MLB Grind Down: Saturday, July 30th

by Ryan138 Last Updated 2016-07-31 03:10:53

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code and FanDuel promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.

Stackability Rating System:

GREEN – One of the top stacks of the day, viable in cash games and GPPs
YELLOW – A viable stack option in most formats, specifically GPPs
ORANGE – There are better stacks out there, but playable in large GPPs
RED – Not a recommended stack for cash games or GPPs

Baltimore at Toronto – 1:07 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Baltimore					Toronto
			Yovani Gallardo					J.A. Happ
			RIGHT					LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			TOR -175					9.5
SP vs. Left	0.348	15	15.4%	10.7%	SP vs. Left	0.297	4	22.7%	6.1%
SP vs. Right	0.312	8	15.4%	8.2%	SP vs. Right	0.303	26	19.9%	6.9%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Yovani Gallardo
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$6,400	Salary:		$5,400
					FPPG:		20.0	FPPG:		8.5
					Pitcher Rating:		31.9	Pitcher Rank:		28
L30 Days	6	98.2	5.48	4.81	17.6%	13.5%	6.6%	42.0%	44.0%	27.7%
2016	12	92.1	5.52	5.37	15.6%	12.0%	6.2%	39.3%	41.8%	28.3%
2015	33	97.8	4.59	3.42	15.3%	8.6%	6.5%	49.3%	28.7%	25.5%

At this point in his career, Gallardo is attackable any time he takes the mound. He comes into this game with a high 5.37 ERA (5.51 SIERA) and has virtually no upside with a 15.6% strikeout rate. He now has to face the Blue Jays offense that ranks sixth in wOBA and fourth in ISO against right-handed pitchers. Avoid him today.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
J.A. Happ
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$8,800	Salary:		$9,600
					FPPG:		34.7	FPPG:		17.6
					Pitcher Rating:		76.4	Pitcher Rank:		5
L30 Days	5	100.0	3.26	2.76	28.3%	5.8%	10.8%	32.9%	38.2%	33.3%
2016	20	94.8	4.32	3.27	19.8%	7.3%	9.3%	42.1%	35.7%	32.2%
2015	31	91.6	3.82	3.61	21.1%	6.3%	8.1%	41.6%	34.1%	31.2%

Happ has had a solid year for the Blue Jays. He sports a 3.27 ERA this year, which he has kept up even despite moving to a more hitter-friendly home ballpark (3.22 ERA at home in ten starts). His SIERA (4.31) does sit a full run higher than his ERA on the year, indicating some regression should be in order, and he has to face an Orioles offense with a lot of lefty mashers, but who, even so, are ranked in the bottom of the league (26th) in wOBA against RHP. The early slate lacks a real second option, putting Happ in play, albeit with some risk.

Batter Grind Down

Baltimore

Happ has held batters from both sides of the plate to a wOBA under .302 for the year. Vegas believes in him a bit today, as the Orioles have a run total of 4.32, for 13th-highest on the slate. You can make a case for a couple of the righties hitting high up in the order today, but the offense on the other side is the one to target.

Orioles Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.305 (26 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.163 (15 of 30)
Team K% vs. LHP — 21.0% (13 of 30)
Pitches Per PA vs. LHP — 3.91 (7 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.78 (7 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.32 (13 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Adam Jones	RIGHT	0.296	0.157	0.277	OF	$3,600	OF	$3,700
2	Jonathan Schoop	RIGHT	0.286	0.135	0.276	2B	$3,600	2B	$3,100
3	Manny Machado	RIGHT	0.349	0.187	0.321	3B	$4,000	3B/SS	$4,400
4	Chris Davis	LEFT	0.342	0.210	0.196	1B	$3,200	1B	$3,900
5	Mark Trumbo	RIGHT	0.342	0.258	0.239	OF	$3,300	OF	$4,200
6	Matt Wieters	SWITCH	0.272	0.115	0.155	C	$2,700	C	$2,700
7	Pedro Alvarez	LEFT	0.257	0.116	0.251	3B	$3,000	1B	$2,800
8	Nolan Reimold	RIGHT	0.316	0.130	0.203	OF	$2,600	OF	$2,100
9	J.J. Hardy	RIGHT	0.248	0.085	0.361	SS	$2,300	SS	$2,400
	Team Averages	—	0.301	0.155	0.253	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Manny Machado, Adam Jones

Secondary Plays – Jonathan Schoop, Mark Trumbo

Stackability – ORANGE

Toronto

Gallardo has been terrible against both righties and lefties this season, allowing a .391 wOBA to lefties and a .330 wOBA to righties. The Blue Jays have the second-highest total of the day and the highest total of the early slate. Play them in all formats.

