MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, May 31st

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2016-06-01 02:17:36

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code and FanDuel promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.

Houston at Arizona – 3:40 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Houston					Arizona
			Lance McCullers					Patrick Corbin
			RIGHT					LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			HOU -125					9.0
SP vs. Left	0.263	3	28.8%	8.6%	SP vs. Left	0.267	2	30.8%	6.9%
SP vs. Right	0.321	8	22.2%	10.1%	SP vs. Right	0.342	17	16.8%	5.5%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Lance McCullers
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$8,300	Salary:		$7,700
					FPPG:		32.7	FPPG:		16.8
					Pitcher Rating:		72.8	Pitcher Rank:		10
L14 Days	2	100.0	4.09	2.45	35.4%	18.8%	15.5%	59.1%	27.3%	27.3%
2016	3	96.3	4.29	4.60	30.0%	17.1%	12.8%	56.8%	24.3%	32.4%
2015	22	95.9	3.57	3.22	24.8%	8.3%	9.8%	46.5%	31.8%	28.9%

McCullers is a volatile pitcher that is going to have great outings at times and he is going to get shelled at other times. In his first 25 major league starts, he has a 3.65 SIERA with a strikeout rate right around 25%. The biggest issue has been his command, walking 17.1% of the batters that he has faced this season. There will be a time to buy low on McCullers, but that time is not today against the Diamondbacks. Not only is Arizona a top ten offense against right-handed pitching, but he has to face them in the pitcher-friendly Chase Field.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Patrick Corbin
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$7,000	Salary:		$8,100
					FPPG:		21.3	FPPG:		10.6
					Pitcher Rating:		56.9	Pitcher Rank:		21
L14 Days	2	99.0	3.99	4.50	23.1%	11.5%	10.6%	58.8%	23.5%	38.2%
2016	10	93.9	4.29	4.21	16.8%	7.3%	8.8%	52.3%	29.5%	39.9%
2015	16	78.4	3.44	3.60	21.9%	4.8%	10.8%	46.9%	29.5%	31.5%

Corbin hasn’t been as effective this season, but he still sports a 4.29 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 16.8%. His swinging strike rate is down and he is giving up hard contact at a very high rate of 39.9%. Despite Houston’s numbers this season, yesterday was a great example of why we don’t like targeting lefties against the Astros. Their lineup is filled with right-handed hitters that absolutely mash left-handed pitching. Corbin is an easy fade in both cash games and tournaments.

Batter Grind Down

Houston

We are only two months into the season and like the Blue Jays, sometimes sample size can be an issue when comparing offensive statistics. Given the makeup of their lineup, the Astros should be one of the best offenses in baseball against left-handed pitching. George Springer, Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa, Tyler White, and Evan Gattis all bat right-handed and all have a .188+ ISO against southpaws over the last two seasons. That bodes well for their matchup against Patrick Corbin in the hitter-friendly Chase Field.

Astros Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.305 (19 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.150 (16 of 30)
Team K% vs. LHP — 26.6% (28 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.06 (20 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.65 (4 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	George Springer	RIGHT	0.405	0.227	0.374	OF	$3,600	OF	$4,800
2	Jose Altuve	RIGHT	0.423	0.188	0.282	2B	$3,900	2B	$5,100
3	Carlos Correa	RIGHT	0.347	0.217	0.204	SS	$3,900	SS	$4,400
4	Colby Rasmus	LEFT	0.335	0.183	0.219	OF	$3,200	OF	$3,600
5	Tyler White	RIGHT	0.300	0.286	0.363	1B	$2,300	1B	$3,900
6	Marwin Gonzalez	SWITCH	0.349	0.206	0.142	1B	$2,600	1B/3B	$3,100
7	Jason Castro	LEFT	0.226	0.065	0.330	C	$3,000	C	$2,600
8	Jake Marisnick	RIGHT	0.275	0.201	0.290	OF	$2,400	OF	$3,100
9	Lance McCullers	RIGHT	0.000	0.000		P	$8,300	P	$7,700
	Team Averages	—	0.296	0.175	0.276	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – George Springer, Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa

Secondary Plays – Tyler White, Evan Gattis, Marwin Gonzalez

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Arizona

The Diamondbacks are ranked ninth in runs scored per game and they have the ninth highest team total on the board. They draw a boom or bust matchup against Lance McCullers, who can be great, but can also struggle at times. The sample size is still relatively small, but McCullers has been a reverse-splits pitcher over the last two seasons – allowing a .321 wOBA to right-handed hitters.

