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MLB Grind Down: Saturday, September 24th - Page Three

by Ryan138 Last Updated 2016-09-24 18:30:01

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LA Angels at Houston – 7:10 PM ET

LA Angels Houston
Article Image Jhoulys Chacin Article Image Brad Peacock
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
HOU -150 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.339 9 36.4% 13.3% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.327 2 32.3% 20.5%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.326 5 27.8% 23.8% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.291 3 21.9% 16.3%

Pitcher Grind Down

Jhoulys Chacin
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,400 Salary: $6,000
FPPG: 17.0 FPPG: 8.0
Pitcher Rating: 50.0 Pitcher Rank: 22
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 2 184.0 3.42 3.18 25.3% 7.4% 10.3% 43.8% 25.0% 21.9%
2016 20 110.0 4.45 5.29 18.4% 8.8% 8.0% 47.4% 29.1% 32.5%
2015 4 106.5 4.28 3.38 18.9% 9.0% 8.9% 47.4% 33.3% 38.8%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.70 — K%: 19.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.281
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 6.12 — K%: 17.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.371

Chacin has been solid out of the bullpen for the Angels. He has put up a 3.42 SIERA (3.18 ERA) over his last 30 days to go along with a solid 25.3 percent strikeout rate. With that said, he was not good as a starter earlier in the year and has a tough matchup today against the Astros, who are heavy favorites in a game with a nine-run total. He is not a pitcher to play tonight.

Brad Peacock
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,300 Salary: $6,800
FPPG: 11.6 FPPG: 6.7
Pitcher Rating: 46.8 Pitcher Rank: 24
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 2 126.5 4.41 2.70 20.9% 9.0% 8.7% 36.2% 48.9% 27.7%
2016 3 110.0 4.72 2.86 18.4% 9.2% 7.6% 41.3% 47.6% 27.0%
2015 1 85.0 5.23 5.40 13.6% 9.1% 5.9% 31.3% 37.5% 31.3%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.21 — K%: 20.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.295
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.46 — K%: 14.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.339

Peacock has actually been decent as a starter over the last couple games, but his major issue is the fact that he has not pitched into the 80s yet in terms of pitch count. His SIERA sits about two runs higher than his ERA on the season, and his strikeout rate is not high enough for the amount of innings he may go tonight. He is not someone to play tonight.

Batter Grind Down

LA Angels

The Angels are an average offense that does not strike out often and has the 13th-lowest projected run total on the entire day. They are a tough offense to play other than Trout up front and Calhoun if he suits up.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Yunel Escobar RIGHT 0.318 0.064 27.0% 0.275 3B $2,600 3B $2,900
2 Mike Trout RIGHT 0.424 0.251 41.6% 0.345 OF $4,500 OF $5,600
3 Albert Pujols RIGHT 0.318 0.168 35.0% 0.216 1B $3,200 1B $4,200
4 C.J. Cron RIGHT 0.357 0.206 33.8% 0.241 1B $2,600 1B $3,300
5 Andrelton Simmons RIGHT 0.294 0.077 25.2% 0.391 SS $2,700 SS $3,500
6 Jefry Marte RIGHT 0.315 0.195 35.4% 0.260 3B $2,900 1B/3B $3,200
7 Rafael Ortega LEFT 0.241 0.056 22.5% 0.233 OF $2,100 OF $2,400
8 Carlos Perez RIGHT 0.251 0.121 23.9% 0.215 C $2,200 C $2,300
9 Gregorio Petit RIGHT 0.299 0.111 27.5% 0.257 SS $2,200 2B/SS $2,300
Team Averages — 0.313 0.139 30.2% 0.270 — — — —

