MLB Grind Down: Sunday, May 29th

by Andrew Cook (louiescards) Last Updated 2016-05-30 03:25:35

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code and FanDuel promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.

Boston at Toronto – 1:07 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Boston					Toronto
			David Price					R.A. Dickey
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			BOS -135					9.0
SP vs. Left	0.290	5	20.7%	3.6%	SP vs. Left	0.307	17	13.1%	8.4%
SP vs. Right	0.277	18	27.8%	5.9%	SP vs. Right	0.317	17	17.0%	5.8%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
David Price
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$10,700	Salary:		$11,900
					FPPG:		38.8	FPPG:		19.8
					Pitcher Rating:		82.0	Pitcher Rank:		6
L14 Days	2	108.0	3.56	3.14	20.4%	3.7%	11.6%	50.0%	35.0%	24.4%
2016	10	104.8	2.94	5.34	28.8%	5.7%	13.7%	42.3%	31.9%	35.5%
2015	32	105.9	3.27	2.45	25.3%	5.3%	11.9%	40.4%	36.4%	28.2%

David Price: Today we find Price in a tough matchup against a Blue Jays lineup that can hurt you up and down the lineup. With a few other stud pitchers taking the hill, I prefer him as a tournament option only, and even then you can limit exposure.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
R.A. Dickey
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$7,000	Salary:		$6,200
					FPPG:		23.1	FPPG:		11.7
					Pitcher Rating:		31.8	Pitcher Rank:		30
L14 Days	3	104.0	3.42	3.48	23.5%	4.9%	13.1%	45.6%	35.1%	22.4%
2016	10	97.7	4.23	4.60	18.4%	7.4%	10.4%	46.0%	32.3%	27.9%
2015	33	98.9	4.76	3.91	14.3%	6.9%	9.1%	41.9%	37.2%	23.9%

R.A. Dickey: Although he has pitched pretty well over his last few starts, there is no reason to start Dickey against this Red Sox lineup who are firing on all cylinders. Rogers Centre has always favored the hitters, and as such, we probably want some bats from both sides of this game with emhasis on the Boston side of things.

Batter Grind Down

Boston

The Red Sox come in as the best offense in the entire league against right-handed pitching, and while they do carry a high salary, we want to be sure to grab some exposure here against R.A. Dickey. All you have to do is take a look at those wOBA numbers over the last 14 to get an idea of just how good this team is right now. I will likely have some exposure to each of the first seven batters in the lineup, including Hanley in tournaments, who will probably be the least owned of the bunch.

Red Sox Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.361 (1 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.188 (3 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 18.9% (8 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 5.96 (1 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.71 (6 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Mookie Betts	RIGHT	0.353	0.194	0.443	OF	$4,400	OF	$4,900
2	Dustin Pedroia	RIGHT	0.355	0.152	0.363	2B	$3,900	2B	$3,800
3	Xander Bogaerts	RIGHT	0.334	0.111	0.445	SS	$4,500	SS	$4,100
4	David Ortiz	LEFT	0.432	0.344	0.509	1B	$4,700	1B	$5,400
5	Hanley Ramirez	RIGHT	0.314	0.145	0.285	1B	$3,800	1B	$3,600
6	Jackie Bradley	LEFT	0.372	0.268	0.465	OF	$4,400	OF	$3,800
7	Travis Shaw	LEFT	0.360	0.201	0.326	3B	$3,800	1B/3B	$3,500
8	Ryan Hanigan	RIGHT	0.273	0.074	0.344	C	$2,200	C	$2,300
9	Blake Swihart	SWITCH	0.318	0.133	0.323	C	$2,400	C/OF	$2,900
	Team Averages	—	0.346	0.180	0.389	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – David Ortiz , Jackie Bradley

Secondary Plays – Mookie Betts , Xander Bogaerts , Travis Shaw

Stackability – Cash/GPP

Toronto

Despite having several hitters that handle left-handed pitching well throughout their careers, Toronto actually ranks in the middle of the pack against left-handed pitching in wOBA, ISO, and wRC+ against them. With Price on the mound for the Red Sox, we should not see a very high ownership for much of this lineup and that sets them up as a sneaky tournament stack if you are running out multiple lineups.