Diamondbacks Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.326 (9 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.167 (13 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 20.7% (18 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.60 (9 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.35 (9 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Jean Segura	RIGHT	0.287	0.099	0.238	2B	$3,100	2B	$4,300
2	Michael Bourn	LEFT	0.272	0.048	0.425	OF	$2,300	OF	$3,400
3	Paul Goldschmidt	RIGHT	0.403	0.247	0.474	1B	$4,200	1B	$5,000
4	Jake Lamb	LEFT	0.350	0.174	0.417	3B	$3,600	3B	$4,200
5	Welington Castillo	RIGHT	0.306	0.179	0.196	C	$2,700	C	$2,900
6	Chris Owings	RIGHT	0.274	0.096	0.388	OF	$2,100	OF	$3,400
7	Yasmany Tomas	RIGHT	0.288	0.106	0.183	OF	$3,000	OF	$3,100
8	Patrick Corbin	LEFT	0.261	0.053	0.440	P	$7,000	P	$8,100
9	Nick Ahmed	RIGHT	0.248	0.112	0.321	SS	$2,500	SS	$2,500
	Team Averages	—	0.299	0.124	0.342	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Paul Goldschmidt

Secondary Plays – Jake Lamb, Chris Herrmann

Stackability – GPP

San Diego at Seattle – 3:40 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
San Diego					Seattle
			James Shields					Hisashi Iwakuma
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			SEA -180					7.5
SP vs. Left	0.364	25	20.1%	10.7%	SP vs. Left	0.311	9	20.1%	4.7%
SP vs. Right	0.297	15	28.4%	7.8%	SP vs. Right	0.302	16	20.7%	5.0%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
James Shields
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$8,100	Salary:		$9,800
					FPPG:		32.0	FPPG:		17.1
					Pitcher Rating:		58.7	Pitcher Rank:		19
L14 Days	2	105.0	3.19	2.84	24.5%	3.8%	10.5%	44.7%	31.6%	31.6%
2016	10	100.2	4.08	3.06	21.2%	8.7%	11.4%	48.1%	31.5%	31.0%
2015	33	101.1	3.72	3.91	25.1%	9.4%	12.4%	44.9%	34.4%	31.2%

There are two camps when it comes to Shields. One sees his high strikeout rate and is hoping that he will turn things around and the other sees his high walk rate and high home run rate and avoids him at all costs in DFS. Unless the matchup is too good to pass up, I tend to favor the second camp. Over his last two seasons, Shields has allowed 40 home runs in 43 starts. To make matters worse, the difference between his ERA and SIERA actually suggests some negative regression moving forward. I’m not a fan of him today against a left-handed heavy Mariners’ lineup.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Hisashi Iwakuma
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$9,000	Salary:		$9,200
					FPPG:		27.7	FPPG:		13.5
					Pitcher Rating:		86.3	Pitcher Rank:		5
L14 Days	2	96.0	4.25	4.15	18.9%	5.7%	10.4%	31.6%	39.5%	27.5%
2016	10	94.2	4.31	4.33	18.1%	6.4%	9.2%	40.4%	35.8%	26.9%
2015	20	93.4	3.36	3.54	21.5%	4.1%	10.6%	50.4%	31.1%	26.9%

Iwakuma seems to be coming around. His statistics don’t leap off the page at us, but he doesn’t walk many batters and he has a strikeout rate right above 20% over the last two seasons. Iwakuma may be the happiest pitcher in all of baseball today, as he gets to face the Padres. Not only is San Diego ranked dead last in team wOBA against right-handed pitching, but they have one of the highest strikeout rates in the majors. If you are playing the early-only or the all-day slate, you can certainly anchor your lineups with Iwakuma.

