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MLB Grind Down: Thursday, September 1st

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2016-09-02 02:53:47

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code and FanDuel promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.

Stackability Rating System:

GREEN – One of the top stacks of the day, viable in cash games and GPPs
YELLOW – A viable stack option in most formats, specifically GPPs
ORANGE – There are better stacks out there, but playable in large GPPs
RED – Not a recommended stack for cash games or GPPs

San Diego at Atlanta – 12:10 PM ET

San Diego Atlanta
sandiegomlb Jarred Cosart atlantamlb Mike Foltynewicz
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
ATL -140 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.299 4 22.0% 17.5% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.376 17 31.1% 18.1%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.351 7 31.1% 13.8% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.334 16 30.0% 21.5%

Pitcher Grind Down

Jarred Cosart
jarred-cosart-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,300 Salary: $4,600
FPPG: 18.2 FPPG: 8.4
Pitcher Rating: 44.5 Pitcher Rank: 7
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 89.4 4.25 2.88 18.0% 10.8% 7.4% 65.3% 17.3% 25.6%
2016 9 94.2 4.88 4.23 15.3% 13.8% 6.5% 65.9% 13.0% 28.0%
2015 13 90.0 4.71 4.52 15.9% 11.2% 7.4% 55.5% 27.0% 26.1%

Home:—ERA: 2.49 — K%: 16.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.302
Away:—ERA: 6.62 — K%: 14.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.351

We only have four games on the schedule on Thursday, which should shape up to be a quiet day on the DFS front. Cosart has been in slightly better form recently, but he has had a down season overall. In nine starts, he has a 4.88 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 15.3% and a walk rate of 13.8%. He draws a favorable matchup against the Braves, but comes into the game as a sizable underdog on the road. I have him ranked as the second worst pitching option in the slate.

Mike Foltynewicz
michael-foltynewicz-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,000 Salary: $10,000
FPPG: 28.6 FPPG: 14.3
Pitcher Rating: 69.6 Pitcher Rank: 4
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 103.0 4.11 4.29 20.5% 7.3% 9.6% 48.1% 29.8% 29.0%
2016 18 98.0 4.17 4.30 20.5% 6.7% 9.8% 43.5% 35.0% 28.6%
2015 15 98.7 4.30 5.71 19.3% 7.3% 8.9% 33.3% 43.5% 32.5%

Home:—ERA: 4.75 — K%: 18.7% — wOBA Allowed: 0.330
Away:—ERA: 5.11 — K%: 21.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.374

Foltynewicz has been a mediocre pitcher this season, posting a 4.17 SIERA with a strikeout rate just above 20%. The Braves’ starters have had a ton of success in this series and there’s no reason to think that Foltynewicz can’t do the same. On the season, the Padres are ranked 30th in team wOBA and 22nd in team ISO against right-handed pitching. His price is a bit steep on DraftKings, but he is very playable at $7,000 on FanDuel.

Batter Grind Down

San Diego

The Padres have really struggled offensively. In the last month of play, they are ranked dead last in team wOBA. They draw a mediocre matchup against Mike Foltynewicz, but they have to face him in a pitcher-friendly ballpark. This would typically be a good spot to fade the Padres, but there are only four games in the slate, which leaves us with limited option. In the last two seasons, Foltynewicz has allowed a .376 wOBA and 17 home runs to left-handed hitters.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Travis Jankowski LEFT 0.325 0.105 23.3% 0.299 OF $3,100 OF $3,600
2 Wil Myers RIGHT 0.329 0.193 33.2% 0.163 1B $3,600 1B $3,600
3 Yangervis Solarte SWITCH 0.337 0.176 32.4% 0.205 3B $2,800 3B $3,000
4 Alex Dickerson LEFT 0.338 0.221 33.9% 0.262 OF $2,900 OF $3,100
5 Ryan Schimpf LEFT 0.414 0.386 40.5% 0.534 2B $3,000 2B $4,400
6 Oswaldo Arcia LEFT 0.299 0.171 30.8% 0.146 OF $2,500 OF $2,900
7 Derek Norris RIGHT 0.272 0.149 28.7% 0.150 C $2,200 C $2,100
8 Luis Sardinas SWITCH 0.201 0.008 16.8% 0.471 SS $2,200 SS $2,400
9 Jarred Cosart RIGHT 0.073 0.000 5.9% 0.000 P $6,300 P $4,600
Team Averages — 0.288 0.157 27.3% 0.248 — — — —

