Sign In $

You must be a member to view this Article.

MLB Grind Down: Sunday, July 24th

by Andrew Cook (louiescards) Last Updated 2016-07-25 01:00:19

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code and FanDuel promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.

Stackability Rating System:

GREEN – One of the top stacks of the day, viable in cash games and GPPs
YELLOW – A viable stack option in most formats, specifically GPPs
ORANGE – There are better stacks out there, but playable in large GPPs
RED – Not a recommended stack for cash games or GPPs

San Francisco at NY Yankees – 4:00 AM ET

San Francisco NY Yankees
sanfranciscomlb Jeff Samardzija nyyankeesmlb Nathan Eovaldi
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
NYY -135 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB% Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB%
SP vs. Left 0.355 29 17.1% 6.6% SP vs. Left 0.356 13 17.9% 9.3%
SP vs. Right 0.292 17 19.3% 4.8% SP vs. Right 0.300 16 18.5% 5.9%

Pitcher Grind Down

Jeff Samardzija
jeff-samardzija-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,500 Salary: $7,400
FPPG: 31.2 FPPG: 15.9
Pitcher Rating: 47.8 Pitcher Rank: 22
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 5 92.2 5.02 7.16 15.2% 8.8% 7.8% 46.8% 36.2% 38.3%
2016 19 101.5 4.24 4.05 18.7% 6.2% 9.3% 47.1% 34.0% 31.7%
2015 32 104.3 4.18 4.96 17.9% 5.4% 9.8% 39.0% 39.8% 27.0%

Jeff Samardzija: Samardzija has been going downhill in a hurry over the past month or so, and there are a bunch of signs that say avoid him in your fantasy lineups. Two glaring reasons for concern are his hard hit rate, which is way up, and his strikeouts, which are way down. Pitching is not strong today, and the Yankees are pretty hit or miss offensively, but I want nothing to do with him until we see some signs of life.

Nathan Eovaldi
nathan-eovaldi-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,000 Salary: $5,000
FPPG: 24.2 FPPG: 11.5
Pitcher Rating: 54.4 Pitcher Rank: 16
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 3 124.3 5.87 4.63 12.4% 13.4% 9.4% 48.6% 34.3% 33.3%
2016 17 101.6 4.31 4.93 18.6% 7.7% 8.9% 50.6% 31.1% 33.2%
2015 27 97.7 3.99 4.20 18.0% 7.3% 8.7% 52.2% 26.0% 28.0%

Nathan Eovaldi: After giving up four or more runs in six straight starts, the Yankees moved Eovaldi to the bullpen, where he seems to have regained some confidence. Eovaldi was able to handle the Orioles lineup in his first start back in the rotation, but the inability to go deep into games combined with a lower strikeout rate leave a lot to be desired here. I like him a little more than Samardzija but not enough to have a significant amount of exposure.

Batter Grind Down

San Francisco

Giants: San Francisco is a lot like the Royals in that they put runs across the plate on a pretty steady basis but do not produce a ton of fantasy points in the process. If you are going to roll with multiple hitters from San Francisco, then you want the heart of the order with Belt, Posey, and Crawford as the higher upside plays. Outside of that, we have more sporadic production from this team.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Denard Span LEFT 0.349 0.120 0.270 OF $2,900 OF $4,600
2 Angel Pagan SWITCH 0.284 0.096 0.339 OF $3,400 OF $4,100
3 Brandon Belt LEFT 0.364 0.193 0.238 1B $3,900 1B $3,600
4 Buster Posey RIGHT 0.351 0.150 0.322 C $3,400 C $4,100
5 Brandon Crawford LEFT 0.337 0.204 0.386 SS $2,900 SS $4,600
6 Gregor Blanco LEFT 0.324 0.118 0.383 OF $2,800 OF $3,600
7 Ramiro Pena SWITCH 0.415 0.204 0.336 2B $2,200 2B/3B $2,800
8 Conor Gillaspie LEFT 0.281 0.145 0.207 3B $2,500 3B $3,600
9 Trevor Brown RIGHT 0.318 0.147 0.754 C $2,400 C $3,000
Team Averages — 0.336 0.153 0.359 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Brandon Belt , Buster Posey , Brandon Crawford

