MLB Grind Down: Wednesday, June 1st

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2016-06-02 04:10:06

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code and FanDuel promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.

Chicago White Sox at NY Mets – 1:10 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Chicago White Sox					NY Mets
			Miguel Gonzalez					Jacob deGrom
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			NYM -190					7.0
SP vs. Left	0.359	16	17.6%	8.0%	SP vs. Left	0.291	14	24.7%	5.2%
SP vs. Right	0.331	12	17.9%	8.3%	SP vs. Right	0.222	5	26.4%	5.8%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Miguel Gonzalez
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$6,900	Salary:		$7,300
					FPPG:		22.8	FPPG:		11.2
					Pitcher Rating:		52.9	Pitcher Rank:		22
L14 Days	2	93.5	2.71	3.65	25.5%	0.0%	7.5%	44.4%	27.8%	27.0%
2016	5	92.6	4.33	4.50	18.9%	7.9%	10.6%	45.6%	35.6%	26.4%
2015	26	93.8	4.51	4.91	17.5%	8.2%	8.9%	40.3%	35.8%	28.6%

Gonzalez is coming off of back-to-back quality starts, but that doesn’t mean that we need to target him in DFS anytime soon. His numbers over the last two seasons are well below the league average for a right-handed pitcher. He has close to a 4.50 SIERA with a strikeout rate around 18% during that stretch. He has always struggled with giving too many home runs, as evidenced by his 28 home runs allowed since the start of last season. Even though the Mets’ lineup is missing some pieces, Gonzalez is too risky to use in DFS right now.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Jacob deGrom
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$10,100	Salary:		$9,900
					FPPG:		30.8	FPPG:		16.2
					Pitcher Rating:		96.1	Pitcher Rank:		2
L14 Days	2	100.0	3.94	3.75	28.0%	12.0%	13.0%	25.9%	40.7%	37.9%
2016	8	93.5	4.22	2.81	18.8%	7.1%	11.4%	44.6%	32.4%	35.2%
2015	30	99.2	2.99	2.54	27.3%	5.1%	12.7%	44.4%	34.7%	26.3%

DeGrom grades out as the best pitching option in the early slate and the second best pitching option overall (behind Max Scherzer). He hasn’t had a great start to the season, but he seems to be slowly turning it around. The velocity is almost back up to where it was last season and his swinging strike rate is back in that elite territory. His command has been a bit off, but we can live with that given his massive strikeout upside. He draws an excellent matchup against the White Sox, who are ranked 24th in team wOBA and 25th in team ISO against right-handed pitching this season.

Batter Grind Down

Chicago White Sox

The White Sox have not fared well against right-handed pitching this season. It should come as no surprise that they have the lowest team total on the board tonight. Jacob deGrom hasn’t been in great form, but he is still a difficult matchup, especially when he is pitching at home in Citi Field. I am going to pull a complete fade of the White Sox, as deGrom has been tough on both left and right-handed hitters.

White Sox Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.301 (24 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.134 (25 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 20.6% (14 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.16 (17 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 2.98 (30 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Adam Eaton	LEFT	0.354	0.164	0.273	OF	$3,200	OF	$3,600
2	Jose Abreu	RIGHT	0.364	0.215	0.267	1B	$2,900	1B	$3,200
3	Todd Frazier	RIGHT	0.332	0.219	0.307	3B	$3,500	3B	$3,500
4	Melky Cabrera	SWITCH	0.323	0.125	0.270	OF	$2,900	OF	$2,700
5	Brett Lawrie	RIGHT	0.296	0.139	0.243	2B	$2,400	2B	$2,600
6	J.B. Shuck	LEFT	0.290	0.076	0.294	OF	$2,000	OF	$2,500
7	Tyler Saladino	RIGHT	0.269	0.109	0.339	SS	$2,700	SS	$2,700
8	Alex Avila	LEFT	0.301	0.093	0.239	C	$2,200	C	$2,500
9	Miguel Gonzalez	RIGHT	0.000	0.000		P	$6,900	P	$7,300
	Team Averages	—	0.281	0.127	0.279	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

NY Mets

The Mets may not have a high team total, but this is a very exploitable matchup. Miguel Gonzalez has a high fly-ball rate, which has turned into a high home run rate. Over the last two seasons, he has given up 28 home runs – 16 to left-handed hitters and 12 to right-handed hitters. The first four batters in this lineup are all strong plays today, as they each have at least a .330 wOBA over the last 14 days.

