Sign In $

You must be a member to view this Article.

MLB Grind Down: Friday, September 16th

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2016-09-17 01:41:30

Jump to Page 1 2 3

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code and FanDuel promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.

Stackability Rating System:

GREEN – One of the top stacks of the day, viable in cash games and GPPs
YELLOW – A viable stack option in most formats, specifically GPPs
ORANGE – There are better stacks out there, but playable in large GPPs
RED – Not a recommended stack for cash games or GPPs

Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs – 2:20 PM ET

Milwaukee Chicago Cubs
milwaukeemlb Chase Anderson cubsmlb John Lackey
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
CHC -200 8.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.292 10 31.3% 19.8% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.299 5 34.7% 21.4%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.391 15 40.6% 18.2% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.255 15 34.8% 27.2%

Pitcher Grind Down

Chase Anderson
chase-anderson-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,400 Salary: $6,400
FPPG: 22.3 FPPG: 10.9
Pitcher Rating: 57.0 Pitcher Rank: 20
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 78.8 4.12 2.66 21.1% 6.3% 9.4% 38.8% 41.8% 30.4%
2016 27 87.9 4.64 4.53 18.9% 8.1% 8.2% 36.1% 41.0% 36.6%
2015 27 91.2 4.26 4.30 17.3% 6.3% 8.0% 42.0% 34.4% 27.2%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.29 — K%: 18.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.332
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.52 — K%: 17.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.339

We have a single day game on the slate today between the Brewers and Cubs. Anderson will be on the mound for Milwaukee in what has been a disappointing season. In 27 starts, he has a 4.64 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 18.9%. He is a fly ball pitcher that gives up a lot of hard contact. He can be avoided in all leagues against a talented Cubs’ offense in Wrigley.

John Lackey
john-lackey-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $9,200 Salary: $10,500
FPPG: 35.5 FPPG: 19.7
Pitcher Rating: 84.9 Pitcher Rank: 5
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 3 90.3 4.03 1.53 20.6% 7.4% 11.8% 51.1% 26.7% 39.6%
2016 26 98.8 3.77 3.35 24.6% 7.0% 11.6% 40.8% 36.4% 34.7%
2015 33 94.8 3.90 2.77 19.5% 5.9% 9.4% 46.0% 33.3% 30.1%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 2.15 — K%: 21.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.268
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.13 — K%: 21.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.309

Lackey is a large favorite today and he finds himself in one of the best matchups on the board. The Brewers are currently ranked 22nd in team wOBA and 30th in team ISO against right-handed pitching and he gets to face them at home. Lackey still owns an above-average strikeout rate and he should see plenty of run support with Chase Anderson pitching opposite him.

Batter Grind Down

Milwaukee

The Brewers have been a sneaky offense to target against left-handed pitching, but they have not fared well against righties. They come into tonight’s game with the fourth lowest implied team total in the slate. They can be avoided against John Lackey, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .300 wOBA.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jonathan Villar SWITCH 0.341 0.150 34.8% 0.369 3B $3,800 3B/SS $3,900
2 Scooter Gennett LEFT 0.310 0.141 29.9% 0.355 2B $2,800 2B $3,000
3 Ryan Braun RIGHT 0.363 0.219 32.9% 0.333 OF $3,600 OF $3,900
4 Hernan Perez RIGHT 0.314 0.142 29.7% 0.283 OF $2,500 3B/OF $3,800
5 Chris Carter RIGHT 0.328 0.238 40.1% 0.401 1B $3,600 1B $3,300
6 Keon Broxton RIGHT 0.301 0.172 42.5% 0.370 OF $2,700 OF $3,400
7 Orlando Arcia RIGHT 0.231 0.112 22.2% 0.344 SS $2,800 SS $2,500
8 Martin Maldonado RIGHT 0.304 0.191 33.0% 0.246 C $2,500 C $2,200
9 Chase Anderson RIGHT 0.099 0.000 26.3% 0.000 P $6,400 P $6,400
Team Averages — 0.288 0.152 32.4% 0.300 — — — —