Elite Plays – Mike Trout

Secondary Plays – Kole Calhoun, Yunel Escobar

Stackability – ORANGE

Houston

The Astros have a high run total of 4.79 runs, which is the fourth-highest team total of the entire day. They are in play in all formats against Chacin, who has allowed a .339 wOBA to lefties and .326 wOBA to righties on the year.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 George Springer RIGHT 0.328 0.169 31.6% 0.267 OF $3,900 OF $3,900
2 Yuli Gurriel RIGHT 0.335 0.159 29.1% 0.290 3B $3,000 1B/3B $2,700
3 Jose Altuve RIGHT 0.396 0.206 32.7% 0.277 2B $3,900 2B $5,400
4 Carlos Correa RIGHT 0.361 0.195 35.7% 0.338 SS $3,500 SS $4,600
5 Evan Gattis RIGHT 0.331 0.259 34.1% 0.441 C $3,000 C $4,200
6 Marwin Gonzalez SWITCH 0.288 0.140 35.1% 0.208 1B $2,800 1B $3,400
7 Tony Kemp LEFT 0.306 0.115 33.9% 0.427 OF $2,200 OF $3,100
8 Jason Castro LEFT 0.338 0.210 39.4% 0.186 C $2,500 C $2,900
9 Jake Marisnick RIGHT 0.231 0.088 23.3% 0.191 OF $2,200 OF $2,900
Team Averages — 0.324 0.171 32.8% 0.292 — — — —

Elite Plays – Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa, George Springer

Secondary Plays – Yuli Gurriel, Evan Gattis, Marwin Gonzalez

Stackability – GREEN

Philadelphia at NY Mets – 7:10 PM ET

Philadelphia NY Mets
Article Image Alec Asher Article Image Noah Syndergaard
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
NYM -240 7.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.314 0 28.6% 9.1% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.310 6 31.7% 27.9%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.164 0 24.0% 15.2% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.256 5 25.4% 30.1%

Pitcher Grind Down

Alec Asher
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,900 Salary: $4,300
FPPG: 24.7 FPPG: 13.1
Pitcher Rating: 30.2 Pitcher Rank: 29
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 2 85.0 6.37 1.46 8.7% 8.7% 7.1% 27.8% 47.2% 26.3%
2016 3 81.3 5.36 2.16 12.1% 6.1% 5.7% 32.0% 42.0% 26.4%
2015 7 71.6 5.34 9.31 11.6% 7.3% 7.8% 36.1% 45.4% 32.4%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 8.07 — K%: 13.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.428
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.32 — K%: 8.7% — wOBA Allowed: 0.257

Rarely do you see a guy’s ERA this much lower than his SIERA. Asher sports a solid 2.16 ERA after just three starts, but his SIERA sits more than three runs higher at 5.36. The matchup today is not terrible against the Mets who rank 25th in team wOBA against righties, yet Asher should not be played in any format tonight.

Noah Syndergaard
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $10,600 Salary: $11,900
FPPG: 38.8 FPPG: 21.4
Pitcher Rating: 97.5 Pitcher Rank: 2
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 101.0 3.41 1.06 27.9% 8.2% 13.7% 53.2% 31.2% 24.4%
2016 29 98.0 3.00 2.63 29.1% 6.0% 14.3% 50.5% 27.6% 28.1%
2015 24 99.2 2.95 3.24 27.5% 5.1% 12.2% 46.5% 33.6% 24.6%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 2.68 — K%: 28.7% — wOBA Allowed: 0.257
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.20 — K%: 28.1% — wOBA Allowed: 0.306

Thor takes the mound as one of the top options going tonight. He comes in tonight with a 3.00 SIERA and 2.63 ERA on the year to go along with his elite strikeout rate of 29.1 percent. There are three elite options going tonight and all three have solid matchups. Kershaw is the heaviest favorite, while I have Thor as my number two pitcher going tonight.

Batter Grind Down

Philadelphia

The Phillies have gotten to a couple solid starters recently, but it is tough to see that happening again today. The Phillies have the second-lowest team run total of the entire day, making them an easy offense to avoid tonight.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Cesar Hernandez SWITCH 0.329 0.117 26.8% 0.338 2B $3,100 2B $3,600
2 Roman Quinn SWITCH 0.299 0.040 16.7% 0.339 OF $2,600 OF $2,200
3 Maikel Franco RIGHT 0.290 0.152 29.0% 0.287 3B $2,800 3B $3,300
4 Tommy Joseph RIGHT 0.334 0.249 37.8% 0.526 1B $2,300 1B $4,100
5 Cameron Rupp RIGHT 0.304 0.170 32.0% 0.289 C $3,000 C $3,000
6 Freddy Galvis SWITCH 0.302 0.183 28.1% 0.343 SS $2,800 SS $3,500
7 Aaron Altherr RIGHT 0.260 0.098 29.3% 0.216 OF $2,700 OF $2,700
8 Tyler Goeddel RIGHT 0.277 0.129 23.6% 0.368 OF $2,100 OF $2,300
9 Alec Asher RIGHT 0.000 0.000 0.0% 0.000 P $5,900 P $4,300
Team Averages — 0.266 0.126 24.8% 0.301 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – None

