MLB Grind Down: Wednesday, August 10th

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2016-08-11 02:56:18

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code and FanDuel promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.

Stackability Rating System:

GREEN – One of the top stacks of the day, viable in cash games and GPPs
YELLOW – A viable stack option in most formats, specifically GPPs
ORANGE – There are better stacks out there, but playable in large GPPs
RED – Not a recommended stack for cash games or GPPs

San Francisco at Miami – 12:10 PM ET

San Francisco					Miami
			Jeff Samardzija					David Phelps
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			MIA -113					7.5
Stats	wOBA	HR All.	HH%	K%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	HH%	K%
SP vs. Left	0.355	31	30.9%	16.5%	SP vs. Left	0.320	8	32.2%	18.7%
SP vs. Right	0.297	19	26.7%	19.3%	SP vs. Right	0.283	7	31.8%	22.7%

Pitcher Grind Down

Jeff Samardzija
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$7,800	Salary:		$5,600
					FPPG:		26.5	FPPG:		13.4
					Pitcher Rating:		45.0	Pitcher Rank:		22
Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
L30 Days	4	99.0	5.43	6.85	13.5%	8.7%	7.1%	36.7%	45.6%	33.3%
2016	22	101.0	4.35	4.40	17.9%	6.2%	9.0%	45.6%	35.3%	31.6%
2015	32	104.3	4.18	4.96	17.9%	5.4%	9.8%	39.0%	39.8%	27.0%

Samardzija got off to a quick start this season, but has been unraveling ever since. Over the last month of play, he has a 5.43 SIERA (6.85 ERA) with a strikeout rate of only 13.5% and a walk rate of 8.5%. His velocity has been fine this season, but his swinging strike rate is at its lowest point since 2010. He draws a fairly difficult matchup against the Marlins, who are ranked tenth in team wOBA and fifth in team K% against right-handed pitching this season. Until Samardzija can flash some form, he should continue to be avoided in all league formats.

David Phelps
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$5,500	Salary:		$5,500
					FPPG:		8.0	FPPG:		4.4
					Pitcher Rating:		58.7	Pitcher Rank:		17
Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
L30 Days	1	70.0	3.94	1.98	30.5%	15.3%	8.1%	40.6%	34.4%	40.6%
2016	1	70.0	3.04	2.45	30.9%	9.8%	9.5%	42.6%	36.8%	25.9%
2015	19	97.8	4.49	4.50	16.0%	6.9%	4.5%	41.8%	35.2%	34.2%

Phelps doesn’t have the best track record as a starter, but he looked sharp in his first start of the season. He struck out four batters in four scoreless innings against the Rockies in Coors Field. He only threw 70 pitches though, and will be on a pitch count again today. The Marlins may look to extend him in this start, but don’t expect much more than 75 pitches, which obviously limits his upside. The good news is that he is only $5,500 on both FanDuel and DraftKings, so five innings is more than enough to reach and exceed value if you like his matchup against Giants. I typically don’t love picking on the Giants, as they have the second lowest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season.

Batter Grind Down

San Francisco

The Giants’ offense should have a nice finish to the season. They are finally healthy and the addition of Eduardo Nunez only solidifies the bottom of their lineup. They draw a mediocre matchup today against David Phelps, who has been great out of the bullpen, but mediocre as a starter in his career. Of the six teams playing in the early slate, the Giants have the second lowest run projection. The left-handed bats of Brandon Belt and Brandon Crawford are my favorite plays here, but they are secondary options at their respective positions.

• Giants Offense (2016)
  Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.315 (16 of 30)
  Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.137 (27 of 30)
  Team K% vs. RHP — 17.3% (2 of 30)
  Pitches Per PA vs. RHP — 3.87 (16 of 30)
  Runs Per Game — 4.46 (16 of 30)
  Projected Run Total — 3.67 (26 of 30)
  h3. Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Denard Span, Brandon Belt, Buster Posey, Brandon Crawford

Stackability – ORANGE

Miami

The Marlins have been a nice surprise this season. If the playoffs started today, they would find themselves as a Wildcard. Their offense is in a good spot today against Jeff Samardzija, whose form has been in question for the better part of two months. Samardzija has really struggled with hitters from the left side of the plate, allowing a .355 wOBA and a 30.9% hard hit contact rate in the last two seasons. Dee Gordon does lose some fantasy appeal if Buster Posey draws the start behind the plate. He has the second highest caught stealing rate (46.8%) for a catcher this season.