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – RED

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs don’t have as good of numbers as you would expect against right-handed pitching, but the top of their lineup really hits righties well. The Cubs come into the game with the 11th highest run projection in the slate, as they take on Chase Anderson. On the season, he has allowed a .391 wOBA and a ridiculous 40.6% hard contact rate to right-handed hitters.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Dexter Fowler SWITCH 0.355 0.165 27.9% 0.361 OF $3,900 OF $4,700
2 Kris Bryant RIGHT 0.391 0.254 42.0% 0.250 3B $4,100 3B/OF $4,600
3 Anthony Rizzo LEFT 0.410 0.286 39.7% 0.393 1B $4,200 1B $5,400
4 Ben Zobrist SWITCH 0.348 0.167 33.2% 0.307 2B $3,500 2B $4,000
5 Addison Russell RIGHT 0.314 0.159 30.0% 0.321 SS $2,600 SS $3,700
6 Willson Contreras RIGHT 0.327 0.179 31.8% 0.209 C $2,900 C/OF $3,500
7 Jason Heyward LEFT 0.275 0.088 26.2% 0.163 OF $2,800 OF $2,600
8 Javier Baez RIGHT 0.295 0.147 27.1% 0.254 SS $2,800 2B/3B $3,300
9 John Lackey RIGHT 0.162 0.053 30.0% 0.000 P $9,200 P $10,500
Team Averages — 0.320 0.166 32.0% 0.251 — — — —

Elite Plays – Kris Bryant, Addison Russell

Secondary Plays – Dexter Fowler, Anthony Rizzo, Ben Zobrist

Stackability – YELLOW / GREEN

Miami at Philadelphia – 7:05 PM ET

Miami Philadelphia
miamimlb Tom Koehler philadelphiamlb Adam Morgan
RIGHT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
MIA -105 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.329 10 30.1% 20.3% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.302 2 26.7% 20.2%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.316 8 25.0% 17.2% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.381 19 38.4% 17.5%

Pitcher Grind Down

Tom Koehler
tom-koehler-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,100 Salary: $7,200
FPPG: 26.6 FPPG: 13.1
Pitcher Rating: 59.5 Pitcher Rank: 16
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 97.8 4.14 4.50 19.6% 6.8% 9.0% 50.0% 31.5% 29.4%
2016 29 94.9 4.76 3.97 18.8% 9.8% 9.6% 42.7% 34.8% 27.6%
2015 31 96.0 4.67 4.08 17.1% 9.6% 7.3% 46.0% 35.6% 34.5%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.48 — K%: 20.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.305
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.52 — K%: 16.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.337

Koehler has not pitched well on the road in the last couple of seasons, posting a 4.52 ERA with a strikeout rate of only 16%. While he appears to be a good play on paper, the Phillies have the right lineup to fare well against Koehler. They have a number of left-handed hitters and Koehler has to face them in Philadelphia. In this full slate, there are better plays for both cash games and tournaments.

Adam Morgan
adam-morgan-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,700 Salary: $5,900
FPPG: 18.5 FPPG: 8.8
Pitcher Rating: 58.6 Pitcher Rank: 18
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 85.8 4.42 3.86 17.6% 5.3% 9.3% 39.6% 35.6% 32.7%
2016 18 92.9 4.37 5.73 18.2% 5.3% 10.3% 36.9% 38.5% 35.8%
2015 15 83.1 4.94 4.48 13.9% 4.8% 9.7% 30.6% 49.3% 29.8%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 5.05 — K%: 16.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.356
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 5.26 — K%: 16.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.341

Morgan is always one of my favorite pitchers to target hitters against. In 2016, he has a 5.73 ERA with a strikeout rate under 20%. He is a fly ball pitcher that has allowed a 35.8% hard contact rate this season. While the Marlins have really been struggling offensively, I expect some runs to be scored in this one. The right-handed hitters in this lineup are in play.

Batter Grind Down

Miami

The Marlins have been one of the worst offenses in baseball against left-handed pitching, but they have a mediocre run projection tonight against Adam Morgan. This is a great matchup for the right-handed hitters, as Morgan has allowed a .381 wOBA and 19 home runs to righties this season.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Dee Gordon LEFT 0.242 0.045 16.4% 0.217 2B $2,500 2B $4,200
2 Xavier Scruggs RIGHT 0.195 0.000 57.1% 0.210 1B $2,000 1B $2,500
3 Martin Prado RIGHT 0.449 0.140 35.8% 0.244 3B $3,200 3B $4,200
4 Christian Yelich LEFT 0.311 0.085 25.7% 0.333 OF $3,200 OF $3,700
5 Marcell Ozuna RIGHT 0.392 0.319 48.9% 0.371 OF $3,100 OF $4,200
6 Jeff Francoeur RIGHT 0.311 0.145 35.8% 0.332 OF $2,000 OF $3,700
7 J.T. Realmuto RIGHT 0.267 0.135 22.7% 0.416 C $2,800 C $3,700
8 Adeiny Hechavarria RIGHT 0.245 0.093 40.7% 0.122 SS $2,000 SS $2,300
9 Tom Koehler RIGHT 0.188 0.000 20.0% 0.000 P $7,100 P $7,200
Team Averages — 0.289 0.107 33.7% 0.249 — — — —

