MLB Grind Down: Monday, May 30th

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2016-05-31 02:46:38

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code and FanDuel promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.

Chicago White Sox at NY Mets – 1:10 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Chicago White Sox					NY Mets
			Jose Quintana					Matt Harvey
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			CWS -125					7.0
SP vs. Left	0.268	5	21.8%	3.8%	SP vs. Left	0.327	19	23.1%	7.6%
SP vs. Right	0.309	12	21.1%	5.4%	SP vs. Right	0.263	7	23.3%	3.2%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Jose Quintana
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$9,300	Salary:		$11,700
					FPPG:		38.7	FPPG:		21.3
					Pitcher Rating:		89.4	Pitcher Rank:		2
L14 Days	3	102.3	3.41	4.19	22.8%	3.8%	8.8%	43.6%	36.4%	33.9%
2016	10	100.9	3.41	2.22	23.6%	4.7%	8.7%	41.3%	34.6%	32.8%
2015	32	105.4	3.62	3.36	20.5%	5.1%	9.2%	47.1%	29.7%	27.7%

Quintana is having a career year thus far, posting a 3.41 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 23.6% in his first ten starts. He is always a pitcher with great command, as evidenced by his elite walk rate. He draws a favorable matchup today against the Mets, who have had their struggles with left-handed pitching. On the season, they are ranked 20th in team wOBA and 29th in strikeout rate against southpaws. Quintana sees a boost both in this ballpark and because they are playing under National League rules. He is a viable option in all league formats.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Matt Harvey
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$7,200	Salary:		$6,200
					FPPG:		22.0	FPPG:		9.3
					Pitcher Rating:		86.0	Pitcher Rank:		5
L14 Days	3	82.0	4.81	10.80	12.9%	5.7%	8.5%	38.2%	30.9%	33.3%
2016	10	91.5	4.33	6.08	18.0%	7.0%	10.2%	38.9%	33.7%	30.8%
2015	29	96.5	3.23	2.71	24.9%	4.9%	11.6%	46.0%	36.1%	26.7%

Poor Matt Harvey. He has really struggled to get anything going this season and when he has gotten hit, he has gotten hit hard. In his first ten starts, he has a 4.33 SIERA (6.08 ERA) with a strikeout rate of only 18%. While there are certainly concerns, I expect some positive regression moving forward. His BABIP of .374 is not sustainable (his career BABIP is .288). Even though it’s been ugly, he deserves consideration in GPPs at this price point. The White Sox have not hit right-handed pitching well this season, ranking 22nd in team wOBA and 23rd in team ISO.

Batter Grind Down

Chicago White Sox

Do we know which Matt Harvey is going to show up in this game? Of course not, but as I mentioned above, his struggles will not last forever. The White Sox do not hit right-handed pitching well and they have the sixth lowest team total on the board. Harvey has allowed a .341+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters this season, but this is still a pitcher’s ballpark. I see the White Sox hitters as GPP plays.

White Sox Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.306 (22 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.140 (23 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 20.3% (14 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.16 (17 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.65 (25 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Adam Eaton	LEFT	0.353	0.166	0.270	OF	$3,300	OF	$4,200
2	Austin Jackson	RIGHT	0.299	0.104	0.342	OF	$3,100	OF	$2,900
3	Todd Frazier	RIGHT	0.335	0.221	0.368	3B	$3,900	3B	$4,100
4	Melky Cabrera	SWITCH	0.325	0.126	0.334	OF	$3,300	OF	$3,200
5	Jose Abreu	RIGHT	0.366	0.218	0.266	1B	$3,200	1B	$3,800
6	Brett Lawrie	RIGHT	0.298	0.141	0.254	2B	$2,600	2B	$3,000
7	Dioner Navarro	SWITCH	0.269	0.105	0.344	C	$2,800	C	$2,700
8	Tyler Saladino	RIGHT	0.265	0.106	0.331	SS	$2,600	SS	$3,000
9	Jose Quintana	LEFT	0.000	0.000		P	$9,300	P	$11,700
	Team Averages	—	0.279	0.132	0.314	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Adam Eaton, Austin Jackson, Todd Frazier, Jose Abreu

Stackability – NONE

NY Mets

The Mets are small underdogs today and since the White Sox have one of the lowest team totals on the board, you know what that means. New York has the third lowest run projection of the 30 teams in action. Jose Quintana has been an elite pitcher over the last two seasons and he has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .305 wOBA.

