MLB Grind Down: Sunday, April 8th
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The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.
The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code, FanDuel promo code, and FantasyDraft promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.
Stackability Rating System:
GREEN – A viable full stack in cash games and GPPs.
YELLOW – A viable mini-stack in cash games and full stack in GPPs.
ORANGE – A viable stack in large field GPPs.
RED – Not a recommended stack for cash games or GPPs.
Implied Run Totals
Baltimore at NY Yankees – 1:05 PM ET
| Baltimore | NY Yankees | ||||||||||||||
 | Mike Wright |  | Jordan Montgomery | ||||||||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||||||||
| NYY-205 | 9.5 | ||||||||||||||
| Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.343 | 0.321 | 30.0% | 4.4% | 30.4% | 40.0% | SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.277 | 0.299 | 19.2% | 8.1% | 17.2% | 50.7% | ||
| SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.344 | 0.339 | 39.6% | 7.2% | 24.1% | 45.3% | SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.296 | 0.298 | 27.6% | 8.3% | 23.0% | 39.3% | ||
Pitcher Grind Down
| Mike Wright | |||||||||
 | FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | ||||||
| Salary: | $5,500 | Salary: | $5,800 | Salary: | $11,300 | ||||
| Salary Rank: | 18 of 20 | Salary Rank: | 22 of 20 | Salary Rank: | 21 of 20 | ||||
| Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 0 | 3.34 | 5.76 | 25.7% | 6.4% | 43.7% | 39.4% | 15.5% | |
| 2018 | 1 | 2.48 | 5.40 | 30.0% | 5.0% | 41.7% | 16.7% | 25.0% | |
Good Sunday to all of you and if you aren’t watching the final round of the Masters today, we have every team in action today with a ten game main slate on both FanDuel and DraftKings. The last five games of the day will be available on smaller slates that the sites put up. We get things started with the Orioles and Mike Wright visiting the Yankees. Mike Wright doesn’t have a ton of the work at the major league level thus far, but here’s a look at his career numbers.
.394 LH (Career) 1.90 HR/9 16.2% K 7.0% BB
.339 RH (Career) 1.44 HR/9 17.0% K 8.5% BB
Quick Breakdown:
As you can see from the above numbers, Wright is prone to the longball, doesn’t strikeout batters at a high rate, and is especially vulnerable to LH bats. The Yankees have the highest run total of the day for a team not playing in Coors Field. That in itself should tell you to avoid Wright in all formats.
| Jordan Montgomery | |||||||||
 | FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | ||||||
| Salary: | $7,400 | Salary: | $7,000 | Salary: | $14,100 | ||||
| Salary Rank: | 9 of 20 | Salary Rank: | 17 of 20 | Salary Rank: | 15 of 20 | ||||
| Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 29 | 4.34 | 3.88 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 40.7% | 26.5% | 17.9% | |
| 2018 | 1 | 5.65 | 1.80 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 58.3% | 16.7% | 16.7% | |
Jordan Montgomery gets the start for the Yankees today and the southpaw has been primarily effective at home over the course of his short major league career. He has a wOBA that is nearly .30 lower at home then on the road. Here’s a look at his career numbers (with home splits included).
.277 LH (Career) 1.78 HR/9 17.2% K 8.1% BB
—.242 Home .66 HR/9 18.9% K 7.6% BB
.296 RH (Career) 1.07 HR/9 23.0% K 8.3% BB
—.274 Home .74 HR/9 25.5% K 8.1% BB
Quick Breakdown:
The Orioles will bring a mostly right-handed line up at Montgomery and the Yankees, but that’s actually where his strikeout upside lies as he has a much higher K rate against that side of the plate. The projected Orioles lineup has 5 batters that whiff at a 25% rate or higher. The win upside is there. The K upside is there. He’s a lock for me as a SP2 on DraftKings where he is the 17th priced SP (out of 20 available) and is also a viable option on FanDuel at $7,400.
Batter Grind Down
Baltimore
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. LH Pitching)
| # | Player | Bats | wOBA | xwOBA | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trey Mancini | RIGHT | 0.312 | 0.314 | 0.126 | 33.9% | 3.6% | 25.1% | 50.0% | OF | $2,600 | 1B/OF | $3,300 | IF/OF | $6,700 |
| 2 | Manny Machado | RIGHT | 0.345 | 0.370 | 0.244 | 45.0% | 6.5% | 16.0% | 40.3% | SS | $3,900 | 3B/SS | $4,400 | 3B | $8,500 |
| 3 | Jonathan Schoop | RIGHT | 0.397 | 0.378 | 0.293 | 39.6% | 8.4% | 24.1% | 42.3% | 2B | $3,200 | 2B | $3,500 | 2B | $6,900 |
| 4 | Adam Jones | RIGHT | 0.317 | 0.321 | 0.158 | 33.3% | 6.9% | 18.8% | 44.0% | OF | $3,300 | OF | $3,800 | CF | $7,300 |
| 5 | Danny Valencia | RIGHT | 0.349 | 0.354 | 0.190 | 39.4% | 13.9% | 20.5% | 45.5% | 1B | $2,100 | 3B | $2,900 | 1B | $5,500 |
| 6 | Chris Davis | LEFT | 0.271 | 0.306 | 0.116 | 32.9% | 9.6% | 39.8% | 34.1% | 1B | $2,300 | 1B | $3,000 | IF/OF | $5,600 |
| 7 | Tim Beckham | RIGHT | 0.337 | 0.331 | 0.196 | 36.5% | 7.9% | 27.6% | 48.4% | 3B | $2,700 | 3B/SS | $3,600 | SS | $7,600 |
| 8 | Anthony Santander | SWITCH | 0.214 | 0.245 | 0.125 | 20.0% | 11.1% | 33.3% | 20.0% | OF | $2,200 | OF | $2,800 | LF | $5,400 |
| 9 | Caleb Joseph | RIGHT | 0.351 | 0.354 | 0.254 | 40.9% | 4.5% | 28.4% | 38.6% | C | $2,000 | C | $2,800 | C | $5,700 |
The Orioles have a run total of just over four runs. Jordan Montgomery does a good job of limiting damage to RH bats with a HR/9 rate of just .74 and he’s never given up more than four runs while pitching at Yankee Stadium. In three career starts against the Orioles, Montgomery has struck out 21 in 18 innings of work and allowed five runs. The only Oriole bat I have interest in Jonathan Schoop who is an affordable 2B option with a .393 wOBA and .293 ISO against RHP. Danny Valencia is moderately interesting on FanDuel at $2,100 and $2,900 on DraftKings if you are looking for a super cheap punt option with a some power and walk upside, but not enough for me to list him as a secondary option (but thought I’d at least mention it as it’s not out of line as a play given his price).
