MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, April 26th

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2016-04-27 04:03:57

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code and FanDuel promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.

Philadelphia at Washington – 7:05 PM

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Philadelphia					Washington
			Vince Velasquez					Max Scherzer
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			WAS -200					7.0
SP vs. Left	0.276	4	25.2%	8.6%	SP vs. Left	0.288	14	25.7%	6.0%
SP vs. Right	0.309	3	32.4%	7.0%	SP vs. Right	0.240	17	34.6%	2.2%

Pitcher Grind Down

				Salary:$7,800		Salary:$9,400
Vince Velasquez
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:54.3		FPPG:33.8
				Pitcher Rating:67.7		Pitcher Rank:11
Statistics	Starts	SIERA	K%	BB%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2016	3	1.83	39.2%	4.1%	34.1%	17	16
2015	7	3.74	25.1%	9.1%	31.3%	18	28

After striking out 25 batters without giving up a single run in his first start, Velasquez came crashing back down to Earth against the Mets. He allowed five runs in just over four innings of work. He is still a raw talent, but we have seen the type of upside that he possesses. Even in 2015, he had a strikeout rate over 25%. While he comes into tonight’s game as a huge underdog, he still makes an excellent tournament play thanks to his strikeout potential.

				Salary:$10,500		Salary:$12,900
Max Scherzer
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:33.0		FPPG:16.9
				Pitcher Rating:94.8		Pitcher Rank:2
Statistics	Starts	SIERA	K%	BB%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2016	4	3.90	22.3%	7.8%	41.8%	22	20
2015	33	2.63	30.7%	3.8%	35.8%	29	21

Scherzer continues to give up the long ball, which continue to kill his fantasy outings. In his last 37 starts, he has allowed 31 home runs. While his HR/FB rate is well above his career average, it’s still a concern moving forward. The good news is that he is still striking out hitters at an elite rate. He should be able to limit the damage against him tonight in a favorable matchup against the Phillies. Over the last two seasons, Philadelphia is ranked in the bottom ten in both team wOBA and strikeout rate against right-handed pitching. Scherzer grades out as the second best pitcher in the slate behind Clayton Kershaw.

Batter Grind Down

Philadelphia

Phillies Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.297 (28 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.137 (27 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.26 (28 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 2.92 (28 of 30)

The Phillies have not hit right-handed pitching well, ranking 28th in team wOBA and 27th in team ISO over the last two seasons. They are only averaging 3.26 runs per game and they come into tonight’s contest with the third lowest team total on the board. They can easily be avoided tonight against Max Scherzer in Nationals Park.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Odubel Herrera	LEFT	0.343	0.132	OF	$3,400	OF	$3,300
2	Cesar Hernandez	RIGHT	0.299	0.081	2B	$2,200	2B	$2,300
3	Maikel Franco	RIGHT	0.366	0.208	3B	$3,500	3B	$3,400
4	Ryan Howard	LEFT	0.332	0.236	1B	$2,300	1B	$3,200
5	Carlos Ruiz	RIGHT	0.239	0.059	C	$2,500	C	$2,000
6	Freddy Galvis	SWITCH	0.296	0.114	SS	$2,700	SS	$3,000
7	David Lough	LEFT	0.244	0.119	OF	$2,100	OF	$2,000
8	Vince Velasquez	RIGHT	0.000	0.000	P	$7,800	P	$9,400
9	Peter Bourjos	RIGHT	0.263	0.129	OF	$2,100	OF	$2,300
	Team Averages	—	0.265	0.120	—	$3,178	—	$3,433

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

Washington

Nationals Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.310 (18 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.150 (13 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.39 (10 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.08 (13 of 30)

