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MLB Grind Down: Saturday, July 23rd

by Ryan138 Last Updated 2016-07-24 01:20:46

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code and FanDuel promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.

Stackability Rating System:

GREEN – One of the top stacks of the day, viable in cash games and GPPs
YELLOW – A viable stack option in most formats, specifically GPPs
ORANGE – There are better stacks out there, but playable in large GPPs
RED – Not a recommended stack for cash games or GPPs

Seattle at Toronto – 1:07 PM ET

Seattle Toronto
Article Image Hisashi Iwakuma Article Image R.A. Dickey
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
TOR -140 9.5
Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB% Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB%
SP vs. Left 0.322 15 19.3% 4.3% SP vs. Left 0.312 22 13.7% 8.8%
SP vs. Right 0.296 21 20.2% 5.3% SP vs. Right 0.322 26 16.5% 6.3%

Pitcher Grind Down

Hisashi Iwakuma
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,300 Salary: $8,600
FPPG: 31.3 FPPG: 15.3
Pitcher Rating: 54.1 Pitcher Rank: 20
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 5 91.0 4.44 3.48 18.5% 6.2% 5.7% 40.6% 42.7% 37.8%
2016 19 92.7 4.41 4.01 18.0% 5.5% 8.1% 39.4% 39.9% 32.4%
2015 20 93.4 3.36 3.54 21.5% 4.1% 10.6% 50.4% 31.1% 26.9%

Iwakuma comes into this game off of two very solid efforts where he allowed just one earned run in 13.2 innings while posting 14 strikeouts. This has brought his ERA down to 4.07 (4.41 SIERA). The problem today in using Iwakuma is the matchup against a tough Blue Jays offense in Rogers Centre along with his low 18% strikeout rate on the year. He is a very risky play today on a short early slate against a Blue Jays offense ranked seventh in wOBA and fifth in ISO against righties.

R.A. Dickey
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,400 Salary: $8,400
FPPG: 26.0 FPPG: 12.8
Pitcher Rating: 49.0 Pitcher Rank: 23
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 5 93.2 4.30 4.18 21.2% 7.6% 11.8% 35.1% 42.6% 35.1%
2016 20 97.1 4.78 4.11 17.0% 8.4% 9.7% 43.9% 35.3% 31.2%
2015 33 98.9 4.76 3.91 14.3% 6.9% 9.1% 41.9% 37.2% 23.9%

Dickey is simply not someone we need to target actively in any DFS format. He has a 4.77 SIERA on the year to go along with a low 17% strikeout rate. The matchup against the Mariners is very tough, as they are ranked fifth in wOBA and seventh in ISO against righties. The upside is simply not there for Dickey as this game is projected to be the highest scoring game of the day slate.

Batter Grind Down

Seattle

This game looks like the one to target in the early slate for cash games, as both of these pitchers are projected to give up a number of runs. The Mariners have the second- highest projected run total of the early slate at 4.52 runs. Dickey is attackable from both sides of the plate, as he has allowed a .322 wOBA to righties and a .354 wOBA to lefties. While everyone will attack the Toronto bats, loading up on the Mariners is not a bad option either.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Norichika Aoki LEFT 0.319 0.105 0.314 OF $2,200 OF $3,400
2 Seth Smith LEFT 0.352 0.195 0.315 OF $2,500 OF $3,900
3 Robinson Cano LEFT 0.375 0.216 0.295 2B $3,500 2B $5,000
4 Nelson Cruz RIGHT 0.364 0.224 0.395 OF $3,600 OF $3,800
5 Kyle Seager LEFT 0.360 0.210 0.349 3B $3,500 3B $4,400
6 Adam Lind LEFT 0.349 0.216 0.329 1B $3,400 1B $3,000
7 Leonys Martin LEFT 0.294 0.144 0.395 OF $3,100 OF $3,800
8 Chris Iannetta RIGHT 0.253 0.130 0.115 C $2,500 C $2,000
9 Shawn O’Malley SWITCH 0.324 0.113 0.350 OF $2,100 2B/SS $2,500
Team Averages — 0.332 0.173 0.317 — — — —

