MLB Grind Down: Sunday, July 3rd

by Andrew Cook (louiescards) Last Updated 2016-07-04 02:46:55

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code and FanDuel promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.

Cleveland at Toronto – 1:07 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Cleveland					Toronto
			Corey Kluber					J.A. Happ
			RIGHT					LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			CLE -125					8.5
SP vs. Left	0.304	15	25.2%	6.3%	SP vs. Left	0.304	4	22.8%	6.2%
SP vs. Right	0.239	15	28.6%	3.9%	SP vs. Right	0.308	25	18.6%	6.9%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Corey Kluber
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$10,500	Salary:		$13,600
					FPPG:		39.3	FPPG:		22.6
					Pitcher Rating:		79.6	Pitcher Rank:		5
L30 Days	6	100.0	3.23	3.07	25.9%	4.2%	11.2%	45.1%	31.9%	21.6%
2016	16	98.5	3.36	3.50	25.2%	5.3%	11.9%	49.7%	31.6%	26.6%
2015	32	102.3	2.98	3.49	27.7%	5.1%	12.9%	42.4%	35.9%	27.0%

Corey Kluber: This is a tricky one as Kluber has been absolutely fantastic over his past two starts, racking up the strikeouts and pitching deep into games. He faces an offense that we typically do not want to mess with but also has a ton of right-handed bats which is something you look for in a Kluber start. With price considered, I would be a bit surprised to see him hold a high ownership, but I love him for tournaments today.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
J.A. Happ
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$8,100	Salary:		$7,700
					FPPG:		31.4	FPPG:		15.3
					Pitcher Rating:		51.1	Pitcher Rank:		21
L30 Days	6	95.7	4.59	4.63	17.9%	7.3%	8.7%	40.5%	37.8%	38.9%
2016	16	93.6	4.70	3.70	16.9%	7.6%	8.7%	43.0%	35.7%	32.4%
2015	31	91.6	3.82	3.61	21.1%	6.3%	8.1%	41.6%	34.1%	31.2%

J.A. Happ: His season appears to be headed in the wrong direction lately, and the runs are starting to pile up quickly. Not only that, but Happ is not a high-strikeout pitcher, and with a hard-hit percentage just under 40% over his last six starts, we can look elsewhere for secondary pitchers today.

Batter Grind Down

Cleveland

Indians: They had their win streak snapped by the Blue Jays yesterday, but it is hard to ignore how hot this Cleveland team has been during the span of a few weeks. This is a case where you can look at the overall numbers, and it does not necessarily represent them in current form. Francisco Lindor and Mike Napoli are two players in play just about anytime a lefty is on the mound, and that is no different today.

Indians Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.312 (21 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.134 (27 of 30)
Team K% vs. LHP — 21.1% (13 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.90 (7 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.40 (13 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Carlos Santana	SWITCH	0.312	0.103	0.382	1B	$4,000	1B	$3,900
2	Jason Kipnis	LEFT	0.293	0.120	0.355	2B	$3,700	2B	$3,600
3	Francisco Lindor	SWITCH	0.370	0.173	0.402	SS	$3,500	SS	$3,700
4	Mike Napoli	RIGHT	0.379	0.252	0.335	1B	$3,300	1B	$3,900
5	Jose Ramirez	SWITCH	0.281	0.088	0.332	3B	$3,400	3B/OF	$3,600
6	Juan Uribe	RIGHT	0.316	0.184	0.452	3B	$2,700	3B	$3,200
7	Lonnie Chisenhall	LEFT	0.298	0.115	0.460	OF	$2,900	OF	$3,400
8	Yan Gomes	RIGHT	0.280	0.132	0.317	C	$2,600	C	$2,200
9	Tyler Naquin	LEFT	0.445	0.333	0.632	OF	$3,800	OF	$3,300
	Team Averages	—	0.330	0.167	0.407	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Francisco Lindor

Secondary Plays – Mike Napoli , Carlos Santana , Rajai Davis

Stackability – GPP

Toronto

Blue Jays: Toronto has really climbed up the offensive categories quickly with much of their lineup getting hot in June, but with Kluber on the mound, I have my worries about playing too many of them here today. Stick to the main targets we usually go with outside of a stack in Josh Donaldson and Edwin Encarnacion today as they provide the most upside.