Stackability – RED

NY Mets

In a small sample size, Asher has shut down righties while allowing lefties to a .314 wOBA. The Mets have a middle-of-the-road total today at just 4.31 runs. Some of the cheaper lefties high up in the order are in play today against a subpar pitcher.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jose Reyes SWITCH 0.281 0.129 25.8% 0.260 3B $3,200 3B/SS $4,600
2 Kelly Johnson LEFT 0.300 0.138 29.6% 0.272 3B $2,200 2B/3B $3,100
3 Yoenis Cespedes RIGHT 0.354 0.249 38.1% 0.270 OF $3,700 OF $4,800
4 Curtis Granderson LEFT 0.335 0.240 38.2% 0.351 OF $3,500 OF $4,700
5 T.J. Rivera RIGHT 0.421 0.240 24.5% 0.465 2B $2,800 2B/3B $3,400
6 Lucas Duda LEFT 0.345 0.215 37.2% 0.000 1B $2,100 1B $3,300
7 Michael Conforto LEFT 0.338 0.219 42.3% 0.339 OF $2,200 OF $3,300
8 Rene Rivera RIGHT 0.240 0.114 32.3% 0.273 C $2,200 C $2,400
9 Sean Gilmartin P $4,000 P $4,000
Team Averages — 0.327 0.193 33.5% 0.279 — — — —

Elite Plays – Jose Reyes, Curtis Granderson

Secondary Plays – Kelly Johnson, Yoenis Cespedes, Michael Conforto

Stackability – YELLOW

Seattle at Minnesota – 7:10 PM ET

Seattle Minnesota
Article Image Ariel Miranda Article Image Tyler Duffey
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
SEA -118 9.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.393 1 36.0% 23.1% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.315 6 30.4% 21.9%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.293 8 37.9% 18.5% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.420 17 35.9% 16.3%

Pitcher Grind Down

Ariel Miranda
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,800 Salary: $7,500
FPPG: 25.7 FPPG: 12.9
Pitcher Rating: 43.5 Pitcher Rank: 25
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 91.4 5.19 3.25 16.4% 10.0% 8.1% 39.5% 43.2% 34.6%
2016 8 97.3 4.78 3.88 19.4% 8.7% 8.1% 31.9% 50.4% 37.6%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.41 — K%: 23.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.317
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.76 — K%: 13.5% — wOBA Allowed: 0.307

Miranda had a great last week, as he shut down both the Astros and the Angels offenses. Still, his SIERA still sits about two runs higher than his ERA during the last five starts at 5.19. His strikeout rate of 16.4 percent is too low to trust today as Vegas has him as a small favorite with a very high total. He is an easy avoid on a night that is stacked with stud pitchers.

Tyler Duffey
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,700 Salary: $4,700
FPPG: 21.8 FPPG: 9.6
Pitcher Rating: 50.4 Pitcher Rank: 20
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 3 77.0 3.96 10.80 19.4% 4.8% 10.0% 50.0% 32.6% 37.0%
2016 24 88.5 4.05 6.39 19.0% 5.6% 8.5% 47.8% 29.2% 33.3%
2015 10 90.8 3.83 3.10 21.9% 8.3% 9.8% 49.7% 30.9% 26.6%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 5.52 — K%: 18.5% — wOBA Allowed: 0.354
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 5.16 — K%: 21.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.347

Duffey is extremely cheap for a reason tonight. He holds a 10.80 ERA over the last three starts and has always had a low strikeout rate. His SIERA does show some bad luck, but Vegas doesn’t think improvements come today, as he is an underdog against a solid Mariners offense that is ranked ninth in wOBA and 11th in ISO against righties. He is an easy avoid tonight.

