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MLB Grind Down: Saturday, August 6th

by Ryan138 Last Updated 2016-08-07 01:18:14

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code and FanDuel promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.

Stackability Rating System:

GREEN – One of the top stacks of the day, viable in cash games and GPPs
YELLOW – A viable stack option in most formats, specifically GPPs
ORANGE – There are better stacks out there, but playable in large GPPs
RED – Not a recommended stack for cash games or GPPs

Cleveland at NY Yankees – 1:05 PM ET

Cleveland NY Yankees
clevelandmlb Corey Kluber nyyankeesmlb CC Sabathia
RIGHT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
CLE -153 8.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HH% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HH% K%
SP vs. Left 0.306 16 27.1% 25.2% SP vs. Left 0.260 4 20.1% 25.1%
SP vs. Right 0.241 17 27.7% 28.5% SP vs. Right 0.347 35 28.8% 16.7%

Pitcher Grind Down

Corey Kluber
corey-kluber-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $10,800 Salary:
FPPG: 39.0 FPPG:
Pitcher Rating: 84.1 Pitcher Rank: 5
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 4 98.8 3.22 1.24 28.2% 5.5% 13.4% 37.5% 40.3% 31.9%
2016 21 98.4 3.43 3.27 25.5% 5.8% 12.1% 46.7% 33.5% 27.9%
2015 32 102.3 2.98 3.49 27.7% 5.1% 12.9% 42.4% 35.9% 27.0%

Kluber continues to pitch well this year, as he comes into this game with a 3.43 SIERA and a high 25.5% strikeout rate. He pitches in Yankee Stadium today, which is not as scary as it once was, as the Yankees are ranked in the bottom third of the league against right-handed pitching as well as in runs scored overall. While we don’t have to make the decision on DraftKings, I have him right behind Arrieta on the day slate.

CC Sabathia
cc-sabathia-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,700 Salary:
FPPG: 26.9 FPPG:
Pitcher Rating: 41.7 Pitcher Rank: 25
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 5 97.2 5.22 6.00 11.7% 8.0% 6.2% 50.9% 33.3% 23.9%
2016 19 96.0 4.70 4.15 17.4% 8.7% 9.4% 47.6% 35.2% 24.9%
2015 29 93.2 4.08 4.73 18.9% 6.9% 9.1% 45.9% 32.4% 29.1%

Sabathia has been a tough play in fantasy over the last few years. That has continued this year, especially lately, as he has allowed at least four earned runs in seven of his last eight starts. He has a high 4.70 SIERA and a low 17.4% strikeout rate. That combination is terrible against this Indians offense, who rank fifth in the league in runs scored. There are a number of good options early, and Sabathia simply carries too much risk to be in consideration.

Batter Grind Down

Cleveland

Historically, Sabathia has been horrible against right-handed bats while being able to shut down lefties. That has evened out this year, as he has allowed a .307 to lefties and .312 to righties. This Indians offense is very much in play in the day slate as the second-highest projected offense of the four games.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Rajai Davis RIGHT 0.318 0.179 0.208 OF $3,600
2 Jason Kipnis LEFT 0.304 0.140 0.344 2B $3,800
3 Francisco Lindor SWITCH 0.363 0.161 0.335 SS $3,700
4 Mike Napoli RIGHT 0.394 0.262 0.429 1B $3,600
5 Carlos Santana SWITCH 0.317 0.110 0.281 1B $3,600
6 Jose Ramirez SWITCH 0.311 0.119 0.380 P $4,000 P $4,000
7 Brandon Guyer RIGHT 0.399 0.203 0.326 OF $2,800
8 Abraham Almonte SWITCH 0.272 0.088 0.404 OF $2,300
9 Roberto Perez RIGHT 0.327 0.136 0.147 C $2,000
Team Averages — 0.334 0.155 0.317 — — — —

