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MLB Grind Down: Saturday, October 1st

by Ryan138 Last Updated 2016-10-02 17:33:31

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The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code and FanDuel promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.

Stackability Rating System:

GREEN – One of the top stacks of the day, viable in cash games and GPPs
YELLOW – A viable stack option in most formats, specifically GPPs
ORANGE – There are better stacks out there, but playable in large GPPs
RED – Not a recommended stack for cash games or GPPs

Pittsburgh at St. Louis – 1:05 PM ET

Pittsburgh St. Louis
Article Image Chad Kuhl Article Image Michael Wacha
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
STL -170 8.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.363 4 37.3% 13.7% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.314 5 30.5% 18.3%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.288 3 29.8% 20.6% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.352 9 29.4% 19.3%

Pitcher Grind Down

Chad Kuhl
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,900 Salary: $6,000
FPPG: 22.0 FPPG: 10.6
Pitcher Rating: 53.9 Pitcher Rank: 19
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 79.2 4.11 5.73 21.0% 8.0% 9.3% 50.0% 28.8% 39.7%
2016 13 81.6 4.52 4.25 17.3% 6.9% 8.6% 45.8% 34.3% 33.5%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 7.03 — K%: 12.7% — wOBA Allowed: 0.415
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 2.61 — K%: 20.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.256

Kuhl has had an average rookie season as he comes into this game with a 4.52 SIERA and low 17.3% strikeout rate. He has a difficult matchup today against the Cardinals who are ranked fifth in wOBA and second in ISO against right handed pitching on the year. Due to the matchup, Kuhl is a difficult play today.

Michael Wacha
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,600 Salary: $6,100
FPPG: 23.4 FPPG: 11.2
Pitcher Rating: 75.7 Pitcher Rank: 4
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 0 0.0 4.07 15.88 13.3% 0.0% 7.0% 33.3% 29.2% 23.1%
2016 23 99.8 4.29 4.93 18.8% 7.3% 8.2% 47.0% 29.2% 29.9%
2015 30 97.9 4.02 3.37 20.1% 7.6% 9.5% 45.8% 32.0% 29.7%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.45 — K%: 19.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.328
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.68 — K%: 19.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.299

Wacha gets the start today as he is coming off a seven earned run start in his last time out against the Reds. This is a big game for the Cardinals so if he struggles again he will likely get removed immediately. The short leash is a bit risky for Wacha as he has not exactly pitched great recently. With that said, he is cheap and a heavy favorite today putting him in play, but with risk attached.

Batter Grind Down

Pittsburgh

The Pirates have a very low projected run total of just 3.59 runs, which is the second lowest total of the entire day. Wacha has struggled recently, but Vegas believes in the Cardinals team as a whole today, making the Pirates offense a tough play.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jordy Mercer RIGHT 0.290 0.103 24.9% 0.253 SS $2,100 SS $3,700
2 Josh Bell SWITCH 0.370 0.167 36.7% 0.336 1B $3,100 1B/OF $2,900
3 Andrew McCutchen RIGHT 0.332 0.175 36.1% 0.422 OF $2,800 OF $4,200
4 Jung-Ho Kang RIGHT 0.387 0.276 39.4% 0.403 3B $3,500 3B $4,500
5 Sean Rodriguez RIGHT 0.353 0.249 41.6% 0.443 OF $3,000 2B/SS $4,300
6 David Freese RIGHT 0.315 0.125 32.3% 0.322 3B $2,900 1B/3B $4,000
7 Alen Hanson SWITCH 0.304 0.071 8.3% 0.351 SS $3,300
8 Eric Fryer RIGHT 0.295 0.067 13.9% 0.376 C $2,600 C $2,700
9 Chad Kuhl RIGHT 0.092 0.000 11.1% 0.261 P $6,900 P $6,000
Team Averages — 0.304 0.137 27.1% 0.352 — — — —

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Andrew McCutchen, Jung-Ho Kang