Blue Jays Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.331 (6 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.190 (4 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 21.8% (20 of 30)
Pitches Per PA vs. RHP — 4.05 (1 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.91 (5 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 5.18 (2 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Jose Bautista	RIGHT	0.381	0.275	0.211	OF	$4,500	OF	$4,500
2	Josh Donaldson	RIGHT	0.399	0.271	0.372	3B	$5,200	3B	$5,400
3	Edwin Encarnacion	RIGHT	0.387	0.279	0.346	1B	$4,200	1B	$4,900
4	Michael Saunders	LEFT	0.353	0.208	0.328	OF	$3,800	OF	$4,800
5	Troy Tulowitzki	RIGHT	0.320	0.174	0.290	SS	$3,200	SS	$4,000
6	Russell Martin	RIGHT	0.309	0.171	0.333	C	$2,800	C	$3,000
7	Justin Smoak	SWITCH	0.333	0.229	0.468	1B	$3,600	1B	$4,000
8	Kevin Pillar	RIGHT	0.304	0.130	0.256	OF	$2,600	OF	$3,200
9	Devon Travis	RIGHT	0.370	0.186	0.403	2B	$3,100	2B	$3,900
	Team Averages	—	0.351	0.214	0.334	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Edwin Encarnacion, Josh Donaldson, Michael Saunders

Secondary Plays – Jose Bautista, Troy Tulowitzki, Russell Martin

Stackability – GREEN

Seattle at Chicago Cubs – 2:20 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Seattle					Chicago Cubs
			Wade Miley					Jake Arrieta
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			CHC -240					7.5
SP vs. Left	0.298	6	18.1%	5.7%	SP vs. Left	0.230	6	28.8%	9.0%
SP vs. Right	0.342	29	17.0%	8.1%	SP vs. Right	0.241	12	24.9%	4.8%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Wade Miley
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$6,800	Salary:		$5,700
					FPPG:		23.5	FPPG:		11.0
					Pitcher Rating:		42.8	Pitcher Rank:		25
L30 Days	5	87.4	4.94	5.08	12.3%	7.4%	7.6%	50.0%	26.6%	28.9%
2016	18	93.4	4.66	5.23	16.4%	7.4%	8.7%	45.9%	33.2%	32.1%
2015	32	99.8	4.24	4.46	17.7%	7.7%	8.3%	48.8%	30.5%	24.7%

Miley is not a pitcher to target on a regular basis. He has an ERA of 5.23 and has a very low 16.4% strikeout rate. His matchup today is terrible, as his run support should be limited with Arrieta taking the hill for the Cubs, and the Cubs are ranked second in wOBA and third in ISO against lefties. The Cubs are the largest favorite on the entire day, making Miley a hard pitcher to play today.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Jake Arrieta
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$10,800	Salary:		$11,800
					FPPG:		40.7	FPPG:		22.6
					Pitcher Rating:		89.7	Pitcher Rank:		1
L30 Days	4	95.5	3.67	5.55	22.6%	5.7%	10.7%	46.1%	28.9%	39.5%
2016	20	101.2	3.58	2.76	26.2%	8.9%	10.9%	53.2%	26.4%	25.9%
2015	33	104.2	2.75	1.77	27.1%	5.5%	11.1%	56.2%	22.8%	22.1%

Just when Cub fans thought Arrieta was back after his start against the Mets, he goes and gives up four earned to the White Sox. His ERA has risen over a run in the last ten starts, getting closer to his SIERA of 3.58. He still has great strikeout stuff (26.2% K rate), making him a high-upside play in any matchup. He faces a Mariners squad that is ranked in the top ten in many of the offensive categories listed, yet Arrieta is still the top play of the early slate and you could make the case for his being best option of the entire day.

