MLB Grind Down: Wednesday, June 22nd - Page Three

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2016-06-23 00:38:45

Chicago White Sox at Boston – 7:10 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Chicago White Sox					Boston
			Jose Quintana					Eduardo Rodriguez
			LEFT					LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			BOS -120					9.5
SP vs. Left	0.259	5	22.2%	3.6%	SP vs. Left	0.338	7	19.3%	4.3%
SP vs. Right	0.313	16	21.3%	5.5%	SP vs. Right	0.314	12	17.5%	8.4%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Jose Quintana
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$8,800	Salary:		$7,900
					FPPG:		36.9	FPPG:		20.5
					Pitcher Rating:		56.5	Pitcher Rank:		11
L30 Days	5	110.8	3.43	3.78	25.6%	5.1%	9.4%	39.6%	40.7%	32.3%
2016	14	103.4	3.57	2.63	23.8%	4.9%	8.8%	40.8%	36.9%	31.8%
2015	32	105.4	3.62	3.36	20.5%	5.1%	9.2%	47.1%	29.7%	27.7%

Quintana may be having a nice season and Chris Sale may have had a great outing against the Red Sox last night. However, I do not target pitchers against the Red Sox in general, especially when the game is being played in Fenway Park. Their bats have been cold over the last few games, but they still own the best offense in baseball. There is more risk than potential reward tonight with Quintana.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Eduardo Rodriguez
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$6,800	Salary:		$6,700
					FPPG:		15.5	FPPG:		5.7
					Pitcher Rating:		49.5	Pitcher Rank:		13
L30 Days	4	91.0	5.80	6.97	12.9%	9.7%	6.9%	30.6%	50.0%	31.9%
2016	4	91.0	5.79	6.97	12.9%	9.7%	6.9%	30.6%	50.0%	31.9%
2015	21	95.7	4.16	3.85	18.8%	7.1%	7.8%	43.0%	33.4%	31.4%

Rodriguez has not pitched well this season, posting a 5.79 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 12.9% this season. He has walked too many batters and he has given up way too many fly balls. The White Sox may not be one of the best offenses in baseball, but they should be able to find some success against Rodriguez in the hitter-friendly Fenway Park.

Batter Grind Down

Chicago White Sox

The White Sox are ranked at or below the league average in most offensive statistics against left-handed pitching, but they have the fifth highest team total on the board tonight. They draw a favorable matchup against Eduardo Rodriguez, who has struggled with hitters from both sides of the plate.

White Sox Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.317 (14 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.148 (19 of 30)
Team K% vs. LHP — 23.2% (21 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.04 (25 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.63 (5 of 16)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Tim Anderson	RIGHT	0.000	0.000	0.289	SS	$2,500	SS	$3,700
2	Adam Eaton	LEFT	0.320	0.068	0.358	OF	$3,400	OF	$3,600
3	Melky Cabrera	SWITCH	0.285	0.119	0.381	OF	$2,900	OF	$4,000
4	Jose Abreu	RIGHT	0.295	0.131	0.421	1B	$3,600	1B	$4,600
5	Todd Frazier	RIGHT	0.366	0.340	0.200	3B	$3,200	3B	$3,700
6	Brett Lawrie	RIGHT	0.354	0.196	0.208	2B	$2,900	2B	$3,500
7	Avisail Garcia	RIGHT	0.308	0.113	0.303	OF	$2,400	OF	$3,300
8	Dioner Navarro	SWITCH	0.341	0.230	0.280	C	$2,500	C	$3,500
9	Jason Coats	RIGHT	0.172	0.000	0.206	OF	$2,000	OF	$2,400
	Team Averages	—	0.271	0.133	0.294	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Tim Anderson, Jose Abreu, Todd Frazier

Secondary Plays – Adam Eaton, Melky Cabrera, Brett Lawrie

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Boston

The Red Sox don’t have a great matchup on paper, but they come into tonight’s game with the fourth highest team total on the board. They typically hit tough pitching well (with the exception of last night) and they are always a force to be reckoned with at home. The problem is that I don’t love the idea of paying up for hitters that are facing Jose Quintana.

Red Sox Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.352 (2 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.180 (6 of 30)
Team K% vs. LHP — 19.7% (8 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 5.74 (1 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.87 (4 of 16)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Mookie Betts	RIGHT	0.338	0.186	0.326	OF	$4,200	OF	$4,700
2	Dustin Pedroia	RIGHT	0.341	0.153	0.247	2B	$3,600	2B	$3,700
3	Xander Bogaerts	RIGHT	0.402	0.125	0.415	SS	$3,700	SS	$5,300
4	David Ortiz	LEFT	0.313	0.201	0.395	1B	$4,300	1B	$4,300
5	Hanley Ramirez	RIGHT	0.336	0.214	0.273	1B	$3,000	1B	$3,600
6	Jackie Bradley	LEFT	0.375	0.198	0.379	OF	$3,300	OF	$4,200
7	Chris Young	RIGHT	0.429	0.269	0.348	OF	$3,000	OF	$3,600
8	Deven Marrero	RIGHT	0.132	0.000	0.000	3B	$2,000	3B	$2,000
9	Christian Vazquez	RIGHT	0.325	0.167	0.217	C	$2,200	C	$2,300
	Team Averages	—	0.332	0.168	0.289	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Mookie Betts, Dustin Pedroia, Xander Bogaerts, Hanley Ramirez, Chris Young

Stackability – GPP

Tampa Bay at Cleveland – 7:10 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Tampa Bay					Cleveland
			Chris Archer					Trevor Bauer
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			CLE -119					8.0
SP vs. Left	0.281	13	28.3%	7.9%	SP vs. Left	0.303	15	22.1%	10.5%
SP vs. Right	0.301	21	28.6%	8.7%	SP vs. Right	0.312	14	22.9%	9.3%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Chris Archer
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$9,400	Salary:		$8,000
					FPPG:		32.2	FPPG:		16.9
					Pitcher Rating:		74.2	Pitcher Rank:		3
L30 Days	6	107.0	3.58	4.91	26.1%	7.5%	11.5%	42.3%	36.5%	33.0%
2016	15	101.5	3.72	4.60	27.1%	9.7%	11.2%	44.1%	33.5%	34.3%
2015	34	101.4	3.08	3.23	29.0%	7.6%	12.8%	46.1%	33.9%	32.2%

Archer just can’t seem to catch a break this season. All of his peripheral statistics look good, yet he has a disappointing 4.60 ERA. The good news is that the earned runs that he has given up has led to a lower price tag across the industry. If this game was being played in Tampa Bay, I would be all over Archer tonight. However, he is listed as a small underdog against an Indians’ offense that is ranked inside the top ten in team wOBA and team ISO against right-handed pitching this season. Archer is in play, but I prefer Cole Hamels or Julio Urias.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Trevor Bauer
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$8,100	Salary:		$10,600
					FPPG:		24.6	FPPG:		12.9
					Pitcher Rating:		70.4	Pitcher Rank:		4
L30 Days	6	106.0	4.32	3.10	18.7%	7.0%	8.5%	45.6%	35.2%	28.0%
2016	10	125.1	4.04	3.46	21.8%	8.2%	9.8%	46.8%	34.3%	32.6%
2015	30	95.6	4.20	4.55	22.9%	10.6%	9.6%	39.2%	40.7%	31.0%

Bauer has been a decent pitcher over the last couple of seasons. In his first ten starts of the year, he has a 4.04 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 21.8%. He draws a favorable matchup tonight against the Rays, who are ranked 29th in team K% against right-handed pitching this season. Even though Chris Archer edges him out in the pitcher rankings, I slightly prefer Bauer over him in cash games tonight.

Batter Grind Down

Tampa Bay

The Rays were picked apart by Corey Kluber last night. They haven’t hit right-handed pitching all that well this season and they come into tonight’s game with the third lowest team total on the board. The one plus in their matchup against Trevor Bauer is that he has allowed 29 home runs over the last two seasons.

Rays Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.308 (21 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.188 (5 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 25.2% (29 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.12 (20 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.89 (14 of 16)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Logan Forsythe	RIGHT	0.332	0.116	0.320	2B	$3,000	2B	$3,600
2	Brad Miller	LEFT	0.337	0.190	0.331	SS	$3,100	SS	$3,900
3	Evan Longoria	RIGHT	0.321	0.188	0.378	3B	$3,700	3B	$4,300
4	Logan Morrison	LEFT	0.321	0.185	0.224	1B	$2,800	1B	$3,400
5	Corey Dickerson	LEFT	0.355	0.288	0.330	OF	$2,800	OF	$3,600
6	Desmond Jennings	RIGHT	0.285	0.123	0.316	OF	$2,600	OF	$2,900
7	Jaff Decker	LEFT	0.292	0.091	0.104			OF	$2,000
8	Taylor Motter	RIGHT	0.213	0.105	0.243	SS	$2,400	3B/SS	$3,200
9	Curt Casali	RIGHT	0.307	0.253	0.180	C	$2,100	C	$2,500
	Team Averages	—	0.307	0.171	0.270	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Brad Miller, Evan Longoria, Logan Morrison

Stackability – NONE

Cleveland

The Indians have a slightly below average run projection tonight, as they square off against Chris Archer at home. While Archer has given up a lot of runs this season, his peripheral statistics suggest some positive regression. I see the Indians more as secondary plays tonight.

Indians Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.321 (10 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.176 (9 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 20.8% (16 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.71 (9 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.11 (9 of 16)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Carlos Santana	SWITCH	0.341	0.223	0.377	1B	$3,900	1B	$4,500
2	Jason Kipnis	LEFT	0.375	0.172	0.312	2B	$3,500	2B	$3,800
3	Francisco Lindor	SWITCH	0.345	0.146	0.420	SS	$4,100	SS	$4,600
4	Mike Napoli	RIGHT	0.294	0.178	0.261	1B	$2,800	1B	$3,300
5	Jose Ramirez	SWITCH	0.312	0.134	0.206	3B	$3,000	3B/OF	$3,400
6	Rajai Davis	RIGHT	0.316	0.152	0.326	OF	$3,600	OF	$4,200
7	Lonnie Chisenhall	LEFT	0.298	0.127	0.290	OF	$2,800	OF	$2,900
8	Yan Gomes	RIGHT	0.267	0.176	0.212	C	$2,600	C	$2,800
9	Tyler Naquin	LEFT	0.389	0.220	0.397	OF	$2,900	OF	$3,400
	Team Averages	—	0.326	0.170	0.311	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Carlos Santana, Jason Kipnis, Francisco Lindor

Stackability – NONE

Cincinnati at Texas – 8:05 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Cincinnati					Texas
			Dan Straily					Cole Hamels
			RIGHT					LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			TEX -210					9.0
SP vs. Left	0.300	6	15.8%	14.4%	SP vs. Left	0.285	5	21.9%	8.9%
SP vs. Right	0.296	5	26.5%	6.1%	SP vs. Right	0.302	32	24.5%	7.4%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Dan Straily
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$6,900	Salary:		$6,600
					FPPG:		26.3	FPPG:		13.8
					Pitcher Rating:		34.7	Pitcher Rank:		15
L30 Days	5	101.6	4.41	4.88	21.9%	9.4%	8.3%	29.4%	41.2%	31.0%
2016	12	111.4	4.57	3.66	21.1%	10.7%	9.8%	36.2%	40.5%	29.8%
2015	3	97.0	4.67	5.40	18.4%	10.5%	9.6%	41.5%	37.7%	28.3%

Straily had a nice start to the season, but has a few too many yellow and red boxes in his pitching table above. In 12 starts, he has a 4.57 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 21.1% and a walk rate of 10.7%. He is an easy fade tonight against the Rangers in a game where he is a huge underdog in a hitter-friendly ballpark.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Cole Hamels
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$9,900	Salary:		$10,400
					FPPG:		37.9	FPPG:		19.8
					Pitcher Rating:		83.1	Pitcher Rank:		1
L30 Days	6	105.0	4.21	2.61	21.1%	9.4%	11.9%	53.0%	32.2%	30.4%
2016	14	103.7	3.97	2.88	22.9%	9.2%	12.7%	52.2%	29.6%	28.8%
2015	32	104.5	3.45	3.65	24.4%	7.1%	13.3%	47.7%	31.4%	27.0%

Hamels has pitched well this season, posting a 3.97 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 22.9%. He has walked a few more batter than usual this season, but he high strikeout rate more than makes up for it. He draws a decent matchup tonight against the Indians, but this game does feature one of the highest over/unders on the board. The good news is that he is a -210 favorite. Hamels is the premier pitching option tonight and his price is affordable across the industry.

Batter Grind Down

Cincinnati

The Reds’ offense came to play last night. While they get to play in the hitter-friendly Globe Park again tonight, they have the second lowest team total on the board. Cole Hamels is still an above-average pitcher at this stage in his career. The one plus is that he has allowed 32 home runs to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons.

Reds Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.317 (14 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.168 (12 of 30)
Team K% vs. LHP — 22.7% (19 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.30 (16 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.87 (15 of 16)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Zack Cozart	RIGHT	0.383	0.260	0.270	SS	$3,600	SS	$3,600
2	Joey Votto	LEFT	0.391	0.183	0.420	1B	$3,500	1B	$3,500
3	Brandon Phillips	RIGHT	0.320	0.110	0.232	2B	$2,900	2B	$2,700
4	Jay Bruce	LEFT	0.301	0.170	0.328	OF	$4,100	OF	$3,800
5	Adam Duvall	RIGHT	0.302	0.180	0.322	OF	$3,700	OF	$3,800
6	Eugenio Suarez	RIGHT	0.378	0.229	0.250	3B	$2,900	3B	$3,200
7	Billy Hamilton	SWITCH	0.288	0.130	0.406	OF	$2,600	OF	$3,600
8	Tucker Barnhart	SWITCH	0.265	0.088	0.301	C	$2,100	C	$2,000
9	Ivan De Jesus	RIGHT	0.298	0.137	0.286	SS	$2,100	2B/SS	$2,500
	Team Averages	—	0.325	0.165	0.313	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Zack Cozart, Eugenio Suarez

Stackability – NONE

Texas

The Rangers were a disappointment last night, but they come into this game with the second highest run projection in the evening slate. They draw a favorable matchup against Dan Straily, who has not pitched well over the last month of play. Batters from both sides of the plate are in play here.

Rangers Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.317 (12 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.168 (12 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 18.6% (5 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.80 (7 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 5.13 (2 of 16)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Shin-Soo Choo	LEFT	0.390	0.204	0.357	OF	$3,000	OF	$3,500
2	Ian Desmond	RIGHT	0.303	0.153	0.427	OF	$4,200	OF	$4,800
3	Nomar Mazara	LEFT	0.372	0.209	0.208	OF	$2,900	OF	$3,700
4	Adrian Beltre	RIGHT	0.313	0.146	0.305	3B	$3,500	3B	$3,200
5	Prince Fielder	LEFT	0.348	0.147	0.312	1B	$2,400	1B	$3,000
6	Rougned Odor	LEFT	0.329	0.220	0.348	2B	$3,400	2B	$4,600
7	Elvis Andrus	RIGHT	0.278	0.079	0.330	SS	$2,900	SS	$3,700
8	Mitch Moreland	LEFT	0.354	0.229	0.501	OF	$3,100	1B	$4,200
9	Bobby Wilson	RIGHT	0.248	0.082	0.187	C	$2,000	C	$2,000
	Team Averages	—	0.326	0.163	0.331	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Shin-Soo Choo, Nomar Mazara, Prince Fielder

Secondary Plays – Ian Desmond, Adrian Beltre, Rougned Odor

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Philadelphia at Minnesota – 8:10 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Philadelphia					Minnesota
			Adam Morgan					Kyle Gibson
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			MIN -170					9.0
SP vs. Left	0.319	4	13.7%	6.9%	SP vs. Left	0.320	10	16.0%	9.1%
SP vs. Right	0.361	22	16.6%	4.6%	SP vs. Right	0.301	11	17.5%	7.4%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Adam Morgan
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$6,100	Salary:		$5,500
					FPPG:		19.1	FPPG:		8.7
					Pitcher Rating:		37.1	Pitcher Rank:		14
L30 Days	6	96.0	3.99	6.55	20.4%	4.0%	11.3%	34.9%	44.0%	42.0%
2016	10	91.9	4.30	6.49	18.9%	5.5%	11.0%	35.3%	42.2%	38.4%
2015	15	83.1	4.94	4.48	13.9%	4.8%	9.7%	30.6%	49.3%	29.8%

Morgan has a decent strikeout rate, but that’s about all he has going for him. On the season, he has a 4.30 SIERA (6.49 ERA) with a strikeout rate of 18.9%. He is an extreme fly ball pitcher that gives up a lot of hard contact. The Twins are usually a team that we can pick on, but that’s not the case tonight. Morgan is a huge underdog in this game and the total is set at 9.0 runs.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Kyle Gibson
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$5,600	Salary:		$5,600
					FPPG:		13.8	FPPG:		5.2
					Pitcher Rating:		59.3	Pitcher Rank:		10
L30 Days	2	95.0	4.97	6.00	12.8%	6.4%	5.8%	40.5%	29.7%	29.0%
2016	6	95.2	5.32	6.06	11.5%	10.1%	8.2%	53.1%	27.4%	25.4%
2015	32	101.1	4.12	3.84	17.7%	7.9%	9.8%	53.4%	26.8%	27.7%

Gibson induces a lot of ground balls, but that’s about it. In six starts this season, he has a 5.32 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 11.5% and a walk rate of 10.1%. He is listed as a sizable favorite tonight against the Phillies, but you have to be concerned about his upside. If you need a cheap win from your pitcher, you could look to Gibson, but I will be avoiding both of these pitchers in what should be a high scoring game.

Batter Grind Down

Philadelphia

The Phillies are one of the worst offenses in baseball, but you wouldn’t know that from watching them last night. They currently have the seventh lowest team total in the evening slate, but their matchup against Kyle Gibson isn’t terrible. Over the last two seasons, Gibson has allowed a .320 wOBA to left-handed hitters.

Phillies Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.280 (29 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.144 (21 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 22.3% (20 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.14 (30 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.09 (10 of 16)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Odubel Herrera	LEFT	0.354	0.139	0.269	OF	$3,500	OF	$4,100
2	Freddy Galvis	SWITCH	0.286	0.120	0.134	SS	$2,400	SS	$2,500
3	Ryan Howard	LEFT	0.311	0.230	0.238	1B	$2,400	1B	$3,300
4	Tommy Joseph	RIGHT	0.258	0.239	0.184	1B	$3,000	1B	$3,400
5	Maikel Franco	RIGHT	0.331	0.188	0.178	3B	$2,600	3B	$3,000
6	Cameron Rupp	RIGHT	0.281	0.136	0.246	C	$2,800	C	$2,900
7	Cody Asche	LEFT	0.307	0.170	0.331	OF	$2,400	OF	$3,000
8	Cesar Hernandez	SWITCH	0.291	0.087	0.237	2B	$2,100	2B	$2,900
9	Tyler Goeddel	RIGHT	0.300	0.159	0.239	OF	$2,000	OF	$3,100
	Team Averages	—	0.302	0.163	0.228	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Odubel Herrera, Ryan Howard

Stackability – NONE

Minnesota

If you saw the score of the game last night, you might have thought it was a football game between the Eagles and Vikings. The Twins’ offense is in another great spot tonight, as they square off against Adam Morgan. Not only is he an extreme fly-ball pitcher, but he has allowed a .361 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons.

Twins Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.302 (26 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.159 (16 of 30)
Team K% vs. LHP — 24.5% (27 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.88 (27 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.91 (3 of 16)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Eduardo Nunez	RIGHT	0.349	0.261	0.302	SS	$3,300	3B/SS	$4,300
2	Robbie Grossman	SWITCH	0.333	0.167	0.369	OF	$3,000	OF	$3,500
3	Joe Mauer	LEFT	0.306	0.122	0.297	1B	$2,800	1B	$3,600
4	Brian Dozier	RIGHT	0.344	0.210	0.440	2B	$3,500	2B	$4,300
5	Trevor Plouffe	RIGHT	0.327	0.173	0.234	3B	$2,500	3B	$3,500
6	Byung-Ho Park	RIGHT	0.312	0.234	0.224	1B	$2,900	1B	$3,600
7	Danny Santana	SWITCH	0.239	0.071	0.110	OF	$2,100	OF	$3,400
8	Kurt Suzuki	RIGHT	0.290	0.101	0.363	C	$2,500	C	$2,800
9	Byron Buxton	RIGHT	0.149	0.068	0.161	OF	$2,600	OF	$2,400
	Team Averages	—	0.294	0.156	0.278	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Eduardo Nunez, Robbie Grossman, Brian Dozier, Trevor Plouffe

Secondary Plays – Joe Mauer, Byung Ho Park

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Washington at LA Dodgers – 10:10 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Washington					LA Dodgers
			Joe Ross					Julio Urias
			RIGHT					LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			LAD -140					7.5
SP vs. Left	0.346	6	17.1%	10.5%	SP vs. Left	0.321	2	36.7%	10.0%
SP vs. Right	0.224	8	25.1%	4.0%	SP vs. Right	0.362	2	26.9%	7.5%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Joe Ross
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$8,200	Salary:		$8,800
					FPPG:		26.2	FPPG:		13.6
					Pitcher Rating:		64.6	Pitcher Rank:		8
L30 Days	6	98.3	3.71	3.68	23.7%	7.4%	13.1%	47.5%	28.3%	31.7%
2016	13	94.3	4.15	3.13	20.5%	7.6%	11.2%	44.5%	31.4%	28.0%
2015	13	88.7	3.66	3.64	22.0%	6.7%	11.9%	49.8%	33.8%	30.2%

Ross is having another nice season for the Nationals, posting a 4.15 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 20.5%. The biggest concern that I have with Ross tonight is that he may have to face five or six left-handed hitters. That’s not ideal for Ross because he has given up a .346 wOBA to lefties over the last two seasons.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Julio Urias
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$7,200	Salary:		$6,900
					FPPG:		24.0	FPPG:		13.1
					Pitcher Rating:		82.9	Pitcher Rank:		2
L30 Days	5	83.4	3.25	4.50	29.9%	8.3%	9.8%	41.7%	31.7%	33.3%
2016	5	83.4	3.25	4.50	29.9%	8.3%	9.8%	41.7%	31.7%	33.3%

Urias is showing why he is one of the top pitching prospects in baseball. The 19-year old seems to be getting better with each and every start. In his first five major league outings, he has a 3.25 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 29.9%. The only knock on Urias is that he hasn’t thrown more than 86 pitches in any start this season. We shouldn’t expect that to change tonight, but five or six innings should be more than enough for him to rack up some strikeouts.

Batter Grind Down

Washington

The Nationals are one of the best offenses in baseball against left-handed pitching, but they come into tonight’s game with the lowest team total on the board. They are an easy team to fade against the young phenom, Julio Urias.

Nationals Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.349 (4 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.210 (2 of 30)
Team K% vs. LHP — 19.5% (7 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.64 (11 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.52 (16 of 16)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Michael Taylor	RIGHT	0.316	0.182	0.482	OF	$2,700	OF	$4,000
2	Jayson Werth	RIGHT	0.384	0.290	0.416	OF	$3,200	OF	$3,900
3	Bryce Harper	LEFT	0.396	0.224	0.322	OF	$4,000	OF	$4,400
4	Daniel Murphy	LEFT	0.311	0.121	0.323	2B	$3,700	2B	$3,600
5	Ryan Zimmerman	RIGHT	0.388	0.319	0.193	1B	$2,900	1B	$3,700
6	Wilson Ramos	RIGHT	0.297	0.163	0.349	C	$3,000	C	$3,900
7	Anthony Rendon	RIGHT	0.358	0.093	0.269	3B	$2,900	3B	$3,400
8	Danny Espinosa	SWITCH	0.326	0.197	0.412	SS	$2,900	SS	$3,500
9	Joe Ross	RIGHT	0.371	0.000	0.293	P	$8,200	P	$8,800
	Team Averages	—	0.350	0.177	0.340	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Jayson Werth

Stackability – NONE

LA Dodgers

The Dodgers haven’t been nearly as good offensively as many predicted at the start of the season. Tonight’s matchup against Joe Ross does bode well for their lineup though. Over the last two seasons, Ross has allowed a .346 wOBA to left-handed hitters.

Dodgers Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.304 (23 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.148 (20 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 20.7% (15 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.20 (18 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.98 (12 of 16)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Chase Utley	LEFT	0.311	0.140	0.289	2B	$3,300	2B	$3,600
2	Corey Seager	LEFT	0.382	0.224	0.340	SS	$3,800	SS	$3,900
3	Justin Turner	RIGHT	0.363	0.197	0.494	3B	$3,600	3B	$4,100
4	Adrian Gonzalez	LEFT	0.348	0.196	0.277	1B	$3,000	1B	$3,000
5	Trayce Thompson	RIGHT	0.365	0.225	0.281	OF	$2,900	OF	$3,100
6	Joc Pederson	LEFT	0.346	0.228	0.393	OF	$3,200	OF	$4,000
7	Yasiel Puig	RIGHT	0.297	0.137		OF	$2,400	OF	$3,200
8	Yasmani Grandal	SWITCH	0.319	0.175	0.235	C	$2,500	C	$2,800
9	Julio Urias	LEFT	0.000	0.000	0.000	P	$7,200	P	$6,900
	Team Averages	—	0.303	0.169	0.289	—	—	—	—

MLB Grind Down: Wednesday, June 22nd - Page Three

Chicago White Sox at Boston – 7:10 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Chicago White Sox

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Tim Anderson, Jose Abreu, Todd Frazier

Secondary Plays – Adam Eaton, Melky Cabrera, Brett Lawrie

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Boston

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Mookie Betts, Dustin Pedroia, Xander Bogaerts, Hanley Ramirez, Chris Young

Stackability – GPP

Tampa Bay at Cleveland – 7:10 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Tampa Bay

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Brad Miller, Evan Longoria, Logan Morrison

Stackability – NONE

Cleveland

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Carlos Santana, Jason Kipnis, Francisco Lindor

Stackability – NONE

Cincinnati at Texas – 8:05 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Cincinnati

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Zack Cozart, Eugenio Suarez

Stackability – NONE

Texas

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Shin-Soo Choo, Nomar Mazara, Prince Fielder

Secondary Plays – Ian Desmond, Adrian Beltre, Rougned Odor

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Philadelphia at Minnesota – 8:10 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Philadelphia

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Odubel Herrera, Ryan Howard

Stackability – NONE

Minnesota

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Eduardo Nunez, Robbie Grossman, Brian Dozier, Trevor Plouffe

Secondary Plays – Joe Mauer, Byung Ho Park

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Washington at LA Dodgers – 10:10 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Washington

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Jayson Werth

Stackability – NONE

LA Dodgers

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Corey Seager

Secondary Plays – Chase Utley, Adrian Gonzalez

Stackability – NONE

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