Elite Plays – Martin Prado, Marcell Ozuna

Secondary Plays – Dee Gordon, Xavier Scruggs

Stackability – YELLOW

Philadelphia

The Phillies are small underdogs tonight against Tom Koehler, but I don’t mind the matchup at home. On the season, Koehler has allowed a .329 wOBA to left-handed hitters and a .316 wOBA to right-handed hitters.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Cesar Hernandez SWITCH 0.331 0.123 26.9% 0.357 2B $3,400 2B $4,000
2 Roman Quinn SWITCH 0.486 0.143 0.0% 0.468 OF $2,500
3 Maikel Franco RIGHT 0.289 0.156 28.2% 0.310 3B $2,800 3B $3,400
4 Ryan Howard LEFT 0.296 0.254 45.3% 0.211 1B $2,600 1B $3,000
5 Cameron Rupp RIGHT 0.310 0.175 32.8% 0.274 C $2,800 C $3,200
6 Freddy Galvis SWITCH 0.305 0.184 28.7% 0.333 SS $2,600 SS $4,200
7 Odubel Herrera LEFT 0.349 0.157 30.8% 0.294 OF $2,900 OF $4,200
8 Aaron Altherr RIGHT 0.266 0.096 30.1% 0.265 OF $2,500 OF $3,500
9 Adam Morgan LEFT 0.136 0.045 12.5% 0.176 P $5,700 P $5,900
Team Averages — 0.308 0.148 26.1% 0.299 — — — —

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Cesar Hernandez, Roman Quinn, Ryan Howard

Stackability – ORANGE / YELLOW

Tampa Bay at Baltimore – 7:05 PM ET

Tampa Bay Baltimore
tampabaymlb Chris Archer baltimoremlb Ubaldo Jimenez
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
BAL -102 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.293 11 33.6% 29.0% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.395 10 31.3% 19.0%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.309 15 33.9% 27.5% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.313 4 31.0% 18.0%

Pitcher Grind Down

Chris Archer
chris-archer-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $9,800 Salary: $9,100
FPPG: 34.9 FPPG: 19.2
Pitcher Rating: 84.1 Pitcher Rank: 6
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 107.4 2.77 2.48 31.5% 5.5% 13.6% 54.4% 34.2% 34.2%
2016 30 103.3 3.45 4.05 28.2% 8.1% 12.1% 47.0% 34.0% 33.7%
2015 34 101.4 3.08 3.23 29.0% 7.6% 12.8% 46.1% 33.9% 32.2%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 2.79 — K%: 31.5% — wOBA Allowed: 0.260
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.45 — K%: 25.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.312

Archer has really picked up his play in the last month, posting a 2.77 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 31.5% and a walk rate of 5.5%. He draws a boom or bust type of matchup tonight against the Orioles, who are ranked first in team ISO and 20th in team K% against right-handed pitching this season. Archer is a deep GPP play at best tonight. If this game was in Tampa Bay, it would be a different story.

Ubaldo Jimenez
ubaldo-jimenez-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,400 Salary: $7,500
FPPG: 19.3 FPPG: 8.5
Pitcher Rating: 55.1 Pitcher Rank: 21
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 4 94.5 5.07 3.74 15.8% 9.0% 8.4% 42.4% 44.4% 26.3%
2016 22 94.0 4.95 5.98 18.4% 11.5% 8.2% 47.0% 33.9% 31.1%
2015 32 95.6 3.93 4.11 21.2% 8.6% 8.0% 49.1% 28.8% 27.0%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.88 — K%: 20.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.327
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.85 — K%: 19.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.336

Jimenez has a low ERA over the last month of play, but his peripheral numbers suggest some regression. During that stretch, he has a 5.07 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 15.8%. He is a fly ball pitcher that struggles with his command. The Rays may not have the most potent offense in baseball, but they do boast the fourth highest team ISO against right-handed pitching this season.

