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MLB Grind Down: Saturday, October 1st - Page Three

by Ryan138 Last Updated 2016-10-01 15:49:30

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Tampa Bay at Texas – 8:05 PM ET

Tampa Bay Texas
Article Image Jake Odorizzi Article Image Colby Lewis
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
TEX -110 9.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.263 10 33.7% 26.4% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.296 7 36.9% 13.6%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.340 18 33.8% 17.3% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.303 11 37.1% 17.8%

Pitcher Grind Down

Jake Odorizzi
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,700 Salary: $6,200
FPPG: 28.1 FPPG: 14.8
Pitcher Rating: 52.1 Pitcher Rank: 20
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 96.6 4.96 5.19 17.3% 8.2% 7.9% 33.3% 46.9% 37.0%
2016 32 100.5 4.30 3.77 21.0% 7.2% 9.3% 36.2% 44.7% 33.8%
2015 28 98.4 3.90 3.35 21.4% 6.6% 10.1% 37.3% 40.6% 27.0%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.20 — K%: 23.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.288
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.93 — K%: 19.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.316

Overall, Odorizzi has been a quality starter for the Rays on the year. Over the last 30 days, he has a 5.19 ERA (4.96 SIERA) to go along with a low 17.3 percent strikeout rate. The matchup is very tough today against a Rangers squad that is ranked 11th in wOBA and seventh in ISO against righties. I like Odorizzi, but not away from home and not in this matchup.

Colby Lewis
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,500 Salary: $6,800
FPPG: 26.0 FPPG: 13.4
Pitcher Rating: 47.0 Pitcher Rank: 22
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 3 76.7 6.34 9.75 15.0% 13.3% 9.1% 21.4% 57.1% 37.2%
2016 18 91.6 4.94 3.93 15.7% 6.1% 8.3% 34.2% 47.5% 37.0%
2015 33 96.4 4.43 4.66 16.5% 4.9% 8.2% 33.7% 44.2% 33.3%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 5.09 — K%: 15.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.320
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.72 — K%: 16.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.302

Lewis was always one of our favorite pitchers to stack against, yet injuries to him have not allowed us to stack away too often this year. He has been very bad in his return, as he has a 6.34 SIERA in three starts to go along with a low 15 percent strikeout rate. While the opponent is not too scary, Lewis is not someone to use tonight.

Batter Grind Down

Tampa Bay

Tampa gets a solid matchup against Lewis who has allowed a wOBA of around .300 to batters from both sides of the plate. They have the seventh-highest team total of the day, as they get a big ballpark boost in Texas tonight. They are in play in all formats.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Logan Forsythe RIGHT 0.341 0.178 35.7% 0.234 2B $3,100 2B $3,900
2 Kevin Kiermaier LEFT 0.317 0.159 30.2% 0.243 OF $3,500 OF $4,000
3 Evan Longoria RIGHT 0.359 0.261 37.1% 0.374 3B $3,400 3B $4,000
4 Brad Miller LEFT 0.346 0.267 35.9% 0.344 SS $3,400 1B/SS $4,500
5 Corey Dickerson LEFT 0.334 0.262 30.5% 0.357 OF $3,300 OF $4,200
6 Nick Franklin SWITCH 0.365 0.208 33.3% 0.163 2B $2,800 1B/OF $4,000
7 Mikie Mahtook RIGHT 0.189 0.054 29.5% 0.281 OF $2,700 OF $2,900
8 Richie Shaffer RIGHT 0.318 0.226 31.6% 0.307 1B $2,400 1B $3,200
9 Luke Maile RIGHT 0.254 0.107 32.3% 0.235 C $2,300 C $2,800
Team Averages — 0.314 0.191 32.9% 0.282 — — — —