Batter Grind Down

Seattle

Arrieta has kept opponents to a wOBA of under .271 from both sides of the plate this year. The Mariners have a low projected team total of 2.94, which is the lowest of the day. Avoid their bats today.

Mariners Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.336 (5 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.182 (7 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 20.0% (9 of 30)
Pitches Per PA vs. RHP — 3.90 (11 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.75 (9 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 2.94 (30 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Norichika Aoki	LEFT	0.325	0.112	0.380	OF	$2,600	OF	$3,300
2	Seth Smith	LEFT	0.350	0.193	0.293	OF	$2,600	OF	$3,400
3	Robinson Cano	LEFT	0.374	0.214	0.266	2B	$3,200	2B	$4,200
4	Nelson Cruz	RIGHT	0.368	0.229	0.398	OF	$3,800	OF	$4,000
5	Kyle Seager	LEFT	0.362	0.212	0.355	3B	$3,100	3B	$4,000
6	Adam Lind	LEFT	0.347	0.214	0.344	1B	$3,100	1B	$3,300
7	Leonys Martin	LEFT	0.290	0.140	0.374	OF	$2,600	OF	$3,400
8	Chris Iannetta	RIGHT	0.257	0.131	0.271	C	$2,000	C	$2,000
9	Wade Miley	LEFT	0.125	0.000		P	$6,800	P	$5,700
	Team Averages	—	0.311	0.161	0.335	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – None

Stackability – RED

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs are -240 favorites today and they come into the game with a 4.56 projected run total of ninth highest of the day and second highest of the early slate. Miley has allowed lefties a wOBA of .304, but has really struggled against righties who he has allowed a wOBA of .363 this year. The Cubs are in play in all formats.

Cubs Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.351 (2 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.191 (3 of 30)
Team K% vs. LHP — 19.4% (7 of 30)
Pitches Per PA vs. LHP — 3.82 (19 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 5.06 (4 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.56 (9 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Dexter Fowler	SWITCH	0.377	0.156	0.295	OF	$3,500	OF	$4,000
2	Kris Bryant	RIGHT	0.384	0.264	0.296	3B	$4,100	3B/OF	$5,100
3	Anthony Rizzo	LEFT	0.375	0.212	0.308	1B	$3,700	1B	$4,900
4	Ben Zobrist	SWITCH	0.382	0.173	0.240	2B	$3,800	2B	$3,900
5	Willson Contreras	RIGHT	0.372	0.162	0.290	C	$3,100	C/OF	$3,600
6	Jason Heyward	LEFT	0.306	0.097	0.171	OF	$3,000	OF	$3,300
7	Addison Russell	RIGHT	0.272	0.158	0.396	SS	$3,100	SS	$3,800
8	Javier Baez	RIGHT	0.447	0.228	0.412	SS	$3,100	2B/3B	$4,400
9	Jake Arrieta	RIGHT	0.293	0.114	0.621	P	$10,800	P	$11,800
	Team Averages	—	0.356	0.174	0.337	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Kris Bryant, Dexter Fowler, Ben Zobrist

Secondary Plays – Anthony Rizzo, Willson Contreras, Javier Baez

Stackability – YELLOW

Washington at San Francisco – 4:05 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Washington					San Francisco
			Reynaldo Lopez					Jake Peavy
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			SF -150					8.0
SP vs. Left	0.358	1	50.0%	0.0%	SP vs. Left	0.329	14	17.3%	7.3%
SP vs. Right	0.608	0	18.2%	9.1%	SP vs. Right	0.317	13	18.3%	5.5%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Reynaldo Lopez
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$6,500	Salary:		$4,700
					FPPG:		23.0	FPPG:		9.9
					Pitcher Rating:		58.7	Pitcher Rank:		16
L30 Days	1	105.0	2.20	11.57	36.0%	4.0%	12.4%	42.9%	21.4%	46.7%
2016	1	105.0	2.16	11.57	36.0%	4.0%	12.4%	42.9%	21.4%	46.7%