Stackability – ORANGE

St. Louis

Kuhl has struggled against lefties (.364 wOBA allowed), while he has shut down right handed bats (.288 wOBA allowed). This bodes well for a number of lefty Cardinal bats as they have a 4.41 projected run total today. Look for lineups today and attack the lefties.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Matt Carpenter LEFT 0.386 0.266 47.2% 0.264 2B $3,700 2B/3B $4,400
2 Aledmys Diaz RIGHT 0.393 0.241 34.3% 0.255 SS $3,400 SS $4,700
3 Yadier Molina RIGHT 0.333 0.111 32.2% 0.420 C $3,200 C $3,900
4 Stephen Piscotty RIGHT 0.325 0.164 34.4% 0.295 OF $3,200 OF $3,700
5 Jhonny Peralta RIGHT 0.340 0.166 33.5% 0.442 SS $3,000 3B $3,700
6 Jedd Gyorko RIGHT 0.341 0.284 34.8% 0.274 3B $3,000 2B/3B $4,300
7 Brandon Moss LEFT 0.339 0.297 42.6% 0.117 1B $2,900 1B/OF $3,600
8 Randal Grichuk RIGHT 0.325 0.247 42.3% 0.330 OF $3,000 OF $4,600
9 Jaime Garcia LEFT 0.180 0.000 25.9% 0.000 P $6,900 P $5,900
Team Averages — 0.329 0.197 36.4% 0.266 — — — —

Elite Plays – Matt Carpenter, Aledmys Diaz

Secondary Plays – Yadier Molina, Stephen Piscotty, Jedd Gyorko

Stackability – YELLOW / GREEN

NY Mets at Philadelphia – 1:05 PM ET

NY Mets Philadelphia
Article Image Bartolo Colon Article Image Phil Klein
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
NYM -150 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.334 17 37.7% 15.1% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.374 1 37.5% 20.6%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.289 6 33.2% 16.5% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.390 1 31.8% 25.0%

Pitcher Grind Down

Bartolo Colon
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,200 Salary: $7,300
FPPG: 26.7 FPPG: 13.3
Pitcher Rating: 64.3 Pitcher Rank: 9
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 85.8 4.70 3.34 13.5% 2.8% 5.2% 40.9% 39.1% 33.3%
2016 32 87.3 4.43 3.42 15.8% 4.2% 5.4% 43.3% 33.9% 35.5%
2015 31 87.3 4.02 4.16 16.7% 2.9% 6.4% 42.3% 36.9% 29.0%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.45 — K%: 19.7% — wOBA Allowed: 0.296
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.15 — K%: 13.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.331

I saw a blurb the other day about opening day starters for the Mets and how Colon has been the healthiest of the bunch, who would have guessed. The 43-year-old has had a solid season for New York as he comes in with a 3.42 ERA (4.43 SIERA). His strikeout rate of just 15.8% make him a very low upside play today even in a decent matchup against the Phillies. Colon has pitched well against them this year (2.92 ERA in 24.2 innings), making him a decent SP2 in all formats and a possible cheap SP1 as he should be in line for the win today.

Phil Klein
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,200 Salary: $4,000
FPPG: 4.7 FPPG: 2.0
Pitcher Rating: 36.5 Pitcher Rank: 27
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 0 0.0 10.32 27.00 8.3% 33.3% 7.7% 33.3% 16.7% 33.3%
2016 1 291.0 4.18 8.22 22.9% 10.0% 10.3% 31.8% 43.2% 34.8%
2015 2 174.0 5.18 6.75 14.0% 11.6% 6.9% 42.2% 35.9% 31.3%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 5.40 — K%: 17.1% — wOBA Allowed: 0.362
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 9.17 — K%: 18.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.404

These last couple days of the season you are going to see a number of pitchers we haven’t seen a whole lot of this year. Klein has only made one start (early August) and 10 other appearances out of the bullpen this year. He has been awful as he comes in with a 8.22 ERA, yet his 4.18 SIERA show some improvements should be made. He does come in with a respectable 22.8% strikeout rate, yet he is not going to pitch too deep into the game to make him worth any risk.

Batter Grind Down

NY Mets

Klein has been crushed for a wOBA of .374+ from both sides of the plate this year. This Mets offense looks to be one of the better ones of the day as they have the fifth highest total (4.79 runs) in this great matchup today.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jose Reyes SWITCH 0.290 0.138 25.6% 0.332 3B $3,300 3B/SS $4,700
2 Asdrubal Cabrera SWITCH 0.345 0.213 35.1% 0.440 SS $3,400 SS $4,400
3 Yoenis Cespedes RIGHT 0.357 0.249 38.0% 0.323 OF $4,100 OF $4,600
4 Curtis Granderson LEFT 0.346 0.239 37.5% 0.482 OF $3,700 OF $4,900
5 Jay Bruce LEFT 0.356 0.280 39.9% 0.363 OF $3,400 OF $4,800
6 T.J. Rivera RIGHT 0.421 0.234 25.8% 0.400 2B $3,000 2B/3B $3,300
7 Lucas Duda LEFT 0.348 0.209 38.0% 0.399 1B $2,700 1B $4,300
8 Rene Rivera RIGHT 0.241 0.103 29.9% 0.248 C $2,300 C $2,700
9 Bartolo Colon RIGHT 0.103 0.100 6.3% 0.000 P $7,200 P $7,300
Team Averages — 0.312 0.196 30.7% 0.332 — — — —