Elite Plays – Rajai Davis, Mike Napoli, Francisco Lindor

Secondary Plays – Carlos Santana, Jason Kipnis

Stackability – ORANGE

NY Yankees

Kluber has held batters to a wOBA of under .279 from both sides of the plate this year. The Yankees offense has sputtered this year, and Vegas believes that continues today, as they have just a 3.69 projected run total, the sixth-lowest of the entire day. They are not an offense to focus much attention on.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Brett Gardner LEFT 0.325 0.138 0.296 OF $3,300
2 Jacoby Ellsbury LEFT 0.308 0.101 0.256 OF $2,900
3 Mark Teixeira SWITCH 0.349 0.270 0.394 1B $2,500
4 Brian McCann LEFT 0.329 0.202 0.275 C $2,700
5 Starlin Castro RIGHT 0.288 0.125 0.236 2B $2,200
6 Didi Gregorius LEFT 0.312 0.141 0.269 SS $2,900
7 Chase Headley SWITCH 0.306 0.122 0.296 3B $2,400
8 Rob Refsnyder RIGHT 0.306 0.129 0.224 1B $2,300
9 Aaron Hicks SWITCH 0.282 0.123 0.208 OF $2,200
Team Averages — 0.312 0.150 0.273 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Brian McCann

Stackability – RED

Boston at LA Dodgers – 4:05 PM ET

Boston LA Dodgers
bostonmlb Eduardo Rodriguez ladodgersmlb Ross Stripling
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
LAD -105 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HH% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HH% K%
SP vs. Left 0.351 8 32.3% 20.9% SP vs. Left 0.261 0 29.2% 19.8%
SP vs. Right 0.318 17 30.2% 17.8% SP vs. Right 0.327 3 36.5% 15.6%

Pitcher Grind Down

Eduardo Rodriguez
eduardo-rodriguez-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,100 Salary: $6,500
FPPG: 20.5 FPPG: 9.3
Pitcher Rating: 52.8 Pitcher Rank: 17
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 4 98.5 4.32 2.63 21.7% 8.3% 9.9% 31.3% 40.3% 19.1%
2016 10 93.5 4.88 5.91 18.0% 8.6% 8.8% 31.0% 44.4% 29.1%
2015 21 95.7 4.16 3.85 18.8% 7.1% 7.8% 43.0% 33.4% 31.4%

After fixing some issues with tipping pitches, Rodriguez has pitched well since the break, posting a 2.63 ERA and a strikeout rate of 21.7% in four games in the second half. He now faces a Dodgers team that is ranked 28th and 27th in wOBA and ISO against left-handed pitching this year. It is extremely difficult to predict which Rodriguez you are going to see today, and I would suggest just playing him in tournament settings until he can show some consistency over time.

Ross Stripling
ross-stripling-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,800 Salary: $4,000
FPPG: 19.3 FPPG: 9.8
Pitcher Rating: 60.9 Pitcher Rank: 11
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 0 0.0 2.77 2.08 18.8% 6.3% 8.1% 70.8% 16.7% 25.0%
2016 8 111.1 4.39 4.14 17.5% 8.7% 7.4% 52.1% 26.7% 33.3%

Stripling looks to be making the start today for the Dodgers. In his eight starts (12 appearances) this year, he has a 4.14 ERA (4.39 SIERA) and 17.5% strikeout rate. The problem is the length of his start will likely be short, as he has not started since late May. The matchup against the Red Sox makes him an easy avoid, as they are the number one ranked team in wOBA against righties.

Batter Grind Down

Boston

The Red Sox have a 4.22 projected run total against Stripling, which is surprisingly in the bottom half of the team totals today. With that said, they have a great matchup against Stripling today and can be targeted in all formats.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Mookie Betts RIGHT 0.365 0.211 0.409 OF $4,500 OF $5,100
2 Dustin Pedroia RIGHT 0.354 0.147 0.360 2B $3,000 2B $3,700
3 Xander Bogaerts RIGHT 0.339 0.124 0.367 SS $3,500 SS $4,400
4 David Ortiz LEFT 0.427 0.339 0.214 1B $3,900 1B $5,000
5 Jackie Bradley Jr. LEFT 0.374 0.272 0.326 OF $3,200 OF $3,800
6 Travis Shaw LEFT 0.339 0.187 0.345 3B $3,000 1B/3B $2,900
7 Sandy Leon SWITCH 0.295 0.089 0.238 C $2,700 C $2,400
8 Andrew Benintendi LEFT 0.351 0.000 0.351 OF $2,000 OF $2,600
9 Eduardo Rodriguez LEFT 0.000 0.000 P $7,100 P $6,500
Team Averages — 0.316 0.152 0.326 — — — —

Elite Plays – David Ortiz, Mookie Betts

Secondary Plays – Dustin Pedroia, Xander Bogaerts

Stackability – ORANGE

LA Dodgers

Rodriguez struggled out of the gate in 2016, which is why, even with a string of decent performances as of late, his wOBA allowed still sits above .352 from both sides of the plate. Vegas at least somewhat believes in the Boston lefty, though, as the Dodgers have just a 4.28 projected run total, which is right in the middle of the 30 teams playing.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Howie Kendrick RIGHT 0.328 0.096 0.310 2B $3,100 2B/OF $3,700
2 Corey Seager LEFT 0.344 0.197 0.386 SS $3,600 SS $4,300
3 Justin Turner RIGHT 0.311 0.165 0.397 3B $3,300 3B $4,100
4 Scott Van Slyke RIGHT 0.342 0.148 0.227 OF $2,400 1B/OF $3,200
5 Adrian Gonzalez LEFT 0.319 0.119 0.326 1B $3,100 1B $3,400
6 Kike Hernandez RIGHT 0.429 0.289 0.262 OF $2,400 OF $3,600
7 Joc Pederson LEFT 0.280 0.167 0.427 OF $2,900 OF $4,100
8 Yasmani Grandal SWITCH 0.361 0.120 0.480 C $3,000 C $4,200
9 Ross Stripling RIGHT 0.000 0.000 0.000 P $6,800 P $4,000
Team Averages — 0.302 0.145 0.313 — — — —

Elite Plays – Justin Turner, Howie Kendrick

Secondary Plays – Corey Seager, Scott Van Slyke

Stackability – ORANGE

Chicago Cubs at Oakland – 4:05 PM ET

Chicago Cubs Oakland
cubsmlb Jake Arrieta oaklandmlb Sonny Gray
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
CHC -200 7.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HH% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HH% K%
SP vs. Left 0.226 6 26.5% 28.4% SP vs. Left 0.284 14 27.9% 21.1%
SP vs. Right 0.241 12 20.7% 24.9% SP vs. Right 0.310 21 29.6% 18.2%

Pitcher Grind Down

Jake Arrieta
jake-arrieta-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $11,000 Salary: $12,100
FPPG: 40.0 FPPG: 22.3
Pitcher Rating: 85.0 Pitcher Rank: 4
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 4 93.5 3.61 4.50 22.6% 6.6% 10.2% 53.3% 26.7% 32.0%
2016 21 101.1 3.63 2.75 25.7% 9.0% 10.7% 54.0% 26.4% 25.4%
2015 33 104.2 2.75 1.77 27.1% 5.5% 11.1% 56.2% 22.8% 22.1%

Arrieta has had a couple decent starts since the break and still sports a season ERA of just 2.75 (3.63 SIERA). He always has a lot of upside, as his strikeout rate is at 25.7%, and he’s in a plus matchup in Oakland against an Athletics team that ranks 24th in wOBA and 21st in ISO against righties. Arrieta is an elite option and should be the chalk play of the early slate as a -200 favorite.

Sonny Gray
sonny-gray-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,300 Salary: $5,300
FPPG: 22.5 FPPG: 10.3
Pitcher Rating: 54.0 Pitcher Rank: 16
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 5 94.6 4.25 7.18 19.8% 9.9% 8.5% 56.0% 23.8% 38.8%
2016 20 92.9 4.28 5.84 18.5% 8.5% 8.0% 54.8% 26.8% 34.7%
2015 31 99.3 3.80 2.73 20.3% 7.1% 9.7% 52.7% 30.7% 25.1%

Sonny Gray has been one of the most disappointing pitchers in the league this year. He comes into this game with a very high 5.84 ERA and a low 18.5% strikeout rate. His SIERA of 4.28 suggests some improvements should be made in the second half of the season, but today is not the day to hope that will happen. The Cubs are ranked eighth in team wOBA against righties and have the fourth-highest runs per game total in the league. The matchup alone makes Gray a tough pitcher to trust today.

Batter Grind Down

Chicago Cubs

Gray’s struggles show up in all of his statistics this year, and that includes his .327 wOBA allowed to lefties and .383 wOBA allowed to righties. The Cubs have the highest projected offense of the day slate (4.33 runs) and 11th-highest of the entire slate. You can attack hitters from both sides of the plate on this Cubs squad.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Dexter Fowler SWITCH 0.336 0.175 0.368 OF $3,800 OF $5,200
2 Kris Bryant RIGHT 0.377 0.222 0.333 3B $4,200 3B/OF $4,800
3 Anthony Rizzo LEFT 0.398 0.271 0.332 1B $4,500 1B $5,300
4 Ben Zobrist SWITCH 0.343 0.173 0.392 2B $3,400 2B $4,700
5 Willson Contreras RIGHT 0.349 0.175 0.268 C $3,100 C/OF $3,800
6 Addison Russell RIGHT 0.323 0.152 0.272 SS $2,900 SS $3,600
7 Jason Heyward LEFT 0.329 0.138 0.244 OF $2,900 OF $3,300
8 Miguel Montero LEFT 0.317 0.153 0.317 C $2,700 C $3,300
9 Javier Baez RIGHT 0.282 0.139 0.269 SS $2,700 2B/3B $3,800
Team Averages — 0.339 0.178 0.311 — — — —

Elite Plays – Dexter Fowler, Anthony Rizzo, Kris Bryant

Secondary Plays – Ben Zobrist, Jason Heyward, Addison Russell

Stackability – YELLOW

Oakland

Arrieta has held batters to a wOBA of under .259 from both sides of the plate this season. That does not bode well for the Athletics’ chances of scoring a whole lot of runs today, as they have the second-lowest projected offense of the entire day. Avoid their offense unless you want to go full contrarian on the day slate.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Coco Crisp SWITCH 0.298 0.159 0.434 OF $2,800 OF $3,800
2 Max Muncy LEFT 0.296 0.162 0.368 OF $2,000 OF $2,500
3 Stephen Vogt LEFT 0.340 0.188 0.125 C $2,500 C $2,400
4 Danny Valencia RIGHT 0.348 0.211 0.419 3B $2,700 3B $3,300
5 Khris Davis RIGHT 0.356 0.268 0.446 OF $2,800 OF $3,900
6 Yonder Alonso LEFT 0.322 0.111 0.314 1B $2,400 1B $2,500
7 Marcus Semien RIGHT 0.291 0.155 0.268 SS $2,600 SS $2,700
8 Jake Smolinski RIGHT 0.245 0.104 0.341 OF $2,700 OF $3,000
9 Ryon Healy RIGHT 0.364 0.280 0.306 3B $2,700 3B $2,200
Team Averages — 0.318 0.182 0.336 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – None

Stackability – RED

Minnesota at Tampa Bay – 6:10 PM ET

Minnesota Tampa Bay
minnesotamlb Jose Berrios tampabaymlb Chris Archer
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
TB -140 7.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HH% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HH% K%
SP vs. Left 0.366 1 32.4% 28.3% SP vs. Left 0.286 19 32.3% 28.5%
SP vs. Right 0.448 4 30.8% 21.7% SP vs. Right 0.296 22 33.1% 28.0%

Pitcher Grind Down

Jose Berrios
jose-berrios-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,600 Salary: $7,100
FPPG: 20.4 FPPG: 8.4
Pitcher Rating: 66.2 Pitcher Rank: 10
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 1 99.0 3.40 4.50 20.8% 0.0% 8.1% 33.3% 22.2% 11.1%
2016 5 84.0 4.33 8.57 25.3% 12.1% 10.0% 34.5% 36.2% 31.7%

Berrios returned to the Twins and pitched decent against a tough Indians squad (6 innings, 3 earned runs). More importantly, he did not walk any batters in that game, which was a problem earlier in the season, as he walked 12 batters in his previous four starts combined. He gets a much easier matchup today in a pitcher’s park against the Rays, who are ranked 21st in wOBA against righties and 25th overall in runs scored per game. At his price, he looks like a solid SP2 today or as a GPP option.

Chris Archer
chris-archer-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $9,200 Salary: $10,100
FPPG: 32.8 FPPG: 17.7
Pitcher Rating: 87.9 Pitcher Rank: 2
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 5 102.4 3.38 4.01 25.0% 4.4% 13.3% 45.6% 36.7% 31.3%
2016 23 102.4 3.63 4.38 27.1% 8.8% 12.0% 45.7% 34.1% 33.5%
2015 34 101.4 3.08 3.23 29.0% 7.6% 12.8% 46.1% 33.9% 32.2%

Archer has not been an elite pitcher this year like he was last year, but he has been usable in daily fantasy. He comes into this game with a solid 3.63 SIERA to go along with his 27.1% strikeout rate. He gets a decent matchup on paper against the Twins, but is facing them as they are swinging hot bats (43 runs scored in last five games). One stat to point out is Archer is a much better home pitcher (3.03 ERA) than away (5.83 ERA). These factors make him a great start in all formats and a nice price saving from Arrieta or Kluber.

Batter Grind Down

Minnesota

You can make a case for taking some Twins today, as they continue to put up solid run totals in the last week. Vegas does not believe that will continue today, and neither do I, as Archer has a long track record of dominance in his home park. Twins bats are tournament plays only against Archer, who has allowed a .319 wOBA to lefties and .318 to righties.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Brian Dozier RIGHT 0.323 0.205 0.507 2B $3,500 2B $4,300
2 Joe Mauer LEFT 0.332 0.122 0.495 1B $2,800 1B $4,500
3 Max Kepler LEFT 0.407 0.349 0.519 OF $3,800 OF $4,500
4 Miguel Sano RIGHT 0.357 0.230 0.334 OF $3,300 3B/OF $3,600
5 Kennys Vargas SWITCH 0.269 0.145 0.371 1B $3,100 1B $3,100
6 Eduardo Escobar SWITCH 0.307 0.150 0.335 SS $2,800 SS $2,600
7 Robbie Grossman SWITCH 0.320 0.140 0.279 OF $2,800 OF $2,700
8 Kurt Suzuki RIGHT 0.281 0.094 0.355 C $2,400 C $2,400
9 Byron Buxton RIGHT 0.267 0.132 0.221 OF $2,600 OF $2,700
Team Averages — 0.318 0.174 0.380 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Brian Dozier, Max Kepler

Stackability – RED

Tampa Bay

This game has the lowest overall total of the day slate at just seven runs projected. The Rays have the eighth-lowest run total of the entire day and the third-lowest of the early slate against Berrios.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Logan Forsythe RIGHT 0.326 0.121 0.310 2B $3,900 2B $3,600
2 Kevin Kiermaier LEFT 0.321 0.179 0.329 OF $2,700 OF $3,600
3 Evan Longoria RIGHT 0.325 0.189 0.256 3B $3,700 3B $3,400
4 Brad Miller LEFT 0.345 0.218 0.419 SS $3,800 SS $4,600
5 Steven Souza RIGHT 0.310 0.167 0.240 OF $2,700 OF $3,200
6 Corey Dickerson LEFT 0.351 0.267 0.286 OF $3,200 OF $3,200
7 Nick Franklin SWITCH 0.282 0.161 0.294 2B $2,300 1B/OF $3,200
8 Tim Beckham RIGHT 0.290 0.196 0.202 2B $2,600 2B/SS $3,100
9 Luke Maile RIGHT 0.192 0.070 0.159 C $2,000 C $2,400
Team Averages — 0.305 0.174 0.277 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Brad Miller, Evan Logoria, Logan Forsythe

Stackability – RED

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh – 7:05 PM ET

Cincinnati Pittsburgh
cincinnatimlb Homer Bailey pittsburghmlb Ivan Nova
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
PIT -125 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HH% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HH% K%
SP vs. Left 0.526 2 40.0% 10.0% SP vs. Left 0.376 17 34.7% 11.7%
SP vs. Right 0.252 1 27.3% 13.6% SP vs. Right 0.322 15 33.1% 21.0%

Pitcher Grind Down

Homer Bailey
homer-bailey-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,400 Salary: $9,400
FPPG: 41.0 FPPG: 20.6
Pitcher Rating: 45.9 Pitcher Rank: 21
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 1 89.0 3.93 3.18 26.1% 13.0% 9.0% 64.3% 21.4% 14.3%
2016 1 89.0 3.90 3.18 26.1% 13.0% 9.0% 64.3% 21.4% 14.3%
2015 2 85.5 5.65 5.56 5.9% 7.8% 7.0% 52.4% 31.0% 38.6%

Bailey finally returned from a couple surgeries on his elbow and forearm and pitched well in his debut, striking out six over 5.2 innings while throwing 89 pitches. He hasn’t really pitched since the 2014 season, when he had a solid year (3.60 SIERA). He is someone to watch going forward and is playable at that price at FD for tournament settings. Just know that, given his potential innings limit, he comes with a good amount of risk.

Ivan Nova
ivan-nova-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,700 Salary: $6,300
FPPG: 21.0 FPPG: 9.9
Pitcher Rating: 57.7 Pitcher Rank: 14
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HH%
L30 Days 4 87.8 4.22 4.37 20.8% 8.3% 10.5% 50.0% 34.8% 42.4%
2016 15 98.6 4.00 4.90 17.8% 5.9% 9.3% 54.3% 28.4% 35.6%
2015 17 89.9 4.58 5.07 15.3% 8.0% 7.8% 49.0% 31.7% 32.3%

After a couple decent starts in a row, Nova went back to the average pitcher we have seen most of the season as he allowed five runs in just 4.1 innings. He now has a 4.90 ERA (4.00 SIERA) and an underwhelming 17.8% strikeout rate. His matchup against the Reds is not terrible, as they are in the bottom half of the league in all the offensive categories shown. Still, he is very tough to trust regardless of the matchup.

Batter Grind Down

Cincinnati

Nova has struggled over the course of the season, which is shown by his .365 wOBA allowed to lefties and .340 wOBA allowed to righties. The Reds are projected to score 4.10 runs, which is 11th-lowest of the day. They are in play today, but there are better offenses to target.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Billy Hamilton SWITCH 0.261 0.058 0.292 OF $3,000 OF $4,200
2 Zack Cozart RIGHT 0.322 0.183 0.318 SS $3,700 SS $3,500
3 Joey Votto LEFT 0.416 0.231 0.485 1B $3,800 1B $5,000
4 Adam Duvall RIGHT 0.358 0.315 0.396 OF $3,500 OF $4,800
5 Brandon Phillips RIGHT 0.308 0.107 0.339 2B $2,500 2B $3,300
6 Scott Schebler LEFT 0.329 0.230 0.551 OF $2,200 OF $2,600
7 Eugenio Suarez RIGHT 0.304 0.155 0.350 3B $3,200 3B $3,500
8 Tucker Barnhart SWITCH 0.306 0.113 0.257 C $2,100 C $2,900
9 Homer Bailey RIGHT 0.125 0.000 0.293 P $7,400 P $9,400
Team Averages — 0.303 0.155 0.365 — — — —

Elite Plays – Joey Votto

Secondary Plays – Billy Hamilton, Zack Cozart

Stackability – ORANGE

Pittsburgh

The Pirates have a high projected total of 4.40 tonight, which is the tenth-highest overall. Check their lineup today as they have been a good source of value with guys like Adam Frazier and Matt Joyce batting high up in the order.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Adam Frazier LEFT 0.350 0.216 0.324 SS $2,700 2B/OF $2,900
2 Gregory Polanco LEFT 0.340 0.166 0.353 OF $4,100 OF $4,900
3 Andrew McCutchen RIGHT 0.350 0.182 0.266 OF $3,400 OF $3,400
4 Starling Marte RIGHT 0.357 0.156 0.454 OF $3,700 OF $5,000
5 Jung-Ho Kang RIGHT 0.354 0.193 0.238 3B $2,900 3B $3,400
6 Francisco Cervelli RIGHT 0.321 0.077 0.295 C $2,900 C $2,600
7 Josh Harrison RIGHT 0.291 0.102 0.287 2B $2,800 2B $2,700
8 Jordy Mercer RIGHT 0.275 0.076 0.248 SS $2,300 SS $2,500
9 Ivan Nova RIGHT 0.000 0.000 P $6,700 P $6,300
Team Averages — 0.293 0.130 0.308 — — — —

Elite Plays – Andrew McCutchen, Gregory Polanco

Secondary Plays – Matt Joyce, Adam Frazier, John Jaso

Stackability – ORANGE

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About the Author

Ryan138
Ryan138

Ryan (Ryan138) is from Chicago and has been playing fantasy sports for over 10 years. He has been playing daily fantasy sports for over 2 years since he was introduced to Daily Joust in late 2010. In the last year, Ryan has risen into the Top 100 of the RotoGrinders leaderboards by playing at DraftDay, DraftKings and FanDuel in all the major sports.