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MLB Grind Down: Saturday, September 17th - Page Three

by Ryan138 Last Updated 2016-09-17 19:16:59

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LA Dodgers at Arizona – 8:10 PM ET

LA Dodgers Arizona
Article Image Bud Norris Article Image Shelby Miller
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
LAD -125 10.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.391 8 41.3% 19.6% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.416 8 39.5% 13.1%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.272 5 24.2% 21.7% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.345 5 29.1% 18.1%

Pitcher Grind Down

Bud Norris
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,700 Salary: $4,400
FPPG: 15.5 FPPG: 7.5
Pitcher Rating: 53.4 Pitcher Rank: 19
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 3 94.0 6.40 11.08 14.3% 18.6% 7.1% 52.2% 23.9% 36.2%
2016 19 104.6 4.38 5.05 20.8% 10.0% 9.1% 47.9% 30.9% 31.5%
2015 11 133.0 4.17 6.72 18.8% 8.2% 9.6% 43.4% 33.7% 36.9%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.40 — K%: 23.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.301
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 7.20 — K%: 17.1% — wOBA Allowed: 0.396

Stewart is making the start today instead of Norris, who was previously listed. Stewart is coming off three straight decent appearances for the Dodgers and will be asked to pitch in a tough environment today against the Diamondbacks. He has been very inconsistent with his strikeouts and is a tough trust all around tonight.

Shelby Miller
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,700 Salary: $4,000
FPPG: 14.6 FPPG: 5.2
Pitcher Rating: 49.4 Pitcher Rank: 22
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 2 93.5 4.69 5.23 10.2% 2.0% 4.8% 45.2% 26.2% 33.3%
2016 16 86.9 5.18 6.89 15.0% 9.5% 6.8% 43.2% 33.6% 35.1%
2015 33 98.4 4.16 3.02 19.9% 8.5% 9.2% 47.7% 34.1% 26.7%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.86 — K%: 21.1% — wOBA Allowed: 0.313
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.38 — K%: 15.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.323

Miller has really struggled over the course of this season. He comes into the game with a very high 6.91 ERA (5.11 SIERA) and a very low 15.3% strikeout rate. He has a tough matchup against the Dodgers today, who are ranked seventh in wOBA and eighth in ISO against righties. He is an easy fade tonight.

Batter Grind Down

LA Dodgers

Miller can be attacked from everywhere, as his wOBA allowed is at .345+ from both sides of the plate. Looking closer, lefties have mashed him this year, as they have a .416 wOBA against him, which bodes very well for the Dodgers offense that is full of solid lefty bats.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Chase Utley LEFT 0.320 0.134 38.8% 0.131 2B $3,100 2B $4,100
2 Corey Seager LEFT 0.407 0.227 39.8% 0.376 SS $4,000 SS $5,500
3 Justin Turner RIGHT 0.388 0.270 38.5% 0.390 3B $3,600 3B $5,100
4 Adrian Gonzalez LEFT 0.361 0.185 35.8% 0.239 1B $3,400 1B $4,500
5 Yasmani Grandal SWITCH 0.346 0.274 40.6% 0.306 C $2,700 C $4,300
6 Josh Reddick LEFT 0.365 0.164 32.2% 0.440 OF $2,900 OF $4,200
7 Andre Ethier LEFT 0.000 0.000 14.3% 0.000 OF $2,200 OF $3,900
8 Joc Pederson LEFT 0.380 0.270 40.6% 0.467 OF $2,600 OF $4,400
9 Brock Stewart RIGHT 0.000 0.000 0.0% 0.000 P $6,100 P $4,000
Team Averages — 0.285 0.169 31.2% 0.261 — — — —