Elite Plays – Asdrubal Cabrera, Yoenis Cespedes, Curtis Granderson

Secondary Plays – Jose Reyes, Jay Bruce, T.J. Rivera

Stackability – GREEN

Philadelphia

If you want to attack old man Colon is should be from the left side of the plate. On the year, he has held righties to a .289 wOBA, but lefties have gotten to him for a .334 wOBA. The Phillies have the sixth lowest projected total, making them an easy avoid today.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Cesar Hernandez SWITCH 0.333 0.117 27.5% 0.409 2B $3,000 2B $4,400
2 Freddy Galvis SWITCH 0.300 0.178 27.5% 0.271 SS $2,800 SS $3,900
3 Odubel Herrera LEFT 0.362 0.169 30.2% 0.463 OF $3,800 OF $4,700
4 Tommy Joseph RIGHT 0.328 0.240 38.0% 0.471 1B $2,300 1B $4,600
5 Maikel Franco RIGHT 0.299 0.159 29.5% 0.380 3B $2,800 3B $4,400
6 Cody Asche LEFT 0.278 0.144 34.1% 0.287 OF $2,000 OF $2,900
7 A.J. Ellis RIGHT 0.269 0.110 32.9% 0.652 C $2,600 C $2,700
8 Aaron Altherr RIGHT 0.251 0.089 27.5% 0.189 OF $2,600 OF $3,400
9 Phil Klein RIGHT 0.000 0.000 0.0% P $5,200 P $4,000
Team Averages — 0.269 0.134 27.5% 0.390 — — — —

Elite Plays – Odubel Herrera

Secondary Plays – Tommy Joseph, Maikel Franco

Stackability – ORANGE / YELLOW

Baltimore at NY Yankees – 4:05 PM ET

Baltimore NY Yankees
Article Image Wade Miley Article Image Luis Severino
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
BAL -120 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.298 3 37.0% 19.7% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.319 4 25.0% 21.7%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.356 21 31.6% 18.5% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.367 6 33.3% 21.2%

Pitcher Grind Down

Wade Miley
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,600 Salary: $6,900
FPPG: 23.6 FPPG: 11.2
Pitcher Rating: 64.0 Pitcher Rank: 10
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 4 80.5 3.53 5.21 22.2% 7.4% 9.3% 57.1% 17.9% 32.1%
2016 29 90.4 4.29 5.40 18.7% 7.0% 8.8% 47.9% 30.4% 32.7%
2015 32 99.8 4.24 4.46 17.7% 7.7% 8.3% 48.8% 30.5% 24.7%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.64 — K%: 20.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.315
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 5.11 — K%: 15.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.347

Miley was terrible in his first number of starts since coming over from Seattle (7.55 ERA). He has been much improved over his last two starts, as he has allowed just one earned run over 12.2 innings. He will look to keep that momentum going as he takes on a New York squad that is below average against left-handed pitching this year. His low strikeout rate of 18.7 percent makes him a low-upside play, but pitching as a whole looks awful, so you are going to have to take a chance somewhere. Still, I am not sure Miley is where we want to take that chance.

Luis Severino
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,400 Salary: $5,100
FPPG: 14.2 FPPG: 6.9
Pitcher Rating: 63.7 Pitcher Rank: 11
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 1 270.0 4.38 1.13 24.6% 13.9% 10.7% 36.1% 47.2% 26.3%
2016 10 120.3 3.98 5.75 21.4% 7.8% 9.1% 46.0% 30.2% 29.3%
2015 11 93.2 3.84 2.89 22.0% 8.6% 9.6% 50.3% 29.7% 26.3%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.79 — K%: 22.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.346
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.99 — K%: 20.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.310

Severino takes the start today instead of the expected Tanaka. Severino has been out of the bullpen mainly over the last month, which means he has pitched a maximum of 67 pitches since early August. This alone makes him a tough play, but combine that with the fact that the Orioles are a top-three offense against righties, and you can simply move on from Severino.

