MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, April 19th

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2016-04-20 02:31:09

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code and FanDuel promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.

Milwaukee at Minnesota – 1:10 PM

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Milwaukee					Minnesota
			Wily Peralta					Ervin Santana
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			MIN -145					8.5
SP vs. Left	0.391	11	10.8%	6.5%	SP vs. Left	0.345	7	15.0%	10.2%
SP vs. Right	0.361	7	15.3%	10.1%	SP vs. Right	0.286	6	22.8%	5.5%

Pitcher Grind Down

				Salary:$5,000		Salary:$6,300
Wily Peralta
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:9.3		FPPG:1.5
				Pitcher Rating:46
Statistics	SIERA	K%	BB%	HH%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2015-16	4.81	13.0%	8.3%	33.7%	50.9%	26	22

Peralta comes into tonight’s contest as a sizable underdog in a game that features a total of 8.5 runs. He has little upside in terms of strikeout potential, as he has only struck out 13% of the batters that he has faced in the last two seasons. He gives up a lot of hard contact (33%) and he gives up a decent number of home runs. With all of that in mind, he can be avoided in both cash games and GPPs.

				Salary:$6,900		Salary:$8,000
Ervin Santana
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:26.0		FPPG:14.6
				Pitcher Rating:64
Statistics	SIERA	K%	BB%	HH%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2015-16	4.30	18.8%	7.9%	27.8%	41.5%	19	23

Santana’s first start this season was cut short by a rain delay. In his last two starts, he has struck out 13 batters while allowing five runs over 13 innings of work. Santana may not have the highest strikeout rate in the majors (18.8%), but he does draw a great matchup against the Brewers, who are ranked 19th in team wOBA and 23rd in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching over the last two seasons. I wouldn’t look his way in the all-day slate, but he is in play in the early-only slate if you want to fade Carlos Carrasco.

Batter Grind Down

Milwaukee

Brewers Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.307 (19 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.140 (23 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.31 (24 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.99 (15 of 30)

The Brewers’ offense has been less than impressive so far this season, averaging the seventh fewest runs per game. They don’t particularly hit right-handed pitching well, but they do draw a decent matchup against Ervin Santana in an American League ballpark. The left-handed hitters in the Twins’ lineup have the advantage here, as Santana has allowed a .345 wOBA to hitters from that side of the plate.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Colin Walsh	SWITCH	0.153	0.000	2B	$2,000	2B	$2,000
2	Scooter Gennett	LEFT	0.309	0.130	2B	$2,800	2B	$3,700
3	Ryan Braun	RIGHT	0.354	0.211	OF	$4,100	OF	$3,900
4	Jonathan Lucroy	RIGHT	0.326	0.134	C	$2,800	C	$3,400
5	Chris Carter	RIGHT	0.327	0.257	1B	$3,000	1B	$3,300
6	Kirk Nieuwenhuis	LEFT	0.306	0.198	OF	$2,400	OF	$3,200
7	Jonathan Villar	SWITCH	0.349	0.082	SS	$2,700	SS	$3,200
8	Ramon Flores	LEFT	0.211	0.023	OF	$2,000	OF	$2,800
9	Martin Maldonado	RIGHT	0.225	0.039	C	$2,000	C	$2,100
	Team Averages	—	0.284	0.119	—	$2,644	—	$3,067

Elite Plays – Scooter Gennett

Secondary Plays – Colin Walsh, Ryan Braun, Jonathan Lucroy

Stackability – NONE

Minnesota

Twins Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.299 (26 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.150 (13 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 2.69 (29 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.51 (3 of 30)

The Twins’ offense has been even worst than the Brewers so far this season, but they come into today’s game with the third highest team total on the board. They draw a favorable matchup against Wily Peralta at home. Miguel Sano and company put up seven runs in last night’s rain shortened game and I expect another nice outing from them in this matchup. Hitters from both sides of the plate are in play here.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Eduardo Nunez	RIGHT	0.381	0.132	SS	$2,700	3B/SS	$3,100
2	Brian Dozier	RIGHT	0.313	0.201	2B	$2,800	2B	$4,200
3	Joe Mauer	LEFT	0.317	0.114	1B	$3,100	1B	$3,700
4	Miguel Sano	RIGHT	0.376	0.240	OF	$3,000	OF	$4,200
5	Oswaldo Arcia	LEFT	0.317	0.176	OF	$2,500	OF	$3,500
6	Byung-ho Park	RIGHT	0.331	0.258	1B	$2,800	1B	$3,800
7	Eduardo Escobar	SWITCH	0.313	0.161	SS	$2,300	SS	$2,800
8	John Murphy	RIGHT	0.269	0.064	C	$2,000	C	$2,900
9	Byron Buxton	RIGHT	0.290	0.140	OF	$2,200	OF	$3,600
	Team Averages	—	0.323	0.165	—	$2,600	—	$3,533

Elite Plays – Eduardo Nunez, Brian Dozier, Miguel Sano

Secondary Plays – Joe Mauer, Oswaldo Arcia, Byung-Ho Park

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Seattle at Cleveland – 6:10 PM

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Seattle					Cleveland
			Wade Miley					Carlos Carrasco
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			CLE -155					7.5
SP vs. Left	0.298	4	18.8%	5.0%	SP vs. Left	0.281	12	28.5%	6.5%
SP vs. Right	0.333	15	18.1%	7.9%	SP vs. Right	0.283	9	30.0%	5.2%

Pitcher Grind Down

				Salary:$6,600		Salary:$6,300
Wade Miley
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:22.5		FPPG:11.4
				Pitcher Rating:54
Statistics	SIERA	K%	BB%	HH%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2015-16	4.13	18.3%	7.3%	24.7%	48.0%	13	7

Miley has not fared well in his first two starts with the Mariners. He has given up 11 runs on 17 hits. While he has struck out 14 batters during that stretch, there is still cause for concern. He comes into today’s game as a sizable underdog against the Indians, who are ranked 13th in team wOBA and seventh in strikeout rate against left-handed pitching over the last two seasons. Miley can be avoided in all league formats.

				Salary:$10,200		Salary:$10,200
Carlos Carrasco
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:37.5		FPPG:20.7
				Pitcher Rating:93
Statistics	SIERA	K%	BB%	HH%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2015-16	2.76	29.3%	5.8%	28.3%	51.0%	17	26

If you are playing in the early-only slate, Carrasco is clearly the top target at pitcher. If you are playing in the all-day slate, he is still one of the top targets. He boasts an elite strikeout rate (29.3%) with a very low SIERA (2.76). He draws a nice matchup against the Mariners, who have not fared well against right-handed pitching. He also has a good chance to pick up a win, as the offense behind him should be able to put up some runs against Wade Miley.

Batter Grind Down

Seattle

Mariners Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.311 (17 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.166 (6 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.75 (19 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.43 (28 of 30)

The Mariners picked up where they left off last season, as a below-average offense. They come into today’s game with the third lowest team total on the board. This is a bad matchup for hitters from both sides of the plate, as Carrasco has held left-handed hitters to a .281 wOBA and right-handed hitters to a .283 wOBA over the last two seasons.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Norichika Aoki	LEFT	0.315	0.118	OF	$2,700	OF	$3,200
2	Seth Smith	LEFT	0.350	0.203	OF	$2,600	OF	$2,900
3	Robinson Cano	LEFT	0.358	0.190	2B	$3,500	2B	$4,000
4	Nelson Cruz	RIGHT	0.373	0.244	OF	$4,300	OF	$3,800
5	Kyle Seager	LEFT	0.317	0.161	3B	$3,200	3B	$3,500
6	Adam Lind	LEFT	0.363	0.201	1B	$2,100	1B	$3,400
7	Chris Iannetta	RIGHT	0.261	0.142	C	$2,700	C	$2,500
8	Leonys Martin	LEFT	0.273	0.116	OF	$2,600	OF	$2,500
9	Ketel Marte	SWITCH	0.331	0.088	SS	$2,400	SS	$3,200
	Team Averages	—	0.327	0.163	—	$2,900	—	$3,222

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

Cleveland

Indians Offense
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.314 (13 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.135 (20 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.20 (15 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.07 (12 of 30)

The Indians may be missing Michael Brantley, but their offense hasn’t been terrible in the first few weeks of the season. They come into tonight’s game with the 12th highest team total and a fantasy-friendly matchup against Wade Miley, who has allowed a .333 wOBA and 15 home runs to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Rajai Davis	RIGHT	0.307	0.205	OF	$3,400	OF	$3,500
2	Jason Kipnis	LEFT	0.283	0.115	2B	$3,700	2B	$3,800
3	Francisco Lindor	SWITCH	0.387	0.199	SS	$3,500	SS	$3,800
4	Mike Napoli	RIGHT	0.402	0.284	1B	$3,100	1B	$3,900
5	Carlos Santana	SWITCH	0.316	0.096	1B	$3,000	1B	$3,800
6	Yan Gomes	RIGHT	0.257	0.118	C	$2,600	C	$3,000
7	Marlon Byrd	RIGHT	0.326	0.210	OF	$3,100	OF	$3,800
8	Juan Uribe	RIGHT	0.344	0.234	3B	$2,100	3B	$3,300
9	Collin Cowgill	RIGHT	0.219	0.106	OF	$2,100	OF	$2,400
	Team Averages	—	0.316	0.174	—	$2,956	—	$3,478

Elite Plays – Francisco Lindor, Mike Napoli

Secondary Plays – Rajai Davis

Stackability – NONE

NY Mets at Philadelphia – 7:05 PM

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
NY Mets					Philadelphia
			Logan Verrett					Vincent Velasquez
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			PHI -110					7.0
SP vs. Left	0.273	5	21.1%	8.3%	SP vs. Left	0.272	3	25.7%	9.2%
SP vs. Right	0.248	1	21.3%	8.3%	SP vs. Right	0.295	2	33.1%	7.5%

Pitcher Grind Down

				Salary:$6,700		Salary:$5,600
Logan Verrett
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:19.5		FPPG:11.8
				Pitcher Rating:72
Statistics	SIERA	K%	BB%	HH%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2015-16	3.88	21.2%	8.3%	27.2%	45.6%	29	21

Verrett pitched well in his first start of the season and if you look at his numbers as a whole from the last two seasons, they are impressive. He owns a 3.88 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 21.2%. The main issue is that he doesn’t have that pitch upside that we like to look for. He generally maxes out at around 85-90 pitches, which limits his upside as a whole. That said, the combination of a cheap price tag and a nice matchup put him in play tonight as an SP2. The Phillies are ranked 29th in team wOBA and 21st in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching over the last two seasons.

				Salary:$9,000		Salary:$9,600
Vincent Velasquez
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:72.0		FPPG:45.7
				Pitcher Rating:85
Statistics	SIERA	K%	BB%	HH%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2015-16	3.21	29.1%	8.4%	24.4%	31.8%	19	17

How about the start that Velasquez has had to the season? He has been one of the lone bright spots on the Phillies. In his first two starts, he has pitched 15 innings, struck out 25 batters, and has yet to allow a single run. He was a top prospect coming into the majors and we are starting to see the upside that he possesses. He doesn’t draw a great matchup against the Mets, but it’s not one that we have to avoid either. Given his strikeout upside, he is a strong GPP play and a decent SP2 on multi-pitcher sites.

Batter Grind Down

NY Mets

Mets Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.307 (19 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.151 (10 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.50 (22 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.44 (27 of 30)

The Mets wOBA and ISO numbers against right-handed pitching look pretty mediocre, but they have been much better since acquiring Yoenis Cespedes half way through the 2015 season. They draw a difficult matchup tonight against Vincent Velasquez, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .295 wOBA. With the fourth lowest team total on the board, the Mets are an easy offense to avoid tonight.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Curtis Granderson	LEFT	0.376	0.222	OF	$3,100	OF	$3,800
2	David Wright	RIGHT	0.340	0.110	3B	$3,000	3B	$3,700
3	Michael Conforto	LEFT	0.379	0.261	OF	$2,900	OF	$3,100
4	Yoenis Cespedes	RIGHT	0.384	0.264	OF	$4,200	OF	$4,100
5	Lucas Duda	LEFT	0.344	0.217	1B	$2,400	1B	$3,700
6	Neil Walker	SWITCH	0.330	0.179	2B	$2,800	2B	$3,400
7	Asdrubal Cabrera	SWITCH	0.324	0.163	SS	$2,800	SS	$3,100
8	Travis D’Arnaud	RIGHT	0.317	0.171	C	$2,600	C	$3,100
9	Logan Verrett	RIGHT	0.000	0.000	P	$6,700	P	$5,600
	Team Averages	—	0.310	0.176	—	$2,975	—	$3,500

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Lucas Duda

Stackability – NONE

Philadelphia

Phillies Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.296 (29 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.138 (27 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 2.57 (30 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.56 (24 of 30)

The Phillies are ranked in the bottom ten in all four of the offensive statistics listed above. They are only averaging 2.57 runs per game this season, which is the lowest in all of baseball. They also come into tonight’s game with the seventh lowest team total on the board. In what should be a low scoring game, both offenses can be avoided.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Cesar Hernandez	RIGHT	0.297	0.080	2B	$2,000	2B	$3,000
2	Odubel Herrera	LEFT	0.339	0.132	OF	$2,800	OF	$3,500
3	Maikel Franco	RIGHT	0.362	0.204	3B	$3,000	3B	$3,900
4	Ryan Howard	LEFT	0.338	0.247	1B	$2,600	1B	$3,900
5	Cameron Rupp	RIGHT	0.270	0.120	C	$2,200	C	$2,700
6	David Lough	LEFT	0.240	0.125
7	Freddy Galvis	SWITCH	0.289	0.103	SS	$2,300	SS	$3,200
8	Peter Bourjos	RIGHT	0.264	0.127	OF	$2,100	OF	$3,000
9	Vincent Velasquez	RIGHT	0.000	0.000	P	$9,000	P	$9,600
	Team Averages	—	0.267	0.126	—	$2,429	—	$3,314

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

Oakland at NY Yankees – 7:05 PM

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Oakland					NY Yankees
			Eric Surkamp					Michael Pineda
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			NYY -170					8.5
SP vs. Left	0.491	2	5.0%	0.0%	SP vs. Left	0.327	9	22.6%	4.8%
SP vs. Right	0.307	1	14.6%	14.6%	SP vs. Right	0.329	15	23.9%	2.1%

Pitcher Grind Down

				Salary:$4,800		Salary:$5,200
Eric Surkamp
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:12.0		FPPG:4.3
				Pitcher Rating:35
Statistics	SIERA	K%	BB%	HH%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2015-16	5.51	11.5%	9.8%	29.6%	30.2%	7	6

Surkamp isn’t a pitcher that we need to spend a ton of time on. He is a below-average left-handed starter. Since the start of 2015, he has a 5.51 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 11.5%. To make matters worse, he has to face the Yankees in the hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium. Over the last two seasons, New York is ranked seventh in team wOBA and sixth in strikeout rate against left-handed pitching.

				Salary:$7,700		Salary:$8,600
Michael Pineda
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:27.0		FPPG:12.3
				Pitcher Rating:88
Statistics	SIERA	K%	BB%	HH%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2015-16	3.13	23.3%	3.4%	29.9%	47.9%	24	5

Pineda should be excited for tonight’s game against the A’s, after having to face the Blue Jays and Astros in his first two starts. Dollar for dollar, he is one of my favorite pitching options in tonight’s slate. While the A’s have a low strikeout rate, they have the seventh lowest team wOBA against right-handed pitching. Pineda himself boasts a 23.3% strikeout rate and he is one of the biggest favorites on the board. He is a viable target in both cash games and GPPs.

Batter Grind Down

Oakland

Athletics Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.304 (24 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.145 (20 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 2.85 (27 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.84 (19 of 30)

The A’s have a low strikeout rate and are playing in a hitter-friendly ballpark tonight. That’s about all they have going for them in a matchup against Michael Pineda. He doesn’t walk many batters, he has a high strikeout rate, and he produces a lot of ground ball outs. With a low team total, the A’s bats should only be used in tournaments tonight.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Billy Burns	SWITCH	0.304	0.099	OF	$2,600	OF	$3,900
2	Coco Crisp	SWITCH	0.226	0.078	OF	$2,400	OF	$2,800
3	Josh Reddick	LEFT	0.360	0.203	OF	$3,300	OF	$3,600
4	Danny Valencia	RIGHT	0.360	0.238	3B	$2,400	3B	$3,200
5	Stephen Vogt	LEFT	0.352	0.212	C	$2,800	C	$3,100
6	Chris Coghlan	LEFT	0.347	0.207	OF	$2,100	OF	$3,000
7	Billy Butler	RIGHT	0.311	0.134	1B	$2,300	1B	$3,200
8	Yonder Alonso	LEFT	0.317	0.103	1B	$2,000	1B	$3,100
9	Marcus Semien	RIGHT	0.286	0.142	SS	$3,200	SS	$3,200
	Team Averages	—	0.318	0.157	—	$2,567	—	$3,233

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Josh Reddick, Stephen Vogt

Stackability – NONE

NY Yankees

Yankees Offense
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.324 (7 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.154 (11 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.45 (10 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.66 (1 of 30)

The Yankees’ offense has the highest team total on the board tonight. They hit left-handed pitching very well as a team and they draw a fantastic matchup against Erik Surkamp. The sample size is still small, but in 66 career innings Surkamp has allowed a .386 wOBA to left-handed hitters and a .367 wOBA to right-handed hitters. It’s a good night to load up on the Yankees.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Jacoby Ellsbury	LEFT	0.288	0.066	OF	$3,400	OF	$4,300
2	Aaron Hicks	SWITCH	0.353	0.174	OF	$2,400	OF	$4,200
3	Alex Rodriguez	RIGHT	0.379	0.259	3B	$3,000	1B/3B	$4,100
4	Mark Teixeira	SWITCH	0.331	0.180	1B	$3,400	1B	$4,100
5	Carlos Beltran	SWITCH	0.329	0.200	OF	$3,400	OF	$3,700
6	Brian McCann	LEFT	0.328	0.174	C	$3,200	C	$3,800
7	Starlin Castro	RIGHT	0.291	0.070	2B	$3,000	2B	$3,400
8	Chase Headley	SWITCH	0.317	0.119	3B	$2,800	3B	$3,800
9	Ronald Torreyes	RIGHT	0.537	0.250	2B	$2,000	2B/3B	$2,700
	Team Averages	—	0.350	0.166	—	$2,956	—	$3,789

Elite Plays – Aaron Hicks, Alex Rodriguez, Mark Teixeira, Carlos Beltran

Secondary Plays – Jacoby Ellsbury, Starlin Castro, Chase Headley

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Toronto at Baltimore – 7:05 PM

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Toronto					Baltimore
			Marcus Stroman					Mike Wright
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			TOR -140					8.5
SP vs. Left	0.244	2	14.6%	8.1%	SP vs. Left	0.399	5	10.7%	8.0%
SP vs. Right	0.254	1	18.2%	3.0%	SP vs. Right	0.353	5	15.8%	8.8%

Pitcher Grind Down

				Salary:$8,100		Salary:$7,700
Marcus Stroman
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:31.3		FPPG:15.6
				Pitcher Rating:68
Statistics	SIERA	K%	BB%	HH%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2015-16	3.51	15.9%	6.4%	24.1%	64.6%	3	24

Stroman continues to pitch well for the Blue Jays. He now owns a 3.51 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 15.9% and a ridiculous ground ball rate of 64.6%. He is going to need to keep the ball on the ground tonight if he is going to have success against this tough Orioles’ offense. While Stroman’s skill set allows him to succeed in any ballpark, there are safer pitching options on the board tonight. The one plus for Stroman is that he should see run support with Mike Wright pitching opposite him.

				Salary:$6,300		Salary:$5,000
Mike Wright
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:27.0		FPPG:10.5
				Pitcher Rating:38
Statistics	SIERA	K%	BB%	HH%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2015-16	5.15	13.3%	8.4%	30.0%	37.3%	1	11

Wright is one of those pitchers that can typically just be glossed over. He owns a 5.15 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 13.3%. As I always say, anytime a pitcher has a K:BB ratio less than 2.0, that is a red flag. Wright is an easy pitcher to avoid in most matchups and since he’s facing the best offense in baseball, there is no reason for him to be on your radar tonight.

Batter Grind Down

Toronto

Blue Jays Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.339 (1 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.187 (4 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.00 (17 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.48 (4 of 30)

The Blue Jays are a better offense at home, but they shouldn’t be overlooked tonight. They have the highest wOBA of any team in baseball against right-handed pitching and they come into tonight’s game with the fourth highest team total on the board. Hitters from both sides of the plate are in play, as Mike Wright has allowed a .399 wOBA to left-handed hitters and a .353 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Michael Saunders	LEFT	0.258	0.053	OF	$2,900	OF	$3,900
2	Josh Donaldson	RIGHT	0.390	0.260	3B	$5,400	3B	$5,400
3	Jose Bautista	RIGHT	0.402	0.309	OF	$4,600	OF	$5,300
4	Edwin Encarnacion	RIGHT	0.393	0.283	1B	$4,200	1B	$5,100
5	Troy Tulowitzki	RIGHT	0.313	0.153	SS	$2,900	SS	$4,300
6	Chris Colabello	RIGHT	0.362	0.163	OF	$2,300	1B/OF	$3,600
7	Russell Martin	RIGHT	0.308	0.196	C	$2,500	C	$3,900
8	Kevin Pillar	RIGHT	0.312	0.131	OF	$2,900	OF	$4,000
9	Ryan Goins	LEFT	0.307	0.103	2B	$2,100	2B	$2,900
	Team Averages	—	0.338	0.183	—	$3,311	—	$4,267

Elite Plays – Josh Donaldson, Jose Bautista, Edwin Encarnacion, Troy Tulowitzki

Secondary Plays – Michael Saunders, Russell Martin, Kevin Pillar

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Baltimore

Orioles Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.329 (3 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.190 (1 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 5.45 (5 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.02 (13 of 30)

The Orioles may have a higher team total than the average of the 30 teams in action tonight, but I’m not crazy about their matchup against Marcus Stroman. When pitchers are able to generate a lot of ground balls, they limit the hard contact against them. The Orioles score the bulk of their runs with the long ball and I just don’t see them hitting many home runs off of Stroman.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Joey Rickard	RIGHT	0.284	0.121	OF	$2,700	OF	$3,100
2	Manny Machado	RIGHT	0.399	0.248	3B	$4,600	3B/SS	$4,500
3	Adam Jones	RIGHT	0.337	0.210	OF	$3,100	OF	$4,000
4	Chris Davis	LEFT	0.417	0.363	1B	$4,300	1B	$4,600
5	Mark Trumbo	RIGHT	0.316	0.156	OF	$4,000	OF	$3,600
6	Matt Wieters	SWITCH	0.319	0.142	C	$2,800	C	$3,100
7	J.J. Hardy	RIGHT	0.272	0.127	SS	$3,000	SS	$2,800
8	Pedro Alvarez	LEFT	0.335	0.228	1B	$2,800	1B	$3,300
9	Jonathan Schoop	RIGHT	0.376	0.270	2B	$2,900	2B	$3,400
	Team Averages	—	0.339	0.207	—	$3,356	—	$3,600

MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, April 19th

Milwaukee at Minnesota – 1:10 PM

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Milwaukee

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Scooter Gennett

Secondary Plays – Colin Walsh, Ryan Braun, Jonathan Lucroy

Stackability – NONE

Minnesota

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Eduardo Nunez, Brian Dozier, Miguel Sano

Secondary Plays – Joe Mauer, Oswaldo Arcia, Byung-Ho Park

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Seattle at Cleveland – 6:10 PM

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Seattle

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

Cleveland

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Francisco Lindor, Mike Napoli

Secondary Plays – Rajai Davis

Stackability – NONE

NY Mets at Philadelphia – 7:05 PM

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

NY Mets

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Lucas Duda

Stackability – NONE

Philadelphia

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

Oakland at NY Yankees – 7:05 PM

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Oakland

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Josh Reddick, Stephen Vogt

Stackability – NONE

NY Yankees

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Aaron Hicks, Alex Rodriguez, Mark Teixeira, Carlos Beltran

Secondary Plays – Jacoby Ellsbury, Starlin Castro, Chase Headley

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Toronto at Baltimore – 7:05 PM

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Toronto

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Josh Donaldson, Jose Bautista, Edwin Encarnacion, Troy Tulowitzki

Secondary Plays – Michael Saunders, Russell Martin, Kevin Pillar

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Baltimore

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Manny Machado, Chris Davis

Stackability – NONE

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