Blue Jays Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.333 (5 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.198 (3 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 21.8% (19 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.78 (10 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.10 (18 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Ezequiel Carrera	LEFT	0.307	0.102	0.323	OF	$3,100	OF	$2,400
2	Devon Travis	RIGHT	0.378	0.211	0.520	2B	$2,800	2B	$3,000
3	Josh Donaldson	RIGHT	0.391	0.265	0.510	3B	$3,700	3B	$4,100
4	Edwin Encarnacion	RIGHT	0.387	0.278	0.495	1B	$3,300	1B	$3,800
5	Michael Saunders	LEFT	0.355	0.206	0.338	OF	$2,400	OF	$3,100
6	Russell Martin	RIGHT	0.308	0.176	0.349	C	$2,500	C	$2,300
7	Troy Tulowitzki	RIGHT	0.324	0.187	0.394	SS	$2,300	SS	$3,000
8	Kevin Pillar	RIGHT	0.308	0.139	0.321	OF	$2,400	OF	$2,400
9	Darwin Barney	RIGHT	0.313	0.117	0.266	SS	$2,400	2B/SS	$2,000
	Team Averages	—	0.341	0.187	0.391	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Josh Donaldson , Edwin Encarnacion , Devin Travis

Stackability – None

Chicago Cubs at NY Mets – 1:10 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Chicago Cubs					NY Mets
			Jon Lester					Noah Syndergaard
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			CHC -120					6.5
SP vs. Left	0.268	5	28.3%	4.6%	SP vs. Left	0.301	12	25.6%	5.6%
SP vs. Right	0.281	22	24.0%	6.1%	SP vs. Right	0.247	12	31.6%	3.9%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Jon Lester
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$10,600	Salary:		$12,800
					FPPG:		41.5	FPPG:		23.3
					Pitcher Rating:		85.7	Pitcher Rank:		2
L30 Days	6	104.0	3.04	1.41	26.5%	4.2%	11.4%	55.1%	30.8%	23.0%
2016	16	101.3	3.49	2.03	25.0%	5.8%	10.2%	48.0%	33.6%	27.0%
2015	32	99.5	3.19	3.34	25.0%	5.7%	10.4%	48.9%	29.3%	29.0%

Jon Lester: There are some really good pitching options on the board today, and one of my favorites is Lester. He will be taking on a Mets squad that has really struggled against left-handed pitching on the season, and the production from the Cubs southpaw has been great. The biggest downside to pitching him on a win-dependent site is that the Mets are throwing Syndergaard, who has the ability to shut down this Chicago offense himself, putting that win bonus in jeopardy.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Noah Syndergaard
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$10,200	Salary:		$11,900
					FPPG:		40.3	FPPG:		22.6
					Pitcher Rating:		91.1	Pitcher Rank:		1
L30 Days	5	100.4	3.02	3.73	27.1%	4.5%	15.7%	50.0%	27.3%	30.8%
2016	15	95.3	2.55	2.49	30.7%	4.0%	15.1%	54.4%	25.3%	27.5%
2015	24	99.2	2.95	3.24	27.5%	5.1%	12.2%	46.5%	33.6%	24.6%

Noah Syndergaard: We have another tough decision here with Syndergaard, as he has looked a bit iffy in his past two starts, surrendering eight runs on fifteen hits in just nine innings. The strikeouts are still solid, but the frequency with which hitters are finding holes in his last two starts has me worried. With that said, he was still creating a high percentage of ground balls, and there is very high upside with strikeouts here, making him a top-tier option. Much like Lester, one of the biggest downsides on sites that value the win will be the fact that both of these offenses will likely struggle today.

Batter Grind Down

Chicago Cubs

Cubs: This Chicago team is going to strike out their fair share but also has the ability to get to just about any pitcher, making them a great fantasy team for tournaments on a routine basis. For today, much like the Blue Jays, I would stick to the core of Bryant and Rizzo as my main targets unless you are stacking them. For the price, there are better options out there, so do not go too crazy.