Batter Grind Down

Seattle

The Mariners have the third-highest projected offense of the entire day at 4.86 runs. They get a great matchup against Duffey, who has allowed a .315 wOBA to lefties and .420 wOBA to righties on the year. Stack away tonight in all formats.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Norichika Aoki LEFT 0.340 0.122 21.6% 0.421 OF $3,000 OF $4,200
2 Seth Smith LEFT 0.352 0.185 34.1% 0.357 OF $3,000 OF $3,900
3 Robinson Cano LEFT 0.375 0.236 38.8% 0.216 2B $3,800 2B $4,900
4 Nelson Cruz RIGHT 0.362 0.226 34.1% 0.357 OF $3,800 OF $4,400
5 Kyle Seager LEFT 0.393 0.238 40.0% 0.281 3B $3,700 3B $4,500
6 Adam Lind LEFT 0.307 0.214 38.8% 0.341 1B $2,600 1B $4,200
7 Leonys Martin LEFT 0.302 0.146 30.2% 0.324 OF $3,000 OF $4,100
8 Mike Zunino RIGHT 0.342 0.284 33.3% 0.327 C $2,600 C $3,500
9 Ketel Marte SWITCH 0.293 0.067 21.9% 0.219 SS $2,600 SS $3,200
Team Averages — 0.341 0.191 32.5% 0.316 — — — —

Elite Plays – Nelson Cruz, Robinson Cano, Kyle Seager

Secondary Plays – Seth Smith, Adam Lind, Norichika Aoki

Stackability – GREEN

Minnesota

The Twins come into this game with high projected run total of 4.64, which is the sixth-highest of the entire day. Miranda has really struggled against left-handed bats on the year as he has allowed a wOBA of .393 to them on the year.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Brian Dozier RIGHT 0.426 0.364 41.6% 0.390 2B $3,800 2B $5,500
2 Jorge Polanco RIGHT 0.396 0.216 30.0% 0.302 3B $2,700 3B/SS $3,500
3 Robbie Grossman SWITCH 0.457 0.264 35.3% 0.384 OF $2,800 OF $4,500
4 Kennys Vargas SWITCH 0.594 0.484 52.0% 0.400 1B $2,800 1B $3,900
5 Kurt Suzuki RIGHT 0.326 0.181 24.4% 0.217 C $2,600 C $3,400
6 Max Kepler LEFT 0.254 0.110 31.7% 0.193 OF $2,600 OF $3,400
7 Eduardo Escobar SWITCH 0.252 0.113 25.3% 0.066 SS $2,100 3B/SS $2,600
8 John Murphy RIGHT 0.236 0.000 33.3% 0.196 C $2,000 C $2,800
9 Byron Buxton RIGHT 0.270 0.173 30.8% 0.283 OF $3,100 OF $3,000
Team Averages — 0.357 0.212 33.8% 0.270 — — — —

Elite Plays – Robbie Grossman, Kennys Vargas, Brian Dozier

Secondary Plays – Jorge Polanco, Max Kepler

Stackability – ORANGE

San Francisco at San Diego – 8:40 PM ET

San Francisco San Diego
Article Image Madison Bumgarner Article Image Jarred Cosart
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
SF -190 7.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.234 4 26.0% 32.7% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.301 3 19.8% 16.0%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.274 19 32.4% 27.0% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.358 1 36.1% 13.2%

Pitcher Grind Down

Madison Bumgarner
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $11,000 Salary: $13,400
FPPG: 39.6 FPPG: 22.7
Pitcher Rating: 88.1 Pitcher Rank: 3
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 104.2 3.19 4.99 27.5% 4.6% 10.9% 45.5% 39.8% 29.6%
2016 32 105.2 3.31 2.57 28.1% 6.1% 11.5% 39.5% 41.0% 31.2%
2015 32 103.5 3.00 2.93 26.9% 4.5% 12.5% 41.7% 35.6% 27.8%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 1.99 — K%: 29.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.240
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.63 — K%: 25.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.295

Bumgarner is another ace taking the mound tonight. He has been stellar this year, as he has put up a 3.31 SIERA (2.57 ERA) to go along with an elite strikeout rate of 28.1 percent. Het gets a solid matchup against the Padres, who are ranked 21st in wOBA against lefties and 16th in ISO. Bumgarner is right up there with Kershaw and Thor tonight, and while I like the other two a bit better, you cannot go wrong with any of the options.