Batter Grind Down

Baltimore

The Orioles have the ninth-highest projected total of the day, as they get a solid matchup against Severino and likely a lot of Yankee bullpen arms. Severino has allowed a .319 wOBA to lefties and .360 wOBA to righties, making the Orioles solid targets in all formats.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Adam Jones RIGHT 0.347 0.196 32.6% 0.273 OF $3,200 OF $3,400
2 Hyun-Soo Kim LEFT 0.370 0.131 31.6% 0.338 OF $3,100 OF $2,800
3 Manny Machado RIGHT 0.363 0.253 34.9% 0.241 3B $3,300 3B/SS $3,700
4 Mark Trumbo RIGHT 0.385 0.299 39.8% 0.376 OF $3,300 OF $4,000
5 Matt Wieters SWITCH 0.314 0.180 31.6% 0.349 C $2,700 C $3,000
6 Chris Davis LEFT 0.349 0.270 42.4% 0.210 1B $3,000 1B $3,400
7 Jonathan Schoop RIGHT 0.329 0.194 28.8% 0.176 2B $2,900 2B $2,700
8 Michael Bourn LEFT 0.281 0.112 25.3% 0.207 OF $2,500 OF $3,500
9 J.J. Hardy RIGHT 0.305 0.125 31.8% 0.326 SS $2,500 SS $2,400
Team Averages — 0.338 0.196 33.2% 0.277 — — — —

Elite Plays – Adam Jones, Manny Machado, Chris Davis

Secondary Plays – Mark Trumbo, Hyun-Soo Kim, Matt Wieters

Stackability – YELLOW

NY Yankees

Miley should be attacked from the right side of the plate, as he has allowed a .355 wOBA to right handed batters this year. This bodes well for guys like Gary Sanchez and Starlin Castro, but that is about it as the Yankees have the 20th-highest projected total today.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Brett Gardner LEFT 0.296 0.088 25.0% 0.360 OF $3,200 OF $3,400
2 Jacoby Ellsbury LEFT 0.263 0.074 25.5% 0.196 OF $3,500 OF $3,200
3 Gary Sanchez RIGHT 0.369 0.392 47.1% 0.431 C $3,600 C $5,000
4 Starlin Castro RIGHT 0.320 0.166 31.8% 0.285 2B $2,800 2B $3,800
5 Didi Gregorius LEFT 0.360 0.152 23.4% 0.361 SS $2,800 SS $3,300
6 Chase Headley SWITCH 0.296 0.077 28.4% 0.202 3B $2,800 3B $2,700
7 Brian McCann LEFT 0.288 0.134 29.0% 0.319 C $2,900 C $3,400
8 Aaron Hicks SWITCH 0.201 0.101 38.2% 0.288 OF $2,400 OF $2,600
9 Tyler Austin RIGHT 0.419 0.250 66.7% 0.570 1B $2,400 1B $2,600
Team Averages — 0.312 0.159 35.0% 0.335 — — — —

Elite Plays – Gary Sanchez, Starlin Castro

Secondary Plays – Jacoby Ellsbury, Chase Headley

Stackability – ORANGE

LA Dodgers at San Francisco – 4:05 PM ET

LA Dodgers San Francisco
Article Image Clayton Kershaw Article Image Albert Suarez
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
LAD -200 7.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.140 0 25.3% 38.6% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.324 3 25.2% 12.0%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.222 7 30.0% 30.5% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.352 8 32.4% 18.3%

Pitcher Grind Down

Clayton Kershaw
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $10,700 Salary: $13,800
FPPG: 45.3 FPPG: 27.5
Pitcher Rating: 99.4 Pitcher Rank: 1
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 4 77.3 2.48 0.86 30.7% 1.3% 12.6% 48.0% 32.0% 27.5%
2016 20 99.0 2.32 1.65 32.6% 1.9% 15.6% 49.5% 29.5% 28.9%
2015 33 102.8 2.24 2.13 33.8% 4.7% 15.9% 50.0% 28.2% 25.3%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 1.44 — K%: 35.1% — wOBA Allowed: 0.197
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 2.48 — K%: 31.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.244

Kershaw will make his final regular season start today, as the Dodgers look to roll into the postseason. He has been solid since his return from the back injury ,as he has put up a 0.86 ERA and 23 strikeouts in just 21 innings. He will look to continue that momentum today against the Giants, who he has dominated this year (1.86 ERA, 31 strikeouts in 29 innings). While he may not go complete today, he is still the best pitcher going and should be used in all formats.