• Marlins Offense (2016)
  Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.319 (12 of 30)
  Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.137 (27 of 30)
  Team K% vs. RHP — 18.8% (5 of 30)
  Pitches Per PA vs. RHP — 3.82 (25 of 30)
  Runs Per Game — 4.31 (21 of 30)
  Projected Run Total — 3.83 (23 of 30)

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Christian Yelich

Secondary Plays – Dee Gordon, Martin Prado, J.T. Realmuto, Derek Dietrich

Stackability – ORANGE / YELLOW

Philadelphia at LA Dodgers – 3:10 PM ET

Philadelphia					LA Dodgers
			Jeremy Hellickson					Scott Kazmir
			RIGHT					LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			LAD -200					8.0
Stats	wOBA	HR All.	HH%	K%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	HH%	K%
SP vs. Left	0.339	17	31.5%	17.1%	SP vs. Left	0.302	11	22.8%	15.5%
SP vs. Right	0.310	25	29.9%	21.2%	SP vs. Right	0.308	29	26.0%	24.2%

Pitcher Grind Down

Jeremy Hellickson
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$7,300	Salary:		$7,900
					FPPG:		29.9	FPPG:		15.6
					Pitcher Rating:		47.1	Pitcher Rank:		21
Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
L30 Days	5	93.0	4.63	3.06	15.1%	3.2%	9.7%	31.7%	40.6%	20.4%
2016	23	92.9	4.11	3.72	19.9%	5.5%	11.1%	39.7%	35.2%	26.4%
2015	27	91.8	4.14	4.62	19.0%	6.8%	10.3%	42.4%	36.5%	34.3%

Hellickson has a 3.06 ERA in his last five starts, but his ERA estimators (SIERA & FIP) both suggest that some regression could be looming. Hellickson has managed to limit the hard hit contact against him this season (26.4%), but he comes into the game as the largest underdog in the early slate and the second largest underdog in the all-day slate. The Dodgers haven’t been great against right-handed pitching on the season, but they have come alive in this series. They are also a more formidable lineup with Josh Reddick batting clean-up against righties.

Scott Kazmir
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$9,000	Salary:		$7,600
					FPPG:		29.0	FPPG:		14.9
					Pitcher Rating:		77.8	Pitcher Rank:		5
Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
L30 Days	4	96.0	3.88	4.50	20.6%	4.1%	9.1%	39.7%	35.6%	26.0%
2016	22	95.5	3.93	4.51	24.2%	8.3%	10.0%	40.7%	36.9%	24.1%
2015	31	94.9	4.10	3.10	20.3%	7.7%	10.3%	42.9%	37.3%	25.7%

Kazmir is a tough pitcher to predict. His form seems to come and go with each and every start. He has allowed at least three earned runs in four of his last five outings, but comes into today’s game as one of the biggest favorites on the board. He is pitching at home and he gets to face a Phillies’ offense that is ranked 30th in team wOBA and 29th in team ISO against left-handed pitching this season. The upside is certainly there for Kazmir, but the Phillies have four above-average right-handed hitters in their lineup that he will have to deal with. He is my favorite pitcher in the early slate, but that says more about the other starters than it does about Kazmir.

Batter Grind Down

Philadelphia

The Phillies may not hit left-handed pitching well as a whole, but Aaron Altherr, Maikel Franco, Tommy Joseph, and Cameron Rupp are all capable right-handed hitters. The Phillies are no longer an auto-fade offensively. Even though they have the lowest implied team total in the entire slate, you can give these four hitters a look as one-offs in tournaments. Scott Kazmir has allowed 29 home runs to right-handed hitters in the last two seasons.

• Phillies Offense (2016)
  Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.282 (30 of 30)
  Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.108 (29 of 30)
  Team K% vs. LHP — 22.8% (22 of 30)
  Pitches Per PA vs. LHP — 3.72 (30 of 30)
  Runs Per Game — 3.70 (29 of 30)
  Projected Run Total — 3.42 (30 of 30)

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Aaron Altherr, Maikel Franco, Tommy Joseph, Cameron Rupp

Stackability – ORANGE

LA Dodgers

As I mentioned above, the Dodgers are a much better offense with Josh Reddick batting clean-up against right-handed pitching. They are currently ranked right around the major league average in most offensive categories, but I expect that to change down the stretch of the regular season. They draw an exploitable matchup against Jeremy Hellickson, who has allowed a .339 wOBA and a 31.5% hard hit contact rate to left-handed hitters in the last two seasons. That bodes well for this Dodgers’ lineup that could have seven of their eight position players hitting from that side of the plate.