Elite Plays – None
Secondary Plays – Jonathan Schoop
Stackability – RED
NY Yankees
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. RH Pitching)
| # | Player | Bats | wOBA | xwOBA | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brett Gardner | LEFT | 0.357 | 0.331 | 0.190 | 31.4% | 11.0% | 18.4% | 42.9% | OF | $3,200 | OF | $4,000 | LF | $7,400 |
| 2 | Aaron Judge | RIGHT | 0.435 | 0.439 | 0.351 | 44.2% | 16.8% | 30.6% | 35.0% | OF | $5,000 | OF | $5,400 | RF | $10,900 |
| 3 | Giancarlo Stanton | RIGHT | 0.390 | 0.379 | 0.324 | 38.1% | 11.0% | 26.8% | 44.6% | OF | $4,800 | OF | $5,700 | RF | $11,100 |
| 4 | Didi Gregorius | LEFT | 0.369 | 0.294 | 0.249 | 27.3% | 4.8% | 11.1% | 36.1% | SS | $4,600 | SS | $5,200 | SS | $10,000 |
| 5 | Gary Sanchez | RIGHT | 0.355 | 0.373 | 0.240 | 35.8% | 6.2% | 22.7% | 42.7% | C | $3,600 | C | $4,600 | C | $9,400 |
| 6 | Neil Walker | SWITCH | 0.362 | 0.363 | 0.190 | 34.4% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 37.5% | 1B | $3,100 | 1B/2B | $3,400 | 2B | $6,800 |
| 7 | Brandon Drury | RIGHT | 0.333 | 0.312 | 0.190 | 32.3% | 7.3% | 19.8% | 47.9% | 3B | $2,000 | 3B | $3,500 | 3B | $6,400 |
| 8 | Tyler Wade | LEFT | 0.209 | 0.243 | 0.081 | 20.5% | 7.5% | 26.9% | 51.2% | 2B | $2,400 | 2B | $3,100 | 2B | $5,800 |
| 9 | Miguel Andujar | RIGHT | 0.351 | 0.484 | 0.250 | 16.7% | 11.1% | 22.2% | 50.0% | 3B | $2,200 | 3B | $2,800 | 3B | $5,400 |
The Yankees have a robust run total facing Mike Wright, a RHP vulnerable to the long ball who can’t strike batters out. He’s especially vulnerable to LH power with a 1.90 HR/9 rate. The problem with the Yankees is that outside of a few bats their price tags are jacked up and makes it hard to build a viable stack without completely punting the rest of your lineup. Brett Gardner and Neil Walker stand out as cheap LH bats with good lineup spots and I’m marking both as Elite plays as they’ll let you slot in the more expensive bats from the Yankees into your stacks. Both carry .190 ISO’s against RHP so the upside is there. The one expensive Yankee bat I do want is Didi Gregorius who hits from the left side and has a .249 ISO against RHP. Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, and Gary Sanchez are always in play against bad pitchers and all viable parts of Yankees stacks.
Elite Plays – Brett Gardner, Neil Walker, Didi Gregorius
Secondary Plays – Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, Gary Sanchez
Stackability – GREEN
Tampa Bay at Boston – 1:05 PM ET
| Tampa Bay | Boston | ||||||||||||||
 | Andrew Kittredge |  | Eduardo Rodriguez | ||||||||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||||||||
| TBD | |||||||||||||||
| Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.291 | 0.304 | 38.9% | 17.2% | 20.7% | 31.3% | SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.347 | 0.327 | 31.5% | 7.8% | 26.1% | 30.1% | ||
| SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.312 | 0.275 | 33.3% | 4.0% | 18.0% | 55.3% | SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.307 | 0.299 | 30.6% | 8.8% | 25.7% | 36.1% | ||
Pitcher Grind Down
| Andrew Kittredge | |||||||||
 | FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | ||||||
| Salary: | $5,500 | Salary: | $4,000 | Salary: | $8,000 | ||||
| Salary Rank: | 18 of 20 | Salary Rank: | 28 of 20 | Salary Rank: | 27 of 20 | ||||
| Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 0 | 4.15 | 1.76 | 21.2% | 9.1% | 46.5% | 34.8% | 17.4% | |
| 2018 | 1 | 5.38 | 3.18 | 8.3% | 12.5% | 55.6% | 31.6% | 0.0% | |
Andrew Kittredge gets the start for the Rays today. He’s a 28 year old journeyman who has operated primarily a reliever in the minors with just 11 career starts. He has been better of late as he’s had a K/9 rate topping 9.79 over the last three minor league seasons. That hasn’t translated in his 21 innings pitched at the big league leavel and he’s had control issues against LH hitters.