Elite Plays – Robinson Cano, Seth Smith, Nelson Cruz

Secondary Plays – Norichika Aoki (Elite on FD), Kyle Seager

Stackability – YELLOW

Toronto

The Blue Jays feature the fifth-highest projected total of the day and the highest of the three-game early slate. The Blue Jays get a solid matchup against Iwakuma, who has allowed a 314+ wOBA from both sides of the plate this year. If you are playing the early slate, they are a great offense to target.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Ezequiel Carrera LEFT 0.297 0.101 0.261 OF $3,300 OF $3,000
2 Josh Donaldson RIGHT 0.399 0.270 0.435 3B $4,500 3B $5,200
3 Edwin Encarnacion RIGHT 0.389 0.285 0.425 1B $3,900 1B $4,300
4 Michael Saunders LEFT 0.349 0.196 0.210 OF $3,800 OF $3,700
5 Troy Tulowitzki RIGHT 0.324 0.177 0.287 SS $3,200 SS $3,700
6 Justin Smoak SWITCH 0.334 0.227 0.454 1B $2,600 1B $3,600
7 Kevin Pillar RIGHT 0.303 0.130 0.289 OF $2,700 OF $2,800
8 Devon Travis RIGHT 0.366 0.190 0.413 2B $3,200 2B $3,500
9 Josh Thole LEFT 0.208 0.022 0.652 C $2,400 C $2,100
Team Averages — 0.330 0.178 0.381 — — — —

Elite Plays – Josh Donaldson, Edwin Encarnacion, Michael Saunders

Secondary Plays – Ezequiel Carrera, Troy Tulowitzki, Kevin Pillar

Stackability – GREEN

Philadelphia at Pittsburgh – 4:05 PM ET

Philadelphia Pittsburgh
Article Image Aaron Nola Article Image Tyler Glasnow
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
PIT -165 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB% Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB%
SP vs. Left 0.321 10 18.5% 7.3% SP vs. Left 0.276 0 0.0% 14.3%
SP vs. Right 0.284 11 27.8% 4.5% SP vs. Right 0.329 1 35.7% 7.1%

Pitcher Grind Down

Aaron Nola
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,700 Salary: $8,100
FPPG: 30.5 FPPG: 16.3
Pitcher Rating: 71.5 Pitcher Rank: 9
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 3 80.0 2.92 6.28 25.0% 3.1% 10.8% 55.0% 20.0% 27.9%
2016 18 90.1 3.17 4.41 25.5% 5.5% 9.6% 55.1% 23.9% 26.0%
2015 13 85.9 3.66 3.59 21.4% 6.0% 8.6% 47.6% 32.4% 28.8%

Nola broke a month-long string of terrible starts in his last outing, returning from the break to throw six innings of scoreless ball. He will look to continue that momentum today against a Pirates team that is ranked as an average offense against right-handed pitching. Even with his bad stretch, Nola sports a solid 3.11 SIERA and an above-average strikeout rate of 25.5%. Assuming the break was good for him, Nola should be looked at as one of the top pitching options of the three-game day slate.

Tyler Glasnow
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $4,600 Salary: $7,800
FPPG: 19.0 FPPG: 11.0
Pitcher Rating: 74.6 Pitcher Rank: 7
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 1 87.0 4.13 6.75 23.8% 9.5% 8.1% 46.2% 38.5% 35.7%
2016 1 87.0 4.12 6.75 23.8% 9.5% 8.1% 46.2% 38.5% 35.7%

Glasnow made his first career start prior to the break and had to face a tough Cardinals offense, which partially explains the four earned runs allowed. But he has a solid future ahead of him and has solid upside, as he is projected to be a strikeout-per-inning starter in the majors and now gets a much better second matchup against the Phillies, who rank in the bottom of the league in wOBA against righties and runs per game. He is a heavy favorite and, although not the safest play, looks like the top option on the day slate, especially at FanDuel, where he is basically free.

Batter Grind Down

Philadelphia

While the other two games look to be the ones to target the offenses, this one does not appear to be the same on paper. Glasnow wasn’t elite in his first start, but he is a top prospect for the Pirates and now gets the Phillies, who have the lowest projected team total of the early slate. Like the Pirates’ breakdown, the Phillies should only be used if you want to go fully contrarian in the early slate.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Odubel Herrera LEFT 0.349 0.143 0.148 OF $3,700 OF $3,900
2 Peter Bourjos RIGHT 0.285 0.151 0.202 OF $3,100 OF $2,900
3 Andres Blanco SWITCH 0.339 0.197 0.163 SS $2,100 2B/SS $3,000
4 Tommy Joseph RIGHT 0.303 0.254 0.620 1B $2,500 1B $3,500
5 Cameron Rupp RIGHT 0.290 0.145 0.304 C $2,600 C $2,900
6 Cody Asche LEFT 0.307 0.171 0.249 OF $3,000 OF $2,900
7 Freddy Galvis SWITCH 0.291 0.127 0.312 SS $2,400 SS $3,400
8 Cesar Hernandez SWITCH 0.295 0.086 0.250 2B $2,500 2B $2,900
9 Aaron Nola RIGHT 0.102 0.024 0.000 P $7,700 P $8,100
Team Averages — 0.285 0.144 0.250 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Odubel Herrera