• Dodgers Offense (2016)
  Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.319 (12 of 30)
  Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.165 (15 of 30)
  Team K% vs. RHP — 20.9% (15 of 30)
  Pitches Per PA vs. RHP — 3.82 (24 of 30)
  Runs Per Game — 4.40 (18 of 30)
  Projected Run Total — 4.58 (9 of 30)

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Corey Seager, Josh Reddick, Adrian Gonzalez

Secondary Plays – Chase Utley, Justin Turner, Yasmani Grandal

Stackability – YELLOW / GREEN

Cleveland at Washington – 4:05 PM ET

Cleveland					Washington
			Josh Tomlin					Gio Gonzalez
			RIGHT					LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			WAS -124					8.0
Stats	wOBA	HR All.	HH%	K%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	HH%	K%
SP vs. Left	0.258	16	34.3%	18.1%	SP vs. Left	0.277	2	28.6%	17.5%
SP vs. Right	0.343	23	32.7%	19.6%	SP vs. Right	0.320	20	31.8%	23.5%

Pitcher Grind Down

Josh Tomlin
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$8,300	Salary:		$7,200
					FPPG:		30.8	FPPG:		15.5
					Pitcher Rating:		59.7	Pitcher Rank:		16
Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
L30 Days	4	100.0	3.96	4.97	19.4%	4.6%	9.0%	44.4%	32.1%	34.6%
2016	20	93.7	4.17	3.81	17.2%	3.1%	7.2%	42.1%	36.5%	33.6%
2015	10	94.9	3.46	3.02	22.7%	3.2%	9.4%	37.5%	46.2%	33.2%

Tomlin is one of those pitchers that I have a hard time rostering. His numbers are down across the board this season. The two most alarming statistics are the low strikeout rate and the low swinging strike rate. He doesn’t induce a particularly high ground ball rate and he has allowed a hard hit contact rate of 33.6% this season. The Indians are only small underdogs today against the Nationals, but I see this one as a one-sided affair.

Gio Gonzalez
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$8,300	Salary:		$8,100
					FPPG:		30.0	FPPG:		15.4
					Pitcher Rating:		62.2	Pitcher Rank:		12
Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
L30 Days	5	100.6	4.87	2.03	17.4%	9.1%	7.6%	40.4%	40.4%	36.0%
2016	22	100.0	4.09	4.13	22.1%	8.3%	9.3%	45.6%	32.5%	34.2%
2015	31	95.1	3.77	3.79	22.3%	9.1%	9.8%	53.8%	26.6%	28.7%

Gonzalez is always a wildcard when he is pitching on the road, but is generally predictable when he is at home in the pitcher-friendly Nationals Park. Here is a quick glance at his home/road splits in 2016:

*Home: 3.44 xFIP / 26.2% strikeout rate / .299 wOBA allowed
*Road: 4.57 xFIP / 18.1% strikeout rate / .321 wOBA allowed

Gonzalez isn’t as big of a favorite as Kazmir and he doesn’t have as good of a matchup, but he is the clear number two option in the early slate. The Indians are a much better offense against right-handed pitching than they are against left-handed pitching and they won’t be able to utilize the DH.

Batter Grind Down

Cleveland

The Indians have a higher run projection than expected. Gio Gonzalez has been much better at home throughout his career and the Indians are a below-average offense against left-handed pitching. They are also playing on the road in a National League ballpark. Gonzalez has struggled a bit with right-handed hitters in the last two years (.320 wOBA allowed), but this ballpark negates some of that. I see the Indians as deep GPP plays in this matchup.

• Indians Offense (2016)
  Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.319 (19 of 30)
  Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.146 (24 of 30)
  Team K% vs. LHP — 21.0% (14 of 30)
  Pitches Per PA vs. LHP — 3.91 (8 of 30)
  Runs Per Game — 4.97 (4 of 30)
  Projected Run Total — 3.86 (22 of 30)

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Francisco Lindor, Mike Napoli

Stackability – ORANGE

Washington

The Nationals find themselves in a good spot today against Josh Tomlin. He doesn’t have overwhelming velocity, he doesn’t induce a high ground ball rate, and he allows a lot of hard contact to right-handed hitters. The interesting thing about this matchup is that Tomlin is an extreme reverse-splits pitcher. Over the course of the last two seasons, he has held lefties to a .258 wOBA while giving up a .343 wOBA to righties. Even though the splits may not be in their favor, Bryce Harper and Daniel Murphy are still strong plays in the early slate.