Elite Plays – Corey Seager, Adrian Gonzalez, Chase Utley

Secondary Plays – Yasmany Grandal, Justin Turner, Josh Reddick

Stackability – GREEN

Arizona

Vegas has this game as basically a Coors game with a total of 10.5 and the Dodgers as just slight favorites. Both offenses are clearly in play today and could see some low ownership due to the Coors spot.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jean Segura RIGHT 0.373 0.166 29.6% 0.377 2B $3,500 2B $5,200
2 Chris Owings RIGHT 0.303 0.112 30.4% 0.391 SS $2,600 OF/SS $3,900
3 Paul Goldschmidt RIGHT 0.366 0.173 34.8% 0.360 1B $4,000 1B $5,100
4 Jake Lamb LEFT 0.385 0.298 44.1% 0.368 3B $3,500 3B $4,700
5 Yasmany Tomas RIGHT 0.308 0.213 40.0% 0.381 OF $2,700 OF $4,300
6 Brandon Drury RIGHT 0.330 0.167 32.0% 0.575 OF $3,500 3B/OF $4,500
7 Socrates Brito LEFT 0.267 0.209 30.8% 0.302 OF $2,200 OF $3,100
8 Tuffy Gosewisch RIGHT 0.151 0.034 16.3% 0.233 C $2,200 C $2,700
9 Shelby Miller RIGHT 0.116 0.095 25.0% 0.310 P $6,700 P $4,000
Team Averages — 0.289 0.163 31.4% 0.366 — — — —

Elite Plays – Paul Goldschmidt, Jean Segura, Jake Lamb

Secondary Plays – Chris Owings

Stackability – YELLOW

San Diego at Colorado – 8:10 PM ET

San Diego Colorado
Article Image Edwin Jackson Article Image Jon Gray
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
COL -175 12.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.348 4 29.9% 15.9% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.305 9 37.3% 24.8%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.344 5 35.0% 15.7% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.313 7 25.8% 24.3%

Pitcher Grind Down

Edwin Jackson
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,800 Salary: $4,000
FPPG: 13.0 FPPG: 5.7
Pitcher Rating: 23.8 Pitcher Rank: 29
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 87.2 5.22 7.30 17.4% 11.3% 6.9% 37.0% 39.5% 35.8%
2016 10 110.9 5.26 5.32 15.8% 10.8% 8.8% 40.7% 38.3% 32.7%
2015 0 0.0 4.27 3.07 17.5% 9.2% 10.7% 41.1% 36.8% 24.1%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.81 — K%: 18.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.298
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 5.16 — K%: 14.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.341

I wouldn’t play Edwin many places, which means starting him in Coors should not be on anyone’s radar. Move along.

Jon Gray
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,000 Salary: $7,600
FPPG: 30.3 FPPG: 15.7
Pitcher Rating: 73.9 Pitcher Rank: 8
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 97.4 4.17 5.33 22.1% 9.0% 11.9% 41.8% 24.1% 34.6%
2016 26 95.6 3.86 4.69 24.6% 8.4% 11.7% 44.4% 30.5% 31.4%
2015 9 75.8 3.89 5.53 21.6% 7.6% 10.1% 42.4% 32.8% 36.4%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 5.57 — K%: 22.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.338
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.17 — K%: 25.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.304

Gray has hit a bit of a rough patch lately, as he has allowed a lot more hits and runs than he had earlier in the season. He comes into this game with a 3.86 SIERA, which is almost a full run lower than his 4.69 ERA. His strikeout rate of 24.6% allows for some mistakes, and he gets a solid matchup against the Padres, who are the worst offense in the league in terms of team wOBA against righties. There is always risk with a Coors pitcher, but he is GPP playable.

Batter Grind Down

San Diego

Its tough to see the Padres as the second-best offense tonight, as there are a number of teams in good spots. If Gray can figure it back out again, he could pitch very well against a Padres team that he has had success against this year (24 innings, 33 strikeouts, 10 earned runs). They are clearly in play due to the park, but fading them is also an option.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Travis Jankowski LEFT 0.328 0.086 27.9% 0.179 OF $3,800 OF $3,800
2 Jon Jay LEFT 0.310 0.113 32.3% 0.275 OF $3,200 OF $3,600
3 Wil Myers RIGHT 0.330 0.188 32.3% 0.303 1B $4,300 1B $4,900
4 Ryan Schimpf LEFT 0.382 0.347 40.2% 0.288 2B $3,700 2B $4,800
5 Alex Dickerson LEFT 0.327 0.214 31.2% 0.326 OF $3,800 OF $4,100
6 Luis Sardinas SWITCH 0.256 0.060 20.6% 0.347 SS $3,000 SS $3,600
7 Derek Norris RIGHT 0.245 0.154 32.2% 0.268 C $3,400 C $3,500
8 Alexi Amarista LEFT 0.278 0.019 23.0% 0.132 SS $3,200 2B/SS $3,000
9 Edwin Jackson RIGHT 0.304 0.071 11.1% 0.230 P $5,800 P $4,000
Team Averages — 0.307 0.139 27.9% 0.261 — — — —