Mets Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.318 (13 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.192 (2 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 23.5% (25 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.86 (26 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.02 (20 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Curtis Granderson	LEFT	0.372	0.225	0.365	OF	$3,300	OF	$4,000
2	Asdrubal Cabrera	SWITCH	0.321	0.160	0.331	SS	$3,500	SS	$3,300
3	Michael Conforto	LEFT	0.394	0.282	0.361	OF	$3,300	OF	$3,800
4	Neil Walker	SWITCH	0.336	0.179	0.373	2B	$3,200	2B	$4,000
5	James Loney	LEFT	0.308	0.076		1B	$2,000
6	Juan Lagares	RIGHT	0.263	0.085	0.327	OF	$2,400	OF	$2,500
7	Ty Kelly	SWITCH	0.098	0.000	0.131	1B	$2,200	3B/OF	$2,000
8	Rene Rivera	RIGHT	0.222	0.117	0.153	C	$2,100	C	$2,300
9	Jacob deGrom	RIGHT	0.194	0.016	0.000	P	$10,100	P	$9,900
	Team Averages	—	0.279	0.127	0.255	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Curtis Granderson, Michael Conforto, Neil Walker

Secondary Plays – Asdrubal Cabrera

Stackability – GPP

St. Louis at Milwaukee – 1:40 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
St. Louis					Milwaukee
			Jaime Garcia					Zach Davies
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			STL -150					9.0
SP vs. Left	0.268	2	21.6%	3.6%	SP vs. Left	0.340	5	17.3%	11.5%
SP vs. Right	0.258	7	19.6%	7.6%	SP vs. Right	0.323	4	15.9%	7.7%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Jaime Garcia
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$8,500	Salary:		$8,400
					FPPG:		32.3	FPPG:		17.5
					Pitcher Rating:		74.8	Pitcher Rank:		6
L14 Days	3	76.3	4.53	6.28	10.1%	8.7%	4.8%	63.0%	16.7%	34.6%
2016	10	89.0	3.48	3.47	22.2%	8.5%	9.7%	60.9%	19.5%	24.7%
2015	20	92.9	3.39	2.43	19.0%	5.9%	9.2%	61.2%	22.3%	27.1%

If you don’t trust Jacob deGrom and want to fade him in the early slate, Garcia is your next best option. He comes into the game in bad form, but overall he has had a very nice season. Through ten starts, he is sporting a 3.48 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 22.2%. He draws a decent matchup against the Brewers, who are ranked between 13th and 20th in team wOBA, team ISO, and team K% against southpaws this season. The main concern here is the ballpark. DeGrom gets to pitch in Citi Field while Garcia has to pitch in Miller Park.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Zach Davies
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$6,000	Salary:		$6,100
					FPPG:		20.1	FPPG:		8.9
					Pitcher Rating:		36.5	Pitcher Rank:		27
L14 Days	2	82.5	3.68	4.91	20.0%	4.4%	7.3%	52.9%	35.3%	41.2%
2016	8	87.5	4.63	5.40	15.9%	8.2%	7.3%	46.6%	30.1%	39.7%
2015	6	89.8	4.34	3.71	17.3%	10.8%	10.0%	57.6%	21.2%	32.0%

Davies has shown better strikeout potential in his last few starts, but he is still an easy pitcher to avoid in DFS. In his last 14 major league starts (dating back to last season), he has a SIERA close to 4.50 with a strikeout rate just under 17%. He hasn’t been particularly effective against hitters from either side of the plate and he has to face a red-hot Cardinals’ offense that put up ten runs in this same ballpark last night.

Batter Grind Down

St. Louis

When you think of teams that have power, the Cardinals don’t immediately come to mind. However, they are ranked second in team wOBA and first in team ISO against right-handed pitching this season. They are the top offense to target in the early slate, as they draw a favorable matchup against Zach Davies in the hitter-friendly Miller Park. Over his last 14 starts, Davies has allowed a .340 wOBA to left-handed hitters and a .323 wOBA to right-handed hitters.