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Alex Dickerson, Ryan Schimpf, Oswaldo Arcia

Stackability – ORANGE

Atlanta

It typically takes a strange situation for the Braves to have one of the highest run projections in the slate. They draw a favorable matchup against Jarred Cosart, who has allowed a .351 wOBA to right-handed hitters in the last two seasons. Cosart has done a nice job of limiting hard contact against left-handed hitters though, so you may want to limit your exposure to the likes of Ender Inciarte, Freddie Freeman, and Nick Markakis.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Ender Inciarte LEFT 0.339 0.118 28.1% 0.439 OF $3,100 OF $4,800
2 Adonis Garcia RIGHT 0.299 0.162 30.5% 0.297 3B $2,600 3B $4,200
3 Freddie Freeman LEFT 0.392 0.260 40.7% 0.456 1B $3,800 1B $5,400
4 Matt Kemp RIGHT 0.309 0.181 39.0% 0.330 OF $3,200 OF $3,900
5 Nick Markakis LEFT 0.339 0.114 30.0% 0.314 OF $2,600 OF $4,200
6 Tyler Flowers RIGHT 0.301 0.137 35.0% 0.392 C $2,700 C $3,600
7 Jace Peterson LEFT 0.316 0.118 24.9% 0.377 2B $2,700 2B/OF $4,000
8 Dansby Swanson RIGHT 0.250 0.031 30.8% 0.259 SS $2,600 SS $2,600
9 Mike Foltynewicz RIGHT 0.108 0.038 20.8% 0.000 P $7,000 P $10,000
Team Averages — 0.295 0.129 31.1% 0.318 — — — —

Elite Plays – Adonis Garcia, Matt Kemp

Secondary Plays – Ender Inciarte, Freddie Freeman, Nick Markakis

Stackability – YELLOW / GREEN

Miami at NY Mets – 7:10 PM ET

Miami NY Mets
miamimlb Jose Urena nymetsmlb Jacob deGrom
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
NYM -195 7.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.366 8 31.4% 7.7% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.282 17 28.3% 25.1%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.321 3 31.9% 17.4% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.257 14 28.7% 26.4%

Pitcher Grind Down

Jose Urena
jose-urena-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,200 Salary: $4,200
FPPG: 8.6 FPPG: 3.8
Pitcher Rating: 29.6 Pitcher Rank: 8
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 4 97.5 4.87 6.55 18.4% 10.2% 6.9% 39.4% 31.8% 40.3%
2016 6 95.3 4.67 5.83 16.2% 8.7% 9.0% 47.4% 30.3% 33.9%
2015 9 90.8 5.29 5.25 10.2% 9.1% 8.0% 48.1% 31.8% 29.8%

Home:—ERA: 4.73 — K%: 12.1% — wOBA Allowed: 0.338
Away:—ERA: 6.35 — K%: 13.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.345

Urena hasn’t had a lot of success in the majors. In his last 15 starts, he has an ERA well over 5.00 with a strikeout rate close to 13%. He has given up a lot of hard contact this season and he comes into tonight’s game as a large underdog. The Mets have struggled against right-handed pitching this season, but their offense seems to be trending in the right direction. Urena is an easy fade in both cash games and tournaments.