Cubs Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.333 (5 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.176 (8 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 22.4% (22 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 5.35 (3 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.37 (29 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Ben Zobrist	SWITCH	0.345	0.168	0.300	2B	$2,900	2B	$3,300
2	Jason Heyward	LEFT	0.335	0.141	0.274	OF	$2,400	OF	$2,700
3	Kris Bryant	RIGHT	0.382	0.232	0.489	3B	$4,100	3B/OF	$4,900
4	Anthony Rizzo	LEFT	0.400	0.271	0.561	1B	$3,400	1B	$3,900
5	Willson Contreras	RIGHT	0.487	0.435	0.449	C	$3,000	C/OF	$3,200
6	Javier Baez	RIGHT	0.281	0.142	0.390	SS	$2,600	2B/3B	$3,100
7	Addison Russell	RIGHT	0.326	0.151	0.356	SS	$2,200	SS	$2,900
8	David Ross	RIGHT	0.244	0.106	0.509	C	$2,200	C	$2,300
9	Jon Lester	LEFT	0.085	0.013	0.126	P	$10,600	P	$12,800
	Team Averages	—	0.321	0.184	0.384	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Kris Bryant , Anthony Rizzo , Ben Zobrist

Stackability – None

NY Mets

Mets: Well, the Mets have been a huge disappointment on offense as a whole this season, and with Lester on the mound it is not likely they get things going today. I am not really a fan of too much here, but Yoenis Cespedes offers the most upside as the biggest threat from the right side of the plate.

Mets Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.302 (27 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.150 (20 of 30)
Team K% vs. LHP — 25.8% (30 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.58 (28 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.13 (30 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Juan Lagares	RIGHT	0.328	0.147		OF	$2,200	OF	$2,800
2	Neil Walker	SWITCH	0.311	0.151	0.227	2B	$2,700	2B	$2,300
3	Yoenis Cespedes	RIGHT	0.363	0.241	0.358	OF	$3,300	OF	$3,600
4	Asdrubal Cabrera	SWITCH	0.325	0.139	0.321	SS	$2,400	SS	$3,100
5	James Loney	LEFT	0.268	0.100	0.406	1B	$2,700	1B	$2,400
6	Wilmer Flores	RIGHT	0.367	0.223	0.279	3B	$2,000	3B	$2,700
7	Brandon Nimmo	LEFT	0.000	0.000	0.220	OF	$2,300	OF	$2,000
8	Travis D’Arnaud	RIGHT	0.438	0.302	0.191	C	$2,200	C	$3,100
9	Noah Syndergaard	RIGHT	0.129	0.000	0.000	P	$10,200	P	$11,900
	Team Averages	—	0.281	0.145	0.250	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Yoenis Cespedes

Stackability – None

Detroit at Tampa Bay – 1:10 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Detroit					Tampa Bay
			Mike Pelfrey					Chris Archer
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			TB -147					8.5
SP vs. Left	0.376	12	11.0%	10.3%	SP vs. Left	0.290	15	28.0%	8.0%
SP vs. Right	0.333	12	12.0%	3.6%	SP vs. Right	0.298	21	28.7%	8.8%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Mike Pelfrey
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$5,600	Salary:		$4,000
					FPPG:		16.3	FPPG:		6.0
					Pitcher Rating:		28.2	Pitcher Rank:		29
L30 Days	5	107.4	5.17	5.13	8.0%	8.0%	4.7%	58.2%	23.8%	24.4%
2016	15	98.8	5.22	5.02	10.5%	8.2%	7.0%	51.8%	27.0%	30.5%
2015	30	88.8	4.59	4.26	12.0%	6.3%	5.6%	50.8%	26.4%	26.1%

Mike Pelfrey: Pelfrey continues to be a DFS punching bag, and that is not any different here today. You do not want any piece of him in your lineups and will want to have at least some exposure to the opposition as he is not striking out anyone, which leads to likely production for Tampa considering his SIERA north of five.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Chris Archer
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$9,000	Salary:		$8,300
					FPPG:		31.6	FPPG:		16.6
					Pitcher Rating:		84.5	Pitcher Rank:		4
L30 Days	6	109.7	3.61	4.97	27.1%	8.4%	12.9%	45.2%	34.6%	34.0%
2016	17	101.7	3.81	4.76	26.9%	9.9%	11.5%	45.4%	33.6%	35.0%
2015	34	101.4	3.08	3.23	29.0%	7.6%	12.8%	46.1%	33.9%	32.2%

Chris Archer: You might think it is crazy that Archer would be ranked this highly today considering the Tigers offense has been hot lately, but we have a pitcher with tremendous upside at a great price point. The numbers suggest that Archer has been a little unlucky on the year, and on multiple pitcher sites specifically he makes sense where the price is down. Detroit is a team that strikes out at a high rate to right-handed pitching, giving us a buffer if he struggles early in the game, which has been his biggest issue on the season.

Batter Grind Down

Detroit

Tigers: The flip side of this game is that you can make an argument for the Tigers offense in this one as well. They have put up a bunch of runs lately and have the power to give you points in a hurry. With that said, I do not recommend over-extending on exposure here.

Tigers Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.332 (8 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.174 (11 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 22.4% (22 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.79 (9 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.98 (19 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Ian Kinsler	RIGHT	0.335	0.148	0.227	2B	$3,700	2B	$4,100
2	Cameron Maybin	RIGHT	0.307	0.081	0.339	OF	$3,200	OF	$4,000
3	Miguel Cabrera	RIGHT	0.415	0.225	0.412	1B	$4,100	1B	$4,100
4	Victor Martinez	SWITCH	0.302	0.151	0.369	C	$3,200	1B	$4,000
5	Nick Castellanos	RIGHT	0.314	0.167	0.388	3B	$3,800	3B	$3,600
6	Justin Upton	RIGHT	0.334	0.196	0.323	OF	$2,200	OF	$2,900
7	Steven Moya	LEFT	0.372	0.269	0.501	OF	$2,900	OF	$2,500
8	Jarrod Saltalamacchia	SWITCH	0.321	0.216	0.399	C	$2,300	C	$3,200
9	Jose Iglesias	RIGHT	0.289	0.059	0.304	SS	$2,600	SS	$2,900
	Team Averages	—	0.332	0.168	0.362	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Miguel Cabrera

Secondary Plays -Victor Martinez , Nick Castellanos , Steven Moya

Stackability – None

Tampa Bay

Rays: Tampa is typically an offense we look to get exposure to when they are facing a left-handed pitcher, but there is solid reason to like them here with Pelfrey on the mound for Detroit. Brad Miller continues to be one of my favorite players that nobody notices, and he has been producing at a solid clip lately. If you are looking for some more pop, Corey Dickerson is also in play here as a hitter who crushes right-handed pitching.

Rays Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.303 (24 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.181 (7 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 25.1% (29 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.08 (25 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.52 (9 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Logan Forsythe	RIGHT	0.325	0.113	0.335	2B	$3,400	2B	$4,200
2	Brad Miller	LEFT	0.339	0.193	0.421	SS	$3,200	SS	$4,600
3	Evan Longoria	RIGHT	0.320	0.186	0.322	3B	$3,600	3B	$4,200
4	Logan Morrison	LEFT	0.316	0.180	0.271	1B	$3,100	1B	$3,900
5	Brandon Guyer	RIGHT	0.302	0.130	0.815	OF	$3,000	OF	$3,800
6	Corey Dickerson	LEFT	0.350	0.280	0.245	OF	$3,400	OF	$3,700
7	Steven Souza	RIGHT	0.317	0.175		OF	$2,700	OF	$3,900
8	Oswaldo Arcia	LEFT	0.308	0.183	0.484	OF	$2,500	OF	$4,000
9	Hank Conger	SWITCH	0.328	0.195	0.301	C	$2,200	C	$2,900
	Team Averages	—	0.323	0.182	0.399	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Brad Miller , Evan Longoria , Corey Dickerson , Logan Forsythe

Stackability – GPP

Cincinnati at Washington – 1:35 PM ET

Editor’s Note: Stephen Strasburg is starting in place of Lucas Giolito on Sunday.

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Cincinnati					Washington
			John Lamb					Lucas Giolito
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			WAS -150					8.0
SP vs. Left	0.395	4	21.8%	11.8%	SP vs. Left	0.174	0	11.1%	11.1%
SP vs. Right	0.345	13	20.5%	8.5%	SP vs. Right	0.138	0	0.0%	20.0%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
John Lamb
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$5,800	Salary:		$5,700
					FPPG:		20.1	FPPG:		9.6
					Pitcher Rating:		41.3	Pitcher Rank:		25
L30 Days	6	98.8	4.60	3.09	18.9%	9.1%	7.8%	45.8%	33.3%	29.4%
2016	11	92.7	5.09	4.60	16.0%	9.8%	7.7%	43.0%	36.3%	33.9%
2015	10	91.2	3.56	5.80	26.4%	8.6%	10.6%	37.7%	40.6%	23.4%

John Lamb: He ended June on a high note, shutting down the Cubs offense and posting a respectable month overall. He is not nearly as bad as initially thought, and while the strikeouts are hit or miss, the potential is certainly there. With that said, this is a Nationals squad that has crushed lefties, and I would want to see a longer track record of success before I put him in my lineups. Outside of a flier team where you are fitting in high-priced bats, Lamb is not someone we want here.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Lucas Giolito
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$7,000	Salary:		$7,400
					FPPG:		15.0	FPPG:		9.2
					Pitcher Rating:		71.5	Pitcher Rank:		10
L30 Days	1	45.0	6.75	0.00	7.1%	14.3%	4.4%	54.5%	36.4%	27.3%
2016	1	45.0	6.75	0.00	7.1%	14.3%	4.4%	54.5%	36.4%	27.3%

Stephen Strasburg: Coming off the DL with a back issue, Strasburg will take the mound for Washington today. This is a Cincinnati team that we can attack with pitching, but I have reservations about doing so with a pitcher thought to be injured as recently as last night. I have not seen anything about a pitch count here and believe he is a top option, but just understand there is risk involved.

Batter Grind Down

Cincinnati

Reds: It is basically the same story we see with the Reds every game. Joey Votto , Jay Bruce , and Adam Duvall provide the most fantasy relevance from this squad and will be the only two players you want to target. With Strasburg on the mound, a complete fade is not out of the question.

Reds Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.298 (27 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.166 (13 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 22.9% (24 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.25 (17 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.71 (27 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Zack Cozart	RIGHT	0.318	0.183	0.326	SS	$3,900	SS	$3,500
2	Joey Votto	LEFT	0.409	0.232	0.371	1B	$3,200	1B	$4,300
3	Brandon Phillips	RIGHT	0.306	0.112	0.215	2B	$3,000	2B	$2,900
4	Jay Bruce	LEFT	0.338	0.260	0.343	OF	$3,900	OF	$3,900
5	Adam Duvall	RIGHT	0.364	0.349	0.351	OF	$3,300	OF	$4,500
6	Eugenio Suarez	RIGHT	0.301	0.156	0.324	3B	$2,800	3B	$3,500
7	Billy Hamilton	SWITCH	0.258	0.064	0.257	OF	$3,100	OF	$3,400
8	Tucker Barnhart	SWITCH	0.295	0.092	0.361	C	$2,700	C	$2,600
9	John Lamb	LEFT	0.135	0.050	0.000	P	$5,800	P	$5,700
	Team Averages	—	0.303	0.166	0.283	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Joey Votto , Jay Bruce , Adam Duvall

Stackability – None

Washington

Nationals: Washington owns the highest ISO in the league against left-handed pitching, which should have alarms sounding for you with Lamb on the hill for Cincy. This is a team we want to have exposure to today, and although the pricing will be difficult to stack too many players, a guy like Jayson Werth needs to be a top-tier consideration.

Nationals Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.344 (4 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.206 (1 of 30)
Team K% vs. LHP — 19.3% (7 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.58 (13 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.29 (15 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Michael Taylor	RIGHT	0.310	0.180	0.383	OF	$2,900	OF	$4,200
2	Jayson Werth	RIGHT	0.400	0.287	0.351	OF	$3,400	OF	$4,200
3	Bryce Harper	LEFT	0.398	0.236	0.386	OF	$4,200	OF	$4,400
4	Daniel Murphy	LEFT	0.311	0.126	0.383	2B	$4,000	2B	$4,200
5	Wilson Ramos	RIGHT	0.282	0.151	0.406	C	$3,600	C	$4,400
6	Anthony Rendon	RIGHT	0.351	0.093	0.325	3B	$2,800	3B	$3,900
7	Ryan Zimmerman	RIGHT	0.378	0.300	0.224	1B	$3,000	1B	$4,200
8	Danny Espinosa	SWITCH	0.336	0.216	0.420	SS	$3,400	SS	$4,400
9	Lucas Giolito	RIGHT			0.000	P	$7,000	P	$7,400
	Team Averages	—	0.346	0.199	0.320	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Jayson Werth

Secondary Plays – Bryce Harper , Michael Taylor , Wilson Ramos , Ryan Zimmerman

Stackability – Cash / GPP

Kansas City at Philadelphia – 1:35 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Kansas City					Philadelphia
			Yordano Ventura					Vince Velasquez
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			PHI -120					7.5
SP vs. Left	0.327	15	20.9%	10.2%	SP vs. Left	0.289	7	25.8%	9.9%
SP vs. Right	0.299	10	20.0%	7.9%	SP vs. Right	0.326	6	28.8%	7.0%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Yordano Ventura
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$8,100	Salary:		$6,900
					FPPG:		24.9	FPPG:		11.4
					Pitcher Rating:		61.6	Pitcher Rank:		15
L30 Days	5	89.6	3.68	4.66	20.2%	4.8%	9.6%	52.7%	26.4%	35.2%
2016	15	94.3	5.02	5.00	16.8%	10.4%	7.9%	47.0%	35.1%	30.4%
2015	28	94.7	3.69	4.08	22.5%	8.4%	10.4%	52.2%	27.2%	29.8%

Yordano Ventura: Ventura has been a bit of a mess all season long for the Royals, but there are some signs of life in him more recently that give me hope in this game today. He got roughed up in his first start back from suspension, but looking at the two starts before that we see a guy who shows promise. The most important thing in my mind is the walks were limited and this is a Phillies team I have no problems attacking specifically on multiple pitcher sites today.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Vince Velasquez
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$8,500	Salary:		$8,900
					FPPG:		33.6	FPPG:		18.4
					Pitcher Rating:		85.5	Pitcher Rank:		3
L30 Days	3	60.0	3.00	1.86	32.5%	7.5%	12.8%	37.5%	37.5%	33.3%
2016	13	85.5	3.43	3.38	29.0%	8.0%	11.7%	35.7%	42.1%	27.8%
2015	7	139.4	3.74	4.37	25.1%	9.1%	10.5%	31.3%	46.7%	27.3%

Vincent Velasquez: We saw a flash of that early season Velasquez in his first start back from the DL against the Diamondbacks, and the pricing seems almost too good to pass up completely on Velasquez today. With a higher strikeout rate, he can afford to give up a run or two against this pesky Royals squad, and as secondary pitchers go, Velasquez is one of my favorites on the day. With a weak offense behind him, there is more risk in a win-dependent site, but overall he makes for a fantastic play today.

Batter Grind Down

Kansas City

Royals: This Kansas City team is not all that impressive offensively, and with a couple of injuries to key components, it poses even less of a threat here. Kendrys Morales is the lone bat that I trust at this point as he is on fire at the plate. Even the often consistent Eric Hosmer has looked lost recently, making them a team you can avoid for the most part.

Royals Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.315 (17 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.129 (29 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 19.7% (12 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.08 (25 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.63 (28 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Alex Gordon	LEFT	0.332	0.164	0.272	OF	$2,800	OF	$2,900
2	Whit Merrifield	RIGHT	0.312	0.120	0.285	2B	$3,200	2B/OF	$3,300
3	Kendrys Morales	SWITCH	0.352	0.212	0.598	1B	$3,900	1B	$4,800
4	Eric Hosmer	LEFT	0.380	0.183	0.305	1B	$3,800	1B	$3,800
5	Salvador Perez	RIGHT	0.342	0.203	0.321	C	$3,500	C	$3,100
6	Cheslor Cuthbert	RIGHT	0.305	0.138	0.339	3B	$2,300	3B	$3,200
7	Alcides Escobar	RIGHT	0.267	0.060	0.357	SS	$2,900	SS	$3,300
8	Jarrod Dyson	LEFT	0.301	0.113	0.427	OF	$2,200	OF	$3,100
9	Yordano Ventura	RIGHT	0.000	0.000		P	$8,100	P	$6,900
	Team Averages	—	0.288	0.133	0.363	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Kendrys Morales , Eric Hosmer

Stackability – None

Philadelphia

Phillies: The Phillies are just not a good team overall but have a couple pieces that you can attack with if you are feeling frisky. Maikel Franco has been one of their better hitters over the past year or so now and does provide some power potential in the heart of the order. Outside of that, we are hoping one of the top two guys get on base and steal, which is less of a threat here with Perez likely behind the plate.

Phillies Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.296 (28 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.154 (18 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 21.1% (17 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.48 (29 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.87 (24 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Odubel Herrera	LEFT	0.355	0.140	0.323	OF	$4,000	OF	$4,800
2	Peter Bourjos	RIGHT	0.277	0.143	0.519	OF	$2,500	OF	$3,300
3	Cody Asche	LEFT	0.310	0.169	0.345	OF	$2,700	OF	$2,900
4	Maikel Franco	RIGHT	0.340	0.200	0.310	3B	$3,300	3B	$4,000
5	Tommy Joseph	RIGHT	0.237	0.216	0.193	1B	$2,900	1B	$3,200
6	Cameron Rupp	RIGHT	0.291	0.148	0.433	C	$3,200	C	$3,300
7	Freddy Galvis	SWITCH	0.293	0.126	0.285	SS	$2,400	SS	$3,400
8	Cesar Hernandez	SWITCH	0.300	0.089	0.380	2B	$2,300	2B	$3,200
9	Vince Velasquez	RIGHT	0.238	0.000	0.622	P	$8,500	P	$8,900
	Team Averages	—	0.293	0.137	0.379	—	—	—	—

MLB Grind Down: Sunday, July 3rd

Cleveland at Toronto – 1:07 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Cleveland

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Francisco Lindor

Secondary Plays – Mike Napoli , Carlos Santana , Rajai Davis

Stackability – GPP

Toronto

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Josh Donaldson , Edwin Encarnacion , Devin Travis

Stackability – None

Chicago Cubs at NY Mets – 1:10 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Chicago Cubs

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Kris Bryant , Anthony Rizzo , Ben Zobrist

Stackability – None

NY Mets

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Yoenis Cespedes

Stackability – None

Detroit at Tampa Bay – 1:10 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Detroit

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Miguel Cabrera

Secondary Plays -Victor Martinez , Nick Castellanos , Steven Moya

Stackability – None

Tampa Bay

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Brad Miller , Evan Longoria , Corey Dickerson , Logan Forsythe

Stackability – GPP

Cincinnati at Washington – 1:35 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Cincinnati

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Joey Votto , Jay Bruce , Adam Duvall

Stackability – None

Washington

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Jayson Werth

Secondary Plays – Bryce Harper , Michael Taylor , Wilson Ramos , Ryan Zimmerman

Stackability – Cash / GPP

Kansas City at Philadelphia – 1:35 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Kansas City

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Kendrys Morales , Eric Hosmer

Stackability – None

Philadelphia

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Maikel Franco , Odubel Herrera

Stackability – None

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