MLB Grind Down: Saturday, April 9th - Page Two
Miami at Washington – 4:05 PM ET
| Miami | Washington | ||||||||
 | Tom Koehler |  | Joe Ross | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| WAS -155 | 8.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | wOBA | HR All. | K% | BB% | Stats | wOBA | HR All. | K% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.332 | 16 | 18.1% | 10.0% | SP vs. Left | 0.351 | 4 | 17.5% | 9.7% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.313 | 6 | 16.2% | 9.2% | SP vs. Right | 0.205 | 3 | 26.3% | 3.8% |
| Batter Splits | Batter Splits | ||||||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
| Tom Koehler | |||||||
 | FanDuel: | DraftKings: | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary:$7,200 | Salary:$6,800 | ||||||
| FPPG:26.6 | FPPG:0.0 | ||||||
| Pitcher Rating:3.5 | |||||||
| Statistics | SIERA | K% | BB% | LD% | GB% | O-wOBA | O-K% |
| 2015 | 4.67 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 18.4% | 46.0% | 18 | 28 |
Koehler has never been anything but an average pitcher at best, and his good side usually only shows up at home. His ERA on the road the past 3 seasons are 4.82, 4.63 and 4.23. His overall numbers for the 2015 season show a 4.67 SIERA with a 17.1% strikeout rate and 9.6% walk rate. He is one of the worst pitching choices today and should be nowhere near your radar.
| Joe Ross | |||||||
 | FanDuel: | DraftKings: | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary:$6,800 | Salary:$7,500 | ||||||
| FPPG:23.8 | FPPG:0.0 | ||||||
| Pitcher Rating:7 | |||||||
| Statistics | SIERA | K% | BB% | LD% | GB% | O-wOBA | O-K% |
| 2015 | 3.66 | 22.0% | 6.7% | 16.4% | 49.8% | 29 | 6 |
Ross was a pleasant surprise for the Nationals in 2015, giving them 76 innings of a 3.64 ERA in his rookie campaign. A strong 50% ground ball rate and above average K/BB rates give him hope that he can continue his success into this year. He’s certainly not among the elite, but a strong favorite pitching at home is always worth a look if the price is right.
Miami
Ross had pronounced left-right splits in 2015 with a .351 wOBA to lefties and a .205 wOBA to righties. Those numbers will even out some, but you certainly don’t want to use right-handed bats, outside of a tournament play on Giancarlo Stanton. Overall, there is not a lot of reason to look at Miami bats today, but the left-handed bats could get a little something going.
Projected Lineup
| # | Player | wOBA vs. RHP | FD Position | FD Salary | DK Position | DK Salary |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dee Gordon | 0.329 | 2B | $3,700 | 2B | $4,500 |
| 2 | Marcell Ozuna | 0.283 | OF | $3,000 | OF | $3,500 |
| 3 | Christian Yelich | 0.354 | OF | $3,500 | OF | $4,000 |
| 4 | Giancarlo Stanton | 0.375 | OF | $4,800 | OF | $5,100 |
| 5 | Martin Prado | 0.305 | 3B | $2,700 | ||
| 6 | Justin Bour | 0.359 | 1B | $2,600 | 1B | $3,100 |
| 7 | 1.256 | Position | Salary | 0 | $0 | |
| 8 | Adeiny Hechavarria | 0.274 | SS | $2,600 | SS | $2,800 |
| 9 | Tom Koehler | P | $7,200 | P | $6,800 |
Elite Plays
Secondary Plays
Dee Gordon – 2015 vs RHP – .329 wOBA, 108 wRC+
Christian Yelich – 2015 vs RHP – .354 wOBA, 125 wRC+
Justin Bour – 2015 vs RHP – .359 wOBA, 128 wRC+
Giancarlo Stanton – 2015 vs RHP – .375 wOBA, 139 wRC+
Washington
Nationals batters are firmly in play today in all formats. Koehler doesn’t show significant splits, he allowed a .332 wOBA to lefties and a .313 wOBA to righties in 2015 with a fair amount of hard contact to both sides. Bryce Harper is in the conversation as top overall play of the day.