Blue Jays Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.315 (12 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.151 (11 of 30)
Team K% vs. LHP — 22.0% (17 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.04 (19 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.29 (14 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Jose Bautista	RIGHT	0.364	0.212	0.458	OF	$4,500	OF	$4,000
2	Josh Donaldson	RIGHT	0.438	0.329	0.210	3B	$3,900	3B	$4,200
3	Edwin Encarnacion	RIGHT	0.369	0.227	0.341	1B	$3,500	1B	$3,700
4	Michael Saunders	LEFT	0.436	0.333	0.389	OF	$3,900	OF	$3,200
5	Justin Smoak	SWITCH	0.320	0.179	0.315	1B	$2,900	1B	$2,800
6	Devon Travis	RIGHT	0.397	0.254	0.221	2B	$2,100	2B	$2,900
7	Kevin Pillar	RIGHT	0.298	0.098	0.144	OF	$2,700	OF	$2,300
8	Josh Thole	LEFT	0.270	0.160	0.268	C	$2,000	C	$2,200
9	Darwin Barney	RIGHT	0.343	0.120	0.290	SS	$2,200	2B/3B	$2,000
	Team Averages	—	0.359	0.212	0.293	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Jose Bautista , Edwin Encarnacion

Stackability – GPP

Baltimore at Cleveland – 1:10 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Baltimore					Cleveland
			Chris Tillman					Mike Clevinger
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			BAL -125					9.0
SP vs. Left	0.305	5	19.0%	10.4%	SP vs. Left	0.248	1	26.9%	7.7%
SP vs. Right	0.330	18	17.6%	7.6%	SP vs. Right	0.532	2	9.5%	9.5%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Chris Tillman
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$8,600	Salary:		$8,900
					FPPG:		37.1	FPPG:		19.7
					Pitcher Rating:		47.4	Pitcher Rank:		21
L14 Days	3	107.0	4.09	1.77	23.1%	10.3%	8.7%	46.2%	34.6%	38.5%
2016	10	93.8	3.96	2.61	24.9%	10.3%	10.1%	40.3%	39.6%	31.5%
2015	31	94.9	4.69	4.99	16.2%	8.6%	7.1%	43.5%	35.4%	26.9%

Chris Tillman: On the surface it may look like Tillman has been pitching pretty darn good over his last few starts. Dig a little deeper and you find that he might be getting a bit lucky. Consider his increased FB% and the fact that his hard hit percentage is near 40% in those starts, and it screams of a guy who was on the plus side of BABIP and is likely to see some regression. On a slate like this, I want no part of Tillman unless you are trying to squeeze bats on a multiple-pitcher site, but even then you are risking it.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Mike Clevinger
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$6,000	Salary:		$4,400
					FPPG:		14.0	FPPG:		5.8
					Pitcher Rating:		45.0	Pitcher Rank:		25
L14 Days	2	92.5	4.42	8.71	19.2%	8.5%	10.8%	39.4%	39.4%	35.3%
2016	2	92.5	4.41	8.71	19.2%	8.5%	10.8%	39.4%	39.4%	35.3%
2015		#VALUE!

Mike Clevinger: He sure is cheap, but there is no way we should take a guy who is facing a top five offense in the league against right-handed pitching with the numbers he has posted through his first two starts. When you consider those poor starts were against the White Sox and the Reds, it paints a huge target on him as someone I want to attack with hitters.

Batter Grind Down

Baltimore

Baltimore feels like a sleeping giant and still ranks in the top five of wOBA ISO and wRC+ against right handers, which is saying something. It is interesting because the pricing on DraftKings feels right, while if you play on FanDuel there are some discounts to be had at the top of the order. This is a case where I am hoping recent performance earns them lower ownership percentages because the Orioles are one of my favorite offenses on the day.

