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MLB Grind Down: Saturday, September 10th - Page Two

by Ryan138 Last Updated 2016-09-10 14:54:24

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Philadelphia at Washington – 7:05 PM ET

Philadelphia Washington
Article Image Jerad Eickhoff Article Image Max Scherzer
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
WAS -280 7.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.345 18 32.9% 16.1% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.295 27 29.2% 26.5%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.265 9 31.3% 25.6% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.217 26 27.0% 36.3%

Pitcher Grind Down

Jerad Eickhoff
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,000 Salary: $7,500
FPPG: 29.3 FPPG: 15.1
Pitcher Rating: 51.4 Pitcher Rank: 20
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 90.0 4.99 4.25 16.9% 5.7% 7.6% 23.7% 49.5% 27.4%
2016 28 93.4 4.19 3.86 19.7% 5.4% 9.3% 40.1% 38.3% 31.1%
2015 8 92.4 3.56 2.65 24.1% 6.4% 10.4% 37.9% 40.0% 36.2%

Home:—ERA: 3.06 — K%: 23.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.300
Away:—ERA: 4.09 — K%: 18.5% — wOBA Allowed: 0.314

Eickhoff has been a decent pitcher this year, as he comes in with a 4.16 SIERA (3.86 ERA) with a 19.7% strikeout rate. Today is tough for him though, as he takes on a Nationals squad that is ranked 13th in wOBA, eighth in runs per game, and has to pitch against Scherzer who should limit his run support. There is not a whole lot to like about playing Eickhoff tonight.

Max Scherzer
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $11,500 Salary: $14,400
FPPG: 45.6 FPPG: 26.1
Pitcher Rating: 99.9 Pitcher Rank: 1
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 101.7 3.41 2.90 28.3% 5.7% 15.4% 32.7% 51.9% 29.5%
2016 29 105.0 3.04 2.88 31.6% 6.1% 15.2% 34.1% 48.3% 28.3%
2015 33 101.8 2.63 2.79 30.7% 3.8% 15.3% 35.8% 45.4% 28.1%

Home:—ERA: 2.96 — K%: 30.7% — wOBA Allowed: 0.253
Away:—ERA: 2.72 — K%: 31.5% — wOBA Allowed: 0.263

Scherzer is an elite play every time he takes the mound. He holds the second-highest strikeout rate in the majors at 31.6% and a solid 3.04 SIERA to go along with it. He gets a great matchup against the Phillies, who are ranked 29th in wOBA (27th in last 30 days) and have a strikeout rate of 22.3% against righties. He is by far the top play of the night, but whether you can pay that salary (especially on DK) is the question.

Batter Grind Down

Philadelphia

There is not a whole lot that needs to be said. The Phillies get the toughest matchup tonight and have the lowest run total of the night at 2.72 runs. No reason to play them.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Cesar Hernandez SWITCH 0.312 0.105 26.7% 0.321 2B $3,300 2B $2,900
2 Odubel Herrera LEFT 0.343 0.144 29.7% 0.280 OF $3,100 OF $2,900
3 Andres Blanco SWITCH 0.345 0.199 26.2% 0.000 SS $2,700 2B/3B $2,500
4 Ryan Howard LEFT 0.325 0.251 42.6% 0.229 1B $3,100 1B $2,600
5 Cameron Rupp RIGHT 0.290 0.144 30.2% 0.112 C $2,600 C $2,100
6 Freddy Galvis SWITCH 0.293 0.137 28.1% 0.357 SS $2,400 SS $2,800
7 Aaron Altherr RIGHT 0.330 0.187 32.6% 0.220 OF $2,600 OF $2,700
8 Peter Bourjos RIGHT 0.282 0.153 22.6% 0.322 OF $2,500 OF $2,500
9 Jerad Eickhoff RIGHT 0.190 0.060 10.0% 0.000 P $8,000 P $7,500
Team Averages — 0.301 0.153 27.6% 0.205 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – None