Projected Lineup
| # | Player | wOBA vs. RHP | FD Position | FD Salary | DK Position | DK Salary |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Taylor | 0.271 | OF | $2,200 | OF | $3,300 |
| 2 | Anthony Rendon | 0.310 | 3B | $2,900 | 2B/3B | $4,100 |
| 3 | Bryce Harper | 0.478 | OF | $5,200 | OF | $4,900 |
| 4 | Ryan Zimmerman | 0.290 | 1B | $2,800 | 1B | $3,700 |
| 5 | Daniel Murphy | 0.342 | 2B | $3,300 | 2B/3B | $4,000 |
| 6 | Jayson Werth | 0.293 | OF | $2,700 | OF | $4,000 |
| 7 | Wilson Ramos | 0.264 | C | $2,300 | C | $3,200 |
| 8 | Danny Espinosa | 0.302 | SS | $2,300 | 2B | $2,800 |
| 9 | 1.256 | Position | Salary | 0 | $0 |
Elite Plays
Bryce Harper – 2015 vs RHP – .478 wOBA, 209 wRC+
Daniel Murphy – 2015 vs RHP – .342 wOBA, 121 wRC+
Secondary Plays
Anthony Rendon – 2015 vs RHP – .310 wOBA, 94 wRC+
Ryan Zimmerman – 2015 vs RHP – .290 wOBA, 80 wRC+
Jayson Werth – 2015 vs RHP – .293 wOBA, 82 wRC+
Tampa Bay at Baltimore – 7:05 PM ET
| Tampa Bay | Baltimore | ||||||||
 | Drew Smyly |  | Mike Wright | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| TB -120 | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | wOBA | HR All. | K% | BB% | Stats | wOBA | HR All. | K% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.227 | 0 | 42.9% | 8.9% | SP vs. Left | 0.392 | 4 | 10.9% | 7.9% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.324 | 11 | 24.2% | 6.9% | SP vs. Right | 0.361 | 5 | 14.6% | 9.7% |
| Batter Splits | Batter Splits | ||||||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
| Drew Smyly | |||||||
 | FanDuel: | DraftKings: | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary:$8,500 | Salary:$9,500 | ||||||
| FPPG:20.0 | FPPG:10.8 | ||||||
| Pitcher Rating:6 | |||||||
| Statistics | SIERA | K% | BB% | LD% | GB% | O-wOBA | O-K% |
| 2015 | 3.25 | 28.0% | 7.3% | 19.0% | 36.8% | 28 | 26 |
Smyly started the year with a rough outing against Toronto, but you can’t fault any pitcher too much for struggling with the Blue Jays (although he did give up a HR to Josh Thole). Smyly was outstanding after returning from injury in 2015, posting a 28% strikeout rate with a 3.25 in 66 innings. I’m not sure if he can keep up those numbers, but this is a talented young arm, and Baltimore does have plenty of strikeouts for the taking. Definitely a tournament only play, as the Orioles can boom or bust pretty easily, but he’s in play if you want to take a chance.
| Mike Wright | |||||||
 | FanDuel: | DraftKings: | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary:$6,300 | Salary:$5,100 | ||||||
| FPPG:13.2 | FPPG:0.0 | ||||||
| Pitcher Rating:3 | |||||||
| Statistics | SIERA | K% | BB% | LD% | GB% | O-wOBA | O-K% |
| 2015 | 5.28 | 12.8% | 8.8% | 19.5% | 37.7% | 21 | 23 |
Quite simply, the Orioles do not have a good rotation this year. Mike Wright is only in the rotation due to lack of options. In his rookie season of 2015, he posted an ugly 6.04 ERA which was only slightly better than his 5.28 SIERA. He had a low 12.8% strikeout rate with a 43% fly ball rate, this is not a good combination for Camden Yards. He should not be used in any format for any reason.