The Nationals’ offense has been above-average so far, but that is largely thanks to one player – Bryce Harper. He is on pace to have a historical season and he now has a .478 wOBA and a .373 ISO against right-handed pitching over the last two seasons. Vincent Velasquez is an impressive young pitcher, but Harper remains an elite play in all league formats.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Michael Taylor	RIGHT	0.265	0.122	OF	$2,300	OF	$2,900
2	Anthony Rendon	RIGHT	0.303	0.094	3B	$2,700	3B	$3,400
3	Bryce Harper	LEFT	0.478	0.373	OF	$5,700	OF	$5,400
4	Ryan Zimmerman	RIGHT	0.290	0.151	1B	$2,700	1B	$3,100
5	Daniel Murphy	LEFT	0.354	0.197	2B	$3,500	2B	$4,100
6	Jayson Werth	RIGHT	0.296	0.142	OF	$3,100	OF	$3,400
7	Wilson Ramos	RIGHT	0.275	0.132	C	$2,800	C	$3,400
8	Danny Espinosa	SWITCH	0.297	0.159	SS	$2,200	SS	$2,400
9	Max Scherzer	RIGHT	0.180	0.019	P	$10,500	P	$12,900
	Team Averages	—	0.304	0.154	—	$3,125	—	$3,513

Elite Plays – Bryce Harper

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

Chicago White Sox at Toronto – 7:07 PM

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Chicago White Sox					Toronto
			Chris Sale					R.A. Dickey
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			CWS -115					8.0
SP vs. Left	0.272	0	33.5%	5.6%	SP vs. Left	0.295	11	12.6%	8.4%
SP vs. Right	0.275	25	30.7%	4.5%	SP vs. Right	0.327	15	16.7%	6.3%

Pitcher Grind Down

				Salary:$10,900		Salary:$12,000
Chris Sale
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:49.5		FPPG:29.0
				Pitcher Rating:87.9		Pitcher Rank:3
Statistics	Starts	SIERA	K%	BB%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2016	4	3.06	23.9%	2.8%	50.0%	16	25
2015	31	2.52	32.1%	4.9%	42.6%	1	3

Sale’s strikeout rate has been down a bit this season, but we can chalk that up to a small sample size. In 2015, he posted a ridiculous strikeout rate of 32.1%. While he is generally one of the top pitching options on the slate, he draws an awful matchup against the Blue Jays in Toronto. This is one of the only opportunities that we can target him at such a low ownership, but it’s hard to take him over Clayton Kershaw or Max Scherzer, even in tournaments.

				Salary:$7,500		Salary:$7,000
R.A. Dickey
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:22.3		FPPG:9.9
				Pitcher Rating:35.1		Pitcher Rank:24
Statistics	Starts	SIERA	K%	BB%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2016	4	4.33	20.0%	10.5%	45.5%	28	6
2015	33	4.76	14.3%	6.9%	41.9%	25	16

Dickey has been one of my favorite pitchers to pick on over the last two seasons. His strikeout rate continues to go down and his command continues to get worse. In his four starts this season, he has walked over 10% of the batters that he has faced. At this point in his career, Dickey can be avoided for DFS purposes, especially when he is pitching at home in the hitter-friendly Rogers Centre.

Batter Grind Down

Chicago White Sox

White Sox Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.305 (24 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.137 (28 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.40 (26 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.09 (12 of 30)

The White Sox continue to struggle offensively, ranking 26th in runs scored per game this season. While they only have the 12th highest team total on the board, I love the matchup against R.A. Dickey in the Rogers Centre. When Dickey is on the mound, I always like to look at BvP thanks to his unique pitching style (knuckleball). Jose Abreu, Todd Frazier, and Melky Cabrera all have a good track record against him.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Adam Eaton	LEFT	0.359	0.164	OF	$2,800	OF	$3,900
2	Jimmy Rollins	SWITCH	0.263	0.127	SS	$2,600	SS	$3,300
3	Jose Abreu	RIGHT	0.371	0.233	1B	$3,000	1B	$4,000
4	Todd Frazier	RIGHT	0.331	0.216	3B	$3,800	3B	$3,900
5	Melky Cabrera	SWITCH	0.331	0.131	OF	$3,300	OF	$3,200
6	Brett Lawrie	RIGHT	0.291	0.129	2B	$2,700	2B	$3,400
7	Avisail Garcia	RIGHT	0.282	0.112	OF	$2,400	OF	$3,200
8	Dioner Navarro	SWITCH	0.259	0.084	C	$2,100	C	$2,600
9	Austin Jackson	RIGHT	0.281	0.093	OF	$2,100	OF	$3,000
	Team Averages	—	0.308	0.143	—	$2,756	—	$3,389

Elite Plays – Jose Abreu, Todd Frazier

Secondary Plays – Adam Eaton, Melky Cabrera

Stackability – GPP

Toronto

Blue Jays Offense
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.354 (1 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.186 (1 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.29 (14 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.91 (19 of 30)