Orioles Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.338 (5 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.187 (4 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 23.5% (26 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.45 (11 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.65 (7 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Adam Jones	RIGHT	0.333	0.199	0.271	OF	$2,700	OF	$4,500
2	Hyun Soo Kim	LEFT	0.456	0.083	0.436	OF	$2,500	OF	$4,400
3	Manny Machado	RIGHT	0.393	0.255	0.294	SS	$4,300	3B/SS	$5,500
4	Chris Davis	LEFT	0.399	0.325	0.280	1B	$3,900	1B	$5,400
5	Mark Trumbo	RIGHT	0.329	0.178	0.259	OF	$3,600	OF	$5,300
6	Nolan Reimold	RIGHT	0.321	0.167	0.168	OF	$2,400	OF	$3,900
7	Jonathan Schoop	RIGHT	0.360	0.246	0.365	2B	$3,300	2B	$4,700
8	Ryan Flaherty	LEFT	0.273	0.136	0.201	2B	$2,000	3B	$3,500
9	Caleb Joseph	RIGHT	0.294	0.138	0.000	C	$2,000	C	$3,400
	Team Averages	—	0.351	0.192	0.253	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Chris Davis

Secondary Plays – Hyun Soo Kim , Manny Machado

Stackability – GPP

Cleveland

I touched on the fact that Tillman should see some regression moving forward and this Indians squad is more than capable of helping him on his way. Cleveland is sneaky good on offense as they continue to climb the ladder in multiple categories offensively, and while Rajai Davis has always been known as a player we want to use against left handers, he is proving his worth against all pitchers lately. The price for Carlos Santana is more than fair on both of the major sites and is the player I want the most from this Indians squad today.

Indians Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.319 (12 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.167 (12 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 21.8% (20 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.76 (7 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.35 (12 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Carlos Santana	SWITCH	0.346	0.220	0.362	1B	$3,500	1B	$3,900
2	Jason Kipnis	LEFT	0.382	0.169	0.334	2B	$3,500	2B	$4,000
3	Francisco Lindor	SWITCH	0.331	0.131	0.393	SS	$3,900	SS	$4,300
4	Mike Napoli	RIGHT	0.285	0.162	0.265	1B	$3,200	1B	$3,000
5	Jose Ramirez	SWITCH	0.305	0.139	0.341	P	$4,000	3B/OF	$3,100
6	Juan Uribe	RIGHT	0.302	0.132	0.297	3B	$2,800	3B	$2,400
7	Lonnie Chisenhall	LEFT	0.289	0.122	0.358	OF	$2,300	OF	$2,700
8	Chris Gimenez	RIGHT	0.302	0.172	0.235	C	$2,400	C	$2,100
9	Rajai Davis	RIGHT	0.317	0.162	0.392	OF	$3,500	OF	$3,400
	Team Averages	—	0.318	0.157	0.331	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Carlos Santana

Secondary Plays – Francisco Lindor , Rajai Davis

Stackability – None

NY Yankees at Tampa Bay – 1:10 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
NY Yankees					Tampa Bay
			Nathan Eovaldi					Jake Odorizzi
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			TB -105					7.5
SP vs. Left	0.350	8	18.4%	8.7%	SP vs. Left	0.269	7	24.8%	4.8%
SP vs. Right	0.281	9	19.7%	5.4%	SP vs. Right	0.328	19	17.2%	8.7%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Nathan Eovaldi
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$8,100	Salary:		$9,800
					FPPG:		33.6	FPPG:		17.4
					Pitcher Rating:		69.5	Pitcher Rank:		12
L14 Days	2	92.5	3.00	0.75	23.8%	7.1%	9.2%	67.9%	21.4%	13.8%
2016	9	98.3	3.38	3.95	22.5%	5.9%	9.0%	54.8%	28.7%	30.4%
2015	27	97.7	3.99	4.20	18.0%	7.3%	8.7%	52.2%	26.0%	28.0%