Jacob deGrom
jacob-degrom-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $10,000 Salary: $9,000
FPPG: 30.1 FPPG: 16.6
Pitcher Rating: 91.4 Pitcher Rank: 1
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 97.0 3.83 4.45 21.9% 5.5% 11.8% 44.0% 31.9% 30.4%
2016 23 97.9 3.62 2.96 23.7% 5.5% 10.7% 45.8% 31.4% 31.2%
2015 30 99.2 2.99 2.54 27.3% 5.1% 12.7% 44.4% 34.7% 26.3%

Home:—ERA: 1.95 — K%: 29.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.235
Away:—ERA: 3.53 — K%: 22.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.305

DeGrom is having another stellar season, posting a 3.62 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 23.7% and a walk rate of 5.5%. He draws one of the best matchups on the board and he is easily the highest rated pitcher in the slate. Over the last month of play, the Marlins are ranked 28th in team wOBA. They also have the third lowest team ISO against right-handed pitching this season. DeGrom will be the chalk play tonight and for good reason.

Batter Grind Down

Miami

The Marlins have been awful in the last couple of weeks. They can’t seem to score any runs and they aren’t getting any help from their starting rotation. They come into tonight’s game with the lowest run projection in the entire slate. Even though there are only eight offenses to choose hitters from, I recommend looking elsewhere. DeGrom has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .285 wOBA in the last two seasons.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Dee Gordon LEFT 0.318 0.073 18.0% 0.195 2B $2,800 2B $3,700
2 Martin Prado RIGHT 0.308 0.098 25.0% 0.298 3B $2,900 3B $3,100
3 Christian Yelich LEFT 0.376 0.175 38.9% 0.328 OF $3,500 OF $4,300
4 Marcell Ozuna RIGHT 0.302 0.142 34.6% 0.221 OF $2,800 OF $2,900
5 J.T. Realmuto RIGHT 0.317 0.122 29.6% 0.317 C $3,000 C $4,000
6 Ichiro Suzuki LEFT 0.264 0.045 17.7% 0.280 OF $2,500 OF $3,100
7 Xavier Scruggs RIGHT 0.295 0.074 23.3% 0.417 1B $2,200 1B $2,400
8 Adeiny Hechavarria RIGHT 0.273 0.078 27.0% 0.259 SS $2,300 SS $2,300
9 Jose Urena RIGHT 0.052 0.000 0.0% 0.175 P $6,200 P $4,200
Team Averages — 0.278 0.090 23.8% 0.277 — — — —

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – RED

NY Mets

The Mets are ranked 24th in team wOBA against right-handed pitching, but their current lineup has a different makeup than the one that they have been trotting out for most of the season. They draw a favorable matchup tonight against Jose Urena, who has allowed a .366 wOBA to left-handed hitters and a .321 wOBA to right-handed hitters in the last two seasons.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jose Reyes SWITCH 0.297 0.105 20.5% 0.373 3B $3,300 3B/SS $4,400
2 Asdrubal Cabrera SWITCH 0.319 0.179 31.7% 0.524 SS $3,000 SS $4,700
3 Yoenis Cespedes RIGHT 0.379 0.263 36.6% 0.532 OF $3,900 OF $5,000
4 Jay Bruce LEFT 0.333 0.253 38.4% 0.217 OF $3,500 OF $4,200
5 Curtis Granderson LEFT 0.358 0.220 36.8% 0.242 OF $3,200 OF $4,200
6 Wilmer Flores RIGHT 0.274 0.108 26.2% 0.368 3B $2,600 1B/3B $4,200
7 James Loney LEFT 0.314 0.098 24.6% 0.175 1B $2,200 1B $2,800
8 Travis D’Arnaud RIGHT 0.317 0.158 29.4% 0.234 C $2,300 C $3,100
9 Jacob deGrom RIGHT 0.215 0.024 14.1% 0.175 P $10,000 P $9,000
Team Averages — 0.312 0.156 28.7% 0.316 — — — —