Elite Plays – Travis Jankowski, Jon Jay, Wil Myers

Secondary Plays – Ryan Schrimpf, Alex Dickerson

Stackability – YELLOW

Colorado

Edwin has allowed a .348 wOBA to lefties on the year and .344 to righties. The Colorado bats are going to be very popular, as they should be, as they are the number one offense to target tonight with a 6.68 run total. Stack away.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Charlie Blackmon LEFT 0.402 0.276 38.8% 0.517 OF $4,700 OF $5,700
2 DJ LeMahieu RIGHT 0.387 0.134 34.4% 0.351 2B $4,100 2B $4,600
3 Nolan Arenado RIGHT 0.397 0.294 36.7% 0.353 3B $4,300 3B $5,400
4 Carlos Gonzalez LEFT 0.378 0.213 36.3% 0.327 OF $4,400 OF $5,600
5 Mark Reynolds RIGHT 0.365 0.192 28.4% 0.389 1B $3,200 1B $4,700
6 Gerardo Parra LEFT 0.285 0.157 34.8% 0.283 OF $3,600 1B/OF $3,700
7 Tom Murphy RIGHT 0.356 0.214 22.2% 0.405 C $3,000 C $3,000
8 Daniel Descalso LEFT 0.349 0.166 29.9% 0.437 SS $3,000 1B/SS $3,800
9 Jon Gray RIGHT 0.205 0.059 33.3% 0.000 P $7,000 P $7,600
Team Averages — 0.347 0.189 32.8% 0.340 — — — —

Elite Plays – Charlie Blackmon, Carlos Gonzalez, Nolan Arenado

Secondary Plays – DJ LeMahieu, Mark Reynolds, Gerardo Parra

Stackability – GREEN

St. Louis at San Francisco – 9:05 PM ET

St. Louis San Francisco
Article Image Mike Leake Article Image Jeff Samardzija
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
SF -125 7.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.321 13 30.9% 17.7% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.331 11 29.0% 17.3%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.326 7 32.4% 15.8% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.283 12 34.9% 20.6%

Pitcher Grind Down

Mike Leake
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,100 Salary: $6,300
FPPG: 22.3 FPPG: 10.8
Pitcher Rating: 61.0 Pitcher Rank: 15
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 3 86.3 3.55 3.12 19.7% 4.0% 8.1% 54.5% 23.6% 36.8%
2016 26 89.3 3.90 4.61 16.7% 3.8% 7.1% 53.6% 25.5% 32.1%
2015 30 91.8 4.19 3.70 15.3% 6.3% 6.3% 51.8% 26.6% 28.8%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.58 — K%: 15.5% — wOBA Allowed: 0.318
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.71 — K%: 16.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.300

While Leake has not been horrible this year with his 4.60 ERA (3.90 SIERA), he lacks the upside needed to play him in fantasy due to his low 16.7% strikeout rate. He does have a 3.90 SIERA on the year and could be used as an SP2 tonight against a decent Giants offense, but with more risk attached than I would like for the lack of upside.

Jeff Samardzija
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,000 Salary: $9,600
FPPG: 27.8 FPPG: 14.4
Pitcher Rating: 67.3 Pitcher Rank: 12
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 98.6 3.81 2.90 24.0% 7.2% 9.3% 44.0% 33.3% 37.2%
2016 28 99.9 4.32 4.00 18.8% 6.6% 8.9% 45.7% 34.7% 32.1%
2015 32 104.3 4.18 4.96 17.9% 5.4% 9.8% 39.0% 39.8% 27.0%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.62 — K%: 19.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.335
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.45 — K%: 17.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.305

The Shark gets the start today and has been pretty decent over the last month-and-a-half or so. In the last 30 days, he does have a low 2.90 ERA and solid 24% strikeout rate. He is in a tough spot tonight against a solid Cardinals offense, but Vegas believes he will pitch well as a small favorite in a game with a 7.5 run total. There are better options, but he is in play.