Nathan Eovaldi: Typically I would have Eovaldi as a secondary play on multiple-pitcher sites depending on the price point, but this Tampa offense has had things working at the plate as of late. His price on DraftKings is too much for me, but if you can find him at a more reasonable salary, I do not hate the idea of using him as a secondary option in tournaments. I am on the fence with him and it really comes down to salary for the site you are playing on, but he is out of the picture on the big two today.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Jake Odorizzi
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$7,900	Salary:		$7,400
					FPPG:		26.0	FPPG:		13.9
					Pitcher Rating:		69.2	Pitcher Rank:		13
L14 Days	3	97.0	5.20	4.50	17.7%	12.9%	8.3%	41.9%	44.2%	39.5%
2016	10	98.7	4.17	3.46	20.1%	7.1%	8.9%	38.3%	42.6%	38.7%
2015	28	98.4	3.90	3.35	21.4%	6.6%	10.1%	37.3%	40.6%	27.0%

Jake Odorizzi: Here we go again. Most of the time Odorizzi would be on my radar as a secondary option, but in his case, the recent performances really have me worried. We have seen a spike in walks as well as a dip in strikeouts ,which is no bueno for the fantasy world. Already giving up a high hard hit rate, we need to see something from him before he can be trusted again.

Batter Grind Down

NY Yankees

This is a game where you want to pick and choose your hitters as I do not think a stack will get it done for us. Carlos Beltran has not only been swinging a hot bat, but also has the career numbers to back it up, making him an easy guy to single out of this Yankees lineup. Outside of that, it really would come down to value and I am just not feeling it here.

Yankees Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.310 (20 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.158 (15 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 18.6% (6 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.96 (22 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.72 (24 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Jacoby Ellsbury	LEFT	0.307	0.113	0.405	OF	$3,600	OF	$4,100
2	Brett Gardner	LEFT	0.333	0.156	0.274	OF	$3,300	OF	$3,800
3	Carlos Beltran	SWITCH	0.359	0.219	0.371	OF	$3,600	OF	$3,900
4	Brian McCann	LEFT	0.334	0.209	0.279	C	$3,000	C	$3,300
5	Alex Rodriguez	RIGHT	0.336	0.212	0.000	3B	$3,400	1B/3B	$3,400
6	Starlin Castro	RIGHT	0.291	0.130	0.223	2B	$2,600	2B	$3,000
7	Didi Gregorius	LEFT	0.304	0.124	0.417	SS	$2,700	SS	$2,900
8	Chase Headley	SWITCH	0.305	0.105	0.379	3B	$2,800	3B	$2,800
9	Dustin Ackley	LEFT	0.297	0.178	0.295	OF	$2,000	1B/OF	$2,700
	Team Averages	—	0.318	0.161	0.294	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Carlos Beltran

Stackability – None

Tampa Bay

Tampa has been pretty bad overall on the season, but are heating up as you can see by taking a look at the last 14 below. With that said, I really do not think loading up here is in our best interest, and this is more about filling your team with value plays like a Brad Miller or even Corey Dickerson as Eovaldi’s biggest struggle has been left-handed bats.

Rays Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.309 (21 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.183 (6 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 26.3% (29 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.25 (14 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.78 (23 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Brandon Guyer	RIGHT	0.322	0.140	0.395	OF	$3,600	OF	$3,300
2	Brad Miller	LEFT	0.341	0.184	0.368	SS	$2,800	SS	$3,300
3	Evan Longoria	RIGHT	0.306	0.158	0.369	3B	$3,600	3B	$3,100
4	Steve Pearce	RIGHT	0.320	0.198	0.359	1B	$3,800	1B/2B	$3,500
5	Logan Morrison	LEFT	0.313	0.173	0.526	1B	$3,100	1B	$3,300
6	Steven Souza	RIGHT	0.318	0.179	0.346	OF	$3,100	OF	$3,400
7	Corey Dickerson	LEFT	0.380	0.296	0.269	OF	$2,600	OF	$3,200
8	Taylor Motter	RIGHT	0.359	0.333	0.422	SS	$2,100	3B/SS	$2,900
9	Curt Casali	RIGHT	0.313	0.298	0.180	C	$2,200	C	$2,600
	Team Averages	—	0.330	0.218	0.359	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Brad Miller , Corey Dickerson

Stackability – None

St. Louis at Washington – 1:35 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
St. Louis					Washington
			Michael Wacha					Stephen Strasburg
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			WAS -175					7.5
SP vs. Left	0.284	9	19.6%	8.2%	SP vs. Left	0.245	7	31.1%	7.3%
SP vs. Right	0.323	15	20.1%	7.8%	SP vs. Right	0.309	12	29.7%	3.8%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Michael Wacha
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$7,400	Salary:		$5,300
					FPPG:		24.1	FPPG:		11.4
					Pitcher Rating:		55.6	Pitcher Rank:		19
L14 Days	3	89.0	5.02	12.00	14.3%	11.4%	7.5%	47.1%	19.6%	34.6%
2016	10	95.6	4.23	5.04	19.4%	8.9%	7.6%	46.3%	27.4%	31.6%
2015	30	97.9	4.02	3.37	20.1%	7.6%	9.5%	45.8%	32.0%	29.7%

Michael Wacha: Wacha has been very disappointing to Cardinals fans this season and the numbers show why. Not only have we seen the strikeout numbers go down more as the season goes on, but the walks have crept up as a serious issue. On a full slate and facing a Nationals lineup that is capable of being much better than the numbers suggest, I have zero interest in Wacha as a fantasy option today.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Stephen Strasburg
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$12,000	Salary:		$12,600
					FPPG:		49.4	FPPG:		27.0
					Pitcher Rating:		98.6	Pitcher Rank:		2
L14 Days	3	108.3	2.51	2.89	35.9%	7.7%	11.1%	37.2%	37.2%	27.9%
2016	10	103.7	2.73	2.79	32.0%	6.7%	12.0%	45.3%	33.5%	26.2%
2015	23	88.8	2.76	3.46	29.6%	5.0%	11.2%	42.2%	34.3%	28.9%

Stephen Strasburg: This is a great matchup as we see Strasburg — who is clearly one of the top pitchers in the league this season — against one of the best offenses against right-handed pitching. So far in the series we have seen the Cardinals get the best of both Max Scherzer and Gio Gonzalez, but I think Strasburg gets the job done today. With an elite strikeout rate he can mask some earned runs, and in my opinion has a solid chance at the win bonus here. On a slate with Kershaw and Sale it will be interesting to see how the percentages shake out today.

Batter Grind Down

St. Louis

There has been some timely hitting in this series so far, and while I do like the Cardinals offense overall, it just has not clicked like we saw earlier in the year. You might think that sounds crazy considering they scored fifteen runs in the series so far, but that is on sixteen hits. Strasburg is a guy I do not want to mess around with, and as such, you want to limit your exposure.

Cardinals Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.354 (2 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.207 (1 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 19.6% (10 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 5.49 (3 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.32 (28 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Matt Carpenter	LEFT	0.392	0.257	0.345	3B	$3,700	3B	$3,500
2	Aledmys Diaz	RIGHT	0.411	0.273	0.273	SS	$3,000	SS	$2,700
3	Matt Holliday	RIGHT	0.354	0.184	0.190	OF	$2,700	OF	$2,600
4	Stephen Piscotty	RIGHT	0.350	0.163	0.398	OF	$3,700	OF	$3,500
5	Brandon Moss	LEFT	0.320	0.222	0.275	1B	$2,900	1B/OF	$2,600
6	Yadier Molina	RIGHT	0.314	0.099	0.224	C	$2,600	C	$2,300
7	Randal Grichuk	RIGHT	0.370	0.272	0.393	OF	$3,200	OF	$2,800
8	Kolten Wong	LEFT	0.325	0.137	0.344	2B	$2,200	2B	$2,500
9	Michael Wacha	RIGHT	0.121	0.018	0.000	P	$7,400	P	$5,300
	Team Averages	—	0.329	0.181	0.271	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Stephen Piscotty , Matt Carpenter

Stackability – None

Washington

With Wacha allowing some hard contact lately, this is a Nationals team primed to score some runs today and avoid the sweep. We have all the typical suspects in the middle of the order available to us here but even a guy like Ben Revere leading off is in play for me despite some pretty meh numbers. There pricing is not bad overall so grabbing some exposure should not be an issue.

Nationals Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.305 (23 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.150 (18 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 20.3% (17 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.23 (15 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.18 (16 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Ben Revere	LEFT	0.305	0.077	0.281	OF	$3,000	OF	$3,900
2	Jayson Werth	RIGHT	0.280	0.127	0.312	OF	$2,800	OF	$3,700
3	Bryce Harper	LEFT	0.460	0.342	0.322	OF	$3,800	OF	$5,000
4	Daniel Murphy	LEFT	0.373	0.208	0.361	2B	$4,100	2B	$4,900
5	Ryan Zimmerman	RIGHT	0.294	0.160	0.327	1B	$3,200	1B	$3,700
6	Anthony Rendon	RIGHT	0.311	0.109	0.426	3B	$4,000	3B	$4,600
7	Wilson Ramos	RIGHT	0.292	0.140	0.328	C	$3,200	C	$3,500
8	Danny Espinosa	SWITCH	0.298	0.160	0.227	SS	$2,400	SS	$2,800
9	Stephen Strasburg	RIGHT	0.156	0.000	0.088	P	$12,000	P	$12,600
	Team Averages	—	0.308	0.147	0.297	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Bryce Harper

Secondary Plays – Daniel Murphy , Ryan Zimmerman

Stackability – GPP

Cincinnati at Milwaukee – 2:10 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Cincinnati					Milwaukee
			Brandon Finnegan					Jimmy Nelson
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			MIL -150					9.0
SP vs. Left	0.328	3	16.7%	12.3%	SP vs. Left	0.357	16	19.6%	10.5%
SP vs. Right	0.311	14	20.0%	10.3%	SP vs. Right	0.264	10	20.1%	7.7%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Brandon Finnegan
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$5,900	Salary:		$6,600
					FPPG:		20.6	FPPG:		10.6
					Pitcher Rating:		47.3	Pitcher Rank:		22
L14 Days	3	96.0	5.19	3.57	16.2%	12.2%	6.6%	42.0%	32.0%	30.2%
2016	10	94.0	5.03	3.97	16.2%	10.9%	8.2%	41.6%	33.5%	32.6%
2015	4	187.8	3.77	3.56	22.8%	10.7%	9.7%	54.3%	29.1%	30.8%

Brandon Finnegan: A low strikeout rate combined with a high walk rate has me saying no thanks to Finnegan even against a Brewers lineup that I would normal want to attack. There are simply too many other options for us to consider a pitcher like Finnegan today.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Jimmy Nelson
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$7,600	Salary:		$9,400
					FPPG:		34.1	FPPG:		18.0
					Pitcher Rating:		62.3	Pitcher Rank:		15
L14 Days	2	100.0	4.36	0.68	24.5%	13.2%	10.5%	34.5%	24.1%	45.2%
2016	10	94.8	4.30	2.92	20.5%	9.9%	7.6%	47.1%	32.8%	33.9%
2015	30	93.0	4.09	4.11	19.7%	8.6%	10.0%	50.6%	29.4%	28.9%

Jimmy Nelson: This should be a case where Nelson is able to neutralize this Reds lineup who do not have the ability to plug a bunch of left handed batters in. His price on DraftKings is a bit too high but I like him as a secondary pitcher on other multiple pitcher sites today. Do not go crazy with exposure but overall I think he might be one of the more sneaky options on this slate.

Batter Grind Down

Cincinnati

This lineup could be in some serious trouble today as Nelson is very effective against right handed bats and they are not exactly tearing it up at the plate. Limiting ourselves to the two big left handed bats and possibly a guy like Duvall who can do damage in a hurry but even that feels like a stretch here.