Albert Suarez
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,000 Salary: $4,400
FPPG: 15.0 FPPG: 7.3
Pitcher Rating: 36.9 Pitcher Rank: 26
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 76.4 5.46 4.13 9.1% 7.1% 7.9% 48.8% 31.3% 25.3%
2016 12 114.4 4.65 4.29 15.2% 7.3% 8.3% 47.9% 31.3% 28.8%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.18 — K%: 14.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.293
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 5.28 — K%: 15.7% — wOBA Allowed: 0.377

Suarez has now made 22 appearances and 12 starts on the year. He holds a 4.26 ERA (4.65 SIERA) and a very low 15.2 percent strikeout rate. He has little upside and has a tough matchup against the Dodgers, who are ranked fifth in wOBA and seventh in ISO. Avoid him against Kershaw today.

Batter Grind Down

LA Dodgers

The Dodgers have a low team total of just 4.33, which is the 21st-projected team total of the day. Suarez has allowed a .324 wOBA to lefties and .352 wOBA to righties on the year, which puts value plays for the Dodgers into play today. As a whole, though, they are not a stack-worthy offense on the slate.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Chase Utley LEFT 0.333 0.152 38.8% 0.428 2B $2,800 2B $4,200
2 Howie Kendrick RIGHT 0.314 0.136 34.8% 0.227 2B $2,800 2B/OF $3,000
3 Corey Seager LEFT 0.401 0.223 39.6% 0.310 SS $4,000 SS $5,000
4 Adrian Gonzalez LEFT 0.361 0.185 36.9% 0.314 1B $2,900 1B $4,300
5 Yasmani Grandal SWITCH 0.350 0.268 39.7% 0.374 C $3,000 C $3,900
6 Josh Reddick LEFT 0.372 0.163 33.0% 0.422 OF $2,800 OF $4,200
7 Andrew Toles LEFT 0.369 0.187 32.9% 0.257 OF $2,100 OF $2,600
8 Joc Pederson LEFT 0.388 0.279 41.3% 0.466 OF $3,500 OF $4,600
9 Clayton Kershaw LEFT 0.201 0.036 11.5% 0.439 P $10,700 P $13,800
Team Averages — 0.343 0.181 34.3% 0.360 — — — —

Elite Plays – Chase Utley, Corey Seager

Secondary Plays – Adrian Gonzalez, Yasmani Grandal

Stackability – ORANGE

San Francisco

Offense against Kershaw….Move on.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Gorkys Hernandez RIGHT 0.378 0.192 56.5% 0.219 OF $2,100 OF $2,000
2 Brandon Belt LEFT 0.376 0.216 31.5% 0.400 1B $3,000 1B $3,100
3 Buster Posey RIGHT 0.377 0.185 36.3% 0.340 C $3,300 C $3,400
4 Hunter Pence RIGHT 0.370 0.255 38.1% 0.336 OF $2,800 OF $3,400
5 Angel Pagan SWITCH 0.296 0.146 23.5% 0.230 OF $2,900 OF $2,500
6 Brandon Crawford LEFT 0.305 0.108 38.5% 0.376 SS $2,600 SS $3,000
7 Kelby Tomlinson RIGHT 0.332 0.058 23.7% 0.250 2B $2,700 2B/SS $2,100
8 Gordon Beckham RIGHT 0.304 0.151 31.0% 0.316 2B $2,300 2B/3B $2,200
9 Albert Suarez RIGHT 0.176 0.000 0.0% 0.621 P $5,000 P $4,400
Team Averages — 0.324 0.146 31.0% 0.343 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – None

Stackability – RED

Miami at Washington – 4:05 PM ET

Miami Washington
Article Image Wei-Yin Chen Article Image Tanner Roark
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
WAS -150 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.337 1 33.3% 18.3% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.283 6 29.8% 18.9%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.334 20 35.2% 19.2% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.285 11 20.4% 21.4%

Pitcher Grind Down

Wei-Yin Chen
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,800 Salary: $5,600
FPPG: 23.9 FPPG: 12.0
Pitcher Rating: 68.4 Pitcher Rank: 7
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 2 64.0 3.39 5.40 18.8% 0.0% 9.4% 56.0% 32.0% 28.0%
2016 21 87.5 4.18 5.02 19.0% 4.6% 9.1% 40.5% 38.6% 34.9%
2015 31 97.1 3.97 3.34 19.3% 5.2% 8.6% 40.5% 39.4% 28.3%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.16 — K%: 19.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.330
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.75 — K%: 19.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.327

Chen has had a tough year, as he sports a 5.02 ERA (4.18 SIERA) and a below average 19 percent strikeout rate. He gets a tough matchup against the Nationals today, who are ranked fifth against left-handed pitching in wOBA and second in ISO against lefties as well. This makes Chen a tough play in all formats, yet he is the seventh-ranked pitcher on the day due to the options available being even worse than he is.