Batter Grind Down

St. Louis

The Cards surprisingly have the fourth-lowest run total of the entire day at 3.60 runs. If you want to target anyone, go for the lefties, as the Shark has allowed a .331 wOBA to left handed bats on the year.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Matt Carpenter LEFT 0.392 0.274 47.4% 0.303 2B $3,500 2B/3B $4,100
2 Aledmys Diaz RIGHT 0.397 0.233 34.4% 0.610 SS $3,000 SS $4,200
3 Stephen Piscotty RIGHT 0.326 0.162 33.4% 0.335 OF $3,200 OF $3,600
4 Brandon Moss LEFT 0.360 0.317 42.5% 0.152 1B $3,200 1B/OF $3,400
5 Yadier Molina RIGHT 0.324 0.116 33.3% 0.363 C $2,900 C $3,100
6 Jhonny Peralta RIGHT 0.306 0.154 33.1% 0.284 SS $2,500 3B $2,800
7 Randal Grichuk RIGHT 0.331 0.261 40.8% 0.385 OF $3,300 OF $4,000
8 Kolten Wong LEFT 0.304 0.121 24.9% 0.359 2B $2,300 2B $2,900
9 Mike Leake RIGHT 0.147 0.033 15.8% 0.000 P $7,100 P $6,300
Team Averages — 0.321 0.186 34.0% 0.310 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Matt Carpenter, Brandon Moss

Stackability – RED

San Francisco

Leake has allowed a .321 wOBA to lefties and .326 wOBA to righties on the year. This game does appear to be one of the lower-scoring matchups of the night, making both offenses tough to target.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Angel Pagan SWITCH 0.329 0.140 25.0% 0.222 OF $2,900 OF $3,900
2 Joe Panik LEFT 0.325 0.173 27.8% 0.258 2B $2,700 2B $3,700
3 Buster Posey RIGHT 0.324 0.135 35.6% 0.231 C $3,200 C $3,800
4 Hunter Pence RIGHT 0.345 0.123 29.5% 0.465 OF $3,000 OF $4,400
5 Brandon Belt LEFT 0.363 0.183 37.8% 0.352 1B $3,400 1B $3,600
6 Brandon Crawford LEFT 0.328 0.185 33.3% 0.226 SS $3,000 SS $3,600
7 Eduardo Nunez RIGHT 0.323 0.135 26.0% 0.313 3B $2,900 3B/SS $4,300
8 Denard Span LEFT 0.321 0.134 26.7% 0.144 OF $3,000 OF $3,400
9 Jeff Samardzija RIGHT 0.202 0.100 29.2% 0.353 P $8,000 P $9,600
Team Averages — 0.318 0.145 30.1% 0.285 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Buster Posey, Angel Pagan, Brandon Crawford

Stackability – RED

Toronto at LA Angels – 9:05 PM ET

Toronto LA Angels
Article Image Francisco Liriano Article Image Ricky Nolasco
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
TOR -130 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.336 5 35.8% 22.3% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.313 8 33.8% 14.5%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.350 20 34.6% 22.6% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.337 18 34.7% 19.8%

Pitcher Grind Down

Francisco Liriano
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,400 Salary: $8,700
FPPG: 23.8 FPPG: 11.5
Pitcher Rating: 71.7 Pitcher Rank: 10
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 2 117.5 3.48 3.46 30.4% 10.7% 13.6% 50.0% 31.3% 28.1%
2016 25 96.9 4.58 5.27 22.4% 12.5% 11.1% 51.0% 30.5% 35.0%
2015 31 96.2 3.38 3.38 26.5% 9.1% 14.3% 51.2% 26.3% 24.3%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.58 — K%: 25.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.317
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.77 — K%: 23.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.308

Liriano has not been terrible since switching over to the Blue Jays. In the last month of baseball, Liriano sports a solid 3.48 SIERA and elite 30.4% strikeout rate. The matchup today is average against the Angels, but they do have the lowest strikeout rate against lefties in the league at just 16.9%. With that said, he has upside and should be used as a tournament play tonight.

Ricky Nolasco
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,400 Salary: $6,600
FPPG: 23.6 FPPG: 11.9
Pitcher Rating: 45.0 Pitcher Rank: 24
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 99.6 4.56 3.97 16.1% 5.8% 10.2% 46.7% 35.2% 26.2%
2016 28 97.5 4.41 4.90 17.5% 5.3% 9.1% 43.3% 38.8% 34.1%
2015 8 83.1 4.10 6.75 20.2% 8.1% 9.3% 40.7% 31.7% 26.0%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 5.24 — K%: 16.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.328
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 5.23 — K%: 19.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.339

Nolasco is not someone to use in any format in daily fantasy regardless of the opponent, but especially when the team he is facing is a high-powered offense like the Blue Jays. The Blue Jays are ranked in the top 10 and this game is a virtual pick ‘em with a total of nine runs. Nolasco is an easy fade tonight.

Batter Grind Down

Toronto

The Blue Jays have the ninth-highest projected run total tonight at 4.68 runs against Nolasco, who has allowed a .313+ wOBA from both sides of the plate. They are in play in all formats tonight.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Devon Travis RIGHT 0.365 0.188 30.1% 0.363 2B $3,500 2B $3,600
2 Josh Donaldson RIGHT 0.397 0.270 40.3% 0.230 3B $4,500 3B $4,700
3 Edwin Encarnacion RIGHT 0.379 0.279 38.0% 0.348 1B $4,200 1B $4,000
4 Jose Bautista RIGHT 0.349 0.211 40.3% 0.305 OF $3,700 OF $4,300
5 Russell Martin RIGHT 0.328 0.178 31.7% 0.268 C $3,200 C $3,500
6 Troy Tulowitzki RIGHT 0.334 0.207 34.2% 0.369 SS $3,100 SS $3,800
7 Michael Saunders LEFT 0.340 0.210 38.6% 0.148 OF $3,100 OF $2,900
8 Kevin Pillar RIGHT 0.289 0.112 26.7% 0.294 OF $2,500 OF $2,700
9 Darwin Barney RIGHT 0.279 0.105 24.8% 0.146 2B $2,300 2B/3B $2,900
Team Averages — 0.340 0.196 33.9% 0.275 — — — —

Elite Plays – Josh Donaldson, Jose Bautista, Edwin Encarnacion

Secondary Plays – Devon Travis, Russell Martin

Stackability – GREEN

LA Angels

These days, it’s tough to roster any Angels not named Pujols or Trout. Those two continue to be viable tonight, as Francisco Liriano has allowed a .350 wOBA to righties this year.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Yunel Escobar RIGHT 0.386 0.154 27.5% 0.319 3B $3,000 3B $3,200
2 Kole Calhoun LEFT 0.350 0.157 32.7% 0.370 OF $3,300 OF $3,700
3 Mike Trout RIGHT 0.387 0.184 42.9% 0.386 OF $4,100 OF $4,900
4 Albert Pujols RIGHT 0.356 0.246 39.8% 0.292 1B $3,200 1B $3,900
5 C.J. Cron RIGHT 0.291 0.160 27.9% 0.283 1B $2,800 1B $3,200
6 Jefry Marte RIGHT 0.368 0.254 38.6% 0.293 3B $3,100 1B/3B $3,200
7 Andrelton Simmons RIGHT 0.315 0.100 21.8% 0.451 SS $2,400 SS $3,500
8 Jett Bandy RIGHT 0.321 0.240 29.3% 0.176 C $2,600 C $2,300
9 Gregorio Petit RIGHT 0.300 0.122 30.3% 0.410 SS $2,400 2B/SS $2,300
Team Averages — 0.342 0.180 32.3% 0.331 — — — —

Elite Plays – Mike Trout

Secondary Plays – Albert Pujols

Stackability – RED

Houston at Seattle – 9:10 PM ET

Houston Seattle
Article Image Mike Fiers Article Image James Paxton
RIGHT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
SEA -130 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.325 9 34.7% 18.3% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.316 1 30.2% 12.5%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.365 16 36.9% 17.2% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.318 7 32.4% 23.2%

Pitcher Grind Down

Mike Fiers
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,900 Salary: $6,100
FPPG: 24.6 FPPG: 11.7
Pitcher Rating: 55.5 Pitcher Rank: 18
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 88.2 4.33 5.34 19.2% 7.1% 10.4% 43.0% 31.0% 34.0%
2016 27 92.1 4.39 4.64 17.7% 5.8% 9.0% 41.2% 32.9% 36.0%
2015 30 101.4 3.84 3.69 23.7% 8.4% 9.8% 37.6% 42.1% 33.5%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.75 — K%: 21.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.312
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.53 — K%: 19.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.342

Fiers was terrible last week against the Cubs, as he was lit up for seven earned runs in just two-and-one-third innings pitched. He has shown glimpses of strikeout potential at times this year even though he holds just a 17.5% strikeout rate. He is a bit too inconsistent to trust in a tough matchup against the Mariners, who are ranked sixth in wOBA and 10th in ISO against righties. He is too risky to trust in this spot.

James Paxton
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,200 Salary: $8,500
FPPG: 29.3 FPPG: 15.1
Pitcher Rating: 68.9 Pitcher Rank: 11
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 4 94.3 3.61 5.75 21.5% 4.3% 12.2% 48.5% 27.9% 33.3%
2016 17 98.5 3.74 3.97 21.2% 5.0% 11.6% 48.6% 29.5% 31.7%
2015 13 85.5 4.44 3.90 18.9% 9.8% 7.2% 48.3% 34.4% 29.7%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.76 — K%: 20.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.311
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.11 — K%: 20.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.318

Paxton has pretty solid numbers this year, as he sports a 3.97 (3.74 SIERA) and a 21.2% strikeout rate. He has a boom-or-bust matchup against the Astros, who strike out at a 23% rate while sporting the fourth-highest ISO in the league against lefties. Use with caution, but Paxton is playable.

Batter Grind Down

Houston

Check the Astros lineup for guys like Altuve and Bregman, as they have been sporting injuries. If all healthy, this lineup does pack home run potential at a number of spots including the top five bats.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 George Springer RIGHT 0.402 0.280 37.3% 0.344 OF $3,800 OF $4,300
2 Yuli Gurriel RIGHT 0.341 0.160 45.8% 0.387 3B $3,000 1B/3B $2,600
3 Jose Altuve RIGHT 0.402 0.205 37.6% 0.289 2B $3,600 2B $4,700
4 Carlos Correa RIGHT 0.324 0.141 41.9% 0.216 SS $3,600 SS $3,700
5 Evan Gattis RIGHT 0.378 0.276 30.4% 0.357 C $3,000 C $4,400
6 Marwin Gonzalez SWITCH 0.320 0.190 30.5% 0.298 1B $2,600 1B $3,400
7 Teoscar Hernandez RIGHT 0.349 0.280 42.1% 0.354 OF $2,800 OF $2,500
8 Jason Castro LEFT 0.234 0.099 28.9% 0.298 C $3,000 C $2,500
9 Jake Marisnick RIGHT 0.310 0.198 34.3% 0.263 OF $2,200 OF $2,200
Team Averages — 0.340 0.203 36.5% 0.312 — — — —

Elite Plays – Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa

Secondary Plays – George Springer, Evan Gattis

Stackability – ORANGE

Seattle

Fiers has allowed a .325 wOBA to lefties, while allowing big .365 wOBA to righties on the year. The Mariners have a middle-of-the-road total tonight, but can be used for one of bats as they do have power at a number of positions.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Norichika Aoki LEFT 0.337 0.122 21.4% 0.422 OF $2,700 OF $4,000
2 Seth Smith LEFT 0.345 0.171 33.1% 0.405 OF $2,900 OF $3,700
3 Robinson Cano LEFT 0.391 0.249 38.6% 0.330 2B $3,300 2B $4,900
4 Nelson Cruz RIGHT 0.370 0.237 34.9% 0.440 OF $3,800 OF $4,500
5 Kyle Seager LEFT 0.398 0.246 40.1% 0.388 3B $3,200 3B $4,800
6 Mike Zunino RIGHT 0.366 0.322 35.5% 0.340 C $3,000 C $3,300
7 Leonys Martin LEFT 0.303 0.145 30.7% 0.334 OF $2,900 OF $3,600
8 Dan Vogelbach LEFT 0.146 0.000 0.0% 0.125
9 Ketel Marte SWITCH 0.306 0.070 22.5% 0.294 SS $2,800 SS $3,300
Team Averages — 0.329 0.174 28.5% 0.342 — — — —

Elite Plays – Seth Smith, Robinson Cano, Nelson Cruz

Secondary Plays – Kyle Seger, Norichiki Aoki

Stackability – YELLOW

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About the Author

Ryan138
Ryan138

Ryan (Ryan138) is from Chicago and has been playing fantasy sports for over 10 years. He has been playing daily fantasy sports for over 2 years since he was introduced to Daily Joust in late 2010. In the last year, Ryan has risen into the Top 100 of the RotoGrinders leaderboards by playing at DraftDay, DraftKings and FanDuel in all the major sports.