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MLB Grind Down: Saturday, October 1st - Page Two

by Ryan138 Last Updated 2016-10-01 16:24:16

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Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati – 4:10 PM ET

Chicago Cubs Cincinnati
Article Image Jon Lester Article Image Tim Adleman
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
CHC -170 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.229 3 30.3% 27.3% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.330 6 34.9% 20.3%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.269 17 25.1% 24.0% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.337 7 37.9% 12.9%

Pitcher Grind Down

Jon Lester
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $10,800 Salary: $11,100
FPPG: 38.9 FPPG: 21.5
Pitcher Rating: 88.5 Pitcher Rank: 2
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 100.4 3.32 0.48 23.0% 3.0% 12.0% 51.0% 30.2% 17.2%
2016 31 98.4 3.60 2.28 24.8% 6.4% 10.4% 46.6% 32.8% 26.2%
2015 32 99.5 3.19 3.34 25.0% 5.7% 10.4% 48.9% 29.3% 29.0%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 2.76 — K%: 24.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.277
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 2.89 — K%: 24.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.272

Lester will look to win his 20th game today, and the odds look good as he comes in as a -170 favorite. He has dominated the Reds in four starts this year, as he has a 1.95 ERA and 18 strikeouts on route to two of his 19 wins. While he is far behind Kershaw in projections, he is clearly the second-best pitcher going in the afternoon slate and is at a solid discount from Kershaw and can be played in all formats.

Tim Adleman
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,100 Salary: $5,500
FPPG: 22.9 FPPG: 11.6
Pitcher Rating: 39.7 Pitcher Rank: 25
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 87.7 4.60 4.08 16.6% 5.0% 10.1% 39.4% 44.2% 40.2%
2016 12 84.8 4.85 3.90 16.2% 6.8% 9.1% 37.3% 44.0% 36.7%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.45 — K%: 17.1% — wOBA Allowed: 0.336
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.47 — K%: 15.5% — wOBA Allowed: 0.331

Adleman comes into this game with a 4.85 SIERA and a very low 16.2 percent strikeout rate on the season. He now has to face a Cubs lineup that is ranked eighth against right-handed pitching and is warming up for a lengthy playoff run. It will be interesting to see the lineup, but if it is anything close to the regular squad, then Adleman is an easy avoid.

Batter Grind Down

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs have a projected run total of 4.66, which is the eighth-highest of the entire slate. Adleman has struggled from both sides of the plate, as he has allowed a wOBA of .330+ to both righties and lefties. This Cubs squad is one of the better early offenses and can be stacked in all formats.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Dexter Fowler SWITCH 0.359 0.169 29.3% 0.379 OF $4,000 OF $5,200
2 Kris Bryant RIGHT 0.384 0.244 40.4% 0.358 3B $4,000 3B/OF $5,200
3 Anthony Rizzo LEFT 0.407 0.280 39.3% 0.387 1B $4,200 1B $5,400
4 Ben Zobrist SWITCH 0.350 0.162 32.7% 0.361 2B $3,100 2B $4,600
5 Jason Heyward LEFT 0.284 0.097 26.9% 0.361 OF $3,000 OF $4,000
6 Addison Russell RIGHT 0.312 0.160 29.1% 0.274 SS $2,300 SS $3,700
7 Chris Coghlan LEFT 0.280 0.143 28.9% 0.501 OF $3,200 2B/OF $3,400
8 David Ross RIGHT 0.298 0.209 35.0% 0.413 C $2,400 C $3,500
9 Jon Lester LEFT 0.128 0.045 23.1% 0.322 P $10,800 P $11,100
Team Averages — 0.311 0.168 31.6% 0.373 — — — —

Elite Plays – Anthony Rizzo, Kris Bryant, Ben Zobrist

Secondary Plays – Dexter Fowler, Jason Heyward, Addison Russell

Stackability – %{color:#EAEA32}*YELLOW

Cincinnati

Lester has held batters from both sides of the plate to a wOBA under .269 on the year. The Reds team total reflects that as they have the third-lowest total and should be avoided in all formats.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jose Peraza RIGHT 0.336 0.143 25.0% 0.359 SS $3,700 OF/SS $3,600
2 Eugenio Suarez RIGHT 0.368 0.234 36.8% 0.238 3B $2,900 3B $3,200
3 Joey Votto LEFT 0.364 0.144 29.8% 0.459 1B $4,000 1B $4,200
4 Adam Duvall RIGHT 0.330 0.252 41.5% 0.359 OF $3,400 OF $3,700
5 Brandon Phillips RIGHT 0.275 0.116 21.9% 0.298 2B $2,900 2B $3,500
6 Scott Schebler LEFT 0.279 0.154 31.3% 0.390 OF $3,400 OF $3,200
7 Steve Selsky RIGHT 0.713 0.571 50.0% 0.433 OF $2,600 OF $2,400
8 Tucker Barnhart SWITCH 0.230 0.099 18.6% 0.334 C $2,500 C $2,500
9 Tim Adleman RIGHT 0.424 0.200 33.3% 0.000 P $6,100 P $5,500
Team Averages — 0.369 0.213 32.0% 0.319 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – None

Stackability – RED

Cleveland at Kansas City – 4:15 PM ET

Cleveland Kansas City
Article Image Trevor Bauer Article Image Edinson Volquez
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
CLE -109 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.303 8 37.4% 24.3% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.343 11 33.7% 15.9%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.318 12 27.7% 16.6% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.343 12 29.9% 16.5%

Pitcher Grind Down

Trevor Bauer
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,800 Salary: $7,000
FPPG: 26.8 FPPG: 13.5
Pitcher Rating: 58.5 Pitcher Rank: 15
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 94.8 4.50 6.75 17.5% 7.3% 8.2% 45.4% 29.9% 27.3%
2016 27 111.0 4.30 4.26 20.3% 8.7% 8.9% 48.3% 31.3% 32.1%
2015 30 95.6 4.20 4.55 22.9% 10.6% 9.6% 39.2% 40.7% 31.0%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 5.14 — K%: 21.1% — wOBA Allowed: 0.335
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.46 — K%: 22.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.283

Bauer has struggled pretty badly lately, as over the last month he has a 6.75 ERA (4.50 SIERA). He gets a decent matchup against the Royals, who are ranked 28th in wOBA and 30th in ISO against righties. Due to his recent struggles, he is an avoid to me, as he looks to possibly be tuning up for a game one playoff start.

Edinson Volquez
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,000 Salary: $4,800
FPPG: 22.5 FPPG: 10.0
Pitcher Rating: 41.9 Pitcher Rank: 24
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 86.3 5.38 8.13 14.5% 11.6% 7.9% 46.5% 27.7% 36.3%
2016 33 94.8 4.68 5.37 16.2% 8.7% 8.4% 51.9% 28.3% 31.8%
2015 33 99.9 4.35 3.55 18.2% 8.5% 9.5% 46.0% 32.9% 30.4%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.32 — K%: 17.1% — wOBA Allowed: 0.314
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.53 — K%: 17.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.334

Volquez has been awful over the last month of play. In his last six starts, he has an 8.13 ERA and a low 14.5 percent strikeout rate. He is not a pitcher you should think about using against a solid Indians offense that is ranked in the top 10 in many of the offensive categories listed below. Move on.

Batter Grind Down

Cleveland

The Indians are slight favorites today and come into this game with a 4.56 projected run total. There should be a number of runs scored today on both sides, but the Indians look to be the better offense, as Voltrain has allowed a .343 wOBA to batters from both sides of the plate this year.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Rajai Davis RIGHT 0.316 0.142 27.1% 0.214 OF $3,100 OF $4,200
2 Jason Kipnis LEFT 0.352 0.199 38.5% 0.330 2B $3,900 2B $5,100
3 Francisco Lindor SWITCH 0.349 0.137 26.6% 0.190 SS $3,300 SS $4,100
4 Carlos Santana SWITCH 0.383 0.281 38.7% 0.477 1B $3,800 1B $5,100
5 Jose Ramirez SWITCH 0.349 0.147 25.3% 0.364 P $4,000 3B/OF $4,800
6 Lonnie Chisenhall LEFT 0.338 0.155 28.5% 0.215 OF $2,900 OF $3,600
7 Coco Crisp SWITCH 0.310 0.177 24.7% 0.310 OF $2,900 OF $3,900
8 Tyler Naquin LEFT 0.381 0.231 40.6% 0.318 OF $2,700 OF $3,600
9 Roberto Perez RIGHT 0.240 0.089 26.3% 0.214 C $2,700 C $2,600
Team Averages — 0.335 0.173 30.7% 0.292 — — — —

Elite Plays – Jason Kipnis, Francisco Lindor, Carlos Santana

Secondary Plays – Jose Ramirez, Lonnie Chisenhall

Stackability – YELLOW

Kansas City

Bauer has a wOBA of .303+ to batters from both sides of the plate this year. The Royals are an average offense on this slate, as they have the 16th-highest projected offense at 4.44 runs. They can be used as value one off plays, but that is all.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jarrod Dyson LEFT 0.291 0.093 17.3% 0.351 OF $3,200 OF $3,900
2 Whit Merrifield RIGHT 0.282 0.100 29.8% 0.321 2B $2,900 2B/OF $3,500
3 Eric Hosmer LEFT 0.351 0.178 36.8% 0.208 1B $3,500 1B $3,500
4 Kendrys Morales SWITCH 0.320 0.195 43.1% 0.401 1B $3,000 1B/OF $3,600
5 Paulo Orlando RIGHT 0.299 0.063 30.3% 0.433 OF $3,600 OF $3,900
6 Alex Gordon LEFT 0.312 0.173 36.3% 0.377 OF $3,000 OF $4,100
7 Alcides Escobar RIGHT 0.287 0.089 20.5% 0.263 SS $2,500 SS $3,000
8 Cheslor Cuthbert RIGHT 0.306 0.132 30.3% 0.357 3B $3,100 3B $3,100
9 Drew Butera RIGHT 0.365 0.235 27.0% 0.110 C $2,300 C $2,600
Team Averages — 0.313 0.140 30.2% 0.313 — — — —

Elite Plays – Jarrod Dyson, Eric Hosmer

Secondary Plays – Whit Merrifield, Paulo Orlando

Stackability – ORANGE

Detroit at Atlanta – 7:10 PM ET

Detroit Atlanta
Article Image Jordan Zimmermann Article Image Aaron Blair
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
DET -135 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.312 6 30.4% 15.3% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.435 7 31.9% 9.6%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.363 7 25.3% 14.4% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.347 6 28.2% 14.5%

Pitcher Grind Down

Jordan Zimmermann
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,600 Salary: $7,600
FPPG: 24.4 FPPG: 11.0
Pitcher Rating: 60.6 Pitcher Rank: 13
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 1 77.0 5.45 15.75 18.2% 13.6% 10.4% 26.7% 53.3% 46.7%
2016 17 96.5 4.73 4.88 14.8% 5.3% 7.7% 43.5% 38.5% 27.7%
2015 33 94.0 3.83 3.66 19.7% 4.7% 8.4% 42.0% 36.2% 29.5%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.13 — K%: 17.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.312
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.99 — K%: 18.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.322

Zimmermann continues to try his return to full form this year, as injuries have really set back the majority of the second half of his season. He has not exactly been great this year, as he holds a 4.73 SIERA and low 14.8 percent strikeout rate. There is no way to trust a guy that has not pitched more than three innings in the last three months.

Aaron Blair
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $4,000 Salary: $4,200
FPPG: 10.1 FPPG: 2.6
Pitcher Rating: 28.0 Pitcher Rank: 30
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 2 83.0 6.02 6.75 9.3% 9.3% 8.4% 38.2% 38.2% 29.4%
2016 14 80.6 5.85 8.02 12.0% 11.0% 9.0% 40.2% 37.5% 30.1%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 8.18 — K%: 10.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.383
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 7.84 — K%: 13.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.402

Blair is not someone we need to spend a lot of time on. He holds a SIERA of 5.85 on the year to go along with one of the lowest strikeout rates you will see by a starter at just 12 percent. He has a tough matchup today against the Tigers, who are ranked fourth in wOBA and tenth in ISO against right-handed pitching this year. He is an easy avoid on the night slate.

Batter Grind Down

Detroit

Blair has allowed a .435 wOBA against lefties and .347 wOBA against righties on the year. The Tigers have the sixth-highest projected run total on the day at 4.71 runs, making them a great offense to use in all formats today.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Ian Kinsler RIGHT 0.347 0.185 33.8% 0.437 2B $3,900 2B $5,000
2 Cameron Maybin RIGHT 0.359 0.100 24.2% 0.416 OF $3,300 OF $4,800
3 Miguel Cabrera RIGHT 0.398 0.252 40.6% 0.445 1B $3,900 1B $5,500
4 J.D. Martinez RIGHT 0.402 0.245 37.7% 0.378 OF $3,600 OF $4,900
5 Justin Upton RIGHT 0.327 0.214 37.9% 0.507 OF $3,400 OF $4,600
6 Nick Castellanos RIGHT 0.384 0.218 35.7% 0.644 3B $2,400 3B $4,000
7 James McCann RIGHT 0.230 0.069 26.6% 0.305 C $2,200 C $3,600
8 Jose Iglesias RIGHT 0.269 0.056 13.1% 0.328 SS $2,100 SS $2,900
9 Jordan Zimmermann RIGHT 0.220 0.000 100.0% P $7,600 P $7,600
Team Averages — 0.326 0.149 38.8% 0.433 — — — —

Elite Plays – Miguel Cabrera, Ian Kinsler, Cameron Maybin

Secondary Plays – J.D. Martinez, Justin Upton

Stackability – GREEN

Atlanta

The Braves have now been the highest-ranked offense in team wOBA over the last 30 days of baseball. They also have the sixth-lowest strikeout rate at the moment, as well. The offense is in a decent spot against Zimmermann and should be used for cheap value plays high up in the order today.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Mallex Smith LEFT 0.366 0.168 22.9% 0.372 OF $2,300 OF $4,800
2 Dansby Swanson RIGHT 0.302 0.078 33.8% 0.338 SS $3,300 SS $3,500
3 Freddie Freeman LEFT 0.417 0.294 43.3% 0.599 1B $3,900 1B $5,200
4 Matt Kemp RIGHT 0.317 0.206 35.9% 0.411 OF $3,000 OF $4,700
5 Nick Markakis LEFT 0.338 0.151 33.5% 0.281 OF $3,100 OF $4,200
6 Anthony Recker RIGHT 0.346 0.161 32.7% 0.385 C $2,700 C $3,100
7 Jace Peterson LEFT 0.331 0.134 25.0% 0.223 2B $2,500 2B $3,500
8 Rio Ruiz LEFT 0.523 0.667 50.0% 0.523 3B $2,800
9 Aaron Blair RIGHT 0.098 0.000 0.0% 0.000 P $4,000 P $4,200
Team Averages — 0.338 0.207 30.8% 0.348 — — — —

Elite Plays – Freddie Freeman

Secondary Plays – Dansby Swanson, Mallex Smith, Matt Kemp

Stackability – ORANGE

Toronto at Boston – 7:10 PM ET

Toronto Boston
Article Image J.A. Happ Article Image Eduardo Rodriguez
LEFT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
TOR -110 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.288 3 36.5% 18.6% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.324 1 19.7% 24.2%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.293 19 30.9% 21.7% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.314 15 30.2% 20.0%

Pitcher Grind Down

J.A. Happ
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,800 Salary: $8,000
FPPG: 35.2 FPPG: 18.0
Pitcher Rating: 58.3 Pitcher Rank: 16
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 94.8 4.75 3.24 16.1% 7.0% 8.6% 41.1% 34.6% 32.4%
2016 31 94.5 4.16 3.20 21.1% 7.2% 9.9% 42.5% 35.1% 32.1%
2015 31 91.6 3.82 3.61 21.1% 6.3% 8.1% 41.6% 34.1% 31.2%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 2.75 — K%: 21.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.289
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.99 — K%: 20.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.306

Happ will make his final start of what has been a solid season for the lefty. He has a 4.16 SIERA with a decent strikeout rate of 21.1 percent. The main problem here today is the matchup against the Red Sox, who are ranked as the best squad against left-handed pitching in terms of team wOBA and eighth in ISO. Happ has pitched well this year against Boston, and depending on their lineup, he may be one of the better options tonight, but that is saying more about the rest of the slate than Happ himself.

Eduardo Rodriguez
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,300 Salary: $6,700
FPPG: 24.0 FPPG: 12.5
Pitcher Rating: 60.6 Pitcher Rank: 14
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 94.2 3.79 2.89 25.9% 6.0% 12.7% 28.9% 53.9% 29.0%
2016 19 91.9 4.48 4.68 20.9% 8.1% 10.4% 31.3% 46.1% 28.1%
2015 21 95.7 4.16 3.85 18.8% 7.1% 7.8% 43.0% 33.4% 31.4%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.74 — K%: 17.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.328
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.71 — K%: 21.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.293

Rodriguez turned around his season after the All-Star break, as he has put up a 3.10 ERA and 70 strikeout rates over 72.2 innings. He has been solid, but like Happ, has a very tough matchup against a Blue Jays, who are a lefty-mashing team that is ranked in the top 10 against left-handed pitching. This game has a nine-run total with the Blue Jays being slight favorites, which means Rodriguez has way to much risk attached for the amount of reward that is possible in this matchup.

Batter Grind Down

Toronto

The Blue Jays come in with a projected run total of 4.56, which is the 13th-highest on the slate. Rodriguez has allowed a .324 wOBA to lefties and .314 wOBA to righties on the year, putting the big Blue Jay bats in play in all formats today.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Devon Travis RIGHT 0.252 0.075 25.0% 0.281 2B $3,500 2B $3,700
2 Josh Donaldson RIGHT 0.409 0.252 37.5% 0.462 3B $4,400 3B $5,400
3 Edwin Encarnacion RIGHT 0.382 0.282 39.1% 0.366 1B $4,000 1B $5,300
4 Jose Bautista RIGHT 0.321 0.216 39.7% 0.433 OF $3,500 OF $4,700
5 Russell Martin RIGHT 0.313 0.151 47.1% 0.320 C $2,800 C $3,800
6 Troy Tulowitzki RIGHT 0.324 0.160 32.9% 0.270 SS $3,200 SS $3,700
7 Melvin Upton RIGHT 0.375 0.270 30.0% 0.174 OF $2,800 OF $4,200
8 Dioner Navarro SWITCH 0.280 0.167 24.3% 0.245 C $2,100 C $3,000
9 Kevin Pillar RIGHT 0.303 0.122 32.5% 0.284 OF $2,700 OF $3,600
Team Averages — 0.329 0.188 34.2% 0.315 — — — —

Elite Plays – Josh Donaldson, Jose Bautista, Edwin Encarnacion

Secondary Plays – Devon Travis, Russell Martin

Stackability – YELLOW

Boston

Happ has held batters to a wOBA under .294 from both sides of the plate this year. The Red Sox have a middle-of-the-road total today of just 4.44, which is 17th-highest on the day. There are so many solid spots on this slate that the Red Sox are just an average offense.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Dustin Pedroia RIGHT 0.365 0.113 26.5% 0.263 2B $3,400 2B $4,200
2 Xander Bogaerts RIGHT 0.375 0.160 34.7% 0.353 SS $3,900 SS $4,600
3 David Ortiz LEFT 0.358 0.154 44.3% 0.429 1B $4,300 1B $4,900
4 Mookie Betts RIGHT 0.342 0.254 35.1% 0.447 OF $4,200 OF $5,100
5 Hanley Ramirez RIGHT 0.461 0.339 39.4% 0.439 1B $4,100 1B $4,800
6 Aaron Hill RIGHT 0.336 0.119 37.1% 0.495 3B $2,500 3B $2,500
7 Brock Holt LEFT 0.191 0.000 4.2% 0.319 OF $2,900 OF $3,200
8 Chris Young RIGHT 0.426 0.288 36.7% 0.162 P $5,500 P $4,000
9 Bryan Holaday RIGHT 0.293 0.122 23.5% 0.615 C $2,100 C $2,300
Team Averages — 0.350 0.172 31.3% 0.391 — — — —

Elite Plays – Mookie Betts

Secondary Plays – Dustin Pedroia, Xander Bogaerts

Stackability – ORANGE

Minnesota at Chicago White Sox – 7:10 PM ET

Minnesota Chicago White Sox
Article Image Hector Santiago Article Image James Shields
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
CWS -115 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.334 7 31.5% 18.2% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.375 15 28.8% 14.5%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.338 26 39.3% 18.2% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.385 23 38.9% 17.7%

Pitcher Grind Down

Hector Santiago
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,300 Salary: $6,100
FPPG: 25.0 FPPG: 11.9
Pitcher Rating: 48.5 Pitcher Rank: 21
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 101.0 6.03 4.55 13.3% 9.4% 6.3% 26.5% 57.1% 46.5%
2016 32 95.8 5.09 4.87 18.2% 10.0% 8.4% 34.4% 50.2% 37.7%
2015 32 98.8 4.50 3.59 20.9% 9.2% 8.5% 29.9% 53.6% 33.6%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.27 — K%: 20.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.319
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.16 — K%: 18.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.332

The move to the Twins has not exactly been successful for Santiago. Over his last 30 days, he has a 6.03 SIERA (4.55 ERA) and a low 13.3 percent strikeout rate. There is no reason to spend a roster spot on Santiago who is struggling mightily.

James Shields
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,900 Salary: $6,900
FPPG: 20.0 FPPG: 8.6
Pitcher Rating: 55.3 Pitcher Rank: 18
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 97.8 5.11 5.61 20.5% 13.1% 12.3% 37.2% 44.9% 29.1%
2016 32 94.7 5.16 5.82 16.1% 10.0% 9.1% 40.5% 38.0% 34.0%
2015 33 101.1 3.72 3.91 25.1% 9.4% 12.4% 44.9% 34.4% 31.2%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.09 — K%: 22.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.358
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 5.66 — K%: 19.1% — wOBA Allowed: 0.356

Shields has been a guy we have loved to see on the schedule all year. He has been horrible and has put up a ridiculously high 5.16 SIERA and low 16.1 percent strikeout rate. He has been a whole lot better as of late, as he has put up three quality starts in his last four and has struck out 24 batters over a 23.1 inning span. Still, I am not exactly sure we can trust him, even in a decent matchup against the Twins today.

Batter Grind Down

Minnesota

Shields has allowed a .375+ wOBA to batters from both sides of the plate. The Twins have a projected run total of 4.41 runs, which is the 13th-lowest run total of the entire slate. They are a decent offense to target, but the White Sox may look like the better offense in this matchup.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Brian Dozier RIGHT 0.364 0.264 33.4% 0.173 2B $4,100 2B $4,200
2 Robbie Grossman SWITCH 0.328 0.124 30.9% 0.406 OF $2,800 OF $3,800
3 Max Kepler LEFT 0.335 0.225 33.3% 0.243 OF $2,600 OF $4,200
4 Miguel Sano RIGHT 0.334 0.224 40.1% 0.383 OF $3,000 3B/OF $4,000
5 Logan Schafer LEFT 0.250 0.083 17.9% 0.214 OF $2,300 OF $2,600
6 Eduardo Escobar SWITCH 0.283 0.105 26.2% 0.205 SS $2,900 3B/SS $2,500
7 Juan Centeno LEFT 0.316 0.148 33.3% 0.481 C $2,800 C $2,800
8 Byron Buxton RIGHT 0.291 0.188 24.4% 0.272 OF $3,000 OF $3,900
9 0.878 0.000 0.0% 0.785 P $6,000 0 $0
Team Averages — 0.375 0.151 26.6% 0.351 — — — —

Elite Plays – Brian Dozier, Robbie Grossman, Miguel Sano

Secondary Plays – Max Kepler

Stackability – YELLOW

Chicago White Sox

Santiago has allowed a .334+ wOBA from both sides of the plate this year, and the White Sox are coming off a solid offensive performance. I like the bats again in this spot, as they have a projected run total of 4.59, which is 12th-highest on the slate.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Tim Anderson RIGHT 0.337 0.138 38.1% 0.280 SS $2,900 SS $4,000
2 Leury Garcia SWITCH 0.160 0.000 50.0% 0.301 OF $2,700
3 Jose Abreu RIGHT 0.347 0.240 38.8% 0.337 1B $3,200 1B $3,300
4 Melky Cabrera SWITCH 0.368 0.181 29.7% 0.409 OF $3,000 OF $4,500
5 Todd Frazier RIGHT 0.351 0.296 32.4% 0.462 3B $3,400 3B $5,000
6 Avisail Garcia RIGHT 0.296 0.147 40.3% 0.273 OF $3,000 OF $3,300
7 Carlos Sanchez SWITCH 0.183 0.086 21.4% 0.386 2B $3,200 2B $3,100
8 Jason Coats RIGHT 0.440 0.280 35.0% 0.212 OF $2,000 OF $2,800
9 Kevan Smith RIGHT 0.088 0.000 50.0% 0.220 C $2,000 C $2,600
Team Averages — 0.286 0.152 37.3% 0.320 — — — —

Elite Plays – Tim Anderson, Jose Abreu

Secondary Plays – Melky Cabrera, Todd Frazier, Adam Eaton

Stackability – GREEN

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About the Author

Ryan138
Ryan138

Ryan (Ryan138) is from Chicago and has been playing fantasy sports for over 10 years. He has been playing daily fantasy sports for over 2 years since he was introduced to Daily Joust in late 2010. In the last year, Ryan has risen into the Top 100 of the RotoGrinders leaderboards by playing at DraftDay, DraftKings and FanDuel in all the major sports.