• Nationals Offense (2016)
  Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.317 (14 of 30)
  Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.166 (13 of 30)
  Team K% vs. RHP — 19.5% (7 of 30)
  Pitches Per PA vs. RHP — 3.88 (14 of 30)
  Runs Per Game — 4.67 (9 of 30)
  Projected Run Total — 4.14 (15 of 30)

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Trea Turner, Daniel Murphy, Wilson Ramos

Secondary Plays – Bryce Harper, Anthony Rendon

Stackability – YELLOW

San Diego at Pittsburgh – 7:05 PM ET

San Diego					Pittsburgh
			Edwin Jackson					Ryan Vogelsong
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			PIT -160					9.0
Stats	wOBA	HR All.	HH%	K%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	HH%	K%
SP vs. Left	0.283	2	26.5%	14.3%	SP vs. Left	0.384	15	34.1%	18.9%
SP vs. Right	0.312	6	27.0%	16.5%	SP vs. Right	0.294	5	29.5%	17.6%

Pitcher Grind Down

Edwin Jackson
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$6,700	Salary:		$5,200
					FPPG:		10.2	FPPG:		4.4
					Pitcher Rating:		30.6	Pitcher Rank:		29
Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
L30 Days	4	94.5	5.54	4.62	11.7%	9.0%	9.3%	41.2%	35.3%	29.6%
2016	4	94.5	5.52	5.00	12.7%	10.1%	9.1%	39.5%	40.3%	30.3%
2015	0	0.0	4.27	3.07	17.5%	9.2%	10.7%	41.1%	36.8%	24.1%

Jackson has struggled mightily this season, posting a 5.52 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 12.7% and a walk rate of 10.1%. It’s always a red flag when a pitcher walks nearly as many batter as he strikes out. The Pirates’ offense hasn’t been great this season, but Jackson is facing them in Pittsburgh in a game that features an over/under of 9.0 runs. There isn’t enough upside to justify the play – Jackson should be avoided in both cash games and tournaments.

Ryan Vogelsong
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$6,900	Salary:		$8,300
					FPPG:		10.1	FPPG:		5.2
					Pitcher Rating:		60.0	Pitcher Rank:		16
Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
L30 Days	1	83.0	2.65	1.50	27.3%	4.6%	8.4%	71.4%	28.6%	20.0%
2016	3	153.3	4.38	3.25	19.0%	9.5%	7.2%	45.7%	30.9%	34.2%
2015	22	105.0	4.54	4.67	18.1%	9.7%	6.3%	44.7%	36.1%	31.0%

Vogelsong pitched well in his first start back from injury. He struck out six batters in six innings of work against the Braves, allowing a single run in the process. He only threw 83 pitches in that start, but we could see him throw 85-90 tonight against the Padres. This is a boom or bust type of play. While the Padres’ offense has been better in the last couple of months, they are still ranked 29th in both team wOBA and team K% against right-handed pitching. Vogelsong offers good value on FanDuel, but I’m not sure that I will have any exposure to him with so many options on the mound tonight.

Batter Grind Down

San Diego

The Padres have a slightly above-average run projection tonight, as they square off against Ryan Vogelsong in the pitcher-friendly PNC Park. This is one of the easier matchups to break down, as Vogelsong splits by handedness clearly favor one side of the plate. In the last two seasons combined, he has allowed a .384 wOBA and a hard hit contact rate of 34.1% to left-handed hitters. Travis Jankowski, Alex Dickerson, and Ryan Schimpf are all nice contrarian options.

• Padres Offense (2016)
  Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.294 (29 of 30)
  Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.155 (20 of 30)
  Team K% vs. RHP — 24.4% (29 of 30)
  Pitches Per PA vs. RHP — 3.88 (13 of 30)
  Runs Per Game — 4.46 (15 of 30)
  Projected Run Total — 4.15 (14 of 30)

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Travis Jankowski, Alex Dickerson, Ryan Schimpf

Stackability – ORANGE

Pittsburgh

The Pirates are ranked below the major league average in team wOBA, team ISO, and team K% against right-handed pitching this season. That’s not exactly a ringing endorsement, but they do have the sixth highest run projection on the board. They draw a favorable matchup against Edwin Jackson, who has allowed a .344 wOBA to left-handed hitters and a .331 wOBA to right-handed hitters in his career. This is a good spot to target the leadoff hitter from the Pirates, whether it ends up being Josh Harrison or Adam Frazier.

