MLB Grind Down: Saturday, May 12th - Page Two
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Stackability Rating System:
GREEN – A viable full stack in cash games and GPPs.
YELLOW – A viable mini-stack in cash games and full stack in GPPs.
ORANGE – A viable stack in large field GPPs.
RED – Not a recommended stack for cash games or GPPs.
Implied Run Totals
Ballpark Ratings
Kansas City at Cleveland – 4:10 PM ET
| Kansas City | Cleveland | ||||||||||||||
| Jakob Junis | | Mike Clevinger | ||||||||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||||||||
| CLE-200 | 8.5 | ||||||||||||||
| Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.321 | 0.330 | 32.6% | 5.4% | 17.7% | 45.4% | SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.326 | 0.351 | 31.9% | 11.2% | 23.0% | 38.9% | ||
| SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.314 | 0.367 | 36.5% | 5.8% | 21.3% | 34.4% | SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.258 | 0.285 | 31.4% | 10.7% | 27.8% | 44.2% | ||
Pitcher Grind Down
| Jakob Junis | |||||||||
| FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | ||||||
| Salary: | $9,000 | Salary: | $7,900 | Salary: | $15,200 | ||||
| Salary Rank: | 4 of 27 | Salary Rank: | 12 of 27 | Salary Rank: | 12 of 27 | ||||
| Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 16 | 4.49 | 4.30 | 19.0% | 5.9% | 40.1% | 36.7% | 16.9% | |
| 2018 | 7 | 4.01 | 3.18 | 20.9% | 5.0% | 39.4% | 29.6% | 17.4% | |
| L14 | 3 | 3.81 | 4.82 | 22.5% | 5.0% | 37.9% | 27.6% | 13.8% | |
When I’m looking at the box scores of Junis it’s impressive that he’s gone at least seven innings in four of his seven starts. He’s also struck out at least five batters in five of those starts. The matchup on paper is one that works in his favor – the Indians have the seventh highest K% against right-handed pitchers at 24.5%. There are just two things that give me some hesitation with Junis. One is that while his ERA is 3.18, his xFIP is 4.31. His strand rate right now is at 94%, which screams major regression is coming soon. The other thing that makes me a bit hesitant on him is his 1.99 HR/9 ratio. All this is to say that I don’t think Junis is a horrible play at his price tag, but I wouldn’t use him as an SP1 on FanDuel, and he’s only on my radar as an SP2 in tournaments for two-pitcher sites. There’s some red flags for me here and while the regression may not come today, it feels like it’s coming soon.
Quick Breakdown: The numbers for Junis scream regression is coming and because of that, I can’t recommend him for cash games. He profiles more as an SP2 in tournaments.
| Mike Clevinger | |||||||||
| FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | ||||||
| Salary: | $8,600 | Salary: | $9,200 | Salary: | $17,900 | ||||
| Salary Rank: | 7 of 27 | Salary Rank: | 6 of 27 | Salary Rank: | 4 of 27 | ||||
| Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | 4.24 | 3.11 | 27.3% | 12.0% | 39.5% | 34.2% | 18.6% | |
| 2018 | 7 | 4.08 | 2.76 | 21.8% | 7.8% | 48.0% | 25.4% | 18.3% | |
| L14 | 3 | 3.34 | 4.05 | 27.5% | 7.5% | 50.0% | 26.9% | 13.5% | |
Clevinger may draw some ownership on Saturday’s slate after his fantastic outing against the Yankees that saw him dominate them for 10 strikeouts in just 7.1 innings. This matchup with the Royals isn’t as bad in terms of the potential power, but the Royals do have the lowest strikeout rate against right-handed pitchers this season at just 16%. We also saw this pesky Royals team beat Trevor Bauer yesterday, so it’s not going to be a cakewalk. I do like Clevinger in all formats and would be fine with him in cash games, but this isn’t a great matchup for strikeouts.
Quick Breakdown: Clevinger is in-play for all formats against the Royals, but just know the Royals have the lowest K% against right-handed pitchers so that may limit Clevinger’s upside to some degree.
Batter Grind Down
Kansas City
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. RH Pitching)
| # | Player | Bats | xwOBA | L15 | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Jay | LEFT | 0.323 | 0.298 | 0.083 | 29.5% | 7.4% | 18.2% | 48.2% | OF | $2,600 | OF | $3,000 | CF | $5,500 |
| 2 | Jorge Soler | RIGHT | 0.297 | 0.385 | 0.105 | 32.6% | 13.4% | 26.8% | 43.5% | OF | $3,900 | OF | $4,200 | RF | $8,000 |
| 3 | Mike Moustakas | LEFT | 0.382 | 0.380 | 0.287 | 36.3% | 6.5% | 15.1% | 31.6% | 3B | $4,300 | 3B | $4,200 | 3B | $8,100 |
| 4 | Salvador Perez | RIGHT | 0.351 | 0.360 | 0.226 | 39.0% | 3.3% | 17.9% | 33.1% | C | $3,600 | C | $4,000 | C | $7,700 |
| 5 | Lucas Duda | LEFT | 0.377 | 0.355 | 0.271 | 42.5% | 12.7% | 24.6% | 27.0% | 1B | $3,300 | 1B | $3,700 | 1B | $7,700 |
| 6 | Whit Merrifield | RIGHT | 0.319 | 0.344 | 0.145 | 31.5% | 5.2% | 14.3% | 38.0% | 2B | $3,700 | 2B | $4,300 | IF/OF | $8,100 |
| 7 | Alex Gordon | LEFT | 0.306 | 0.406 | 0.136 | 33.9% | 7.2% | 23.9% | 41.3% | OF | $3,100 | OF | $3,700 | LF | $7,600 |
| 8 | Cheslor Cuthbert | RIGHT | 0.294 | 0.269 | 0.086 | 30.3% | 7.2% | 20.5% | 43.7% | 3B | $2,300 | 1B/3B | $3,000 | 3B | $5,400 |
| 9 | Alcides Escobar | RIGHT | 0.276 | 0.319 | 0.093 | 27.6% | 2.7% | 14.9% | 40.9% | SS | $2,200 | SS | $3,000 | SS | $5,500 |
I’m a Mike Clevinger fan so I probably won’t be rostering many, if any, of these Royals bats. I do like Mike Moustakas in tournaments, and Salvador Perez has some appeal as well. Outside of those two, I don’t see a lot of upside of trying to use a Royals mini-stack or full-stack in tournaments. They’ll probably be low owned if you like that aspect for tournaments, but that’s about the main appeal here.