Elite Plays – Jose Reyes, Asdrubal Cabrera, Curtis Granderson

Secondary Plays – Yoenis Cespedes, Wilmer Flores, Jay Bruce

Stackability – YELLOW / GREEN

San Francisco at Chicago Cubs – 8:05 PM ET

San Francisco Chicago Cubs
sanfranciscomlb Jeff Samardzija cubsmlb Mike Montgomery
RIGHT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
CHC -160 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.348 31 30.6% 16.7% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.312 4 29.2% 22.3%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.294 20 27.3% 19.4% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.312 12 24.3% 17.9%

Pitcher Grind Down

Jeff Samardzija
jeff-samardzija-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,200 Salary: $8,100
FPPG: 28.0 FPPG: 14.4
Pitcher Rating: 48.1 Pitcher Rank: 6
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 98.0 4.55 3.26 18.0% 7.7% 8.2% 46.9% 35.4% 33.6%
2016 26 100.2 4.35 4.00 18.3% 6.5% 9.0% 46.5% 34.5% 31.6%
2015 32 104.3 4.18 4.96 17.9% 5.4% 9.8% 39.0% 39.8% 27.0%

Home:—ERA: 4.62 — K%: 19.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.335
Away:—ERA: 4.47 — K%: 16.5% — wOBA Allowed: 0.308

Samardzija gets to face his former team tonight in Chicago. He is having a mediocre season thus far, posting a 4.35 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 18.3%. He comes into the game as a large underdog and the Cubs have the highest run projection in the slate. Chicago is currently ranked fifth in team wOBA against right-handed pitching and second in team wOBA over the last month of play. There is more risk than potential reward here.

Mike Montgomery
mike-montgomery-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,800 Salary: $4,000
FPPG: 10.9 FPPG: 5.8
Pitcher Rating: 70.2 Pitcher Rank: 3
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 2 82.0 3.95 2.60 27.5% 13.8% 12.3% 51.2% 16.3% 25.0%
2016 4 78.8 3.48 2.60 22.7% 8.7% 11.0% 57.1% 20.3% 23.5%
2015 16 90.8 4.56 4.60 16.2% 9.4% 8.5% 51.2% 28.9% 27.3%

Home:—ERA: 3.33 — K%: 20.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.298
Away:—ERA: 3.98 — K%: 17.5% — wOBA Allowed: 0.326

Montgomery was one of my favorite value plays in yesterday’s slate, but the Cubs decided to flip his start with Jason Hammel. The main concern with Montgomery before his last start was a potential pitch count, but he threw 91 pitches in five innings against the Dodgers. His matchup against the Giants is a decent one, as they are ranked 19th in team wOBA and 25th in team ISO against left-handed pitching this season. Jacob deGrom is locked and loaded as the top SP1 in this slate, but Montgomery is a viable SP2 on multi-pitcher sites.

Batter Grind Down

San Francisco

The Giants have not fared well against left-handed pitching this season and they come into tonight’s game with the second lowest run projection in the slate. While they see a favorable ballpark shift playing in Wrigley Field, Montgomery has held both left and right-handed hitters to a .312 wOBA in the last two seasons.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Denard Span LEFT 0.265 0.069 20.9% 0.468 OF $2,800 OF $4,800
2 Angel Pagan SWITCH 0.316 0.088 27.0% 0.315 OF $3,200 OF $4,200
3 Buster Posey RIGHT 0.373 0.191 38.5% 0.392 C $3,500 C $5,300
4 Brandon Crawford LEFT 0.311 0.143 36.6% 0.411 SS $2,600 SS $4,100
5 Brandon Belt LEFT 0.365 0.200 35.3% 0.306 1B $3,200 1B $4,900
6 Hunter Pence RIGHT 0.319 0.214 33.0% 0.266 OF $3,200 OF $4,300
7 Joe Panik LEFT 0.309 0.095 24.4% 0.435 2B $2,800 2B $4,900
8 Eduardo Nunez RIGHT 0.308 0.193 30.1% 0.325 3B $3,200 3B/SS $4,700
9 Jeff Samardzija RIGHT 0.132 0.063 18.2% 0.207 P $8,200 P $8,100
Team Averages — 0.300 0.140 29.3% 0.347 — — — —