Batter Grind Down
Tampa Bay
I prefer to play Rays batters against left-handed pitching, but Mike Wright is not going to scare me off. He allowed a .392 wOBA to left-handed batters and a .361 wOBA to right-handed batters in his rookie season with low strikeout numbers to both sides. Facing a weak pitcher in a good hitter’s park is a recipe for success.
Projected Lineup
| # | Player | wOBA vs. RHP | FD Position | FD Salary | DK Position | DK Salary |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Logan Forsythe | 0.324 | 2B | $3,300 | 2B | $3,800 |
| 2 | Logan Morrison | 0.329 | 1B | $2,200 | 1B | $3,700 |
| 3 | Evan Longoria | 0.301 | 3B | $3,000 | 3B | $4,200 |
| 4 | Corey Dickerson | 0.398 | OF | $3,200 | OF | $3,900 |
| 5 | Desmond Jennings | 0.287 | OF | $2,500 | OF | $3,700 |
| 6 | Brad Miller | 0.348 | SS | $2,200 | OF/SS | $3,600 |
| 7 | Steve Souza | 0.313 | OF | $3,400 | OF | $4,200 |
| 8 | Kevin Kiermaier | 0.324 | OF | $2,600 | OF | $3,800 |
| 9 | Hank Conger | 0.382 | C | $2,200 | C | $3,400 |
Elite Plays
Corey Dickerson – 2015 vs RHP – .398 wOBA, 138 wRC+
Evan Longoria – 2015 vs RHP – .301 wOBA, 92 wRC+
Logan Forsythe – 2015 vs RHP – .324 wOBA, 108 wRC+
Logan Morrison – 2015 vs RHP – .329 wOBA, 112 wRC+
Secondary Plays
Kevin Kiermaier – 2015 vs RHP – .324 wOBA, 108 wRC+
Steven Souza – 2015 vs RHP – .313 wOBA, 101 wRC+
Baltimore
Drew Smyly is not a pitcher you would normally look to attack, but this Orioles lineup has GPP upside in nearly every matchup. I don’t consider them a target by any means, but they are going to hit a lot of home runs this year, and Smyly does allow a lot of fly balls to right-handed batters.
Projected Lineup
| # | Player | wOBA vs. LHP | FD Position | FD Salary | DK Position | DK Salary |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Rickard | 0.298 | OF | $2,500 | OF | $3,300 |
| 2 | Manny Machado | 0.384 | 3B | $4,200 | 3B | $4,300 |
| 3 | Adam Jones | 0.340 | OF | $3,100 | OF | $4,200 |
| 4 | Chris Davis | 0.410 | 1B | $3,700 | 1B/OF | $4,300 |
| 5 | Mark Trumbo | 0.309 | OF | $3,000 | 1B/OF | $3,900 |
| 6 | Matt Wieters | 0.324 | C | $2,800 | C | $3,400 |
| 7 | Pedro Alvarez | 0.336 | 1B | $2,800 | 1B | $3,400 |
| 8 | J.J. Hardy | 0.258 | SS | $2,500 | SS | $2,700 |
| 9 | Jonathan Schoop | 0.379 | 2B | $2,400 | 2B | $3,000 |
Elite Plays
Secondary Plays
Mark Trumbo – 2015 vs LHP – .364 wOBA, 133 wRC+
Chris Davis – 2015 vs LHP – .345 wOBA, 117 wRC+
Manny Machado – 2015 vs LHP – .330 wOBA, 106 wRC+
Houston at Milwaukee – 7:10 PM ET
| Houston | Milwaukee | ||||||||
 | Doug Fister |  | Wily Peralta | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| HOU -130 | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | wOBA | HR All. | K% | BB% | Stats | wOBA | HR All. | K% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.317 | 8 | 12.0% | 5.6% | SP vs. Left | 0.376 | 9 | 11.1% | 6.2% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.368 | 6 | 16.2% | 5.1% | SP vs. Right | 0.349 | 5 | 14.0% | 9.4% |
| Batter Splits | Batter Splits | ||||||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
| Doug Fister | |||||||
 | FanDuel: | DraftKings: | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary:$6,500 | Salary:$5,800 | ||||||
| FPPG:14.3 | FPPG:0.0 | ||||||
| Pitcher Rating:3.5 | |||||||
| Statistics | SIERA | K% | BB% | LD% | GB% | O-wOBA | O-K% |
| 2015 | 4.47 | 14.0% | 5.4% | 21.3% | 44.6% | 21 | 23 |
Fister has never been a strikeout pitcher, but his numbers just continue to fall, as he posted just a 14% strikeout rate in 2015. He does have excellent control, which allows him to have success at times, but he’s just too hittable, as his 4.47 SIERA shows, to be worth anything for fantasy purposes.
| Wily Peralta | |||||||
 | FanDuel: | DraftKings: | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary:$5,300 | Salary:$6,200 | ||||||
| FPPG:6.0 | FPPG:0.2 | ||||||
| Pitcher Rating:2.5 | |||||||
| Statistics | SIERA | K% | BB% | LD% | GB% | O-wOBA | O-K% |
| 2015 | 4.75 | 12.6% | 7.7% | 19.9% | 51.6% | 4 | 29 |
It is absolutely absurd that this guy was an Opening Day starter. His four inning four run performance comes as no surprise, as he just hasn’t been able to live up to his previous expectations. He has maintained a good ground ball rate, but his strikeouts fell off a cliff last season, down to an unacceptable 12.6%, leading to a 4.75 SIERA. Stay far away.
Batter Grind Down
Houston
Houston is a risky, but high upside offense filled with power/speed batters with strikeout risk. Wily Peralta low strikeout rate is not going to play well against this lineup, and they should be near the top of your wish list, especially in tournaments.
Projected Lineup
| # | Player | wOBA vs. RHP | FD Position | FD Salary | DK Position | DK Salary |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Altuve | 0.319 | 2B | $3,700 | 2B | $5,000 |
| 2 | George Springer | 0.336 | OF | $3,600 | OF | $5,100 |
| 3 | Carlos Correa | 0.359 | SS | $4,900 | SS | $5,100 |
| 4 | Colby Rasmus | 0.329 | OF | $3,000 | OF | $3,600 |
| 5 | Carlos Gomez | 0.324 | OF | $3,200 | OF | $4,700 |
| 6 | Luis Valbuena | 0.348 | 3B | $2,400 | 1B/3B | $3,800 |
| 7 | Tyler White | 1B | $2,900 | 1B/3B | $3,400 | |
| 8 | Preston Tucker | 0.347 | OF | $2,500 | OF | $3,500 |
| 9 | 1.256 | Position | Salary | 0 | $0 |
Elite Plays
Carlos Correa – 2015 vs RHP – .359 wOBA, 128 wRC+
George Springer – 2015 vs RHP – .336 wOBA, 113 wRC+
Jose Altuve – 2015 vs RHP – .319 wOBA, 101 wRC+
Colby Rasmus – 2015 vs RHP – .329 wOBA, 107 wRC+
Luis Valbuena – 2015 vs RHP – .348 wOBA, 121 wRC+
Carlos Gomez – 2015 vs RHP – .324 wOBA, 102 wRC+
Secondary Plays
Milwaukee
While it is going to be a long year in Milwaukee, there is enough talent in this lineup to put up some big days, especially against a pitcher like Fister, at home in their strong ballpark. Fister allowed a .386 wOBA to RHB and a .317 to LHB in 2015 and he just doesn’t have the stuff to scare off major league hitters.
Projected Lineup
| # | Player | wOBA vs. RHP | FD Position | FD Salary | DK Position | DK Salary |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Domingo Santana | 0.305 | OF | $2,600 | OF | $3,600 |
| 2 | Scooter Gennett | 0.305 | 2B | $2,800 | 2B | $3,300 |
| 3 | Ryan Braun | 0.352 | OF | $4,000 | OF | $4,800 |
| 4 | Jonathan Lucroy | 0.325 | C | $3,000 | C | $4,000 |
| 5 | Chris Carter | 0.318 | 1B | $2,700 | 1B | $3,800 |
| 6 | Ramon Flores | 0.202 | OF | $2,200 | OF | $3,400 |
| 7 | Aaron Hill | 0.291 | 3B | $2,300 | 2B/3B | $3,100 |
| 8 | Wily Peralta | P | $5,300 | P | $6,200 | |
| 9 | Jonathan Villar | 0.330 | SS | $2,500 | 3B/SS | $3,700 |
Elite Plays
Ryan Braun – 2015 vs RHP – .352 wOBA, 120 wRC+
Scooter Gennett – 2015 vs RHP – .305 wOBA, 87 wRC+
Secondary Plays
Jonathan Lucroy – 2015 vs RHP – .325 wOBA, 101 wRC+
Chris Carter – 2015 vs RHP – .318 wOBA, 100 wRC+
Philadelphia at NY Mets – 7:10 PM ET
| Philadelphia | NY Mets | ||||||||
 | Vincent Velasquez |  | Bartolo Colon | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| NYM -180 | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | wOBA | HR All. | K% | BB% | Stats | wOBA | HR All. | K% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.287 | 3 | 22.4% | 10.4% | SP vs. Left | 0.314 | 11 | 16.0% | 2.8% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.349 | 2 | 28.3% | 7.6% | SP vs. Right | 0.319 | 14 | 17.4% | 3.1% |
| Batter Splits | Batter Splits | ||||||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
| Vincent Velasquez | |||||||
 | FanDuel: | DraftKings: | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary:$6,400 | Salary:$6,800 | ||||||
| FPPG:14.3 | FPPG:0.0 | ||||||
| Pitcher Rating:5 | |||||||
| Statistics | SIERA | K% | BB% | LD% | GB% | O-wOBA | O-K% |
| 2015 | 3.74 | 25.1% | 9.1% | 22.0% | 31.3% | 20 | 15 |
Velasquez put up an iumpressive 25.1% strikeout rate in his rookie season with Houston in 2015. Moving over to the National League, he will get the chance to spend his first full season in the rotation. There is some definite upside here with his strikeout ability, but he’s likely to have some bumps in the road as well. A long shot GPP play is an option, but he’s not a safe option against this Mets offense.
| Bartolo Colon | |||||||
 | FanDuel: | DraftKings: | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary:$7,200 | Salary:$6,100 | ||||||
| FPPG:7.0 | FPPG:4.4 | ||||||
| Pitcher Rating:5 | |||||||
| Statistics | SIERA | K% | BB% | LD% | GB% | O-wOBA | O-K% |
| 2015 | 4.02 | 16.7% | 2.9% | 20.8% | 42.3% | 29 | 21 |
Old Man Bart just keeps chugging along. His elite control has kept him relevant as a major league pitcher, and could give him one more year of decent results. But his strikeout rate is not enough to give him any upside as a fantasy asset, so you can avoid him and move on to guys with more potential.
Batter Grind Down
Philadelphia
Due to his pinpoint control and low walks, Colon is not an easy guy to use batters against, although he is very likely to give up plenty of hits.
Projected Lineup
| # | Player | wOBA vs. RHP | FD Position | FD Salary | DK Position | DK Salary |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freddy Galvis | 0.290 | SS | $2,500 | SS | $3,300 |
| 2 | Odubel Herrera | 0.339 | OF | $2,400 | OF | $3,400 |
| 3 | Maikel Franco | 0.360 | 3B | $3,400 | 3B | $4,000 |
| 4 | Ryan Howard | 0.341 | 1B | $2,400 | 1B | $3,900 |
| 5 | Andres Blanco | 0.345 | 3B | $2,200 | 2B/3B | $2,800 |
| 6 | Cedric Hunter | OF | $2,400 | OF | $3,100 | |
| 7 | Carlos Ruiz | 0.230 | C | $2,500 | C | $2,800 |
| 8 | Peter Bourjos | 0.267 | OF | $2,200 | OF | $3,100 |
| 9 | Vincent Velasquez | P | $6,400 | P | $6,800 |
Elite Plays
Secondary Plays
Maikel Franco – 2015 vs RHP – .360 wOBA, 128 wRC+
Odubel Herrera – 2015 vs RHP – .339 wOBA, 114 wRC+
Cesar Hernandez – 2015 vs RHP – .292 wOBA, 81 wRC+
NY Mets
We don’t have enough of a sample size to know anything useful about the splits for Vincent Velasquez. The Mets have enough quality hitters in their lineup to be worth a shot, but they rank pretty far down the list of targets today due to the strikeout ability of Velasquez. On the plus side, they should get to see a fair amount of the weak Phillies bullpen.
Projected Lineup
| # | Player | wOBA vs. RHP | FD Position | FD Salary | DK Position | DK Salary |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curtis Granderson | 0.384 | OF | $3,300 | OF | $4,500 |
| 2 | David Wright | 0.334 | 3B | $2,800 | 3B | $4,300 |
| 3 | Yoenis Cespedes | 0.383 | OF | $3,800 | OF | $4,700 |
| 4 | Lucas Duda | 0.354 | 1B | $2,600 | 1B | $4,300 |
| 5 | Neil Walker | 0.340 | 2B | $2,700 | 2B | $3,900 |
| 6 | Michael Conforto | 0.371 | OF | $2,400 | OF | $3,500 |
| 7 | Asdrubal Cabrera | 0.323 | SS | $2,700 | SS | $3,600 |
| 8 | Travis D’Arnaud | 0.329 | C | $2,800 | C | $3,700 |
| 9 | Bartolo Colon | P | $7,200 | P | $6,100 |
Elite Plays
Secondary Plays
Yoenis Cespedes – 2015 vs RHP – .389 wOBA, 154 wRC+
Curtis Granderson – 2015 vs RHP – .384 wOBA, 151 wRC+
Lucas Duda – 2015 vs RHP – .354 wOBA, 130 wRC+
Michael Conforto – 2015 vs RHP – .371 wOBA, 142 wRC+
St. Louis at Atlanta – 7:10 PM ET
| St. Louis | Atlanta | ||||||||
 | Carlos Martinez |  | Julio Teheran | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| STL -140 | 7.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | wOBA | HR All. | K% | BB% | Stats | wOBA | HR All. | K% | BB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.329 | 9 | 21.6% | 10.4% | SP vs. Left | 0.386 | 18 | 15.2% | 11.1% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.276 | 4 | 26.9% | 6.4% | SP vs. Right | 0.257 | 9 | 25.4% | 6.2% |
| Batter Splits | Batter Splits | ||||||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
| Carlos Martinez | |||||||
 | FanDuel: | DraftKings: | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary:$9,000 | Salary:$10,000 | ||||||
| FPPG:33.7 | FPPG:0.0 | ||||||
| Pitcher Rating:7.5 | |||||||
| Statistics | SIERA | K% | BB% | LD% | GB% | O-wOBA | O-K% |
| 2015 | 3.44 | 24.4% | 8.3% | 20.1% | 54.5% | 27 | 2 |
Martinez is and up-and-coming young ace with an eye on a big season if he can remain healthy. In his first full season as a starter in 2015, he threw more than a strikeout per inning with a strong 54.5% ground ball rate, leading to a 3.01 ERA with a 3.44 SIERA. He is worth a look against Atlanta today.
| Julio Teheran | |||||||
 | FanDuel: | DraftKings: | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary:$8,400 | Salary:$9,300 | ||||||
| FPPG:24.0 | FPPG:12.7 | ||||||
| Pitcher Rating:7 | |||||||
| Statistics | SIERA | K% | BB% | LD% | GB% | O-wOBA | O-K% |
| 2015 | 4.24 | 20.3% | 8.7% | 24.2% | 39.5% | 12 | 11 |
Teheran had a down year in 2015, due to some bad luck in a high HR/FB%, but also an increase in his walk rate. He certainly has the skills for a bounce back, but it’s best to play it safe in the early going and view him as a league average pitcher, which is what his 20.3% strikeout rate implies. He is not really in play today outside of a very long shot GPP lineup.
Batter Grind Down
St. Louis
Teheran fell apart against left-handed batters in 2015 allowing a .386 wOBA with a 15.2% strikeout rate and 11.1% walk rate. The Cardinals came out of the gate slowly in 2016, but put up seven runs last night, and can be considered sparingly today.
Projected Lineup
| # | Player | wOBA vs. RHP | FD Position | FD Salary | DK Position | DK Salary |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Carpenter | 0.394 | 3B | $3,300 | 3B | $4,100 |
| 2 | Stephen Piscotty | 0.360 | OF | $2,700 | 1B/OF | $3,600 |
| 3 | Matt Holliday | 0.353 | OF | $2,800 | OF | $3,400 |
| 4 | Matt Adams | 0.293 | 1B | $2,300 | 1B | $3,000 |
| 5 | Randal Grichuk | 0.381 | OF | $2,400 | OF | $3,300 |
| 6 | Yadier Molina | 0.298 | C | $2,500 | C | $3,100 |
| 7 | Kolten Wong | 0.335 | 2B | $2,500 | 2B | $3,600 |
| 8 | Jedd Gyorko | 0.284 | SS | $2,200 | 2B/SS | $2,900 |
| 9 | Carlos Martinez | P | $9,000 | P | $10,000 |
Elite Plays
Matt Carpenter – 2015 vs RHP – .394 wOBA, 154 wRC+
Secondary Plays
Kolten Wong – 2015 vs RHP – .335 wOBA, 114 wRC+
Stephen Piscotty – 2015 vs RHP – .360 wOBA, 130 wRC+
Matt Holliday – 2015 vs RHP – .353 wOBA, 125 wRC+
Matt Adams – 2015 vs RHP – .293 wOBA, 85 wRC+
Atlanta
Carlos Martinez was very tough on right-handed batters, and only slightly easier on lefties, with a .329 wOBA allowed. I don’t see much reason to use Braves batters today, though Freddie Freeman is certainly worth mentioning.
Projected Lineup
| # | Player | wOBA vs. RHP | FD Position | FD Salary | DK Position | DK Salary |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ender Inciarte | 0.359 | OF | $3,000 | OF | $3,700 |
| 2 | Erick Aybar | 0.288 | SS | $2,400 | SS | $3,300 |
| 3 | Freddie Freeman | 0.390 | 1B | $3,200 | 1B | $4,100 |
| 4 | Adonis Garcia | 0.302 | 3B | $2,300 | 3B | $2,700 |
| 5 | Nick Markakis | 0.347 | OF | $2,800 | OF | $3,600 |
| 6 | Hector Olivera | 0.355 | OF | $2,200 | 3B | $3,000 |
| 7 | A.J. Pierzynski | 0.343 | C | $2,200 | C | $3,000 |
| 8 | Jace Peterson | 0.301 | 2B | $2,300 | 2B | $2,900 |
| 9 | Julio Teheran | P | $8,400 | P | $9,300 |
Elite Plays
Secondary Plays
Freddie Freeman – 2015 vs RHP – .390 wOBA, 150 wRC+