Stackability – RED

Pittsburgh

Even with the rough five-game stretch Nola had, he has still kept batters at bay for the majority of the year, holding them below a .298 wOBA from both sides of the plate. The Pirates have an average total today and should only be used on the day slate if you want to go contrarian.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 John Jaso LEFT 0.339 0.144 0.190 1B $2,900 1B $2,800
2 Gregory Polanco LEFT 0.341 0.163 0.236 OF $3,500 OF $5,100
3 Andrew McCutchen RIGHT 0.354 0.186 0.355 OF $3,400 OF $3,700
4 Starling Marte RIGHT 0.353 0.155 0.349 OF $3,400 OF $5,300
5 David Freese RIGHT 0.332 0.150 0.283 1B $2,800 1B/3B $3,300
6 Josh Harrison RIGHT 0.292 0.103 0.244 2B $2,700 2B $2,800
7 Francisco Cervelli RIGHT 0.321 0.080 0.241 C $2,700 C $2,900
8 Jordy Mercer RIGHT 0.279 0.080 0.400 SS $2,700 SS $2,800
9 Tyler Glasnow RIGHT 0.439 0.000 P $4,600 P $7,800
Team Averages — 0.339 0.118 0.287 — — — —

Elite Plays – Andrew McCutchen

Secondary Plays – Gregory Polanco, Starling Marte

Stackability – ORANGE

San Francisco at NY Yankees – 4:05 PM ET

​*Editor’s Note:*​ Johnny Cueto is starting in place of Jeff Samardzija on Saturday.

San Francisco NY Yankees
Article Image Jeff Samardzija Article Image Ivan Nova
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
NYY -132 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB% Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB%
SP vs. Left 0.355 29 17.1% 6.6% SP vs. Left 0.376 16 10.9% 7.1%
SP vs. Right 0.292 17 19.3% 4.8% SP vs. Right 0.316 13 21.1% 6.5%

Pitcher Grind Down

Jeff Samardzija
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,500 Salary: $7,200
FPPG: 31.2 FPPG: 15.9
Pitcher Rating: 46.7 Pitcher Rank: 24
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 5 92.2 5.02 7.16 15.2% 8.8% 7.8% 46.8% 36.2% 38.3%
2016 19 101.5 4.24 4.05 18.7% 6.2% 9.3% 47.1% 34.0% 31.7%
2015 32 104.3 4.18 4.96 17.9% 5.4% 9.8% 39.0% 39.8% 27.0%

Samardzija has really struggled over the last month, allowing at least four earned runs in four of his last five starts while giving up seven home runs during that span. His matchup against the Yankees is nothing scary, as they are in the bottom third of the league in wOBA against righties and runs per game. More importantly for Samardzija, though, is the fact that they are lefty heavy, which could bode badly for the Shark, who has struggled with lefty bats this year (.352 wOBA allowed). This makes using Samardzija a risky play for the day slate.

Ivan Nova
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,000 Salary: $6,600
FPPG: 20.8 FPPG: 9.8
Pitcher Rating: 55.5 Pitcher Rank: 19
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 4 87.5 3.81 4.15 23.1% 7.7% 9.4% 54.1% 31.1% 38.7%
2016 13 100.5 3.94 4.92 17.5% 5.4% 8.8% 55.2% 27.6% 34.2%
2015 17 89.9 4.58 5.07 15.3% 8.0% 7.8% 49.0% 31.7% 32.3%

Nova has had a disappointing year so far, as he has allowed a 4.92 ERA on the season, but his 3.94 second-half SIERA shows that he’s making improvements. His matchup today against the Giants is not terrible, as they are ranked 11th in wOBA and 27th in ISO against righties. His low season strikeout rate makes me like the two pitchers in the previous game better for the day slate.