Batter Grind Down

San Diego

The Padres scored two runs yesterday, so do we consider their offense to be in good form? It’s rare that we see a team that is ranked in the bottom five in all of the offensive categories listed below. Even though Hisashi Iwakuma has been in mediocre form this season, there is no reason to target any Padres today.

Padres Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.272 (30 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.126 (29 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 24.3% (27 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.67 (28 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.29 (29 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Jon Jay	LEFT	0.284	0.093	0.336	OF	$3,500	OF	$3,200
2	Wil Myers	RIGHT	0.317	0.179	0.284	1B	$3,200	1B	$3,600
3	Matt Kemp	RIGHT	0.303	0.174	0.221	OF	$2,800	OF	$4,000
4	Yangervis Solarte	SWITCH	0.334	0.167	0.409	3B	$3,600	2B/3B	$3,100
5	Melvin Upton	RIGHT	0.322	0.159	0.225	OF	$2,900	OF	$3,400
6	Brett Wallace	LEFT	0.366	0.215	0.374	1B	$2,900	1B/3B	$2,800
7	Derek Norris	RIGHT	0.281	0.140	0.277	C	$2,400	C	$2,800
8	Alexei Ramirez	RIGHT	0.266	0.099	0.228	SS	$2,500	SS	$2,500
9	Alexi Amarista	LEFT	0.242	0.082	0.165	SS	$2,300	2B/SS	$2,300
	Team Averages	—	0.302	0.145	0.280	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

Seattle

The Mariners have quietly been humming offensively. They average the seventh most runs per game and they are ranked fifth in both team wOBA and team ISO against right-handed pitching this season. James Shields has been good against right-handed hitters, but he is one of the best pitchers in baseball to target left-handed hitters against. Over the last two seasons, he has allowed a .364 wOBA and 25 home runs to lefties.

Mariners Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.338 (5 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.181 (5 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 19.3% (10 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.71 (7 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.21 (12 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Norichika Aoki	LEFT	0.323	0.117	0.309	OF	$3,400	OF	$3,000
2	Seth Smith	LEFT	0.346	0.187	0.352	OF	$2,900	OF	$3,000
3	Robinson Cano	LEFT	0.371	0.218	0.412	2B	$4,400	2B	$4,700
4	Nelson Cruz	RIGHT	0.372	0.226	0.437	OF	$4,000	OF	$4,100
5	Kyle Seager	LEFT	0.344	0.189	0.391	3B	$3,800	3B	$3,400
6	Adam Lind	LEFT	0.355	0.195	0.415	1B	$2,600	1B	$3,300
7	Franklin Gutierrez	RIGHT	0.371	0.322	0.485	OF	$2,800	OF	$2,800
8	Chris Iannetta	RIGHT	0.246	0.125	0.135	C	$2,000	C	$2,100
9	Luis Sardinas	SWITCH	0.199	0.000	0.293	SS	$2,200	3B/SS	$2,000
	Team Averages	—	0.325	0.175	0.359	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Robinson Cano, Kyle Seager

Secondary Plays – Norichika Aoki, Seth Smith, Nelson Cruz, Adam Lind

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Texas at Cleveland – 6:10 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Texas					Cleveland
			Colby Lewis					Corey Kluber
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			CLE -170					7.5
SP vs. Left	0.326	18	14.4%	5.5%	SP vs. Left	0.318	14	24.5%	6.5%
SP vs. Right	0.304	18	19.3%	4.3%	SP vs. Right	0.242	13	29.7%	4.0%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Colby Lewis
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$7,200	Salary:		$7,100
					FPPG:		30.3	FPPG:		15.7
					Pitcher Rating:		47.6	Pitcher Rank:		26
L14 Days	2	91.0	4.95	4.50	14.6%	2.1%	7.1%	23.1%	51.3%	47.5%
2016	10	95.8	4.40	3.38	17.6%	5.1%	7.9%	34.4%	45.1%	39.1%
2015	33	96.4	4.43	4.66	16.5%	4.9%	8.2%	33.7%	44.2%	33.3%