Mets Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.303 (20 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.155 (13 of 30)
Team K% vs. LHP — 27.2% (29 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.86 (26 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.35 (28 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Curtis Granderson	LEFT	0.256	0.125	0.335	OF	$3,100	OF	$2,700
2	Asdrubal Cabrera	SWITCH	0.314	0.126	0.295	SS	$3,300	SS	$2,700
3	Yoenis Cespedes	RIGHT	0.367	0.262	0.433	OF	$4,000	OF	$4,100
4	Neil Walker	SWITCH	0.300	0.142	0.334	2B	$3,000	2B	$2,700
5	Juan Lagares	RIGHT	0.342	0.156	0.514	OF	$2,500	OF	$2,700
6	Wilmer Flores	RIGHT	0.375	0.256		SS	$2,300	2B/3B	$3,300
7	Kevin Plawecki	RIGHT	0.215	0.132	0.157	C	$2,100	C	$2,000
8	Eric Campbell	RIGHT	0.266	0.088	0.245	3B	$2,000	1B/3B	$2,700
9	Matt Harvey	RIGHT	0.212	0.167	0.000	P	$7,200	P	$6,200
	Team Averages	—	0.294	0.162	0.289	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Yoenis Cespedes

Stackability – NONE

San Francisco at Atlanta – 1:10 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
San Francisco					Atlanta
			Jeff Samardzija					Mike Foltynewicz
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			SF -185					7.5
SP vs. Left	0.344	23	18.4%	6.3%	SP vs. Left	0.412	12	17.3%	6.3%
SP vs. Right	0.289	11	19.4%	4.7%	SP vs. Right	0.347	10	21.6%	7.2%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Jeff Samardzija
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$10,700	Salary:		$12,200
					FPPG:		42.3	FPPG:		22.7
					Pitcher Rating:		89.3	Pitcher Rank:		3
L14 Days	3	107.3	3.61	1.19	21.4%	3.6%	9.6%	38.7%	38.7%	44.4%
2016	10	107.5	3.57	2.54	22.3%	5.8%	10.3%	46.7%	31.7%	28.5%
2015	32	104.3	4.18	4.96	17.9%	5.4%	9.8%	39.0%	39.8%	27.0%

Samardzija is having his best season since 2011. This was somewhat expected, as he came over from the American League and he is pitching for a team that is known to get the most out of their starting rotation. Through his first ten starts, he has a 3.57 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 22.3%. His swinging strike rate and his ground ball rate are up, both of which are good for his fantasy appeal. He draws one of the top matchups on the board, as the Braves are ranked 28th in team wOBA and 30th in team ISO against right-handed pitching this season.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Mike Foltynewicz
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$6,400	Salary:		$6,900
					FPPG:		26.0	FPPG:		13.3
					Pitcher Rating:		50.5	Pitcher Rank:		20
L14 Days	3	95.0	4.13	3.24	17.4%	5.8%	9.1%	44.0%	28.0%	28.9%
2016	5	96.8	3.82	3.95	20.7%	5.2%	8.5%	39.8%	36.1%	31.8%
2015	15	98.7	4.30	5.71	19.3%	7.3%	8.9%	33.3%	43.5%	32.5%

If I ever decide to change my last name, I would give Foltynewicz a hard look. Derek Foltynewicz sounds pretty nice, right? Mike Foltynewicz will draw the start for the Braves today. In his first five starts of the season, he has a 3.82 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 20.7%. He has all the weapons to be a successful starter at this level (he hit 100 MPH in his last start), he just hasn’t been able to put it altogether yet. As a large underdog at home against the Giants, Foltynewicz can be avoided for now.