Elite Plays – Logan Forsythe, Brad Miller, Kevin Kiermaier

Secondary Plays – Corey Dickerson, Nick Franklin

Stackability – YELLOW

Texas

The Rangers have the fourth-highest projected run total of the day, and that includes a game in Coors tonight. They are a solid offense to target, as many will be off of them today as Odorizzi has been decent this year. They are a great contrarian stack to those who will be on the Coors bats.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Carlos Gomez RIGHT 0.307 0.176 29.8% 0.490 OF $3,000 OF $4,200
2 Ian Desmond RIGHT 0.325 0.161 30.6% 0.200 OF $3,700 OF $3,500
3 Carlos Beltran SWITCH 0.337 0.200 33.2% 0.324 OF $3,700 OF $3,700
4 Adrian Beltre RIGHT 0.354 0.207 33.3% 0.397 3B $3,500 3B $4,100
5 Rougned Odor LEFT 0.339 0.243 34.4% 0.189 2B $3,500 2B $4,000
6 Jonathan Lucroy RIGHT 0.368 0.190 32.7% 0.242 C $3,600 C $4,100
7 Shin-Soo Choo LEFT 0.307 0.123 44.8% OF $3,800 OF $4,300
8 Mitch Moreland LEFT 0.303 0.189 36.9% 0.137 1B $3,000 1B $2,700
9 Elvis Andrus RIGHT 0.337 0.135 26.4% 0.529 SS $2,800 SS $4,400
Team Averages — 0.331 0.180 33.6% 0.314 — — — —

Elite Plays – Carlos Gomez, Adrian Beltre, Carlos Beltran, Ian Desmond

Secondary Plays – Rougned Odor, Jonathan Lucroy

Stackability – GREEN

Milwaukee at Colorado – 8:10 PM ET

Milwaukee Colorado
Article Image Wily Peralta Article Image Jeff Hoffman
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
COL -180 12.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.381 9 33.7% 13.7% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.381 3 33.9% 6.9%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.362 10 34.0% 19.8% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.452 4 39.5% 18.2%

Pitcher Grind Down

Wily Peralta
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,600 Salary: $4,900
FPPG: 23.3 FPPG: 10.4
Pitcher Rating: 32.0 Pitcher Rank: 28
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 94.2 3.48 3.03 23.9% 5.4% 13.2% 50.5% 29.7% 31.5%
2016 22 93.0 4.55 5.10 16.9% 8.1% 8.5% 49.7% 27.7% 33.8%
2015 20 87.7 4.75 4.72 12.6% 7.7% 6.9% 51.6% 28.4% 32.6%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.96 — K%: 16.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.362
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.86 — K%: 13.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.375

Peralta has been much improved over the last month of play. Over his last five starts, Peralta actually has a 3.48 SIERA (3.03 ERA) to go along with a solid 23.9 percent strikeout rate. While these numbers look great, he now gets to bring these talents into Coors Field, which Vegas thinks will be a major problem today, as the Rockies are huge favorites with a total of 12 runs.

Jeff Hoffman
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,000 Salary: $4,000
FPPG: 10.9 FPPG: 3.9
Pitcher Rating: 29.1 Pitcher Rank: 29
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 3 103.3 5.55 3.86 12.5% 12.5% 5.2% 49.2% 23.7% 33.3%
2016 5 96.4 5.73 5.47 11.8% 11.8% 5.4% 46.3% 29.5% 36.1%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 8.00 — K%: 4.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.355
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.15 — K%: 15.1% — wOBA Allowed: 0.440

Hoffman gets the start for the Rockies today, as he comes in with a 5.73 SIERA and 11.8 percent strikeout rate after just five starts this season. He is an easy avoid today in a game that could see 15+ runs.

Batter Grind Down

Milwaukee

The Brewers have the second-highest projected offense on the night as they face off against Jeff Hoffman. Hoffman has allowed a wOBA of .381+ from both sides of the plate in a limited sample size. The Brewers offense is clearly in play and is a top offense to target in all formats.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jonathan Villar SWITCH 0.341 0.148 34.9% 0.365 3B $4,500 3B/SS $5,100
2 Domingo Santana RIGHT 0.313 0.165 35.7% 0.341 OF $3,300 OF $4,500
3 Ryan Braun RIGHT 0.368 0.229 33.2% 0.385 OF $4,400 OF $5,500
4 Chris Carter RIGHT 0.334 0.256 40.5% 0.321 1B $3,900 1B $4,900
5 Hernan Perez RIGHT 0.293 0.124 28.7% 0.222 OF $3,600 3B/OF $4,500
6 Orlando Arcia RIGHT 0.238 0.119 23.4% 0.229 SS $3,000 SS $3,200
7 Martin Maldonado RIGHT 0.292 0.174 32.4% 0.347 C $3,200 C $3,000
8 Yadiel Rivera RIGHT 0.205 0.048 37.9% 0.175 SS $3,000 2B/3B $3,000
9 Wily Peralta RIGHT 0.210 0.143 35.0% 0.293 P $6,600 P $4,900
Team Averages — 0.288 0.156 33.5% 0.298 — — — —