Lewis’s start was pushed back to today. As I mentioned before his last outing, regression was eventually going to hit at some point this season. A .273 BABIP and a left on-base percentage of 83.6% is not sustainable for Lewis. He then went out and gave up six runs to the Angels in only five innings of work. Lewis can be effective at times, but his strikeout rate isn’t high enough to deserve fantasy consideration. As a large underdog on the board, he can be avoided in all league formats.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Corey Kluber
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$9,500	Salary:		$10,400
					FPPG:		36.5	FPPG:		20.3
					Pitcher Rating:		90.7	Pitcher Rank:		3
L14 Days	2	105.5	2.85	1.88	25.9%	5.2%	11.4%	61.5%	25.6%	30.0%
2016	10	97.6	3.30	3.78	24.8%	5.9%	12.3%	52.5%	31.5%	29.7%
2015	32	102.3	2.98	3.49	27.7%	5.1%	12.9%	42.4%	35.9%	27.0%

The Kloobs has been in excellent form coming into tonight’s start. If you look at the pitching table above, every single box is blue and green. In his first ten starts this season, he owns a 3.30 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 24.8%. He has a lethal combination of a high strikeout rate, a high swinging strike rate, and a high ground ball rate. The Rangers are one of the toughest teams to strikeout in baseball, but I usually don’t factor that in as much with an elite pitcher like Kluber. He is the best pitching option in the early slate and I have him ranked third of the 30 pitchers taking the mound in the all-day slate.

Batter Grind Down

Texas

The Rangers have one of the worst matchups on the board. In addition to a high strikeout rate, Corey Kluber has held left-handed hitters to a .318 wOBA and right-handed hitters to a .242 wOBA. With the fourth lowest run projection of the 30 teams playing today, the Rangers can be avoided in all league formats.

Rangers Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.313 (18 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.162 (15 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 18.5% (6 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.60 (8 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.34 (27 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Jurickson Profar	SWITCH	0.423	0.200	0.333	2B	$2,200	2B/SS	$2,700
2	Ian Desmond	RIGHT	0.296	0.149	0.406	OF	$4,000	OF	$3,700
3	Prince Fielder	LEFT	0.356	0.145	0.310	1B	$3,200	1B	$3,200
4	Adrian Beltre	RIGHT	0.308	0.146	0.345	3B	$3,900	3B	$3,400
5	Nomar Mazara	LEFT	0.398	0.241	0.435	OF	$3,200	OF	$3,500
6	Elvis Andrus	RIGHT	0.283	0.082	0.332	SS	$3,100	SS	$2,900
7	Mitch Moreland	LEFT	0.352	0.215	0.194	OF	$3,200	1B	$3,000
8	Jared Hoying	LEFT	0.226	0.000	0.226	OF	$2,200	OF	$2,000
9	Bobby Wilson	RIGHT	0.278	0.096	0.413	C	$2,300	C	$3,400
	Team Averages	—	0.324	0.142	0.333	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

Cleveland

The Indians’ team total of 4.16 runs seems a bit low. They have an excellent matchup against Colby Lewis, who has allowed 36 home runs over his last 43 starts. Lewis has also allowed a .326 wOBA to left-handed hitters and a .304 wOBA to right-handed hitters during that stretch.

Indians Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.324 (10 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.172 (10 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 21.4% (19 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.85 (6 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.16 (17 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Carlos Santana	SWITCH	0.346	0.221	0.363	1B	$3,700	1B	$4,600
2	Jason Kipnis	LEFT	0.381	0.171	0.273	2B	$3,700	2B	$4,500
3	Francisco Lindor	SWITCH	0.335	0.138	0.370	SS	$4,100	SS	$4,900
4	Mike Napoli	RIGHT	0.292	0.174	0.333	1B	$3,600	1B	$3,500
5	Jose Ramirez	SWITCH	0.313	0.142	0.358	P	$4,000	3B/OF	$3,400
6	Juan Uribe	RIGHT	0.300	0.131	0.355	3B	$2,900	3B	$2,700
7	Yan Gomes	RIGHT	0.279	0.182	0.209	C	$2,900	C	$3,600
8	Marlon Byrd	RIGHT	0.305	0.198	0.397	OF	$2,600	OF	$3,400
9	Rajai Davis	RIGHT	0.318	0.160	0.418	OF	$3,500	OF	$4,000
	Team Averages	—	0.319	0.169	0.342	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Carlos Santana, Jason Kipnis

Secondary Plays – Francisco Lindor, Mike Napoli, Jose Ramirez, Yan Gomes

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Boston at Baltimore – 7:05 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Boston					Baltimore
			Eduardo Rodriguez					Kevin Gausman
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			BAL -120					9.0
SP vs. Left	0.350	7	19.8%	4.0%	SP vs. Left	0.262	6	25.4%	6.5%
SP vs. Right	0.292	6	18.4%	8.1%	SP vs. Right	0.361	17	18.6%	5.4%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Eduardo Rodriguez
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$7,600	Salary:		$6,100
					FPPG:		29.7	FPPG:		0.0
					Pitcher Rating:		49.0	Pitcher Rank:		25
2015	21	95.7	4.16	3.85	18.8%	7.1%	7.8%	43.0%	33.4%	31.4%

Rodriguez is making his first start of the season. In 21 starts in 2015, he posted a 4.16 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 18.8%. He has never shown massive strikeout potential and that’s unlikely to change in the majors. He does have an electric fastball, but he checks in as an underdog against the Orioles in a game that features a high total of 9.0 runs. With a full slate on tap, we don’t need to look to Rodriguez in cash games or GPPs tonight.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Kevin Gausman
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$8,200	Salary:		$6,800
					FPPG:		27.3	FPPG:		15.5
					Pitcher Rating:		59.6	Pitcher Rank:		15
L14 Days	2	108.0	2.88	3.86	26.5%	4.1%	13.0%	50.0%	26.5%	20.6%
2016	7	101.1	3.69	3.24	21.6%	5.3%	11.6%	46.7%	35.2%	26.8%
2015	17	110.4	3.69	4.25	21.9%	6.2%	10.9%	44.4%	38.1%	27.4%

Gausman is off to a nice start this season, posting a 3.69 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 21.6%. My favorite statistic with Gausman is the fact that he is averaging over 107 pitches per start over the last two seasons. The Orioles don’t mind leaving him out there if he is pitching well. I point that out more as a reminder moving forward though, because I am certainly not recommending him tonight against the Red Sox. Boston has been on an absolute tear over the last few weeks.

Batter Grind Down

Boston

The Red Sox average more runs per game than any team in baseball. They also have the highest team wOBA against right-handed pitching. I don’t love the matchup against Kevin Gausman, but they do get to face him in a hitter-friendly ballpark. Gausman is a reverse-splits pitcher, allowing a .361 wOBA and 17 home runs to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Xander Bogaerts is looking to extend his hitting streak to 24 games tonight.

Red Sox Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.359 (1 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.189 (3 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 18.6% (7 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 5.90 (1 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.38 (8 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Mookie Betts	RIGHT	0.352	0.191	0.404	OF	$4,400	OF	$5,400
2	Dustin Pedroia	RIGHT	0.355	0.155	0.395	2B	$4,100	2B	$4,500
3	Xander Bogaerts	RIGHT	0.338	0.115	0.444	SS	$4,700	SS	$5,100
4	David Ortiz	LEFT	0.431	0.346	0.517	1B	$4,800	1B	$5,500
5	Hanley Ramirez	RIGHT	0.314	0.141	0.262	1B	$3,900	1B	$4,000
6	Jackie Bradley	LEFT	0.375	0.271	0.470	OF	$4,500	OF	$4,400
7	Travis Shaw	LEFT	0.358	0.201	0.293	3B	$3,900	1B/3B	$3,900
8	Christian Vazquez	RIGHT	0.241	0.095	0.214	C	$2,300	C	$3,000
9	Blake Swihart	SWITCH	0.320	0.136	0.356	C	$2,500	C/OF	$3,300
	Team Averages	—	0.343	0.183	0.373	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Mookie Betts, Xander Bogaerts

Secondary Plays – Dustin Pedroia, David Ortiz, Jackie Bradley

Stackability – GPP

Baltimore

The Orioles have the eighth highest team ISO against left-handed pitching this season. They come into tonight’s contest with the fifth highest team total on the board. Eduardo Rodriguez pitched fairly well in his rookie season, but he is still inexperienced at the major league level. All of the right-handed hitters from this lineup are in play tonight.