.313 LH 1.23 HR/9 18.8% K 18.8% BB
.295 RH 1.32 HR/9 17.2% K 5.2% BB
Quick Breakdown:
Facing a potent Red Sox lineup and unlikely to work more than five innings, Kittredge is an easy fade today unless you just want to YOLO all the big bats you can handle as he’s just $4,000 on DraftKings and $5,500 on FanDuel. (OK, I might have just talked myself into doing one Yankees stack with him in it now. I need help)
| Eduardo Rodriguez | |||||||||
 | FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | ||||||
| Salary: | $7,000 | Salary: | $8,100 | Salary: | $16,200 | ||||
| Salary Rank: | 11 of 20 | Salary Rank: | 10 of 20 | Salary Rank: | 7 of 20 | ||||
| Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 24 | 4.05 | 4.19 | 25.8% | 8.6% | 34.9% | 30.8% | 18.6% | |
If there was a line on this game (there is not yet), Eduardo Rodriguez and the Red Sox would be one of the biggest favorites of the day. Rodriguez is a talented southpaw with very good strikeout ability (tops 25% against both sides of the plate).
.347 LH 1.05 HR/9 26.1% K 7.8% BB
.307 RH 1.29 HR/9 25.7% K 8.8% BB
Quick Breakdown:
Rodriguez is very affordably priced as the #11 SP on FanDuel and #10 SP on DraftKings and while the Rays will likely bring seven RH bats against him today, only a few are what I would call quality bats. Four hitters in the lineup have K rates topping 26%. While the Rays lineup is atrocious, he’s not someone I would jam into my lineups, but if you are entering multiple lineups is a guy worth consideration as he does have GPP upside and will likely get the free points for the win bonus.
Batter Grind Down
Tampa Bay
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. LH Pitching)
| # | Player | Bats | wOBA | xwOBA | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Duffy | RIGHT | 0.000 | 0.079 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 62.5% | 3B | $2,500 | 3B | $3,200 | 3B | $6,700 |
| 2 | Kevin Kiermaier | LEFT | 0.286 | 0.239 | 0.099 | 23.4% | 5.3% | 26.0% | 60.6% | OF | $2,100 | OF | $3,200 | CF | $6,600 |
| 3 | Carlos Gomez | RIGHT | 0.286 | 0.259 | 0.135 | 30.2% | 4.5% | 32.4% | 37.1% | OF | $2,400 | OF | $2,900 | CF | $5,600 |
| 4 | C.J. Cron | RIGHT | 0.313 | 0.338 | 0.245 | 39.7% | 5.9% | 30.7% | 30.2% | 1B | $2,100 | 1B | $2,900 | 1B | $5,900 |
| 5 | Wilson Ramos | RIGHT | 0.314 | 0.325 | 0.138 | 36.2% | 5.6% | 12.5% | 55.2% | C | $2,000 | C | $2,800 | C | $5,600 |
| 6 | Brad Miller | LEFT | 0.288 | 0.294 | 0.149 | 39.3% | 9.2% | 27.6% | 40.0% | 1B | $2,300 | 2B | $2,900 | 2B | $5,700 |
| 7 | Adeiny Hechavarria | RIGHT | 0.312 | 0.282 | 0.182 | 34.7% | 5.3% | 18.9% | 44.9% | SS | $2,100 | SS | $2,400 | SS | $5,000 |
| 8 | Daniel Robertson | RIGHT | 0.317 | 0.272 | 0.102 | 16.3% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 68.1% | 2B | $2,300 | 2B/SS | $2,700 | 2B | $5,500 |
| 9 | Rob Refsnyder | RIGHT | 0.200 | 0.287 | 0.000 | 8.3% | 21.4% | 16.7% | 50.0% | OF | $2,100 | OF | $2,200 | IF/OF | $3,900 |
How bad is this Rays lineup? The highest priced player is $2,500 on FanDuel. You could stack their projected 1 through 5 hitters for $11,100. I don’t think I could do a Rays stack even living a YOLO life.
cue Tampa onslaught
The only hitter worth wasting words on is C.J. Cron who will likely be batting clean up and has some power upside (.245 wOBA). Outside of that, run far away.
Elite Plays – None
Secondary Plays – C.J. Cron
Stackability – RED
Boston
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. RH Pitching)
| # | Player | Bats | wOBA | xwOBA | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mookie Betts | RIGHT | 0.330 | 0.335 | 0.187 | 36.6% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 39.7% | OF | $4,200 | OF | $5,300 | RF | $9,900 |
| 2 | Andrew Benintendi | LEFT | 0.340 | 0.339 | 0.172 | 35.6% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 38.2% | OF | $3,400 | OF | $4,900 | LF | $9,100 |
| 3 | Hanley Ramirez | RIGHT | 0.332 | 0.350 | 0.187 | 34.9% | 7.8% | 20.5% | 41.6% | 1B | $3,400 | 1B | $4,700 | 1B | $9,200 |
| 4 | J.D. Martinez | RIGHT | 0.390 | 0.396 | 0.334 | 47.6% | 9.6% | 27.5% | 43.2% | OF | $4,100 | OF | $5,100 | RF | $9,800 |
| 5 | Xander Bogaerts | RIGHT | 0.323 | 0.288 | 0.143 | 31.9% | 7.9% | 18.8% | 47.5% | SS | $3,700 | SS | $4,700 | SS | $9,400 |
| 6 | Rafael Devers | LEFT | 0.315 | 0.287 | 0.195 | 37.4% | 5.9% | 21.3% | 47.6% | 3B | $3,600 | 3B | $4,300 | 3B | $8,500 |
| 7 | Eduardo Nunez | RIGHT | 0.350 | 0.265 | 0.161 | 26.3% | 3.0% | 11.7% | 52.8% | 2B | $2,900 | 2B/SS | $3,800 | 3B | $7,700 |
| 8 | Jackie Bradley Jr. | LEFT | 0.301 | 0.312 | 0.164 | 34.5% | 9.0% | 23.3% | 45.0% | OF | $2,700 | OF | $3,100 | CF | $5,900 |
| 9 | Christian Vazquez | RIGHT | 0.317 | 0.281 | 0.102 | 25.8% | 4.9% | 18.4% | 47.6% | C | $2,100 | C | $3,200 | C | $6,300 |
It’s pretty easy with the Red Sox against Kittredge. If they are in the lineup and in a good spot in the lineup, they are worth consideration. I have the most interest in the LH bats of Andrew Benintendi and Rafael Devers who both have .170+ ISO’s against RHP. J.D. Martinez and his .334 ISO is the best right-handed option, but the rest of the top of the lineup in Mookie Betts, Hanley Ramirez, and Xander Bogaerts are all viable as parts of a team stack or even one offs. This is much more viable on FanDuel then DraftKings as their prices are all high there.
Elite Plays – Andrew Benintendi, J.D. Martinez
Secondary Plays – Mookie Betts, Hanley Ramirez, Rafael Devers
Stackability – GREEN (FanDuel) YELLOW (DraftKings)
Kansas City at Cleveland – 1:10 PM ET
| Kansas City | Cleveland | ||||||||||||||
 | Jason Hammel |  | Mike Clevinger | ||||||||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||||||||
| CLE-210 | 8.0 | ||||||||||||||
| Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.332 | 0.328 | 31.5% | 6.3% | 17.8% | 33.9% | SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.346 | 0.346 | 36.6% | 11.1% | 26.3% | 32.8% | ||
| SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.326 | 0.343 | 31.5% | 6.0% | 17.8% | 42.7% | SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.258 | 0.287 | 32.1% | 12.3% | 27.6% | 43.8% | ||
Pitcher Grind Down
| Jason Hammel | |||||||||
 | FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | ||||||
| Salary: | $5,600 | Salary: | $6,000 | Salary: | $12,200 | ||||
| Salary Rank: | 15 of 20 | Salary Rank: | 21 of 20 | Salary Rank: | 20 of 20 | ||||
| Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 32 | 4.65 | 5.29 | 18.0% | 6.0% | 38.0% | 31.6% | 16.6% | |
| 2018 | 1 | 5.53 | 9.00 | 11.5% | 11.5% | 40.0% | 30.0% | 5.0% | |
Jason Hammel finally lived up to his “I’m not really as good as my numbers indicate” reputation last season. After having a sub 4 ERA and double digit wins in three of his previous four seasons, Hammel struggled last season and those struggles continued in his first start of this season when he gave up 5 runs in 5 innings of work. Here’s a look at his numbers from last season:
.329 LH 1.13 HR/9 17.9% K 6.2% BB
.329 RH 1.49 HR/9 18.2% K 5.7% BB
Quick Breakdown:
While he’s good at not walking batters, he is susceptible to the long ball, doesn’t strike batters out and faces a potent Indians lineup projected for one of the higher run totals of the slate. He’s an easy player to avoid today.
| Mike Clevinger | |||||||||
 | FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | ||||||
| Salary: | $8,200 | Salary: | $10,900 | Salary: | $21,400 | ||||
| Salary Rank: | 5 of 20 | Salary Rank: | 3 of 20 | Salary Rank: | 3 of 20 | ||||
| Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | 4.24 | 3.11 | 27.3% | 12.0% | 39.5% | 34.2% | 18.6% | |
| 2018 | 1 | 3.86 | 0.00 | 22.7% | 9.1% | 40.0% | 26.7% | 20.0% | |
Mike Clevinger has massive strikeout upside, but struggles mightily with control and against LH bats. His 2017 numbers reflect that:
.349 LH 1.60 HR/9 25.8%K 11.3% BB
.259 RH .59 HR/9 28.3%K 12.3% BB
Quick Breakdown:
Clevinger is fairly dominant against RH bats but faces a Royals team that will only have five in the lineup with the top of the lineup filled with good LH hitters. The Royals also don’t strike out that much with only three batters topping the 25% K rate. As the 3rd highest priced SP of the slate on DraftKings, he’s a player I’m not targeting despite facing a low-scoring Royals team with one of the lowest totals on the slate. He’s the 6th highest on FanDuel and is worth a look in GPP’s solely because of his K upside, but it’s not a spot I like today.
Batter Grind Down
Kansas City
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. RH Pitching)
| # | Player | Bats | wOBA | xwOBA | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Jay | LEFT | 0.327 | 0.316 | 0.092 | 28.1% | 7.6% | 18.7% | 45.7% | OF | $2,500 | OF | $3,200 | CF | $6,600 |
| 2 | Whit Merrifield | RIGHT | 0.329 | 0.311 | 0.160 | 30.3% | 4.3% | 13.4% | 37.6% | 2B | $3,400 | 2B | $3,600 | IF/OF | $7,500 |
| 3 | Mike Moustakas | LEFT | 0.354 | 0.354 | 0.268 | 33.1% | 6.5% | 15.9% | 31.7% | 3B | $3,200 | 3B | $3,400 | 3B | $6,700 |
| 4 | Lucas Duda | LEFT | 0.363 | 0.373 | 0.302 | 43.1% | 13.7% | 25.1% | 27.6% | 1B | $2,700 | 1B | $3,200 | 1B | $6,500 |
| 5 | Paulo Orlando | RIGHT | 0.197 | 0.278 | 0.103 | 39.3% | 1.2% | 21.0% | 46.7% | OF | $2,000 | OF | $3,000 | RF | $5,400 |
| 6 | Jorge Soler | RIGHT | 0.210 | 0.253 | 0.062 | 31.0% | 10.8% | 31.1% | 40.5% | OF | $2,100 | OF | $3,100 | RF | $6,000 |
| 7 | Alex Gordon | LEFT | 0.264 | 0.287 | 0.124 | 32.2% | 7.4% | 25.6% | 40.4% | OF | $2,000 | OF | $2,800 | LF | $5,500 |
| 8 | Alcides Escobar | RIGHT | 0.254 | 0.259 | 0.097 | 25.8% | 1.8% | 16.4% | 40.9% | SS | $2,200 | SS | $3,200 | SS | $6,400 |
| 9 | Drew Butera | RIGHT | 0.267 | 0.240 | 0.089 | 24.5% | 5.3% | 22.7% | 32.3% | C | $2,100 | C | $2,600 | C | $4,700 |
The three left-handed bats at the top of the Royals lineup are all great options today as Clevinger allowed a .349 wOBA and 1.60 HR/9 rate to that side of the plate last season. Mike Moustakas and Lucas Duda both crush right-handed pitching and are elite options to target, while Jon Jay is also viable (although he lacks power upside) as part of a mini Royals stack that would go good with a stack of 5 from another team. All three are super affordable and slotting them into lineups makes a lot of sense despite the Royals having one of the lowest projected totals of the day
Elite Plays – Mike Moustakas, Lucas Duda
Secondary Plays – Jon Jay
Stackability – ORANGE
Cleveland
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. RH Pitching)
| # | Player | Bats | wOBA | xwOBA | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francisco Lindor | SWITCH | 0.335 | 0.342 | 0.227 | 32.0% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 39.3% | SS | $4,000 | SS | $4,900 | SS | $9,000 |
| 2 | Jason Kipnis | LEFT | 0.301 | 0.310 | 0.186 | 31.6% | 7.0% | 19.9% | 32.8% | 2B | $2,900 | 2B | $3,900 | 2B | $7,800 |
| 3 | Jose Ramirez | SWITCH | 0.390 | 0.350 | 0.269 | 32.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 37.7% | 3B | $3,500 | 2B/3B | $4,700 | IF/OF | $9,100 |
| 4 | Yonder Alonso | LEFT | 0.378 | 0.376 | 0.237 | 36.4% | 13.8% | 22.4% | 33.7% | 1B | $2,900 | 1B | $4,200 | 1B | $8,200 |
| 5 | Edwin Encarnacion | RIGHT | 0.383 | 0.389 | 0.277 | 37.3% | 13.4% | 19.0% | 34.4% | 1B | $3,700 | 1B | $4,900 | 1B | $9,200 |
| 6 | Michael Brantley | LEFT | 0.362 | 0.366 | 0.177 | 39.4% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 48.4% | OF | $2,600 | OF | $3,600 | LF | $7,700 |
| 7 | Yan Gomes | RIGHT | 0.282 | 0.263 | 0.120 | 23.8% | 7.8% | 26.3% | 38.8% | C | $2,500 | C | $3,400 | C | $6,500 |
| 8 | Lonnie Chisenhall | LEFT | 0.351 | 0.323 | 0.238 | 34.2% | 8.0% | 20.8% | 34.8% | OF | $2,400 | OF | $3,200 | RF | $6,500 |
| 9 | Bradley Zimmer | LEFT | 0.296 | 0.301 | 0.155 | 36.1% | 8.3% | 32.7% | 44.2% | OF | $2,200 | OF | $3,000 | CF | $5,800 |
Jason Hammel isn’t that good and the Indians should be able to take advantage of them. He’s equally bad against both sides of the plate so I have interest in the middle of the Indians lineup, especially Jose Ramirez, Yonder Alonso, and Edwin Encarnacion. All three have an ISO of at least .237 and a wOBA of at least .378 against RHP, Unfortunately Alonso and Encarnacion are both listed at 1B, so you can only play one of them in your lineups. Encarnacion is the one I prefer more of those two. The rest of the top of the order in Francisco Lindor, Jason Kipnis, and Michael Brantley are all viable options of an Indians team stack. I like Brantley the best of that group because of his affordable price as the cheapest hitter in the top six of this lineup.
Elite Plays – Jose Ramirez, Edwin Encarnacion
Secondary Plays – Yonder Alonso, Francisco Lindor, Michael Brantley
Stackability – GREEN
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh – 1:35 PM ET
| Cincinnati | Pittsburgh | ||||||||||||||
 | Tyler Mahle |  | Jameson Taillon | ||||||||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||||||||
| PIT-142 | 7.5 | ||||||||||||||
| Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.349 | 0.312 | 45.5% | 23.1% | 18.0% | 52.4% | SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.348 | 0.342 | 27.1% | 8.9% | 16.4% | 48.8% | ||
| SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.254 | 0.323 | 19.2% | 5.4% | 18.9% | 49.0% | SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.321 | 0.270 | 31.0% | 6.4% | 27.0% | 45.1% | ||
Pitcher Grind Down
| Tyler Mahle | |||||||||
 | FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | ||||||
| Salary: | $6,800 | Salary: | $7,700 | Salary: | $15,700 | ||||
| Salary Rank: | 12 of 20 | Salary Rank: | 13 of 20 | Salary Rank: | 10 of 20 | ||||
| Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 4 | 5.53 | 2.70 | 15.2% | 12.0% | 52.5% | 23.8% | 22.2% | |
| 2018 | 1 | 2.76 | 0.00 | 33.3% | 9.5% | 36.4% | 45.5% | 18.2% | |
Tyler Mahle will start for the Reds today against Pittsburgh. The 23 year old right-hander mainly throws a fastball and slider, but did feature a changeup more in his season debut. He’s made just five big league starts, but of interest is that in three of those starts he has not allowed a run including striking out seven in six innings in his season debut last week. However, he has not gone over six innings pitched in a game yet. Here’s a look at the limited numbers we have on him at the major league level:
.350 LH 0% HR/9 18.0% K 23.1% BB
.255 RH 0% HR/9 18.9% K 5.4% BB
Quick Breakdown:
The walk rate stands out as being high – especially versus LH bats, but he did just have a 5% walk rate in the minors so it could just be a matter of adjusting to big league strike zones. He has yet to give up a big league home run and while I think he might limit damage against a lackluster Pirates lineup, I don’t think he has the upside to merit more than being a fringe SP2. The main reason is the Pirates don’t strike out much as they don’t have a single batter topping a 24% K rate and six of the eight are lower than 20%.
| Jameson Taillon | |||||||||
 | FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | ||||||
| Salary: | $8,600 | Salary: | $9,500 | Salary: | $18,600 | ||||
| Salary Rank: | 3 of 20 | Salary Rank: | 5 of 20 | Salary Rank: | 5 of 20 | ||||
| Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 25 | 4.24 | 4.44 | 21.3% | 7.8% | 47.3% | 29.6% | 22.1% | |
| 2018 | 1 | 0.83 | 3.38 | 45.0% | 0.0% | 36.4% | 9.1% | 27.3% | |
Jameson Taillon is one of those pitchers that looks great at times, but will completely wreck your DFS lineup others. Many see this season as a breakout campaign for the youngster and if his first start is any indication, he’s going to live up to that hype as he struck out nine in just 5 1/3 innings of work. Last season, Taillon gave up more than four runs on nine occasions with five games of five or more. He also gave up two or fewer runs 16 different times and because he was always on a tight limit only topped 7 innings pitched three times last season and two of those came in his first three starts of the season. The 9 strikeouts he had last game tied a career high. That roller coaster of a season led to the following numbers:
.355 LH .62 HR/9 15.3% K 9.3% BB
.322 RH .83 HR/9 26.3% K 6.6% BB
Taillon was also much more effective on the road with a .313 wOBA allowed there as opposed to a .354 wOBA at home.
Quick Breakdown:
The numbers from last season don’t paint the best picture for Taillon. The projected lineup for the Reds, while bad, also does not bode well for Taillon’s upside as they’ll have five LH bats in there and that’s where Taillon struggles most. He also struggles at home for some reason. The talent is there. The weather would be near freezing, which makes it ideal for pitching and not hitting. The Reds have a run total of 3.5. Taillon is priced as a top five pitcher on both sites. I could take the easy way out and say he’s an elite option, but I’m not buying it. Not today at least. It might come back to bite me in the ass, but I always believe in taking stands that you feel strong about and for me Taillon is a player that I’ll be extremely underweight on today.
Batter Grind Down
Cincinnati
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. RH Pitching)
| # | Player | Bats | wOBA | xwOBA | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jesse Winker | LEFT | 0.429 | 0.363 | 0.250 | 36.3% | 13.9% | 20.5% | 50.6% | OF | $2,400 | OF | $2,900 | LF | $5,800 |
| 2 | Eugenio Suarez | RIGHT | 0.346 | 0.348 | 0.191 | 31.7% | 12.6% | 22.8% | 38.5% | 3B | $3,000 | 3B | $3,900 | 3B | $7,600 |
| 3 | Joey Votto | LEFT | 0.430 | 0.433 | 0.251 | 37.4% | 19.0% | 10.4% | 37.1% | 1B | $3,700 | 1B | $4,500 | 1B | $9,200 |
| 4 | Scooter Gennett | LEFT | 0.391 | 0.339 | 0.255 | 36.0% | 6.3% | 20.3% | 39.8% | 2B | $2,700 | 2B | $3,400 | 2B | $6,600 |
| 5 | Scott Schebler | LEFT | 0.332 | 0.349 | 0.269 | 39.8% | 9.5% | 24.0% | 44.0% | OF | $3,200 | OF | $3,100 | RF | $5,500 |
| 6 | Jose Peraza | RIGHT | 0.264 | 0.278 | 0.069 | 20.3% | 3.4% | 14.5% | 43.7% | SS | $2,100 | SS | $2,900 | SS | $5,900 |
| 7 | Tucker Barnhart | SWITCH | 0.328 | 0.333 | 0.136 | 34.8% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 42.3% | C | $2,300 | C | $2,800 | C | $5,600 |
| 8 | Tyler Mahle | RIGHT | 0.178 | 0.165 | 0.000 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 83.3% | P | $6,800 | P | $7,700 | P | $15,700 |
| 9 | Billy Hamilton | SWITCH | 0.293 | 0.253 | 0.091 | 16.0% | 8.6% | 20.2% | 46.1% | OF | $2,900 | OF | $3,100 | CF | $5,900 |
Well if I think Jameson Taillon will struggle (I do), then I must like some of the Reds bats right? Yep, sure do. Primarily the LH bats at the top of the lineup in Jesse Winker, Joey Votto, Scooter Gennett, and Scott Schebler. It won’t be a popular stack so it’ll be extremely low owned, but I like utilizing those four as a contrarian stack against what will be a highly owned Taillon. All four have ISO’s of at least .250 against RHP. Outside of those four, I’m not interested in any Reds batters.
Elite Plays – Joey Votto
Secondary Plays – Jesse Winker, Scooter Gennett, Scott Schebler
Stackability – YELLOW
Pittsburgh
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. RH Pitching)
| # | Player | Bats | wOBA | xwOBA | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Harrison | RIGHT | 0.320 | 0.314 | 0.147 | 33.5% | 4.9% | 16.7% | 33.9% | 2B | $3,500 | 2B | $4,000 | 2B | $7,200 |
| 2 | Gregory Polanco | LEFT | 0.320 | 0.321 | 0.171 | 28.2% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 39.4% | OF | $3,900 | OF | $4,500 | RF | $9,300 |
| 3 | Starling Marte | RIGHT | 0.349 | 0.322 | 0.129 | 25.4% | 6.9% | 17.8% | 48.4% | OF | $3,500 | OF | $4,700 | CF | $9,300 |
| 4 | Josh Bell | SWITCH | 0.343 | 0.325 | 0.207 | 32.7% | 11.2% | 19.9% | 52.4% | 1B | $3,800 | 1B | $4,100 | 1B | $8,100 |
| 5 | Corey Dickerson | LEFT | 0.332 | 0.324 | 0.214 | 34.8% | 6.1% | 23.4% | 39.0% | OF | $3,000 | OF | $3,400 | LF | $6,900 |
| 6 | Francisco Cervelli | RIGHT | 0.318 | 0.324 | 0.124 | 32.1% | 10.4% | 20.4% | 47.6% | C | $2,300 | C | $3,000 | C | $5,600 |
| 7 | Colin Moran | LEFT | 0.356 | 0.288 | 0.333 | 27.8% | 10.0% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 3B | $2,700 | 3B | $3,200 | 3B | $6,600 |
| 8 | Jordy Mercer | RIGHT | 0.305 | 0.302 | 0.145 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 15.6% | 48.0% | SS | $2,800 | SS | $2,900 | SS | $5,800 |
| 9 | Jameson Taillon | RIGHT | 0.091 | 0.119 | 0.000 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 42.4% | 84.6% | P | $8,600 | P | $9,500 | P | $18,600 |
You usually want to target unproven rookie pitchers, but Mahle has proven to be capable of not giving up much when he is on the mound. While he does have a high walk rate thus far, he has yet to allow a big league home run. Of course variance means that he’s probably due to give one or two up so we can’t totally preclude Pirates bats from consideration. The problem is there’s not much to love from the Pirates side of the plate in terms of pop. Corey Dickerson and Josh Bell are the two Pirates bats that have ISO’s topping .200 against RHP and those are the two I would consider as one off’s. If you do think that Mahle finally gets lit up, then Starling Marte and Gregory Polanco make the most sense as additions to those two to a Pirates stack.
Elite Plays – None
Secondary Plays – Corey Dickerson, Josh Bell
Stackability – ORANGE
Miami at Philadelphia – 1:35 PM ET
| Miami | Philadelphia | ||||||||||||||
 | Trevor Richards |  | Jake Arrieta | ||||||||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||||||||
| PHI-180 | 7.5 | ||||||||||||||
| Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | Stats | wOBA | xwOBA | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.245 | 25.0% | 10.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | SP vs. Left (2016-17) | 0.354 | 0.329 | 32.7% | 9.5% | 24.3% | 40.5% | |||
| SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.601 | 58.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 41.7% | SP vs. Right (2016-17) | 0.266 | 0.277 | 26.9% | 6.3% | 22.0% | 48.7% | |||
Pitcher Grind Down
| Trevor Richards | |||||||||
 | FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | ||||||
| Salary: | $5,500 | Salary: | $5,300 | Salary: | $10,300 | ||||
| Salary Rank: | 18 of 20 | Salary Rank: | 26 of 20 | Salary Rank: | 26 of 20 | ||||
| Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 1 | 3.18 | 10.38 | 22.7% | 4.6% | 43.8% | 50.0% | 25.0% | |
Trevor Richards will make his second big league start today and will look to improve upon a less than impressive debut that saw him give up 8 hits and 5 runs in 4 1/3 innings. The one positive was that he struck out 5 which bodes well after he struck out 158 hitters in 146 innings in the minor leagues last season. He doesn’t have an overwhelming fastball, but instead succeeds largely on the strength of deception, command, and an above average changeup.
Quick Breakdown:
The Phillies are substantial favorites, but even still are only projected for slightly more than four runs. They mostly limit strikeouts and while Richards is moderately appealing given the cheap pricetag, I think I’ll take a wait and see approach after he got lit up in his major league debut.
| Jake Arrieta | |||||||||
 | FanDuel | DraftKings | FantasyDraft | ||||||
| Salary: | $8,900 | Salary: | $9,700 | Salary: | $18,700 | ||||
| Salary Rank: | 2 of 20 | Salary Rank: | 4 of 20 | Salary Rank: | 4 of 20 | ||||
| Stats | Starts | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | GB% | HC% | SC% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 30 | 4.15 | 3.53 | 23.1% | 7.8% | 45.1% | 29.4% | 20.0% | |
Jake Arrieta will make his debut for the Phillies. He’s far removed from his 2015 Cy Young season and is just a shell of the pitcher that dominated the National League that season.
.354 LH 1.59 HR/9 24.3% K 9.5% K
.266 RH .95 HR/9 22.0% K 6.3% K
Quick Breakdown:
After scoring 18 runs in their first four games, the Marlins offense has reared it’s ugly head with just six runs in it’s last four games. They very well might be the worst team in baseball and Arrieta still has some strikeout upside and gets to face a young, inexperienced lineup as a massive favorite. Everyone will gravitate to Charlie Morton, Jameson Taillon, and Luke Weaver making him a very nice contrarian option today. I like him.
Batter Grind Down
Miami
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. RH Pitching)
| # | Player | Bats | wOBA | xwOBA | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lewis Brinson | RIGHT | 0.182 | 0.263 | 0.043 | 29.0% | 7.5% | 30.2% | 54.8% | OF | $2,200 | OF | $2,900 | CF | $5,900 |
| 2 | Derek Dietrich | LEFT | 0.318 | 0.323 | 0.192 | 33.3% | 7.9% | 20.7% | 35.2% | OF | $2,700 | 2B/OF | $3,600 | IF/OF | $7,700 |
| 3 | Starlin Castro | RIGHT | 0.326 | 0.293 | 0.152 | 28.9% | 3.7% | 19.7% | 52.5% | 2B | $3,200 | 2B | $4,100 | 2B | $8,200 |
| 4 | Justin Bour | LEFT | 0.376 | 0.394 | 0.243 | 41.7% | 11.1% | 19.9% | 40.4% | 1B | $2,300 | 1B | $3,200 | 1B | $6,300 |
| 5 | Brian Anderson | RIGHT | 0.345 | 0.302 | 0.119 | 27.7% | 15.9% | 25.6% | 55.3% | 3B | $3,200 | 3B | $4,000 | 3B | $7,700 |
| 6 | Cameron Maybin | RIGHT | 0.312 | 0.294 | 0.163 | 25.0% | 13.4% | 20.8% | 58.1% | OF | $2,500 | OF | $3,300 | CF | $6,300 |
| 7 | Miguel Rojas | RIGHT | 0.326 | 0.312 | 0.070 | 20.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 51.9% | SS | $2,400 | 2B/SS | $2,800 | 2B | $5,700 |
| 8 | Bryan Holaday | RIGHT | 0.251 | 0.311 | 0.069 | 14.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 42.9% | C | $2,000 | C | $2,100 | C | $3,900 |
| 9 | Trevor Richards | RIGHT | P | $5,500 | P | $5,300 | P | $10,300 |
Jake Arrieta did struggle pretty massively against LH bats last season allowing a .354 wOBA and 1.59 HR/9 rate, so I do have some interest in Justin Bour and Derek Dietrich at the top of the order. That would be it though and both are merely secondary options for me.
Elite Plays – None
Secondary Plays – Justin Bour, Derek Dietrich
Stackability – RED
Philadelphia
Projected Lineup (Splits vs. RH Pitching)
| # | Player | Bats | wOBA | xwOBA | ISO | HC% | BB% | K% | GB% | FD Pos. | FD Sal. | DK Pos. | DK Sal. | FDRFT Pos. | FDRFT Sal. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cesar Hernandez | SWITCH | 0.346 | 0.303 | 0.112 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 21.2% | 50.2% | 2B | $3,000 | 2B | $4,000 | 2B | $7,300 |
| 2 | Carlos Santana | SWITCH | 0.357 | 0.387 | 0.217 | 36.4% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 33.0% | 1B | $3,400 | 1B | $4,500 | 1B | $9,200 |
| 3 | Scott Kingery | RIGHT | 0.329 | 0.387 | 0.154 | 45.5% | 0.0% | 15.4% | 36.4% | SS | $2,600 | 2B/3B | $3,300 | SS | $6,500 |
| 4 | Rhys Hoskins | RIGHT | 0.432 | 0.390 | 0.336 | 41.5% | 13.5% | 22.4% | 27.4% | OF | $4,300 | OF | $5,600 | 1B | $10,900 |
| 5 | Aaron Altherr | RIGHT | 0.355 | 0.319 | 0.225 | 36.0% | 7.2% | 28.8% | 40.7% | OF | $2,300 | OF | $3,200 | LF | $6,500 |
| 6 | Maikel Franco | RIGHT | 0.296 | 0.307 | 0.178 | 29.7% | 6.4% | 15.6% | 43.7% | 3B | $2,700 | 3B | $3,700 | 3B | $7,600 |
| 7 | Jorge Alfaro | RIGHT | 0.421 | 0.348 | 0.241 | 24.5% | 2.4% | 30.6% | 50.9% | C | $2,100 | C | $3,000 | C | $5,400 |
| 8 | J.P. Crawford | LEFT | 0.305 | 0.293 | 0.085 | 13.3% | 15.3% | 20.8% | 33.3% | SS | $2,000 | SS | $2,700 | SS | $5,600 |
| 9 | Jake Arrieta | RIGHT | 0.140 | 0.144 | 0.104 | 28.0% | 2.0% | 49.0% | 47.8% | P | $8,900 | P | $9,700 | P | $18,700 |
I expect the Phillies to score some runs today, but am having a hard time figuring out where the production will come from other than super sophomore Rhys Hoskins. Carlos Santana is one bat I like at the top of the order as he does have a .350+ wOBA, .200+ ISO against RHP, but it’s hard to get excited about the likes of Scott Kingery and Aaron Altherr as options in anything but Phillies team stacks.