Elite Plays – Jonathan Villar, Ryan Braun, Chris Carter, Hernan Perez

Secondary Plays – Domingo Santana, Scooter Gennett

Stackability – GREEN

Colorado

Peralta has allowed a .362+ wOBA on the year from batters from both sides of the plate. Vegas has the Rockies as the highest-projected run team on the day at 6.46 runs today, making them the top offense to stack in all formats.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Charlie Blackmon LEFT 0.403 0.271 39.1% 0.352 OF $4,100 OF $5,400
2 Daniel Descalso LEFT 0.345 0.163 30.0% 0.285 SS $3,200 1B/SS $3,800
3 Nolan Arenado RIGHT 0.398 0.296 37.2% 0.330 3B $4,300 3B $5,100
4 Carlos Gonzalez LEFT 0.377 0.206 36.4% 0.309 OF $3,900 OF $5,100
5 David Dahl LEFT 0.382 0.224 35.6% 0.395 OF $3,700 OF $5,000
6 Tom Murphy RIGHT 0.539 0.545 43.8% 0.488 C $2,900 C $3,000
7 Gerardo Parra LEFT 0.285 0.164 35.7% 0.223 OF $3,200 1B/OF $3,200
8 Cristhian Adames SWITCH 0.283 0.085 20.5% 0.263 SS $2,600 SS $3,000
9 Jeff Hoffman RIGHT 0.000 0.000 0.0% P $5,000 P $4,000
Team Averages — 0.335 0.217 30.9% 0.331 — — — —

Elite Plays – Charlie Blackmon, Nolan Arenado, Carlos Gonzalez

Secondary Plays – Daniel Descalso, Tom Murphy

Stackability – GREEN

San Diego at Arizona – 8:10 PM ET

San Diego Arizona
Article Image Clayton Richard Article Image Archie Bradley
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
ARI -125 9.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.305 0 16.7% 19.5% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.398 10 38.8% 17.7%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.332 3 28.6% 12.1% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.292 6 34.3% 25.7%

Pitcher Grind Down

Clayton Richard
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,600 Salary: $4,500
FPPG: 7.8 FPPG: 3.6
Pitcher Rating: 55.8 Pitcher Rank: 17
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 93.0 4.14 2.40 14.3% 8.3% 9.0% 63.4% 15.8% 28.2%
2016 8 125.5 4.31 2.98 14.1% 9.5% 8.5% 65.1% 18.4% 25.6%
2015 3 205.0 3.33 3.83 12.2% 3.9% 6.2% 59.3% 14.7% 25.2%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.51 — K%: 14.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.302
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.15 — K%: 12.7% — wOBA Allowed: 0.334

Richard gets the start for the Padres, as they have to play in a major park downgrade for pitchers at Chase Field. Richard has been decent this year, as he has a 2.98 ERA in his eight starts this year. His SIERA shows some regression is in order as it sits a run and a half higher at 4.31. Combine that with his low 14.1 percent strikeout rate, making him a tough play tonight.

Archie Bradley
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,300 Salary: $7,500
FPPG: 26.1 FPPG: 12.4
Pitcher Rating: 63.6 Pitcher Rank: 12
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 90.4 4.29 6.08 24.8% 11.5% 9.7% 38.2% 29.4% 35.2%
2016 25 99.1 4.50 5.15 21.6% 11.0% 8.0% 46.0% 29.9% 36.6%
2015 8 80.5 5.28 5.80 14.3% 13.7% 5.9% 58.0% 27.7% 38.6%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 5.53 — K%: 20.7% — wOBA Allowed: 0.355
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 5.05 — K%: 19.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.335

Bradley’s chart has a lot of yellow and red on it as he comes in with a high 5.15 ERA (4.50 SIERA). He does sport a decent 21.6 percent strikeout rate and now has a decent matchup against the Padres, who are ranked dead last in wOBA against righties and have the second-highest strikeout rate at 24.9 percent. He is a decent tournament play today, but with a lot of risk attached.

