter @louiescards