Batter Grind Down

San Francisco

The Giants haven’t been great against right-handed pitching this season, but I expect them to turn that around. They have a number of quality left-handed hitters in their lineup. Even though they are playing in one of the best pitcher’s parks in baseball, they draw a decent matchup against Mike Foltynewicz. Over the last two seasons, he has allowed a .412 wOBA to left-handed hitters.

Giants Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.314 (16 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.140 (23 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 15.7% (2 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.44 (12 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.24 (15 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Denard Span	LEFT	0.361	0.124	0.229	OF	$3,200	OF	$3,700
2	Joe Panik	LEFT	0.357	0.165	0.271	2B	$3,100	2B	$3,800
3	Matt Duffy	RIGHT	0.332	0.140	0.267	3B	$2,900	3B	$3,700
4	Buster Posey	RIGHT	0.353	0.155	0.366	C	$3,800	C	$4,400
5	Hunter Pence	RIGHT	0.372	0.190	0.351	OF	$3,600	OF	$4,500
6	Brandon Belt	LEFT	0.362	0.190	0.283	1B	$3,700	1B	$3,800
7	Brandon Crawford	LEFT	0.340	0.220	0.349	SS	$3,100	SS	$3,900
8	Gregor Blanco	LEFT	0.327	0.118	0.321	OF	$2,700	OF	$3,300
9	Jeff Samardzija	RIGHT	0.207	0.087	0.172	P	$10,700	P	$12,200
	Team Averages	—	0.335	0.154	0.290	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Brandon Crawford

Secondary Plays – Denard Span, Joe Panik, Buster Posey, Brandon Belt

Stackability – NONE

Atlanta

The Braves have very little going for them at the moment. They have the worst record in the majors and they currently average the fewest runs scored per game. They come into today’s game, with get this – the lowest team total on the board. Jeff Samardzija has really pitched well this season and at this point, there is no reason to actively target the Braves’ hitters in your lineups.

Braves Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.284 (28 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.090 (30 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 19.6% (11 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.18 (30 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.26 (30 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Ender Inciarte	LEFT	0.346	0.114	0.308	OF	$3,100	OF	$3,000
2	Gordon Beckham	RIGHT	0.308	0.141	0.426	2B	$3,000	2B/3B	$2,200
3	Freddie Freeman	LEFT	0.370	0.217	0.263	1B	$3,000	1B	$3,300
4	Jeff Francoeur	RIGHT	0.312	0.189	0.443	OF	$2,700	OF	$2,300
5	Nick Markakis	LEFT	0.341	0.094	0.270	OF	$3,100	OF	$3,000
6	A.J. Pierzynski	LEFT	0.325	0.130	0.151	C	$2,200	C	$2,400
7	Adonis Garcia	RIGHT	0.296	0.136	0.000	3B	$2,000	3B/OF	$2,100
8	Chase d’Arnaud	RIGHT	0.410	0.040	0.459	2B	$2,500	2B/3B	$3,300
9	Mike Foltynewicz	RIGHT	0.071	0.034	0.000	P	$6,400	P	$6,900
	Team Averages	—	0.309	0.122	0.258	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

Boston at Baltimore – 1:35 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Boston					Baltimore
			Steven Wright					Tyler Wilson
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			BAL -105					9.0
SP vs. Left	0.281	6	17.0%	9.5%	SP vs. Left	0.311	2	7.1%	8.2%
SP vs. Right	0.298	9	20.8%	7.9%	SP vs. Right	0.300	5	15.3%	4.2%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Steven Wright
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$9,200	Salary:		$8,300
					FPPG:		37.9	FPPG:		21.1
					Pitcher Rating:		54.0	Pitcher Rank:		19
L14 Days	3	103.7	4.02	4.66	19.5%	6.1%	11.3%	41.7%	33.3%	27.9%
2016	9	108.1	4.04	2.52	22.0%	8.5%	11.5%	41.6%	35.5%	26.8%
2015	9	130.9	4.60	4.09	16.8%	8.7%	9.3%	43.2%	43.2%	33.9%