Batter Grind Down

San Diego

This game should be high-scoring according to Vegas as they have a 9.5 total set. The Padres have the tenth-highest projected run total at 4.60 runs. Attacking Bradley is a clear choice from the left side of the plate, where he has allowed a wOBA of .398 on the year, as opposed to a .292 wOBA allowed from the right side.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Manuel Margot RIGHT 0.415 0.273 22.2% 0.371 OF $2,900 OF $2,800
2 Wil Myers RIGHT 0.338 0.205 32.5% 0.379 1B $3,400 1B $5,000
3 Yangervis Solarte SWITCH 0.356 0.185 33.7% 0.446 3B $2,700 3B $3,900
4 Alex Dickerson LEFT 0.340 0.225 31.6% 0.453 OF $2,900 OF $3,700
5 Hunter Renfroe RIGHT 0.542 0.563 28.6% 0.568 OF $2,200 OF $2,600
6 Ryan Schimpf LEFT 0.374 0.318 38.2% 0.261 2B $3,400 2B/3B $3,900
7 Austin Hedges RIGHT 0.059 0.000 11.1% 0.098 C $2,300 C $2,600
8 Alexi Amarista LEFT 0.271 0.017 23.2% 0.231 SS $2,200 2B/SS $2,600
9 Clayton Richard LEFT 0.000 0.000 0.0% 0.000 P $6,600 P $4,500
Team Averages — 0.299 0.198 24.6% 0.312 — — — —

Elite Plays – Manuel Margot, Wil Myers, Yangervis Solarte

Secondary Plays – Hunter Renfroe, Ryan Schrimpf, Alex Dickerson

Stackability – YELLOW

Arizona

The Diamondbacks have the highest team total for a team that is not playing in Coors today. They have a 4.90 projected run total on the day against Richard, who has allowed a wOBA of 305+ from both sides of the plate. They are a great contrarian offense if you want to try to stack an offense not named the Rockies or Brewers.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jean Segura RIGHT 0.326 0.153 27.4% 0.439 2B $3,700 2B $5,100
2 Chris Owings RIGHT 0.352 0.181 26.4% 0.235 SS $2,600 OF/SS $4,500
3 Paul Goldschmidt RIGHT 0.452 0.228 44.6% 0.346 1B $3,900 1B $5,500
4 Welington Castillo RIGHT 0.367 0.243 53.5% 0.289 C $2,800 C $4,300
5 Brandon Drury RIGHT 0.322 0.186 35.9% 0.314 OF $3,800 3B/OF $3,300
6 Yasmany Tomas RIGHT 0.449 0.310 45.7% 0.314 OF $2,700 OF $4,800
7 Jake Lamb LEFT 0.285 0.189 27.8% 0.234 3B $3,300 3B $3,900
8 Mitch Haniger RIGHT 0.244 0.154 38.5% 0.300 OF $2,400 OF $4,100
9 Archie Bradley RIGHT 0.146 0.000 0.0% 0.000 P $6,300 P $7,500
Team Averages — 0.327 0.183 33.3% 0.275 — — — —

Elite Plays – Jean Segura, Paul Goldschmidt, Wellington Castillo

Secondary Plays – Chris Owings, Brandon Drury, Jake Lamb

Stackability – GREEN

Houston at LA Angels – 9:05 PM ET

Houston LA Angels
Article Image Collin McHugh Article Image Tyler Skaggs
RIGHT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
LAA -105 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.348 11 28.1% 23.2% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.337 0 35.1% 18.0%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.342 14 31.9% 21.6% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.318 5 33.0% 25.6%

Pitcher Grind Down

Collin McHugh
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,900 Salary: $7,700
FPPG: 28.9 FPPG: 14.3
Pitcher Rating: 67.5 Pitcher Rank: 8
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 98.7 4.48 2.57 21.8% 9.2% 11.3% 34.0% 47.4% 27.8%
2016 32 95.6 4.02 4.53 22.4% 6.9% 10.8% 40.9% 38.3% 30.1%
2015 32 101.3 3.91 3.89 19.9% 6.2% 10.3% 45.4% 34.6% 25.1%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.70 — K%: 22.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.316
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.67 — K%: 19.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.335

McHugh has been solid over the last month, as he has put up a 2.57 ERA. His SIERA is a bit concerning at 4.48, but he has made up for it as he continues his decent strikeout rate of around 21 percent. He gets a matchup against the Angels, who are a below average offense but do strikeout at the lowest rate in the majors against righties. The lack of options puts McHugh in play tonight.