Elite Plays – Buster Posey

Secondary Plays – Angel Pagan, Brandon Belt, Hunter Pence

Stackability – ORANGE / YELLOW

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs have the highest implied team total in the slate tonight. Granted, they don’t have a lot of competition. They draw a favorable matchup against Jeff Samardzija, who has allowed a .348 wOBA to left-handed hitters in the last two seasons. During that stretch, Samardzija has also given up 51 home runs.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Dexter Fowler SWITCH 0.335 0.166 27.6% 0.336 OF $3,600 OF $4,600
2 Kris Bryant RIGHT 0.387 0.236 39.9% 0.581 3B $4,400 3B/OF $5,500
3 Anthony Rizzo LEFT 0.397 0.262 36.0% 0.314 1B $4,100 1B $5,100
4 Ben Zobrist SWITCH 0.341 0.168 31.3% 0.363 2B $3,200 2B/OF $4,300
5 Jason Heyward LEFT 0.324 0.137 29.4% 0.331 OF $2,900 OF $3,000
6 Addison Russell RIGHT 0.323 0.157 29.5% 0.329 SS $3,100 SS $4,100
7 Willson Contreras RIGHT 0.343 0.178 30.9% 0.365 C $2,900 C/OF $3,600
8 Javier Baez RIGHT 0.294 0.144 27.5% 0.301 SS $2,800 2B/3B $3,500
9 Mike Montgomery LEFT 0.000 0.000 40.0% 0.000 P $5,800 P $4,000
Team Averages — 0.305 0.161 32.5% 0.324 — — — —

Elite Plays – Dexter Fowler, Kris Bryant, Anthony Rizzo, Ben Zobrist

Secondary Plays – Jason Heyward, Addison Russell

Stackability – GREEN

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota – 8:10 PM ET

Chicago White Sox Minnesota
whitesoxmlb Jose Quintana minnesotamlb Ervin Santana
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
CWS -115 8.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.267 7 29.1% 22.0% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.308 12 29.6% 15.1%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.308 25 30.3% 20.9% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.299 15 27.4% 21.8%

Pitcher Grind Down

Jose Quintana
jose-quintana-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $9,700 Salary: $10,700
FPPG: 36.2 FPPG: 19.6
Pitcher Rating: 72.4 Pitcher Rank: 2
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 101.7 3.90 2.14 20.2% 4.2% 7.7% 45.6% 35.2% 29.9%
2016 26 103.5 3.96 2.77 21.9% 5.7% 7.9% 40.9% 39.3% 33.0%
2015 32 105.4 3.62 3.36 20.5% 5.1% 9.2% 47.1% 29.7% 27.7%

Home:—ERA: 3.19 — K%: 21.7% — wOBA Allowed: 0.284
Away:—ERA: 2.99 — K%: 20.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.312

Quintana is one of the best pitchers in baseball that people outside of DFS don’t really know about. In 26 starts this season, he has a 2.77 ERA (3.96 SIERA) with a strikeout rate of 21.9%. He has good command and historically, he has limited the hard contact against him. I’m not a huge fan of his matchup tonight against the Twins, who are ranked tenth in team wOBA and seventh in team ISO against left-handed pitching this season. It’s worth it to pay up for Jacob deGrom.