The Blue Jays’ offense has gotten off to a slow start this season, but they are still ranked first in team wOBA and team ISO against left-handed pitching since the start of last season. While I don’t want to target Chris Sale against the Blue Jays, I also want to avoid the Blue Jays against Sale. This is a situation where it’s best to avoid both the pitcher and the offense that he is facing.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Kevin Pillar	RIGHT	0.294	0.080	OF	$2,900	OF	$2,700
2	Josh Donaldson	RIGHT	0.454	0.369	3B	$4,900	3B	$4,600
3	Jose Bautista	RIGHT	0.374	0.231	OF	$4,500	OF	$4,100
4	Edwin Encarnacion	RIGHT	0.365	0.207	1B	$3,700	1B	$3,300
5	Troy Tulowitzki	RIGHT	0.362	0.173	SS	$3,700	SS	$3,400
6	Justin Smoak	SWITCH	0.322	0.261	1B	$2,200	1B	$2,600
7	Ezequiel Carrera	LEFT	0.382	0.184	OF	$3,100	OF	$2,400
8	Darwin Barney	RIGHT	0.372	0.235	SS	$2,400	2B	$2,000
9	Josh Thole	LEFT	0.304	0.222	C	$2,000	C	$2,300
	Team Averages	—	0.359	0.218	—	$3,267	—	$3,044

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Josh Donaldson

Stackability – NONE

Oakland at Detroit – 7:08 PM

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Oakland					Detroit
			Rich Hill					Mike Pelfrey
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			OAK -120					9.0
SP vs. Left	0.244	0	33.3%	4.8%	SP vs. Left	0.382	7	11.8%	12.4%
SP vs. Right	0.263	3	34.0%	8.0%	SP vs. Right	0.314	6	12.1%	2.5%

Pitcher Grind Down

				Salary:$7,700		Salary:$7,700
Rich Hill
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:36.8		FPPG:18.7
				Pitcher Rating:68.5		Pitcher Rank:9
Statistics	Starts	SIERA	K%	BB%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2016	4	2.85	33.7%	10.5%	54.5%	11	2
2015	4	2.29	34.0%	4.7%	48.4%	2	20

Hill continues to impress with each and every start. His comeback is truly remarkable and from a fan’s perspective, I hope it continues. In his four starts this season, he has a 2.85 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 33.7%. He is listed as a small favorite tonight against the Tigers, but the over/under is set at 9.0 runs. In a difficult matchup against the Tigers, Hill should only be targeted as a GPP play. The upside is there, but so is the risk.

				Salary:$5,800		Salary:$5,100
Mike Pelfrey
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:16.7		FPPG:5.9
				Pitcher Rating:25.4		Pitcher Rank:30
Statistics	Starts	SIERA	K%	BB%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2016	3	6.24	11.3%	16.9%	52.0%	25	10
2015	30	4.59	12.0%	6.3%	50.8%	21	4

Pelfrey has been awful in his first three starts this season, posting a 6.24 SIERA with a walk rate (16.9%) that is higher than his strikeout rate (11.3%). While the A’s are not a great offensive team, they should be able to knock him around a bit tonight. Pelfrey should not be on your radar, as he is an underdog at home in a game that features one of the highest over/unders on the board.

Batter Grind Down

Oakland

Athletics Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.307 (22 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.146 (21 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.45 (25 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.62 (3 of 30)

The A’s are ranked 21st or worse in team wOBA vs. RHP, team ISO vs. RHP, and runs per game. It’s safe to say that their offense has not been producing so far. I bring that up because it makes the fact that they have the third highest team total tonight even more impressive. They make an intriguing stack for both cash games and tournaments and their is a ton of value to be had in this lineup. The average hitter’s salary is $2,633 on FanDuel and $3,467 on DraftKings.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Billy Burns	SWITCH	0.305	0.104	OF	$2,900	OF	$4,200
2	Chris Coghlan	LEFT	0.354	0.221	3B	$2,600	2B/3B	$3,300
3	Josh Reddick	LEFT	0.360	0.203	OF	$3,400	OF	$4,000
4	Jed Lowrie	SWITCH	0.280	0.124	2B	$2,300	2B	$3,200
5	Stephen Vogt	LEFT	0.351	0.207	C	$2,700	C	$3,400
6	Coco Crisp	SWITCH	0.238	0.082	OF	$2,700	OF	$3,200
7	Khris Davis	RIGHT	0.352	0.244	OF	$2,700	OF	$3,400
8	Yonder Alonso	LEFT	0.315	0.099	1B	$2,000	1B	$3,200
9	Marcus Semien	RIGHT	0.283	0.137	SS	$2,400	SS	$3,300
	Team Averages	—	0.315	0.158	—	$2,633	—	$3,467