Wright’s numbers aren’t going to leap off the page at you, but he is one of the few starters in baseball that has averaged at least 108 pitches per start this season. He also has a high strikeout rate and a great offense behind him, which gives him nice upside every time he takes the mound. The knuckleballer makes an interesting GPP play against the Orioles, who are ranked 23rd in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Tyler Wilson
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$7,200	Salary:		$5,300
					FPPG:		18.2	FPPG:		9.2
					Pitcher Rating:		34.0	Pitcher Rank:		27
L14 Days	2	90.5	4.70	6.00	13.5%	5.8%	5.5%	47.5%	37.5%	33.3%
2016	6	109.0	4.66	3.80	12.4%	5.7%	5.7%	47.2%	33.1%	29.2%
2015	5	104.0	5.08	3.50	8.7%	7.4%	5.2%	52.0%	30.1%	31.5%

Wilson is making his seventh start of the season. While he has a 3.80 ERA, the rest of his pitching statistics are mediocre at best. In his first six starts, he has a 4.66 SIERA with a very low strikeout rate of 12.4%. Even though the Red Sox offense hasn’t been as good on the road as they have been in Fenway Park, there is no reason for Wilson to be on your radar in what should be one of the highest scoring games on the schedule.

Batter Grind Down

Boston

The Red Sox are ranked first in both runs scored per game and in team wOBA against right-handed pitching. They draw a favorable matchup against Tyler Wilson, who doesn’t generate many outs by the way of the strikeout. Hitters from both sides of the plate are in play here, as Boston has the eighth highest team total on the board. And, as strange as this sounds, the Red Sox will get overlooked today.

Red Sox Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.361 (1 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.190 (3 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 18.9% (8 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 5.90 (1 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.47 (8 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Mookie Betts	RIGHT	0.349	0.191	0.404	OF	$4,300	OF	$5,400
2	Dustin Pedroia	RIGHT	0.356	0.156	0.401	2B	$4,000	2B	$4,800
3	Xander Bogaerts	RIGHT	0.336	0.114	0.453	SS	$4,700	SS	$5,300
4	David Ortiz	LEFT	0.433	0.348	0.514	1B	$4,800	1B	$5,500
5	Hanley Ramirez	RIGHT	0.316	0.143	0.317	1B	$3,900	1B	$4,500
6	Jackie Bradley	LEFT	0.372	0.265	0.437	OF	$4,400	OF	$4,700
7	Travis Shaw	LEFT	0.364	0.207	0.282	3B	$3,900	1B/3B	$4,500
8	Christian Vazquez	RIGHT	0.242	0.100	0.213	C	$2,400	C	$3,300
9	Blake Swihart	SWITCH	0.314	0.132	0.278	C	$2,400	C/OF	$3,600
	Team Averages	—	0.342	0.184	0.367	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Mookie Betts, David Ortiz

Secondary Plays – Dustin Pedroia, Xander Bogaerts, Jackie Bradley

Stackability – GPP

Baltimore

The Orioles are technically favorites today, but this game is basically a pick ‘em. They come in with the seventh highest team total on the board and they are playing in the hitter-friendly Camden Yards. If you look at his splits, you probably won’t want to target hitters against Steven Wright, as he has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .300 wOBA. However, with such a high team total I may look to the Orioles’ hitters in GPPs.

Orioles Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.338 (5 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.185 (5 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 23.3% (23 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.46 (11 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.53 (7 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Adam Jones	RIGHT	0.334	0.198	0.203	OF	$2,900	OF	$3,300
2	Hyun Soo Kim	LEFT	0.405	0.068	0.406	OF	$2,400	OF	$3,200
3	Manny Machado	RIGHT	0.396	0.257	0.413	SS	$4,300	3B/SS	$4,900
4	Chris Davis	LEFT	0.397	0.322	0.264	1B	$3,800	1B	$4,000
5	Mark Trumbo	RIGHT	0.337	0.185	0.341	OF	$3,700	OF	$4,100
6	Matt Wieters	SWITCH	0.339	0.167	0.497	C	$3,300	C	$3,400
7	Jonathan Schoop	RIGHT	0.359	0.240	0.312	2B	$3,300	2B	$3,500
8	Pedro Alvarez	LEFT	0.330	0.227	0.227	3B	$2,800	1B	$3,000
9	Joey Rickard	RIGHT	0.269	0.076	0.257	OF	$2,700	OF	$3,000
	Team Averages	—	0.352	0.193	0.324	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Adam Jones, Hyun Soo Kim, Manny Machado, Chris Davis, Mark Trumbo

