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MLB Grind Down: Sunday, September 4th

by Andrew Cook (louiescards) Last Updated 2016-09-05 01:23:59

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The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code and FanDuel promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.

Stackability Rating System:

GREEN – One of the top stacks of the day, viable in cash games and GPPs
YELLOW – A viable stack option in most formats, specifically GPPs
ORANGE – There are better stacks out there, but playable in large GPPs
RED – Not a recommended stack for cash games or GPPs

St. Louis at Cincinnati – 1:10 PM ET

Editor’s Note: Brandon Phillips has been scratched.

St. Louis Cincinnati
stlouismlb Carlos Martinez cincinnatimlb Tim Adleman
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
STL -162 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.327 18 32.5% 19.4% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.383 5 27.1% 21.9%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.250 6 22.9% 26.5% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.325 3 32.8% 10.3%

Pitcher Grind Down

Carlos Martinez
carlos-martinez-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $9,800 Salary: $10,600
FPPG: 32.1 FPPG: 16.8
Pitcher Rating: 86.8 Pitcher Rank: 3
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 95.8 3.39 3.38 26.2% 8.5% 8.8% 58.5% 22.0% 24.7%
2016 25 96.6 4.01 3.07 21.1% 8.6% 8.8% 56.4% 25.6% 28.4%
2015 29 98.1 3.44 3.01 24.4% 8.3% 10.5% 54.5% 25.5% 27.6%

Carlos Martinez: Pitching as a whole on this slate today is a bit on the weaker side in my opinion, and Martinez comes in as one of the top options on the board. He is coming off of a 13-strikeout game, which was a new career high. In his last three starts, Martinez has allowed just 11 hits and three runs while pitching no fewer than six innings. With his current form, I really like Martinez today, even in a hitter’s park such as this.

Home:—ERA: 3.65 — K%: 21.5% — wOBA Allowed: 0.306
Away:—ERA: 2.43 — K%: 24.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.273

Tim Adleman
tim-adleman-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,000 Salary: $5,000
FPPG: 22.4 FPPG: 10.8
Pitcher Rating: 35.1 Pitcher Rank: 27
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 3 82.7 5.57 3.94 11.8% 4.4% 7.7% 25.9% 50.0% 32.7%
2016 7 83.4 5.04 3.82 15.9% 8.0% 8.4% 36.1% 44.4% 30.4%

Tim Adleman: The strikeout potential for Adleman just is not where you need it to be if we were to consider using him in our lineups today. Not only that, but he has yet to pitch more than six innings in a game, leaving us with relatively no upside when you factor both of those things together. I do not think he is a terrible pitcher overall, but his game does not translate to fantasy success at this point, and you can safely fade him here today.

Home:—ERA: 3.44 — K%: 13.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.349
Away:—ERA: 4.24 — K%: 18.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.360

Batter Grind Down

St. Louis

Cardinals: Saint Louis somehow continues to post pretty solid numbers as a team, hanging out near the top of the league against right-handed pitching for the entire season. With that said, I do no think we have to go crazy, as the lineup has been far more inconsistent lately as opposed to the beginning of the season. Randal Grichuk is a bat that not a lot of people are talking about right now who could provide you with a pretty solid chunk of fantasy points if he continues to square up the ball.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Matt Carpenter LEFT 0.397 0.263 43.2% 0.315 2B $4,100 2B/3B $5,200
2 Jedd Gyorko RIGHT 0.317 0.219 33.9% 0.376 3B $3,100 2B/3B $4,600
3 Brandon Moss LEFT 0.340 0.260 43.3% 0.291 1B $3,600 1B/OF $4,700
4 Stephen Piscotty RIGHT 0.338 0.171 35.7% 0.376 OF $3,400 OF $4,500
5 Yadier Molina RIGHT 0.311 0.101 27.8% 0.315 C $3,100 C $3,900
6 Jhonny Peralta RIGHT 0.322 0.128 32.6% 0.296 SS $2,900 3B/SS $3,500
7 Randal Grichuk RIGHT 0.352 0.272 40.0% 0.382 OF $3,500 OF $4,800
8 Greg Garcia LEFT 0.330 0.121 27.4% 0.438 2B $2,500 2B/SS $3,400
9 Carlos Martinez RIGHT 0.219 0.026 15.4% 0.292 P $9,800 P $10,600
Team Averages — 0.325 0.173 33.3% 0.342 — — — —

Elite Plays – Matt Carpenter

Secondary Plays – Stephen Piscotty , Randal Grichuk , Brandon Moss

Stackability – Orange

Cincinnati

Reds: Believe it or not, the Reds have not been all that bad in the second half with a top-five wOBA. The thing is, they find themselves in a tough matchup with Carlos Martinez who has looked a whole lot better in his past few starts. I am not saying we need to fade them completely if you are not using Martinez today – just do not go crazy with exposure.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Billy Hamilton SWITCH 0.273 0.059 19.5% 0.230 OF $2,900 OF $3,500
2 Zack Cozart RIGHT 0.316 0.173 29.0% 0.229 SS $3,000 SS $3,000
3 Joey Votto LEFT 0.422 0.241 42.6% 0.441 1B $3,800 1B $4,800
4 Adam Duvall RIGHT 0.350 0.288 37.2% 0.400 OF $3,100 OF $4,000
5 Brandon Phillips RIGHT 0.316 0.115 26.5% 0.272 2B $2,900 2B $2,900
6 Scott Schebler LEFT 0.315 0.209 37.7% 0.414 OF $3,200 OF $3,000
7 Eugenio Suarez RIGHT 0.307 0.157 32.4% 0.369 3B $2,800 3B $3,100
8 Ramon Cabrera SWITCH 0.277 0.109 22.5% 0.307 C $2,200 C $2,300
9 Tim Adleman RIGHT 0.155 0.125 0.0% 0.413 P $6,000 P $5,000
Team Averages — 0.303 0.164 27.5% 0.342 — — — —

Elite Plays – Joey Votto

Secondary Plays – Adam Duvall , Scott Schebler

Stackability – Red

Toronto at Tampa Bay – 1:10 PM ET

Toronto Tampa Bay
torontomlb J.A. Happ tampabaymlb Chris Archer
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
TOR -110 7.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.293 5 34.3% 24.0% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.280 19 32.2% 28.9%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.301 31 31.0% 20.7% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.295 24 33.3% 28.3%

Pitcher Grind Down

J.A. Happ
j.a.-happ-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $9,400 Salary: $10,300
FPPG: 36.2 FPPG: 18.7
Pitcher Rating: 80.0 Pitcher Rank: 5
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 93.4 3.52 3.52 25.4% 5.7% 11.1% 42.2% 34.9% 33.3%
2016 26 94.7 4.09 3.23 21.8% 7.2% 10.0% 42.4% 35.5% 32.2%
2015 31 91.6 3.82 3.61 21.1% 6.3% 8.1% 41.6% 34.1% 31.2%

J.A. Happ: This game has two of the top overall pitching options facing off against each other, with Happ and company in Tampa to take on Chris Archer. It has been somewhat of a magical season for Happ, who has seventeen wins on the season to this point. The issue I have is that he is starting to get hit a little harder lately, surrendering five home runs in his last three starts. It was only four starts ago that Happ was able to shut down this Rays lineup, so the potential is certainly there, but I have some reservations with him today.

Home:—ERA: 2.81 — K%: 22.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.292
Away:—ERA: 4.00 — K%: 20.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.305

Chris Archer
chris-archer-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $9,600 Salary: $9,900
FPPG: 34.9 FPPG: 19.0
Pitcher Rating: 93.7 Pitcher Rank: 2
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 107.4 2.70 2.87 33.1% 6.5% 12.7% 54.8% 30.1% 32.9%
2016 28 103.3 3.48 4.10 28.1% 8.4% 12.1% 47.2% 33.4% 33.4%
2015 34 101.4 3.08 3.23 29.0% 7.6% 12.8% 46.1% 33.9% 32.2%

Chris Archer: Archer has continued to strike out batters at a high rate all season, but the more encouraging thing is that he is also starting to become more consistent, keeping his opponents from crossing the plate. Even though Toronto is a high-upside team offensively due to the power in the bats, we can roster Archer today knowing that they also strikeout at a higher rate, which mitigates some of that risk. If he can keep the ball inside the fences today, we should have a pretty solid result for Archer today.

Home:—ERA: 2.79 — K%: 31.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.261
Away:—ERA: 4.47 — K%: 26.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.313

Batter Grind Down

Toronto

Blue Jays: There is no question that this Toronto lineup can hit for power, but with a tough matchup against Chris Archer who looks a heck of a lot better recently, it is hard to get too excited about their chances to provide a ton of fantasy goodness today. If anything, they make for a solid tournament play if you are multi entering as the ownership should be low.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jose Bautista RIGHT 0.379 0.274 37.0% 0.404 OF $3,500 OF $4,000
2 Josh Donaldson RIGHT 0.398 0.269 37.8% 0.550 3B $3,900 3B $5,100
3 Edwin Encarnacion RIGHT 0.389 0.287 36.0% 0.342 1B $3,900 1B $3,900
4 Michael Saunders LEFT 0.345 0.209 37.2% 0.498 OF $3,300 OF $3,700
5 Russell Martin RIGHT 0.327 0.198 30.3% 0.399 C $3,300 C $3,200
6 Troy Tulowitzki RIGHT 0.322 0.179 34.4% 0.287 SS $3,100 SS $3,600
7 Melvin Upton RIGHT 0.290 0.151 32.5% 0.296 OF $3,200 OF $3,200
8 Kevin Pillar RIGHT 0.301 0.126 25.8% 0.312 OF $2,700 OF $2,800
9 Devon Travis RIGHT 0.361 0.187 27.6% 0.275 2B $3,100 2B $2,900
Team Averages — 0.346 0.209 33.2% 0.374 — — — —

Elite Plays – Josh Donaldson

Secondary Plays – Jose Bautista , Edwin Encarnacion , Michael Saunders

Stackability – Orange

Tampa Bay

Rays: The Rays were pretty solid in the month of August but come into today with a projected lineup that looks as though it has been stabbed with more red than anything. With a lefty on the hill for Toronto, we can look to guys like Evan Longoria and Logan Forsythe, who both hit southpaws very well but outside of that we are limited.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Logan Forsythe RIGHT 0.392 0.280 39.3% 0.330 2B $3,400 2B $4,100
2 Kevin Kiermaier LEFT 0.275 0.108 24.7% 0.268 OF $3,100 OF $3,100
3 Evan Longoria RIGHT 0.364 0.216 33.5% 0.331 3B $3,200 3B $3,800
4 Brad Miller LEFT 0.263 0.072 22.8% 0.268 SS $3,400 1B/SS $3,500
5 Matt Duffy RIGHT 0.353 0.143 20.0% 0.263 SS $3,000 3B/SS $2,900
6 Nick Franklin SWITCH 0.290 0.111 10.5% 0.417 2B $3,000 2B/OF $3,400
7 Steven Souza RIGHT 0.290 0.160 34.9% 0.276 OF $2,400 OF $3,100
8 Corey Dickerson LEFT 0.260 0.069 33.3% 0.362 OF $2,400 OF $3,200
9 Luke Maile RIGHT 0.233 0.119 22.6% 0.537 C $2,900 C $2,400
Team Averages — 0.302 0.142 26.8% 0.339 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Evan Longoria , Logan Forsythe

Stackability – Red

Washington at NY Mets – 1:10 PM ET

Washington NY Mets
washingtonmlb Reynaldo Lopez nymetsmlb Seth Lugo
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
WAS -170 7.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.288 2 24.4% 25.0% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.259 1 37.5% 21.7%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.418 0 18.9% 21.4% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.254 0 43.9% 19.0%

Pitcher Grind Down

Reynaldo Lopez
reynaldo-lopez-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,500 Salary: $4,600
FPPG: 27.8 FPPG: 13.0
Pitcher Rating: 70.0 Pitcher Rank: 11
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 3 94.3 4.55 3.24 20.3% 9.5% 11.0% 44.0% 38.0% 15.7%
2016 5 96.0 4.39 5.33 23.3% 10.8% 11.3% 40.8% 38.2% 21.8%

Reynaldo Lopez: Talk about a hard pitcher to read. Lopez has gone seven innings in two of his five starts with an 11-strikeout game but has also failed to get through five innings in the other three games. He is all over the place statistically, making him one of the least predictable options on the board. His price and matchup are the main reason you consider him tonight, but just know there is plenty of risk here.

Home:—ERA: 5.40 — K%: 20.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.364
Away:—ERA: 5.27 — K%: 25.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.337

Seth Lugo
seth-lugo-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,200 Salary: $4,000
FPPG: 15.2 FPPG: 8.3
Pitcher Rating: 59.9 Pitcher Rank: 18
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 3 105.3 4.12 2.31 19.8% 5.5% 9.8% 37.5% 39.1% 42.4%
2016 3 168.3 4.21 2.60 20.1% 7.9% 9.5% 41.3% 38.0% 41.2%

Seth Lugo: Since moving to the rotation, Lugo has been very solid for the Mets, picking up two wins in three starts and allowing a total of five runs. The problem is that his strikeout numbers are not that great and his xFIP suggest we should see some slight regression as well. With a tough matchup tonight, I have little interest in him for my fantasy lineups.

Home:—ERA: 2.76 — K%: 21.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.238
Away:—ERA: 2.45 — K%: 19.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.272

Batter Grind Down

Washington

Nationals: This Washington team can be a scary group when they are all hitting at the same time as has been the case outside of a couple bats lately. Despite a lower projected run total, I have no problem with loading up with Nats as a solid tournament stack tonight. Even in a scenario where we are using pieces of this lineup as filler, we have options with guys like Trea Turner and Daniel Murphy.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Trea Turner RIGHT 0.375 0.214 34.1% 0.410 OF $4,000 2B/OF $5,100
2 Jayson Werth RIGHT 0.299 0.147 34.6% 0.359 OF $3,500 OF $4,000
3 Daniel Murphy LEFT 0.379 0.231 36.0% 0.370 2B $4,000 2B $5,300
4 Bryce Harper LEFT 0.429 0.291 36.6% 0.378 OF $4,100 OF $5,500
5 Anthony Rendon RIGHT 0.329 0.155 36.7% 0.377 3B $3,500 3B $3,800
6 Wilson Ramos RIGHT 0.309 0.147 30.7% 0.239 C $3,200 C $3,800
7 Ryan Zimmerman RIGHT 0.284 0.157 32.5% 0.211 1B $2,900 1B $3,200
8 Danny Espinosa SWITCH 0.308 0.158 30.4% 0.366 SS $2,700 SS $3,200
9 Reynaldo Lopez RIGHT 0.000 P $6,500 P $4,600
Team Averages — 0.339 0.188 34.0% 0.301 — — — —

Elite Plays – Daniel Murphy , Trea Turner

Secondary Plays – Bryce Harper , Jayson Werth , Anthony Rendon

Stackability – Yellow

NY Mets

Mets: New York has the lowest projected run total on the day but still has a few viable fantasy options. Yoenis Cespedes has clear upside in this matchup today, but do not forget about guys like Jay Bruce and Curtis Granderson, who can give you points in a hurry as well.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jose Reyes SWITCH 0.297 0.106 20.7% 0.377 3B $3,000 3B/SS $3,300
2 Asdrubal Cabrera SWITCH 0.320 0.180 31.7% 0.499 SS $3,100 SS $3,300
3 Yoenis Cespedes RIGHT 0.380 0.263 36.8% 0.483 OF $3,700 OF $3,900
4 Jay Bruce LEFT 0.333 0.250 38.6% 0.206 OF $3,400 OF $3,200
5 Wilmer Flores RIGHT 0.279 0.113 26.9% 0.421 2B $2,700 1B/3B $2,900
6 Curtis Granderson LEFT 0.362 0.226 37.2% 0.376 OF $2,900 OF $3,100
7 Kelly Johnson LEFT 0.319 0.163 32.1% 0.347 3B $2,200 2B/3B $2,200
8 Rene Rivera RIGHT 0.230 0.113 29.9% 0.301 C $2,200 C $2,000
9 Seth Lugo RIGHT 0.125 0.000 33.3% 0.125 P $6,200 P $4,000
Team Averages — 0.294 0.157 31.9% 0.348 — — — —

Elite Plays – Yoenis Cespedes

Secondary Plays – Jay Bruce , Curtis Granderson

Stackability – Orange

Atlanta at Philadelphia – 1:35 PM ET

Atlanta Philadelphia
atlantamlb Julio Teheran philadelphiamlb Jake Thompson
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
ATL -140 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.354 29 34.1% 15.6% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.399 3 36.2% 13.2%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.253 17 31.2% 26.4% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.359 3 41.9% 13.2%

Pitcher Grind Down

Julio Teheran
julio-teheran-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,400 Salary: $10,000
FPPG: 30.2 FPPG: 17.3
Pitcher Rating: 71.1 Pitcher Rank: 9
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 3 98.3 3.83 5.50 21.8% 3.9% 10.9% 35.7% 41.1% 31.0%
2016 24 99.5 3.88 3.12 22.3% 5.3% 10.1% 39.2% 42.0% 34.5%
2015 33 99.2 4.24 4.04 20.3% 8.7% 10.8% 39.5% 36.2% 31.4%

Julio Teheran: It had been rough for Teheran in his first two starts off of the disabled list, but he bounced back quite nicely in his third against the Padres, going seven innings while striking out eight San Diego bats and surrendering just two earned on his way to the win. This is a great matchup for Teheran, and I am very interested to see just how much people trust him today. In my opinion, he should be slightly higher in the pitcher rank if you want to know where I stand in terms of his potential for a big fantasy game.

Home:—ERA: 3.01 — K%: 23.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.274
Away:—ERA: 4.42 — K%: 18.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.337

Jake Thompson
jake-thompson-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,900 Salary: $4,000
FPPG: 14.0 FPPG: 4.6
Pitcher Rating: 31.8 Pitcher Rank: 28
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 95.2 5.72 7.86 13.2% 11.6% 6.9% 44.8% 37.9% 38.9%
2016 5 95.2 5.71 7.86 13.2% 11.6% 6.9% 44.8% 37.9% 38.9%

Jake Thompson: An all red pitching chart is generally not a good thing, and with a full slate of games to choose from there is really no reason to risk it with Thompson today. He did have a solid start last time out against the Nationals but even in that game the strikeouts were limited meaning little to no upside.

Home:—ERA: 5.29 — K%: 17.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.306
Away:—ERA: 12.54 — K%: 6.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.500

Batter Grind Down

Atlanta

Braves: It is not too often that I like this Atlanta offense, but today I feel like we can roster a number of Braves and feel pretty good about it. Thompson has a 5.75 xFIP through his first five starts, and there is potential for runs to be had the key will be finding the players with upside.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Ender Inciarte LEFT 0.340 0.117 28.2% 0.448 OF $3,200 OF $4,400
2 Adonis Garcia RIGHT 0.303 0.164 31.3% 0.339 3B $3,100 3B $4,100
3 Freddie Freeman LEFT 0.393 0.258 41.0% 0.423 1B $4,100 1B $4,900
4 Matt Kemp RIGHT 0.307 0.179 39.2% 0.307 OF $3,600 OF $4,300
5 Nick Markakis LEFT 0.340 0.113 29.9% 0.313 OF $2,800 OF $4,000
6 A.J. Pierzynski LEFT 0.309 0.131 28.0% C $2,000 C $3,000
7 Jace Peterson LEFT 0.316 0.117 25.0% 0.428 2B $2,700 2B/OF $3,800
8 Dansby Swanson RIGHT 0.266 0.053 32.3% 0.248 SS $2,500 SS $2,900
9 Julio Teheran RIGHT 0.128 0.014 9.2% 0.248 P $8,400 P $10,000
Team Averages — 0.300 0.127 29.3% 0.344 — — — —

Elite Plays – Freddie Freeman

Secondary Plays – Matt Kemp , Ender Inciarte , Adonis Garcia

Stackability – Orange

Philadelphia

Phillies: Philadelphia never has been able to get a consistent stretch of offense going this season and the projected lineup has quite a bit of red in it today. Facing a tough pitcher that I like as one of the top options, there really is not much here for me and I will pretty much fade the Phillies.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Cesar Hernandez SWITCH 0.309 0.105 26.3% 0.332 2B $3,200 2B $3,600
2 Odubel Herrera LEFT 0.347 0.145 29.8% 0.267 OF $2,400 OF $3,600
3 Maikel Franco RIGHT 0.317 0.181 27.8% 0.244 3B $2,400 3B $3,000
4 Ryan Howard LEFT 0.326 0.251 42.8% 0.302 1B $2,600 1B $3,300
5 Aaron Altherr RIGHT 0.336 0.206 32.8% 0.250 OF $2,400 OF $3,500
6 Darin Ruf RIGHT 0.205 0.101 27.8% 1B $2,100 1B/OF $3,300
7 Freddy Galvis SWITCH 0.293 0.136 28.1% 0.396 SS $2,500 SS $3,300
8 A.J. Ellis RIGHT 0.260 0.085 28.9% 0.113 C $2,300 C $2,400
9 Jake Thompson RIGHT 0.219 0.000 16.7% 0.000 P $5,900 P $4,000
Team Averages — 0.290 0.134 29.0% 0.238 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Ryan Howard

Stackability – Red

Milwaukee at Pittsburgh – 1:35 PM ET

Milwaukee Pittsburgh
milwaukeemlb Chase Anderson pittsburghmlb Steven Brault
RIGHT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
PIT -160 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.316 17 27.0% 19.8% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.312 0 10.0% 14.3%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.357 26 35.4% 16.7% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.356 1 25.0% 19.2%

Pitcher Grind Down

Chase Anderson
chase-anderson-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,300 Salary: $5,200
FPPG: 21.6 FPPG: 10.4
Pitcher Rating: 46.4 Pitcher Rank: 20
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 84.0 4.29 4.07 21.6% 6.9% 7.9% 29.6% 47.9% 39.7%
2016 25 88.9 4.65 4.92 19.1% 8.3% 8.1% 34.9% 41.3% 37.4%
2015 27 91.2 4.26 4.30 17.3% 6.3% 8.0% 42.0% 34.4% 27.2%

Chase Anderson: In his last start, Anderson was cruising right along against this same Pirates squad before a couple of solo shots ultimately did him in during the fifth inning. All things considered, he looked pretty good on the mound in that game, but we have seen Anderson’s strikeout numbers fluctuate far too much to feel confident with his upside today.

Home:—ERA: 4.29 — K%: 18.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.332
Away:—ERA: 4.87 — K%: 17.5% — wOBA Allowed: 0.346

Steven Brault
steven-brault-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,800 Salary: $4,700
FPPG: 20.0 FPPG: 9.7
Pitcher Rating: 57.3 Pitcher Rank: 19
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 1 92.0 4.53 4.50 19.1% 9.5% 6.5% 50.0% 28.6% 21.4%
2016 3 93.3 5.00 3.86 18.2% 10.6% 8.2% 38.6% 38.6% 21.7%

Steven Brault: I like to pick on the Brewers as much as anyone but typically stick to right-handed pitchers as Milwaukee has a few bats in the lineup that can hurt southpaws in a hurry. Brault held his own two starts ago in Milwaukee, going six innings and surrendering three runs. Even so, he offers too little in the way of strikeouts to make up for the risk of the Brewers getting to him in this one.

Home:—ERA: — K%: — wOBA Allowed:
Away:—ERA: 3.86 — K%: 18.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.346

Batter Grind Down

Milwaukee

Brewers: When we talk about underrated teams on this slate, I feel like the projected run total does not do the Brewers justice here. Milwaukee is actually quite good against left-handed pitching, and it is Ryan Braun and Chris Carter who pack the biggest punch with Jonathan Villar and Keon Broxton as very solid compliments to them.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jonathan Villar SWITCH 0.371 0.182 33.1% 0.357 3B $3,700 3B/SS $4,800
2 Keon Broxton RIGHT 0.372 0.186 42.9% 0.351 OF $2,900 OF $3,900
3 Ryan Braun RIGHT 0.419 0.244 39.0% 0.280 OF $4,000 OF $5,100
4 Hernan Perez RIGHT 0.300 0.189 39.4% 0.338 OF $3,300 3B/OF $4,300
5 Chris Carter RIGHT 0.353 0.265 41.1% 0.378 1B $3,500 1B $4,200
6 Domingo Santana RIGHT 0.387 0.204 36.6% 0.289 OF $2,000 OF $3,600
7 Orlando Arcia RIGHT 0.391 0.150 43.8% 0.309 SS $2,600 SS $3,200
8 Martin Maldonado RIGHT 0.295 0.140 29.5% 0.246 C $2,600 C $2,800
9 Chase Anderson RIGHT 0.236 0.000 8.3% 0.000 P $6,300 P $5,200
Team Averages — 0.347 0.173 34.9% 0.283 — — — —

Elite Plays – Ryan Braun , Chris Carter

Secondary Plays – Jonathan Villar , Keon Broxton , Orlando Arcia

Stackability – Yellow

Pittsburgh

Pirates: What a disappointing bunch this group has been. The talent is here for offense to occur – it has just been a lack of execution for much of the season that has the Pirates ranked near the bottom of the league in key statistical categories. Anderson is a guy we should be able to plug in some hitters against, but finding a Pirates hitter you trust can be difficult.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Josh Harrison RIGHT 0.291 0.097 25.8% 0.269 2B $2,800 2B $3,500
2 Josh Bell SWITCH 0.465 0.258 42.9% 0.364 1B $2,600 1B $2,600
3 Andrew McCutchen RIGHT 0.352 0.180 37.8% 0.286 OF $3,300 OF $4,200
4 Gregory Polanco LEFT 0.336 0.176 33.4% 0.398 OF $3,400 OF $5,100
5 Starling Marte RIGHT 0.348 0.152 32.5% 0.281 OF $3,600 OF $5,200
6 David Freese RIGHT 0.323 0.140 32.5% 0.235 3B $2,800 1B/3B $2,900
7 Francisco Cervelli RIGHT 0.314 0.074 27.1% 0.215 C $2,800 C $2,700
8 Jordy Mercer RIGHT 0.274 0.086 24.7% 0.321 SS $2,500 SS $3,200
9 Steven Brault LEFT 0.219 0.000 0.0% 0.000 P $5,800 P $4,700
Team Averages — 0.325 0.129 28.5% 0.263 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Josh Bell , Andrew McCutchen , Gregory Polanco

Stackability – Orange

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About the Author

louiescards
Andrew Cook (louiescards)

Andrew “LouiesCards” Cook is a DFS veteran who has been playing since 2009. You will see him grinding MLB, NBA, and NFL with a main focus on DraftKings. Over the years he has held several roles at RotoGrinders helping write articles and features, both in-front and behind-the-scenes. Andrew was able to throw the first pitch out at a St. Louis Cardinals game, courtesy of DraftKings. You can follow Andrew on twitter @louiescards