Reynaldo Lopez first start did not go as well as many had hoped, as he allowed six earned runs in 4.2 innings to the Dodgers. He’ll try to bounce back in a decent matchup against the Giants, who are ranked 16th in wOBA and 26th in ISO against right-handed pitching. While the earned runs made his first start a bit lackluster, the strikeout potential was clearly shown, as he K’d nine batters in only 14 outs. His price today makes him playable, especially at DraftKings, where he is $4700 on a slate that really lacks safe second options.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Jake Peavy
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$6,900	Salary:		$5,200
					FPPG:		21.7	FPPG:		10.3
					Pitcher Rating:		59.3	Pitcher Rank:		15
L30 Days	5	91.8	4.95	6.04	18.0%	7.2%	7.8%	26.8%	52.4%	36.1%
2016	20	87.8	4.62	5.42	18.3%	7.1%	10.1%	36.0%	45.7%	36.8%
2015	19	91.6	4.33	3.58	17.4%	5.6%	8.0%	37.9%	45.1%	26.5%

The Nationals have a very low team total of 3.71 today, which is the fourth-lowest team total of the day and second-lowest of the early slate. Peavy has really struggled this year against lefties, as he has allowed a .368 wOBA to them, putting Bryce Harper and Daniel Murphy into elite play status.

Batter Grind Down

Washington

The Nationals have a very low team total of 3.71 today, which is the fourth lowest team total of the day and second lowest of the early slate. Peavy has really struggled this year against lefties as he has allowed a .368 wOBA to them, putting Bryce Harper and Daniel Murphy into elite play status.

Nationals Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.314 (17 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.169 (12 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 19.9% (8 of 30)
Pitches Per PA vs. RHP — 3.88 (14 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.66 (11 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.71 (27 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Trea Turner	RIGHT	0.304	0.169	0.351	SS	$3,600	2B/OF	$3,400
2	Bryce Harper	LEFT	0.433	0.302	0.176	OF	$4,000	OF	$5,000
3	Daniel Murphy	LEFT	0.377	0.224	0.527	2B	$3,600	2B	$5,300
4	Wilson Ramos	RIGHT	0.319	0.154	0.430	C	$3,200	C	$4,100
5	Jayson Werth	RIGHT	0.290	0.133	0.307	OF	$3,300	OF	$3,500
6	Anthony Rendon	RIGHT	0.315	0.140	0.353	3B	$2,900	3B	$3,600
7	Ryan Zimmerman	RIGHT	0.286	0.163	0.110	1B	$3,200	1B	$3,300
8	Danny Espinosa	SWITCH	0.304	0.171	0.181	SS	$2,500	SS	$2,700
9	Reynaldo Lopez	RIGHT			0.000	P	$6,500	P	$4,700
	Team Averages	—	0.329	0.182	0.271	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Bryce Harper, Daniel Murphy

Secondary Plays – Wilson Ramos

Stackability – ORANGE

San Francisco

San Francisco is an average offense this year against right-handed pitching, and they come into this game with a 4.29 projected run total, which puts them near the middle of the 30 teams in play today. Even so, with a rookie on the mound for Washington, a few Giants bats can be targeted today.

Giants Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.316 (16 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.139 (26 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 16.9% (2 of 30)
Pitches Per PA vs. RHP — 3.86 (17 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.57 (14 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.29 (14 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Denard Span	LEFT	0.347	0.120	0.322	OF	$3,200	OF	$3,900
2	Eduardo Nunez	RIGHT	0.331	0.122	0.169	SS	$3,100	3B/SS	$4,100
3	Joe Panik	LEFT	0.353	0.164		2B	$2,900	2B	$4,600
4	Buster Posey	RIGHT	0.350	0.146	0.284	C	$3,000	C	$3,900
5	Hunter Pence	RIGHT	0.368	0.186		OF	$2,700	OF	$4,000
6	Brandon Belt	LEFT	0.364	0.194	0.243	1B	$3,700	1B	$3,500
7	Brandon Crawford	LEFT	0.334	0.201	0.243	SS	$2,600	SS	$3,900
8	Angel Pagan	SWITCH	0.288	0.104	0.361	OF	$3,300	OF	$3,900
9	Jake Peavy	RIGHT	0.233	0.104	0.000	P	$6,900	P	$5,200
	Team Averages	—	0.330	0.149	0.232	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Buster Posey