Stackability – GPP

St. Louis at Milwaukee – 2:10 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
St. Louis					Milwaukee
			Carlos Martinez					Junior Guerra
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			STL -120					8.5
SP vs. Left	0.334	14	20.8%	10.6%	SP vs. Left	0.306	1	24.2%	14.5%
SP vs. Right	0.263	4	25.5%	6.4%	SP vs. Right	0.292	2	24.0%	5.3%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Carlos Martinez
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$8,900	Salary:		$7,400
					FPPG:		25.8	FPPG:		12.8
					Pitcher Rating:		84.8	Pitcher Rank:		7
L14 Days	3	91.3	4.57	8.40	16.9%	12.7%	6.6%	63.0%	17.4%	27.7%
2016	9	89.2	4.21	4.25	19.0%	9.1%	8.1%	53.9%	29.6%	30.3%
2015	29	98.1	3.44	3.01	24.4%	8.3%	10.5%	54.5%	25.5%	27.6%

Martinez is off to a rocky start this season, posting a 4.21 SIERA with a strikeout rate 19%. His numbers are basically down across the board, but the most glaring could be his swinging strike rate of only 8.1%. At this point, it’s hard to trust him in anything other than a GPP. He draws a favorable matchup today against the Brewers, but he has to face them in the hitter-friendly Miller Park. Even though pitching options are scarce today, Martinez isn’t a pitcher that I will have a lot of exposure to.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Junior Guerra
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$7,000	Salary:		$7,300
					FPPG:		36.6	FPPG:		19.4
					Pitcher Rating:		62.4	Pitcher Rank:		14
L14 Days	3	93.3	3.78	1.50	29.2%	12.5%	13.6%	42.9%	42.9%	33.3%
2016	5	89.2	3.93	3.30	25.2%	10.1%	12.8%	36.0%	42.7%	32.5%
2015	0	0	3.28	6.75	16.7%	5.6%	10.6%	57.1%	21.4%	21.4%

Guerra is one of the best stories of the season. He spent the most of his career as a catcher, then he moved over to being a pitcher, and now he is a 31 year old rookie that is making a name for himself. In his first five starts, he has a 3.93 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 25.2%. The issue for Guerra today is his matchup against the Cardinals. On the season, St. Louis is ranked second in team wOBA and first in team ISO against right-handed pitching.

Batter Grind Down

St. Louis

The Cardinals may not draw the most favorable matchup on the board, but they get to face a somewhat inexperienced pitcher in the hitter-friendly Miller Park. St. Louis has the tenth highest team total on the board and with a game in Coors Field, they should get overlooked in both cash games and tournaments.

Cardinals Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.351 (2 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.207 (1 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 19.6% (11 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 5.41 (3 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.37 (10 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Greg Garcia	LEFT	0.398	0.205	0.801	2B	$2,900	2B/SS	$3,000
2	Aledmys Diaz	RIGHT	0.400	0.261	0.217	SS	$2,900	SS	$3,900
3	Matt Holliday	RIGHT	0.353	0.181	0.249	OF	$2,900	OF	$4,100
4	Stephen Piscotty	RIGHT	0.350	0.169	0.419	OF	$3,800	OF	$5,100
5	Brandon Moss	LEFT	0.319	0.221	0.307	1B	$2,900	1B/OF	$3,800
6	Yadier Molina	RIGHT	0.312	0.098	0.200	C	$2,700	C	$3,500
7	Randal Grichuk	RIGHT	0.369	0.274	0.399	OF	$3,400	OF	$4,300
8	Kolten Wong	LEFT	0.323	0.136	0.269	2B	$2,200	2B	$3,700
9	Carlos Martinez	RIGHT	0.227	0.038	0.294	P	$8,900	P	$7,400
	Team Averages	—	0.339	0.176	0.351	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Greg Garcia, Aledmys Diaz, Matt Holliday, Stephen Piscotty, Brandon Moss

Stackability – GPP

Milwaukee

The Brewers have been a mediocre offense against right-handed pitching this season, ranking 13th in team wOBA and 17th in team ISO. Carlos Martinez has dominated right-handed hitters in his career, but he has allowed a .334 wOBA and 14 home runs to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons.

