MLB Grind Down: Wednesday, April 27th

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2016-04-28 02:49:55

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code and FanDuel promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.

San Diego at San Francisco – 3:45 PM

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
San Diego					San Francisco
			Andrew Cashner					Jeff Samardzija
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			SF -188					7.5
SP vs. Left	0.368	14	19.7%	11.8%	SP vs. Left	0.355	22	17.1%	6.2%
SP vs. Right	0.304	7	21.4%	4.8%	SP vs. Right	0.295	9	18.5%	4.9%

Pitcher Grind Down

				Salary:$7,000		Salary:$7,600
Andrew Cashner
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:25.5		FPPG:13.1
				Pitcher Rating:51.4		Pitcher Rank:19
Statistics	Starts	SIERA	K%	BB%	GB%	HH%	O-K%
2016	4	3.80	21.1%	6.7%	45.2%	20.6%	1
2015	31	4.00	20.5%	8.2%	47.4%	30.2%	6

This is the only day game on the schedule today and it is only included in the all-day slate, so most of you can just skip down to the next game. Cashner is making his fifth start of the season. He has pitched well thus far, posting a 3.80 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 21.1%. The issue today is the matchup. The Giants are one of the toughest teams to strikeout and Cashner is typically much better at Petco Park than he is on the road. As such a major underdog, he can be avoided in all league formats.

				Salary:$9,000		Salary:$9,700
Jeff Samardzija
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:33.8		FPPG:17.1
				Pitcher Rating:77.4		Pitcher Rank:6
Statistics	Starts	SIERA	K%	BB%	GB%	HH%	O-K%
2016	4	4.11	17.1%	7.2%	51.2%	16.7%	24
2015	32	4.18	17.9%	5.4%	39.0%	27.0%	25

If you are playing in the all-day slate, Samardzija is a very interesting play for both cash games and GPPs. He is coming off of a great outing against the Marlins and many are projecting him to have a bounce back season now that he is with the Giants. Samardzija may not have the highest strikeout rate in the majors, but the Padres certainly help that cause. They are ranked 24th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season and were even worse in 2015.

Batter Grind Down

San Diego

Padres Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.299 (30 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.147 (23 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.79 (22 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.24 (27 of 30)

The Padres have the fourth lowest team total on the board today. They have been the worst offense in baseball over the last two seasons and facing Jeff Samardzija in AT&T Park certainly doesn’t qualify as a favorable matchup.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Jon Jay	LEFT	0.261	0.053	OF	$2,600	OF	$2,400
2	Wil Myers	RIGHT	0.335	0.199	1B	$3,200	1B	$3,300
3	Matt Kemp	RIGHT	0.314	0.171	OF	$3,400	OF	$4,000
4	Melvin Upton	RIGHT	0.325	0.174	OF	$2,900	OF	$3,100
5	Derek Norris	RIGHT	0.284	0.141	C	$2,300	C	$2,600
6	Alexei Ramirez	RIGHT	0.270	0.101	SS	$2,600	SS	$2,500
7	Jemile Weeks	SWITCH	0.201	0.000	2B	$2,700	2B	$2,000
8	Adam Rosales	RIGHT	0.287	0.162	2B	$2,100	1B/2B	$2,000
9	Andrew Cashner	RIGHT	0.103	0.000	P	$7,000	P	$7,600
	Team Averages	—	0.264	0.111	—	$2,725	—	$2,738

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

San Francisco

Giants Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.321 (5 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.146 (19 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.95 (5 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.26 (12 of 30)

Given the fact that there is a game in Coors Field and a number of other games with high run totals, it’s probably safe to avoid both offenses in this one. You can certainly look at the left-handed hitters in the Giants’ lineup, though. Since the start of last season, Andrew Cashner has allowed a .368 wOBA and 14 home runs to batters from the left side of the plate.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Denard Span	LEFT	0.384	0.155	OF	$3,400	OF	$3,600
2	Joe Panik	LEFT	0.362	0.166	2B	$3,300	2B	$3,700
3	Matt Duffy	RIGHT	0.342	0.148	3B	$2,500	3B	$3,100
4	Buster Posey	RIGHT	0.358	0.139	C	$3,600	C	$4,200
5	Brandon Belt	LEFT	0.360	0.194	1B	$3,200	1B	$3,500
6	Hunter Pence	RIGHT	0.363	0.201	OF	$3,300	OF	$4,200
7	Brandon Crawford	LEFT	0.345	0.221	SS	$2,800	SS	$3,100
8	Jeff Samardzija	RIGHT	0.306	0.143	P	$9,000	P	$9,700
9	Angel Pagan	SWITCH	0.276	0.084	OF	$2,900	OF	$3,400
	Team Averages	—	0.344	0.161	—	$3,778	—	$4,278