Orioles Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.304 (20 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.173 (8 of 30)
Team K% vs. LHP — 21.0% (14 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.46 (11 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.62 (5 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Joey Rickard	RIGHT	0.372	0.214	0.245	OF	$2,600	OF	$3,200
2	Manny Machado	RIGHT	0.343	0.181	0.362	SS	$4,200	3B/SS	$4,900
3	Adam Jones	RIGHT	0.290	0.158	0.163	OF	$3,000	OF	$3,600
4	Chris Davis	LEFT	0.340	0.197	0.255	1B	$3,900	1B	$3,800
5	Mark Trumbo	RIGHT	0.364	0.280	0.339	OF	$3,800	OF	$4,800
6	Matt Wieters	SWITCH	0.291	0.129	0.481	C	$3,200	C	$3,600
7	Jonathan Schoop	RIGHT	0.270	0.104	0.295	2B	$3,400	2B	$2,800
8	Nolan Reimold	RIGHT	0.344	0.145	0.294	OF	$2,600	OF	$3,000
9	Paul Janish	RIGHT	0.148	0.043	0.188			SS	$2,000
	Team Averages	—	0.307	0.161	0.291	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Manny Machado, Adam Jones

Secondary Plays – Mark Trumbo, Jonathan Schoop

Stackability – GPP

Washington at Philadelphia – 7:05 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Washington					Philadelphia
			Joe Ross					Aaron Nola
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			WAS -115					7.0
SP vs. Left	0.343	5	16.7%	10.5%	SP vs. Left	0.298	7	18.0%	7.4%
SP vs. Right	0.226	6	24.1%	3.6%	SP vs. Right	0.256	9	28.1%	3.9%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Joe Ross
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$8,100	Salary:		$8,500
					FPPG:		26.1	FPPG:		13.5
					Pitcher Rating:		77.3	Pitcher Rank:		8
L14 Days	2	103.0	3.23	2.13	21.2%	5.8%	11.7%	59.5%	18.9%	29.0%
2016	9	93.6	4.21	2.52	18.6%	7.2%	10.0%	46.2%	30.4%	25.9%
2015	13	88.7	3.66	3.64	22.0%	6.7%	11.9%	49.8%	33.8%	30.2%

Ross has a 2.52 ERA on the season, but we can expect a little regression moving forward. The good news is that tonight he gets to face a Phillies’ offense that is ranked 28th in team wOBA, 27th in team ISO, and 20th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. If Ross can pitch around the left-handed hitters in this lineup, he will have a good chance to post 6+ strikeouts and potentially pick up a win. He is one of the better values on the board tonight.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Aaron Nola
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$8,900	Salary:		$10,600
					FPPG:		39.3	FPPG:		22.5
					Pitcher Rating:		85.6	Pitcher Rank:		6
L14 Days	2	97.0	3.38	2.77	20.7%	5.2%	12.4%	57.5%	22.5%	28.6%
2016	10	95.0	2.77	2.86	26.8%	4.6%	10.5%	56.3%	24.1%	22.5%
2015	13	85.9	3.66	3.59	21.4%	6.0%	8.6%	47.6%	32.4%	28.8%

Nola is an exciting, young pitcher to watch. In his first ten starts of the season, he has a 2.77 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 26.8%. He produces an elite ground ball rate and he doesn’t give up a lot of hard contact. He may be a small underdog tonight against the Nationals, but the upside is still there. Washington is ranked 22nd in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. I want to say that Nola is a better GPP target, but you can even given him a look in cash games.

Batter Grind Down

Washington

The Nationals are a below-average offense against right-handed pitching this season. They come into tonight’s game with the seventh lowest team total on the board. They draw a difficult matchup against Aaron Nola, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .300 wOBA over the last two seasons.

Nationals Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.304 (22 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.154 (17 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 20.6% (14 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.25 (15 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.59 (24 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Ben Revere	LEFT	0.300	0.076	0.300	OF	$2,900	OF	$3,100
2	Jayson Werth	RIGHT	0.276	0.124	0.304	OF	$2,900	OF	$3,000
3	Bryce Harper	LEFT	0.459	0.343	0.268	OF	$3,900	OF	$4,700
4	Daniel Murphy	LEFT	0.375	0.212	0.423	2B	$4,000	2B	$3,900
5	Ryan Zimmerman	RIGHT	0.305	0.178	0.403	1B	$3,500	1B	$3,300
6	Anthony Rendon	RIGHT	0.312	0.114	0.468	3B	$4,200	3B	$3,800
7	Wilson Ramos	RIGHT	0.291	0.137	0.334	C	$3,300	C	$3,100
8	Danny Espinosa	SWITCH	0.294	0.156	0.239	SS	$2,400	SS	$2,300
9	Joe Ross	RIGHT	0.122	0.026	0.000	P	$8,100	P	$8,500
	Team Averages	—	0.304	0.152	0.304	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Bryce Harper, Daniel Murphy

Stackability – NONE

Philadelphia

The Phillies are an easy offense to avoid, especially when there is a game being played in Coors Field. On the season, they are ranked 28th in team wOBA against right-handed pitching. The one area to potentially attack this matchup is with the left-handed hitters. Over the last two seasons, Joe Ross has allowed a .343 wOBA to batters from that side of the plate.

Phillies Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.287 (28 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.133 (27 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 21.5% (20 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.20 (29 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.41 (25 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Odubel Herrera	LEFT	0.358	0.137	0.294	OF	$3,600	OF	$3,700
2	Cesar Hernandez	RIGHT	0.288	0.071	0.243	2B	$2,200	2B	$2,600
3	Maikel Franco	RIGHT	0.339	0.186	0.304	3B	$2,800	3B	$3,400
4	Tommy Joseph	RIGHT	0.274	0.292	0.369	1B	$2,000	1B	$3,400
5	Cameron Rupp	RIGHT	0.275	0.125	0.407	C	$2,600	C	$2,600
6	Freddy Galvis	SWITCH	0.297	0.124	0.373	SS	$2,800	SS	$3,100
7	Tyler Goeddel	RIGHT	0.326	0.145	0.379	OF	$2,000	OF	$3,300
8	Aaron Nola	RIGHT	0.122	0.029	0.000	P	$8,900	P	$10,600
9	Peter Bourjos	RIGHT	0.245	0.115	0.243	OF	$2,200	OF	$2,600
	Team Averages	—	0.280	0.136	0.290	—	—	—	—

MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, May 31st

Houston at Arizona – 3:40 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Houston

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – George Springer, Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa

Secondary Plays – Tyler White, Evan Gattis, Marwin Gonzalez

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Arizona

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Paul Goldschmidt

Secondary Plays – Jake Lamb, Chris Herrmann

Stackability – GPP

San Diego at Seattle – 3:40 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

San Diego

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

Seattle

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Robinson Cano, Kyle Seager

Secondary Plays – Norichika Aoki, Seth Smith, Nelson Cruz, Adam Lind

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Texas at Cleveland – 6:10 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Texas

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

Cleveland

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Carlos Santana, Jason Kipnis

Secondary Plays – Francisco Lindor, Mike Napoli, Jose Ramirez, Yan Gomes

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Boston at Baltimore – 7:05 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Boston

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Mookie Betts, Xander Bogaerts

Secondary Plays – Dustin Pedroia, David Ortiz, Jackie Bradley

Stackability – GPP

Baltimore

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Manny Machado, Adam Jones

Secondary Plays – Mark Trumbo, Jonathan Schoop

Stackability – GPP

Washington at Philadelphia – 7:05 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Washington

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Bryce Harper, Daniel Murphy

Stackability – NONE

Philadelphia

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Odubel Herrera

Stackability – NONE

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