Cardinals Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.349 (2 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.203 (1 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 19.9% (13 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 5.41 (3 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.79 (5 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Matt Carpenter	LEFT	0.393	0.257	0.337	3B	$3,700	3B	$5,100
2	Aledmys Diaz	RIGHT	0.398	0.250	0.240	SS	$3,200	SS	$3,700
3	Matt Holliday	RIGHT	0.363	0.186	0.351	OF	$3,300	OF	$4,200
4	Stephen Piscotty	RIGHT	0.350	0.169	0.420	OF	$3,800	OF	$4,900
5	Matt Adams	LEFT	0.334	0.185	0.538	1B	$3,400	1B	$3,600
6	Jeremy Hazelbaker	LEFT	0.350	0.262	0.110	OF	$2,300	OF	$4,300
7	Yadier Molina	RIGHT	0.310	0.098	0.167	C	$2,600	C	$3,200
8	Kolten Wong	LEFT	0.322	0.135	0.269	2B	$2,300	2B	$3,500
9	Jaime Garcia	LEFT	0.124	0.000	0.220	P	$8,500	P	$8,400
	Team Averages	—	0.327	0.171	0.295	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Matt Carpenter, Aledmys Diaz, Matt Holliday, Stephen Piscotty, Matt Adams

Secondary Plays – Jeremy Hazelbaker, Yadier Molina

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Milwaukee

The Brewers’ offense has been better than last season, but I suppose that isn’t saying a whole lot. They are ranked 14th in runs scored per game and they are currently projected to score the 13th most runs in this slate. While they do get to play at home, they draw a difficult matchup against Jaime Garcia, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .270 wOBA over the last two seasons. I see the Brewers strictly as GPP plays in this one.

Brewers Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.318 (13 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.148 (17 of 30)
Team K% vs. LHP — 22.7% (20 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.30 (14 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.21 (13 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Jonathan Villar	SWITCH	0.398	0.188	0.415	SS	$3,900	SS	$4,500
2	Hernan Perez	RIGHT	0.287	0.176	0.382	3B	$2,500	3B	$2,700
3	Ryan Braun	RIGHT	0.421	0.247	0.387	OF	$4,000	OF	$5,200
4	Jonathan Lucroy	RIGHT	0.269	0.100	0.334	C	$3,500	C	$3,900
5	Chris Carter	RIGHT	0.319	0.216	0.217	1B	$2,900	1B	$3,600
6	Aaron Hill	RIGHT	0.279	0.101	0.485	3B	$2,900	2B/3B	$3,200
7	Ramon Flores	LEFT	0.209	0.000	0.290	OF	$2,100	OF	$3,000
8	Keon Broxton	RIGHT	0.167	0.053	0.242	OF	$2,200	OF	$3,300
9	Zach Davies	RIGHT	0.088	0.000	0.000	P	$6,000	P	$6,100
	Team Averages	—	0.271	0.120	0.306	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Jonathan Villar, Hernan Perez, Ryan Braun, Jonathan Lucroy

Stackability – NONE

Minnesota at Oakland – 3:35 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Minnesota					Oakland
			Pat Dean					Sean Manaea
			LEFT					LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			OAK -130					8.5
SP vs. Left	0.299	0	12.5%	6.3%	SP vs. Left	0.176	0	19.2%	7.7%
SP vs. Right	0.332	3	25.7%	5.7%	SP vs. Right	0.411	5	13.7%	6.8%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Pat Dean
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$6,100	Salary:		$7,500
					FPPG:		27.8	FPPG:		14.9
					Pitcher Rating:		65.9	Pitcher Rank:		14
L14 Days	2	96.5	3.29	2.77	27.1%	6.3%	7.3%	40.6%	40.6%	28.1%
2016	2	96.5	3.55	3.43	23.3%	5.8%	6.7%	39.3%	42.6%	34.4%

Dean is making his third start of the season. He has fared well in his first two, posting a 3.29 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 27.1%. While those numbers look awfully enticing, they are likely thanks to a limited sample size. In his last five seasons in the minors, he never had a strikeout rate higher than 14%. We can expect some serious regression moving forward and that could very well start today against the A’s.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Sean Manaea
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$6,200	Salary:		$7,100
					FPPG:		16.0	FPPG:		6.2
					Pitcher Rating:		56.6	Pitcher Rank:		18
L14 Days	2	94.0	5.11	5.68	14.3%	7.1%	6.9%	34.1%	47.7%	31.8%
2016	6	81.0	4.85	7.03	14.7%	7.0%	8.0%	40.9%	40.0%	32.4%

Manaea’s first stint in the majors hasn’t exactly gone as planned. In his first six starts, he has a 4.85 SIERA (7.03 ERA) with a strikeout rate under 15%. He has had the opposite problem as Pat Dean, as his strikeout rate has drastically gone down since being called up to the majors. I know that he is pitching at home and that he is a favorite against a team that doesn’t hit left-handed pitching well, but you don’t need to go down to Manaea in the early slate. The risk outweighs the potential reward right now.

Batter Grind Down

Minnesota

The Twins are one of the worst offenses in baseball against left-handed pitching. That is a bit surprising to me with all of the quality right-handed bats in their lineup, but I digress. They come into today’s game with the 15th highest team total on the board. They draw a favorable matchup against Sean Manaea, who has allowed a .411 wOBA to right-handed hitters in his first six starts of the season.

Twins Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.268 (29 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.107 (29 of 30)
Team K% vs. LHP — 24.9% (27 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.78 (27 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.07 (15 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Eduardo Nunez	RIGHT	0.297	0.205	0.394	SS	$3,300	3B/SS	$3,600
2	Brian Dozier	RIGHT	0.337	0.209	0.248	2B	$3,100	2B	$3,500
3	Joe Mauer	LEFT	0.312	0.123	0.421	1B	$3,400	1B	$3,900
4	Byung Ho Park	RIGHT	0.219	0.100	0.137	1B	$2,900	1B	$3,200
5	Robbie Grossman	SWITCH	0.279	0.125	0.431	OF	$2,800	OF	$2,000
6	Trevor Plouffe	RIGHT	0.337	0.180	0.171	3B	$2,600	3B	$3,400
7	Oswaldo Arcia	LEFT	0.280	0.000	0.320	OF	$2,600	OF	$3,000
8	Kurt Suzuki	RIGHT	0.266	0.071	0.197	C	$2,000	C	$2,500
9	Byron Buxton	RIGHT	0.151	0.057		OF	$2,100	OF	$2,200
	Team Averages	—	0.275	0.119	0.290	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Brian Dozier

Secondary Plays – Eduardo Nunez, Byung Ho Park, Robbie Grossman, Trevor Plouffe

Stackability – GPP

Oakland

The A’s have not hit left-handed pitching well as a team, but we don’t really care about that if there are individual hitters that can mash lefties. Jed Lowrie, Danny Valencia, and Khris Davis all bat from the right side and all have at least a .329 wOBA against southpaws over the last two seasons. The sample size is obviously still small, but Pat Dean has allowed a .332 wOBA to right-handed hitters this season.

Athletics Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.289 (27 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.155 (13 of 30)
Team K% vs. LHP — 20.7% (12 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.98 (22 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.43 (9 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Coco Crisp	SWITCH	0.276	0.103	0.330	OF	$3,200	OF	$2,700
2	Billy Burns	SWITCH	0.318	0.093	0.202	OF	$2,900	OF	$2,800
3	Jed Lowrie	SWITCH	0.341	0.182	0.370	2B	$2,600	2B	$2,800
4	Danny Valencia	RIGHT	0.391	0.223	0.336	3B	$3,200	3B	$2,900
5	Khris Davis	RIGHT	0.329	0.257	0.473	OF	$3,300	OF	$2,900
6	Billy Butler	RIGHT	0.310	0.155	0.289	1B	$2,500	1B	$2,600
7	Josh Phegley	RIGHT	0.336	0.174	0.754	C	$2,300	C	$2,500
8	Marcus Semien	RIGHT	0.372	0.188	0.263	SS	$3,000	SS	$2,900
9	Jake Smolinski	RIGHT	0.347	0.220	0.238	OF	$2,400	OF	$2,400
	Team Averages	—	0.336	0.177	0.362	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Danny Valencia

Secondary Plays – Coco Crisp, Danny Valencia, Jed Lowrie, Khris Davis

Stackability – GPP

Texas at Cleveland – 6:10 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Texas					Cleveland
			Cole Hamels					Trevor Bauer
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			CLE -105					8.0
SP vs. Left	0.280	4	22.9%	8.6%	SP vs. Left	0.314	15	21.8%	11.3%
SP vs. Right	0.309	30	25.0%	7.1%	SP vs. Right	0.318	13	22.9%	9.2%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Cole Hamels
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$10,000	Salary:		$10,400
					FPPG:		37.8	FPPG:		19.5
					Pitcher Rating:		72.7	Pitcher Rank:		8
L14 Days	3	103.3	3.42	4.19	24.4%	6.7%	13.2%	50.8%	28.8%	48.3%
2016	10	103.2	3.56	3.34	25.0%	8.6%	13.5%	52.1%	26.6%	30.8%
2015	32	104.5	3.45	3.65	24.4%	7.1%	13.3%	47.7%	31.4%	27.0%

The final game in the early slate is between the Rangers and Indians. Hamels enters the contest in solid form, posting a 3.56 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 25% in his first ten starts of the season. He has largely been overlooked by the DFS community thus far, largely in part thanks to the high over/unders in the games that he has pitched in. I expect him to have a low ownership again today, making him a nice GPP option in the early slate. The Indians have struggled a bit against southpaws this season, ranking 18th in team wOBA and 24th in team ISO.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Trevor Bauer
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$7,600	Salary:		$7,200
					FPPG:		19.2	FPPG:		9.3
					Pitcher Rating:		68.5	Pitcher Rank:		12
L14 Days	2	100.5	5.62	5.73	7.4%	7.4%	6.0%	47.7%	31.8%	34.1%
2016	6	136.0	4.13	4.34	20.5%	9.0%	9.8%	48.1%	32.6%	37.2%
2015	30	95.6	4.20	4.55	22.9%	10.6%	9.6%	39.2%	40.7%	31.0%

Bauer has been inconsistent this season. The one way that we don’t want to describe our pitchers in DFS is inconsistent. We need those guaranteed points from our pitchers and Bauer just hasn’t given us that recently. In his first six starts of the season, he has a 4.13 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 20.5%. I’m not saying that he can’t have a nice outing today, but I will be avoiding him against the Rangers, who are one of the most difficult teams to strikeout in baseball.

Batter Grind Down

Texas

The Rangers are a mediocre offense against right-handed pitching. They come into today’s game with the tenth lowest team total on the board. They draw a decent matchup against Trevor Bauer, who has given up a .314 wOBA to left-handed hitters and a .318 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. There aren’t any Rangers’ hitters that stand out as must plays, but I don’t mind mixing in a bat or two into my lineups.

Rangers Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.313 (18 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.162 (15 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 18.5% (6 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.60 (8 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.97 (21 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Jurickson Profar	SWITCH	0.423	0.200	0.333	2B	$2,200	2B/SS	$3,200
2	Ian Desmond	RIGHT	0.296	0.149	0.406	OF	$4,200	OF	$4,800
3	Prince Fielder	LEFT	0.356	0.145	0.310	1B	$3,100	1B	$3,800
4	Adrian Beltre	RIGHT	0.308	0.146	0.345	3B	$3,700	3B	$4,100
5	Nomar Mazara	LEFT	0.398	0.241	0.435	OF	$3,400	OF	$4,100
6	Mitch Moreland	LEFT	0.352	0.215	0.194	OF	$3,000	1B	$3,400
7	Elvis Andrus	RIGHT	0.283	0.082	0.332	SS	$3,200	SS	$3,500
8	Jared Hoying	LEFT	0.226	0.000	0.226	OF	$2,200	OF	$2,000
9	Bryan Holaday	RIGHT	0.299	0.155	0.273	C	$2,700	C	$2,200
	Team Averages	—	0.327	0.148	0.317	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Jurickson Profar, Adrian Beltre, Nomar Mazara

Stackability – NONE

Cleveland

The Indians are ranked below the major league average in team wOBA, team ISO, and team K% against southpaws this season. They come into the game with the 13th lowest team total on the board. The only statistic that really stands out in their matchup against Cole Hamels is the fact that he has allowed 30 home runs to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons.

Indians Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.308 (18 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.125 (24 of 30)
Team K% vs. LHP — 21.4% (17 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.85 (6 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.03 (18 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Rajai Davis	RIGHT	0.322	0.202	0.418	OF	$3,400	OF	$3,300
2	Jason Kipnis	LEFT	0.283	0.116	0.273	2B	$3,500	2B	$3,300
3	Francisco Lindor	SWITCH	0.390	0.171	0.370	SS	$4,000	SS	$4,200
4	Mike Napoli	RIGHT	0.391	0.267	0.333	1B	$3,400	1B	$4,400
5	Carlos Santana	SWITCH	0.302	0.086	0.363	1B	$3,500	1B	$3,800
6	Jose Ramirez	SWITCH	0.284	0.092	0.358	P	$4,000	3B/OF	$3,100
7	Juan Uribe	RIGHT	0.342	0.191	0.355	3B	$2,900	3B	$2,900
8	Marlon Byrd	RIGHT	0.361	0.216	0.397	OF	$2,800	OF	$3,500
9	Yan Gomes	RIGHT	0.253	0.125	0.209	C	$2,800	C	$2,800
	Team Averages	—	0.325	0.163	0.342	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Rajai Davis, Francisco Lindor, Mike Napoli, Carlos Santana

Stackability – NONE

Boston at Baltimore – 7:05 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Boston					Baltimore
			Joe Kelly					Mike Wright
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			BOS -110					9.5
SP vs. Left	0.316	7	19.9%	9.0%	SP vs. Left	0.401	7	14.1%	7.3%
SP vs. Right	0.371	12	19.6%	9.8%	SP vs. Right	0.326	7	15.6%	9.4%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Joe Kelly
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$7,700	Salary:		$5,300
					FPPG:		24.0	FPPG:		10.4
					Pitcher Rating:		49.1	Pitcher Rank:		24
L14 Days	2	99.0	3.57	3.97	28.9%	11.5%	9.6%	53.3%	26.7%	33.3%
2016	5	83.4	4.52	6.30	25.5%	15.7%	11.0%	51.7%	22.4%	36.2%
2015	25	95.1	4.23	4.82	18.8%	8.4%	7.5%	45.6%	29.4%	35.6%

Kelly has looked better in his last couple of starts, but his high walk rate this season is a big red flag. In his first five starts, he has walked 15.7% of the batters that he has faced. He draws a difficult matchup tonight against the Orioles in the hitter-friendly Camden Yards. With the over/under set at 9.5 runs, both of the pitchers in this game are very risky fantasy options.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Mike Wright
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$6,400	Salary:		$4,400
					FPPG:		20.8	FPPG:		9.7
					Pitcher Rating:		38.2	Pitcher Rank:		26
L14 Days	2	97.0	5.15	4.50	15.2%	10.9%	5.7%	44.1%	32.4%	38.2%
2016	8	100.4	4.57	5.05	17.1%	8.0%	6.6%	43.0%	33.8%	27.6%
2015	9	87.2	5.28	6.04	12.8%	8.8%	7.3%	37.7%	42.9%	29.7%

Wright is off to a rough start this season, posting a 4.57 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 17.1%. He hasn’t been getting enough swings and misses and he continues to give up hard contact. There are many reasons to fade Wright tonight, but the biggest has to be his matchup – the Red Sox have the best offense in baseball.

Batter Grind Down

Boston

The Red Sox are ranked first in runs scored per game and first in team wOBA against right-handed pitching. They draw an excellent matchup against Mike Wright, who has allowed a .401 wOBA to left-handed hitters and a .326 wOBA to right-handed hitters. The Red Sox are one of the top offenses to target tonight outside of the two teams playing in Coors Field. Xander Bogaerts will look to extend his hitting streak to 25 games tonight.

Red Sox Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.359 (1 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.189 (3 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 18.6% (7 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 5.90 (1 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.81 (4 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Mookie Betts	RIGHT	0.352	0.191	0.404	OF	$4,400	OF	$5,400
2	Dustin Pedroia	RIGHT	0.355	0.155	0.395	2B	$3,700	2B	$4,700
3	Xander Bogaerts	RIGHT	0.338	0.115	0.444	SS	$4,300	SS	$5,300
4	David Ortiz	LEFT	0.431	0.346	0.517	1B	$4,900	1B	$5,500
5	Hanley Ramirez	RIGHT	0.314	0.141	0.262	1B	$3,600	1B	$4,300
6	Travis Shaw	LEFT	0.358	0.201	0.293	3B	$3,900	1B/3B	$4,200
7	Chris Young	RIGHT	0.440	0.000	0.401	P	$5,500	P	$6,200
8	Blake Swihart	SWITCH	0.320	0.136	0.356	C	$2,700	C/OF	$3,500
9	Christian Vazquez	RIGHT	0.241	0.095	0.214	C	$2,300	C	$3,200
	Team Averages	—	0.350	0.153	0.365	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Mookie Betts, Xander Bogaerts, David Ortiz

Secondary Plays – Dustin Pedroia, Travis Shaw

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Baltimore

The Orioles have really hit right-handed pitching well as a team this season, ranking sixth in team wOBA and fourth in team ISO. They draw a favorable matchup against Joe Kelly, who has allowed a .316 wOBA to left-handed hitters and a .371 wOBA to right-handed hitters. Feel free to load up on hitters from both teams in this game, as it is expected to be one of the highest scoring contests in the evening slate.

Orioles Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.336 (6 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.186 (4 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 23.5% (25 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.46 (11 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.69 (7 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Adam Jones	RIGHT	0.331	0.196	0.163	OF	$2,900	OF	$3,800
2	Hyun Soo Kim	LEFT	0.408	0.120	0.413	OF	$2,500	OF	$3,600
3	Manny Machado	RIGHT	0.393	0.253	0.362	SS	$4,200	3B/SS	$5,400
4	Chris Davis	LEFT	0.395	0.320	0.255	1B	$3,900	1B	$4,600
5	Mark Trumbo	RIGHT	0.335	0.184	0.339	OF	$3,700	OF	$4,500
6	Matt Wieters	SWITCH	0.337	0.164	0.481	C	$3,200	C	$3,900
7	Jonathan Schoop	RIGHT	0.357	0.238	0.295	2B	$3,300	2B	$3,900
8	Nolan Reimold	RIGHT	0.334	0.191	0.294	OF	$2,800	OF	$3,200
9	Ryan Flaherty	LEFT	0.271	0.134	0.221	2B	$2,300	3B	$2,900
	Team Averages	—	0.351	0.200	0.314	—	—	—	—

MLB Grind Down: Wednesday, June 1st

Chicago White Sox at NY Mets – 1:10 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Chicago White Sox

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

NY Mets

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Curtis Granderson, Michael Conforto, Neil Walker

Secondary Plays – Asdrubal Cabrera

Stackability – GPP

St. Louis at Milwaukee – 1:40 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

St. Louis

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Matt Carpenter, Aledmys Diaz, Matt Holliday, Stephen Piscotty, Matt Adams

Secondary Plays – Jeremy Hazelbaker, Yadier Molina

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Milwaukee

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Jonathan Villar, Hernan Perez, Ryan Braun, Jonathan Lucroy

Stackability – NONE

Minnesota at Oakland – 3:35 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Minnesota

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Brian Dozier

Secondary Plays – Eduardo Nunez, Byung Ho Park, Robbie Grossman, Trevor Plouffe

Stackability – GPP

Oakland

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Danny Valencia

Secondary Plays – Coco Crisp, Danny Valencia, Jed Lowrie, Khris Davis

Stackability – GPP

Texas at Cleveland – 6:10 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Texas

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Jurickson Profar, Adrian Beltre, Nomar Mazara

Stackability – NONE

Cleveland

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Rajai Davis, Francisco Lindor, Mike Napoli, Carlos Santana

Stackability – NONE

Boston at Baltimore – 7:05 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Boston

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Mookie Betts, Xander Bogaerts, David Ortiz

Secondary Plays – Dustin Pedroia, Travis Shaw

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Baltimore

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Manny Machado

Secondary Plays – Adam Jones, Hyun Soo Kim, Chris Davis, Mark Trumbo

Stackability – GPP

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