Stackability – RED

Washington

The left side of the plate is where you want to expose Eickhoff, as he has allowed a .343 wOBA to lefties on the year. This sets up nicely for the Nationals, as they have a couple of the best lefties in the league in Murphy and Harper. They have the sixth-highest projected run total and should put up a couple runs today.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Trea Turner RIGHT 0.373 0.211 31.1% 0.388 OF $4,100 2B/OF $5,000
2 Jayson Werth RIGHT 0.299 0.141 34.0% 0.368 OF $3,700 OF $3,400
3 Daniel Murphy LEFT 0.378 0.227 36.2% 0.346 2B $3,800 2B $5,100
4 Bryce Harper LEFT 0.424 0.284 36.7% 0.356 OF $3,700 OF $4,800
5 Anthony Rendon RIGHT 0.329 0.156 36.0% 0.350 3B $3,600 3B $3,600
6 Ryan Zimmerman RIGHT 0.283 0.156 32.6% 0.181 1B $3,100 1B $2,800
7 Danny Espinosa SWITCH 0.303 0.157 30.1% 0.290 SS $2,500 SS $2,800
8 Jose Lobaton SWITCH 0.280 0.122 26.4% 0.365 C $2,700 C $2,500
9 Max Scherzer RIGHT 0.186 0.011 16.7% 0.000 P $11,500 P $14,400
Team Averages — 0.317 0.163 31.1% 0.294 — — — —

Elite Plays – Bryce Harper, Daniel Murphy, Trea Turner

Secondary Plays – Anthony Rendon, Jayson Werth, Danny Espinosa

Stackability – YELLOW

Baltimore at Detroit – 7:08 PM ET

Baltimore Detroit
Article Image Ubaldo Jimenez Article Image Jordan Zimmermann
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
DET -125 9.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.343 23 30.9% 21.0% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.322 17 29.4% 18.7%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.326 11 27.0% 19.5% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.300 17 27.8% 17.4%

Pitcher Grind Down

Ubaldo Jimenez
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,200 Salary: $6,900
FPPG: 18.5 FPPG: 8.0
Pitcher Rating: 41.1 Pitcher Rank: 28
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 3 130.7 5.09 4.05 16.2% 8.6% 8.2% 35.9% 48.7% 26.9%
2016 21 98.7 4.96 6.19 18.7% 11.6% 8.2% 45.9% 34.2% 31.5%
2015 32 95.6 3.93 4.11 21.2% 8.6% 8.0% 49.1% 28.8% 27.0%

Home:—ERA: 4.88 — K%: 20.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.327
Away:—ERA: 4.95 — K%: 20.1% — wOBA Allowed: 0.341

While Ubaldo has a 6.19 ERA on the season and was a guy to pick on every time he took the mound, he has thrown three straight quality starts now and is coming off a complete game against the Rays. With that said, Vegas does not have a whole lot of faith in that continuing as he is a small underdog with a big time overall total of 9.5 runs. He is way to tough to trust and has limited upside today.

Jordan Zimmermann
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,400 Salary: $6,300
FPPG: 27.3 FPPG: 12.6
Pitcher Rating: 58.8 Pitcher Rank: 15
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
2016 16 97.8 4.71 4.44 14.6% 4.9% 7.6% 44.3% 37.8% 26.8%
2015 33 94.0 3.83 3.66 19.7% 4.7% 8.4% 42.0% 36.2% 29.5%

Home:—ERA: 3.86 — K%: 17.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.303
Away:—ERA: 3.99 — K%: 18.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.322

Zimmermann is making his first start in about a month and does not have a great matchup for it. The Orioles are ranked third in wOBA against righties and first in ISO. They have the 11th-highest run total of 4.60 on the day, making Zimmerman an easy wait and see type pitcher tonight.

Batter Grind Down

Baltimore

Zimmermann was a reverse-splits pitcher prior to getting hurt as he allowed a .355 wOBA to righties on the year. This sets up well for some of the power bats in the lineup and this should be a great game to target from both sides of the plate.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Adam Jones RIGHT 0.345 0.207 31.9% 0.329 OF $3,400 OF $4,900
2 Jonathan Schoop RIGHT 0.352 0.218 33.1% 0.223 2B $3,300 2B $3,900
3 Manny Machado RIGHT 0.383 0.251 35.0% 0.406 3B $4,000 3B/SS $4,800
4 Chris Davis LEFT 0.389 0.319 43.8% 0.418 1B $4,000 1B $4,700
5 Mark Trumbo RIGHT 0.351 0.230 34.9% 0.368 OF $3,200 OF $4,500
6 Matt Wieters SWITCH 0.318 0.163 31.6% 0.298 C $2,600 C $3,500
7 Pedro Alvarez LEFT 0.345 0.251 39.2% 0.326 3B $3,600 1B $3,900
8 J.J. Hardy RIGHT 0.277 0.126 28.7% 0.249 SS $2,300 SS $3,000
9 Hyun-Soo Kim LEFT 0.372 0.119 31.9% 0.275 OF $3,000 OF $3,200
Team Averages — 0.348 0.209 34.5% 0.321 — — — —