Secondary Plays – Denard Span, Brandon Belt, Angel Pagan

Stackability – ORANGE

NY Yankees at Tampa Bay – 6:10 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
NY Yankees					Tampa Bay
			Nathan Eovaldi					Drew Smyly
			RIGHT					LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			TB -125					8.0
SP vs. Left	0.356	13	18.4%	9.3%	SP vs. Left	0.289	4	36.0%	5.3%
SP vs. Right	0.299	16	18.2%	5.8%	SP vs. Right	0.337	28	22.4%	7.0%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Nathan Eovaldi
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$7,200	Salary:		$6,900
					FPPG:		25.1	FPPG:		12.0
					Pitcher Rating:		53.5	Pitcher Rank:		17
L30 Days	3	133.0	5.41	3.38	13.9%	11.9%	10.0%	48.6%	32.4%	29.3%
2016	18	102.5	4.26	4.80	18.7%	7.6%	9.2%	51.0%	30.3%	32.7%
2015	27	97.7	3.99	4.20	18.0%	7.3%	8.7%	52.2%	26.0%	28.0%

Eovaldi has had two solid starts in a row now and comes into the game with a 4.80 ERA (4.25 SIERA) to go along with a below-average 18.7% strikeout rate. He has a decent matchup today against the Rays, who are ranked 26th in wOBA and ninth in ISO against right-handed pitching. Eovaldi’s low upside makes him a tough play today, even with the solid matchup.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Drew Smyly
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$8,300	Salary:		$6,300
					FPPG:		25.9	FPPG:		13.5
					Pitcher Rating:		68.8	Pitcher Rank:		10
L30 Days	4	99.5	5.81	5.82	11.8%	9.8%	7.5%	33.3%	41.0%	25.0%
2016	19	97.8	3.95	5.42	23.5%	6.3%	10.8%	32.4%	46.9%	31.2%
2015	12	94.7	3.25	3.10	28.0%	7.3%	11.4%	36.8%	44.3%	31.6%

Smyly finally snapped out of a stretch of starts that launched his ERA up about two runs since the end of May. He still does have a respectable SIERA of 3.94 on the year to go along with a solid 23.5% strikeout rate. He gets a good matchup today against the Yankees, who rank in the back end of the league against left-handed pitching. He also gets to pitch at home, where his ERA is nearly a full run lower than his ERA on the road (4.88/5.83). He is the second-best option on the day, but none of the second options on the early slate would be exactly safe.

Batter Grind Down

NY Yankees

The Yankees are a terrible offense against left-handed pitching, as they have put together a lefty-based offense and righties like Rodriguez have struggled. They have a low projected team total of 3.85 today, which is the seventh-lowest total of the day. They are not the greatest offense to target on the early slate.

Yankees Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.302 (27 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.126 (28 of 30)
Team K% vs. LHP — 17.3% (2 of 30)
Pitches Per PA vs. LHP — 3.72 (29 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.08 (23 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.85 (24 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Brett Gardner	LEFT	0.313	0.096	0.285	OF	$3,500	OF	$3,400
2	Jacoby Ellsbury	LEFT	0.288	0.083	0.197	OF	$3,500	OF	$3,500
3	Carlos Beltran	SWITCH	0.369	0.229	0.384	OF	$3,700	OF	$4,700
4	Mark Teixeira	SWITCH	0.309	0.137	0.281	1B	$2,400	1B	$2,900
5	Didi Gregorius	LEFT	0.316	0.082	0.318	SS	$2,800	SS	$3,300
6	Starlin Castro	RIGHT	0.303	0.105	0.313	2B	$2,800	2B	$3,300
7	Chase Headley	SWITCH	0.308	0.108	0.285	3B	$2,800	3B	$2,700
8	Austin Romine	RIGHT	0.307	0.162	0.273	C	$2,400	C	$2,600
9	Aaron Hicks	SWITCH	0.294	0.134	0.188	OF	$2,000	OF	$2,200
	Team Averages	—	0.312	0.126	0.280	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Carlos Beltran, Starlin Castro

Stackability – RED

Tampa Bay

The Rays are small favorites in this game today as they take on Eovaldi and have a projected team total of 4.15, which is right in the middle of the league totals today. Eovaldi has really struggled against lefties this year, as he has allowed a .373 wOBA.

Rays Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.302 (26 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.176 (9 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 24.3% (28 of 30)
Pitches Per PA vs. RHP — 3.88 (12 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.95 (26 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.15 (17 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Logan Forsythe	RIGHT	0.323	0.120	0.261	2B	$3,100	2B	$3,500
2	Brad Miller	LEFT	0.336	0.201	0.366	SS	$3,200	SS	$3,800
3	Evan Longoria	RIGHT	0.329	0.192	0.421	3B	$3,600	3B	$4,300
4	Corey Dickerson	LEFT	0.350	0.266	0.295	OF	$2,600	OF	$3,400
5	Steve Pearce	RIGHT	0.336	0.202	0.315	OF	$3,300	1B/2B	$3,200
6	Kevin Kiermaier	LEFT	0.316	0.177	0.237	OF	$2,500	OF	$3,100
7	Steven Souza	RIGHT	0.308	0.164	0.170	OF	$2,800	OF	$2,900
8	Brandon Guyer	RIGHT	0.283	0.114	0.258	OF	$2,800	OF	$2,900
9	Luke Maile	RIGHT	0.182	0.086	0.214	C	$2,000	C	$2,400
	Team Averages	—	0.307	0.169	0.282	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Brad Miller, Corey Dickerson

Secondary Plays – Logan Forsythe, Evan Longoria

Stackability – ORANGE

Houston at Detroit – 7:08 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Houston					Detroit
			Mike Fiers					Justin Verlander
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			DET -135					8.5
SP vs. Left	0.301	17	20.6%	6.2%	SP vs. Left	0.273	14	24.2%	7.2%
SP vs. Right	0.343	24	21.0%	8.2%	SP vs. Right	0.290	16	22.7%	5.8%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Mike Fiers
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$7,600	Salary:		$5,000
					FPPG:		23.5	FPPG:		10.8
					Pitcher Rating:		50.2	Pitcher Rank:		18
L30 Days	4	82.8	4.98	5.85	16.9%	7.9%	7.0%	30.3%	45.5%	38.8%
2016	18	92.7	4.51	4.69	15.9%	5.4%	8.5%	41.0%	31.7%	36.8%
2015	30	101.4	3.84	3.69	23.7%	8.4%	9.8%	37.6%	42.1%	33.5%

Fiers comes into this game with a 4.69 ERA (4.51 SIERA) on the season. He is an easy avoid in DFS this year, as his strikeout rate is down significantly from where is was a year ago and now sits at a terrible 15.9%. He has a tough matchup against a Tigers squad that went for 14 runs last night and is ranked in the top ten in both wOBA and ISO against righties. Avoid Fiers tonight.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Justin Verlander
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$9,500	Salary:		$11,600
					FPPG:		38.0	FPPG:		20.7
					Pitcher Rating:		80.0	Pitcher Rank:		3
L30 Days	5	108.2	3.57	1.60	27.2%	8.1%	12.4%	44.0%	36.9%	18.8%
2016	21	106.6	3.69	3.64	25.7%	7.0%	11.6%	36.6%	44.5%	26.4%
2015	20	107.5	3.95	3.37	21.1%	6.0%	10.0%	34.6%	45.5%	23.0%

Verlander has continued to roll along this year and is riding a nice five-game stretch where he has not allowed more than two earned runs. He now holds a solid 3.69 SIERA on the season, but more importantly, his above average strikeout rate of 25.7% makes him playable in most matchups. Today, he is a boom or bust play, as the Astros are ranked in the top ten against righties but also strike out at a very high 23.9% clip. He is a great option on the night slate.

Batter Grind Down

Houston

Verlander has been great this year, as he has kept batters to a wOBA of under .294 from both sides of the plate. The Astros have a projected team total of 4.04, which is in the bottom third of the league today. They have some upside, but it is tough to pay the prices for the big Astros bats.