Batter Grind Down

San Francisco

This is another game where both of the offenses look like they are in play in all formats. Nova has allowed a wOBA of .331+ from both sides of the plate, putting all the top bats in play today for the Giants even though they have the second-lowest overall total of the day slate.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Denard Span LEFT 0.349 0.120 0.270 OF $3,100 OF $4,200
2 Angel Pagan SWITCH 0.284 0.096 0.339 OF $2,900 OF $4,100
3 Brandon Belt LEFT 0.364 0.193 0.238 1B $3,800 1B $3,500
4 Buster Posey RIGHT 0.351 0.150 0.322 C $3,400 C $3,900
5 Brandon Crawford LEFT 0.337 0.204 0.386 SS $3,000 SS $4,600
6 Conor Gillaspie LEFT 0.281 0.145 0.207 3B $2,500 3B $3,200
7 Gregor Blanco LEFT 0.324 0.118 0.383 OF $2,400 OF $3,200
8 Ramiro Pena SWITCH 0.415 0.204 0.336 2B $2,200 2B/3B $2,600
9 Trevor Brown RIGHT 0.318 0.147 0.754 C $2,400 C $2,800
Team Averages — 0.336 0.153 0.359 — — — —

Elite Plays – Buster Posey, Denard Span

Secondary Plays – Angel Pagan, Brandon Belt

Stackability – ORANGE

NY Yankees

The Yankees have the third-highest total of the day slate, as they face off against the Shark today. It will be interesting to see which Samardzija shows up today – the one we saw early in the season, or the one who has seen his ERA rise two runs over the last month and a half. Samardzija is much more attackable from the left-side of the plate, as he has allowed a .352 wOBA to left-handed bats this year (.276 wOBA to righties).

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Brett Gardner LEFT 0.328 0.140 0.348 OF $3,400 OF $4,900
2 Jacoby Ellsbury LEFT 0.309 0.103 0.238 OF $3,000 OF $3,800
3 Carlos Beltran SWITCH 0.355 0.209 0.362 OF $3,000 OF $3,400
4 Brian McCann LEFT 0.330 0.208 0.337 C $2,800 C $3,500
5 Mark Teixeira SWITCH 0.349 0.277 0.224 1B $3,000 1B $3,000
6 Alex Rodriguez RIGHT 0.322 0.199 0.264 3B $2,600 1B/3B $2,600
7 Didi Gregorius LEFT 0.316 0.147 0.375 SS $2,500 SS $3,500
8 Starlin Castro RIGHT 0.292 0.131 0.317 2B $2,600 2B $3,100
9 Chase Headley SWITCH 0.309 0.123 0.323 3B $2,700 3B $3,400
Team Averages — 0.323 0.171 0.310 — — — —

Elite Plays – Jacoby Ellsbury, Carlos Beltran, Brian McCann

Secondary Plays – Brett Gardner, Mark Teixeira

Stackability – YELLOW

Cleveland at Baltimore – 7:05 PM ET

Cleveland Baltimore
Article Image Josh Tomlin Article Image Kevin Gausman
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
BAL -137 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB% Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB%
SP vs. Left 0.254 15 17.6% 2.3% SP vs. Left 0.278 9 25.4% 5.9%
SP vs. Right 0.334 20 19.4% 3.3% SP vs. Right 0.364 24 18.8% 5.4%

Pitcher Grind Down

Josh Tomlin
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,400 Salary: $8,000
FPPG: 31.7 FPPG: 16.1
Pitcher Rating: 51.4 Pitcher Rank: 21
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 4 98.5 4.36 3.42 17.1% 4.5% 5.6% 40.0% 35.3% 23.3%
2016 17 92.9 4.30 3.34 16.3% 2.7% 6.5% 41.1% 37.4% 33.0%
2015 10 94.9 3.46 3.02 22.7% 3.2% 9.4% 37.5% 46.2% 33.2%

Tomlin sports a 4.29 SIERA on the year to go along with his low 16.3% strikeout rate. The low strikeout rate along with the matchup against the Orioles makes him an easy avoid tonight on the big slate that features way to many studs to go with such a low-upside play against a team is ranked third in both wOBA and ISO against righties.