Elite Plays – Manny Machado, Chris Davis, Adam Jones

Secondary Plays – Mark Trumbo, Jonathan Schoop

Stackability – YELLOW

Detroit

Ubaldo is much more attackable from the left side of the plate (.405 wOBA allowed) than the right (.317 wOBA allowed). This sets up slightly better for him against a righty-heavy offense, yet they still have the highest projected run total of the day at 4.90 runs.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Ian Kinsler RIGHT 0.335 0.152 29.3% 0.407 2B $3,800 2B $4,400
2 Cameron Maybin RIGHT 0.321 0.092 21.3% 0.305 OF $2,700 OF $3,800
3 Miguel Cabrera RIGHT 0.400 0.218 39.9% 0.411 1B $3,900 1B $5,300
4 Victor Martinez SWITCH 0.308 0.158 36.2% 0.276 C $3,600 1B $3,100
5 J.D. Martinez RIGHT 0.384 0.251 40.4% 0.389 OF $3,800 OF $4,300
6 Justin Upton RIGHT 0.339 0.208 36.7% 0.444 OF $3,100 OF $4,200
7 James McCann RIGHT 0.254 0.081 25.5% 0.335 C $2,400 C $3,100
8 Erick Aybar SWITCH 0.285 0.081 21.8% 0.301 SS $2,100 SS $3,100
9 Andrew Romine LEFT 0.281 0.068 20.3% 0.284 SS $2,300 OF/SS $2,900
Team Averages — 0.323 0.145 30.2% 0.350 — — — —

Elite Plays – Miguel Cabrera, Victor Martinez, Ian Kinsler

Secondary Plays – J.D. Martinez, Justin Upton, Cameron Maybin

Stackability – GREEN

Cleveland at Minnesota – 7:10 PM ET

Cleveland Minnesota
Article Image Mike Clevinger Article Image Hector Santiago
RIGHT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
CLE -110 9.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.262 1 26.7% 23.3% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.311 10 30.4% 18.5%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.370 3 34.9% 19.6% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.329 48 36.2% 20.7%

Pitcher Grind Down

Mike Clevinger
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,500 Salary: $4,600
FPPG: 14.6 FPPG: 7.0
Pitcher Rating: 53.3 Pitcher Rank: 17
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 2 141.0 4.19 3.24 26.1% 13.0% 9.9% 42.9% 38.1% 31.0%
2016 6 114.8 4.90 5.30 21.2% 13.3% 9.6% 39.3% 37.4% 31.5%

Home:—ERA: 3.52 — K%: 21.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.308
Away:—ERA: 8.16 — K%: 21.5% — wOBA Allowed: 0.344

Clevinger takes the mound for the Indians today. He is a small favorite, which shows how much Santiago has struggled lately. Clevinger comes in with a 5.30 ERA (4.90 SIERA) and decent 21.2% strikeout rate. Nothing shows us he is playable in daily fantasy.

Hector Santiago
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,600 Salary: $5,200
FPPG: 25.7 FPPG: 12.3
Pitcher Rating: 37.2 Pitcher Rank: 29
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 88.8 5.51 7.52 13.3% 6.7% 7.2% 29.0% 50.5% 41.1%
2016 28 95.3 4.92 4.91 19.3% 10.2% 8.7% 36.2% 48.4% 36.2%
2015 32 98.8 4.50 3.59 20.9% 9.2% 8.5% 29.9% 53.6% 33.6%

Home:—ERA: 4.14 — K%: 21.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.315
Away:—ERA: 4.25 — K%: 18.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.334

Santiago’s time with the Twins has not been good, as he has allowed 26 earned runs now in his six starts during that span. He now holds a bad 4.92 SIERA on the season with a below average strikeout rate of 19.3%. While he did pitch well against this Indians squad not long ago, it is hard to see him repeating that against an Indians squad ranked fourth in runs per game. Both pitchers should be avoided.