Tyler Skaggs
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,300 Salary: $9,600
FPPG: 29.3 FPPG: 14.8
Pitcher Rating: 83.0 Pitcher Rank: 3
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 2 95.0 3.46 2.25 30.0% 10.0% 10.0% 55.2% 34.5% 40.0%
2016 9 92.3 4.19 4.13 23.8% 10.0% 8.2% 43.7% 34.8% 33.6%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 2.45 — K%: 32.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.275
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.86 — K%: 20.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.344

Skaggs is trying to find that form he had at one point this season where he pitched well and was striking batters out at an elite rate. That form looks to be back a bit, as he has a 3.46 SIERA over his last two starts along with a 30 percent strikeout rate. The matchup today is boom or bust, making him a solid tournament play at FD, while he is a bit expensive at DK.

Batter Grind Down

Houston

The Astros offense has a very low projected run total at just 4.22. The offenses are nothing to target too heavily, as the night slate has much better options to go with.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 George Springer RIGHT 0.405 0.291 39.5% 0.386 OF $3,900 OF $4,300
2 Marwin Gonzalez SWITCH 0.310 0.176 29.6% 0.304 1B $2,600 1B $3,400
3 Jose Altuve RIGHT 0.377 0.190 37.8% 0.302 2B $3,800 2B $5,200
4 Carlos Correa RIGHT 0.322 0.151 41.4% 0.373 SS $3,700 SS $4,600
5 Evan Gattis RIGHT 0.370 0.260 32.5% 0.408 C $3,000 C $4,000
6 Yuli Gurriel RIGHT 0.247 0.105 41.7% 0.156 3B $3,000 1B/3B $2,600
7 A.J. Reed LEFT 0.133 0.000 33.3% 0.000 1B $2,100 1B $3,100
8 Teoscar Hernandez RIGHT 0.359 0.229 52.2% 0.176 OF $2,200 OF $2,600
9 Jake Marisnick RIGHT 0.294 0.189 32.9% 0.213 OF $2,200 OF $2,500
Team Averages — 0.313 0.177 37.9% 0.258 — — — —

Elite Plays – Carlos Correa, Jose Altuve

Secondary Plays – George Springer

Stackability – RED

LA Angels

The Angels have the eighth-lowest projected run total of the day at just 4.28 runs. McHugh has allowed a .342+ wOBA to batters from both sides of the plate this year, making the Angels a decent possibility for bats today. Still, it really starts and ends with Mike Trout as usual.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Kole Calhoun LEFT 0.336 0.165 35.9% 0.438 OF $3,500 OF $3,700
2 Mike Trout RIGHT 0.421 0.243 40.6% 0.447 OF $4,300 OF $5,400
3 C.J. Cron RIGHT 0.358 0.205 32.9% 0.302 1B $2,900 1B $3,800
4 Jefry Marte RIGHT 0.328 0.214 35.8% 0.373 3B $3,000 1B/OF $3,300
5 Andrelton Simmons RIGHT 0.294 0.078 25.0% 0.283 SS $2,800 SS $2,600
6 Jett Bandy RIGHT 0.288 0.137 26.2% 0.165 C $2,600 C $2,300
7 Rafael Ortega LEFT 0.264 0.071 22.9% 0.392 OF $2,000 OF $2,400
8 Kaleb Cowart SWITCH 0.158 0.065 21.7% 0.000 3B $2,000 2B/3B $2,300
9 Ji-Man Choi LEFT 0.266 0.179 30.5% 0.220 1B $2,000 1B/OF $2,900
Team Averages — 0.301 0.151 30.2% 0.291 — — — —

Elite Plays – Mike Trout

Secondary Plays – None

Stackability – RED

Oakland at Seattle – 9:10 PM ET

Oakland Seattle
Article Image Jharel Cotton Article Image Hisashi Iwakuma
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
SEA -160 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.084 0 25.0% 22.9% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.325 11 32.1% 17.4%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.278 3 27.1% 14.3% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.329 17 32.4% 17.5%

Pitcher Grind Down

Jharel Cotton
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,500 Salary: $6,600
FPPG: 33.8 FPPG: 19.5
Pitcher Rating: 42.9 Pitcher Rank: 23
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 4 87.5 4.52 1.44 17.6% 3.3% 11.4% 33.3% 51.4% 26.4%
2016 4 87.5 4.52 1.44 17.6% 3.3% 11.4% 33.3% 51.4% 26.4%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 1.40 — K%: 21.5% — wOBA Allowed: 0.174
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 1.59 — K%: 7.7% — wOBA Allowed: 0.277

Cotton comes into this game with a solid 1.44 ERA and 17.6 percent strikeout rate. Looking a little further into his numbers, his advanced statistics show some luck as his SIERA sits at 4.52. He gets a tough matchup today against the Mariners who are ranked in the top 10 in many of the offensive categories listed below. He is not on my radar tonight.

Hisashi Iwakuma
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,000 Salary: $8,200
FPPG: 29.6 FPPG: 14.4
Pitcher Rating: 72.5 Pitcher Rank: 5
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 87.8 4.26 3.68 18.5% 6.7% 7.3% 48.8% 29.8% 33.7%
2016 32 90.8 4.46 3.96 17.4% 5.5% 7.7% 40.8% 38.0% 32.3%
2015 20 93.4 3.36 3.54 21.5% 4.1% 10.6% 50.4% 31.1% 26.9%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.14 — K%: 20.1% — wOBA Allowed: 0.319
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.46 — K%: 18.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.308

Iwakuma comes into this game with a 3.96 ERA (4.46 SIERA and a below average strikeout rate of 17.4 percent). He gets a solid matchup against a below average offense in the Athletics and one that he has pitched well against this year (3.12 ERA in 26 innings). Without a whole lot of options, Iwakuma is one of the better starters going tonight.

Batter Grind Down

Oakland

Iwakuma is looking like one of the better night time options as this A’s squad has the fourth lowest projected total of the day. Look elsewhere for bats tonight.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Joey Wendle LEFT 0.251 0.043 29.3% 0.240 2B $2,200 2B $2,500
2 Stephen Vogt LEFT 0.319 0.162 27.3% 0.302 C $3,000 C $3,100
3 Ryon Healy RIGHT 0.369 0.214 28.4% 0.437 3B $3,500 3B $3,400
4 Khris Davis RIGHT 0.338 0.270 39.0% 0.391 OF $3,400 OF $3,700
5 Yonder Alonso LEFT 0.306 0.116 34.4% 0.296 1B $2,600 1B $2,800
6 Danny Valencia RIGHT 0.323 0.139 31.1% 0.337 3B $3,000 3B/OF $3,200
7 Marcus Semien RIGHT 0.300 0.175 27.5% 0.320 SS $2,700 SS $2,700
8 Bruce Maxwell LEFT 0.354 0.145 45.8% 0.410 C $2,900 C $2,600
9 Jake Smolinski RIGHT 0.250 0.067 28.2% 0.111 OF $2,200 OF $2,200
Team Averages — 0.312 0.148 32.3% 0.316 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Stephen Vogt, Joey Wendle

Stackability – RED

Seattle

The Mariners have some mashing lefties in their lineup and Vegas has them as the 11th-highest projected offense today. They are in a decent spot and have decent value plays such as Seth Smith batting high up in their order.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Norichika Aoki LEFT 0.341 0.123 21.3% 0.399 OF $3,000 OF $4,000
2 Seth Smith LEFT 0.345 0.179 34.1% 0.349 OF $2,900 OF $3,600
3 Robinson Cano LEFT 0.391 0.256 38.7% 0.386 2B $3,300 2B $5,300
4 Nelson Cruz RIGHT 0.365 0.227 34.6% 0.400 OF $4,100 OF $4,700
5 Kyle Seager LEFT 0.392 0.235 40.3% 0.273 3B $3,400 3B $4,100
6 Adam Lind LEFT 0.307 0.206 38.6% 0.295 1B $2,600 1B $3,100
7 Leonys Martin LEFT 0.299 0.139 29.3% 0.240 OF $3,100 OF $3,900
8 Mike Zunino RIGHT 0.324 0.261 34.3% 0.186 C $2,700 C $3,000
9 Ketel Marte SWITCH 0.289 0.063 21.5% 0.154 SS $2,900 SS $2,600
Team Averages — 0.339 0.188 32.5% 0.298 — — — —

Elite Plays – Robinson Cano, Seth Smith, Kyle Seager

Secondary Plays – Nelson Cruz, Norichika Aoki

Stackability – YELLOW

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About the Author

Ryan138
Ryan138

Ryan (Ryan138) is from Chicago and has been playing fantasy sports for over 10 years. He has been playing daily fantasy sports for over 2 years since he was introduced to Daily Joust in late 2010. In the last year, Ryan has risen into the Top 100 of the RotoGrinders leaderboards by playing at DraftDay, DraftKings and FanDuel in all the major sports.