Elite Plays – Chris Coghlan, Josh Reddick, Jed Lowrie, Stephen Vogt

Secondary Plays – Billy Burns, Khris Davis

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Detroit

Tigers Offense
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.347 (2 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.177 (3 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.39 (10 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.38 (8 of 30)

The Tigers have been one of the best hitting teams in baseball against left-handed pitching over the last few seasons. They have a number of right-handed bats that feast on southpaws. Rich Hill has been sharp this season, but the Tigers still have the eighth highest team total on the board tonight. Miguel Cabrera, Victor Martinez, and J.D. Martinez are all in play thanks to their cheap price tags.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Ian Kinsler	RIGHT	0.368	0.167	2B	$3,800	2B	$4,600
2	Justin Upton	RIGHT	0.256	0.099	OF	$2,800	OF	$3,300
3	Miguel Cabrera	RIGHT	0.408	0.198	1B	$3,400	1B	$4,500
4	Victor Martinez	SWITCH	0.382	0.146	C	$2,600	1B	$3,800
5	J.D. Martinez	RIGHT	0.395	0.276	OF	$3,200	OF	$3,800
6	Nick Castellanos	RIGHT	0.402	0.240	3B	$2,600	3B	$4,000
7	Jarrod Saltalamacchia	SWITCH	0.390	0.320	C	$2,900	C	$3,800
8	Anthony Gose	LEFT	0.252	0.071	OF	$2,200	OF	$2,600
9	Jose Iglesias	RIGHT	0.386	0.098	SS	$2,200	SS	$3,100
	Team Averages	—	0.360	0.179	—	$2,856	—	$3,722

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Miguel Cabrera, Victor Martinez, J.D. Martinez

Stackability – NONE

Baltimore at Tampa Bay – 7:10 PM

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Baltimore					Tampa Bay
			Ubaldo Jimenez					Jake Odorizzi
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			TB -128					7.5
SP vs. Left	0.318	14	23.0%	9.1%	SP vs. Left	0.267	5	25.4%	4.5%
SP vs. Right	0.329	8	20.4%	8.5%	SP vs. Right	0.334	15	17.6%	8.4%

Pitcher Grind Down

				Salary:$7,400		Salary:$8,500
Ubaldo Jimenez
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:34.0		FPPG:17.4
				Pitcher Rating:60.1		Pitcher Rank:14
Statistics	Starts	SIERA	K%	BB%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2016	3	3.45	27.0%	10.8%	53.3%	22	30
2015	32	3.93	21.2%	8.6%	49.1%	21	23

Jimenez has pitched well so far this season, posting a 3.45 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 27%. While I want to believe in him, I need to see better command before trusting him in cash games. He walked 8.6% of the batters that he faced in 2015 and that number is up to 10.8% this season. He does draw a favorable matchup against the Rays though, who are ranked dead last in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. Avoid him in cash games, but use Jimenez as a deep GPP flier tonight.

				Salary:$7,500		Salary:$8,300
Jake Odorizzi
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:26.8		FPPG:14.9
				Pitcher Rating:68.1		Pitcher Rank:10
Statistics	Starts	SIERA	K%	BB%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2016	4	3.35	24.2%	4.2%	36.8%	3	22
2015	28	3.90	21.4%	6.6%	37.3%	3	25

Odorizzi is off to a nice start this season, posting a 3.35 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 24.2%. He is always in play when he is pitching at home in Tropicana Field. His career ERA is two runs lower at home than it is on the road and his strikeout rate jumps up 3.5%. While the Orioles do have a lot of power in their lineup, they strikeout at one of the highest clips of any team in the majors. Dollar for dollar, Odorizzi is one of the top pitching options on the board tonight.