Batter Grind Down

Tampa Bay

The Rays have quietly been mashing over the last month of play, ranking seventh in team wOBA. They draw an excellent matchup tonight against Yovani Gallardo and they get to face him in the hitter-friendly Camden Yards. In 2016, Gallardo has allowed a .395 wOBA to left-handed hitters.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Logan Forsythe RIGHT 0.347 0.182 35.9% 0.383 2B $3,700 2B $4,200
2 Kevin Kiermaier LEFT 0.326 0.176 32.0% 0.491 OF $3,900 OF $4,400
3 Evan Longoria RIGHT 0.352 0.247 38.2% 0.184 3B $3,700 3B $3,800
4 Brad Miller LEFT 0.343 0.261 36.2% 0.211 SS $3,200 1B/SS $4,000
5 Nick Franklin SWITCH 0.385 0.222 37.0% 0.277 2B $2,900 2B/OF $3,800
6 Corey Dickerson LEFT 0.327 0.253 30.4% 0.420 OF $3,200 OF $4,300
7 Steven Souza RIGHT 0.312 0.170 29.7% 0.406 OF $3,100 OF $4,100
8 Alexei Ramirez RIGHT 0.240 0.092 22.1% 0.254 SS $3,000 SS $2,900
9 Bobby Wilson RIGHT 0.256 0.105 24.1% 0.276 C $2,100 C $3,000
Team Averages — 0.321 0.190 31.7% 0.322 — — — —

Elite Plays – Kevin Kiermaier, Brad Miller, Nick Franklin

Secondary Plays – Logan Forsythe, Evan Longoria, Corey DIckerson

Stackability – YELLOW / GREEN

Baltimore

The Orioles are one of the best offenses in baseball against right-handed pitching, but they draw a difficult matchup tonight against Chris Archer. In addition to an elite strikeout rate, Archer has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .310 wOBA this season. The Orioles are best suited as one-off GPP targets.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Adam Jones RIGHT 0.352 0.204 32.1% 0.329 OF $3,200 OF $4,100
2 Michael Bourn LEFT 0.285 0.119 26.2% 0.442 OF $2,500 OF $3,900
3 Manny Machado RIGHT 0.377 0.265 35.3% 0.384 3B $3,800 3B/SS $4,100
4 Chris Davis LEFT 0.362 0.283 43.3% 0.433 1B $3,200 1B $4,000
5 Mark Trumbo RIGHT 0.378 0.286 38.9% 0.306 OF $3,000 OF $3,800
6 Jonathan Schoop RIGHT 0.345 0.211 29.9% 0.235 2B $3,100 2B $3,600
7 Matt Wieters SWITCH 0.315 0.184 32.5% 0.340 C $2,400 C $3,400
8 J.J. Hardy RIGHT 0.307 0.138 32.2% 0.405 SS $2,400 SS $2,900
9 Ryan Flaherty LEFT 0.260 0.118 30.1% 0.353 3B $2,000 3B $2,500
Team Averages — 0.331 0.201 33.4% 0.359 — — — —

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Manny Machado, Mark Trumbo

Stackability – ORANGE

Detroit at Cleveland – 7:10 PM ET

Detroit Cleveland
detroitmlb Michael Fulmer clevelandmlb Corey Kluber
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
CLE -160 7.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.269 6 30.5% 17.5% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.281 9 28.6% 23.7%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.284 9 29.9% 23.2% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.260 10 25.8% 29.1%

Pitcher Grind Down

Michael Fulmer
michael-fulmer-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,300 Salary: $8,100
FPPG: 33.5 FPPG: 18.2
Pitcher Rating: 58.7 Pitcher Rank: 17
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 97.8 4.10 3.86 17.4% 3.0% 9.6% 45.0% 34.0% 29.4%
2016 23 95.4 4.00 2.76 20.3% 6.3% 10.5% 49.6% 30.6% 30.2%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 2.90 — K%: 19.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.274
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 2.68 — K%: 20.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.277

Fulmer is having a tremendous rookie season, but his numbers have dipped in his last five starts – 4.10 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 17.4%. He comes into tonight’s game as a sizable underdog against the Indians on the road. This is a difficult matchup for righties, as the Indians are ranked fifth in team wOBA and seventh in team ISO against right-handed pitching this season.

