MLB Grind Down: Sunday, June 19th

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code and FanDuel promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.

Atlanta at NY Mets – 1:10 PM ET

Atlanta NY Mets
atlantamlb Julio Teheran nymetsmlb Jacob deGrom
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
NYM -180 6.5
Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB% Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB%
SP vs. Left 0.368 26 15.6% 11.2% SP vs. Left 0.283 14 25.4% 5.1%
SP vs. Right 0.246 14 26.7% 5.2% SP vs. Right 0.233 7 27.4% 5.7%

Pitcher Grind Down

Julio Teheran
julio-teheran-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,500 Salary: $11,600
FPPG: 30.6 FPPG: 17.7
Pitcher Rating: 66.4 Pitcher Rank: 10
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 6 101.3 3.23 2.66 26.6% 4.6% 11.7% 41.6% 38.6% 32.7%
2016 14 101.2 3.78 2.93 23.8% 6.7% 10.0% 42.2% 40.5% 36.1%
2015 33 99.2 4.24 4.04 20.3% 8.7% 10.8% 39.5% 36.2% 31.4%

Julio Teheran: He has been so much better after a somewhat rough start to the season and we are not only seeing the strikeout upside, but the runs have been cut down quite a bit as well. The main issue here is that his price point is too high on DraftKings in my opinion and we have other options on FanDuel. He will likely end up low owned, and with his potential I do not hate him as a tournament play.

Jacob deGrom
jacob-degrom-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $10,400 Salary: $11,300
FPPG: 30.8 FPPG: 17.0
Pitcher Rating: 95.1 Pitcher Rank: 1
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 5 104.4 2.79 3.19 33.3% 7.1% 11.7% 43.7% 32.4% 27.0%
2016 11 97.3 3.59 2.82 23.8% 6.2% 11.2% 47.0% 31.1% 31.6%
2015 30 99.2 2.99 2.54 27.3% 5.1% 12.7% 44.4% 34.7% 26.3%

Jacob deGrom: I was a little worried about deGrom there for a while, but he has righted the ship lately with an increased strikeout rate and limiting the opposition to a lower hard hit rate. He has about as good a matchup as you can ask for, and while getting into the win column has been tough, I would be a bit surprised if he does not exit with a lead here today.

Batter Grind Down

Atlanta

Braves: The Braves are likely to throw a bunch of lefties at deGrom here, but the thing is he has been really good against both left and right-handed batters with a wOBA allowed under .300 for both. I do not recommend too many Braves in your lineup, but a guy like Freddie Freeman always has potential versus right-handed pitching and should come at a lower ownership.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Mallex Smith LEFT 0.371 0.185 0.315 OF $3,000 OF $3,400
2 Ender Inciarte LEFT 0.338 0.118 0.304 OF $3,100 OF $3,500
3 Freddie Freeman LEFT 0.377 0.233 0.437 1B $3,700 1B $4,600
4 Nick Markakis LEFT 0.337 0.096 0.264 OF $2,900 OF $3,100
5 Jace Peterson LEFT 0.304 0.092 0.454 2B $2,800 2B/OF $2,300
6 Chase d’Arnaud RIGHT 0.304 0.067 0.247 2B $3,100 3B/SS $2,700
7 A.J. Pierzynski LEFT 0.311 0.122 0.147 C $2,300 C $2,300
8 Erick Aybar SWITCH 0.279 0.070 0.444 SS $2,200 SS $2,400
9 Julio Teheran RIGHT 0.091 0.000 0.377 P $8,500 P $11,600
Team Averages 0.301 0.109 0.332

