MLB Grind Down: Sunday, May 28th
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The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.
The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code, FanDuel promo code, and FantasyDraft promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.
Stackability Rating System:
GREEN – A viable full stack in cash games and GPPs.
YELLOW – A viable mini-stack in cash games and full stack in GPPs.
ORANGE – A viable stack in large field GPPs.
RED – Not a recommended stack for cash games or GPPs.
Oakland at NY Yankees – 1:05 PM ET
Oakland | NY Yankees | ||||||||||||||
Andrew Triggs | Michael Pineda | ||||||||||||||
RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||||||||
Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||||||||
NYY-170 | 8.5 | ||||||||||||||
Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.269 | 0.302 | 27.5% | 6.9% | 21.3% | 50.0% | SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.328 | 0.298 | 33.7% | 8.0% | 28.7% | 46.3% | ||
SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.301 | 0.284 | 24.0% | 5.6% | 21.5% | 51.7% | SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.325 | 0.301 | 30.8% | 5.0% | 26.6% | 47.4% |
Pitcher Grind Down
Andrew Triggs | |||||||||
FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | |||||||
Salary: | $7,800 | Salary: | $7,300 | Salary: | $14,400 | ||||
Salary Rank: | 14 of 30 | Salary Rank: | 13 of 30 | Salary Rank: | 13 of 30 | ||||
Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | 6 | 3.29 | 4.31 | 23.1% | 5.5% | 50.9% | 27.0% | 19.2% | |
2017 | 9 | 4.11 | 2.77 | 19.5% | 7.0% | 51.0% | 24.0% | 15.6% |
Happy Memorial Day weekend, Grinders! I’m writing this from a log cabin on a lake in the mountains of western North Carolina that (amazingly) has really solid internet. I hope everyone is getting to enjoy some time with loved ones over the long weekend. And if that gets boring, maybe you can find a few minutes to build some lineups.
It’s a typical Sunday slate, where most of the action takes place early in the day. DraftKings has an 11-game featured slate that does not include Clayton Kershaw or Coors Field, which makes the lineup build much more fun. They also offer a four-game afternoon slate (with Coors) and a really tricky four-game late slate that includes Kershaw, Lester, Cueto, and a bunch of unappealing cheap pitchers. Full disclosure: I’ll likely be fading the entire late slate on DraftKings, unless some serious value pops up that allows me to pay up for two high-end pitchers. FanDuel also has an 11-game main slate (again, no Kershaw or Coors), but they’ve yet to announce a late slate. With that, let’s get to the games.
Andrew Triggs had been a master of run prevention until he gave up five earned runs to the Red Sox in his last start. He still only allowed 25.0% hard contact in that game, but he was the victim of a .467 BABIP; I still believe in Triggs, and I’m willing to chalk that one up to bad luck. Even so, he gets below average strikeouts, and Yankee Stadium is a massive negative park shift. If we’re being optimistic, Triggs is a reverse splits pitcher who has allowed just a .202 wOBA to lefties this year (third-best in MLB), and his ground ball tendencies against lefties could neutralize the short right field porch.
Quick Breakdown: There are worse SP2 options on this slate than Triggs. But there are also far better ones (see Ross, Joe).
Michael Pineda | |||||||||
FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | |||||||
Salary: | $9,100 | Salary: | $9,900 | Salary: | $19,200 | ||||
Salary Rank: | 5 of 30 | Salary Rank: | 5 of 30 | Salary Rank: | 5 of 30 | ||||
Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | 32 | 3.40 | 4.82 | 27.4% | 7.0% | 45.8% | 32.7% | 17.2% | |
2017 | 9 | 2.90 | 3.35 | 28.1% | 4.2% | 50.7% | 29.7% | 14.5% |
Michael Pineda enters this game as a -170 favorite at home. It feels odd to say, but Pineda has been one of the best (and most consistent) pitchers in baseball from a DFS perspective this year. He’s got a 2.89 SIERA, a mark only bettered by Chris Sale, Max Scherzer, and Zack Greinke. His 28.1% K rate is elite, and while he still gives up home runs more often than we’d like (he’s allowed at least one homer in eight of nine starts this year), he’s still one of the best in the game at limiting walks, which means the likelihood of a blowup start is minimal. His matchup on Sunday is very boom-or-bust. The Athletics strike out at a 23.3% clip against righties, fourth-highest in MLB. On the other hand, their .207 ISO against righties leads all of baseball. In Yankee Stadium, Pineda will almost certainly give up a home run or two here, which knocks him below Lance McCullers in top overall plays of the slate. But he’s simply too cheap given his 2017 output, and he’s an elite cash game and SP2 on two-pitcher sites.
Quick Breakdown: Pineda seems to be putting it all together this year, and it feels like he’s reached legitimate ace status. He’s priced a tier below typical aces, though, and if not for Lance McCullers, he’d be the top overall pitcher on the slate.
Batter Grind Down
Oakland
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. RH Pitching)
# | Player | Bats | wOBA | xwOBA | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Rajai Davis | RIGHT | 0.302 | 0.273 | 0.140 | 27.1% | 6.3% | 18.7% | 47.4% | OF | $3,200 | OF | $3,500 | CF | $6,900 |
2 | Matt Joyce | LEFT | 0.348 | 0.370 | 0.214 | 38.0% | 17.8% | 21.8% | 40.8% | OF | $2,800 | OF | $3,400 | RF | $6,600 |
3 | Jed Lowrie | SWITCH | 0.319 | 0.316 | 0.125 | 33.0% | 8.0% | 16.5% | 37.1% | 2B | $2,300 | 2B | $4,300 | 2B | $8,400 |
4 | Khris Davis | RIGHT | 0.349 | 0.370 | 0.289 | 41.2% | 7.3% | 27.9% | 43.1% | OF | $3,600 | OF | $4,300 | LF | $8,400 |
5 | Yonder Alonso | LEFT | 0.329 | 0.363 | 0.160 | 34.3% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 39.7% | 1B | $3,400 | 1B | $4,100 | 1B | $8,000 |
6 | Ryon Healy | RIGHT | 0.325 | 0.328 | 0.190 | 32.1% | 4.6% | 23.8% | 40.1% | 1B | $3,000 | 1B/3B | $3,500 | 3B | $6,900 |
7 | Trevor Plouffe | RIGHT | 0.305 | 0.325 | 0.162 | 33.0% | 5.7% | 19.5% | 43.8% | 3B | $2,800 | 3B | $3,300 | 3B | $6,400 |
8 | Stephen Vogt | LEFT | 0.314 | 0.321 | 0.163 | 26.9% | 7.3% | 15.4% | 29.9% | C | $2,800 | C | $3,200 | C | $6,300 |
9 | Adam Rosales | RIGHT | 0.290 | 0.253 | 0.201 | 31.1% | 6.6% | 33.0% | 35.1% | 2B | $2,400 | SS | $2,200 | 3B | $4,100 |
Michael Pineda has pretty fairly neutral splits against lefties and righties, but with the A’s boasting MLB’s highest ISO against righties, it’s not the worst idea to target an A’s bat or two in tournaments as leverage plays if you’re not rostering Pineda. Khris Davis seems like a logical place to start, as he leads all of MLB with 25 barrels. Jed Lowrie has been the hottest hitter on the planet lately (literally – his 360 wRC+ over the last seven days leads all hitters). He’s near the minimum at FanDuel, but his price tag at DraftKings makes him basically unplayable.
Elite Plays – NONE
Secondary Plays – Khris Davis, Jed Lowrie (FD)
Stackability – RED
NY Yankees
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. RH Pitching)
# | Player | Bats | wOBA | xwOBA | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Brett Gardner | LEFT | 0.344 | 0.320 | 0.138 | 28.7% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 48.7% | OF | $3,700 | OF | $4,600 | LF | $9,000 |
2 | Gary Sanchez | RIGHT | 0.429 | 0.382 | 0.311 | 39.9% | 8.5% | 22.2% | 50.6% | C | $3,300 | C | $4,600 | C | $8,800 |
3 | Matt Holliday | RIGHT | 0.339 | 0.344 | 0.195 | 35.6% | 9.2% | 20.7% | 51.8% | 1B | $3,200 | 1B | $3,600 | IF/OF | $7,200 |
4 | Starlin Castro | RIGHT | 0.326 | 0.306 | 0.169 | 30.8% | 3.5% | 19.3% | 49.3% | 2B | $3,400 | 2B | $3,500 | 2B | $6,900 |
5 | Aaron Judge | RIGHT | 0.398 | 0.383 | 0.306 | 48.7% | 10.4% | 34.1% | 42.6% | OF | $4,100 | OF | $4,900 | RF | $9,600 |
6 | Chase Headley | SWITCH | 0.319 | 0.318 | 0.159 | 31.6% | 10.5% | 26.3% | 43.3% | 3B | $2,600 | 3B | $3,200 | 3B | $6,400 |
7 | Didi Gregorius | LEFT | 0.310 | 0.267 | 0.174 | 25.1% | 3.4% | 15.6% | 41.6% | SS | $3,400 | SS | $4,100 | SS | $8,100 |
8 | Aaron Hicks | SWITCH | 0.336 | 0.306 | 0.156 | 23.5% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 48.6% | OF | $3,200 | OF | $4,300 | CF | $8,400 |
9 | Chris Carter | RIGHT | 0.338 | 0.349 | 0.253 | 39.7% | 11.6% | 34.3% | 30.0% | 1B | $2,800 | 1B | $4,000 | 1B | $7,600 |
In a small sample, Andrew Triggs has held both lefties and righties at a .301 wOBA. He’s gotten high ground balls and limited hard contact to batters from both sides of the plate, as well. He’s establishing himself as a pitcher who rarely gets tagged for too many runs (though he did allow five earned to Boston in his last start). For that reason, I’m mostly off the Yankees bats for cash games. However, Vegas has Yankees at a healthy 4.66 implied runs. If I’m taking any Yankees, it’s one of the power bats of Aaron Judge or Gary Sanchez. Starlin Castro deserves a mention simply because he remains underpriced at DraftKings.
Elite Plays – NONE
Secondary Plays – Aaron Judge, Gary Sanchez, Starlin Castro (DK)
Stackability – ORANGE
Texas at Toronto – 1:07 PM ET
Texas | Toronto | ||||||||||||||
Andrew Cashner | Joe Biagini | ||||||||||||||
RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||||||||
Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||||||||
TOR-156 | 9.0 | ||||||||||||||
Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.365 | 0.383 | 37.9% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 36.7% | SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.287 | 0.261 | 26.8% | 7.1% | 25.0% | 59.2% | ||
SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.336 | 0.323 | 29.9% | 9.6% | 17.1% | 56.5% | SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.279 | 0.282 | 21.7% | 5.5% | 18.1% | 51.9% |
Pitcher Grind Down
Andrew Cashner | |||||||||
FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | |||||||
Salary: | $6,500 | Salary: | $5,900 | Salary: | $11,600 | ||||
Salary Rank: | 23 of 30 | Salary Rank: | 20 of 30 | Salary Rank: | 18 of 30 | ||||
Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | 27 | 4.72 | 5.25 | 19.1% | 10.2% | 46.5% | 35.8% | 12.5% | |
2017 | 8 | 6.05 | 3.18 | 11.1% | 13.2% | 47.2% | 28.2% | 18.3% |
DFS players had been clamoring for regression for Andrew Cashner all season, and they finally got it in his last start, when he was tagged for five earned runs against the Red Sox. I think there’s still more regression to be had. Cashner has walked more batters than he has struck out this season, which has led to a 6.06 SIERA. That alone is reason enough to scratch him off our lists today (and every day). But if that’s not enough, Vegas has the Blue Jays at an implied run total of 4.84 runs, fourth-highest among non-Coors teams.
Quick Breakdown: See Cashner. Fade Cashner.
Joe Biagini | |||||||||
FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | |||||||
Salary: | $6,100 | Salary: | $4,800 | Salary: | $9,600 | ||||
Salary Rank: | 27 of 30 | Salary Rank: | 26 of 30 | Salary Rank: | 23 of 30 | ||||
Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | 0 | 3.45 | 3.06 | 21.0% | 6.4% | 52.2% | 23.0% | 17.7% | |
2017 | 4 | 3.23 | 3.75 | 21.0% | 5.6% | 59.8% | 25.2% | 19.4% |
For someone who has yet to pitch more than five innings in a game this year, Joe Biagini seems to get a lot of love from the DFS community. And rightfully so. The converted reliever is still being stretched out as a starter (his season-high pitch count is the 77 he threw in his last start). While we can’t count on him to pitch deep into the game, there’s a lot to like here. He gets high ground balls to both lefties and righties, and he has been much better than league average at limiting hard contact to batters from both sides of the plate (although, to be fair, these numbers are certain to regress when he gains more starts, as he won’t have the luxury of always being used in favorable spots as he was when he was a reliever). Plus, he’s cheap – if he were able to earn a quality start, he would crush value. Biagini is the top option at the low end of pitchers on Sunday.
Quick Breakdown: Without a Clayton Kershaw or Coors Field bats to pay up for on the main slate, I’m not sure we have to reach down to Biagini. But he is a viable SP2 for tournaments, particularly if you want to stack up any of the pricier offenses.
Batter Grind Down
Texas
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. RH Pitching)
# | Player | Bats | wOBA | xwOBA | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Shin-soo Choo | LEFT | 0.319 | 0.369 | 0.124 | 42.3% | 13.0% | 21.4% | 47.8% | OF | $3,500 | OF | $3,800 | RF | $7,500 |
2 | Elvis Andrus | RIGHT | 0.331 | 0.321 | 0.136 | 27.7% | 7.8% | 13.8% | 46.1% | SS | $2,800 | SS | $3,900 | SS | $7,800 |
3 | Nomar Mazara | LEFT | 0.344 | 0.339 | 0.193 | 30.8% | 7.8% | 18.3% | 44.4% | OF | $3,500 | OF | $4,400 | RF | $8,400 |
4 | Jonathan Lucroy | RIGHT | 0.353 | 0.340 | 0.180 | 32.1% | 7.4% | 14.8% | 41.6% | C | $3,000 | C | $3,600 | C | $7,200 |
5 | Rougned Odor | LEFT | 0.329 | 0.302 | 0.236 | 34.3% | 3.3% | 21.4% | 39.4% | 2B | $2,800 | 2B | $3,700 | 2B | $7,200 |
6 | Mike Napoli | RIGHT | 0.322 | 0.334 | 0.232 | 34.5% | 9.7% | 29.7% | 36.8% | 1B | $3,200 | 1B | $3,900 | 1B | $7,600 |
7 | Joey Gallo | LEFT | 0.321 | 0.303 | 0.284 | 41.4% | 13.4% | 40.8% | 21.4% | 3B | $2,900 | 3B | $4,100 | IF/OF | $8,100 |
8 | Jared Hoying | LEFT | 0.287 | 0.261 | 0.103 | 34.0% | 4.9% | 18.0% | 36.2% | OF | $2,300 | OF | $2,800 | LF | $5,600 |
9 | Delino DeShields | RIGHT | 0.292 | 0.246 | 0.096 | 20.7% | 7.4% | 26.4% | 54.2% | OF | $3,000 | OF | $3,300 | CF | $6,600 |
Since many of Joe Biagini numbers came from his time as a reliever, it’s hard to read too much into his platoon splits. But the information that we have says he has better strikeout numbers and gets higher ground balls from lefties. Even so, Rougned Odor is underpriced across the industry and has already homered once in this revengiest of revenge spots, on Friday. Jonathan Lucroy is still cheap across the industry and gives you the rare opportunity to roster a catcher hitting out of the cleanup spot. At 97.0%, Lucroy also has the highest contact rate of any qualified hitter over the past two weeks. Joey Gallo pretty much has a permanent spot as a GPP one-off possibility whenever he faces a righty, especially when he’s in the hitter-friendly Rogers Centre.
Elite Plays – Rougned Odor
Secondary Plays – Jonathan Lucroy, Joey Gallo (GPP)
Stackability – ORANGE
Toronto
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. RH Pitching)
# | Player | Bats | wOBA | xwOBA | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Kevin Pillar | RIGHT | 0.303 | 0.295 | 0.119 | 26.5% | 5.3% | 14.9% | 48.4% | OF | $3,700 | OF | $3,700 | CF | $7,200 |
2 | Josh Donaldson | RIGHT | 0.407 | 0.405 | 0.274 | 40.7% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 39.6% | 3B | $3,800 | 3B | $4,600 | 3B | $8,800 |
3 | Jose Bautista | RIGHT | 0.365 | 0.371 | 0.220 | 39.1% | 16.7% | 22.1% | 37.0% | OF | $3,800 | OF | $4,800 | RF | $9,200 |
4 | Kendrys Morales | SWITCH | 0.312 | 0.397 | 0.198 | 41.0% | 8.4% | 19.2% | 48.2% | 1B | $3,100 | 1B | $3,600 | 1B | $7,200 |
5 | Justin Smoak | SWITCH | 0.323 | 0.345 | 0.201 | 42.4% | 10.8% | 33.2% | 29.8% | 1B | $3,400 | 1B | $3,800 | 1B | $7,500 |
6 | Russell Martin | RIGHT | 0.320 | 0.317 | 0.162 | 29.8% | 11.5% | 26.9% | 48.8% | C | $2,700 | C | $3,200 | C | $6,400 |
7 | Troy Tulowitzki | RIGHT | 0.323 | 0.356 | 0.190 | 34.7% | 7.1% | 17.9% | 40.8% | SS | $3,000 | SS | $3,900 | SS | $7,600 |
8 | Devon Travis | RIGHT | 0.332 | 0.311 | 0.166 | 30.7% | 5.0% | 19.6% | 45.0% | 2B | $3,300 | 2B | $3,600 | 2B | $7,200 |
9 | Ezequiel Carrera | LEFT | 0.297 | 0.271 | 0.107 | 24.9% | 8.0% | 20.9% | 56.6% | OF | $2,600 | OF | $2,700 | RF | $5,400 |
Andrew Cashner gets high ground balls and allows lower-than-average hard contact against righties. Against lefties, his .365 wOBA since 2016 and 37.9% hard hit rate says this is the spot to attack. For a hitter with an elite .397 xwOBA against righties, Kendrys Morales feels way underpriced across the industry; he’s one of my favorite point-per-dollar hitters of the day. Justin Smoak also falls into that category, as well, though his high strikeout rate makes him a bit scarier for cash games. (side note: I read on Reddit today that Smoak leads all American League first basemen in wRC+ this year. Wow.). Apart from those lefties, though, I like a few of the righties, as well, though they don’t quite make the cut as elite plays.
Elite Plays – Kendrys Morales
Secondary Plays – Justin Smoak, Troy Tulowitzki, Russell Martin, Josh Donaldson, Jose Bautista
Stackability – YELLOW
Kansas City at Cleveland – 1:10 PM ET
Kansas City | Cleveland | ||||||||||||||
Danny Duffy | Josh Tomlin | ||||||||||||||
LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||||||||
Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||||||||
CLE-135 | 8.5 | ||||||||||||||
Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.214 | 0.219 | 25.7% | 5.0% | 31.7% | 42.7% | SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.300 | 0.318 | 37.5% | 2.2% | 15.8% | 47.7% | ||
SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.324 | 0.325 | 36.2% | 6.7% | 22.6% | 36.6% | SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.360 | 0.346 | 31.6% | 2.9% | 17.3% | 40.8% |
Pitcher Grind Down
Danny Duffy | |||||||||
FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | |||||||
Salary: | $8,700 | Salary: | $9,100 | Salary: | $17,600 | ||||
Salary Rank: | 8 of 30 | Salary Rank: | 7 of 30 | Salary Rank: | 7 of 30 | ||||
Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | 26 | 3.53 | 3.51 | 25.7% | 5.8% | 36.4% | 36.6% | 17.8% | |
2017 | 10 | 4.47 | 2.92 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 40.4% | 29.4% | 16.0% |
After a brief dip in strikeouts for a few games this year, Danny Duffy appears to be back to last season’s form. He’s lasted seven innings, struck out six batters, and allowed two or fewer earned runs in his last three matchups. The 4.47 SIERA is a bit troublesome, and he has been on the better end of some home run variance (5.5% HR/FB rate). Even so, he’s really improved in terms of limiting hard contact, especially against opposite-handed hitters. This year, he has the 64th-highest hard hit rate against righties; last year, he had the second-highest. While the Indians do boast a talented lineup of hitters, and while they are stingy with the strikeouts, let’s not forget that this team is much weaker against southpaws. They strike out at the second-lowest rate in MLB against lefties, which limits Duffy’s ceiling. He has the 64th-highest hard hit rate this year, compared to the second-highest last season. He’s a road underdog against Josh Tomlin, which isn’t ideal, but on a slate when two pitchers (McCullers, Pineda) should soak up a ton of ownership, Duffy is a nice pivot with reasonable upside for tournaments.
Quick Breakdown: Doesn’t make the cut for cash games, but very interesting as a tournament pivot off the likely massive ownership of McCullers and Pineda.
Josh Tomlin | |||||||||
FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | |||||||
Salary: | $7,300 | Salary: | $7,000 | Salary: | $14,000 | ||||
Salary Rank: | 18 of 30 | Salary Rank: | 15 of 30 | Salary Rank: | 15 of 30 | ||||
Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | 29 | 4.24 | 4.40 | 16.3% | 2.8% | 43.8% | 33.9% | 16.4% | |
2017 | 9 | 3.85 | 6.70 | 17.8% | 2.0% | 44.3% | 35.4% | 11.2% |
When the best thing anyone can say about a pitcher is, “Well…he doesn’t walk many guys,” that should tell you something. Josh Tomlin is one of those pitchers we rarely consider rostering in DFS, even in the best of matchups. His 2.0% walk rate is as low as ever, and the Royals have become one of the best teams in baseball to attack with pitchers. And yet, there’s little appeal here. Tomlin’s 90.6% zone contact rating is in the top 10 highest of all qualified starters, and his swinging strike rate is in the top 10 lowest. The ball will be put into play a lot, which means that Tomlin can be safely avoided in all formats.
Quick Breakdown: Even against the Royals, even as a decent home favorite, I can’t get behind using Tomlin.
Batter Grind Down
Kansas City
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. RH Pitching)
# | Player | Bats | wOBA | xwOBA | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Alcides Escobar | RIGHT | 0.265 | 0.251 | 0.079 | 21.4% | 3.5% | 15.9% | 46.9% | SS | $2,200 | SS | $2,400 | SS | $4,800 |
2 | Mike Moustakas | LEFT | 0.341 | 0.356 | 0.250 | 35.5% | 6.8% | 14.5% | 36.0% | 3B | $3,200 | 3B | $3,700 | 3B | $7,200 |
3 | Lorenzo Cain | RIGHT | 0.308 | 0.295 | 0.090 | 27.8% | 7.4% | 21.0% | 49.8% | OF | $3,200 | OF | $3,600 | CF | $7,200 |
4 | Eric Hosmer | LEFT | 0.348 | 0.358 | 0.162 | 35.3% | 10.0% | 18.2% | 57.0% | 1B | $3,000 | 1B | $3,600 | 1B | $7,200 |
5 | Salvador Perez | RIGHT | 0.328 | 0.313 | 0.206 | 37.5% | 3.6% | 20.9% | 34.0% | C | $3,200 | C | $3,500 | C | $6,800 |
6 | Jorge Bonifacio | RIGHT | 0.376 | 0.374 | 0.271 | 33.3% | 7.7% | 23.1% | 35.6% | OF | $2,800 | OF | $3,500 | RF | $6,800 |
7 | Brandon Moss | LEFT | 0.323 | 0.340 | 0.280 | 39.7% | 9.6% | 31.3% | 26.9% | 1B | $2,800 | OF | $3,600 | IF/OF | $7,200 |
8 | Whit Merrifield | RIGHT | 0.283 | 0.286 | 0.122 | 31.6% | 4.5% | 20.2% | 44.0% | 2B | $2,700 | 2B | $3,400 | IF/OF | $6,600 |
9 | Alex Gordon | LEFT | 0.293 | 0.320 | 0.139 | 35.8% | 10.3% | 27.4% | 39.9% | OF | $2,600 | OF | $3,100 | LF | $6,000 |
Josh Tomlin is a reverse splits, fly ball pitcher, which lines up perfectly for Salvador Perez. There is a surprising number of solid catchers in good to great spots today (Gattis, Avila, Lucroy, Bandy, to name a few others), but Perez may be in the best spot of all, as he’s dominated right-handed pitching this year (.401 wOBA, .296 ISO). Plus, he’s got the BvP angle, as he is a career 17-for-32 with nine extra-base hits including a home run against Tomlin. Mike Moustakas has been red hot with homers in three of his last four. He’s got elite numbers against righties and could easily send another one to the seats.
Elite Plays – Salvador Perez
Secondary Plays – Mike Moustakas
Stackability – RED
Cleveland
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. LH Pitching)
# | Player | Bats | wOBA | xwOBA | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jason Kipnis | LEFT | 0.322 | 0.312 | 0.181 | 28.6% | 5.5% | 24.6% | 42.1% | 2B | $3,400 | 2B | $4,200 | 2B | $8,100 |
2 | Francisco Lindor | SWITCH | 0.335 | 0.334 | 0.147 | 31.7% | 7.2% | 14.3% | 46.7% | SS | $3,500 | SS | $4,500 | SS | $8,800 |
3 | Michael Brantley | LEFT | 0.285 | 0.294 | 0.111 | 31.8% | 8.3% | 18.3% | 47.7% | OF | $3,800 | OF | $4,400 | LF | $8,400 |
4 | Edwin Encarnacion | RIGHT | 0.372 | 0.384 | 0.232 | 40.5% | 19.2% | 22.1% | 40.5% | 1B | $3,700 | 1B | $4,400 | 1B | $8,700 |
5 | Carlos Santana | SWITCH | 0.313 | 0.327 | 0.128 | 29.4% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 54.2% | 1B | $3,500 | 1B | $4,200 | 1B | $8,000 |
6 | Jose Ramirez | SWITCH | 0.342 | 0.347 | 0.150 | 32.6% | 7.3% | 14.1% | 42.7% | 3B | $2,700 | 2B/3B | $3,700 | IF/OF | $7,200 |
7 | Yan Gomes | RIGHT | 0.356 | 0.320 | 0.224 | 31.2% | 7.3% | 20.9% | 40.8% | C | $2,700 | C | $3,500 | C | $6,900 |
8 | Austin Jackson | RIGHT | 0.265 | 0.310 | 0.119 | 43.1% | 10.5% | 22.4% | 42.0% | OF | $2,600 | OF | $3,000 | CF | $6,000 |
9 | Daniel Robertson | RIGHT | 0.390 | 0.281 | 0.176 | 31.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 43.8% | OF | $2,200 | 2B/3B | $2,600 | LF | $4,800 |
Danny Duffy isn’t a pitcher I’m super interested in picking on today. Continuing with the “Duffy is better at limiting hard hits this year than last year” consider this: he’s only allowed three home runs to the 219 righties he’s faced this year. Compare that to last year, when he allowed 26 home runs to 616 righties faced. We can always target Edwin Encarnacion against fly ball lefties, and Francisco Lindor has shown pop when hitting from the right side of the plate this year. Those two are tournament one-offs, though, and not ones I’ll likely be targeting myself.
Elite Plays – NONE
Secondary Plays – Edwin Encarnacion, Francisco Lindor
Stackability – ORANGE
LA Angels at Miami – 1:10 PM ET
LA Angels | Miami | ||||||||||||||
Matt Shoemaker | Jose Urena | ||||||||||||||
RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||||||||
Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||||||||
MIA-105 | 8.5 | ||||||||||||||
Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.306 | 0.326 | 34.0% | 4.4% | 20.0% | 35.9% | SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.321 | 0.331 | 31.8% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 40.6% | ||
SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.321 | 0.306 | 29.8% | 7.4% | 23.9% | 44.1% | SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.343 | 0.332 | 32.5% | 8.4% | 18.6% | 49.5% |
Pitcher Grind Down
Matt Shoemaker | |||||||||
FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | |||||||
Salary: | $9,500 | Salary: | $9,400 | Salary: | $18,300 | ||||
Salary Rank: | 3 of 30 | Salary Rank: | 6 of 30 | Salary Rank: | 6 of 30 | ||||
Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | 27 | 3.87 | 3.88 | 21.4% | 4.5% | 39.8% | 30.1% | 17.4% | |
2017 | 10 | 4.26 | 3.97 | 23.3% | 9.8% | 39.2% | 38.3% | 13.6% |
Matt Shoemaker has been on a nice little roll lately, posting quality starts in each of his last three outings. While there was a period last year where it looked like Shoemaker was knocking on the door of elite pitcher territory, he’s cooled off since then, and now he’s simply an above average starter. On a slate with only a few viable pitching options, Shoemaker deserves a closer look. The matchup is a positive one. The Marlins don’t strike out much, but they rank in the bottom six of MLB in wOBA, ISO, and wRC+ against right-handed pitching. His 23.3% K rate is above average, which means he could do just enough in the strikeout department. Shoemaker’s massive fly ball rate and hard contact allowed probably keep him from being a cash game play (especially at FanDuel, where it’s impossible to justify playing him over McCullers or Pineda), but he’s shown the upside to be useful in tournaments.
Quick Breakdown: It’s crazy that he’s priced higher than Lance McCullers and Michael Pineda at FanDuel. Avoid him there, except in tournaments. His price tags at DraftKings and FantasyDraft are more palatable, but he still makes more sense as a tournament play than as an SP2.
Jose Urena | |||||||||
FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | |||||||
Salary: | $6,500 | Salary: | $5,800 | Salary: | $11,600 | ||||
Salary Rank: | 23 of 30 | Salary Rank: | 21 of 30 | Salary Rank: | 18 of 30 | ||||
Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | 12 | 4.66 | 6.13 | 15.6% | 7.8% | 47.7% | 32.5% | 21.4% | |
2017 | 4 | 5.16 | 3.08 | 12.5% | 6.9% | 37.7% | 31.2% | 19.2% |
Don’t be fooled by Jose Urena’s 3.08 ERA. It’s been buoyed by an unsustainably low .250 BABIP, and his 5.16 SIERA says regression is imminent. Outside of Mike Trout, the Angels are not an imposing offense, but Urena is a low-strikeout pitcher (he hasn’t fanned more than four in any game this year). Even at home in his pitcher-friendly environs, Urena holds little appeal for DFS.
Quick Breakdown: It’s a bit surprising that Urena is favored over Matt Shoemaker, even though he’s at home. That said, Urena doesn’t have the strikeout upside to be worth our time.
Batter Grind Down
LA Angels
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. RH Pitching)
# | Player | Bats | wOBA | xwOBA | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Cameron Maybin | RIGHT | 0.341 | 0.301 | 0.110 | 23.4% | 11.3% | 17.4% | 62.7% | OF | $3,400 | OF | $4,700 | CF | $9,300 |
2 | Kole Calhoun | LEFT | 0.326 | 0.339 | 0.155 | 34.4% | 9.8% | 18.7% | 38.0% | OF | $2,900 | OF | $3,100 | RF | $6,000 |
3 | Mike Trout | RIGHT | 0.436 | 0.434 | 0.284 | 41.2% | 17.0% | 21.1% | 39.0% | OF | $4,800 | OF | $5,500 | CF | $10,800 |
4 | Albert Pujols | RIGHT | 0.317 | 0.361 | 0.163 | 35.5% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 44.7% | 1B | $3,000 | 1B | $4,200 | 1B | $8,100 |
5 | Luis Valbuena | LEFT | 0.334 | 0.331 | 0.194 | 37.7% | 13.8% | 24.9% | 37.4% | 3B | $2,200 | 1B/3B | $3,100 | 3B | $6,000 |
6 | Andrelton Simmons | RIGHT | 0.308 | 0.308 | 0.092 | 27.6% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 54.9% | SS | $3,100 | SS | $3,900 | SS | $7,600 |
7 | Martin Maldonado | RIGHT | 0.271 | 0.289 | 0.126 | 27.9% | 10.3% | 21.7% | 46.9% | C | $2,500 | C | $2,100 | C | $4,000 |
8 | Danny Espinosa | SWITCH | 0.279 | 0.285 | 0.139 | 31.3% | 9.9% | 30.1% | 39.0% | 2B | $2,100 | 2B | $2,900 | 2B | $5,700 |
9 | Matt Shoemaker | RIGHT | 0.000 | 0.035 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 100.0% | P | $9,500 | P | $9,400 | P | $18,300 |
I’ve been doing the Grind Down on Sundays for about a month now, and every time it comes time to write up the Angels offense, I write basically the same thing: “It’s never a bad idea to play Mike Trout, but just ignore everyone else” (in some variation). That’s still true, and I don’t love this game for offense. However, Kole Calhoun batted leadoff against a righty on Friday, and if that continues, he becomes an elite play given his cheap price tag and Urena’s career 10.7% K rate against lefties. Martin Maldonado has also seen a bump in his lineup spot recently; if he’s hitting sixth again, he’s a decent punt at DraftKings.
Elite Plays – Mike Trout, Kole Calhoun
Secondary Plays – Martin Maldonado (DK)
Stackability – ORANGE
Miami
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. RH Pitching)
# | Player | Bats | wOBA | xwOBA | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dee Gordon | LEFT | 0.294 | 0.243 | 0.075 | 19.3% | 5.3% | 16.0% | 56.7% | 2B | $3,000 | 2B | $4,400 | 2B | $8,700 |
2 | Christian Yelich | LEFT | 0.371 | 0.386 | 0.196 | 40.5% | 11.9% | 19.9% | 54.7% | OF | $3,500 | OF | $3,800 | CF | $7,500 |
3 | Marcell Ozuna | RIGHT | 0.332 | 0.334 | 0.181 | 36.8% | 7.7% | 20.0% | 46.7% | OF | $3,800 | OF | $3,900 | LF | $7,800 |
4 | Giancarlo Stanton | RIGHT | 0.326 | 0.329 | 0.219 | 37.9% | 9.5% | 29.2% | 39.8% | OF | $3,900 | OF | $4,300 | RF | $8,400 |
5 | Justin Bour | LEFT | 0.360 | 0.395 | 0.237 | 39.6% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 45.4% | 1B | $3,700 | 1B | $4,600 | 1B | $8,800 |
6 | Derek Dietrich | LEFT | 0.342 | 0.344 | 0.144 | 29.0% | 8.2% | 20.3% | 37.6% | 3B | $2,700 | 3B | $3,200 | 3B | $6,300 |
7 | J.T. Realmuto | RIGHT | 0.337 | 0.309 | 0.110 | 30.5% | 5.1% | 16.8% | 50.5% | C | $2,900 | C | $3,800 | C | $7,500 |
8 | JT Riddle | LEFT | 0.285 | 0.345 | 0.222 | 47.1% | 4.8% | 14.3% | 34.4% | SS | $2,500 | SS | $2,600 | SS | $5,100 |
9 | Jose Urena | RIGHT | 0.122 | 0.127 | 0.000 | 6.7% | 4.2% | 33.3% | 66.7% | P | $6,500 | P | $5,800 | P | $11,600 |
Much like the Indians bats against Danny Duffy, I have enough respect for Shoemaker that I’m not going out of my way to target Marlins bats on Sunday. However, Justin Bour has turned himself into an elite hitter (at least for the time being). His .285 ISO and 47.5% hard hit rate are matched by only Michael Conforto and Miguel Sano, so clearly, this is a hitter with massive power. Shoemaker is a fly ball pitcher who will give up the occasional long ball, so Bour is a very interesting one-off for GPPs. Apart from Bour, stacking up a few other Marlins (Stanton, Ozuna, and Yelich would be my preference) makes sense given the fact that Shoemaker has doubled his walk rate since last year (9.8% this year, 4.5% last year) and, as a fly ball pitcher, he has a history of being susceptible to home runs.
Elite Plays – Justin Bour
Secondary Plays – Giancarlo Stanton, Marcell Ozuna, Christian Yelich
Stackability – ORANGE
Cincinnati at Philadelphia – 1:35 PM ET
Cincinnati | Philadelphia | ||||||||||||||
Scott Feldman | Zach Eflin | ||||||||||||||
RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||||||||
Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||||||||
CIN-112 | 9.0 | ||||||||||||||
Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.355 | 0.327 | 24.2% | 9.4% | 16.3% | 49.2% | SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.380 | 0.373 | 37.5% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 41.5% | ||
SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.305 | 0.281 | 29.3% | 5.6% | 19.4% | 45.6% | SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.315 | 0.313 | 30.3% | 5.0% | 13.1% | 39.7% |
Pitcher Grind Down
Scott Feldman | |||||||||
FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | |||||||
Salary: | $7,200 | Salary: | $7,500 | Salary: | $15,000 | ||||
Salary Rank: | 20 of 30 | Salary Rank: | 11 of 30 | Salary Rank: | 11 of 30 | ||||
Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | 5 | 4.07 | 3.97 | 16.6% | 5.6% | 49.8% | 24.6% | 21.2% | |
2017 | 10 | 4.45 | 3.99 | 20.3% | 9.5% | 42.8% | 31.1% | 21.7% |
In his last start, Scott Feldman came out of nowhere to throw a six-inning, nine-strikeout gem in which the only earned run he allowed came off a solo home run. But let’s not get carried away. The phrase “you can’t teach an old dog new tricks” seems fitting here, and I’m more than willing to chalk that start up to variance, as Feldman has been an average (at best) pitcher for years. He’s carrying a passable 4.23 SIERA into this game, and his 27.1% hard contact rate has allowed him to limit the damage. However, his below average strikeouts take him out of play except on the smallest of slates.
Quick Breakdown: Avoid Feldman in all formats.
Zach Eflin | |||||||||
FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | |||||||
Salary: | $6,300 | Salary: | $4,500 | Salary: | $9,000 | ||||
Salary Rank: | 25 of 30 | Salary Rank: | 29 of 30 | Salary Rank: | 27 of 30 | ||||
Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | 11 | 5.41 | 5.54 | 11.4% | 6.3% | 36.2% | 33.2% | 17.5% | |
2017 | 7 | 4.81 | 5.36 | 12.1% | 4.4% | 47.5% | 35.4% | 15.7% |
Zach Eflin has the highest SIERA of the entire day (5.18) and the lowest strikeout rate (11.7%). That is not a winning combination. He’s allowed 15 earned runs in his last two starts while managing to strike out just five batters during that stretch. There’s a high likelihood Eflin gives up runs in bunches again on Sunday. He’s an easy fade.
Quick Breakdown: Avoid Eflin in all formats.
Batter Grind Down
Cincinnati
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. RH Pitching)
# | Player | Bats | wOBA | xwOBA | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Billy Hamilton | SWITCH | 0.310 | 0.261 | 0.085 | 19.8% | 9.1% | 19.4% | 45.8% | OF | $3,600 | OF | $5,000 | CF | $9,600 |
2 | Zack Cozart | RIGHT | 0.336 | 0.303 | 0.171 | 30.2% | 9.2% | 16.6% | 38.6% | SS | $3,400 | SS | $4,200 | SS | $8,000 |
3 | Joey Votto | LEFT | 0.426 | 0.442 | 0.258 | 40.7% | 17.7% | 14.6% | 37.0% | 1B | $4,500 | 1B | $5,000 | 1B | $9,600 |
4 | Adam Duvall | RIGHT | 0.325 | 0.324 | 0.249 | 36.5% | 5.7% | 26.4% | 32.8% | OF | $3,700 | OF | $4,600 | IF/OF | $8,800 |
5 | Eugenio Suarez | RIGHT | 0.319 | 0.320 | 0.163 | 34.3% | 8.0% | 23.6% | 39.9% | 3B | $3,000 | 3B | $4,500 | 3B | $8,800 |
6 | Scott Schebler | LEFT | 0.341 | 0.330 | 0.201 | 35.0% | 7.8% | 21.7% | 50.4% | OF | $3,100 | OF | $4,500 | RF | $8,700 |
7 | Jose Peraza | RIGHT | 0.312 | 0.300 | 0.079 | 19.0% | 2.1% | 13.5% | 44.2% | 2B | $2,700 | 2B | $4,100 | 2B | $8,100 |
8 | Devin Mesoraco | RIGHT | 0.258 | 0.309 | 0.103 | 20.8% | 6.8% | 20.3% | 39.6% | C | $2,600 | C | $2,900 | C | $5,700 |
9 | Scott Feldman | RIGHT | 0.000 | 0.068 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 43.8% | 40.0% | P | $7,200 | P | $7,500 | P | $15,000 |
With a 4.57 implied run total, the Reds are one of my favorite sneaky stacks of the day. Zach Eflin simply can’t strike anybody out, which increases the chances Billy Hamilton will be on the base paths. If Cameron Rupp (who ranks in the bottom 10 in MLB at throwing out base runners, according to FanGraphs) is behind the plate – or really, even if he isn’t – Hamilton should have no trouble swiping a bag or two here. Where Eflin really struggles, though, is against lefties. Joey Votto and Scott Schebler are fine plays in all formats.
Elite Plays – Joey Votto, Scott Schebler
Secondary Plays – Billy Hamilton
Stackability – YELLOW
Philadelphia
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. RH Pitching)
# | Player | Bats | wOBA | xwOBA | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Cesar Hernandez | SWITCH | 0.335 | 0.307 | 0.108 | 24.9% | 11.1% | 18.4% | 53.2% | 2B | $3,000 | 2B | $3,900 | 2B | $7,800 |
2 | Odubel Herrera | LEFT | 0.332 | 0.305 | 0.147 | 29.1% | 8.7% | 20.7% | 43.9% | OF | $2,600 | OF | $2,900 | IF/OF | $5,700 |
3 | Aaron Altherr | RIGHT | 0.313 | 0.298 | 0.149 | 32.9% | 10.1% | 31.0% | 51.0% | OF | $3,500 | OF | $4,200 | LF | $8,100 |
4 | Tommy Joseph | RIGHT | 0.326 | 0.325 | 0.203 | 37.5% | 5.3% | 22.5% | 40.6% | 1B | $3,500 | 1B | $4,000 | 1B | $7,600 |
5 | Michael Saunders | LEFT | 0.325 | 0.322 | 0.192 | 37.6% | 10.2% | 26.7% | 38.5% | OF | $2,700 | OF | $3,500 | RF | $6,900 |
6 | Maikel Franco | RIGHT | 0.293 | 0.322 | 0.152 | 29.1% | 6.6% | 16.4% | 44.7% | 3B | $3,100 | 3B | $3,600 | 3B | $7,200 |
7 | Cameron Rupp | RIGHT | 0.300 | 0.316 | 0.168 | 32.6% | 6.5% | 28.3% | 47.3% | C | $2,600 | C | $3,200 | C | $6,400 |
8 | Freddy Galvis | SWITCH | 0.304 | 0.278 | 0.175 | 28.1% | 5.3% | 21.1% | 39.9% | SS | $2,700 | SS | $3,000 | SS | $6,000 |
9 | Zach Eflin | RIGHT | 0.144 | 0.144 | 0.037 | 42.9% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 69.2% | P | $6,300 | P | $4,500 | P | $9,000 |
It’s always a bit tough to figure out how to attack Feldman. He’s been much worse against lefties, but he also has an absolutely elite 24.6% hard hit rate against them. Ultimately, this is not close to one of the top spots of the day, but Odubel Herrera is underpriced across the industry, especially if he’s batting out of the one- or two-hole.