Corey Kluber
corey-kluber-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $10,900 Salary: $12,900
FPPG: 41.3 FPPG: 23.4
Pitcher Rating: 91.2 Pitcher Rank: 3
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 112.2 3.33 2.43 31.0% 8.9% 13.8% 42.9% 38.8% 27.3%
2016 29 100.9 3.46 3.05 26.5% 6.5% 12.5% 45.8% 34.5% 27.2%
2015 32 102.3 2.98 3.49 27.7% 5.1% 12.9% 42.4% 35.9% 27.0%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 2.97 — K%: 25.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.283
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.59 — K%: 28.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.270

Kluber has been terrific at home throughout his career. He is a sizable favorite tonight against the Tigers at home. I currently have him ranked as a top three pitching option. While the Tigers hit right-handed pitching well as a team, they have a right-handed heavy lineup. On the season, Kluber has held righties to a .260 wOBA. He makes a strong play in all league formats tonight at home.

Batter Grind Down

Detroit

The Tigers may be ranked eighth in team wOBA against right-handed pitching, but they are an easy fade tonight in Cleveland. They draw an awful matchup against Corey Kluber, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .285 wOBA this season.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Ian Kinsler RIGHT 0.341 0.188 34.1% 0.416 2B $3,300 2B $3,800
2 Cameron Maybin RIGHT 0.354 0.104 22.2% 0.256 OF $2,900 OF $3,200
3 Miguel Cabrera RIGHT 0.385 0.243 39.8% 0.437 1B $3,400 1B $4,400
4 Victor Martinez SWITCH 0.351 0.197 40.9% 0.282 C $3,100 1B $3,000
5 J.D. Martinez RIGHT 0.401 0.239 38.5% 0.323 OF $3,200 OF $3,200
6 Justin Upton RIGHT 0.303 0.180 38.0% 0.380 OF $3,000 OF $3,300
7 James McCann RIGHT 0.226 0.067 26.1% 0.244 C $2,100 C $2,300
8 Andrew Romine LEFT 0.304 0.095 23.5% 0.401 SS $2,400 OF/SS $2,500
9 Jose Iglesias RIGHT 0.261 0.051 12.4% 0.294 SS $2,300 SS $2,000
Team Averages — 0.325 0.152 30.6% 0.337 — — — —

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – RED

Cleveland

The Indians are favorites tonight at home, but they still have the 11th lowest implied team total on the board. They draw a difficult matchup against Michael Fulmer, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .285 wOBA. The Indians are best suited as one-off GPP targets.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Carlos Santana SWITCH 0.370 0.274 38.2% 0.388 1B $3,900 1B $4,800
2 Jason Kipnis LEFT 0.350 0.202 38.4% 0.333 2B $3,400 2B $4,400
3 Francisco Lindor SWITCH 0.361 0.144 26.5% 0.342 SS $3,600 SS $4,300
4 Mike Napoli RIGHT 0.344 0.251 35.3% 0.299 1B $3,800 1B $4,200
5 Jose Ramirez SWITCH 0.355 0.142 25.5% 0.361 P $4,000 3B/OF $4,400
6 Lonnie Chisenhall LEFT 0.347 0.163 28.4% 0.351 OF $3,000 OF $3,600
7 Rajai Davis RIGHT 0.317 0.150 27.2% 0.219 OF $3,500 OF $4,300
8 Tyler Naquin LEFT 0.385 0.255 41.5% 0.341 OF $2,900 OF $3,800
9 Roberto Perez RIGHT 0.265 0.114 23.0% 0.297 C $2,400 C $2,600
Team Averages — 0.344 0.188 31.6% 0.326 — — — —

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Carlos Santana, Jason Kipnis

Stackability – ORANGE

Minnesota at NY Mets – 7:10 PM ET

Minnesota NY Mets
minnesotamlb Jose Berrios nymetsmlb Bartolo Colon
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
NYM -200 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.374 3 30.6% 21.6% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.334 16 38.0% 15.2%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.470 7 40.8% 16.4% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.289 5 31.7% 16.0%

Pitcher Grind Down

Jose Berrios
jose-berrios-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,500 Salary: $5,000
FPPG: 13.3 FPPG: 4.1
Pitcher Rating: 36.7 Pitcher Rank: 27
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 4 83.5 6.24 9.18 14.0% 16.3% 9.3% 50.9% 33.3% 35.6%
2016 11 81.3 5.17 9.27 19.0% 12.7% 9.0% 39.2% 37.1% 35.8%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 9.89 — K%: 17.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.456
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 8.57 — K%: 20.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.379

Berrios is one of the Twins’ top prospects and many expect him to be the best pitcher in their rotation next season. He has yet to find his footing at the major league level though, posting a 9.18 ERA with a walk rate that is higher than his strikeout rate in his first 11 starts. He should be avoided in all league formats tonight, as he takes on the red-hot Mets.