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Denard Span, Joe Panik, Buster Posey, Brandon Belt

Stackability – NONE

Philadelphia at Washington – 7:05 PM

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Philadelphia					Washington
			Jeremy Hellickson					Gio Gonzalez
			RIGHT					LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			WAS -200					7.5
SP vs. Left	0.341	9	18.1%	8.1%	SP vs. Left	0.271	1	14.9%	6.4%
SP vs. Right	0.337	17	20.7%	5.1%	SP vs. Right	0.312	8	25.0%	9.5%

Pitcher Grind Down

				Salary:$6,300		Salary:$6,400
Jeremy Hellickson
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:24.0		FPPG:12.1
				Pitcher Rating:57.4		Pitcher Rank:17
Statistics	Starts	SIERA	K%	BB%	GB%	HH%	O-K%
2016	4	3.32	23.8%	3.6%	34.5%	35.0%	16
2015	27	4.14	19.0%	6.8%	42.4%	34.3%	28

Hellickson has pitched well in his first three starts of the season, posting a 3.32 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 23.8% and a shocking low walk rate of 3.6%. Has he found something in his game or is this thanks to a small sample size? He comes into tonight’s game as a huge underdog against the Nationals in Washington. He may be able to win me over eventually, but for now I will take a wait and see approach with Hellickson.

				Salary:$9,600		Salary:$9,600
Gio Gonzalez
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:40.0		FPPG:23.5
				Pitcher Rating:87.0		Pitcher Rank:3
Statistics	Starts	SIERA	K%	BB%	GB%	HH%	O-K%
2016	3	3.13	26.7%	5.3%	42.9%	25.5%	30
2015	31	3.77	22.3%	9.1%	53.8%	28.7%	17

Gonzalez has gotten off to a quick start this season, posting a 3.13 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 26.7% in his first three starts. He has cut down on his walks and he has managed to last at least six innings in every start thus far. He draws a terrific matchup tonight against the Phillies at home. Not only do the Phillies struggle to hit left-handed pitching, but they also have the highest strikeout rate against southpaws this season. He grades out as a comparable play to Matt Harvey tonight, so I’d suggest using Harvey on FanDuel and Gonzalez on DraftKings to take advantage of the pricing differences between sites.

Batter Grind Down

Philadelphia

Phillies Offense
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.303 (24 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.122 (26 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.26 (28 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.17 (28 of 30)

The Phillies have not fared well against left-handed pitching over the last two seasons, ranking 24th in team wOBA and 26th in team ISO. They average the third fewest runs per game this season and they come into tonight’s game with the third lowest team total on the board. Basically, it’s safe to avoid the Phillies’ hitters tonight against Gio Gonzalez.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Cesar Hernandez	RIGHT	0.315	0.067	2B	$2,200	2B	$2,300
2	Freddy Galvis	SWITCH	0.255	0.029	SS	$2,700	SS	$3,000
3	Odubel Herrera	LEFT	0.328	0.096	OF	$3,400	OF	$3,300
4	Maikel Franco	RIGHT	0.352	0.264	3B	$3,500	3B	$3,400
5	Darin Ruf	RIGHT	0.456	0.282	1B	$2,000	1B/OF	$2,000
6	Carlos Ruiz	RIGHT	0.399	0.213	C	$2,500	C	$2,000
7	Peter Bourjos	RIGHT	0.265	0.145	OF	$2,100	OF	$2,300
8	Tyler Goeddel	RIGHT	0.080	0.000	OF	$2,000	OF	$2,800
9	Jeremy Hellickson	RIGHT	0.212	0.000	P	$6,300	P	$6,500
	Team Averages	—	0.296	0.122	—	$2,550	—	$2,638

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

Washington

Nationals Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.310 (18 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.150 (13 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.39 (10 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.33 (11 of 30)

The Nationals draw a boom or bust matchup tonight against Jeremy Hellickson. While he has pitched well this season, he has allowed a .337+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters since the start of 2015. The Nationals have the 11th highest team total on the board.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Michael Taylor	RIGHT	0.265	0.122	OF	$2,300	OF	$2,900
2	Anthony Rendon	RIGHT	0.303	0.094	3B	$2,700	3B	$3,400
3	Bryce Harper	LEFT	0.478	0.373	OF	$5,700	OF	$5,400
4	Ryan Zimmerman	RIGHT	0.290	0.151	1B	$2,700	1B	$3,100
5	Daniel Murphy	LEFT	0.354	0.197	2B	$3,500	2B	$4,100
6	Jayson Werth	RIGHT	0.296	0.142	OF	$3,100	OF	$3,400
7	Danny Espinosa	SWITCH	0.297	0.159	SS	$2,200	SS	$2,400
8	Jose Lobaton	SWITCH	0.277	0.116	C	$2,200	C	$2,200
9	Gio Gonzalez	LEFT	0.147	0.023	P	$9,600	P	$9,400
	Team Averages	—	0.301	0.153	—	$3,050	—	$3,363

Elite Plays – Bryce Harper

Secondary Plays – Daniel Murphy

Stackability – NONE

Chicago White Sox at Toronto – 7:07 PM

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Chicago White Sox					Toronto
			Jose Quintana					Marco Estrada
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			TOR -140					8.0
SP vs. Left	0.271	5	21.9%	4.6%	SP vs. Left	0.282	15	16.9%	8.0%
SP vs. Right	0.319	11	20.4%	5.3%	SP vs. Right	0.278	10	21.2%	7.4%

Pitcher Grind Down

				Salary:$8,300		Salary:$9,000
Jose Quintana
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:37.3		FPPG:20.3
				Pitcher Rating:64.2		Pitcher Rank:13
Statistics	Starts	SIERA	K%	BB%	GB%	HH%	O-K%
2016	4	3.48	22.9%	5.2%	39.1%	33.3%	25
2015	32	3.62	20.5%	5.1%	47.1%	27.7%	3

Quintana is coming off of yet another quality start on a night where his ownership was below 10% in most leagues. For whatever reason, people refuse to play him, even though he has pitched well in each of the last three seasons. He is an easy pitcher to avoid tonight though, as he takes on the Blue Jays in the Rogers Centre. Toronto is one of the best hitting teams in baseball against left-handed pitching (don’t trust the small sample size from this season).

				Salary:$8,600		Salary:$7,100
Marco Estrada
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:37.0		FPPG:19.6
				Pitcher Rating:56.2		Pitcher Rank:18
Statistics	Starts	SIERA	K%	BB%	GB%	HH%	O-K%
2016	3	3.67	26.0%	9.1%	38.8%	26.0%	6
2015	28	4.64	18.1%	7.6%	32.2%	27.4%	16

Estrada has actually shown some nice strikeout upside in his first three starts of the season. His command issues are still there though and I eventually expect his strikeout rate to come back down to around 20%. He draws a mediocre matchup tonight against the White Sox and he has to face them at home in the hitter-friendly Rogers Centre. Given the fact that he is a sizable favorite and that he is one of the cheapest pitching options on the board, I want to take a shot on him tonight. However, I just can’t stomach targeting a fly-ball pitcher in this ballpark.

Batter Grind Down

Chicago White Sox

White Sox Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.305 (24 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.137 (28 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.40 (26 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.77 (21 of 30)

The White Sox have gotten off to a slow start offensively, but the acquisition of Todd Frazier should eventually help improve their numbers. They have the tenth lowest team total tonight, but there are a couple of plays that stand out in this matchup. In his last 31 starts, Marco Estrada has allowed 31 home runs.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Adam Eaton	LEFT	0.359	0.164	OF	$3,000	OF	$3,900
2	Jimmy Rollins	SWITCH	0.263	0.127	SS	$2,800	SS	$3,300
3	Jose Abreu	RIGHT	0.371	0.233	1B	$3,100	1B	$4,000
4	Todd Frazier	RIGHT	0.331	0.216	3B	$4,000	3B	$3,900
5	Melky Cabrera	SWITCH	0.331	0.131	OF	$3,300	OF	$3,200
6	Brett Lawrie	RIGHT	0.291	0.129	2B	$2,600	2B	$3,400
7	Avisail Garcia	RIGHT	0.282	0.112	OF	$2,500	OF	$3,200
8	Dioner Navarro	SWITCH	0.259	0.084	C	$2,200	C	$2,600
9	Austin Jackson	RIGHT	0.281	0.093	OF	$2,200	OF	$3,000
	Team Averages	—	0.308	0.143	—	$2,856	—	$3,389

Elite Plays – Jose Abreu (FD)

Secondary Plays – Todd Frazier

Stackability – NONE

Toronto

Blue Jays Offense
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.354 (1 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.186 (1 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.29 (14 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.23 (13 of 30)

As I mentioned above, we have to take the Blue Jays’ numbers against lefties this season with a grain of salt. If you look at their numbers over the last two seasons combined, they are ranked first in both team wOBA and team ISO. Jose Quintana is a very good pitcher, but he has allowed a .319 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Michael Saunders	LEFT	0.444	0.333	OF	$3,400	OF	$2,800
2	Josh Donaldson	RIGHT	0.454	0.369	3B	$4,800	3B	$4,600
3	Jose Bautista	RIGHT	0.374	0.231	OF	$4,600	OF	$4,100
4	Edwin Encarnacion	RIGHT	0.365	0.207	1B	$3,800	1B	$3,300
5	Troy Tulowitzki	RIGHT	0.362	0.173	SS	$3,900	SS	$3,400
6	Kevin Pillar	RIGHT	0.294	0.080	OF	$2,900	OF	$2,700
7	Russell Martin	RIGHT	0.380	0.216	C	$2,500	C	$3,000
8	Matt Dominguez	RIGHT
9	Ryan Goins	LEFT	0.250	0.095	2B	$2,000	2B	$2,000
	Team Averages	—	0.365	0.213	—	$3,488	—	$3,238

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Josh Donaldson, Jose Bautista, Edwin Encarnacion, Troy Tulowitzki

Stackability – GPP

Oakland at Detroit – 7:08 PM

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Oakland					Detroit
			Sonny Gray					Justin Verlander
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			DET -115					8.0
SP vs. Left	0.256	8	22.0%	8.1%	SP vs. Left	0.271	9	21.2%	5.8%
SP vs. Right	0.275	11	19.1%	6.9%	SP vs. Right	0.309	9	22.5%	6.8%

Pitcher Grind Down

				Salary:$10,100		Salary:$9,800
Sonny Gray
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:40.8		FPPG:20.9
				Pitcher Rating:68.6		Pitcher Rank:7
Statistics	Starts	SIERA	K%	BB%	GB%	HH%	O-K%
2016	4	3.78	22.2%	10.2%	60.3%	28.8%	28
2015	31	3.80	20.3%	7.1%	52.7%	25.1%	13

Gray doesn’t have as high of a strikeout rate as some of the other aces across the majors, but he is just as effective. In four starts this season, he has a 3.78 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 22.2%. He has been walking batters at an uncharacteristically high rate this season, but that should improve moving forward. The biggest issue for him tonight is his matchup. The Tigers are always a tough team to target pitchers against, especially when they are at home.

				Salary:$8,000		Salary:$8,600
Justin Verlander
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:28.0		FPPG:14.3
				Pitcher Rating:67.5		Pitcher Rank:9
Statistics	Starts	SIERA	K%	BB%	GB%	HH%	O-K%
2016	4	3.66	25.5%	8.2%	34.4%	38.5%	10
2015	20	3.95	21.1%	6.0%	34.6%	23.0%	4

Verlander gave up a leadoff home run to Carlos Santana in his last start, but rallied to post his third quality start of the season. The days of him throwing complete game shutouts may be behind him, but he still offers a nice strikeout rate for a pitcher in his price range. He draws a mediocre matchup tonight against the A’s at home. I do prefer to pay up for Arrieta, Harvey, or Gonzalez in cash games, but Verlander is an interesting GPP play tonight.

Batter Grind Down

Oakland

Athletics Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.307 (22 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.146 (21 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.45 (25 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.91 (18 of 30)

The A’s offense may have a low strikeout rate as a team, but they do not hit right-handed pitching particularly well. They have the 18th highest team total tonight and so far this season, they are averaging only 3.45 runs per game. I would typically say that the left-handed hitters in this lineup are worth a look, but Justin Verlander is a reverse-splits pitcher. There really aren’t any bats that stand out in this one.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Billy Burns	SWITCH	0.305	0.104	OF	$3,000	OF	$4,200
2	Chris Coghlan	LEFT	0.354	0.221	3B	$2,500	2B/3B	$3,300
3	Josh Reddick	LEFT	0.360	0.203	OF	$3,400	OF	$4,000
4	Jed Lowrie	SWITCH	0.280	0.124	2B	$2,300	2B	$3,200
5	Stephen Vogt	LEFT	0.351	0.207	C	$2,600	C	$3,400
6	Coco Crisp	SWITCH	0.238	0.082	OF	$2,600	OF	$3,200
7	Khris Davis	RIGHT	0.352	0.244	OF	$2,600	OF	$3,400
8	Yonder Alonso	LEFT	0.315	0.099	1B	$2,200	1B	$3,200
9	Marcus Semien	RIGHT	0.283	0.137	SS	$2,500	SS	$3,300
	Team Averages	—	0.315	0.158	—	$2,633	—	$3,467

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

Detroit

Tigers Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.317 (15 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.142 (25 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.39 (10 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.09 (15 of 30)

The Tigers’ offense couldn’t get anything going last night against Rich Hill. They will look to bounce back tonight against Sonny Gray. While they are projected to score 4.09 runs, there really aren’t any hitters that stand out here. Over the last two seasons, Gray has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .275 wOBA.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Ian Kinsler	RIGHT	0.332	0.131	2B	$3,800	2B	$4,600
2	Justin Upton	RIGHT	0.349	0.216	OF	$2,900	OF	$3,300
3	Miguel Cabrera	RIGHT	0.391	0.179	1B	$3,700	1B	$4,500
4	Victor Martinez	SWITCH	0.269	0.126	C	$2,800	1B	$3,800
5	J.D. Martinez	RIGHT	0.365	0.234	OF	$3,000	OF	$3,800
6	Nick Castellanos	RIGHT	0.291	0.142	3B	$2,800	3B	$4,000
7	Jarrod Saltalamacchia	SWITCH	0.337	0.245	C	$2,800	C	$3,800
8	Anthony Gose	LEFT	0.306	0.116	OF	$2,200	OF	$2,600
9	Jose Iglesias	RIGHT	0.291	0.053	SS	$2,200	SS	$3,100
	Team Averages	—	0.326	0.160	—	$2,911	—	$3,722

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Miguel Cabrera, Victor Martinez

Stackability – NONE

Atlanta at Boston – 7:10 PM

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Atlanta					Boston
			Bud Norris					Steven Wright
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			BOS -180					8.5
SP vs. Left	0.401	13	19.1%	9.2%	SP vs. Left	0.298	4	18.2%	11.2%
SP vs. Right	0.357	7	17.7%	7.5%	SP vs. Right	0.315	9	17.2%	7.2%

Pitcher Grind Down

				Salary:$5,600		Salary:$6,000
Bud Norris
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:19.8		FPPG:8.1
				Pitcher Rating:37.6		Pitcher Rank:25
Statistics	Starts	SIERA	K%	BB%	GB%	HH%	O-K%
2016	4	4.62	17.0%	9.0%	45.2%	31.1%	13
2015	11	4.17	18.8%	8.2%	43.4%	36.9%	3

Norris is making his fifth start of the season. Unfortunately for him, he caught the wrong side of this four game series against the Red Sox. Instead of pitching at home in Turner Field, he has to face the Red Sox in Fenway Park. The Red Sox have the fourth highest team total on the board tonight. Combine that with the fact that Norris has a low strikeout rate and he is one of the worst pitching options in the slate.

				Salary:$6,900		Salary:$6,600
Steven Wright
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:37.3		FPPG:20.0
				Pitcher Rating:58.8		Pitcher Rank:15
Statistics	Starts	SIERA	K%	BB%	GB%	HH%	O-K%
2016	3	4.16	21.0%	9.9%	47.2%	37.0%	18
2015	9	4.60	16.8%	8.7%	43.2%	33.9%	2

Oh how I wish this game was being played in Atlanta. Wright would have been the top value pitching option on the board and it wouldn’t have even been very close. The fact that this game is being played in Fenway does change things a bit. He won’t get to face the opposing pitcher in the lineup and obviously this is a better park for offensive production. Wright still makes a nice value play being such a big favorite, but I prefer to pay up for one of the aces on single pitcher sites. Use Wright as a GPP play or as an SP2 on multi-pitcher sites.