Batter Grind Down

Cleveland

Santiago has struggled to both lefties (.348 wOBA allowed) and righties (.334) on the year. The Indians come in with the third-highest ranked offense tonight and should be played in all formats.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Rajai Davis RIGHT 0.318 0.182 30.1% 0.267 OF $3,200 OF $4,000
2 Jason Kipnis LEFT 0.319 0.151 29.3% 0.346 2B $4,000 2B $4,100
3 Francisco Lindor SWITCH 0.351 0.153 23.9% 0.415 SS $3,600 SS $4,400
4 Mike Napoli RIGHT 0.393 0.254 38.6% 0.282 1B $3,500 1B $4,000
5 Carlos Santana SWITCH 0.326 0.114 27.7% 0.385 1B $3,700 1B $4,100
6 Jose Ramirez SWITCH 0.310 0.128 23.8% 0.351 P $4,000 P $4,100
7 Brandon Guyer RIGHT 0.396 0.200 33.1% 0.301 OF $3,000 OF $3,400
8 Abraham Almonte SWITCH 0.291 0.113 25.0% 0.321 OF $2,700 OF $3,500
9 Chris Gimenez RIGHT 0.393 0.304 40.0% 0.563 C $2,100 C $2,600
Team Averages — 0.344 0.178 30.2% 0.359 — — — —

Elite Plays – Rajai Davis, Francisco Lindor, Mike Napoli

Secondary Plays – Carlos Santana, Jason Kipnis, Jose Ramriez

Stackability – GREEN

Minnesota

The Twins have a 4.69 projected run total against Clevinger today, which is eighth-highest on the day. If you are going to attack him, it looks like righties are the way to go as he has allowed a .370 wOBA to right-handed bats (.262 to lefties).

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Brian Dozier RIGHT 0.346 0.242 31.3% 0.490 2B $4,200 2B $5,600
2 Jorge Polanco RIGHT 0.308 0.115 24.4% 0.327 3B $3,200 3B/SS $3,600
3 Joe Mauer LEFT 0.327 0.122 30.9% 0.303 1B $3,100 1B $4,400
4 Miguel Sano RIGHT 0.361 0.243 39.8% 0.308 OF $3,200 3B/OF $4,300
5 Max Kepler LEFT 0.350 0.246 33.7% 0.240 OF $3,000 OF $4,600
6 Eduardo Escobar SWITCH 0.306 0.140 27.5% 0.297 SS $2,300 SS $3,000
7 Eddie Rosario LEFT 0.310 0.187 30.9% 0.312 OF $2,900 OF $3,700
8 John Murphy RIGHT 0.259 0.078 29.0% 0.516 C $2,000 C $3,000
9 Byron Buxton RIGHT 0.295 0.172 24.1% 0.637 OF $3,100 OF $4,400
Team Averages — 0.318 0.172 30.2% 0.381 — — — —

Elite Plays – Brian Dozier, Miguel Sano

Secondary Plays – Joe Mauer, Jorge Polanco, Max Kepler

Stackability – YELLOW

Kansas City at Chicago White Sox – 7:10 PM ET

Kansas City Chicago White Sox
Article Image Edinson Volquez Article Image James Shields
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
KC -118 9.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.316 19 32.4% 17.6% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.374 35 31.1% 17.4%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.318 17 29.4% 17.6% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.343 33 34.9% 24.0%

Pitcher Grind Down

Edinson Volquez
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,000 Salary: $6,100
FPPG: 24.5 FPPG: 11.3
Pitcher Rating: 50.2 Pitcher Rank: 21
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 89.5 4.50 5.17 15.4% 4.9% 8.2% 43.2% 29.7% 38.1%
2016 29 96.5 4.53 5.02 16.8% 8.0% 8.6% 52.1% 28.8% 31.5%
2015 33 99.9 4.35 3.55 18.2% 8.5% 9.5% 46.0% 32.9% 30.4%

Home:—ERA: 4.02 — K%: 17.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.308
Away:—ERA: 4.44 — K%: 18.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.328

Volquez is rarely someone you should have confidence in throwing out there in really any matchup. He comes in with a high 4.53 SIERA and a low 16.8% strikeout rate. While the matchup today isn’t terrible against the White Sox, who are a bottom third of the league offense, he is not playable tonight.

James Shields
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,100 Salary: $5,600
FPPG: 18.7 FPPG: 7.7
Pitcher Rating: 47.1 Pitcher Rank: 22
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 87.0 5.31 9.82 14.9% 9.7% 7.1% 38.1% 38.1% 39.3%
2016 28 93.3 5.25 6.07 15.3% 9.7% 8.7% 40.8% 37.6% 34.8%
2015 33 101.1 3.72 3.91 25.1% 9.4% 12.4% 44.9% 34.4% 31.2%

Home:—ERA: 4.24 — K%: 22.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.363
Away:—ERA: 5.52 — K%: 19.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.353

Shields will be a very popular man tonight for the wrong reasons. He is great to attack this year, as he has just been awful coming in with a 6.07 ERA (5.25 SIERA). He has now allowed 35 home runs in 28 starts this year (2.08 HR/9), which may allow even a non-HR hitting offense in the Royals to get a couple here tonight. Avoid in all formats.

Batter Grind Down

Kansas City

Get the stack trains running against Shield today, as the Royals have the second-highest projected run total of the day at 4.86 runs. He has allowed a ridiculous .407 wOBA to righties on the year and .366 wOBA to lefties. Play the Royals as much as you can.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jarrod Dyson LEFT 0.297 0.119 18.9% 0.326 OF $3,000 OF $4,300
2 Lorenzo Cain RIGHT 0.318 0.117 30.2% 0.346 OF $3,300 OF $4,400
3 Eric Hosmer LEFT 0.365 0.181 35.1% 0.383 1B $3,200 1B $4,800
4 Kendrys Morales SWITCH 0.355 0.229 40.9% 0.475 1B $3,000 1B/OF $4,700
5 Salvador Perez RIGHT 0.321 0.184 29.6% 0.387 C $3,200 C $4,400
6 Alex Gordon LEFT 0.327 0.161 35.1% 0.279 OF $3,100 OF $4,000
7 Cheslor Cuthbert RIGHT 0.303 0.136 29.8% 0.265 3B $3,100 3B $3,500
8 Alcides Escobar RIGHT 0.278 0.071 20.9% 0.418 SS $2,700 SS $4,400
9 Raul Mondesi SWITCH 0.214 0.098 36.4% 0.180 2B $2,400 2B $2,800
Team Averages — 0.309 0.144 30.8% 0.340 — — — —

Elite Plays – Lorenzo Cain, Eric Hosmer, Kendrys Morales, Salvador Perez

Secondary Plays – Jarrod Dyson, Alex Gordon

Stackability – GREEN

Chicago White Sox

The White Sox have a 4.64 projected run total tonight, which is ninth-highest of the day. Votrain has allowed a .331+ wOBA from both sides of the plate this year, putting a number of White Sox in play tonight.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Adam Eaton LEFT 0.353 0.166 29.9% 0.334 OF $3,300 OF $4,300
2 Tim Anderson RIGHT 0.294 0.135 32.0% 0.330 SS $2,900 SS $3,800
3 Melky Cabrera SWITCH 0.327 0.134 28.0% 0.381 OF $2,700 OF $4,100
4 Jose Abreu RIGHT 0.369 0.204 32.8% 0.467 1B $3,700 1B $5,100
5 Justin Morneau LEFT 0.336 0.165 35.2% 0.274 1B $2,500 1B $3,300
6 Todd Frazier RIGHT 0.324 0.216 34.5% 0.349 3B $3,700 3B $3,800
7 Avisail Garcia RIGHT 0.291 0.115 30.7% 0.285 OF $3,000 OF $3,100
8 Alex Avila LEFT 0.316 0.134 34.1% 0.387 C $2,500 C $3,200
9 Tyler Saladino RIGHT 0.277 0.126 21.5% 0.337 SS $2,900 2B/SS $3,500
Team Averages — 0.321 0.155 31.0% 0.349 — — — —

Elite Plays – Jose Abreu, Adam Eaton

Secondary Plays – Melky Cabrera, Tim Andreson, Todd Frazier

Stackability – YELLOW

LA Dodgers at Miami – 7:10 PM ET

LA Dodgers Miami
Article Image Rich Hill Article Image Tom Koehler
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
LAD -155 8.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.181 0 18.9% 21.2% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.328 24 33.2% 18.9%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.245 4 27.8% 32.0% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.313 13 29.0% 16.8%

Pitcher Grind Down

Rich Hill
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $9,200 Salary: $11,300
FPPG: 40.1 FPPG: 21.7
Pitcher Rating: 87.0 Pitcher Rank: 4
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 2 85.0 3.48 0.00 25.0% 4.6% 9.4% 41.9% 38.7% 29.0%
2016 16 92.4 3.47 1.94 28.5% 8.5% 10.6% 48.8% 34.4% 26.4%
2015 4 108.5 2.29 1.55 34.0% 4.7% 11.3% 48.4% 35.5% 22.2%

Home:—ERA: 2.06 — K%: 26.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.231
Away:—ERA: 1.67 — K%: 32.7% — wOBA Allowed: 0.231

Rich Hill looked great in his last start as he went six scoreless innings and struck out eight. He has a ton of blue on his boxes above, his only problem is continuing to stay healthy. He has a solid matchup against the Marlins, who are ranked 22nd in wOBA and 26th in ISO against lefties. While Scherzer is the clear cut number one play tonight, Hill has the closest amount of upside on the slate.

Tom Koehler
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,300 Salary: $7,200
FPPG: 27.0 FPPG: 13.3
Pitcher Rating: 53.2 Pitcher Rank: 18
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 102.0 4.20 3.25 20.3% 7.2% 10.1% 47.3% 33.6% 28.8%
2016 28 95.1 4.77 3.87 18.8% 9.8% 9.7% 42.3% 34.8% 27.0%
2015 31 96.0 4.67 4.08 17.1% 9.6% 7.3% 46.0% 35.6% 34.5%

Home:—ERA: 3.36 — K%: 20.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.300
Away:—ERA: 4.52 — K%: 16.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.337

Koehler is just an average to below average pitcher any time he takes the mound. He comes in with a SIERA that is almost a full run higher than his ERA at 4.77. His 18.8% strikeout rate does not allow for many mistakes. He has a tough matchup against the Dodgers, who are ranked fifth in wOBA and eighth in ISO against right-handed bats making Koehler an easy avoid.

Batter Grind Down

LA Dodgers

The Dodgers come in with the 13th-highest projected run total on the day. They have a decent matchup against Koehler who has allowed a .322 wOBA to lefties and .313 to righties.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Chase Utley LEFT 0.310 0.142 36.9% 0.224 2B $2,800 2B $3,800
2 Corey Seager LEFT 0.412 0.234 40.8% 0.383 SS $4,000 SS $5,400
3 Justin Turner RIGHT 0.385 0.238 36.4% 0.235 3B $3,500 3B $4,300
4 Adrian Gonzalez LEFT 0.363 0.213 36.5% 0.262 1B $3,200 1B $4,200
5 Yasmani Grandal SWITCH 0.342 0.229 34.7% 0.361 C $2,700 C $3,400
6 Josh Reddick LEFT 0.359 0.180 27.4% 0.395 OF $3,000 OF $3,600
7 Joc Pederson LEFT 0.358 0.236 39.6% 0.316 OF $2,900 OF $3,700
8 Andrew Toles LEFT 0.426 0.246 35.4% 0.597 OF $2,400 OF $2,600
9 Rich Hill LEFT 0.000 0.000 0.0% 0.000 P $9,200 P $11,300
Team Averages — 0.328 0.191 32.0% 0.308 — — — —

Elite Plays – Corey Seager, Adrian Gonzalez

Secondary Plays – Chase Utley, Justin Turner

Stackability – ORANGE

Miami

The Marlins have the third lowest projected run total of the entire day at just 3.68 runs. I like Hlil a lot tonight and will have very little exposure to the Marlins offense.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Dee Gordon LEFT 0.329 0.087 15.1% 0.148 2B $2,000 2B $3,600
2 J.T. Realmuto RIGHT 0.295 0.149 27.4% 0.424 C $2,500 C $3,300
3 Martin Prado RIGHT 0.414 0.144 32.9% 0.288 3B $2,300 3B $3,600
4 Christian Yelich LEFT 0.310 0.079 27.1% 0.322 OF $2,900 OF $3,800
5 Marcell Ozuna RIGHT 0.396 0.254 42.9% 0.224 OF $2,700 OF $3,400
6 Jeff Francoeur RIGHT 0.295 0.131 30.7% 0.356 OF $2,200 OF $3,200
7 Chris Johnson RIGHT 0.296 0.095 32.8% 0.164 1B $2,000 1B $2,400
8 Adeiny Hechavarria RIGHT 0.319 0.121 34.6% 0.236 SS $2,000 SS $2,200
9 Tom Koehler RIGHT 0.166 0.000 10.0% 0.000 P $7,300 P $7,200
Team Averages — 0.313 0.118 28.2% 0.240 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Dee Gordon (FD)

Stackability – RED

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About the Author

Ryan138
Ryan138

Ryan (Ryan138) is from Chicago and has been playing fantasy sports for over 10 years. He has been playing daily fantasy sports for over 2 years since he was introduced to Daily Joust in late 2010. In the last year, Ryan has risen into the Top 100 of the RotoGrinders leaderboards by playing at DraftDay, DraftKings and FanDuel in all the major sports.