• Pirates Offense (2016)
  Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.313 (18 of 30)
  Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.140 (25 of 30)
  Team K% vs. RHP — 21.0% (16 of 30)
  Pitches Per PA vs. RHP — 3.95 (4 of 30)
  Runs Per Game — 4.54 (14 of 30)
  Projected Run Total — 4.85 (6 of 30)

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Gregory Polanco

Secondary Plays – Josh Harrison, Starling Marte

Stackability – YELLOW

Tampa Bay at Toronto – 7:07 PM ET

Tampa Bay					Toronto
			Blake Snell					J.A. Happ
			LEFT					LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			TOR -200					9.0
Stats	wOBA	HR All.	HH%	K%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	HH%	K%
SP vs. Left	0.303	0	33.3%	25.4%	SP vs. Left	0.296	5	34.3%	23.2%
SP vs. Right	0.283	2	27.1%	23.0%	SP vs. Right	0.300	26	30.8%	20.5%

Pitcher Grind Down

Blake Snell
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$7,900	Salary:		$9,500
					FPPG:		31.5	FPPG:		16.6
					Pitcher Rating:		57.3	Pitcher Rank:		18
Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
L30 Days	4	98.3	3.50	1.93	31.2%	10.8%	13.2%	35.2%	35.2%	25.9%
2016	10	98.3	4.38	2.95	23.6%	11.4%	9.6%	40.4%	34.4%	28.6%

Snell is one of the Rays’ top pitching prospects. He is starting to show why they are so high on him. In his last four starts, he has a 3.50 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 31.2%. He doesn’t induce a ton of ground balls, but his fly balls haven’t been hit hard (28.6% on the season). The biggest issue with Snell is his matchup against the Blue Jays, whose lineup is littered with right-handed power hitters. As a large underdog on the road in a hitter’s park, there is more risk than potential reward for Snell tonight.

J.A. Happ
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$9,200	Salary:		$11,700
					FPPG:		36.4	FPPG:		18.7
					Pitcher Rating:		78.7	Pitcher Rank:		4
Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
L30 Days	4	94.3	3.46	1.82	30.1%	9.7%	10.6%	38.9%	33.3%	34.6%
2016	22	94.8	4.15	3.09	21.2%	7.4%	9.8%	41.8%	35.5%	32.1%
2015	31	91.6	3.82	3.61	21.1%	6.3%	8.1%	41.6%	34.1%	31.2%

Happ has been sharp in his last four starts, posting a 3.46 SIERA (1.82 ERA) with a strikeout rate of 30.1%. His price on DraftKings is a bit inflated, but he is sitting at a playable $9,200 on FanDuel. He draws a boom or bust type of matchup against the Rays, who have good power against southpaws, but also have one of the highest strikeouts rates in the majors. Happ looks to be a safe cash game play, as he is a huge favorite at home.

Batter Grind Down

Tampa Bay

The Rays may strikeout at a high rate, but they are ranked 12th in team wOBA and 11th in team ISO against left-handed pitching this season. They see a nice ballpark boost playing in the hitter-friendly Rogers Centre and their matchup against J.A. Happ isn’t as bad as the Vegas line suggests. Over the last two seasons, Happ has allowed 26 home runs and a hard hit contact rate of 30.8% to right-handed hitters.

• Rays Offense (2016)
  Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.326 (12 of 30)
  Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.170 (11 of 30)
  Team K% vs. LHP — 25.1% (30 of 30)
  Pitches Per PA vs. LHP — 3.76 (25 of 30)
  Runs Per Game — 4.05 (24 of 30)
  Projected Run Total — 3.92 (19 of 30)

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Logan Forsythe, Evan Longoria, Mikie Mahtook, Steven Souza

Stackability – ORANGE / YELLOW

Toronto

The Blue Jays’ lineup is filled with right-handed bats that can hit left-handed pitching. In fact, if you look at the projected lineup below, not a single player has an ISO under .180 against southpaws in the last two seasons combined. Blake Snell has shown some nice upside recently, but he may be outmatched tonight in the Rogers Centre. Drew Smyly was able to quiet the Blue Jays’ hitters last night, but Snell will have a tough time finding that same type of success.

• Blue Jays Offense (2016)
  Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.327 (11 of 30)
  Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.174 (7 of 30)
  Team K% vs. LHP — 19.9% (8 of 30)
  Pitches Per PA vs. LHP — 3.88 (13 of 30)
  Runs Per Game — 4.77 (6 of 30)
  Projected Run Total — 5.08 (3 of 30)

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Devon Travis, Josh Donaldson, Russell Martin

Secondary Plays – Jose Bautista, Edwin Encarnacion, Troy Tulowitzki

Stackability – YELLOW / GREEN

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