Batter Grind Down

Atlanta

Braves Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.300 (27 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.109 (30 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.21 (29 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.79 (20 of 30)

The Braves are one of the worst offensive teams in baseball. They currently average the second fewest runs per game and are ranked 27th in team wOBA against right-handed pitching. They have a low team total again tonight, but they do see a ballpark boost playing in Fenway. I don’t see any of their hitters as elite plays, but there are two viable targets here.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Nick Markakis	LEFT	0.353	0.098	OF	$3,100	OF	$2,900
2	Daniel Castro	RIGHT	0.250	0.027	2B	$2,000	2B/SS	$2,100
3	Freddie Freeman	LEFT	0.369	0.218	1B	$2,800	1B	$3,200
4	Adonis Garcia	RIGHT	0.318	0.154	3B	$2,200	3B	$3,100
5	A.J. Pierzynski	LEFT	0.340	0.136	C	$2,100	C	$2,100
6	Kelly Johnson	LEFT	0.314	0.165	3B	$2,000	2B/OF	$2,200
7	Erick Aybar	SWITCH	0.280	0.075	SS	$2,000	SS	$2,200
8	Jace Peterson	LEFT	0.298	0.095	2B	$2,000	2B/OF	$2,100
9	Mallex Smith	LEFT	0.242	0.074	OF	$2,000	OF	$2,700
	Team Averages	—	0.307	0.116	—	$2,244	—	$2,511

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Freddie Freeman, A.J. Pierzynski

Stackability – NONE

Boston

Red Sox Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.319 (7 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.150 (13 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.79 (8 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.71 (4 of 30)

The Red Sox have the second highest team total of all the teams outside of Coors Field tonight. They draw an excellent matchup against Bud Norris and they get to face him at home. Norris has allowed a .401 wOBA to left-handed hitters and a .357 wOBA to right-handed hitters. Batters from both sides of the plate are in play here in both cash games and tournaments.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Mookie Betts	RIGHT	0.348	0.194	OF	$4,500	OF	$4,900
2	Dustin Pedroia	RIGHT	0.349	0.136	2B	$3,300	2B	$3,700
3	Xander Bogaerts	RIGHT	0.323	0.107	SS	$3,700	SS	$3,600
4	David Ortiz	LEFT	0.414	0.320	1B	$3,500	1B	$4,200
5	Hanley Ramirez	RIGHT	0.311	0.158	1B	$2,800	1B	$4,000
6	Travis Shaw	LEFT	0.347	0.175	3B	$2,800	3B	$3,400
7	Brock Holt	LEFT	0.317	0.109	OF	$2,800	OF	$3,400
8	Christian Vazquez	RIGHT	0.245	0.063	C	$2,100	C	$2,700
9	Jackie Bradley	LEFT	0.320	0.225	OF	$2,500	OF	$3,100
	Team Averages	—	0.330	0.165	—	$3,111	—	$3,667

MLB Grind Down: Wednesday, April 27th

San Diego at San Francisco – 3:45 PM

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

San Diego

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

San Francisco

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Denard Span, Joe Panik, Buster Posey, Brandon Belt

Stackability – NONE

Philadelphia at Washington – 7:05 PM

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Philadelphia

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

Washington

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Bryce Harper

Secondary Plays – Daniel Murphy

Stackability – NONE

Chicago White Sox at Toronto – 7:07 PM

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Chicago White Sox

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Jose Abreu (FD)

Secondary Plays – Todd Frazier

Stackability – NONE

Toronto

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Josh Donaldson, Jose Bautista, Edwin Encarnacion, Troy Tulowitzki

Stackability – GPP

Oakland at Detroit – 7:08 PM

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Oakland

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

Detroit

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Miguel Cabrera, Victor Martinez

Stackability – NONE

Atlanta at Boston – 7:10 PM

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Atlanta

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Freddie Freeman, A.J. Pierzynski

Stackability – NONE

Boston

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Mookie Betts, Dustin Pedroia, David Ortiz

Secondary Plays – Xander Bogaerts, Travis Shaw

Stackability – Cash & GPP

New to Daily Fantasy Baseball? Check out the Daily Fantasy Baseball Blueprint.

Jump to Page 1 2 3

About the Author