Elite Plays – Mike Moustakas (GPP)
Secondary Plays – Salvador Perez
Stackability – RED
Cleveland
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. RH Pitching)
| # | Player | Bats | xwOBA | L15 | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francisco Lindor | SWITCH | 0.368 | 0.441 | 0.245 | 33.2% | 8.3% | 14.2% | 38.1% | SS | $4,600 | SS | $5,400 | SS | $9,500 |
| 2 | Jason Kipnis | LEFT | 0.318 | 0.375 | 0.152 | 34.4% | 7.1% | 20.5% | 33.9% | 2B | $2,600 | 2B | $3,500 | 2B | $6,500 |
| 3 | Jose Ramirez | SWITCH | 0.367 | 0.430 | 0.281 | 31.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 37.5% | 3B | $4,400 | 3B | $5,200 | IF/OF | $10,200 |
| 4 | Michael Brantley | LEFT | 0.378 | 0.428 | 0.203 | 39.0% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 47.0% | OF | $3,500 | OF | $4,100 | LF | $8,200 |
| 5 | Edwin Encarnacion | RIGHT | 0.390 | 0.400 | 0.256 | 37.2% | 12.3% | 20.8% | 34.9% | 1B | $3,600 | 1B | $4,500 | 1B | $9,400 |
| 6 | Yonder Alonso | LEFT | 0.383 | 0.302 | 0.231 | 36.5% | 12.8% | 22.5% | 35.4% | 1B | $2,600 | 1B | $3,600 | 1B | $7,600 |
| 7 | Yan Gomes | RIGHT | 0.280 | 0.363 | 0.139 | 25.9% | 7.2% | 27.5% | 39.7% | C | $2,600 | C | $3,600 | C | $7,700 |
| 8 | Tyler Naquin | LEFT | 0.322 | 0.401 | 0.102 | 42.3% | 4.8% | 26.7% | 57.7% | OF | $2,400 | OF | $3,100 | CF | $6,000 |
| 9 | Bradley Zimmer | LEFT | 0.301 | 0.314 | 0.139 | 37.6% | 8.3% | 34.0% | 43.8% | OF | $2,400 | OF | $3,600 | CF | $7,300 |
The numbers for Junis may seem like we shouldn’t pick on him, but I really do think an Indians stack in tournaments is sneaky if this is the day regression hits him. Junis’ 1.99 HR/9 ratio suggests we can chase some power here. Francisco Lindor, Jose Ramirez, Edwin Encarnacion, Michael Brantley and Yonder Alonso would be the ones I’d target in a stack. I’m not so much concerned about the handedness of the batter but moreso the power they possess. Just a heads up, but Tyler Naquin left Friday’s game early with hamstring tightness. I wouldn’t be surprised if he got a day to rest up here.
Elite Plays – Francisco Lindor, Jose Ramirez
Secondary Plays – Yonder Alonso, Michael Brantley, Edwin Encarnacion
Stackability – ORANGE
Seattle at Detroit – 4:10 PM ET
| Seattle | Detroit | ||||||||||||||
| Marco Gonzales | | Matt Boyd | ||||||||||||
| LEFT | LEFT | ||||||||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||||||||
| DET-100 | 9.0 | ||||||||||||||
| Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.342 | 0.298 | 24.5% | 4.4% | 16.2% | 53.8% | SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.275 | 0.291 | 23.9% | 8.1% | 16.9% | 45.7% | ||
| SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.382 | 0.369 | 34.9% | 5.3% | 22.2% | 41.7% | SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.346 | 0.331 | 35.0% | 8.3% | 18.4% | 35.1% | ||
Pitcher Grind Down
| Marco Gonzales | |||||||||
| FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | ||||||
| Salary: | $6,900 | Salary: | $7,000 | Salary: | $13,700 | ||||
| Salary Rank: | 19 of 27 | Salary Rank: | 16 of 27 | Salary Rank: | 15 of 27 | ||||
| Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 8 | 4.48 | 6.08 | 17.3% | 6.0% | 45.4% | 29.1% | 23.4% | |
| 2018 | 7 | 3.17 | 5.19 | 25.5% | 4.0% | 42.7% | 37.5% | 17.3% | |
| L14 | 2 | 3.75 | 4.50 | 21.6% | 3.9% | 35.1% | 34.2% | 15.8% | |
We’ll need to keep an eye on the weather in this game as this game got rained out yesterday. It seems crazy to consider a lefty like Marco Gonzales against an extremely right-handed heavy Tigers lineup, but this Tigers lineup is watered down without Miguel Cabrera. Still, the Tigers have the second-lowest K% against left-handed pitching this season. I’ll admit I’m torn on Gonzales here. He has a nice 25.5% K% and his xFIP is just 2.74. Since this is the first game of a double-header, we’ll need to monitor the lineup the Tigers roll out. I like Gonzales for tournaments and if the Tigers decide to throw in a few left-handed bats because of the double-header, that will increase my attraction for Marco a little more (it sounds weird to say “increase my attraction for Marco” but I’m going to leave it).
Quick Breakdown: Gonzales has been solid but the threat of a right-handed heavy Tigers lineup gives me some hesitation. I do think Gonzales is in-play for tournaments given his upside and price point, but keep an eye on what lineup the Tigers roll out in this first game of a double-header.
| Matt Boyd | |||||||||
| FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | ||||||
| Salary: | $7,200 | Salary: | $6,100 | Salary: | $11,700 | ||||
| Salary Rank: | 16 of 27 | Salary Rank: | 20 of 27 | Salary Rank: | 18 of 27 | ||||
| Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 25 | 4.94 | 5.27 | 18.2% | 8.8% | 38.1% | 34.6% | 21.0% | |
| 2018 | 6 | 4.74 | 3.00 | 17.9% | 6.2% | 31.8% | 26.9% | 25.0% | |
| L14 | 2 | 3.73 | 3.46 | 22.6% | 3.8% | 34.2% | 26.3% | 26.3% | |
I remember picking on Matt Boyd when he first arrived in the majors. Matt Boyd day was almost like what Chris Tillman day is for us now. But Boyd has really improved as a pitcher and is no longer someone we can just pick on. He hasn’t given up a home run to a left-handed batter since the 2016 season (of course now that I just jinxed it, Robinson Cano or Kyle Seager will probably double-dong today). While I have more respect for Boyd now, I don’t plan on using him today against a Mariners team that is right there with the Tigers in terms of how they handle left-handed pitching. The Mariners are the third-hardest team to strikeout for lefties, and they have some serious right-handed mashers on this team.
Quick Breakdown: The Mariners are difficult for left-handed pitchers to strikeout and have some big power, so I’m passing on Boyd.
Batter Grind Down
Seattle
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. LH Pitching)
| # | Player | Bats | xwOBA | L15 | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dee Gordon | LEFT | 0.250 | 0.269 | 0.053 | 12.8% | 0.8% | 11.8% | 62.6% | OF | $3,300 | OF | $4,200 | IF/OF | $8,100 |
| 2 | Jean Segura | RIGHT | 0.355 | 0.344 | 0.115 | 35.0% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 45.3% | SS | $3,700 | SS | $4,000 | SS | $7,600 |
| 3 | Robinson Cano | LEFT | 0.329 | 0.470 | 0.105 | 32.4% | 8.2% | 15.1% | 55.1% | 2B | $3,600 | 2B | $3,700 | 2B | $7,500 |
| 4 | Nelson Cruz | RIGHT | 0.448 | 0.413 | 0.217 | 44.1% | 19.2% | 19.7% | 42.4% | OF | $3,700 | OF | $4,100 | RF | $8,100 |
| 5 | Kyle Seager | LEFT | 0.299 | 0.385 | 0.167 | 28.6% | 6.4% | 19.2% | 35.5% | 3B | $3,400 | 3B | $3,500 | 3B | $6,400 |
| 6 | Mitch Haniger | RIGHT | 0.355 | 0.420 | 0.225 | 31.1% | 7.2% | 18.7% | 46.6% | OF | $4,100 | OF | $4,100 | LF | $8,500 |
| 7 | Ryon Healy | RIGHT | 0.327 | 0.411 | 0.211 | 29.9% | 4.4% | 22.0% | 41.9% | 1B | $3,200 | 1B | $3,800 | 3B | $7,400 |
| 8 | Mike Zunino | RIGHT | 0.329 | 0.345 | 0.252 | 35.9% | 9.3% | 36.4% | 26.6% | C | $2,800 | C | $3,500 | C | $6,300 |
| 9 | Ben Gamel | LEFT | 0.264 | 0.249 | 0.134 | 31.1% | 3.7% | 28.9% | 52.2% | OF | $2,300 | OF | $2,600 | RF | $4,500 |
The Mariners have a wRC+ of 114 against left-handed pitching and there’s some appeal of a mini-stack here. The right-handed bats of Nelson Cruz, Mitch Haniger, Ryon Healy and Mike Zunino are all very appealing to me. I’m fine with them as one-offs or a mini-stack. Jean Segura doesn’t have a ton of power against lefties but I would use him in a Mariners stack as opposed to a one-off. I’m unlikely to chase the left-handed bats as Boyd has been fantastic against lefties.
Elite Plays – Nelson Cruz, Mitch Haniger, Mike Zunino
Secondary Plays – Ryon Healy, Jean Segura
Stackability – YELLOW
Detroit
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. LH Pitching)
| # | Player | Bats | xwOBA | L15 | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mikie Mahtook | RIGHT | 0.350 | 0.184 | 0.215 | 42.1% | 4.7% | 20.2% | 41.1% | OF | $2,300 | OF | $3,100 | CF | $5,500 |
| 2 | Jeimer Candelario | SWITCH | 0.293 | 0.340 | 0.183 | 34.9% | 7.6% | 25.8% | 48.8% | 3B | $3,900 | 3B | $3,700 | 3B | $7,500 |
| 3 | Nick Castellanos | RIGHT | 0.420 | 0.339 | 0.301 | 46.4% | 7.2% | 15.6% | 40.6% | OF | $3,800 | OF | $4,200 | IF/OF | $8,500 |
| 4 | Victor Martinez | SWITCH | 0.276 | 0.353 | 0.082 | 29.8% | 6.9% | 13.7% | 54.8% | C | $2,500 | 1B | $3,100 | 1B | $5,900 |
| 5 | James McCann | RIGHT | 0.453 | 0.340 | 0.273 | 40.6% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 36.8% | C | $2,600 | C | $3,000 | C | $5,400 |
| 6 | John Hicks | RIGHT | 0.360 | 0.345 | 0.208 | 39.6% | 9.9% | 30.9% | 40.4% | C | $2,900 | 1B/C | $3,400 | C | $6,400 |
| 7 | JaCoby Jones | RIGHT | 0.256 | 0.279 | 0.121 | 41.0% | 5.5% | 37.0% | 43.6% | OF | $2,500 | OF | $3,200 | IF/OF | $6,700 |
| 8 | Jose Iglesias | RIGHT | 0.296 | 0.287 | 0.105 | 28.0% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 42.9% | SS | $2,600 | SS | $2,600 | SS | $4,500 |
| 9 | Dixon Machado | RIGHT | 0.274 | 0.268 | 0.041 | 31.8% | 4.9% | 13.6% | 50.8% | 2B | $2,000 | 2B | $2,700 | SS | $5,500 |
While I do like Gonzales a bit, right-handers are hitting .325 off him this season. Nick Castellanos, notorious lefty-masher James McCann (that one is for you, Derek Carty) and John Hicks are appealing. You can even consider Mikie Mahtook as a cheap cash game punt if he gets to hit leadoff (he’s always a pinch-hit risk but given this is a double-header and Leonys Martin is on the disabled list, maybe the Tigers let him play the whole game?).
Elite Plays – Nick Castellanos, Mikie Mahtook (Cash games, if leading off)
Secondary Plays – John Hicks, James McCann
Stackability – ORANGE
NY Mets at Philadelphia – 7:05 PM ET
| NY Mets | Philadelphia | ||||||||||||||
| Noah Syndergaard | | Zach Eflin | ||||||||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||||||||
| NYM-142 | 8.0 | ||||||||||||||
| Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.270 | 0.278 | 30.7% | 4.4% | 30.2% | 40.6% | SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.369 | 0.374 | 37.0% | 5.6% | 15.7% | 43.0% | ||
| SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.288 | 0.268 | 23.7% | 3.7% | 24.8% | 60.2% | SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.328 | 0.327 | 28.1% | 3.4% | 13.4% | 40.5% | ||
Pitcher Grind Down
| Noah Syndergaard | |||||||||
| FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | ||||||
| Salary: | $10,000 | Salary: | $11,500 | Salary: | $21,900 | ||||
| Salary Rank: | 1 of 27 | Salary Rank: | 3 of 27 | Salary Rank: | 3 of 27 | ||||
| Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 7 | 2.74 | 2.97 | 27.4% | 2.4% | 57.6% | 30.2% | 16.3% | |
| 2018 | 8 | 3.10 | 3.09 | 27.6% | 5.1% | 46.5% | 24.8% | 22.5% | |
| L14 | 3 | 4.35 | 2.79 | 17.9% | 6.0% | 41.9% | 25.8% | 17.7% | |
Noah Syndergaard continues to exert his dominance on the league. He sports a massive 27.6% K% rate and now gets to face a Phillies team that has the second highest team K% at 26.7% against right-handed pitching. There’s also a big difference depending on what site you play on. Syndergaard is the highest priced pitcher on FanDuel’s main slate at $10,000, but the second highest on DraftKings at $11,500 (Charlie Morton is $12,800). The ballpark in Philly does scare me a bit for power, and Syndergaard does struggle containing base stealers, but he’s still my overall top pitcher on the main slate.
Quick Breakdown: From a point-per-dollar standpoint, Syndergaard is my favorite pitcher on the main slate.
| Zach Eflin | |||||||||
| FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | ||||||
| Salary: | $7,700 | Salary: | $8,800 | Salary: | $16,700 | ||||
| Salary Rank: | 11 of 27 | Salary Rank: | 8 of 27 | Salary Rank: | 7 of 27 | ||||
| Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 11 | 5.08 | 6.16 | 12.5% | 4.3% | 44.1% | 33.3% | 16.7% | |
| 2018 | 2 | 3.59 | 0.71 | 27.7% | 6.4% | 24.1% | 29.0% | 19.4% | |
| L14 | 2 | 3.61 | 0.71 | 27.7% | 6.4% | 24.1% | 29.0% | 19.4% | |
It’s been quite an amazing two starts for Zach Eflin. He’s struck out 13 batters in his 12.2 innings and has a sprakling 0.71 ERA with a 0.73 WHIP. It’s worth noting that his velocity is up this season and he generated 14 swinging strikes in his last game against the Giants. I’m still a bit skeptical these changes are real considering he never showed this kind of strikeout upside in the minors. I’m planning to take a wait-and-see approach with Eflin but if you suspect these changes are real and want to continue riding this hot streak, go for it.
Quick Breakdown: Eflin’s velocity has increased and he’s strung together two great starts, but I’m still skeptical and plan to watch from the sidelines.
Batter Grind Down
NY Mets
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. RH Pitching)
| # | Player | Bats | xwOBA | L15 | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brandon Nimmo | LEFT | 0.403 | 0.261 | 0.205 | 37.6% | 16.3% | 24.0% | 38.4% | OF | $2,700 | OF | $3,100 | LF | $5,600 |
| 2 | Asdrubal Cabrera | SWITCH | 0.350 | 0.383 | 0.185 | 37.5% | 9.2% | 17.2% | 39.8% | 2B | $3,800 | 2B | $4,000 | SS | $7,200 |
| 3 | Yoenis Cespedes | RIGHT | 0.341 | 0.425 | 0.224 | 39.3% | 6.7% | 21.7% | 34.7% | OF | $3,700 | OF | $4,100 | LF | $8,300 |
| 4 | Adrian Gonzalez | LEFT | 0.354 | 0.363 | 0.158 | 37.4% | 7.8% | 16.6% | 36.5% | 1B | $2,900 | 1B | $3,500 | 1B | $6,900 |
| 5 | Wilmer Flores | RIGHT | 0.342 | 0.344 | 0.212 | 34.9% | 6.8% | 13.7% | 34.9% | 1B | $2,600 | 1B | $3,000 | 3B | $5,400 |
| 6 | Michael Conforto | LEFT | 0.380 | 0.256 | 0.258 | 38.6% | 15.1% | 22.3% | 38.2% | OF | $3,200 | OF | $3,600 | LF | $7,400 |
| 7 | Devin Mesoraco | RIGHT | 0.304 | 0.284 | 0.172 | 31.0% | 9.2% | 25.5% | 41.4% | C | $2,000 | C | $2,600 | C | $5,100 |
| 8 | Noah Syndergaard | RIGHT | 0.260 | 0.047 | 0.048 | 45.5% | 12.0% | 44.0% | 50.0% | P | $10,000 | P | $11,500 | P | $21,900 |
| 9 | Amed Rosario | RIGHT | 0.257 | 0.345 | 0.100 | 25.8% | 2.3% | 28.4% | 50.3% | SS | $2,400 | SS | $2,900 | SS | $5,900 |
Eflin has traditionally struggled with lefties, so the left-handed bats of Brandon Nimmo, Asdrubal Cabrera, Adrian Gonzalez and Michael Conforto pique my interest. Yoenis Cespedes also hits right-handed pitching well, so I would include him in any Mets stack. As I mentioned above in my writeup for Eflin, he’s been pitching well and the velocity is up, but I don’t know if this is for real. I personally would either stack the Mets or just avoid them altogether because there is a chance Eflin has made some kind of change (or maybe something has just clicked).
Elite Plays – Brandon Nimmo (Cash games, if leading off)
Secondary Plays – Asdrubal Cabrera, Yoenis Cespedes, Michael Conforto, Adrian Gonzalez
Stackability – YELLOW
Philadelphia
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. RH Pitching)
| # | Player | Bats | xwOBA | L15 | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cesar Hernandez | SWITCH | 0.318 | 0.375 | 0.120 | 22.8% | 11.6% | 22.1% | 49.0% | 2B | $3,800 | 2B | $3,800 | 2B | $7,500 |
| 2 | Aaron Altherr | RIGHT | 0.328 | 0.432 | 0.214 | 35.3% | 7.5% | 28.2% | 44.0% | OF | $2,800 | OF | $3,400 | LF | $6,500 |
| 3 | Odubel Herrera | LEFT | 0.323 | 0.441 | 0.173 | 28.0% | 7.3% | 20.2% | 41.6% | OF | $3,800 | OF | $3,800 | IF/OF | $7,500 |
| 4 | Rhys Hoskins | RIGHT | 0.403 | 0.352 | 0.292 | 41.9% | 15.1% | 25.3% | 27.7% | OF | $3,900 | OF | $4,400 | IF/OF | $8,400 |
| 5 | Carlos Santana | SWITCH | 0.389 | 0.351 | 0.217 | 35.0% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 34.3% | 1B | $3,700 | 1B | $3,800 | 1B | $7,600 |
| 6 | Maikel Franco | RIGHT | 0.325 | 0.408 | 0.191 | 29.6% | 6.2% | 15.5% | 45.2% | 3B | $3,600 | 3B | $4,100 | 3B | $8,100 |
| 7 | Pedro Florimon | SWITCH | 0.272 | 0.290 | 0.094 | 32.5% | 4.5% | 35.8% | 46.2% | SS | $2,400 | SS | $2,700 | SS | $5,500 |
| 8 | Jorge Alfaro | RIGHT | 0.337 | 0.374 | 0.214 | 31.7% | 2.9% | 35.0% | 52.4% | C | $2,100 | C | $3,000 | C | $5,800 |
| 9 | Zach Eflin | RIGHT | 0.159 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 37.5% | 0.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | P | $7,700 | P | $8,800 | P | $16,700 |
With such a big main slate and with Coors available as an option, I can’t see myself wanting to pick on Syndergaard. The Phillies should be low-owned in tournaments if you want to play the ownership angle, but it’s a low probability play in my mind. You can certainly look to Rhys Hoskins for some one-off power, or Cesar Hernandez for his stolen base upside, but I don’t have much interest in the Phillies on this slate.
Elite Plays – None
Secondary Plays – Cesar Hernandez (GPP), Rhys Hoskins (GPP)
Stackability – RED
San Francisco at Pittsburgh – 7:05 PM ET
| San Francisco | Pittsburgh | ||||||||||||||
| Jeff Samardzija | | Chad Kuhl | ||||||||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||||||||
| PIT-140 | 8.5 | ||||||||||||||
| Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.339 | 0.352 | 33.1% | 5.9% | 24.4% | 34.9% | SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.385 | 0.368 | 39.2% | 11.6% | 22.1% | 35.1% | ||
| SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.284 | 0.271 | 27.6% | 3.6% | 22.7% | 46.4% | SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.295 | 0.325 | 32.4% | 8.5% | 20.1% | 45.7% | ||
Pitcher Grind Down
| Jeff Samardzija | |||||||||
| FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | ||||||
| Salary: | $6,200 | Salary: | $6,400 | Salary: | $12,900 | ||||
| Salary Rank: | 24 of 27 | Salary Rank: | 19 of 27 | Salary Rank: | 17 of 27 | ||||
| Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 32 | 3.63 | 4.42 | 24.2% | 3.8% | 41.5% | 30.1% | 20.7% | |
| 2018 | 4 | 5.84 | 6.62 | 17.7% | 15.3% | 30.4% | 33.3% | 15.8% | |
| L14 | 2 | 5.54 | 7.00 | 19.1% | 14.3% | 32.1% | 28.6% | 17.9% | |
Jeff Samardzija is so cheap, but he hasn’t hit double-digit fantasy points in two of his last three outings. Plus his opponent, the Pirates, are the fourth hardest team for right-handed pitchers to strikeout. Add in the fact that Samardzija has just a 17.7% K% this season and there’s just not much incentive to want to use him in this spot.
Quick Breakdown: Samardzija is cheap but his low strikeout upside against a team that makes a lot of contact isn’t a recipe for success, so I’ll look elsewhere.
| Chad Kuhl | |||||||||
| FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | ||||||
| Salary: | $7,300 | Salary: | $7,700 | Salary: | $15,600 | ||||
| Salary Rank: | 15 of 27 | Salary Rank: | 13 of 27 | Salary Rank: | 10 of 27 | ||||
| Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 31 | 4.79 | 4.35 | 20.9% | 10.6% | 41.9% | 36.1% | 17.2% | |
| 2018 | 7 | 4.12 | 4.12 | 21.8% | 7.3% | 36.6% | 33.0% | 15.7% | |
| L14 | 2 | 3.97 | 3.09 | 25.0% | 9.1% | 42.9% | 31.0% | 6.9% | |
The matchup on paper is favorable for Chad Kuhl. The Giants are in a funk right now and also own the fourth highest K% against right-handed pitchers. They are getting mowed down right now and Kuhl is almost averaging a strikeout per inning. The problem with Kuhl is that he’s awful against left-handed batters, and the Giants will likely roll out five lefties. Kuhl has some upside in tournaments with the potential strikeouts in this Giants lineup, but I wouldn’t touch him in cash games because he could easily get knocked around by some of these lefties.
Quick Breakdown: Kuhl gets a nice matchup against a strikeout prone Giants offense, but he’s nothing more than a tournament option because of his continued struggles against left-handed batters.
Batter Grind Down
San Francisco
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. RH Pitching)
| # | Player | Bats | xwOBA | L15 | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gregor Blanco | LEFT | 0.294 | 0.235 | 0.117 | 26.7% | 12.2% | 22.4% | 42.3% | OF | $2,500 | OF | $3,000 | LF | $5,500 |
| 2 | Andrew McCutchen | RIGHT | 0.349 | 0.466 | 0.152 | 34.9% | 11.5% | 18.3% | 41.7% | OF | $3,300 | OF | $3,800 | RF | $7,200 |
| 3 | Buster Posey | RIGHT | 0.353 | 0.363 | 0.108 | 31.1% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 47.5% | C | $2,900 | C | $3,800 | C | $7,500 |
| 4 | Brandon Belt | LEFT | 0.418 | 0.442 | 0.269 | 42.6% | 16.5% | 22.4% | 23.8% | 1B | $3,600 | 1B | $3,800 | IF/OF | $7,400 |
| 5 | Evan Longoria | RIGHT | 0.315 | 0.340 | 0.168 | 35.6% | 4.3% | 16.7% | 42.2% | 3B | $2,800 | 3B | $3,700 | 3B | $7,300 |
| 6 | Pablo Sandoval | SWITCH | 0.335 | 0.350 | 0.183 | 36.8% | 6.7% | 21.6% | 47.3% | 3B | $2,300 | 1B/3B | $3,100 | 3B | $5,500 |
| 7 | Brandon Crawford | LEFT | 0.313 | 0.340 | 0.141 | 34.5% | 6.5% | 22.1% | 46.8% | SS | $2,900 | SS | $3,300 | SS | $6,500 |
| 8 | Alen Hanson | SWITCH | 0.236 | 0.303 | 0.141 | 21.1% | 4.4% | 22.4% | 49.1% | 2B | $3,600 | 2B | $3,400 | 2B | $6,900 |
| 9 | Jeff Samardzija | RIGHT | 0.155 | 0.042 | 0.091 | 16.7% | 0.0% | 34.8% | 57.1% | P | $6,200 | P | $6,400 | P | $12,900 |
Kuhl has been fantastic against righties this season but lefties are hitting .313 with a 1.024 OPS. Brandon Belt, Brandon Crawford, Alen Hanson, Gregor Blanco and Pablo Sandoval (if in the lineup) are where I’d focus my attention. I doubt the struggling Giants in PNC Park will gather much attention on a slate with Coors, so you can make a case for a lefty Giants stack in large field tournaments if you want to be different.
Elite Plays – Brandon Belt, Gregor Blanco (Cash games, if leading off)
Secondary Plays – Brandon Crawford, Alen Hanson, Pablo Sandoval (if in the lineup)
Stackability – ORANGE
Pittsburgh
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. RH Pitching)
| # | Player | Bats | xwOBA | L15 | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Frazier | LEFT | 0.325 | 0.289 | 0.130 | 28.2% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 48.9% | OF | $2,200 | 2B/OF | $3,000 | IF/OF | $5,400 |
| 2 | Gregory Polanco | LEFT | 0.340 | 0.373 | 0.181 | 30.0% | 8.6% | 14.3% | 38.3% | OF | $3,500 | OF | $3,800 | RF | $7,500 |
| 3 | Starling Marte | RIGHT | 0.318 | 0.282 | 0.135 | 25.2% | 6.9% | 18.4% | 47.5% | OF | $3,800 | OF | $4,200 | CF | $8,300 |
| 4 | Josh Bell | SWITCH | 0.330 | 0.316 | 0.189 | 32.6% | 11.2% | 19.5% | 52.0% | 1B | $3,200 | 1B | $3,600 | 1B | $7,200 |
| 5 | Corey Dickerson | LEFT | 0.339 | 0.379 | 0.222 | 34.5% | 6.1% | 20.3% | 36.2% | OF | $3,900 | OF | $4,000 | LF | $7,600 |
| 6 | Francisco Cervelli | RIGHT | 0.358 | 0.496 | 0.152 | 35.0% | 10.9% | 19.5% | 44.6% | C | $3,200 | C | $3,600 | C | $7,300 |
| 7 | Colin Moran | LEFT | 0.388 | 0.423 | 0.170 | 35.2% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 40.9% | 3B | $3,100 | 3B | $3,400 | 3B | $6,600 |
| 8 | Jordy Mercer | RIGHT | 0.300 | 0.299 | 0.151 | 27.5% | 8.4% | 16.7% | 45.3% | SS | $2,600 | SS | $3,000 | SS | $5,600 |
| 9 | Chad Kuhl | RIGHT | 0.134 | 0.081 | 0.047 | 21.9% | 2.1% | 29.8% | 65.4% | P | $7,300 | P | $7,700 | P | $15,600 |
Samardzija has struggled mightily against left-handed batters so far this season. Lefties are currently 12-for-30 off him this year with three home runs and a 1.314 OPS. The Pirates have some very solid left-handed batters in Gregory Polanco, Josh Bell and Corey Dickerson. I like these three as a mini-stack or as one-offs if you want exposure against Samardzija.
Elite Plays – Gregory Polanco
Secondary Plays – Josh Bell, Corey Dickerson
Stackability – YELLOW
Atlanta at Miami – 7:10 PM ET
| Atlanta | Miami | ||||||||||||||
| Mike Soroka | | Jarlin Garcia | ||||||||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||||||||
| ATL-122 | 8.0 | ||||||||||||||
| Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.231 | 0.331 | 25.0% | 3.7% | 22.2% | 52.6% | SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.246 | 0.295 | 29.4% | 7.4% | 23.0% | 44.9% | ||
| SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.506 | 0.493 | 35.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 28.6% | SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.301 | 0.374 | 31.8% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 38.4% | ||
Pitcher Grind Down
| Mike Soroka | |||||||||
| FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | ||||||
| Salary: | $6,800 | Salary: | $7,500 | Salary: | $14,600 | ||||
| Salary Rank: | 20 of 27 | Salary Rank: | 14 of 27 | Salary Rank: | 14 of 27 | ||||
| Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 2 | 4.13 | 4.50 | 17.8% | 6.7% | 42.4% | 29.4% | 17.7% | |
| L14 | 2 | 4.13 | 4.50 | 17.8% | 6.7% | 42.4% | 29.4% | 17.7% | |
After a brilliant debut against the Mets, Soroka struggled against the Giants, finishing with 1 DraftKings point. He’s still a very highly-regarded prospect, but we need to keep in mind he’s just 20 years old. It’s also worth noting he’s only thrown 80 and 84 pitches in his first two starts, so it seems like the Braves are being very cautious in terms of how much they expose him during his first run in the majors. The Marlins are not a very imposing offense and are among the top-10 teams in strikeouts, so there is some appeal in this matchup. Even so, I would probably pay up for Michael Wacha against the Padres before I play Soroka.
Quick Breakdown: Soroka is a talented prospect and this is a solid matchup, but I’m concerned that he hasn’t been allowed to go deep into games and he struggled with command in his last outing. I prefer other pitchers as my SP2.
| Jarlin Garcia | |||||||||
| FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | ||||||
| Salary: | $6,600 | Salary: | $5,300 | Salary: | $10,500 | ||||
| Salary Rank: | 21 of 27 | Salary Rank: | 23 of 27 | Salary Rank: | 21 of 27 | ||||
| Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 0 | 4.37 | 4.73 | 18.7% | 7.6% | 39.0% | 27.2% | 18.5% | |
| 2018 | 5 | 4.84 | 2.68 | 18.1% | 10.4% | 43.1% | 36.9% | 14.6% | |
| L14 | 2 | 5.13 | 7.20 | 13.6% | 6.8% | 35.3% | 42.9% | 17.1% | |
The Jarlin Garcia regression game came fast and furious against the Cubs in his last outing where he got punished for seven earned runs and three homers. The signs for regression were there – he has just a .163 BABIP so he’s definitely getting lucky. And while his ERA is 2.68, his xFIP is 4.72 and he has a 36.9% hard hit rate. The Braves have the lowest K% in the majors against left-handed pitching. The stats for Garcia may look nice, but I am not going to touch him in this matchup.
Quick Breakdown: Garcia’s numbers suggest more regression should come in the future. The Braves have been the hardest team to strikeout this season for lefty pitchers, so I’m avoiding Garcia in this matchup.
Batter Grind Down
Atlanta
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. LH Pitching)
| # | Player | Bats | xwOBA | L15 | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ozzie Albies | SWITCH | 0.396 | 0.333 | 0.304 | 39.3% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 42.2% | 2B | $4,700 | 2B | $5,200 | 2B | $10,700 |
| 2 | Ronald Acuna | RIGHT | 0.405 | 0.379 | 0.333 | 41.2% | 0.0% | 18.2% | 47.1% | OF | $4,200 | OF | $4,600 | LF | $9,000 |
| 3 | Freddie Freeman | LEFT | 0.377 | 0.427 | 0.238 | 36.5% | 9.3% | 22.8% | 38.9% | 1B | $4,500 | 1B | $5,300 | 1B | $9,800 |
| 4 | Nick Markakis | LEFT | 0.323 | 0.422 | 0.155 | 30.4% | 7.9% | 15.9% | 50.3% | OF | $3,900 | OF | $4,300 | RF | $8,600 |
| 5 | Kurt Suzuki | RIGHT | 0.417 | 0.322 | 0.354 | 42.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 30.1% | C | $2,600 | C | $3,500 | C | $6,600 |
| 6 | Jose Bautista | RIGHT | 0.279 | 0.373 | 0.122 | 21.9% | 12.2% | 25.6% | 42.9% | 3B | $2,700 | 3B/OF | $3,500 | IF/OF | $6,600 |
| 7 | Johan Camargo | SWITCH | 0.347 | 0.362 | 0.247 | 34.8% | 4.3% | 21.5% | 40.6% | SS | $3,000 | 3B/SS | $3,100 | SS | $5,700 |
| 8 | Mike Soroka | RIGHT | 0.357 | 0.235 | 0.000 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | P | $6,800 | P | $7,500 | P | $14,600 |
| 9 | Ender Inciarte | LEFT | 0.271 | 0.283 | 0.060 | 18.6% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 60.5% | OF | $3,000 | OF | $4,200 | CF | $8,500 |
While Coors should draw a lot of ownership, I’ll likely look to the Braves for some of my lineups. They have a wRC+ of 120 against left-handed pitchers and the highest batting average against southpaws (.287) by a wide margin. Ozzie Albies mashes left-handing pitching, while Ronald Acuna and Kurt Suzuki will hold the platoon-advantage. If you roll out a Braves stack, don’t leave out Freddie Freeman or Nick Markakis, who both hit left-handed pitching well. I also need to point out that while I don’t love the lefty-on-lefty matchup for Ender Inciarte, he’s been running when getting on base. Per this tweet here by Matthew Pouliot, he’s already got 16 steals on the season, which is already more than 3/4s of the way to his career high of 22.
It’ll be interesting to see what kind of ownership the Braves draw on Saturday, but they are one of my favorite stacks on the main slate. Their prices are very high across the industry though, so that may keep their ownership lower than normal.
Elite Plays – Ronald Acuna, Ozzie Albies
Secondary Plays – Freddie Freeman, Ender Inciarte, Nick Markakis, Kurt Suzuki
Stackability – GREEN
Miami
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. RH Pitching)
| # | Player | Bats | xwOBA | L15 | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J.T. Realmuto | RIGHT | 0.337 | 0.375 | 0.168 | 33.9% | 5.4% | 18.0% | 49.5% | C | $3,300 | C | $3,700 | C | $7,700 |
| 2 | Martin Prado | RIGHT | 0.290 | 0.265 | 0.098 | 20.5% | 4.0% | 14.1% | 46.7% | 3B | $2,200 | 3B | $2,700 | 3B | $5,500 |
| 3 | Starlin Castro | RIGHT | 0.301 | 0.321 | 0.139 | 30.6% | 4.2% | 19.5% | 53.1% | 2B | $2,800 | 2B | $3,300 | 2B | $6,300 |
| 4 | Justin Bour | LEFT | 0.407 | 0.439 | 0.261 | 40.6% | 11.8% | 20.1% | 41.3% | 1B | $3,400 | 1B | $3,300 | 1B | $6,500 |
| 5 | Brian Anderson | RIGHT | 0.309 | 0.371 | 0.103 | 29.5% | 10.6% | 25.0% | 53.6% | 3B | $3,000 | 3B/OF | $3,300 | 3B | $6,500 |
| 6 | Derek Dietrich | LEFT | 0.319 | 0.322 | 0.163 | 34.7% | 6.6% | 21.6% | 38.3% | OF | $2,200 | OF | $2,800 | IF/OF | $5,500 |
| 7 | Miguel Rojas | RIGHT | 0.304 | 0.350 | 0.095 | 24.0% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 54.2% | SS | $2,700 | SS | $2,800 | 2B | $5,900 |
| 8 | Lewis Brinson | RIGHT | 0.260 | 0.272 | 0.111 | 31.3% | 6.9% | 38.5% | 51.5% | OF | $2,300 | OF | $3,000 | CF | $5,600 |
| 9 | Jarlin Garcia | LEFT | 0.129 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 12.5% | 50.0% | 100.0% | P | $6,600 | P | $5,300 | P | $10,500 |
We don’t have a lot of information yet on Soroka at the major league level but Justin Bour and J.T. Realmuto stand out to me as potential bats against the rookie. Both have power and that’s what I’d chase with the Marlins. Outside of those two, I have no desire to stack the Marlins in this spot as I don’t see them as having enough upside.