Reds Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.280 (29 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.159 (14 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 23.4% (25 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.81 (25 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.21 (15 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Zack Cozart	RIGHT	0.321	0.188	0.299	SS	$3,400	SS	$3,100
2	Joey Votto	LEFT	0.401	0.223	0.239	1B	$3,500	1B	$3,700
3	Brandon Phillips	RIGHT	0.313	0.125	0.193	2B	$2,600	2B	$3,100
4	Jay Bruce	LEFT	0.325	0.241	0.398	OF	$3,300	OF	$3,900
5	Adam Duvall	RIGHT	0.359	0.318	0.347	OF	$3,100	OF	$3,700
6	Eugenio Suarez	RIGHT	0.301	0.156	0.256	3B	$2,300	3B	$3,600
7	Billy Hamilton	SWITCH	0.240	0.049	0.196	OF	$2,700	OF	$3,200
8	Ramon Cabrera	SWITCH	0.302	0.118	0.265	C	$2,000	C	$2,000
9	Brandon Finnegan	LEFT	0.219	0.050	0.115	P	$5,900	P	$6,600
	Team Averages	—	0.309	0.163	0.256	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Jay Bruce

Stackability – None

Milwaukee

The Brewers have a solid matchup the question is whether or not they are able to take advantage of it here. Ryan Braun is always in play against left handed pitching and to be quite honest a stack with anyone one through six could prove to be very wise if running out multiple lineups today.

Brewers Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.309 (15 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.138 (21 of 30)
Team K% vs. LHP — 23.0% (21 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.11 (16 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.79 (5 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Jonathan Villar	SWITCH	0.382	0.185	0.410	SS	$4,000	SS	$4,400
2	Hernan Perez	RIGHT	0.284	0.177	0.340	3B	$2,300	3B	$2,700
3	Ryan Braun	RIGHT	0.421	0.248	0.379	OF	$4,200	OF	$5,200
4	Jonathan Lucroy	RIGHT	0.256	0.080	0.304	C	$3,200	C	$4,000
5	Chris Carter	RIGHT	0.325	0.222	0.293	1B	$3,000	1B	$4,000
6	Aaron Hill	RIGHT	0.266	0.084	0.356	3B	$2,500	2B/3B	$3,200
7	Ramon Flores	LEFT	0.214	0.000	0.321	OF	$2,200	OF	$3,100
8	Keon Broxton	RIGHT	0.043	0.000	0.157	OF	$2,300	OF	$2,900
9	Jimmy Nelson	RIGHT	0.110	0.000	0.000	P	$7,600	P	$9,400
	Team Averages	—	0.256	0.111	0.284	—	—	—	—

MLB Grind Down: Sunday, May 29th

Boston at Toronto – 1:07 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Boston

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – David Ortiz , Jackie Bradley

Secondary Plays – Mookie Betts , Xander Bogaerts , Travis Shaw

Stackability – Cash/GPP

Toronto

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Jose Bautista , Edwin Encarnacion

Stackability – GPP

Baltimore at Cleveland – 1:10 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Baltimore

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Chris Davis

Secondary Plays – Hyun Soo Kim , Manny Machado

Stackability – GPP

Cleveland

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Carlos Santana

Secondary Plays – Francisco Lindor , Rajai Davis

Stackability – None

NY Yankees at Tampa Bay – 1:10 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

NY Yankees

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Carlos Beltran

Stackability – None

Tampa Bay

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Brad Miller , Corey Dickerson

Stackability – None

St. Louis at Washington – 1:35 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

St. Louis

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Stephen Piscotty , Matt Carpenter

Stackability – None

Washington

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Bryce Harper

Secondary Plays – Daniel Murphy , Ryan Zimmerman

Stackability – GPP

Cincinnati at Milwaukee – 2:10 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Cincinnati

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Jay Bruce

Stackability – None

Milwaukee

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Ryan Braun

Secondary Plays – Jonathan Villar , Aaron Hill

Stackability – GPP

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