Stackability – Red

NY Yankees

Yankees: This New York offense has been pretty poor for much of the year and seem to do just enough to give people hope that there is more, but they never quite follow through with an extended run. The two most productive bats have been Beltran and McCann, and that should be where you are looking as your main targets here. Samardzija has been bad, putting this Yankees squad in play, but I would not over-extend too much given their ability to let us down on a routine basis.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Brett Gardner LEFT 0.328 0.140 0.348 OF $3,400 OF $4,700
2 Jacoby Ellsbury LEFT 0.309 0.103 0.238 OF $3,100 OF $3,800
3 Carlos Beltran SWITCH 0.355 0.209 0.362 OF $3,200 OF $3,600
4 Brian McCann LEFT 0.330 0.208 0.337 C $2,800 C $3,600
5 Mark Teixeira SWITCH 0.349 0.277 0.224 1B $2,800 1B $3,100
6 Didi Gregorius LEFT 0.316 0.147 0.375 SS $2,800 SS $3,600
7 Chase Headley SWITCH 0.309 0.123 0.323 3B $2,700 3B $3,500
8 Starlin Castro RIGHT 0.292 0.131 0.317 2B $2,600 2B $3,400
9 Rob Refsnyder RIGHT 0.327 0.147 0.167 1B $2,400 1B/OF $3,100
Team Averages — 0.324 0.165 0.299 — — — —

Elite Plays – Carlos Beltran , Brian McCann

Secondary Plays – Didi Gregorius , Brett Gardner , Mark Teixeira

Stackability – Orange

Seattle at Toronto – 1:07 PM ET

Seattle Toronto
seattlemlb Wade Miley torontomlb J.A. Happ
LEFT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
TOR -170 9.5
Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB% Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB%
SP vs. Left 0.298 6 17.8% 5.5% SP vs. Left 0.299 4 23.6% 6.0%
SP vs. Right 0.343 28 17.1% 8.2% SP vs. Right 0.304 26 19.5% 6.7%

Pitcher Grind Down

Wade Miley
wade-miley-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,800 Salary: $5,000
FPPG: 23.5 FPPG: 10.8
Pitcher Rating: 39.5 Pitcher Rank: 28
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 4 87.0 4.89 5.64 11.1% 7.1% 7.2% 53.2% 23.4% 28.8%
2016 17 93.7 4.66 5.36 16.3% 7.3% 8.7% 46.5% 32.8% 32.2%
2015 32 99.8 4.24 4.46 17.7% 7.7% 8.3% 48.8% 30.5% 24.7%

Wade Miley: In a battle of left-handed starters, Miley is the lesser of the two today in Toronto. He has produced a solid ground ball rate and the hard hit percentage is not too bad, but with little to no strikeout upside and a tough matchup against the Blue Jays, I cannot get behind him in this one.

J.A. Happ
j.a.-happ-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,600 Salary: $10,400
FPPG: 33.9 FPPG: 17.1
Pitcher Rating: 77.3 Pitcher Rank: 4
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 5 99.2 3.17 3.49 29.3% 5.7% 11.9% 32.1% 38.5% 28.8%
2016 19 94.3 4.32 3.43 19.5% 6.9% 9.4% 41.9% 35.8% 31.5%
2015 31 91.6 3.82 3.61 21.1% 6.3% 8.1% 41.6% 34.1% 31.2%

J.A. Happ: It has been a struggle for me to believe how good Happ has been on the season but I guess it is time to acknowledge the numbers. With how weak the pitching is overall on the day, Happ is a guy we have to consider as one of the better options more specifically on FanDuel where his price is easier to fit in. The strikeouts are up lately, giving him a little more upside. Just understand that he is prone to a blowup game from time to time.