Ervin Santana
ervin-santana-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,700 Salary: $9,200
FPPG: 28.3 FPPG: 14.6
Pitcher Rating: 60.2 Pitcher Rank: 5
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 107.8 3.73 2.73 24.8% 7.5% 13.0% 44.9% 31.5% 28.1%
2016 24 98.0 4.37 3.54 18.8% 6.5% 9.6% 42.7% 36.0% 29.0%
2015 17 98.7 4.43 4.00 17.9% 7.9% 9.5% 40.9% 37.6% 28.1%

Home:—ERA: 4.04 — K%: 17.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.296
Away:—ERA: 3.46 — K%: 19.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.311

Santana comes into tonight’s game in solid form, posting a 3.73 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 24.8% in the last month of play. He draws a favorable matchup against the White Sox, who are ranked 24th in both team wOBA and team ISO against right-handed pitching this season. He may be a small underdog at home, but he makes an intriguing GPP play. We have seen this White Sox offense disappear on a number of occasions this season.

Batter Grind Down

Chicago White Sox

The White Sox come into tonight’s game with the fourth highest run projection in the slate. They draw a mediocre matchup against Ervin Santana, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .310 wOBA in the last two seasons. Santana isn’t nearly as favorable of a matchup as the common perception. I’d actually rather target the Twins’ offense.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Adam Eaton LEFT 0.355 0.168 29.7% 0.307 OF $3,400 OF $3,600
2 Tim Anderson RIGHT 0.302 0.150 32.9% 0.399 SS $3,100 SS $3,900
3 Melky Cabrera SWITCH 0.323 0.132 28.0% 0.308 OF $3,200 OF $3,200
4 Jose Abreu RIGHT 0.368 0.208 32.7% 0.435 1B $3,400 1B $4,400
5 Justin Morneau LEFT 0.340 0.175 35.9% 0.293 1B $2,700 1B $3,100
6 Todd Frazier RIGHT 0.325 0.215 34.3% 0.273 3B $3,300 3B $3,600
7 Avisail Garcia RIGHT 0.293 0.117 30.1% 0.389 OF $2,800 OF $3,000
8 Alex Avila LEFT 0.315 0.117 33.7% 0.534 C $2,400 C $2,900
9 Tyler Saladino RIGHT 0.275 0.123 20.7% 0.376 SS $2,900 2B/SS $3,400
Team Averages — 0.322 0.156 30.9% 0.368 — — — —

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Adam Eaton, Tim Anderson, Jose Abreu

Stackability – ORANGE / YELLOW

Minnesota

The Twins may have the third lowest run projection in the slate, but they are a top ten offense against left-handed pitching. Their lineup will likely consist of seven or eight right-handed hitters, which bodes well for their matchup against Jose Quintana. In the last two seasons, Quintana has allowed 25 home runs to batters from the right side of the plate.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Brian Dozier RIGHT 0.369 0.272 32.1% 0.388 2B $3,700 2B $5,200
2 Robbie Grossman SWITCH 0.380 0.176 30.0% 0.361 OF $3,000 OF $3,600
3 Trevor Plouffe RIGHT 0.339 0.193 34.4% 0.389 3B $3,000 1B/3B $3,500
4 Miguel Sano RIGHT 0.372 0.233 47.7% 0.192 OF $3,200 3B/OF $3,300
5 Max Kepler LEFT 0.274 0.130 35.3% 0.238 OF $2,900 OF $3,100
6 Jorge Polanco RIGHT 0.351 0.162 20.7% 0.298 3B $3,000 3B/SS $2,900
7 Eduardo Escobar SWITCH 0.324 0.191 28.9% 0.427 SS $2,500 SS $3,100
8 Kurt Suzuki RIGHT 0.304 0.120 25.5% 0.237 C $2,300 C $2,800
9 Eddie Rosario LEFT 0.310 0.147 28.2% 0.267 OF $2,900 OF $2,800
Team Averages — 0.336 0.180 31.4% 0.311 — — — —

Elite Plays – Brian Dozier

Secondary Plays – Robbie Grossman, Trevor Plouffe, Miguel Sano

Stackability – YELLOW

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious