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MLB Grind Down: Saturday, September 3rd - Page Two

by Ryan138 Last Updated 2016-09-03 15:24:52

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Milwaukee at Pittsburgh – 7:05 PM ET

Milwaukee Pittsburgh
Article Image Jimmy Nelson Article Image Ivan Nova
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
PIT -180 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.358 21 35.4% 16.8% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.371 18 35.2% 11.3%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.298 16 26.8% 19.9% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.314 17 33.4% 21.7%

Pitcher Grind Down

Jimmy Nelson
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,200 Salary: $4,700
FPPG: 24.2 FPPG: 11.3
Pitcher Rating: 52.0 Pitcher Rank: 22
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 95.8 4.72 8.25 16.7% 9.2% 6.9% 51.2% 28.0% 28.9%
2016 27 93.5 4.86 4.45 17.1% 10.3% 7.0% 50.1% 29.9% 32.8%
2015 30 93.0 4.09 4.11 19.7% 8.6% 10.0% 50.6% 29.4% 28.9%

Home:—ERA: 3.34 — K%: 20.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.304
Away:—ERA: 5.40 — K%: 16.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.349

Nelson has been downright awful this year. He should be on no one’s radar tonight, as he comes into this game with a bad 4.87 SIERA and low 17.1% strikeout rate. If you want to play him tonight, you may just be tossing your money away.

Ivan Nova
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,300 Salary: $8,900
FPPG: 23.8 FPPG: 11.6
Pitcher Rating: 73.6 Pitcher Rank: 9
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 78.6 3.66 2.87 18.2% 0.8% 8.9% 47.9% 29.8% 37.1%
2016 20 93.6 3.94 4.41 17.9% 4.8% 9.2% 52.8% 28.7% 35.9%
2015 17 89.9 4.58 5.07 15.3% 8.0% 7.8% 49.0% 31.7% 32.3%

Home:—ERA: 4.37 — K%: 16.1% — wOBA Allowed: 0.327
Away:—ERA: 5.03 — K%: 17.5% — wOBA Allowed: 0.356

Nova was traded from the Yankees to the Pirates, and leaving the AL East to pitch in National League ballparks has done wonders for him. Since his switch he has put up a 2.87 ERA (3.66 SIERA) to go along with a below average 18.2% strikeout rate. That low rate could be helped today by the matchup against the Brewers who strikeout at a 25.8% clip, which is the highest rate in the league against righties. Nova is a good play at FanDuel tonight, while being a bit highly priced at DK.

Batter Grind Down

Milwaukee

The Brewers have a low 3.79 total today against the rejuvenated Nova, which is seventh lowest on the day. They are not an offense to target on a night with enough teams in great spots.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jonathan Villar SWITCH 0.338 0.121 32.0% 0.357 3B $3,700 3B/SS $4,000
2 Scooter Gennett LEFT 0.304 0.127 25.5% 0.234 2B $3,200 2B $2,900
3 Ryan Braun RIGHT 0.359 0.215 33.7% 0.280 OF $4,000 OF $4,400
4 Hernan Perez RIGHT 0.285 0.106 28.6% 0.338 OF $3,100 3B/OF $4,000
5 Chris Carter RIGHT 0.319 0.236 38.0% 0.378 1B $3,300 1B $3,200
6 Kirk Nieuwenhuis LEFT 0.321 0.196 39.3% 0.391 OF $2,500 OF $3,500
7 Orlando Arcia RIGHT 0.206 0.107 25.0% 0.309 SS $2,700 SS $2,800
8 Manuel Pina RIGHT 0.398 0.286 50.0% 0.263
9 Jimmy Nelson RIGHT 0.117 0.013 14.7% 0.230 P $6,200 P $4,700
Team Averages — 0.294 0.156 31.9% 0.309 — — — —

Elite Plays – Ryan Braun

Secondary Plays – Jonathan Villar

Stackability – RED

Pittsburgh

The Pirates are in a great spot tonight against Nelson. They have a 4.71 run projection, which is seventh highest on the day. Nelson has struggled against everyone as he has allowed a .340+ wOBA to both sides of the plate, putting the top six batters below into play.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Josh Harrison RIGHT 0.291 0.097 25.8% 0.269 2B $3,000 2B $3,600
2 Josh Bell SWITCH 0.465 0.258 42.9% 0.364 1B $2,700 1B $3,500
3 Andrew McCutchen RIGHT 0.352 0.180 37.8% 0.286 OF $3,500 OF $4,200
4 Gregory Polanco LEFT 0.336 0.176 33.4% 0.398 OF $3,600 OF $5,400
5 Starling Marte RIGHT 0.348 0.152 32.5% 0.281 OF $3,600 OF $5,200
6 David Freese RIGHT 0.323 0.140 32.5% 0.235 3B $2,800 1B/3B $3,200
7 Francisco Cervelli RIGHT 0.314 0.074 27.1% 0.215 C $2,800 C $2,800
8 Jordy Mercer RIGHT 0.274 0.086 24.7% 0.321 SS $2,600 SS $3,400
9 Ivan Nova RIGHT 0.125 0.000 0.0% 0.000 P $7,300 P $8,900
Team Averages — 0.314 0.129 28.5% 0.263 — — — —

Elite Plays – Andrew McCutchen, Gregory Polanco, Starling Marte

Secondary Plays – Josh Harrison, Josh Bell, David Freese

Stackability – YELLOW

NY Yankees at Baltimore – 7:05 PM ET

NY Yankees Baltimore
Article Image CC Sabathia Article Image Kevin Gausman
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
BAL -140 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.259 5 19.8% 27.9% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.283 12 28.9% 25.2%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.345 39 28.0% 17.4% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.360 28 29.9% 20.7%

Pitcher Grind Down

CC Sabathia
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,400 Salary: $7,300
FPPG: 29.0 FPPG: 14.5
Pitcher Rating: 63.6 Pitcher Rank: 13
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 99.6 3.12 4.88 30.2% 8.5% 12.3% 58.4% 27.3% 18.0%
2016 24 96.8 4.37 4.31 20.1% 8.7% 10.0% 49.5% 33.8% 23.6%
2015 29 93.2 4.08 4.73 18.9% 6.9% 9.1% 45.9% 32.4% 29.1%

Home:—ERA: 5.32 — K%: 19.5% — wOBA Allowed: 0.336
Away:—ERA: 3.86 — K%: 19.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.322

Sabathia went from a pitcher to completely pick on every time he took the mound last year to someone we pick and choose our spots against. He comes into this game with a 4.37 ERA (4.37 SIERA) with a 20.1% strikeout rate. He is someone that is tough to use even in the best matchups. The Orioles are surprisingly still in the bottom third of the league against lefties, yet Vegas thinks they will get to CC today, making him a tough guy to target tonight.

Kevin Gausman
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,700 Salary: $8,500
FPPG: 30.8 FPPG: 16.3
Pitcher Rating: 75.9 Pitcher Rank: 7
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 105.8 3.61 2.45 27.0% 7.9% 9.8% 41.4% 36.4% 30.3%
2016 24 102.5 3.78 3.73 23.6% 6.4% 10.7% 43.1% 35.5% 31.1%
2015 17 110.4 3.69 4.25 21.9% 6.2% 10.9% 44.4% 38.1% 27.4%

Home:—ERA: 2.35 — K%: 22.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.280
Away:—ERA: 5.39 — K%: 23.5% — wOBA Allowed: 0.357

Gausman continues to chug along this year and is coming off his best month of the year. In August, he put up a 3.61 SIERA (2.45 ERA) to go along with an elite 27% strikeout rate. He now faces a Yankees squad that he has dominated this year (27.2 innings/3 earned runs/24 strikeouts). He makes a solid play tonight for his 8k price across the industry.

Batter Grind Down

NY Yankees

Gausman has been a reverse splits pitcher this year, as he has kept lefties at bay, but has struggled against righties, allowing a .361 wOBA to them on the year. The Yankees are right in the middle of the totals for today at 4.27, making them more of a one off offense if you want to play anyone.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Brett Gardner LEFT 0.324 0.135 27.6% 0.278 OF $3,500 OF $3,900
2 Jacoby Ellsbury LEFT 0.310 0.106 24.9% 0.343 OF $3,300 OF $4,500
3 Gary Sanchez RIGHT 0.564 0.476 45.5% 0.545 C $4,000 C $4,600
4 Mark Teixeira SWITCH 0.341 0.254 36.0% 0.309 1B $2,700 1B $3,200
5 Didi Gregorius LEFT 0.313 0.149 24.4% 0.328 SS $3,100 SS $3,800
6 Starlin Castro RIGHT 0.300 0.141 26.4% 0.396 2B $3,200 2B $4,000
7 Brian McCann LEFT 0.326 0.191 33.5% 0.309 C $3,000 C $3,700
8 Chase Headley SWITCH 0.307 0.124 30.2% 0.269 3B $2,700 3B $3,700
9 Aaron Judge RIGHT 0.324 0.256 50.0% 0.173 OF $2,700 OF $3,700
Team Averages — 0.345 0.204 33.2% 0.328 — — — —

Elite Plays – Gary Sanchez

Secondary Plays – Brett Gardner, Jacoby Ellsbury

Stackability – ORANGE

Baltimore

Baltimore is a decent favorite today against the Yankees and have the sixth-highest run total of the day at 4.73 runs. Sabathia has not been as terrible against righties this year as he has in years past, but still has allowed a .316 to them on the year. The home run potential is high across the board for the Orioles.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Adam Jones RIGHT 0.286 0.147 30.0% 0.285 OF $3,300 OF $3,500
2 Steve Pearce RIGHT 0.344 0.231 35.4% 0.403 OF $3,200 1B/2B $4,000
3 Manny Machado RIGHT 0.352 0.187 33.5% 0.410 3B $4,100 3B/SS $5,000
4 Mark Trumbo RIGHT 0.322 0.240 37.1% 0.407 OF $3,300 OF $4,300
5 Chris Davis LEFT 0.335 0.199 35.1% 0.414 1B $3,400 1B $4,000
6 Jonathan Schoop RIGHT 0.283 0.129 25.0% 0.362 2B $3,200 2B $3,700
7 Matt Wieters SWITCH 0.275 0.117 32.5% 0.294 C $2,500 C $3,100
8 J.J. Hardy RIGHT 0.247 0.089 29.9% 0.271 SS $2,500 SS $2,500
9 Drew Stubbs RIGHT 0.270 0.109 31.4% 1.006 OF $2,900
Team Averages — 0.302 0.161 32.2% 0.428 — — — —

Elite Plays – Manny Machado, Adam Jones, Mark Trumbo

Secondary Plays – Steve Pearce, Chris Davis, Jonathan Schoop

Stackability – GREEN

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota – 7:10 PM ET

Chicago White Sox Minnesota
Article Image James Shields Article Image Hector Santiago
RIGHT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
MIN -130 10.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.375 35 31.3% 17.5% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.308 9 29.9% 18.5%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.335 30 34.6% 24.1% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.330 47 36.0% 20.6%

Pitcher Grind Down

James Shields
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,400 Salary: $5,000
FPPG: 19.4 FPPG: 8.3
Pitcher Rating: 45.2 Pitcher Rank: 24
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 86.7 5.48 11.42 12.3% 8.0% 6.7% 36.2% 40.0% 41.9%
2016 27 94.1 5.17 5.86 15.3% 9.4% 8.5% 41.0% 36.9% 34.7%
2015 33 101.1 3.72 3.91 25.1% 9.4% 12.4% 44.9% 34.4% 31.2%

Home:—ERA: 4.24 — K%: 22.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.363
Away:—ERA: 5.32 — K%: 19.5% — wOBA Allowed: 0.345

Big Game James is going to need a new nickname soon enough if he can’t bounce back from this horrible 2016 stretch. He has been even worse in the last month putting up a 11.42 ERA (5.48 SIERA) and extremely low 12.3% strikeout rate. Please don’t play him.

Hector Santiago
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,500 Salary: $4,300
FPPG: 25.2 FPPG: 12.1
Pitcher Rating: 41.0 Pitcher Rank: 27
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 86.6 5.72 8.17 12.0% 6.0% 6.7% 26.9% 51.6% 39.0%
2016 27 94.8 4.92 4.93 19.2% 10.1% 8.8% 36.2% 48.6% 35.8%
2015 32 98.8 4.50 3.59 20.9% 9.2% 8.5% 29.9% 53.6% 33.6%

Home:—ERA: 4.12 — K%: 21.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.315
Away:—ERA: 4.25 — K%: 18.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.334

As great as the pitching matchup was in the first game of the day, this may be the exact opposite as we have two struggling pitchers. Santiago has been awful for the Twins with an 8.17 ERA (5.72 SIERA) in the last month. Move on.

Batter Grind Down

Chicago White Sox

The Sox are in a decent spot today as this game has a 10-run total. Santiago has struggled against both sides of the plate, as he has allowed a .337+ wOBA to batters from both sides of the plate. This game will be popular from both sides and should be very high scoring.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Adam Eaton LEFT 0.307 0.061 23.7% 0.311 OF $3,400 OF $4,400
2 Tim Anderson RIGHT 0.368 0.164 37.8% 0.322 SS $3,100 SS $4,100
3 Melky Cabrera SWITCH 0.296 0.120 27.3% 0.294 OF $3,400 OF $4,700
4 Jose Abreu RIGHT 0.292 0.142 35.8% 0.477 1B $3,800 1B $4,700
5 Justin Morneau LEFT 0.342 0.162 22.2% 0.229 1B $2,700 1B $3,500
6 Todd Frazier RIGHT 0.362 0.336 37.0% 0.276 3B $3,900 3B $5,000
7 Avisail Garcia RIGHT 0.332 0.141 34.0% 0.354 OF $2,800 OF $3,800
8 Omar Narvaez LEFT 0.437 0.167 20.0% 0.295 C $2,300 C $2,800
9 Tyler Saladino RIGHT 0.304 0.121 22.3% 0.383 SS $2,800 2B/SS $3,900
Team Averages — 0.338 0.157 28.9% 0.327 — — — —

Elite Plays – Jose Abreu, Todd Frazier, Melky Cabrera

Secondary Plays – Adam Eaton, Tim Anderson

Stackability – YELLOW

Minnesota

Shields is an easy target tonight, as he has allowed a .368 wOBA to lefties and .391 wOBA to righties. The Twins have the highest total not at Coors today, making them a great offense to target in all formats.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Brian Dozier RIGHT 0.336 0.226 30.9% 0.427 2B $3,900 2B $5,100
2 Joe Mauer LEFT 0.329 0.122 31.3% 0.244 1B $3,300 1B $4,300
3 Trevor Plouffe RIGHT 0.306 0.168 33.0% 0.316 3B $3,100 1B/3B $4,200
4 Miguel Sano RIGHT 0.355 0.235 39.2% 0.179 OF $3,100 3B/OF $3,700
5 Eddie Rosario LEFT 0.310 0.185 31.1% 0.254 OF $2,900 OF $3,300
6 Jorge Polanco RIGHT 0.327 0.124 27.0% 0.313 3B $3,200 3B/SS $3,700
7 Max Kepler LEFT 0.355 0.257 33.9% 0.215 OF $3,200 OF $4,600
8 Juan Centeno LEFT 0.272 0.119 34.0% 0.136 C $2,500 C $2,900
9 Byron Buxton RIGHT 0.267 0.132 23.5% OF $2,700 OF $3,100
Team Averages — 0.317 0.174 31.5% 0.261 — — — —

Elite Plays – Brian Dozier, Miguel Sano, Trevor Plouffe

Secondary Plays – Joe Mauer, Jorge Polanco, Eddie Rosario

Stackability – GREEN

Miami at Cleveland – 7:10 PM ET

Miami Cleveland
Article Image Jose Fernandez Article Image Trevor Bauer
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
MIA -111 7.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.314 9 34.7% 26.5% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.310 18 33.6% 22.6%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.229 6 25.9% 40.5% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.305 20 30.6% 21.3%

Pitcher Grind Down

Jose Fernandez
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $10,900 Salary: $12,000
FPPG: 43.6 FPPG: 24.4
Pitcher Rating: 93.8 Pitcher Rank: 1
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 99.6 3.54 2.79 27.8% 8.7% 14.7% 42.3% 25.6% 30.4%
2016 25 100.3 2.76 2.79 35.0% 7.7% 14.7% 41.2% 29.6% 31.4%
2015 11 90.2 2.77 2.92 29.8% 5.3% 13.3% 40.1% 31.1% 29.4%

Home:—ERA: 2.09 — K%: 33.7% — wOBA Allowed: 0.254
Away:—ERA: 3.80 — K%: 33.1% — wOBA Allowed: 0.294

JoFer takes the mound tonight for the Marlins, as he is coming of two solid scoreless starts and 15 strikeouts combined. He is second in the majors in Ks and sports a solid 2.79 ERA on the season. He is a top play in any format tonight with a concern being the number of pitches the Marlins let him throw down the stretch. It hasn’t been a problem lately as he is coming of 113 and 111 pitches in those last two starts. He gets a tough matchup against the Indians today, who rank fifth in wOBA and seventh in ISO against righties, but Vegas has this as one of the small totals of the day and the Marlins are slightly favored. Fernandez is in play in all formats as the top option of the night slate. The only question is if you want to pay the price against a tough offense.

Trevor Bauer
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,200 Salary: $8,100
FPPG: 26.9 FPPG: 13.9
Pitcher Rating: 63.7 Pitcher Rank: 12
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 97.3 4.47 4.04 18.7% 9.0% 8.2% 50.0% 28.2% 29.7%
2016 22 114.6 4.25 3.73 20.8% 9.0% 9.0% 48.9% 31.6% 33.1%
2015 30 95.6 4.20 4.55 22.9% 10.6% 9.6% 39.2% 40.7% 31.0%

Home:—ERA: 5.00 — K%: 22.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.329
Away:—ERA: 3.23 — K%: 21.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.283

Bauer has been decent this season for the Indians. He has a 4.25 SIERA on the year and 20.8% strikeout rate. The numbers do not jump off the page, but they are not going to kill your fantasy squad either. He has a decent matchup against the Marlins, who are a below average offense. While run support may be tough today, Bauer could be used as an SP2.

Batter Grind Down

Miami

Bauer has kept batters from both sides of the plate to a wOBA under .305 from both sides of the plate this year. The Marlins have a low total of 3.82, and with all the other offenses today with high totals, this game is an easy one to avoid for batters.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Dee Gordon LEFT 0.315 0.073 18.1% 0.185 2B $2,600 2B $3,800
2 Ichiro Suzuki LEFT 0.265 0.046 17.6% 0.229 OF $2,600 OF $3,400
3 Martin Prado RIGHT 0.306 0.099 25.6% 0.271 3B $2,900 3B $3,400
4 Christian Yelich LEFT 0.378 0.181 38.8% 0.361 OF $3,700 OF $5,300
5 Jeff Francoeur RIGHT 0.307 0.174 25.1% 0.328 OF $2,600 OF $3,200
6 Xavier Scruggs RIGHT 0.316 0.091 31.4% 0.352 1B $2,300 1B $2,600
7 Jeff Mathis RIGHT 0.208 0.097 24.1% 0.292 C $2,200 C $2,800
8 Adeiny Hechavarria RIGHT 0.273 0.077 27.1% 0.291 SS $2,000 SS $2,800
9 Destin Hood RIGHT OF $2,200 OF $2,600
Team Averages — 0.296 0.105 26.0% 0.289 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Dee Gordon, Christian Yelich

Stackability – RED

Cleveland

While the Indians are a great offense this year, they are also facing a great pitcher. The Indians have the fifth-lowest total of the day, making them an offense that is easy to avoid tonight.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Carlos Santana SWITCH 0.347 0.230 34.4% 0.390 1B $3,000 1B $3,800
2 Jason Kipnis LEFT 0.371 0.183 34.9% 0.263 2B $3,000 2B $3,800
3 Francisco Lindor SWITCH 0.350 0.152 26.8% 0.319 SS $3,000 SS $3,800
4 Mike Napoli RIGHT 0.312 0.191 33.2% 0.232 1B $2,900 1B $3,300
5 Jose Ramirez SWITCH 0.327 0.142 25.9% 0.350 P $4,000 P $4,400
6 Lonnie Chisenhall LEFT 0.318 0.154 25.4% 0.288 OF $2,500 OF $3,700
7 Coco Crisp SWITCH 0.289 0.149 21.8% 0.170 OF $2,600 OF $3,100
8 Tyler Naquin LEFT 0.398 0.273 43.2% 0.223 OF $2,800 OF $3,000
9 Chris Gimenez RIGHT 0.282 0.128 26.3% 0.593 C $2,100 C $2,300
Team Averages — 0.333 0.178 30.2% 0.314 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – None

Stackability – RED

Washington at NY Mets – 7:10 PM ET

Washington NY Mets
Article Image Tanner Roark Article Image Robert Gsellman
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
WAS -126 7.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.316 15 30.7% 16.6% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.401 0 36.4% 13.3%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.295 16 20.6% 18.8% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.285 0 47.1% 20.0%

Pitcher Grind Down

Tanner Roark
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,700 Salary: $9,100
FPPG: 33.7 FPPG: 17.4
Pitcher Rating: 56.5 Pitcher Rank: 17
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 103.5 4.96 2.56 16.4% 8.8% 7.9% 43.8% 38.4% 29.0%
2016 27 103.2 4.27 2.87 19.5% 7.7% 8.6% 49.2% 30.9% 24.7%
2015 12 150.0 4.16 4.38 15.0% 5.6% 7.1% 47.8% 30.6% 26.3%

Home:—ERA: 3.33 — K%: 18.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.302
Away:—ERA: 3.56 — K%: 16.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.308

Roark is a pitcher that we continue to wait for the regression. His season long SIERA is a run and half higher than his ERA and that continues to ring true for the last month, where his SIERA (4.96) is over two runs higher than his ERA (2.56). His strikeout rate has dropped to 16.4% over the last six starts as well. There are too many warning signs for Roark tonight, but he is a decent favorite in a game with a low total. He is in play, but with some risk.

Robert Gsellman
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,500 Salary: $4,200
FPPG: 25.0 FPPG: 11.7
Pitcher Rating: 49.3 Pitcher Rank: 23
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 1 169.0 4.84 3.72 17.5% 10.0% 11.2% 36.0% 32.0% 42.9%
2016 1 169.0 4.84 3.72 17.5% 10.0% 11.2% 36.0% 32.0% 42.9%

Home:—ERA: 6.00 — K%: 20.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.343
Away:—ERA: 0.00 — K%: 12.5% — wOBA Allowed: 0.307

Gsellman made his first start last week, as he went six innings and gave up four earned runs and five strikeouts. He is not exactly a safe play tonight, but his price is almost at minimum prices across the industry tonight, making him a longshot GPP play.

Batter Grind Down

Washington

The Nationals have the tenth-lowest total of the day at just 3.90 runs. With that said, the top dogs are clearly in play today such as Bryce Harper and Daniel Murphy as they could take advantage of the young pitcher tonight.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Trea Turner RIGHT 0.375 0.214 34.1% 0.410 OF $3,900 2B/OF $5,000
2 Jayson Werth RIGHT 0.299 0.147 34.6% 0.359 OF $3,700 OF $4,400
3 Daniel Murphy LEFT 0.379 0.231 36.0% 0.370 2B $3,800 2B $5,200
4 Bryce Harper LEFT 0.429 0.291 36.6% 0.378 OF $4,100 OF $5,000
5 Anthony Rendon RIGHT 0.329 0.155 36.7% 0.377 3B $3,400 3B $3,900
6 Wilson Ramos RIGHT 0.309 0.147 30.7% 0.239 C $3,400 C $3,700
7 Ryan Zimmerman RIGHT 0.284 0.157 32.5% 0.211 1B $3,000 1B $2,800
8 Danny Espinosa SWITCH 0.308 0.158 30.4% 0.366 SS $2,800 SS $3,400
9 Tanner Roark RIGHT 0.155 0.031 8.2% 0.146 P $8,700 P $9,100
Team Averages — 0.319 0.170 31.1% 0.317 — — — —

Elite Plays – Bryce Harper

Secondary Plays – Daniel Murphy, Trea Turner

Stackability – ORANGE

NY Mets

Roark has kept batters to a wOBA under .289 from both sides of the plate this year. While I don’t love Roark, this Mets offense is not one too love to much either as they have the fourth-lowest total of the day

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jose Reyes SWITCH 0.297 0.106 20.7% 0.377 3B $3,100 3B/SS $3,700
2 Asdrubal Cabrera SWITCH 0.320 0.180 31.7% 0.499 SS $3,100 SS $4,000
3 Yoenis Cespedes RIGHT 0.380 0.263 36.8% 0.483 OF $3,700 OF $4,400
4 Jay Bruce LEFT 0.333 0.250 38.6% 0.206 OF $3,400 OF $3,800
5 Wilmer Flores RIGHT 0.279 0.113 26.9% 0.421 2B $2,700 1B/3B $3,600
6 Curtis Granderson LEFT 0.362 0.226 37.2% 0.376 OF $3,000 OF $3,800
7 James Loney LEFT 0.310 0.096 24.1% 0.201 1B $2,100 1B $2,400
8 Travis D’Arnaud RIGHT 0.317 0.154 29.5% 0.286 C $2,200 C $2,700
9 Robert Gsellman RIGHT 0.000 P $5,500 P $4,200
Team Averages — 0.325 0.174 30.7% 0.317 — — — —

Elite Plays – Yoenis Cespedes

Secondary Plays – Jose Reyes, Jay Bruce

Stackability – ORANGE

Page 3 will be posted shortly!

About the Author

Ryan138
Ryan138

Ryan (Ryan138) is from Chicago and has been playing fantasy sports for over 10 years. He has been playing daily fantasy sports for over 2 years since he was introduced to Daily Joust in late 2010. In the last year, Ryan has risen into the Top 100 of the RotoGrinders leaderboards by playing at DraftDay, DraftKings and FanDuel in all the major sports.