Batter Grind Down

Baltimore

Orioles Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.325 (3 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.186 (3 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.50 (9 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.58 (23 of 30)

The Orioles may be ranked third in both team wOBA and team ISO against right-handed pitching, but I’m not interested in their hitters tonight. They draw a very tough matchup against Jake Odorizzi, who has held hitters to a .266 wOBA at home in his career. With the eighth lowest team total on the board, the Orioles can be avoided in all league formats.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Joey Rickard	RIGHT	0.286	0.088	OF	$2,700	OF	$3,000
2	Manny Machado	RIGHT	0.400	0.252	3B	$4,700	3B/SS	$4,600
3	Adam Jones	RIGHT	0.336	0.204	OF	$2,800	OF	$3,400
4	Chris Davis	LEFT	0.414	0.353	1B	$4,300	1B	$4,000
5	Mark Trumbo	RIGHT	0.320	0.152	OF	$3,900	OF	$4,000
6	Matt Wieters	SWITCH	0.319	0.147	C	$2,500	C	$2,700
7	J.J. Hardy	RIGHT	0.270	0.122	SS	$2,800	SS	$2,800
8	Pedro Alvarez	LEFT	0.326	0.221	1B	$2,800	1B	$2,800
9	Jonathan Schoop	RIGHT	0.357	0.250	2B	$2,400	2B	$2,900
	Team Averages	—	0.336	0.199	—	$3,211	—	$3,356

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

Tampa Bay

Rays Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.307 (21 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.145 (19 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.53 (24 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.92 (18 of 30)

The Rays draw a mediocre matchup tonight against Ubaldo Jimenez, who comes into this game in good form. Jimenez has been hittable in the past though, allowing a .318+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. There are two Rays’ hitters on my radar from the Rays tonight, but they are best suited as GPP plays.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Logan Forsythe	RIGHT	0.329	0.114	2B	$3,700	2B	$3,700
2	Logan Morrison	LEFT	0.303	0.181	1B	$2,000	1B	$2,900
3	Evan Longoria	RIGHT	0.302	0.150	3B	$3,100	3B	$3,600
4	Corey Dickerson	LEFT	0.414	0.316	OF	$3,200	OF	$3,200
5	Desmond Jennings	RIGHT	0.293	0.084	OF	$2,600	OF	$3,400
6	Brad Miller	LEFT	0.327	0.171	SS	$2,000	SS	$2,900
7	Steve Souza	RIGHT	0.324	0.192	OF	$3,100	OF	$3,500
8	Kevin Kiermaier	LEFT	0.331	0.183	OF	$2,700	OF	$3,300
9	Curt Casali	RIGHT	0.337	0.304	C	$2,000	C	$2,700
	Team Averages	—	0.329	0.188	—	$2,711	—	$3,244

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Logan Forsythe, Corey Dickerson

Stackability – NONE

Boston at Atlanta – 7:10 PM

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Boston					Atlanta
			David Price					Matt Wisler
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			BOS -180					7.0
SP vs. Left	0.279	4	21.2%	3.4%	SP vs. Left	0.404	12	10.4%	11.8%
SP vs. Right	0.278	16	27.6%	6.0%	SP vs. Right	0.269	7	21.1%	3.9%

Pitcher Grind Down

				Salary:$9,400		Salary:$11,400
David Price
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:33.5		FPPG:16.7
				Pitcher Rating:86.7		Pitcher Rank:4
Statistics	Starts	SIERA	K%	BB%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2016	4	2.58	33.0%	6.2%	34.5%	29	19
2015	32	3.27	25.3%	5.3%	40.4%	29	11

Price has allowed 17 runs this season in his first four starts with the Red Sox. Boston fans are already clamoring that he was a waste of money, but give it some time. As I mentioned yesterday with Chris Archer, the sample size is too small to make any judgments. Plus, if you look at Price’s advanced statistics, he has actually pitched much better than his ERA would indicate. I fully expect Price to bounce back tonight against the Braves and his $9,400 price tag on FanDuel is awfully appealing.

				Salary:$5,900		Salary:$6,000
Matt Wisler
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:22.0		FPPG:12.9
				Pitcher Rating:35.4		Pitcher Rank:23
Statistics	Starts	SIERA	K%	BB%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2016	3	3.91	19.5%	4.9%	45.0%	5	13
2015	19	4.98	15.1%	8.4%	33.6%	8	3

Wisler pitched well against the Dodgers in his last start, but still doesn’t fit the mold of what we are looking for from a pitcher. His strikeout rate is well below 20% and he plays on a team that doesn’t provide run support. He is a huge underdog tonight against the Red Sox, who are one of the best offenses in baseball against right-handed pitching.