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Freddie Freeman

Stackability – None

NY Mets

Mets: Left-handed bats have always been a bit of an issue for Teheran in his career and this Mets lineup is littered with them, which could prove tough. I expect New York to put some runs on the board, but with Teheran’s recent form we should not go too crazy here.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Curtis Granderson LEFT 0.375 0.233 0.401 OF $3,800 OF $4,300
2 Asdrubal Cabrera SWITCH 0.318 0.163 0.291 SS $2,900 SS $3,000
3 Yoenis Cespedes RIGHT 0.377 0.264 0.368 OF $3,800 OF $4,100
4 Neil Walker SWITCH 0.337 0.181 0.320 2B $3,300 2B $3,400
5 Michael Conforto LEFT 0.378 0.273 0.239 OF $2,900 OF $3,300
6 Kelly Johnson LEFT 0.310 0.147 0.355 3B $2,100 2B $2,600
7 James Loney LEFT 0.299 0.071 0.300 1B $2,200 1B $2,600
8 Kevin Plawecki RIGHT 0.261 0.058 0.264 C $2,200 C $2,000
9 Jacob deGrom RIGHT 0.200 0.015 0.000 P $10,400 P $11,300
Team Averages 0.317 0.156 0.282

Elite Plays – Curtis Granderson

Secondary Plays – Yoenis Cespedes , Neil Walker , Michael Conforto

Stackability – GPP

Colorado at Miami – 1:10 PM ET

Colorado Miami
coloradomlb Tyler Anderson miamimlb Tom Koehler
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
MIA -115 8.0
Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB% Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB%
SP vs. Left 0.000 0 33.3% 0.0% SP vs. Left 0.342 18 18.4% 10.8%
SP vs. Right 0.297 0 21.1% 0.0% SP vs. Right 0.301 8 16.6% 9.8%

Pitcher Grind Down

Tyler Anderson
tyler-anderson-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,000 Salary: $4,000
FPPG: 34.0 FPPG: 20.7
Pitcher Rating: 47.2 Pitcher Rank: 20
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 1 92.0 2.60 1.42 24.0% 0.0% 12.0% 57.9% 26.3% 31.6%
2016 1 92.0 2.58 1.42 24.0% 0.0% 12.0% 57.9% 26.3% 31.6%

Tyler Anderson: Anderson looked great in his major league debut against the Padres, but it is hard to evaluate a guy facing a poor offense such as that. The strikeouts were there, as were the ground balls, making him a very intriguing pitcher to consider at his price point. Miami is not exactly a great offense, so I have no problem rolling him out there as a tournament play where you want to stack expensive bats.

Tom Koehler
tom-koehler-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,100 Salary: $6,700
FPPG: 27.0 FPPG: 12.7
Pitcher Rating: 51.6 Pitcher Rank: 14
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 6 101.8 4.48 3.41 20.4% 11.5% 11.1% 51.0% 23.1% 21.7%
2016 13 95.5 4.96 4.25 18.7% 12.0% 9.0% 45.5% 32.2% 23.6%
2015 31 96.0 4.67 4.08 17.1% 9.6% 7.3% 46.0% 35.6% 34.5%

Tom Koehler: Koehler has looked solid lately, but the issue is his competition has not exactly been stellar on the season. This is a dangerous Rockies team versus right-handed pitching, and while the price and recent performance look good on the surface, I do not want any piece of him today.

Batter Grind Down

Colorado

Rockies: The Rockies are stacked with players that hit right-handed pitching well and are also performing pretty good in recent weeks as well. I like the idea of them as a tournament stack here and you can sprinkle just about any of the to five hitters in your lineups as filler plays.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Charlie Blackmon LEFT 0.359 0.181 0.370 OF $3,400 OF $4,200
2 DJ LeMahieu RIGHT 0.336 0.115 0.468 2B $3,100 2B $4,000
3 Nolan Arenado RIGHT 0.387 0.311 0.417 3B $3,900 3B $4,500
4 Carlos Gonzalez LEFT 0.414 0.305 0.443 OF $4,000 OF $4,900
5 Trevor Story RIGHT 0.368 0.301 0.356 SS $2,800 SS $4,200
6 Brandon Barnes RIGHT 0.303 0.123 OF $2,000 OF $2,000
7 Mark Reynolds RIGHT 0.330 0.166 0.348 1B $2,900 1B $3,000
8 Nick Hundley RIGHT 0.358 0.180 0.264 C $2,300 C $2,600
9 Tyler Anderson LEFT 0.000 P $6,000 P $4,000
Team Averages 0.357 0.210 0.333