Kevin Gausman
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,200 Salary: $6,500
FPPG: 26.9 FPPG: 14.5
Pitcher Rating: 72.9 Pitcher Rank: 8
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 4 106.3 3.14 3.20 25.2% 1.9% 11.8% 44.0% 36.0% 37.3%
2016 16 101.9 3.78 4.05 22.1% 5.0% 10.9% 43.6% 35.1% 31.0%
2015 17 110.4 3.69 4.25 21.9% 6.2% 10.9% 44.4% 38.1% 27.4%

Gausman has been a decent pick at times this year, as his price has been too low in certain matchups. This is not one of those times. Even though he does have a solid 3.78 SIERA and a decent 22.1% strikeout rate, today’s matchup negates those numbers a bit, as the Indians have been solid against righties, ranking sixth in wOBA and second in ISO. There are better pitchers in better spots tonight, but he is still very cheap at Draftkings making him worth a look for tournaments.

Batter Grind Down

Cleveland

The Indians have an average projected run total of 4.28 today, as they are ranked 14th of the 30 teams playing today. The Indians are not a top offense to target, as Gausman has held lefties to a .273 while looking like a reverse splits pitcher the last two seasons.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Carlos Santana SWITCH 0.354 0.234 0.387 1B $3,200 1B $4,900
2 Jason Kipnis LEFT 0.386 0.198 0.552 2B $3,700 2B $5,400
3 Francisco Lindor SWITCH 0.349 0.163 0.400 SS $3,400 SS $4,900
4 Mike Napoli RIGHT 0.310 0.193 0.543 1B $2,900 1B $4,900
5 Jose Ramirez SWITCH 0.310 0.131 0.276 P $4,000 3B/OF $3,800
6 Tyler Naquin LEFT 0.436 0.321 0.513 OF $3,400 OF $4,500
7 Rajai Davis RIGHT 0.322 0.162 0.216 OF $3,600 OF $4,500
8 Abraham Almonte SWITCH 0.326 0.203 0.244 OF $2,100 OF $3,000
9 Roberto Perez RIGHT 0.308 0.163 0.173 C $2,800
Team Averages — 0.345 0.196 0.367 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Mike Napoli, Carlos Santana, Jason Kipnis

Stackability – ORANGE

Baltimore

Baltimore comes into this game with the eighth-highest projected run total of the day (4.72) as they get to face off against Tomlin. They fared well yesterday in a tougher matchup and now get Tomlin, who has struggled a bit against righties, allowing a wOBA of .325 on the season. Looking at the list, the top seven guys all hit righties very well and could be in play today.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Adam Jones RIGHT 0.339 0.206 0.284 OF $3,500 OF $3,900
2 Jonathan Schoop RIGHT 0.371 0.238 0.363 2B $3,000 2B $4,100
3 Manny Machado RIGHT 0.383 0.237 0.226 3B $4,000 3B/SS $3,600
4 Chris Davis LEFT 0.390 0.316 0.346 1B $3,500 1B $3,700
5 Mark Trumbo RIGHT 0.349 0.208 0.341 OF $3,300 OF $4,100
6 Matt Wieters SWITCH 0.325 0.166 0.073 C $3,000 C $3,400
7 Pedro Alvarez LEFT 0.342 0.244 0.339 3B $3,600 1B $3,300
8 J.J. Hardy RIGHT 0.270 0.114 0.396 SS $2,500 SS $2,900
9 Ryan Flaherty LEFT 0.284 0.148 0.151 3B $2,100 3B $2,800
Team Averages — 0.339 0.209 0.280 — — — —

Elite Plays – Adam Jones, Manny Machado, Mark Trumbo

Secondary Plays – Chris Davis, Jonathan Schoop

Stackability – YELLOW

San Diego at Washington – 7:05 PM ET

San Diego Washington
Article Image Edwin Jackson Article Image Max Scherzer
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
WAS -300 7.5
Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB% Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB%
SP vs. Left 0.269 2 16.9% 13.7% SP vs. Left 0.294 23 27.1% 7.3%
SP vs. Right 0.299 5 17.0% 8.5% SP vs. Right 0.227 25 36.1% 2.1%

Pitcher Grind Down

Edwin Jackson
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,700 Salary: $5,500
FPPG: 7.7 FPPG: 3.5
Pitcher Rating: 35.2 Pitcher Rank: 27
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 1 90.0 6.62 2.84 15.4% 19.2% 12.2% 56.3% 43.8% 29.4%
2016 1 282.0 5.87 4.76 15.1% 15.1% 9.9% 42.0% 50.0% 31.4%
2015 0 0.0 4.27 3.07 17.5% 9.2% 10.7% 41.1% 36.8% 24.1%

Jackson actually pitched well in his first start for San Diego, taking a no-hitter into the sixth inning. He ended up giving up two runs in 6.1 innings while striking out four. I wouldn’t put a whole lot of faith into that start as he has not had a SIERA under 4.00 in the last three seasons and has one of the lowest strikeout rates (15.1%) of any starter going tonight. He is an easy fade against the Nationals.

Max Scherzer
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $11,800 Salary: $13,100
FPPG: 45.3 FPPG: 26.0
Pitcher Rating: 97.6 Pitcher Rank: 2
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 5 111.8 3.04 1.89 32.3% 7.5% 15.0% 37.3% 42.7% 28.6%
2016 20 105.8 2.97 2.94 32.3% 6.6% 14.9% 35.0% 46.3% 27.0%
2015 33 101.8 2.63 2.79 30.7% 3.8% 15.3% 35.8% 45.4% 28.1%

Wow, there a lot of good pitching options going tonight. You can count at least five clear cut aces, which means there are going to have to be some tough choices when taking your starter. Scherzer is in an unbelievably good spot tonight, as he gets to take his 2.96 SIERA and elite 32.3% strikeout rate into his home field against a Padres offense that is ranked 29th in team wOBA and strike out at a very high 24.6% rate. He is in a top spot, and due to the fact that Fernandez and DeGrom are facing each other tonight (making the win tough to predict in that game), Scherzer gets the top spot for me.

Batter Grind Down

San Diego

Scherzer and the Nationals are -310 favorites at this point, and the Padres have one of the lower projected team totals you will see (2.60 runs). Avoid the bats unless you like to give away your money.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Travis Jankowski LEFT 0.314 0.108 0.307 OF $2,400 OF $2,900
2 Wil Myers RIGHT 0.336 0.208 0.246 1B $3,300 1B $3,900
3 Matt Kemp RIGHT 0.303 0.170 0.300 OF $2,800 OF $3,100
4 Yangervis Solarte SWITCH 0.343 0.183 0.362 3B $2,500 2B/3B $3,300
5 Melvin Upton RIGHT 0.305 0.158 0.371 OF $2,700 OF $3,400
6 Ryan Schimpf LEFT 0.401 0.382 0.478 3B $2,200 2B $2,800
7 Derek Norris RIGHT 0.284 0.163 0.190 C $2,400 C $2,000
8 Alexei Ramirez RIGHT 0.263 0.102 0.357 SS $2,700 SS $2,000
9 Edwin Jackson RIGHT 0.585 0.000 0.585 P $5,700 P $5,500
Team Averages — 0.348 0.164 0.355 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – None

Stackability – RED

Washington

I have a hard time thinking that Jackson will be able to take a no-hitter into the second inning, let alone the sixth again. The Nationals are monster favorites today and have a projected team total of 4.90 runs, which is the seventh highest of the day. Jackson has allowed a career wOBA of .331+ from both sides of the plate, putting the two big lefties as elite play, while the rest of the plays are secondary.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Ben Revere LEFT 0.300 0.079 0.206 OF $2,900 OF $3,600
2 Jayson Werth RIGHT 0.288 0.127 0.323 OF $3,400 OF $3,100
3 Daniel Murphy LEFT 0.377 0.222 0.571 2B $3,900 2B $5,300
4 Bryce Harper LEFT 0.441 0.309 0.259 OF $4,400 OF $5,000
5 Wilson Ramos RIGHT 0.316 0.151 0.292 C $3,300 C $3,900
6 Anthony Rendon RIGHT 0.313 0.138 0.247 3B $3,100 3B $3,700
7 Trea Turner RIGHT 0.282 0.174 0.237 SS $2,800 2B/SS $3,500
8 Danny Espinosa SWITCH 0.308 0.175 0.209 SS $3,000 SS $3,000
9 Max Scherzer RIGHT 0.182 0.013 0.138 P $11,800 P $13,100
Team Averages — 0.312 0.154 0.276 — — — —

Elite Plays – Bryce Harper, Daniel Murphy

Secondary Plays – Ben Revere, Jayson Werth

Stackability – YELLOW

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About the Author

Ryan138
Ryan138

Ryan (Ryan138) is from Chicago and has been playing fantasy sports for over 10 years. He has been playing daily fantasy sports for over 2 years since he was introduced to Daily Joust in late 2010. In the last year, Ryan has risen into the Top 100 of the RotoGrinders leaderboards by playing at DraftDay, DraftKings and FanDuel in all the major sports.