Bartolo Colon
bartolo-colon-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,500 Salary: $7,700
FPPG: 27.1 FPPG: 13.5
Pitcher Rating: 58.1 Pitcher Rank: 19
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 94.7 4.96 2.97 12.3% 4.6% 5.8% 41.5% 35.0% 29.9%
2016 29 88.3 4.45 3.27 15.6% 4.3% 5.5% 43.6% 33.1% 34.8%
2015 31 87.3 4.02 4.16 16.7% 2.9% 6.4% 42.3% 36.9% 29.0%

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.62 — K%: 19.5% — wOBA Allowed: 0.302
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.86 — K%: 13.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.324

Colon is one of those pitchers that needs to pick up a win in order to reach and exceed value in daily fantasy. He doesn’t have a lot of strikeout upside, which means he needs to keep his earned runs down. The crazy thing is that he gives up a lot of hard contact, yet he never really seems to get blown up. While I like the Mets’ chances to win this game against the Twins, there isn’t enough upside for Colon to warrant consideration.

Batter Grind Down

Minnesota

The Twins aka the Minnesota Doziers come into tonight’s game with the seventh lowest team total on the board. Their matchup against Bartolo Colon isn’t the problem, it’s the fact that they will be playing in a pitcher-friendly ballpark without the use of a designated hitter. There are better offenses to target in this slate.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Brian Dozier RIGHT 0.376 0.279 33.1% 0.560 2B $4,300 2B $5,400
2 Jorge Polanco RIGHT 0.304 0.107 23.6% 0.339 3B $3,100 3B/SS $3,300
3 Joe Mauer LEFT 0.347 0.141 30.9% 0.265 1B $2,900 1B $3,900
4 Max Kepler LEFT 0.347 0.237 33.2% 0.222 OF $2,800 OF $3,600
5 Kennys Vargas SWITCH 0.310 0.192 34.0% 0.416 1B $3,200 1B $3,500
6 Kurt Suzuki RIGHT 0.304 0.136 30.2% 0.297 C $2,300 C $2,600
7 Eduardo Escobar SWITCH 0.279 0.099 26.8% 0.155 SS $2,200 3B/SS $2,300
8 Robbie Grossman SWITCH 0.309 0.133 31.1% 0.374 OF $2,900 OF $3,700
9 Byron Buxton RIGHT 0.295 0.186 22.9% 0.475 OF $3,000 OF $3,800
Team Averages — 0.319 0.168 29.5% 0.345 — — — —

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Brian Dozier

Stackability – ORANGE

NY Mets

The Mets are ranked sixth in team wOBA over the last month of play. They draw one of the top matchups on the board, as they square off against Jose Berrios at home. He has struggled with his command in his first major league stint and he has allowed a .370+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters. You can stack the Mets in all formats.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jose Reyes SWITCH 0.276 0.114 26.5% 0.299 3B $2,800 3B/SS $4,200
2 Asdrubal Cabrera SWITCH 0.331 0.199 36.1% 0.409 SS $3,400 SS $3,800
3 Yoenis Cespedes RIGHT 0.362 0.261 38.1% 0.272 OF $4,100 OF $4,400
4 Curtis Granderson LEFT 0.334 0.240 38.8% 0.353 OF $3,600 OF $4,500
5 Jay Bruce LEFT 0.350 0.268 39.1% 0.274 OF $3,500 OF $4,300
6 T.J. Rivera RIGHT 0.354 0.172 24.1% 0.444 3B $2,400 2B/3B $2,600
7 James Loney LEFT 0.309 0.122 30.0% 0.308 1B $2,500 1B $2,900
8 Travis D’Arnaud RIGHT 0.300 0.102 32.2% 0.273 C $2,300 C $2,700
9 Bartolo Colon RIGHT 0.115 0.111 6.3% 0.000 P $7,500 P $7,700
Team Averages — 0.303 0.177 30.1% 0.292 — — — —

Elite Plays – Jose Reyes, Asdrubal Cabrera, Curtis Granderson

Secondary Plays – Yoenis Cespedes, Jay Bruce

Stackability – YELLOW / GREEN

Want to discuss strategy for today’s games? Head over to the RotoGrinders Forums

Jump to Page 1 2 3

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious