Sign In $

MLB Grind Down: Thursday, August 4th - Page Two

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2016-08-04 21:18:12

NY Mets at NY Yankees – 7:05 PM ET

NY Mets NY Yankees
nymetsmlb Bartolo Colon nyyankeesmlb Nathan Eovaldi
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
NYY -135 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HH% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HH% K%
SP vs. Left 0.321 24 34.0% 15.8% SP vs. Left 0.355 14 32.2% 18.5%
SP vs. Right 0.308 18 29.9% 17.4% SP vs. Right 0.298 17 28.2% 18.1%

Pitcher Grind Down

Bartolo Colon
bartolo-colon-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,000 Salary: $6,600
FPPG: 26.0 FPPG: 13.0
Pitcher Rating: 49.7 Pitcher Rank: 17
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 5 82.6 4.25 6.08 16.2% 4.3% 4.4% 51.1% 35.6% 37.0%
2016 21 85.3 4.31 3.58 16.4% 4.4% 5.1% 44.4% 33.0% 36.9%
2015 31 87.3 4.02 4.16 16.7% 2.9% 6.4% 42.3% 36.9% 29.0%

Colon doesn’t exactly fit the mold of the type of pitcher we are looking to target in DFS. I suppose he doesn’t exactly fit the mold of a professional baseball player either. While I am as big of a Colon fan as anyone, he rarely finds his way into my lineups. A strikeout rate of 16.4% just doesn’t give him enough upside, especially when he is pitching in these hitter’s parks like Yankee Stadium.

Nathan Eovaldi
nathan-eovaldi-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,100 Salary: $7,300
FPPG: 24.9 FPPG: 12.0
Pitcher Rating: 64.8 Pitcher Rank: 8
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 3 140.7 5.09 2.10 15.8% 10.9% 10.4% 46.6% 35.6% 30.1%
2016 19 102.6 4.29 4.78 18.7% 7.7% 9.1% 50.6% 31.3% 32.7%
2015 27 97.7 3.99 4.20 18.0% 7.3% 8.7% 52.2% 26.0% 28.0%

Eovaldi pitched well earlier in the season, but comes into tonight’s game in awful form. In his last three starts, he has a 5.09 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 15.8% and a walk rate of 10.9%. He draws a favorable matchup against the Mets, but I see him as more of a GPP flier than a cash game staple. The upside is certainly there for Eovaldi, as the Mets are ranked 21st in team wOBA and 22nd in team K% against right-handed pitching this season.

Batter Grind Down

NY Mets

The Mets get to play in a hitter-friendly ballpark and also get to utilize the DH in this series. However, even with Nathan Eovaldi struggling in his last few starts, the Mets still have the sixth lowest team total on the board. In terms of splits, the left-handed hitters have the edge in this matchup. In the last two seasons, combined, Eovaldi has allowed a .355 wOBA to batters from the left side of the plate.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Curtis Granderson LEFT 0.368 0.223 0.302 OF $3,200 OF $3,500
2 Neil Walker SWITCH 0.330 0.170 0.426 2B $3,000 2B $3,700
3 Jay Bruce LEFT 0.337 0.262 0.397 OF $3,800 OF $5,400
4 James Loney LEFT 0.330 0.111 0.355 1B $2,800 1B $3,400
5 Michael Conforto LEFT 0.358 0.245 0.328 OF $2,300 OF $3,400
6 Wilmer Flores RIGHT 0.275 0.111 0.268 3B $3,000 3B $3,300
7 Brandon Nimmo LEFT 0.271 0.059 0.408 OF $2,200 OF $3,000
8 Travis D’Arnaud RIGHT 0.314 0.161 0.247 C $2,500 C $3,100
9 Alejandro De Aza LEFT 0.323 0.153 0.496 OF $2,600 OF $3,200
Team Averages — 0.323 0.166 0.359 — — — —

Elite Plays – Curtis Granderson, Jay Bruce

Secondary Plays – Neil Walker, James Loney, Michael Conforto

Stackability – ORANGE / YELLOW

NY Yankees

The Yankees have really struggled offensively this season, but they come into tonight’s game with the tenth highest run projection. They draw a favorable matchup against Bartolo Colon, who can be very hittable when he is missing his spots. In the last two seasons, Colon has allowed 42 home runs – 24 to left-handed hitters and 18 to right-handed hitters.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Brett Gardner LEFT 0.327 0.139 0.327 OF $3,300 OF $4,500
2 Jacoby Ellsbury LEFT 0.307 0.101 0.240 OF $2,900 OF $3,900
3 Mark Teixeira SWITCH 0.349 0.270 0.361 1B $2,600 1B $3,000
4 Brian McCann LEFT 0.329 0.203 0.270 C $2,500 C $3,700
5 Starlin Castro RIGHT 0.289 0.125 0.240 2B $2,500 2B $3,000
6 Didi Gregorius LEFT 0.312 0.142 0.282 SS $2,900 SS $3,700
7 Chase Headley SWITCH 0.306 0.123 0.296 3B $2,500 3B $3,400
8 Rob Refsnyder RIGHT 0.320 0.136 0.267 1B $2,200 1B/OF $3,300
9 Aaron Hicks SWITCH 0.283 0.124 0.201 OF $2,000 OF $2,800
Team Averages — 0.314 0.151 0.276 — — — —

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Brett Gardner, Jacoby Ellsbury, Mark Teixeira, Brian McCann

Stackability – ORANGE / YELLOW

Oakland at LA Angels – 7:05 PM ET

Oakland LA Angels
oaklandmlb Jesse Hahn laangelsmlb Ricky Nolasco
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
LAA -133 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HH% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HH% K%
SP vs. Left 0.351 8 32.0% 13.9% SP vs. Left 0.321 8 31.6% 17.4%
SP vs. Right 0.249 3 18.3% 15.0% SP vs. Right 0.365 13 33.8% 19.0%

Pitcher Grind Down

Jesse Hahn
jesse-hahn-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,000 Salary: $4,400
FPPG: 17.0 FPPG: 6.7
Pitcher Rating: 43.7 Pitcher Rank: 20
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 1 90.0 4.25 1.17 18.5% 3.7% 7.8% 33.3% 42.9% 47.6%
2016 8 78.1 5.15 5.53 11.5% 8.7% 6.1% 51.0% 25.5% 29.5%
2015 16 95.7 4.01 3.35 15.8% 6.2% 7.5% 52.6% 22.9% 23.3%

Hahn is making his ninth start of the season. In his first eight outings, he posted a 5.15 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 11.5%. He hasn’t shown any strikeout upside in the majors thus far and tonight he is facing the team with the lowest strikeout rate in all of baseball. There is more downside than upside with Hahn and he should be avoided in all league formats.

Ricky Nolasco
ricky-nolasco-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,200 Salary: $5,600
FPPG: 23.2 FPPG: 11.3
Pitcher Rating: 57.0 Pitcher Rank: 14
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 4 91.0 5.53 4.50 11.1% 7.8% 5.5% 39.4% 38.0% 40.9%
2016 21 97.0 4.39 5.13 17.7% 5.5% 8.8% 42.3% 38.5% 34.8%
2015 8 83.1 4.10 6.75 20.2% 8.1% 9.3% 40.7% 31.7% 26.0%

Nolasco will be making his first start with the Angels tonight, after being traded for Hector Santiago. Nolasco should benefit from pitching in Angels Stadium, but he’s still on the outside looking in when it comes to viable fantasy options. In 21 starts this season, he has a 4.39 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 17.7%. The A’s may not hit right-handed pitching well as a team, but they have the fourth lowest k-rate on the season.

Batter Grind Down

Oakland

The A’s may not have a high team total tonight, but they do draw a favorable matchup against Ricky Nolasco. In the last two seasons, he has allowed a .321 wOBA to left-handed hitters and a .365 wOBA to right-handed hitters. If you find a few value plays that you like in this lineup, don’t be afraid to employ a mini-A’s stack in cash games or GPPs.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Coco Crisp SWITCH 0.299 0.158 0.458 OF $3,500 OF $4,600
2 Jed Lowrie SWITCH 0.276 0.099 0.175 2B $2,800 2B $2,600
3 Stephen Vogt LEFT 0.341 0.189 0.114 C $3,300 C $2,800
4 Khris Davis RIGHT 0.357 0.270 0.443 OF $3,300 OF $4,500
5 Danny Valencia RIGHT 0.345 0.206 0.395 3B $3,300 3B $3,700
6 Yonder Alonso LEFT 0.320 0.108 0.283 1B $2,800 1B $2,900
7 Marcus Semien RIGHT 0.292 0.156 0.255 SS $3,200 SS $3,100
8 Jake Smolinski RIGHT 0.244 0.106 0.377 OF $2,600 OF $3,700
9 Ryon Healy RIGHT 0.352 0.239 0.264 3B $2,300 3B $2,600
Team Averages — 0.314 0.170 0.307 — — — —

Elite Plays – Stephen Vogt

Secondary Plays – Coco Crisp, Jed Lowrie, Khris Davis, Danny Valencia

Stackability – YELLOW

LA Angels

The Angels draw a favorable matchup tonight against Jesse Hahn, who has one of the lowest strikeout rates of any starter in baseball this season. He has been tough on right-handed hitters in his career, but has allowed a .351 wOBA to left-handed hitters in the last two seasons. Even though Mike Trout bats from the right side, he is still an elite play in this matchup.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Yunel Escobar RIGHT 0.340 0.089 0.360 3B $3,200 3B $3,500
2 Kole Calhoun LEFT 0.328 0.156 0.213 OF $3,000 OF $3,400
3 Mike Trout RIGHT 0.415 0.274 0.376 OF $4,200 OF $5,100
4 Albert Pujols RIGHT 0.332 0.203 0.328 1B $3,500 1B $3,800
5 Andrelton Simmons RIGHT 0.296 0.075 0.337 SS $2,300 SS $2,800
6 Jefry Marte RIGHT 0.293 0.168 0.436 3B $2,700 1B/3B $3,700
7 Ji-Man Choi LEFT 0.256 0.143 0.217 1B $2,100 1B/OF $3,100
8 Carlos Perez RIGHT 0.284 0.129 0.355 C $2,400 C $3,300
9 Johnny Giavotella LEFT 0.307 0.128 0.375 2B $2,400 2B $3,700
Team Averages — 0.317 0.152 0.333 — — — —

Elite Plays – Mike Trout

Secondary Plays – Kole Calhoun, Ji-Man Choi

Stackability – YELLOW

Texas at Baltimore – 7:05 PM ET

Texas Baltimore
texasmlb A.J. Griffin baltimoremlb Wade Miley
RIGHT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
BAL -125 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HH% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HH% K%
SP vs. Left 0.368 9 45.5% 20.1% SP vs. Left 0.293 6 26.2% 18.5%
SP vs. Right 0.253 1 32.3% 18.1% SP vs. Right 0.338 29 27.5% 17.4%

Pitcher Grind Down

A.J. Griffin
a.j.-griffin-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,200 Salary: $5,900
FPPG: 24.8 FPPG: 12.6
Pitcher Rating: 40.5 Pitcher Rank: 22
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 5 90.6 5.96 5.84 11.0% 10.1% 7.3% 32.1% 40.7% 44.6%
2016 13 91.5 4.85 3.99 19.2% 9.9% 8.3% 33.3% 44.1% 39.1%

Griffin has really struggled over the last month of play, posting a 5.96 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 11% and a walk rate of 10.1%. The Orioles have been ice cold at the plate recently, but Griffin is still far from a viable fantasy option tonight. On the season, Baltimore is ranked second in both team wOBA and team ISO against right-handed pitching. As an underdog on the road in what should be a high scoring game, Griffin is an easy fade.

Wade Miley
wade-miley-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,200 Salary: $6,700
FPPG: 25.3 FPPG: 12.2
Pitcher Rating: 58.0 Pitcher Rank: 13
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 4 93.5 3.95 3.65 21.4% 8.2% 9.1% 55.2% 28.4% 27.5%
2016 19 93.4 4.49 4.98 17.5% 7.3% 8.9% 46.6% 33.2% 31.7%
2015 32 99.8 4.24 4.46 17.7% 7.7% 8.3% 48.8% 30.5% 24.7%

Miley will make his first start with the Orioles tonight, after coming over from Seattle in a trade. He hasn’t had a great season overall, posting a 4.49 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 17.5%. A move to the American League East doesn’t help his fantasy appeal one bit, as he now has to pitch in four of the most hitter-friendly ballparks in baseball. I will be avoiding both of the pitchers in what should be a high scoring game between these two teams.

Batter Grind Down

Texas

The Rangers are ranked above the major league average in both team wOBA and team K% against southpaws this season. They draw an excellent matchup against Wade Miley, who has allowed a .338 wOBA and 29 home runs to right-handed hitters in the last two seasons.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jurickson Profar SWITCH 0.266 0.020 0.290 OF $2,600 2B/3B $4,100
2 Ian Desmond RIGHT 0.380 0.209 0.195 OF $4,400 OF $4,600
3 Carlos Beltran SWITCH 0.371 0.235 0.332 OF $4,000 OF $4,300
4 Adrian Beltre RIGHT 0.392 0.223 0.356 3B $3,500 3B $4,300
5 Rougned Odor LEFT 0.339 0.207 0.430 2B $3,800 2B $4,700
6 Jonathan Lucroy RIGHT 0.291 0.123 0.292 C $3,300 C $4,800
7 Ryan Rua RIGHT 0.344 0.194 0.318 OF $2,900 1B/OF $3,600
8 Elvis Andrus RIGHT 0.344 0.151 0.308 SS $3,100 SS $3,300
9 Nomar Mazara LEFT 0.255 0.041 0.370 OF $3,000 OF $4,400
Team Averages — 0.331 0.156 0.321 — — — —

Elite Plays – Jurickson Profar, Adrian Beltre

Secondary Plays – Ian Desmond, Carlos Beltran, Jonathan Lucroy

Stackability – YELLOW

Baltimore

The Orioles come into tonight’s game with the sixth highest implied team total on the board. They are one of my favorite offenses to target outside of Coors Field, as they take on the struggling A.J. Griffin. The sample size is small (13 starts), but Griffin has allowed a 368 wOBA to left-handed hitters this season.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Adam Jones RIGHT 0.345 0.214 0.398 OF $3,500 OF $5,000
2 Hyun-Soo Kim LEFT 0.394 0.118 0.372 OF $3,000 OF $3,600
3 Manny Machado RIGHT 0.381 0.238 0.364 3B $3,700 3B/SS $4,400
4 Chris Davis LEFT 0.381 0.302 0.177 1B $4,000 1B $4,400
5 Mark Trumbo RIGHT 0.345 0.211 0.210 OF $3,800 OF $4,500
6 Pedro Alvarez LEFT 0.344 0.248 0.389 3B $3,200 1B $4,200
7 Matt Wieters SWITCH 0.319 0.162 0.229 C $3,000 C $3,700
8 Jonathan Schoop RIGHT 0.360 0.229 0.236 2B $3,100 2B $4,100
9 J.J. Hardy RIGHT 0.274 0.112 0.326 SS $2,200 SS $3,100
Team Averages — 0.349 0.204 0.300 — — — —

Elite Plays – Hyun-Soo Kim, Chris Davis

Secondary Plays – Adam Jones, Manny Machado, Mark Trumbo, Pedro Alvarez

Stackability – YELLOW / GREEN

Pittsburgh at Atlanta – 7:10 PM ET

Pittsburgh Atlanta
pittsburghmlb Ryan Vogelsong atlantamlb Tyrell Jenkins
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
PIT -130 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HH% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HH% K%
SP vs. Left 0.392 15 34.7% 18.6% SP vs. Left 0.372 2 30.0% 10.5%
SP vs. Right 0.298 5 29.6% 17.4% SP vs. Right 0.390 4 37.1% 11.1%

Pitcher Grind Down

Ryan Vogelsong
ryan-vogelsong-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,800 Salary: $7,500
FPPG: 8.2 FPPG: 3.9
Pitcher Rating: 51.7 Pitcher Rank: 16
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
2016 2 188.5 4.80 3.74 17.0% 10.6% 6.9% 40.3% 31.3% 37.3%
2015 22 105.0 4.54 4.67 18.1% 9.7% 6.3% 44.7% 36.1% 31.0%

Vogelsong suffered multiple facial fractures after being hit in the face by a ball earlier this season. He has completed his rehab and will be back on the mound tonight. He couldn’t have picked a better time to make his return, as he gets to square off against the worst offense in baseball. Vogelsong isn’t a high strikeout pitcher though, and he could be on a pitch count tonight in his first start back. I’m going to take a wait and see approach for now.

Tyrell Jenkins
tyrell-jenkins-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,200 Salary: $4,700
FPPG: 12.1 FPPG: 4.5
Pitcher Rating: 27.9 Pitcher Rank: 23
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 4 87.0 6.61 4.50 9.7% 15.1% 6.9% 50.7% 37.3% 37.7%
2016 4 126.8 6.22 4.91 10.9% 14.5% 5.9% 50.0% 34.7% 34.3%

Jenkins didn’t show any strikeout upside in the minors and so far, that hasn’t changed in the majors. In his first four major league starts, he has a 6.61 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 9.7% and a walk rate of 15.1%. He is listed as an underdog tonight at home in a game that features a total of 9.0 runs. When is the last time you can remember seeing a game in Turner Field with an over/under this high?

Batter Grind Down

Pittsburgh

The Pirates arguably have the most favorable matchup on the board tonight. Tyrell Jenkins has walked more batters than he has struck out and he has given up a .372+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters. The sample size is obviously still an issue, but Jenkins has to improve in a few areas if he is going to stick around in the majors. I have no problem loading up on Pirates’ bats tonight.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 John Jaso LEFT 0.333 0.139 0.219 1B $3,100 1B $2,700
2 Gregory Polanco LEFT 0.340 0.166 0.378 OF $4,000 OF $5,200
3 Jung-Ho Kang RIGHT 0.355 0.194 0.247 3B $3,300 3B $3,900
4 Starling Marte RIGHT 0.357 0.156 0.457 OF $3,800 OF $5,300
5 Matt Joyce LEFT 0.322 0.186 0.603 OF $2,400 OF $3,800
6 Francisco Cervelli RIGHT 0.321 0.077 0.307 C $3,100 C $3,000
7 Adam Frazier LEFT 0.361 0.234 0.324 SS $2,700 OF/SS $3,300
8 Jordy Mercer RIGHT 0.276 0.076 0.248 SS $2,700 SS $3,100
9 Ryan Vogelsong RIGHT 0.136 0.030 P $6,800 P $7,500
Team Averages — 0.311 0.140 0.348 — — — —

Elite Plays – Gregory Polanco, Starling Marte, Matt Joyce

Secondary Plays – John Jaso, Jung-Ho Kang, Adam Frazier

Stackability – YELLOW / GREEN

Atlanta

The Braves’ offense came alive last night, but that has been the exception rather than the rule this season. They are ranked dead last in runs per game and 29th in team wOBA against right-handed pitching. Even in a favorable matchup against Ryan Vogelsong, it’s hard to recommend playing anyone outside of Freddie Freeman.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jace Peterson LEFT 0.316 0.111 0.348 2B $3,400 2B/OF $3,700
2 Erick Aybar SWITCH 0.282 0.072 0.423 SS $2,200 SS $2,900
3 Freddie Freeman LEFT 0.371 0.233 0.406 1B $3,600 1B $4,900
4 Matt Kemp RIGHT 0.307 0.178 0.410 OF $3,500 OF $4,400
5 Nick Markakis LEFT 0.341 0.108 0.400 OF $2,900 OF $4,400
6 Adonis Garcia RIGHT 0.306 0.160 0.407 3B $2,600 3B $4,400
7 Ender Inciarte LEFT 0.335 0.111 0.372 OF $3,000 OF $3,700
8 A.J. Pierzynski LEFT 0.311 0.129 0.284 C $2,200 C $2,800
9 Tyrell Jenkins RIGHT 0.000 0.000 0.000 P $6,200 P $4,700
Team Averages — 0.285 0.122 0.339 — — — —

Elite Plays – Freddie Freeman

Secondary Plays – Jace Peterson, Matt Kemp

Stackability – ORANGE / YELLOW

Toronto at Houston – 8:10 PM ET

Toronto Houston
torontomlb J.A. Happ houstonmlb Mike Fiers
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
TOR -120 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HH% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HH% K%
SP vs. Left 0.298 5 34.7% 23.3% SP vs. Left 0.301 17 33.1% 20.4%
SP vs. Right 0.301 26 30.7% 20.3% SP vs. Right 0.337 24 36.1% 21.3%

Pitcher Grind Down

J.A. Happ
j.a.-happ-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $9,100 Salary: $11,600
FPPG: 36.0 FPPG: 18.4
Pitcher Rating: 76.2 Pitcher Rank: 3
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 4 99.3 3.20 1.48 32.6% 9.5% 12.6% 37.7% 35.8% 29.6%
2016 21 95.0 4.20 3.16 20.9% 7.6% 9.8% 42.4% 35.6% 32.0%
2015 31 91.6 3.82 3.61 21.1% 6.3% 8.1% 41.6% 34.1% 31.2%

Happ went from being $7,200 on DraftKings in his last start to $11,600 tonight. He has certainly been in good form, but I have a hard time paying that much for a guy with an average strikeout rate on the season. He draws a boom or bust type of matchup against the Astros, who are ranked seventh in team ISO and 25th in team K% against left-handed pitching this season. Happ is a strong play on FanDuel, but I may end up fading him on DraftKings.