Batter Grind Down

Seattle

Mariners: Seattle is one of the better hitting teams in the league against righties, but have been in the middle of the pack against lefties on the year. They still pack a punch as is evident by their .172 ISO putting them in the top ten in the league for that category. With that said, this is a team that does not project well today and is risky at best.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Ketel Marte SWITCH 0.284 0.116 0.333 SS $2,200 SS $2,600
2 Franklin Gutierrez RIGHT 0.389 0.266 0.238 OF $2,800 OF $3,000
3 Robinson Cano LEFT 0.312 0.139 0.295 2B $3,400 2B $4,000
4 Nelson Cruz RIGHT 0.452 0.341 0.395 OF $3,200 OF $4,200
5 Dae-ho Lee RIGHT 0.342 0.217 0.193 1B $2,300 1B $2,800
6 Kyle Seager LEFT 0.323 0.193 0.349 3B $2,600 3B $2,800
7 Chris Iannetta RIGHT 0.346 0.160 0.115 C $2,500 C $2,500
8 Leonys Martin LEFT 0.279 0.124 0.395 OF $2,800 OF $3,200
9 Daniel Robertson RIGHT 0.256 0.039 0.188 OF $2,000 OF $2,200
Team Averages — 0.331 0.177 0.278 — — — —

Elite Plays – Nelson Cruz

Secondary Plays – Kyle Seager , Dae-ho Lee

Stackability – Orange

Toronto

Blue Jays: In terms of projected total, the Blue Jays rank up there with just about anyone on the board today, and there is a lot to like about them here. Miley has a lower strikeout rate and Toronto has been pretty good in that department, which means we should see more balls in play, and as a result, I like their chances of putting up big numbers. With a lefty on the mound, do not be afraid to dip down to the bottom of the order for a more creative stack with guys like Junior Lake and Devon Travis.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Darwin Barney RIGHT 0.329 0.107 0.341 SS $2,600 2B/3B $2,700
2 Josh Donaldson RIGHT 0.441 0.310 0.435 3B $4,200 3B $5,500
3 Edwin Encarnacion RIGHT 0.379 0.268 0.425 1B $4,800 1B $4,900
4 Troy Tulowitzki RIGHT 0.362 0.192 0.287 SS $3,000 SS $3,400
5 Michael Saunders LEFT 0.417 0.292 0.210 OF $4,000 OF $4,200
6 Kevin Pillar RIGHT 0.305 0.103 0.289 OF $2,700 OF $3,100
7 Russell Martin RIGHT 0.367 0.196 0.307 C $3,100 C $3,600
8 Devon Travis RIGHT 0.311 0.162 0.413 2B $3,000 2B $3,700
9 Junior Lake RIGHT 0.356 0.229 0.200 OF $2,100 OF $3,200
Team Averages — 0.363 0.207 0.323 — — — —

Elite Plays – Josh Donaldson , Edwin Encarnacion

Secondary Plays – Michael Saunders , Troy Tulowitzki , Russell Martin , Devon Travis , Junior Lake

Stackability – Green

Arizona at Cincinnati – 1:10 PM ET

Arizona Cincinnati
arizonamlb Zack Godley cincinnatimlb Brandon Finnegan
RIGHT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
CIN -115 9.5
Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB% Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB%
SP vs. Left 0.253 0 14.7% 15.8% SP vs. Left 0.324 4 14.8% 12.4%
SP vs. Right 0.362 7 25.5% 6.9% SP vs. Right 0.330 23 20.0% 11.0%

Pitcher Grind Down

Zachary Godley
zack-godley-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,400 Salary: $5,100
FPPG: 14.3 FPPG: 6.5
Pitcher Rating: 57.2 Pitcher Rank: 14
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 2 107.0 4.16 7.11 20.0% 8.3% 10.3% 50.0% 28.6% 37.2%
2016 3 106.0 4.37 5.31 18.9% 8.9% 12.0% 50.0% 29.7% 33.9%
2015 6 95.7 4.15 3.19 22.7% 11.3% 10.6% 45.7% 31.9% 30.2%

Zack Godley: The Diamondbacks have used Godley both out of the pen and as a starter this season, and the results have been pretty iffy in both situations. He carries a modest strikeout rate and walks too many batters but flashed more upside last year than we have seen so far. The best thing going for Godley is that he plays a Reds lineup that ranks near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories against righties on the season. With this price point, he is a fringe secondary option on multiple pitcher sites, but understand that there is plenty of risk here, which seems to be the case with most pitchers on this slate.

Brandon Finnegan
brandon-finnegan-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,000 Salary: $5,300
FPPG: 21.3 FPPG: 10.2
Pitcher Rating: 48.3 Pitcher Rank: 21
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 4 94.0 5.43 8.53 20.9% 14.3% 8.2% 25.4% 52.5% 47.5%
2016 19 95.7 5.30 4.66 16.9% 11.7% 8.9% 38.6% 37.9% 37.3%
2015 4 187.8 3.77 3.56 22.8% 10.7% 9.7% 54.3% 29.1% 30.8%

Brandon Finnegan: The red in his chart above says all you need to know about his prospects here. If that was not bad enough, the Diamondbacks are one of the best offenses against left-handed pitching in the league, making Finnegan an easy fade for us today in this hitter’s park.

Batter Grind Down

Arizona

Diamondbacks: This is a somewhat confusing team in that the wOBA for these hitters do not match the production we have seen from them overall. On the season, Arizona ranks in the top five in wOBA and ISO, but only three players show up in the projected lineup as blue in both of those categories. With Finnegan taking the hill, for the Reds today I like this team to put up some runs, and we can start with those three hitters but do not forget Jean Segura and Jake Lamb as well.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jean Segura RIGHT 0.302 0.103 0.303 2B $3,700 2B $4,500
2 Michael Bourn LEFT 0.282 0.043 0.284 OF $2,900 OF $3,900
3 Paul Goldschmidt RIGHT 0.452 0.237 0.337 1B $4,000 1B $5,300
4 Welington Castillo RIGHT 0.378 0.267 0.084 C $2,800 C $5,200
5 Yasmany Tomas RIGHT 0.367 0.238 0.217 OF $2,600 OF $4,500
6 Jake Lamb LEFT 0.286 0.165 0.382 3B $3,200 3B $4,900
7 Brandon Drury RIGHT 0.290 0.176 0.235 OF $2,100 3B/OF $3,100
8 Zack Godley RIGHT 0.000 0.000 0.878 P $5,400 P $5,100
9 Chris Owings RIGHT 0.269 0.143 OF $2,800 OF $4,100
Team Averages — 0.292 0.152 0.340 — — — —

Elite Plays – Paul Goldschmidt , Welington Castillo

Secondary Plays – Jean Segura , Jake Lamb , Yasmany Tomas

Stackability – Yellow

Cincinnati

Reds: I am not sold on Zack Godley here, but this Cincinnati offense certainly does not strike fear in any pitcher at the same time. Sure, you can roll with the typical players in Votto, Bruce, and Duvall, but outside of that this lineup is bleeding Red and the numbers show it.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Billy Hamilton SWITCH 0.255 0.057 0.276 OF $3,200 OF $4,900
2 Zack Cozart RIGHT 0.318 0.186 0.234 SS $3,300 SS $3,700
3 Joey Votto LEFT 0.412 0.227 0.492 1B $4,000 1B $5,400
4 Jay Bruce LEFT 0.334 0.254 0.288 OF $3,900 OF $4,600
5 Adam Duvall RIGHT 0.348 0.306 0.277 OF $3,600 OF $4,700
6 Brandon Phillips RIGHT 0.304 0.109 0.326 2B $2,500 2B $3,600
7 Eugenio Suarez RIGHT 0.299 0.150 0.320 3B $3,400 3B $3,000
8 Tucker Barnhart SWITCH 0.305 0.104 0.306 C $2,800 C $3,700
9 Brandon Finnegan LEFT 0.147 0.033 0.000 P $6,000 P $5,300
Team Averages — 0.302 0.158 0.280 — — — —

Elite Plays – Joey Votto

Secondary Plays – Jay Bruce , Adam Duvall , Billy Hamilton

Stackability – Orange

NY Mets at Miami – 1:10 PM ET

NY Mets Miami
nymetsmlb Steven Matz miamimlb Jose Urena
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
NYM -125 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB% Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB%
SP vs. Left 0.311 2 19.3% 8.9% SP vs. Left 0.345 5 6.3% 9.7%
SP vs. Right 0.297 13 23.7% 5.1% SP vs. Right 0.349 3 15.5% 8.6%

Pitcher Grind Down

Steven Matz
steven-matz-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,900 Salary: $8,300
FPPG: 32.5 FPPG: 16.9
Pitcher Rating: 76.4 Pitcher Rank: 6
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 5 96.8 4.49 5.65 17.5% 7.1% 8.5% 50.0% 35.6% 41.5%
2016 17 96.1 3.65 3.56 22.6% 5.7% 9.5% 51.6% 30.2% 30.1%
2015 6 96.0 3.63 2.27 22.8% 6.7% 8.3% 45.5% 33.7% 21.2%

Steven Matz: Matz is on quite the downswing after a very solid start to the season and one cannot help but wonder if that bone spur in his elbow is more of an issue than the Mets want to admit. Virtually every significant statistic we look at to predict pitching is on a decline, and although he is one of the most talented guys taking the mound today, it is hard to say just how much we can trust him here. Even with a weaker overall pitching pool, there are about five other guys I would rather roster than Matz. With that said, he still does have the upside, so sticking to tournament lineups makes the most sense.

Jose Urena
jose-urena-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,200 Salary: $5,700
FPPG: 5.1 FPPG: 2.1
Pitcher Rating: 44.1 Pitcher Rank: 24
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 1 94.0 2.30 1.59 22.7% 4.6% 12.8% 81.3% 18.8% 25.0%
2016 1 486.0 4.51 6.23 14.1% 9.1% 11.1% 54.9% 24.2% 28.3%
2015 9 110.8 5.29 5.25 10.2% 9.1% 8.0% 48.1% 31.8% 29.8%

Jose Urena: It is tough to gauge Urena, as his lone start came against the woeful Phillies, so take his numbers with a grain of salt. In the past, he offered much less strikeout upside and walked too many batters to consider him a viable option, and that is more than likely closer to the pitcher we will see today. As secondary options go, we do not have much to choose from, but even so, Urena is not on my list.

Batter Grind Down

NY Mets

Mets: This offense has been a mess between injuries and just flat out poor production, but still find themselves with plenty of upside. A .175 ISO shows they have the pop to put up a solid number, and despite a lower projected run total in this one, the Mets are a team that I like a bit in tournaments today. Sure, the bats have been spotty at best, but Urena is not a good pitcher, and I like him to give up some runs in this one.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jose Reyes SWITCH 0.296 0.108 0.304 3B $2,500 3B $3,800
2 Curtis Granderson LEFT 0.369 0.227 0.275 OF $3,200 OF $4,300
3 Yoenis Cespedes RIGHT 0.378 0.262 0.176 OF $4,100 OF $4,100
4 Neil Walker SWITCH 0.325 0.170 0.160 2B $3,300 2B $3,000
5 James Loney LEFT 0.320 0.100 0.283 1B $2,300 1B $3,400
6 Asdrubal Cabrera SWITCH 0.321 0.177 0.319 SS $2,600 SS $3,900
7 Travis D’Arnaud RIGHT 0.320 0.163 0.263 C $2,300 C $3,400
8 Michael Conforto LEFT 0.362 0.256 0.312 OF $2,200 OF $3,600
9 Steven Matz LEFT 0.181 0.029 0.230 P $8,900 P $8,300
Team Averages — 0.319 0.166 0.258 — — — —

Elite Plays – Yoenis Cespedes

Secondary Plays – Jose Reyes , Curtis Granderson , Neil Walker , Michael Conforto

Stackability – Orange

Miami

Marlins: Matz has an elite ground ball rate, but he has shown the tendency to get lit up from time to time. Still, with so many other elite offensive spots today, most Marlins are secondary options. The Marlins have shuffled the lineup around a bit, making Miguel Rojas a viable punt out of the leadoff spot, and Giancarlo Stanton has more power versus lefties than just about any hitter in baseball.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 J.T. Realmuto RIGHT 0.292 0.149 0.277 C $2,800 C $2,700
2 Martin Prado RIGHT 0.393 0.138 0.399 3B $2,500 3B $4,400
3 Christian Yelich LEFT 0.316 0.072 0.429 OF $3,200 OF $3,700
4 Giancarlo Stanton RIGHT 0.435 0.437 0.336 OF $3,000 OF $4,100
5 Marcell Ozuna RIGHT 0.421 0.253 0.264 OF $2,500 OF $4,300
6 Chris Johnson RIGHT 0.304 0.085 0.305 1B $2,300 1B $2,500
7 Derek Dietrich LEFT 0.254 0.089 0.171 2B $2,300 2B $2,100
8 Adeiny Hechavarria RIGHT 0.321 0.137 0.285 SS $2,200 SS $2,500
9 Jose Urena RIGHT 0.000 0.000 0.000 P $5,200 P $5,700
Team Averages — 0.304 0.151 0.274 — — — —

Elite Plays – Giancarlo Stanton

Secondary Plays – Miguel Rojas

Stackability – Red

Cleveland at Baltimore – 1:35 PM ET

Cleveland Baltimore
clevelandmlb Corey Kluber baltimoremlb Vance Worley
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
CLE -130 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB% Stats wOBA HR All. K% BB%
SP vs. Left 0.307 16 25.3% 6.5% SP vs. Left 0.339 5 16.7% 11.3%
SP vs. Right 0.241 16 28.4% 4.1% SP vs. Right 0.311 6 15.8% 4.8%

Pitcher Grind Down

Corey Kluber
corey-kluber-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $10,300 Salary: $10,900
FPPG: 38.8 FPPG: 22.1
Pitcher Rating: 86.0 Pitcher Rank: 1
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 4 93.3 3.60 2.73 26.2% 7.8% 11.0% 44.6% 30.8% 31.3%
2016 19 98.0 3.44 3.42 25.3% 5.9% 11.7% 48.2% 32.2% 27.7%
2015 32 102.3 2.98 3.49 27.7% 5.1% 12.9% 42.4% 35.9% 27.0%

Corey Kluber: Finally a top-tier arm with strikeout upside. The issue is he will face a top-tier offense in the Orioles today. Even so, Kluber is one of the best choices we have on the day, and while Baltimore does have the ability to put up runs in a hurry, they are also going to strike out enough to mitigate the risk some.

Vance Worley
vance-worley-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,300 Salary: $5,200
FPPG: 11.2 FPPG: 5.6
Pitcher Rating: 41.8 Pitcher Rank: 26
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 1 182.0 5.90 5.06 8.7% 13.0% 3.3% 57.1% 28.6% 25.7%
2016 3 264.0 4.40 3.16 16.7% 8.6% 5.8% 49.1% 28.6% 31.7%
2015 8 142.9 4.28 4.02 15.8% 6.8% 6.0% 46.2% 32.9% 29.0%

Vance Worley: One of the bigger surprises of the season in my mind has been the Cleveland offense, as they have just crushed right-handed pitching. Worley is not a guy you want to start too often and certainly not when the offense he is facing is this potent. Lower strikeout upside combined with a high walk rate makes this one an easy fade.

Batter Grind Down

Cleveland

Indians: They just keep hitting the ball, and the production is coming from everywhere. This is a situation where you can roster virtually anyone in the lineup today and feel okay about it. Tyler Naquin and Carlos Santana are my favorites to get you big points, but do not forget about the middle infielders Jason Kipnis and Francisco Lindor either.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Carlos Santana SWITCH 0.354 0.234 0.387 1B $4,500 1B $5,100
2 Jason Kipnis LEFT 0.386 0.198 0.552 2B $3,800 2B $5,600
3 Francisco Lindor SWITCH 0.349 0.163 0.400 SS $3,400 SS $5,000
4 Mike Napoli RIGHT 0.310 0.193 0.543 1B $4,200 1B $4,900
5 Jose Ramirez SWITCH 0.310 0.131 0.276 P $4,000 3B/OF $4,300
6 Tyler Naquin LEFT 0.436 0.321 0.513 OF $3,400 OF $4,700
7 Lonnie Chisenhall LEFT 0.317 0.148 0.331 OF $3,100 OF $4,100
8 Rajai Davis RIGHT 0.322 0.162 0.216 OF $3,100 OF $4,800
9 Chris Gimenez RIGHT 0.268 0.119 0.329 C $2,100 C $2,800
Team Averages — 0.339 0.185 0.394 — — — —

Elite Plays – Carlos Santana , Tyler Naquin , Jason Kipnis

Secondary Plays – Francisco Lindor , Mike Napoli , Lonnie Chisenhall

Stackability – Green

Baltimore

Orioles: This is absolutely a scary offense when facing right-handed pitching, and one look at the ISO column will tell you exactly why that is. With that said, Kluber has been very good lately with seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five starts and giving up two or fewer runs in those same starts. Baltimore is strictly a tournament team for me today because of the tough matchup.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Adam Jones RIGHT 0.339 0.206 0.284 OF $3,200 OF $3,600
2 Jonathan Schoop RIGHT 0.371 0.238 0.363 2B $2,900 2B $3,400
3 Manny Machado RIGHT 0.383 0.237 0.226 3B $3,500 3B/SS $4,100
4 Chris Davis LEFT 0.390 0.316 0.346 1B $2,700 1B $3,200
5 Mark Trumbo RIGHT 0.349 0.208 0.341 OF $2,900 OF $3,600
6 Pedro Alvarez LEFT 0.342 0.244 0.339 3B $2,300 1B $2,900
7 J.J. Hardy RIGHT 0.270 0.114 0.396 SS $2,100 SS $2,700
8 Caleb Joseph RIGHT 0.278 0.125 0.176 C $2,300 C $2,100
9 Nolan Reimold RIGHT 0.325 0.171 0.173 OF $2,800 OF $2,900
Team Averages — 0.339 0.207 0.294 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Manny Machado , Chris Davis , Jonathan Schoop , Mark Trumbo

Stackability – Orange

Want to discuss strategy for today’s games? Head over to the RotoGrinders Forums

Jump to Page 1 2 3

About the Author

louiescards
Andrew Cook (louiescards)

Andrew “LouiesCards” Cook is a DFS veteran who has been playing since 2009. You will see him grinding MLB, NBA, and NFL with a main focus on DraftKings. Over the years he has held several roles at RotoGrinders helping write articles and features, both in-front and behind-the-scenes. Andrew was able to throw the first pitch out at a St. Louis Cardinals game, courtesy of DraftKings. You can follow Andrew on twitter @louiescards