Astros Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.326 (10 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.178 (8 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 23.9% (27 of 30)
Pitches Per PA vs. RHP — 3.92 (9 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.55 (15 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.04 (20 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	George Springer	RIGHT	0.338	0.173	0.333	OF	$3,700	OF	$4,400
2	Marwin Gonzalez	SWITCH	0.302	0.143	0.365	1B	$3,300	1B/3B	$3,100
3	Jose Altuve	RIGHT	0.354	0.162	0.518	2B	$4,000	2B	$5,200
4	Carlos Correa	RIGHT	0.372	0.228	0.438	SS	$3,700	SS	$4,000
5	Colby Rasmus	LEFT	0.322	0.208	0.097	OF	$2,800	OF	$2,700
6	Evan Gattis	RIGHT	0.318	0.226	0.448	C	$2,900	C	$3,000
7	Alex Bregman	RIGHT	0.197	0.000	0.125	3B	$2,700	SS	$3,100
8	Carlos Gomez	RIGHT	0.302	0.144	0.260	OF	$2,500	OF	$2,600
9	Jason Castro	LEFT	0.326	0.195	0.307	C	$2,300	C	$2,600
	Team Averages	—	0.315	0.164	0.321	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – None

Stackability – RED

Detroit

Fiers has allowed a wOBA of over .323 from both sides of the plate and has also had some reverse splits, as he has allowed a wOBA of .372 to righties on the year. This bodes well for the Tigers offense that has the tenth-highest total of the day.

Tigers Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.329 (8 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.173 (10 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 21.7% (19 of 30)
Pitches Per PA vs. RHP — 3.90 (10 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.66 (12 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.46 (10 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Ian Kinsler	RIGHT	0.339	0.156	0.358	2B	$3,600	2B	$4,300
2	Cameron Maybin	RIGHT	0.307	0.083	0.285	OF	$3,000	OF	$3,700
3	Miguel Cabrera	RIGHT	0.410	0.222	0.463	1B	$3,400	1B	$5,200
4	Victor Martinez	SWITCH	0.299	0.148	0.239	C	$3,300	1B	$3,600
5	Nick Castellanos	RIGHT	0.321	0.178	0.276	3B	$3,200	3B	$3,800
6	Justin Upton	RIGHT	0.335	0.199	0.303	OF	$3,000	OF	$3,300
7	Tyler Collins	LEFT	0.315	0.167	0.331	OF	$2,100	OF	$2,500
8	James McCann	RIGHT	0.242	0.070	0.172	C	$2,100	C	$2,700
9	Jose Iglesias	RIGHT	0.286	0.055	0.361	SS	$2,300	SS	$3,000
	Team Averages	—	0.317	0.142	0.310	—	—	—	—

MLB Grind Down: Saturday, July 30th

Stackability Rating System:

Baltimore at Toronto – 1:07 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Baltimore

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Manny Machado, Adam Jones

Secondary Plays – Jonathan Schoop, Mark Trumbo

Stackability – ORANGE

Toronto

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Edwin Encarnacion, Josh Donaldson, Michael Saunders

Secondary Plays – Jose Bautista, Troy Tulowitzki, Russell Martin

Stackability – GREEN

Seattle at Chicago Cubs – 2:20 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Seattle

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – None

Stackability – RED

Chicago Cubs

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Kris Bryant, Dexter Fowler, Ben Zobrist

Secondary Plays – Anthony Rizzo, Willson Contreras, Javier Baez

Stackability – YELLOW

Washington at San Francisco – 4:05 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Washington

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Bryce Harper, Daniel Murphy

Secondary Plays – Wilson Ramos

Stackability – ORANGE

San Francisco

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Buster Posey

Secondary Plays – Denard Span, Brandon Belt, Angel Pagan

Stackability – ORANGE

NY Yankees at Tampa Bay – 6:10 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

NY Yankees

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Carlos Beltran, Starlin Castro

Stackability – RED

Tampa Bay

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Brad Miller, Corey Dickerson

Secondary Plays – Logan Forsythe, Evan Longoria

Stackability – ORANGE

Houston at Detroit – 7:08 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Houston

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – None

Stackability – RED

Detroit

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Miguel Cabrera, Ian Kinsler, Victor Martinez

Secondary Plays – Cameron Maybin, Justin Upton

Stackability – YELLOW

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