Tanner Roark
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,300 Salary: $9,100
FPPG: 33.4 FPPG: 17.4
Pitcher Rating: 69.7 Pitcher Rank: 6
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 92.0 4.30 2.79 24.6% 11.9% 10.9% 46.6% 30.1% 25.7%
2016 32 101.4 4.27 2.86 20.2% 8.3% 8.9% 48.8% 30.8% 24.8%
2015 12 150.0 4.16 4.38 15.0% 5.6% 7.1% 47.8% 30.6% 26.3%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.31 — K%: 20.1% — wOBA Allowed: 0.300
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.47 — K%: 16.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.304

Roark has had a solid season overall this year. He comes in with a sub-three earned run average (2.86) and a playable 20.2 percent strikeout rate. His SIERA, like it has been all season, shows some regression, as it sits a full run higher than his ERA at 4.27. And yet, he gets a solid matchup against the Marlins who are ranked 24th in wOBA and 29th in ISO against righties. Roark is a solid option in all formats.

Batter Grind Down

Miami

The Marlins have a projected run total of 3.96, which is the fifth-lowest team total of the day. Roark has allowed a wOBA of under .285 from both sides of the plate, which makes this Marlins offense one that we can safely ignore on the day.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Dee Gordon LEFT 0.289 0.077 18.0% 0.349 2B $3,100 2B $4,300
2 Derek Dietrich LEFT 0.375 0.161 30.0% 0.690 1B $2,700 2B $3,200
3 Martin Prado RIGHT 0.303 0.104 26.4% 0.322 3B $3,000 3B $3,000
4 Christian Yelich LEFT 0.380 0.211 41.6% 0.232 OF $3,200 OF $4,000
5 Marcell Ozuna RIGHT 0.314 0.155 33.6% 0.241 OF $2,900 OF $3,100
6 Justin Bour LEFT 0.352 0.234 37.0% 0.256 1B $3,000 1B $3,000
7 J.T. Realmuto RIGHT 0.350 0.123 30.9% 0.246 C $2,500 C $3,500
8 Adeiny Hechavarria RIGHT 0.261 0.072 30.8% 0.279 SS $2,200 SS $2,300
9 Wei-Yin Chen LEFT 0.000 0.000 0.0% 0.000 P $7,800 P $5,600
Team Averages — 0.292 0.126 27.6% 0.291 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – None

Stackability – RED

Washington

Chen has allowed a .337 wOBA to lefties and .334 wOBA to righties on the year, which has resulted in a projected run total of 4.54 for the 15th-highest of the 30-team slate. A number of the guys in the front of the order have home run potential, but there are better stack offenses.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Trea Turner RIGHT 0.303 0.053 43.2% 0.428 OF $3,800 2B/OF $5,300
2 Jayson Werth RIGHT 0.436 0.303 47.3% 0.329 OF $3,400 OF $4,000
3 Bryce Harper LEFT 0.326 0.220 32.0% 0.252 OF $3,700 OF $4,800
4 Anthony Rendon RIGHT 0.360 0.150 36.6% 0.278 3B $3,500 3B $4,400
5 Ryan Zimmerman RIGHT 0.291 0.210 39.1% 0.303 1B $3,000 1B $4,100
6 Stephen Drew LEFT 0.246 0.071 30.8% 0.340 SS $2,500 2B/SS $3,400
7 Danny Espinosa SWITCH 0.299 0.270 42.9% 0.209 SS $2,800 SS $3,600
8 Pedro Severino RIGHT 0.230 0.000 0.0% 0.230 C $2,700
9 Tanner Roark RIGHT 0.095 0.077 16.7% 0.000 P $8,300 P $9,100
Team Averages — 0.287 0.150 32.1% 0.263 — — — —

Elite Plays – Trea Turner, Jayson Werth

Secondary Plays – Anthony Rendon

Stackability – ORANGE

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About the Author

Ryan138
Ryan138

Ryan (Ryan138) is from Chicago and has been playing fantasy sports for over 10 years. He has been playing daily fantasy sports for over 2 years since he was introduced to Daily Joust in late 2010. In the last year, Ryan has risen into the Top 100 of the RotoGrinders leaderboards by playing at DraftDay, DraftKings and FanDuel in all the major sports.