Brewers Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.317 (13 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.156 (17 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 27.1% (30 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.30 (14 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.13 (19 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Jonathan Villar	SWITCH	0.323	0.083	0.376	SS	$3,900	SS	$4,900
2	Scooter Gennett	LEFT	0.305	0.133	0.216	2B	$2,800	2B	$3,800
3	Jonathan Lucroy	RIGHT	0.349	0.170	0.332	C	$3,400	C	$4,400
4	Chris Carter	RIGHT	0.328	0.266	0.302	1B	$3,000	1B	$3,800
5	Kirk Nieuwenhuis	LEFT	0.305	0.165	0.225	OF	$2,400	OF	$3,400
6	Aaron Hill	RIGHT	0.316	0.147	0.495	3B	$2,700	2B/3B	$3,700
7	Alex Presley	LEFT	0.272	0.132	0.170	OF	$2,200	OF	$2,000
8	Keon Broxton	RIGHT	0.155	0.000	0.258	OF	$2,200	OF	$3,400
9	Junior Guerra	RIGHT	0.000	0.000	0.000	P	$7,000	P	$7,300
	Team Averages	—	0.261	0.122	0.264	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Jonathan Villar, Scooter Gennett, Kirk Nieuwenhuis

Stackability – NONE

LA Dodgers at Chicago Cubs – 2:20 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
LA Dodgers					Chicago Cubs
			Alex Wood					Jason Hammel
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			CHC -140					7.0
SP vs. Left	0.263	2	21.5%	5.1%	SP vs. Left	0.313	8	23.0%	9.7%
SP vs. Right	0.327	18	18.3%	8.1%	SP vs. Right	0.291	18	24.1%	4.0%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Alex Wood
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$8,700	Salary:		$7,200
					FPPG:		26.2	FPPG:		14.3
					Pitcher Rating:		65.3	Pitcher Rank:		13
L14 Days	2	92.0	1.86	2.25	39.1%	4.4%	13.6%	45.8%	33.3%	37.5%
2016	9	93.1	3.30	4.03	25.2%	7.3%	9.8%	54.3%	26.8%	31.5%
2015	32	90.9	4.17	3.84	17.4%	7.4%	8.2%	49.5%	27.5%	27.9%

After a slow start to the season, Wood has picked things up, especially in his last two starts. He now owns a 3.30 SIERA with a strikeout rate over 25%. That doesn’t sound like the Alex Wood that we have gotten used to over the years. While the wind is not blowing out in Wrigley Field, I’m still not a big fan of targeting pitchers against the Cubs. In addition to averaging the second most runs per game, Chicago is ranked fourth in team wOBA against left-handed pitching this season.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Jason Hammel
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$9,300	Salary:		$9,700
					FPPG:		30.5	FPPG:		15.9
					Pitcher Rating:		94.1	Pitcher Rank:		1
L14 Days	3	99.3	3.82	2.70	23.8%	8.8%	12.8%	47.2%	35.8%	33.3%
2016	9	93.4	4.20	2.17	21.6%	9.6%	10.3%	45.1%	36.1%	29.1%
2015	31	88.7	3.45	3.74	24.2%	5.6%	10.9%	38.3%	37.2%	32.9%

Hammel is a sizable underdog at home in a game that features a low run total. That doesn’t sound too bad. In his first nine starts of the season, he has a 4.20 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 21.6%. He draws a sneaky favorable matchup against the Dodgers, who are ranked 22nd in team wOBA and 26th in team ISO against right-handed pitching this season. With very few reliable options available today, Hammel may be the safest cash game target on the board.

Batter Grind Down

LA Dodgers

The Dodgers have surprisingly struggled against right-handed pitching this season. They come into today’s game with the second lowest team total on the board. They draw a difficult matchup against Jason Hammel, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .315 wOBA over the last two seasons.

Dodgers Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.306 (22 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.138 (26 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 20.6% (18 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.39 (13 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.27 (29 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Chase Utley	LEFT	0.324	0.156	0.359	2B	$3,600	2B	$4,000
2	Corey Seager	LEFT	0.360	0.190	0.331	SS	$3,900	SS	$3,700
3	Justin Turner	RIGHT	0.353	0.173	0.324	3B	$2,800	3B	$2,900
4	Adrian Gonzalez	LEFT	0.358	0.209	0.359	1B	$3,200	1B	$3,700
5	Trayce Thompson	RIGHT	0.359	0.209	0.391	OF	$2,800	OF	$2,900
6	Joc Pederson	LEFT	0.352	0.222	0.327	OF	$3,300	OF	$3,800
7	Howie Kendrick	RIGHT	0.313	0.115	0.387	2B	$3,200	2B/OF	$3,400
8	Yasmani Grandal	SWITCH	0.321	0.180	0.191	C	$2,700	C	$2,800
9	Alex Wood	LEFT	0.210	0.018	0.220	P	$8,700	P	$7,200
	Team Averages	—	0.328	0.164	0.321	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Corey Seager, Adrian Gonzalez

Stackability – NONE

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs have one of the best offenses in baseball. While the wind is not blowing out like it has the last few days at Wrigley, you can still look to a few hitters in their lineup today against Alex Wood. Over the last two seasons, he has allowed a .327 wOBA and 18 home runs to right-handed hitters.

Cubs Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.346 (4 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.166 (9 of 30)
Team K% vs. LHP — 19.2% (5 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 5.69 (2 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.73 (24 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Dexter Fowler	SWITCH	0.369	0.148	0.394	OF	$4,400	OF	$5,000
2	Ben Zobrist	SWITCH	0.407	0.195	0.474	2B	$4,300	2B	$4,800
3	Kris Bryant	RIGHT	0.345	0.226	0.408	3B	$4,500	3B/OF	$4,700
4	Jorge Soler	RIGHT	0.304	0.114	0.481	OF	$2,700	OF	$3,800
5	Matt Szczur	RIGHT	0.338	0.245	0.423	OF	$2,200	OF	$3,100
6	Addison Russell	RIGHT	0.256	0.149	0.211	SS	$3,300	SS	$3,200
7	Javier Baez	RIGHT	0.436	0.143	0.152	SS	$2,300	3B/SS	$2,900
8	David Ross	RIGHT	0.296	0.136	0.369	C	$2,700	C	$2,500
9	Jason Hammel	RIGHT	0.176	0.000	0.356	P	$9,300	P	$9,700
	Team Averages	—	0.325	0.151	0.363	—	—	—	—

MLB Grind Down: Monday, May 30th

Chicago White Sox at NY Mets – 1:10 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Chicago White Sox

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Adam Eaton, Austin Jackson, Todd Frazier, Jose Abreu

Stackability – NONE

NY Mets

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Yoenis Cespedes

Stackability – NONE

San Francisco at Atlanta – 1:10 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

San Francisco

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Brandon Crawford

Secondary Plays – Denard Span, Joe Panik, Buster Posey, Brandon Belt

Stackability – NONE

Atlanta

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

Boston at Baltimore – 1:35 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Boston

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Mookie Betts, David Ortiz

Secondary Plays – Dustin Pedroia, Xander Bogaerts, Jackie Bradley

Stackability – GPP

Baltimore

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Adam Jones, Hyun Soo Kim, Manny Machado, Chris Davis, Mark Trumbo

Stackability – GPP

St. Louis at Milwaukee – 2:10 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

St. Louis

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Greg Garcia, Aledmys Diaz, Matt Holliday, Stephen Piscotty, Brandon Moss

Stackability – GPP

Milwaukee

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Jonathan Villar, Scooter Gennett, Kirk Nieuwenhuis

Stackability – NONE

LA Dodgers at Chicago Cubs – 2:20 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

LA Dodgers

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Corey Seager, Adrian Gonzalez

Stackability – NONE

Chicago Cubs

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Dexter Fowler, Ben Zobrist, Kris Bryant, Matt Szczur

Stackability – NONE

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