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MLB Grind Down: Saturday, September 17th - Page Two

by Ryan138 Last Updated 2016-09-17 16:18:30

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Miami at Philadelphia – 7:05 PM ET

Miami Philadelphia
Article Image Jose Urena Article Image Jeremy Hellickson
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
PHI -107 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.333 5 31.4% 9.5% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.338 11 27.2% 18.1%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.277 2 31.3% 22.5% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.286 13 25.4% 22.3%

Pitcher Grind Down

Jose Urena
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,400 Salary: $6,800
FPPG: 11.5 FPPG: 5.4
Pitcher Rating: 44.6 Pitcher Rank: 25
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 96.2 4.42 3.13 16.6% 6.0% 7.3% 46.0% 29.2% 33.3%
2016 9 138.4 4.61 4.89 15.7% 7.5% 8.6% 47.7% 30.4% 31.4%
2015 9 110.8 5.29 5.25 10.2% 9.1% 8.0% 48.1% 31.8% 29.8%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.33 — K%: 12.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.319
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 5.89 — K%: 13.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.338

Urena is not a pitcher you want to target often in DFS. His SIERA is high (4.61) and his strikeout rate is very low (15.7%). His matchup today is great against the Phillies who rank 29th in wOBA against righties, but he is too tough to trust regardless of who he is pitching against.

Jeremy Hellickson
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,300 Salary: $8,100
FPPG: 29.8 FPPG: 15.6
Pitcher Rating: 62.5 Pitcher Rank: 14
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 4 92.0 4.51 5.48 18.8% 6.9% 10.9% 36.1% 40.3% 26.7%
2016 28 92.0 4.14 3.90 20.2% 5.7% 11.2% 39.2% 35.9% 26.3%
2015 27 91.8 4.14 4.62 19.0% 6.8% 10.3% 42.4% 36.5% 34.3%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.86 — K%: 21.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.322
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.63 — K%: 18.1% — wOBA Allowed: 0.326

Hellickson has not been terrible this year for the Phillies. He comes into this matchup with a 3.76 ERA (4.15 SIERA) and a useable 20.3% strikeout rate. He gets a matchup with the Marlins. who are ranked 21st in wOBA and 29th in ISO against righties. There are not a ton of pitching options in the night slate, which actually puts Hellboy in play.

Batter Grind Down

Miami

Hellickson has always struggled against lefties, and that has continued again this year. He has allowed a .338 wOBA to left-handed bats on the year, putting Dee Gordon and Christian Yelich in play today.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Dee Gordon LEFT 0.273 0.064 18.9% 0.217 2B $2,500 2B $4,000
2 Giancarlo Stanton RIGHT 0.334 0.235 39.0% 0.176 OF $3,800 OF $4,500
3 Martin Prado RIGHT 0.304 0.097 25.2% 0.244 3B $3,200 3B $3,300
4 Christian Yelich LEFT 0.391 0.213 42.3% 0.333 OF $3,200 OF $4,400
5 Marcell Ozuna RIGHT 0.322 0.166 34.8% 0.371 OF $3,100 OF $3,300
6 Justin Bour LEFT 0.367 0.260 38.2% 0.245 1B $2,300 1B $3,600
7 J.T. Realmuto RIGHT 0.360 0.124 30.8% 0.416 C $2,800 C $4,300
8 Miguel Rojas RIGHT 0.244 0.054 18.4% 0.305 SS $2,000 2B/SS $2,700
9 Jose Urena RIGHT 0.157 0.000 0.0% 0.349 P $6,400 P $6,800
Team Averages — 0.306 0.135 27.5% 0.295 — — — —

Elite Plays – Dee Gordon, Christian Yelich

Secondary Plays – Giancarlo Stanton

Stackability – ORANGE

Philadelphia

Urena can be attacked from the left side of the plate, as he has allowed a .333 wOBA to them on the year. The Phillies should be used tonight as value plays at their positions, but nothing more.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Cesar Hernandez SWITCH 0.331 0.123 26.9% 0.357 2B $3,300 2B $3,800
2 Roman Quinn SWITCH 0.486 0.143 0.0% 0.468 OF $2,600
3 Andres Blanco SWITCH 0.345 0.187 27.5% 0.316 SS $2,900 2B/3B $3,400
4 Tommy Joseph RIGHT 0.318 0.247 37.2% 0.333 1B $2,300 1B $3,900
5 Cameron Rupp RIGHT 0.310 0.175 32.8% 0.274 C $2,700 C $3,400
6 Freddy Galvis SWITCH 0.305 0.184 28.7% 0.333 SS $2,500 SS $3,600
7 Odubel Herrera LEFT 0.349 0.157 30.8% 0.294 OF $3,000 OF $4,200
8 Aaron Altherr RIGHT 0.266 0.096 30.1% 0.265 OF $2,600 OF $3,800
9 Jeremy Hellickson RIGHT 0.184 0.029 0.0% 0.261 P $7,300 P $8,100
Team Averages — 0.322 0.149 23.8% 0.322 — — — —

Elite Plays – Cesar Hernandez, Andres Blanco

Secondary Plays – Roman Quinn, Tommy Joseph

Stackability – YELLOW

Tampa Bay at Baltimore – 7:05 PM ET

Tampa Bay Baltimore
Article Image Matt Andriese Article Image Chris Tillman
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
BAL -160 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.301 7 33.5% 19.5% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.310 8 31.9% 22.4%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.315 8 33.0% 21.6% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.312 10 32.9% 17.8%

Pitcher Grind Down

Matt Andriese
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,700 Salary: $5,500
FPPG: 20.7 FPPG: 10.8
Pitcher Rating: 56.6 Pitcher Rank: 17
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 88.7 3.59 8.60 23.4% 3.6% 10.3% 38.8% 40.8% 30.1%
2016 16 109.3 3.90 4.46 20.7% 5.0% 10.4% 43.8% 37.0% 33.2%
2015 8 136.0 4.02 4.11 17.4% 6.4% 8.6% 48.1% 34.8% 32.9%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.03 — K%: 20.1% — wOBA Allowed: 0.296
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.74 — K%: 18.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.330

Andriese bounced back off two horrible starts (seven runs allowed in each) to pitch well against the Yankees in his last start, allowing just one earned run in five innings of work. He was on a terrible run prior to his start against New York and now has 3.90 SIERA to go along with his decent 20.7% strikeout rate. Showing improvement in one start is not enough for us to trust Andriese against an Orioles squad that is ranked third in wOBA and first in ISO against right handed pitching. Andriese is an easy avoid tonight.

Chris Tillman
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,300 Salary: $7,900
FPPG: 32.0 FPPG: 15.9
Pitcher Rating: 53.3 Pitcher Rank: 21
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 2 86.0 6.72 7.88 10.0% 15.0% 5.2% 37.9% 34.5% 41.4%
2016 27 98.9 4.56 3.68 19.9% 9.0% 8.8% 41.1% 36.5% 32.5%
2015 31 94.9 4.69 4.99 16.2% 8.6% 7.1% 43.5% 35.4% 26.9%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.47 — K%: 19.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.316
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.25 — K%: 16.7% — wOBA Allowed: 0.328

Tillman returned from about a three-week DL stint to pitch very well in a start against a tough Detroit offense. Tillman has had a decent year, as he sports a 3.68 ERA, but his SIERA does sit almost a full run higher than that at 4.56. The matchup is solid for Tillman, who has had some success against this Rays squad (23.2 innings, 8 earned runs, 19 strikeouts). If he was cheaper, he could be used as an SP2 tonight, but his price is a little higher than I would like it to be.

Batter Grind Down

Tampa Bay

The Rays offense has been solid lately, as they are ranked seventh in the league in the last 30 days. Still,, I don’t love them in this spot against Tillman as they have the tenth-lowest team total of the day. Tillman has allowed a .310 wOBA to lefties and .312 to righties on the year, making the Rays are just an average offense to target tonight.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Logan Forsythe RIGHT 0.347 0.182 35.9% 0.383 2B $3,900 2B $4,300
2 Kevin Kiermaier LEFT 0.326 0.176 32.0% 0.491 OF $4,000 OF $4,900
3 Evan Longoria RIGHT 0.352 0.247 38.2% 0.184 3B $3,900 3B $4,000
4 Brad Miller LEFT 0.343 0.261 36.2% 0.211 SS $3,300 1B/SS $4,200
5 Nick Franklin SWITCH 0.385 0.222 37.0% 0.277 2B $2,800 1B/OF $3,700
6 Corey Dickerson LEFT 0.327 0.253 30.4% 0.420 OF $3,200 OF $4,000
7 Steven Souza RIGHT 0.312 0.170 29.7% 0.406 OF $3,300 OF $4,400
8 Mikie Mahtook RIGHT 0.209 0.062 30.4% 0.207 OF $2,000 OF $2,600
9 Luke Maile RIGHT 0.266 0.111 33.9% 0.160 C $2,500 C $2,800
Team Averages — 0.319 0.187 33.7% 0.304 — — — —

Elite Plays – Brad Miller

Secondary Plays – Evan Longoria, Kevin Kiermaier

Stackability – ORANGE

Baltimore

Andriese has allowed a .301 wOBA to lefties and .315 wOBA to righties on the year. The Orioles have a projected run total of 4.85, which is the eighth highest total on the day. The Orioles are decent favorites today in a large total game, making them in play tonight.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Adam Jones RIGHT 0.352 0.204 32.1% 0.329 OF $3,300 OF $4,800
2 Michael Bourn LEFT 0.285 0.119 26.2% 0.442 OF $2,500 OF $4,200
3 Manny Machado RIGHT 0.377 0.265 35.3% 0.384 3B $3,800 3B/SS $5,100
4 Chris Davis LEFT 0.362 0.283 43.3% 0.433 1B $3,700 1B $5,000
5 Mark Trumbo RIGHT 0.378 0.286 38.9% 0.306 OF $3,200 OF $4,400
6 Jonathan Schoop RIGHT 0.345 0.211 29.9% 0.235 2B $3,200 2B $4,600
7 Matt Wieters SWITCH 0.315 0.184 32.5% 0.340 C $2,800 C $4,300
8 J.J. Hardy RIGHT 0.307 0.138 32.2% 0.405 SS $2,400 SS $3,300
9 Ryan Flaherty LEFT 0.260 0.118 30.1% 0.353 3B $2,000 3B $3,100
Team Averages — 0.331 0.201 33.4% 0.359 — — — —

Elite Plays – Chris Davis, Manny Machado

Secondary Plays – Mark Trumbo, Adam Jones, Matt Wieters

Stackability – YELLOW

Minnesota at NY Mets – 7:10 PM ET

Minnesota NY Mets
Article Image Ervin Santana Article Image Seth Lugo
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
NYM -150 8.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.298 6 27.8% 16.2% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.273 2 43.9% 18.8%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.303 12 31.5% 21.9% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.251 1 37.4% 19.5%

Pitcher Grind Down

Ervin Santana
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,600 Salary: $8,900
FPPG: 28.5 FPPG: 14.7
Pitcher Rating: 57.3 Pitcher Rank: 16
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 107.0 4.09 3.41 24.2% 9.9% 13.6% 41.9% 29.1% 30.2%
2016 26 98.2 4.34 3.58 19.1% 6.7% 9.9% 42.5% 35.1% 29.7%
2015 17 98.7 4.43 4.00 17.9% 7.9% 9.5% 40.9% 37.6% 28.1%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.04 — K%: 18.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.304
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.46 — K%: 19.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.311

Santana has been a nice surprise this year for the Twins, especially recently, as he has allowed two earned runs or fewer in eight of his last ten starts. His SIERA now sits at 4.34 for the season to go along with his below average strikeout rate of 19.1%. The matchup is tougher against the Mets, as they have been great recently, sporting the sixth-highest wOBA in the league in the last 30 days. His price has risen to a point where he is tough to play at DK, but not at FD.

Seth Lugo
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,500 Salary: $5,900
FPPG: 19.0 FPPG: 10.2
Pitcher Rating: 66.8 Pitcher Rank: 13
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 95.8 4.20 2.31 18.1% 4.4% 9.4% 39.6% 34.7% 40.4%
2016 5 140.2 4.17 2.40 19.2% 6.2% 9.3% 41.8% 35.8% 39.3%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 2.31 — K%: 19.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.243
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 2.49 — K%: 19.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.276

Like Santana, Seth Lugo has been a nice surprise for his team. He has now made five straight starts with the Mets being victorious in four straight. He has allowed just eight earned runs in those five starts and has pitched seven innings in his last two. His 19.2% strikeout rate is not terrible as he takes on a Twins offense that is ranked in the middle of the league in the offensive categories below. His salary is very cheap at DK, putting him in play as an SP2 tonight.

Batter Grind Down

Minnesota

Lugo has kept batters to a wOBA of under .273 from both sides of the plate in his five starts this year. The Twins have the sixth-lowest projected run total of the day at 3.71 runs, making them a tough offense to spend up on.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Brian Dozier RIGHT 0.376 0.279 33.1% 0.560 2B $4,400 2B $5,300
2 Jorge Polanco RIGHT 0.304 0.107 23.6% 0.339 3B $2,900 3B/SS $3,400
3 Joe Mauer LEFT 0.347 0.141 30.9% 0.265 1B $2,800 1B $4,000
4 Kennys Vargas SWITCH 0.310 0.192 34.0% 0.416 1B $3,300 1B $3,800
5 Max Kepler LEFT 0.347 0.237 33.2% 0.222 OF $2,900 OF $4,000
6 Eduardo Escobar SWITCH 0.279 0.099 26.8% 0.155 SS $2,400 3B/SS $2,300
7 Eddie Rosario LEFT 0.311 0.183 35.6% 0.282 OF $2,900 OF $3,400
8 Juan Centeno LEFT 0.296 0.127 34.4% 0.160 C $2,200 C $2,400
9 Byron Buxton RIGHT 0.295 0.186 22.9% 0.475 OF $3,100 OF $3,800
Team Averages — 0.318 0.172 30.5% 0.319 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Brian Dozier

Stackability – RED

NY Mets

The Mets have a middle-of-the-road projected run total of 4.29 runs. Their top five bats in the order are all in play today, as they have all been hot and are priced slightly lower than they should be.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jose Reyes SWITCH 0.276 0.114 26.5% 0.299 3B $2,800 3B/SS $3,800
2 Asdrubal Cabrera SWITCH 0.331 0.199 36.1% 0.409 SS $3,400 SS $3,500
3 Yoenis Cespedes RIGHT 0.362 0.261 38.1% 0.272 OF $4,100 OF $4,500
4 Curtis Granderson LEFT 0.334 0.240 38.8% 0.353 OF $3,600 OF $4,500
5 Jay Bruce LEFT 0.350 0.268 39.1% 0.274 OF $3,300 OF $3,500
6 Kelly Johnson LEFT 0.300 0.140 30.1% 0.227 3B $2,500 2B/3B $2,800
7 James Loney LEFT 0.309 0.122 30.0% 0.308 1B $2,500 1B $2,700
8 Rene Rivera RIGHT 0.237 0.096 32.6% 0.210 C $2,200 C $2,300
9 Seth Lugo RIGHT 0.204 0.000 40.0% 0.261 P $7,500 P $5,900
Team Averages — 0.300 0.160 34.6% 0.290 — — — —

Elite Plays – Jose Reyes, Asdrubal Cabrera

Secondary Plays – Yoenis Cespedes, Jay Bruce, Curtis Granderson

Stackability – ORANGE

Chicago White Sox at Kansas City – 7:15 PM ET

Chicago White Sox Kansas City
Article Image Miguel Gonzalez Article Image Jason Vargas
RIGHT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
KC -100 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.305 6 28.9% 17.8% SP vs. Left (2016)
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.306 4 29.5% 17.5% SP vs. Right (2016)

Pitcher Grind Down

Miguel Gonzalez
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,400 Salary: $7,000
FPPG: 24.0 FPPG: 12.2
Pitcher Rating: 47.0 Pitcher Rank: 23
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 1 91.0 4.22 0.00 16.0% 0.0% 8.8% 30.0% 35.0% 30.0%
2016 19 90.5 4.56 3.81 17.8% 7.2% 8.5% 41.4% 35.2% 30.8%
2015 26 93.8 4.51 4.91 17.5% 8.2% 8.9% 40.3% 35.8% 28.6%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.62 — K%: 17.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.334
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.27 — K%: 18.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.322

This game is pretty easy to avoid the pitching matchup in. The Sox are sending out Miguel Gonzalez, who has a high 4.61 SIERA and low 17.6% strikeout rate. The matchup is not terrible, but Vegas has it as a pick ‘em with a total of nine. He is an easy avoid tonight.

Jason Vargas
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,400 Salary: $4,700
FPPG: 0.0 FPPG: 0.0
Pitcher Rating: 42.2 Pitcher Rank: 26
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
2015 9 76.3 4.70 3.98 14.8% 6.6% 7.7% 40.8% 40.1% 36.4%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.26 — K%: 18.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.298
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.75 — K%: 12.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.342

On the other side of this game, we have Vargas, who will be making his first start since Tommy John Surgery today. There is no need to waste a roster spot, as the Royals have said he will be limited to either three innings of work or 45 pitches. There is no value here.

Batter Grind Down

Chicago White Sox

We are looking at about three innings from Vargas, and then Dillon Gee should take over after him, making the White Sox decent plays today against someone who hasn’t started in a long while and Gee, who is coming off a horrible start. Both offenses are tough to stack but could be used as one off plays at a number of different positions.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Adam Eaton LEFT 0.327 0.084 28.3% 0.458 OF $3,400 OF $4,600
2 Tim Anderson RIGHT 0.367 0.160 38.9% 0.301 SS $2,900 SS $3,900
3 Melky Cabrera SWITCH 0.369 0.185 29.5% 0.366 OF $3,000 OF $4,500
4 Jose Abreu RIGHT 0.344 0.256 39.8% 0.424 1B $3,400 1B $4,600
5 Todd Frazier RIGHT 0.330 0.286 33.3% 0.348 3B $3,600 3B $4,500
6 Avisail Garcia RIGHT 0.313 0.159 38.2% 0.298 OF $3,000 OF $4,000
7 Jason Coats RIGHT 0.424 0.286 31.3% 0.413 OF $2,000 OF $3,000
8 Omar Narvaez LEFT 0.390 0.077 10.0% 0.235 C $2,400 C $2,800
9 Leury Garcia SWITCH 0.000 0.000 0.0% 0.000 OF $2,800
Team Averages — 0.318 0.166 27.7% 0.316 — — — —

Elite Plays – Jose Abreu, Adam Eaton

Secondary Plays – Melky Cabrera, Tim Anderson, Todd Frazier

Stackability – YELLOW

Kansas City

Gonzalez has allowed a .305 wOBA to lefties and .306 to righties on the year. The Royals are not the greatest offense to target for upside, but lately, the batters at the top of the order have been sources of value. That could again ring true tonight if guys like Burns, Dyson, and Merrifield are batting high up.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jarrod Dyson LEFT 0.288 0.095 16.5% 0.364 OF $2,900 OF $4,000
2 Whit Merrifield RIGHT 0.284 0.097 30.1% 0.359 2B $2,900 2B/OF $3,100
3 Eric Hosmer LEFT 0.355 0.176 37.0% 0.432 1B $3,000 1B $4,100
4 Kendrys Morales SWITCH 0.325 0.201 43.1% 0.464 1B $3,200 1B/OF $4,300
5 Salvador Perez RIGHT 0.307 0.177 35.4% 0.186 C $3,100 C $3,100
6 Alex Gordon LEFT 0.306 0.166 35.9% 0.211 OF $2,900 OF $3,300
7 Alcides Escobar RIGHT 0.291 0.079 20.1% 0.353 SS $2,700 SS $3,700
8 Christian Colon RIGHT 0.261 0.042 16.5% 0.263 2B $2,400 2B/3B $2,500
9 Billy Burns SWITCH 0.232 0.055 12.2% 0.000 OF $2,200 OF $2,500
Team Averages — 0.294 0.121 27.4% 0.292 — — — —

Elite Plays – Jarrod Dyson, Whit Merrifield, Eric Hosmer

Secondary Plays – Kendrys Morales, Alex Gordon

Stackability – YELLOW

Oakland at Texas – 8:05 PM ET

Oakland Texas
Article Image Raul Alcantara Article Image Yu Darvish
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
TEX -240 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.317 1 42.1% 8.7% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.276 3 31.6% 29.2%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.603 1 58.3% 11.1% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.291 7 25.0% 30.9%

Pitcher Grind Down

Raul Alcantara
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,500 Salary: $4,000
FPPG: 8.5 FPPG: 1.4
Pitcher Rating: 20.1 Pitcher Rank: 30
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 2 82.5 5.53 7.27 9.8% 4.9% 3.0% 38.7% 45.2% 48.4%
2016 2 82.5 5.51 7.27 9.8% 4.9% 3.0% 38.7% 45.2% 48.4%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 7.27 — K%: 9.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.443
Away (2015-16):—ERA: — K%: — wOBA Allowed:

Alcantara has only made two starts, but his boxes are completely red above. He has a very high ERA and very low strikeout rate in that short sample. The matchup is tough enough that he is an easy avoid against the Rangers who are a top-10 offense.

Yu Darvish
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $10,800 Salary: $12,200
FPPG: 37.6 FPPG: 20.9
Pitcher Rating: 87.2 Pitcher Rank: 3
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 96.8 3.75 4.15 27.3% 9.1% 11.2% 41.5% 42.7% 24.4%
2016 14 92.6 3.23 3.28 30.1% 7.3% 12.2% 41.2% 39.3% 28.0%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.72 — K%: 26.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.297
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 2.72 — K%: 34.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.268

Darvish finally bounced back from a stretch, where he allowed at least three earned runs in three straight games. He pitched very well in his last start, where he struck out nine and only allowed one run. That momentum should continue, as he gets a solid matchup against the A’s, who are ranked 28th in wOBA and 24th in ISO against righties. While they strikeout at a low rate, it hasn’t been a problem for Yu as he has 15 in just 13 innings pitched against Oakland this year. He is the top pitching option of the night slate.

Batter Grind Down

Oakland

Darvish has pitched very well against this A’s team this year, and overall, he has kept batters to a wOBA of under .291 from both sides of the plate. They are not an offense to attack in any spot tonight.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Joey Wendle LEFT 0.263 0.000 28.0% 0.307 3B $2,400 2B $2,400
2 Danny Valencia RIGHT 0.324 0.152 31.7% 0.304 3B $3,100 3B/OF $3,100
3 Stephen Vogt LEFT 0.314 0.153 27.2% 0.250 C $3,300 C $3,300
4 Khris Davis RIGHT 0.338 0.264 38.6% 0.311 OF $3,600 OF $4,000
5 Yonder Alonso LEFT 0.310 0.121 34.8% 0.376 1B $2,800 1B $3,000
6 Ryon Healy RIGHT 0.353 0.182 30.4% 0.437 3B $3,600 3B $3,400
7 Marcus Semien RIGHT 0.295 0.172 27.2% 0.217 SS $3,300 SS $3,200
8 Matt Olson LEFT 0.690 0.000 0.0% 0.690 OF $2,400
9 Jake Smolinski RIGHT 0.264 0.077 28.4% 0.190 OF $2,400 OF $2,500
Team Averages — 0.350 0.125 27.4% 0.342 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – None

Stackability – RED

Texas

The Rangers get a solid matchup against Alcantara, and Vegas agrees as they are the sixth-highest projected offense at 5.31 runs. They are one of the better offenses to target on the night slate along with the Coors teams.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Carlos Gomez RIGHT 0.277 0.145 29.8% 0.381 OF $3,000 OF $3,700
2 Ian Desmond RIGHT 0.338 0.176 30.4% 0.352 OF $3,700 OF $4,700
3 Carlos Beltran SWITCH 0.337 0.204 33.0% 0.398 OF $3,600 OF $4,500
4 Adrian Beltre RIGHT 0.352 0.202 32.8% 0.453 3B $3,200 3B $5,000
5 Rougned Odor LEFT 0.351 0.255 34.9% 0.422 2B $3,900 2B $5,200
6 Jonathan Lucroy RIGHT 0.380 0.199 32.9% 0.375 C $3,600 C $5,000
7 Mitch Moreland LEFT 0.321 0.207 35.1% 0.252 1B $3,200 1B $3,600
8 Nomar Mazara LEFT 0.341 0.186 30.6% 0.322 OF $3,200 OF $4,100
9 Elvis Andrus RIGHT 0.320 0.114 26.2% 0.402 SS $2,800 SS $4,000
Team Averages — 0.335 0.188 31.7% 0.373 — — — —

Elite Plays – Carlos Gomez, Ian Desmond, Adrian Beltre

Secondary Plays – Rougned Odor, Carlos Beltran, Jonathan Lucroy

Stackability – GREEN

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About the Author

Ryan138
Ryan138

Ryan (Ryan138) is from Chicago and has been playing fantasy sports for over 10 years. He has been playing daily fantasy sports for over 2 years since he was introduced to Daily Joust in late 2010. In the last year, Ryan has risen into the Top 100 of the RotoGrinders leaderboards by playing at DraftDay, DraftKings and FanDuel in all the major sports.