Elite Plays – Carlos Gonzalez , Nolan Arenado

Secondary Plays – Charlie Blackmon , Trevor Story , DJ LeMahieu

Stackability – GPP

Miami

Marlins: Miami is not awful against left-handed pitching in terms of wOBA, but the lack of power shows in their ISO which ranks 24th in the league. We do not have a lot to love against Anderson here today, but Marcell Ozuna is the guy I would not mind taking a shot on.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Adeiny Hechavarria RIGHT 0.344 0.145 0.270 SS $2,500 SS $4,500
2 Martin Prado RIGHT 0.371 0.119 0.453 3B $3,600 3B $5,300
3 Christian Yelich LEFT 0.328 0.085 0.342 OF $3,900 OF $4,900
4 Marcell Ozuna RIGHT 0.424 0.230 0.319 OF $3,400 OF $5,500
5 Giancarlo Stanton RIGHT 0.418 0.412 0.145 OF $3,300 OF $4,700
6 Chris Johnson RIGHT 0.321 0.093 0.255 1B $2,300 1B/3B $3,400
7 J.T. Realmuto RIGHT 0.286 0.162 0.364 C $2,800 C $4,600
8 Derek Dietrich LEFT 0.273 0.108 0.248 2B $3,100 2B $3,200
9 Tom Koehler RIGHT 0.068 0.000 0.000 P $7,100 P $6,700
Team Averages 0.315 0.150 0.266

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Marcell Ozuna , Martin Prado

Stackability – None

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland – 1:10 PM ET

Chicago White Sox Cleveland
whitesoxmlb Carlos Rodon clevelandmlb Carlos Carrasco
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
CLE -180 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB% Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB%
SP vs. Left 0.242 1 25.8% 8.3% SP vs. Left 0.287 13 27.1% 7.0%
SP vs. Right 0.355 20 21.4% 11.4% SP vs. Right 0.290 13 29.3% 4.6%

Pitcher Grind Down

Carlos Rodon
carlos-rodon-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,900 Salary: $6,200
FPPG: 27.6 FPPG: 13.9
Pitcher Rating: 43.1 Pitcher Rank: 22
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 4 101.3 4.64 3.42 18.5% 8.7% 8.6% 41.1% 38.4% 18.9%
2016 12 98.1 4.14 4.28 21.6% 8.5% 8.5% 46.6% 33.7% 25.0%
2015 23 106.1 4.20 3.75 22.9% 11.7% 10.1% 46.8% 29.8% 28.3%

Carlos Rodon: While he has not given up hard contact this season, we have not seen him take his game to the next level with a strikeout rate slightly lower than last year. Rodon is a fringe option at best here, and one we most likely we want to stay away from even though the Indians have struggled a bit overall to hit lefties.

Carlos Carrasco
carlos-carrasco-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $9,400 Salary: $8,700
FPPG: 29.4 FPPG: 15.7
Pitcher Rating: 94.4 Pitcher Rank: 2
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 3 93.7 3.25 4.58 21.1% 4.0% 10.7% 57.1% 23.2% 41.1%
2016 7 84.9 3.47 3.40 22.4% 5.0% 10.8% 52.2% 28.7% 39.7%
2015 30 92.6 2.74 3.63 29.6% 5.9% 14.0% 51.2% 29.8% 27.5%

Carlos Carrasco: Carrasco has been a little iffy since his return from the DL, but the strikeout upside is evident as he was able to tally eight in his last start. This is a White Sox offense that I have no problem attacking with pitching, and at this price Carrasco is in play for both cash and tournaments for me today.

Batter Grind Down

Chicago White Sox

White Sox: It has been the top of the order or bust for Chicago and against Carrasco I do not think that will cut it here today. Chicago ranks in the bottom third of the league in most offensive categories and this is a team I do not want a lot of exposure to.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Tim Anderson RIGHT 0.442 0.250 0.353 SS $2,500 SS $3,700
2 Adam Eaton LEFT 0.351 0.163 0.358 OF $3,600 OF $4,500
3 Jose Abreu RIGHT 0.362 0.215 0.426 1B $3,600 1B $4,100
4 Todd Frazier RIGHT 0.331 0.220 0.246 3B $2,900 3B $3,800
5 Avisail Garcia RIGHT 0.294 0.112 0.274 OF $2,800 OF $3,200
6 Dioner Navarro SWITCH 0.267 0.101 0.269 C $2,600 C $2,700
7 Brett Lawrie RIGHT 0.288 0.135 0.178 2B $3,100 2B $3,000
8 Jason Coats RIGHT 0.176 0.000 0.175 OF $2,000 OF $2,300
9 J.B. Shuck LEFT 0.290 0.085 0.276 OF $2,500 OF $3,000
Team Averages 0.311 0.142 0.284

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Tim Anderson , Adam Eaton , Jose Abreu

Stackability – None

Cleveland

Indians: They are a team that clearly has a ton of potential against right-handed pitching, but the ISO disappears against lefties with a couple of exceptions. Francisco Lindor is a player that should always peak your interest when a southpaw takes the mound and Mike Napoli has been hitting the ball hard this season with pretty solid numbers versus left throughout his career.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Rajai Davis RIGHT 0.329 0.205 0.324 OF $4,000 OF $4,500
2 Jason Kipnis LEFT 0.289 0.114 0.346 2B $3,500 2B $3,500
3 Francisco Lindor SWITCH 0.379 0.183 0.406 SS $3,700 SS $4,300
4 Mike Napoli RIGHT 0.390 0.270 0.306 1B $2,900 1B $4,400
5 Carlos Santana SWITCH 0.318 0.097 0.354 1B $4,200 1B $4,400
6 Jose Ramirez SWITCH 0.289 0.096 0.202 P $4,000 3B/OF $3,600
7 Yan Gomes RIGHT 0.258 0.128 0.211 C $2,500 C $2,600
8 Lonnie Chisenhall LEFT 0.304 0.128 0.280 OF $3,000 OF $3,100
9 Michael Martinez SWITCH 0.237 0.045 0.402 OF $3,200
Team Averages 0.310 0.141 0.315

Elite Plays – Franciso Lindor

Secondary Plays – Mike Napoli , Rajai Davis , Carlos Santana

Stackability – None

San Francisco at Tampa Bay – 1:10 PM ET

San Francisco Tampa Bay
sanfranciscomlb Jake Peavy tampabaymlb Jake Odorizzi
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
TB -125 8.0
Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB% Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB%
SP vs. Left 0.324 8 17.5% 7.5% SP vs. Left 0.265 8 25.7% 5.3%
SP vs. Right 0.320 12 17.4% 5.1% SP vs. Right 0.332 21 17.9% 9.1%

Pitcher Grind Down

Jake Peavy
jake-peavy-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,500 Salary: $6,900
FPPG: 19.9 FPPG: 9.0
Pitcher Rating: 49.6 Pitcher Rank: 17
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 5 77.0 4.82 3.42 14.7% 5.9% 7.3% 37.2% 38.5% 38.3%
2016 13 84.0 4.60 5.83 17.6% 7.2% 10.4% 40.3% 40.8% 37.3%
2015 19 91.6 4.33 3.58 17.4% 5.6% 8.0% 37.9% 45.1% 26.5%

Jake Peavy: The Giants gave Peavy an extra day of rest here as he has been up and down for them. He offers limited strikeout potential and is a guy I still like to target as a blowup candidate, making him someone we can fade completely.

Jake Odorizzi
jake-odorizzi-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,200 Salary: $7,500
FPPG: 28.1 FPPG: 15.2
Pitcher Rating: 69.6 Pitcher Rank: 9
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 6 105.8 4.16 3.74 27.0% 12.8% 9.9% 47.6% 39.3% 34.1%
2016 14 102.0 4.08 3.79 22.9% 8.4% 9.4% 40.5% 41.4% 36.5%
2015 28 98.4 3.90 3.35 21.4% 6.6% 10.1% 37.3% 40.6% 27.0%

Jake Odorizzi: For whatever reason Odorizzi just does not entice people to play him in daily fantasy despite pretty solid results and a modest price point. In a better matchup he would be a no-brainer secondary pitcher today, but against the Giants I have him on that fringe leaning toward tournaments only.

Batter Grind Down

San Francisco

Giants: This is a lineup that can hit right-handed pitching, but for the most part lack the pop to do a ton of damage in a hurry. They are very similar to the Royals in that they can put up runs, but at the end of the day our fantasy production never seems to matchup with the run total. Even with that said, I cannot fault anyone for sprinkling in a couple guys today.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Denard Span LEFT 0.357 0.127 0.254 OF $2,900 OF $3,500
2 Joe Panik LEFT 0.359 0.165 0.399 2B $3,200 2B $4,200
3 Brandon Belt LEFT 0.371 0.198 0.357 1B $4,200 1B $4,300
4 Buster Posey RIGHT 0.350 0.151 0.347 C $4,000 C $4,400
5 Brandon Crawford LEFT 0.342 0.216 0.350 SS $3,600 SS $3,600
6 Matt Duffy RIGHT 0.325 0.132 0.326 3B $2,800 3B $3,400
7 Angel Pagan SWITCH 0.274 0.081 0.473 OF $2,300 OF $3,300
8 Jarrett Parker LEFT 0.388 0.289 0.345 OF $2,800 OF $3,100
9 Gregor Blanco LEFT 0.321 0.115 0.231 OF $3,100 OF $3,300
Team Averages 0.343 0.164 0.342

Elite Plays – Brandon Belt

Secondary Plays – Joe Panik , Buster Posey , Brandon Crawford , Denard Span

Stackability – None

Tampa Bay

Rays: The Rays are the exact type of team you want to stack in tournaments as their ISO is near the top of the league even with a modest wOBA. What that means is they do have the ability to put runs up in bunches and often carry a lower ownership. Peavy is a guy I have and will continue to target, so loading up with Rays bats in a tournament makes a lot of sense today.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Logan Forsythe RIGHT 0.333 0.113 0.358 2B $2,800 2B $3,600
2 Brad Miller LEFT 0.334 0.183 0.204 SS $3,600 SS $3,900
3 Evan Longoria RIGHT 0.320 0.185 0.484 3B $3,400 3B $4,800
4 Logan Morrison LEFT 0.318 0.182 0.336 1B $2,900 1B $3,500
5 Steve Pearce RIGHT 0.352 0.212 0.542 OF $3,100 1B/2B $4,300
6 Corey Dickerson LEFT 0.364 0.296 0.368 OF $2,800 OF $3,900
7 Desmond Jennings RIGHT 0.282 0.128 0.350 OF $2,400 OF $3,200
8 Hank Conger SWITCH 0.331 0.199 0.464 C $2,100 C $2,800
9 Jaff Decker LEFT 0.367 0.120 0.224 OF $2,000
Team Averages 0.333 0.180 0.370

Elite Plays – Evan Longoria , Steve Pearce

Secondary Plays – Corey Dickerson , Logan Morrison , Brad Miller

Stackability – GPP


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About the Author

louiescards
Andrew Cook (louiescards)

Andrew “LouiesCards” Cook is a DFS veteran who has been playing since 2009. You will see him grinding MLB, NBA, and NFL with a main focus on DraftKings. Over the years he has held several roles at RotoGrinders helping write articles and features, both in-front and behind-the-scenes. Andrew was able to throw the first pitch out at a St. Louis Cardinals game, courtesy of DraftKings. You can follow Andrew on twitter @louiescards