Batter Grind Down

Boston

Red Sox Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.319 (7 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.150 (13 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.79 (8 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.96 (17 of 30)

The Red Sox may be playing in a National League ballpark, but they are still an interesting team to target tonight. They draw a slightly favorable matchup against Matt Wisler, who has allowed a .404 wOBA and 12 home runs to left-handed hitters in his last 22 starts. David Ortiz is expected to sit out again tonight, as there is no designated hitter in the National League.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Mookie Betts	RIGHT	0.348	0.194	OF	$4,600	OF	$4,900
2	Dustin Pedroia	RIGHT	0.349	0.136	2B	$3,400	2B	$3,700
3	Xander Bogaerts	RIGHT	0.323	0.107	SS	$3,700	SS	$3,600
4	Hanley Ramirez	RIGHT	0.311	0.158	1B	$2,800	1B	$4,000
5	Travis Shaw	LEFT	0.347	0.175	3B	$2,900	3B	$3,400
6	Brock Holt	LEFT	0.317	0.109	OF	$2,900	OF	$3,400
7	Christian Vazquez	RIGHT	0.245	0.063	C	$2,000	C	$2,700
8	Jackie Bradley	LEFT	0.320	0.225	OF	$2,300	OF	$3,100
9	David Price	LEFT	0.000	0.000	P	$9,400	P	$11,400
	Team Averages	—	0.284	0.130	—	$3,075	—	$3,600

Elite Plays – Travis Shaw

Secondary Plays – Mookie Betts, Dustin Pedroia

Stackability – NONE

Atlanta

Braves Offense
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.284 (30 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.107 (30 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.21 (29 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.04 (26 of 30)

The Braves’ offense has some ugly trends converging for tonight’s game. They are the worst offense in baseball against left-handed pitching, they are ranked 29th in runs scored per game, and they have the fifth lowest team total on the board. Even though David Price has struggled in his first four starts of the season, the Braves’ offense can be avoided in all league formats.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Nick Markakis	LEFT	0.284	0.059	OF	$3,100	OF	$2,900
2	Daniel Castro	RIGHT	0.321	0.161	2B	$2,000	2B/SS	$2,100
3	Freddie Freeman	LEFT	0.305	0.087	1B	$2,700	1B	$3,200
4	Adonis Garcia	RIGHT	0.377	0.241	3B	$2,300	3B	$3,100
5	Tyler Flowers	RIGHT	0.326	0.088	C	$2,300	C	$2,200
6	Jeff Francoeur	RIGHT	0.291	0.107	OF	$2,000	OF	$2,000
7	Erick Aybar	SWITCH	0.237	0.046	SS	$2,000	SS	$2,200
8	Drew Stubbs	RIGHT	0.255	0.101	OF	$2,100	OF	$2,000
9	Matt Wisler	RIGHT	0.074	0.000	P	$5,900	P	$6,000
	Team Averages	—	0.274	0.099	—	$2,313	—	$2,463

MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, April 26th

Philadelphia at Washington – 7:05 PM

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Philadelphia

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

Washington

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Bryce Harper

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

Chicago White Sox at Toronto – 7:07 PM

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Chicago White Sox

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Jose Abreu, Todd Frazier

Secondary Plays – Adam Eaton, Melky Cabrera

Stackability – GPP

Toronto

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Josh Donaldson

Stackability – NONE

Oakland at Detroit – 7:08 PM

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Oakland

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Chris Coghlan, Josh Reddick, Jed Lowrie, Stephen Vogt

Secondary Plays – Billy Burns, Khris Davis

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Detroit

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Miguel Cabrera, Victor Martinez, J.D. Martinez

Stackability – NONE

Baltimore at Tampa Bay – 7:10 PM

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Baltimore

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

Tampa Bay

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Logan Forsythe, Corey Dickerson

Stackability – NONE

Boston at Atlanta – 7:10 PM

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Boston

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Travis Shaw

Secondary Plays – Mookie Betts, Dustin Pedroia

Stackability – NONE

Atlanta

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

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