Jarred Cosart
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,200 Salary: $4,500
FPPG: 14.8 FPPG: 6.2
Pitcher Rating: 41.1 Pitcher Rank: 27
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 4 78.5 4.64 5.40 15.3% 10.6% 7.0% 65.0% 23.3% 30.7%
2016 12 88.5 5.28 5.63 14.6% 14.2% 6.4% 61.8% 18.5% 28.4%
2015 13 90.0 4.71 4.52 15.9% 11.2% 7.4% 55.5% 27.0% 26.1%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 2.64 — K%: 16.7% — wOBA Allowed: 0.301
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 7.52 — K%: 13.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.359

Cosart has been awful this season and over his last few starts as well. He comes in with a 5.28 SIERA (5.63 ERA) to go along with an extremely low 14.6 percent strikeout rate. Run support may be non-existent making Cosart an easy fade.

Batter Grind Down

San Francisco

The Giants have an average run total, as they are playing in a pitcher’s park but have a great matchup against a bad pitcher in Cosart. Cosart has allowed lefties a .301 wOBA and righties a .358 wOBA putting a number of players in play tonight.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Denard Span LEFT 0.328 0.130 26.5% 0.293 OF $3,400 OF $4,600
2 Angel Pagan SWITCH 0.323 0.132 25.8% 0.292 OF $3,200 OF $4,200
3 Buster Posey RIGHT 0.325 0.132 35.7% 0.339 C $3,400 C $4,100
4 Hunter Pence RIGHT 0.340 0.126 29.2% 0.442 OF $3,000 OF $4,200
5 Brandon Belt LEFT 0.362 0.182 37.6% 0.374 1B $3,400 1B $4,200
6 Eduardo Nunez RIGHT 0.327 0.132 26.5% 0.422 3B $3,300 3B/SS $4,800
7 Joe Panik LEFT 0.311 0.165 27.4% 0.191 2B $3,100 2B $4,200
8 Ehire Adrianza SWITCH 0.287 0.136 11.8% 0.446 2B/SS $2,900
9 Madison Bumgarner LEFT 0.230 0.119 32.1% 0.099 P $11,000 P $13,400
Team Averages — 0.315 0.139 28.1% 0.322 — — — —

Elite Plays – Buster Posey, Hunter Pence

Secondary Plays – Angel Pagan, Denard Span

Stackability – YELLOW

San Diego

If you want to go a bit contrarian, you could use a guy like Wil Myers, who has been pretty hot at the plate. Other than that, this Padres offense has the third-lowest total of the entire day and should be avoided against MadBum.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jon Jay LEFT 0.337 0.073 26.3% 0.267 OF $2,900 OF $3,000
2 Luis Sardinas SWITCH 0.331 0.179 41.9% 0.328 SS $2,800 SS $2,300
3 Wil Myers RIGHT 0.362 0.220 40.6% 0.433 1B $3,000 1B $4,100
4 Yangervis Solarte SWITCH 0.330 0.184 31.9% 0.340 3B $2,700 3B $3,700
5 Alex Dickerson LEFT 0.316 0.132 43.5% 0.314 OF $3,000 OF $2,800
6 Derek Norris RIGHT 0.264 0.114 39.8% 0.301 C $2,200 C $2,900
7 Adam Rosales RIGHT 0.341 0.213 40.8% 0.464 2B $2,400 2B/3B $3,400
8 Alexi Amarista LEFT 0.125 0.000 29.4% 0.146 SS $2,300 2B/SS $2,100
9 Jarred Cosart RIGHT 0.439 0.000 0.0% 0.000 P $5,200 P $4,500
Team Averages — 0.316 0.124 32.7% 0.288 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Wil Myers

Stackability – RED

Colorado at LA Dodgers – 9:10 PM ET

Colorado LA Dodgers
Article Image Chad Bettis Article Image Clayton Kershaw
RIGHT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
LAD -300 6.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.302 5 25.6% 18.1% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.152 0 27.5% 41.3%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.353 16 34.4% 16.2% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.221 7 30.0% 30.1%

Pitcher Grind Down

Chad Bettis
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,000 Salary: $8,000
FPPG: 26.4 FPPG: 12.5
Pitcher Rating: 50.0 Pitcher Rank: 21
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 4 102.5 4.28 2.25 19.6% 8.4% 9.3% 51.3% 28.9% 26.0%
2016 30 95.0 4.31 4.79 17.2% 6.9% 8.8% 51.4% 26.9% 30.1%
2015 20 94.1 4.08 4.23 19.5% 8.4% 9.8% 49.3% 28.5% 31.8%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.84 — K%: 18.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.343
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.32 — K%: 17.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.319

Bettis gets the start today for the Rockies, and he has been a bit better lately, sporting a 2.25 ERA over his last four starts. Still, his advanced stats do not show much improvement as his SIERA continues to be in the fours. His strikeout rate leaves a lot to be desired, and he in an easy fade against the best pitcher in the game today.

Clayton Kershaw
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $10,600 Salary: $12,800
FPPG: 45.0 FPPG: 27.4
Pitcher Rating: 98.8 Pitcher Rank: 1
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 2 65.0 1.85 2.25 32.3% 0.0% 12.3% 60.0% 20.0% 28.6%
2016 19 99.4 2.28 1.73 32.9% 2.0% 15.7% 50.0% 28.8% 29.5%
2015 33 102.8 2.24 2.13 33.8% 4.7% 15.9% 50.0% 28.2% 25.3%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 1.50 — K%: 35.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.199
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 2.48 — K%: 31.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.243

Kershaw is the top pitching option tonight as he takes the mound against the Rockies at home. He went 88 pitches in his last start, which bodes well for him to continue raising his pitch count as we head to the playoff run. He brings his 32.9 percent strikeout rate and 2.28 SIERA into this matchup, making him easily the best option on the slate.

Batter Grind Down

Colorado

Avoid the Rockies bats tonight against Clayton Kershaw, who is tuning his stuff up for the playoffs.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Charlie Blackmon LEFT 0.373 0.133 25.6% 0.492 OF $3,300 OF $3,800
2 DJ LeMahieu RIGHT 0.405 0.179 38.2% 0.448 2B $2,800 2B $3,700
3 Nolan Arenado RIGHT 0.352 0.230 38.1% 0.350 3B $3,400 3B $4,000
4 Carlos Gonzalez LEFT 0.326 0.233 41.4% 0.332 OF $3,000 OF $3,800
5 Nick Hundley RIGHT 0.375 0.231 42.3% 0.269 C $2,200 C $2,600
6 David Dahl LEFT 0.332 0.054 10.3% 0.291 OF $3,300 OF $3,300
7 Stephen Cardullo RIGHT 0.217 0.050 21.4% 0.201 OF $3,000 1B/OF $2,000
8 Daniel Descalso LEFT 0.336 0.229 26.9% 0.415 SS $2,900 1B/SS $2,500
9 Chad Bettis RIGHT 0.046 0.000 10.0% 0.276 P $7,000 P $8,000
Team Averages — 0.307 0.149 28.2% 0.342 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – None

Stackability – RED

LA Dodgers

The Dodgers have a low 4.15 projected run total, but they do have a solid matchup against Bettis. Bettis has allowed a wOBA of .353 to righties and .302 to lefties. With that said, there are a few better offenses better than the Dodgers tonight.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Chase Utley LEFT 0.327 0.141 38.9% 0.274 2B $2,700 2B $3,300
2 Andrew Toles LEFT 0.409 0.221 36.7% 0.252 OF $2,000 OF $2,300
3 Corey Seager LEFT 0.411 0.227 39.9% 0.327 SS $4,100 SS $4,600
4 Adrian Gonzalez LEFT 0.359 0.181 36.2% 0.219 1B $3,000 1B $3,300
5 Yasmani Grandal SWITCH 0.343 0.266 40.2% 0.184 C $3,000 C $3,300
6 Josh Reddick LEFT 0.368 0.158 31.1% 0.370 OF $2,900 OF $3,100
7 Joc Pederson LEFT 0.379 0.269 40.7% 0.379 OF $3,300 OF $3,500
8 Howie Kendrick RIGHT 0.322 0.141 35.6% 0.328 2B $2,600 2B/OF $2,800
9 Clayton Kershaw LEFT 0.176 0.037 13.0% 0.000 P $10,600 P $12,800
Team Averages — 0.344 0.182 34.7% 0.259 — — — —

Elite Plays – Corey Seager, Justin Turner

Secondary Plays – Andrew Toles, Adrian Gonzalez

Stackability –

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About the Author

Ryan138
Ryan138

Ryan (Ryan138) is from Chicago and has been playing fantasy sports for over 10 years. He has been playing daily fantasy sports for over 2 years since he was introduced to Daily Joust in late 2010. In the last year, Ryan has risen into the Top 100 of the RotoGrinders leaderboards by playing at DraftDay, DraftKings and FanDuel in all the major sports.