Mike Fiers
michael-fiers-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,700 Salary: $6,500
FPPG: 24.2 FPPG: 11.4
Pitcher Rating: 61.7 Pitcher Rank: 9
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 4 85.0 4.62 5.75 18.9% 7.8% 6.8% 36.9% 46.2% 34.9%
2016 19 93.2 4.47 4.42 16.4% 5.5% 8.5% 41.3% 32.1% 36.5%
2015 30 101.4 3.84 3.69 23.7% 8.4% 9.8% 37.6% 42.1% 33.5%

Fiers is one of the handful of pitchers that has such drastic home/road splits that I always feel the need to point them out. Guys like Julio Teheran and Jake Odorizzi (who pitched great at home last night) also come to mind. Here are his splits this season:

Home: 3.76 xFIP / 19.2% strikeout rate / .314 wOBA allowed
Away: 5.19 xFIP / 12.8% strikeout rate / .375 wOBA allowed

Now, with all of that said, I don’t want any part of Fiers against the Blue Jays. They are ranked eighth in team wOBA and third in team ISO against right-handed pitching this season and Fiers is listed as an underdog at home.

Batter Grind Down

Toronto

The Blue Jays have a mediocre run projection tonight, as they square off against Mike Fiers in Minute Maid Park. This is certainly a matchup that should suit the Blue Jays well, as Fiers is a reverse-splits pitcher that has allowed a .337 wOBA and 24 home runs to right-handed hitters in the last two seasons.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jose Bautista RIGHT 0.382 0.281 0.339 OF $3,800 OF $4,200
2 Josh Donaldson RIGHT 0.398 0.272 0.335 3B $4,300 3B $4,900
3 Edwin Encarnacion RIGHT 0.388 0.282 0.356 1B $4,500 1B $4,500
4 Michael Saunders LEFT 0.341 0.192 0.321 OF $3,600 OF $4,500
5 Troy Tulowitzki RIGHT 0.323 0.182 0.329 SS $2,900 SS $4,400
6 Russell Martin RIGHT 0.316 0.176 0.484 C $3,100 C $3,700
7 Kevin Pillar RIGHT 0.301 0.129 0.277 OF $2,600 OF $3,500
8 Melvin Upton RIGHT 0.296 0.149 0.113 OF $2,700 OF $3,200
9 Devon Travis RIGHT 0.365 0.186 0.338 2B $2,800 2B $4,000
Team Averages — 0.346 0.205 0.321 — — — —

Elite Plays – Jose Bautista, Josh Donaldson

Secondary Plays – Edwin Encarnacion, Michael Saunders, Troy Tulowitzki

Stackability – YELLOW

Houston

The Astros are small underdogs tonight at home against J.A. Happ. On paper, this doesn’t look like a good matchup, but Happ has allowed 26 home runs to right-handed hitters in the last two seasons. George Springer, Marwin Gonzalez, Jose Altuve, and Carlos Correa all have a .338+ wOBA against southpaws in the last two years.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 George Springer RIGHT 0.403 0.258 0.346 OF $3,900 OF $4,200
2 Marwin Gonzalez SWITCH 0.346 0.202 0.358 1B $2,800 1B/3B $3,700
3 Jose Altuve RIGHT 0.427 0.199 0.448 2B $4,000 2B $4,800
4 Carlos Correa RIGHT 0.338 0.190 0.356 SS $3,800 SS $3,500
5 Evan Gattis RIGHT 0.310 0.223 0.359 C $2,700 C $3,900
6 Carlos Gomez RIGHT 0.281 0.121 0.345 OF $2,400 OF $3,300
7 Alex Bregman RIGHT 0.000 0.000 0.066 3B $2,300 SS $3,400
8 Tyler White RIGHT 0.260 0.211 0.153 1B $2,100 1B $2,500
9 Jake Marisnick RIGHT 0.286 0.196 0.399 OF $2,500 OF $2,400
Team Averages — 0.295 0.178 0.314 — — — —

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – George Springer, Marwin Gonzalez, Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa

Stackability – ORANGE / YELLOW

Jump to Page 1 2 3

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious