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MLB Grind Down: Sunday, September 11th

by Andrew Cook (louiescards) Last Updated 2016-09-12 02:26:01

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The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code and FanDuel promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.

Stackability Rating System:

GREEN – One of the top stacks of the day, viable in cash games and GPPs
YELLOW – A viable stack option in most formats, specifically GPPs
ORANGE – There are better stacks out there, but playable in large GPPs
RED – Not a recommended stack for cash games or GPPs

Chicago Cubs at Houston – 1:05 PM ET

Chicago Cubs Houston
cubsmlb Jake Arrieta houstonmlb Mike Fiers
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
CHC -146 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.231 9 27.0% 27.7% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.303 19 34.2% 20.8%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.241 14 20.5% 24.0% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.340 29 35.3% 21.4%

Pitcher Grind Down

Jake Arrieta
jake-arrieta-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $10,400 Salary: $11,900
FPPG: 39.0 FPPG: 21.5
Pitcher Rating: 80.9 Pitcher Rank: 6
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 100.2 4.91 3.98 19.7% 13.4% 9.0% 57.1% 28.6% 22.4%
2016 27 101.2 3.93 2.84 24.1% 9.6% 10.2% 54.0% 28.0% 25.1%
2015 33 104.2 2.75 1.77 27.1% 5.5% 11.1% 56.2% 22.8% 22.1%

Jake Arrieta: He is but a mortal now, and even with that said, I like Arrieta today against the Astros, who strike out in bunches. Arrietta is not the elite pitcher we had seen for a better part of a year, and there is some concern that Houston could plate some runs, making him more of a risk/reward option than anything else for this slate.

Home:—ERA: 2.30 — K%: 27.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.239
Away:—ERA: 2.17 — K%: 24.1% — wOBA Allowed: 0.234

Mike Fiers
michael-fiers-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,400 Salary: $6,700
FPPG: 26.0 FPPG: 12.6
Pitcher Rating: 63.2 Pitcher Rank: 13
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 92.7 4.02 4.09 21.8% 6.8% 10.6% 42.6% 31.7% 33.7%
2016 26 93.3 4.32 4.29 18.1% 5.6% 9.1% 41.4% 32.6% 36.2%
2015 30 101.4 3.84 3.69 23.7% 8.4% 9.8% 37.6% 42.1% 33.5%

Mike Fiers: I do not want anything to do with Fiers against the Cubs after he has somehow managed to pitch his way out of trouble a lot more than he should. On full slates, I am looking for a lot more in my pitchers and have no problem fading Fiers tonight.

Home:—ERA: 3.43 — K%: 22.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.306
Away:—ERA: 4.53 — K%: 19.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.342

Batter Grind Down

Chicago Cubs

Cubs: The Cubs’ offensive numbers have faded a bit over the second half, but they are still one of the more potent offenses in the league and have pretty good potential against Fiers tonight.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Dexter Fowler SWITCH 0.329 0.162 27.7% 0.244 OF $3,400 OF $4,400
2 Kris Bryant RIGHT 0.386 0.233 40.2% 0.417 3B $4,200 3B/OF $5,100
3 Anthony Rizzo LEFT 0.396 0.268 36.8% 0.369 1B $4,400 1B $5,600
4 Ben Zobrist SWITCH 0.340 0.165 30.9% 0.244 2B $3,300 2B $3,800
5 Addison Russell RIGHT 0.320 0.154 29.4% 0.220 SS $2,500 SS $3,600
6 Jorge Soler RIGHT 0.317 0.156 35.6% 0.401 OF $2,200 OF $4,000
7 Jason Heyward LEFT 0.322 0.133 29.3% 0.257 OF $2,900 OF $2,900
8 Willson Contreras RIGHT 0.328 0.182 32.4% 0.264 C $3,000 C/OF $3,700
9 Chris Coghlan LEFT 0.319 0.182 32.3% 0.217 OF $2,700 2B/OF $2,500
Team Averages — 0.340 0.182 32.7% 0.293 — — — —

Elite Plays – Kris Bryant , Anthony Rizzo

Secondary Plays – Ben Zobrist , Jorge Soler

Stackability – Yellow

Houston

Astros: As you can see by the wOBA L30, this Astros team is capable of putting up runs but find themselves in a tough matchup today. They will likely carry a low ownership, and for that reason, you can play them as a flyer team in a tournament. Still, I would not go too crazy with it.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 George Springer RIGHT 0.338 0.169 29.7% 0.350 OF $3,900 OF $3,800
2 Alex Bregman RIGHT 0.347 0.225 29.9% 0.420 3B $3,300 3B $4,100
3 Jose Altuve RIGHT 0.355 0.169 29.3% 0.251 2B $3,400 2B $4,800
4 Yuli Gurriel RIGHT 0.382 0.152 17.2% 0.341 3B $3,000 1B/3B $2,300
5 Colby Rasmus LEFT 0.318 0.208 34.8% 0.371 OF $2,600 OF $3,400
6 Evan Gattis RIGHT 0.321 0.225 31.6% 0.414 C $2,600 C $3,100
7 Marwin Gonzalez SWITCH 0.297 0.140 31.6% 0.355 1B $2,700 1B $3,000
8 A.J. Reed LEFT 0.280 0.126 33.3% 0.099 1B $2,300 1B $2,800
9 Jake Marisnick RIGHT 0.267 0.094 24.3% 0.305 OF $2,200 OF $2,600
Team Averages — 0.323 0.168 29.1% 0.323 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Jose Altuve , Colby Rasmus , George Springer

Stackability – Red

Tampa Bay at NY Yankees – 1:05 PM ET

Tampa Bay NY Yankees
tampabaymlb Matt Andriese nyyankeesmlb Luis Cessa
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
NYY -135 7.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.315 11 31.8% 19.1% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.288 4 36.5% 16.2%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.306 11 34.8% 20.2% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.337 6 28.9% 14.2%

Pitcher Grind Down

Matt Andriese
matthew-andriese-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,600 Salary: $5,700
FPPG: 20.3 FPPG: 10.7
Pitcher Rating: 69.7 Pitcher Rank: 10
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 90.4 3.39 9.95 25.6% 4.1% 10.4% 40.0% 40.0% 31.8%
2016 15 111.3 3.87 4.58 21.1% 5.2% 10.4% 44.4% 36.6% 33.9%
2015 8 136.0 4.02 4.11 17.4% 6.4% 8.6% 48.1% 34.8% 32.9%

Matt Andriese: Anytime a pitcher gives up seven runs in back-to-back starts, it is time to take notice. Although those games were against two of the more potent offenses in the league, it is a clear sign we need to beware of Andriese today, and I am far more likely to stack against him than use him in my lineups.

Home:—ERA: 4.03 — K%: 20.1% — wOBA Allowed: 0.296
Away:—ERA: 4.96 — K%: 19.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.330

Luis Cessa
luis-cessa-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,200 Salary: $5,200
FPPG: 16.3 FPPG: 7.9
Pitcher Rating: 59.5 Pitcher Rank: 15
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 4 109.5 4.23 4.13 16.5% 5.2% 10.3% 49.4% 30.3% 29.2%
2016 4 163.8 4.64 4.07 14.9% 6.3% 10.4% 44.4% 36.1% 31.9%

Luis Cessa: Cessa has been successful at the big-league level but also allowed a ton of home runs in the process. I would prefer him of the two pitchers in the game but do not necessarily think either are great options.

Home:—ERA: 5.40 — K%: 14.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.344
Away:—ERA: 2.86 — K%: 15.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.294

Batter Grind Down

Tampa Bay

Rays: Tampa has not been bad offensively, and they have a decent amount of pop in the middle of the lineup. Even so, Cessa has been pretty good so far, and while I do not mind exposure here, it does not feel like a place to stack.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Logan Forsythe RIGHT 0.335 0.139 31.5% 0.403 2B $3,400 2B $4,700
2 Kevin Kiermaier LEFT 0.324 0.176 27.8% 0.353 OF $3,900 OF $4,800
3 Evan Longoria RIGHT 0.332 0.201 33.8% 0.247 3B $3,800 3B $3,800
4 Brad Miller LEFT 0.349 0.228 34.7% 0.215 SS $3,200 1B/SS $4,300
5 Logan Morrison LEFT 0.322 0.192 35.1% 0.523 1B $2,900 1B $4,400
6 Steven Souza RIGHT 0.309 0.165 32.8% 0.145 OF $3,200 OF $4,000
7 Corey Dickerson LEFT 0.343 0.259 34.0% 0.298 OF $3,000 OF $3,400
8 Alexei Ramirez RIGHT 0.258 0.100 22.2% 0.176 SS $2,000 SS $2,600
9 Luke Maile RIGHT 0.252 0.111 36.1% 0.418 C $2,700 C $3,000
Team Averages — 0.314 0.175 32.0% 0.309 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Brad Miller , Kevin Kiermaier , Evan Longoria , Logan Morrison

Stackability – Red

NY Yankees

Yankees: Andriese has been pretty bad over his past couple starts, and we need to at the very least acknowledge the Yankees as a viable option today because of it.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Brett Gardner LEFT 0.323 0.131 27.5% 0.280 OF $2,900 OF $4,000
2 Jacoby Ellsbury LEFT 0.314 0.111 24.7% 0.396 OF $3,200 OF $4,600
3 Gary Sanchez RIGHT 0.506 0.398 42.3% 0.375 C $3,800 C $4,900
4 Didi Gregorius LEFT 0.311 0.149 24.1% 0.277 SS $2,900 SS $3,700
5 Starlin Castro RIGHT 0.298 0.141 26.8% 0.336 2B $2,700 2B $3,500
6 Brian McCann LEFT 0.330 0.200 33.7% 0.313 C $3,000 C $4,400
7 Chase Headley SWITCH 0.307 0.126 30.0% 0.359 3B $2,400 3B $3,700
8 Tyler Austin RIGHT 0.341 0.244 23.3% 0.391 1B $2,500 1B $2,700
9 Rob Refsnyder RIGHT 0.314 0.121 28.6% 0.523 1B $2,300 1B/OF $3,300
Team Averages — 0.338 0.180 29.0% 0.361 — — — —

Elite Plays – Gary Sanchez

Secondary Plays – Jacoby Ellsbury , Did Gregorius

Stackability – Orange

Boston at Toronto – 2:07 PM ET

Boston Toronto
bostonmlb Clay Buchholz torontomlb Aaron Sanchez
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
TOR -151 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.317 10 28.3% 19.6% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.326 19 28.8% 17.5%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.305 15 26.2% 18.7% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.237 3 23.9% 19.6%

Pitcher Grind Down

Clay Buchholz
clay-buchholz-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,000 Salary: $7,900
FPPG: 14.0 FPPG: 6.5
Pitcher Rating: 51.4 Pitcher Rank: 23
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 4 98.0 4.22 2.67 18.4% 6.4% 10.7% 49.4% 31.6% 33.8%
2016 17 110.9 5.05 4.99 15.7% 9.0% 9.6% 42.2% 40.9% 30.5%
2015 18 95.3 3.35 3.26 22.8% 4.9% 10.6% 48.3% 30.5% 23.7%

Clay Buchholz: I am not sure what is going on with Buchholz lately, but all of the sudden he has been able to pitch. The Blue Jays are not really a team you want to mess with too much, especially in Toronto, but this is a hot hand and Clay makes for an interesting tournament play.

Home:—ERA: 4.76 — K%: 17.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.336
Away:—ERA: 3.38 — K%: 20.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.280

Aaron Sanchez
aaron-sanchez-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,500 Salary: $7,100
FPPG: 35.0 FPPG: 18.4
Pitcher Rating: 54.9 Pitcher Rank: 17
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 4 92.8 4.64 3.38 17.0% 9.0% 7.8% 50.7% 27.4% 33.8%
2016 26 97.7 3.89 2.92 19.9% 7.3% 8.0% 56.4% 22.9% 29.3%
2015 11 131.7 4.43 3.22 16.1% 11.6% 7.0% 60.6% 21.6% 21.0%

Aaron Sanchez: Sanchez has been pretty consistent all season long for Toronto but it is hard to get too excited with the Red Sox lineup staring him down today. For the most part I want hitting in this game but both pitchers have some value in tournaments.

Home:—ERA: 3.06 — K%: 17.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.285
Away:—ERA: 2.99 — K%: 19.6% — wOBA Allowed: 0.281

Batter Grind Down

Boston

Red Sox: I am always down to stack both of these teams for most slates, and that is no different today. The Red Sox continue to mash the ball on a regular basis, and there is plenty of upside up and down the lineup.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Dustin Pedroia RIGHT 0.357 0.136 29.7% 0.499 2B $3,100 2B $4,100
2 Xander Bogaerts RIGHT 0.330 0.118 27.7% 0.317 SS $3,600 SS $3,600
3 David Ortiz LEFT 0.426 0.336 45.0% 0.331 1B $4,100 1B $5,000
4 Mookie Betts RIGHT 0.368 0.209 33.2% 0.366 OF $4,100 OF $5,000
5 Hanley Ramirez RIGHT 0.319 0.160 34.2% 0.434 1B $3,200 1B $4,500
6 Travis Shaw LEFT 0.333 0.190 34.8% 0.448 3B $3,200 1B/3B $4,100
7 Sandy Leon SWITCH 0.329 0.119 29.5% 0.290 C $2,800 C $3,100
8 Jackie Bradley Jr. LEFT 0.369 0.266 37.9% 0.340 OF $3,600 OF $4,400
9 Brock Holt LEFT 0.318 0.122 25.7% 0.367 OF $2,900 OF $2,900
Team Averages — 0.350 0.184 33.1% 0.377 — — — —

Elite Plays – David Ortiz , Mookie Betts

Secondary Plays – Dustin Pedroia , Travis Shaw , Hanley Ramirez

Stackability – Yellow

Toronto

Blue Jays: I am a sucker for Toronto bats, and as such tend to be higher on them than most. It has paid off more than once for me, and a quick glance at the ISO column should give you a better understand of the potential here.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Devon Travis RIGHT 0.357 0.183 28.1% 0.274 2B $3,300 2B $3,600
2 Josh Donaldson RIGHT 0.396 0.265 37.9% 0.478 3B $4,100 3B $4,400
3 Edwin Encarnacion RIGHT 0.389 0.285 36.5% 0.325 1B $4,100 1B $4,400
4 Jose Bautista RIGHT 0.377 0.266 37.1% 0.341 OF $3,800 OF $4,300
5 Troy Tulowitzki RIGHT 0.323 0.178 34.6% 0.295 SS $3,000 SS $4,000
6 Dioner Navarro SWITCH 0.262 0.099 30.1% 0.201 C $2,000 C $2,500
7 Michael Saunders LEFT 0.335 0.199 36.9% 0.364 OF $3,000 OF $3,800
8 Melvin Upton RIGHT 0.291 0.149 32.1% 0.326 OF $3,300 OF $3,500
9 Kevin Pillar RIGHT 0.302 0.125 25.6% 0.358 OF $2,700 OF $3,000
Team Averages — 0.337 0.194 33.2% 0.329 — — — —

Elite Plays – Josh Donaldson

Secondary Plays – Edwin Encarnacion , Jose Bautista , Devon Travis , Troy Tulowitzki

Stackability – Green

Seattle at Oakland – 4:05 PM ET

Seattle Oakland
seattlemlb James Paxton oaklandmlb Raul Alcantara
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
SEA -130 8.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.379 3 36.3% 16.8% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.402 1 80.0% 0.0%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.300 13 29.7% 21.4% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.561 0 37.5% 0.0%

Pitcher Grind Down

James Paxton
james-paxton-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,300 Salary: $7,700
FPPG: 29.8 FPPG: 15.3
Pitcher Rating: 71.6 Pitcher Rank: 9
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 3 93.0 3.25 6.91 24.3% 2.9% 13.6% 46.0% 30.0% 35.3%
2016 16 98.6 3.69 4.03 21.7% 4.8% 11.9% 48.2% 29.9% 31.9%
2015 13 85.5 4.44 3.90 18.9% 9.8% 7.2% 48.3% 34.4% 29.7%

James Paxton: The A’s are a team we all love to attack, and Paxton is a guy who can give us the strikeouts we crave. He did struggle to keep runs off the board in his previous start but still managed to strikeout a bunch of guys in the process. With this matchup, I like Paxton today, and he makes for a fine outside-the-box play.

Home:—ERA: 3.76 — K%: 20.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.311
Away:—ERA: 4.20 — K%: 20.7% — wOBA Allowed: 0.322

Raul Alcantara
raul-alcantara-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,500 Salary: $4,200
FPPG: -6.0 FPPG: -8.7
Pitcher Rating: 12.0 Pitcher Rank: 30
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 1 61.0 8.03 15.00 0.0% 5.9% 0.0% 23.1% 61.5% 53.9%
2016 1 61.0 8.03 15.00 0.0% 5.9% 0.0% 23.1% 61.5% 53.9%

Raul Alcantara: Alcantara’s major league debut did not go well for him, as he got sent to the showers early after the Angels roughed him up a bit. There is not a whole lot to like here, and he is an easy fade for me.

Home:—ERA: 15.00 — K%: 0.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.514
Away:—ERA: — K%: — wOBA Allowed:

Batter Grind Down

Seattle

Mariners: It is hard for me not to like the Mariners today despite their decline in the second half of the season. Alcantara looked horrible in his debut, and Seattle is capable of big things, as we saw early in the year.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Norichika Aoki LEFT 0.321 0.107 19.2% 0.115 OF $3,000 OF $4,200
2 Seth Smith LEFT 0.346 0.189 35.1% 0.497 OF $3,500 OF $3,800
3 Robinson Cano LEFT 0.372 0.209 37.0% 0.425 2B $3,800 2B $5,200
4 Nelson Cruz RIGHT 0.366 0.235 31.9% 0.304 OF $4,100 OF $4,300
5 Kyle Seager LEFT 0.359 0.201 36.8% 0.458 3B $3,600 3B $5,200
6 Adam Lind LEFT 0.345 0.216 39.8% 0.411 1B $2,700 1B $3,800
7 Leonys Martin LEFT 0.280 0.125 27.2% 0.203 OF $2,900 OF $3,600
8 Mike Zunino RIGHT 0.267 0.190 28.6% 0.160 C $2,900 C $3,200
9 Ketel Marte SWITCH 0.315 0.082 21.4% 0.259 SS $2,500 SS $3,200
Team Averages — 0.330 0.173 30.8% 0.315 — — — —

Elite Plays – Robinson Cano , Kyle Seager

Secondary Plays – Seth Smith , Nelson Cruz , Adam Lind

Stackability – Yellow

Oakland

A’s: I have not played a ton of A’s recently, but they do have a couple of players we can use as filler when they are facing a southpaw such as today.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Marcus Semien RIGHT 0.371 0.222 24.9% 0.267 SS $3,000 SS $3,400
2 Jake Smolinski RIGHT 0.372 0.214 30.1% 0.224 OF $2,600 OF $2,900
3 Danny Valencia RIGHT 0.384 0.188 34.7% 0.314 3B $2,900 3B/OF $4,000
4 Khris Davis RIGHT 0.336 0.245 34.2% 0.280 OF $3,300 OF $3,600
5 Billy Butler RIGHT 0.299 0.132 33.2% 0.161 1B $2,200 1B $3,200
6 Stephen Vogt LEFT 0.267 0.113 19.6% 0.250 C $2,600 C $2,700
7 Ryon Healy RIGHT 0.331 0.229 25.0% 0.342 3B $2,800 3B $2,700
8 Brett Eibner RIGHT 0.302 0.177 27.7% 0.219 OF $2,000 OF $3,100
9 Chad Pinder RIGHT 0.110 0.000 36.4% 0.163 2B $2,000 2B/SS $2,500
Team Averages — 0.308 0.169 29.5% 0.247 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Khris Davis , Danny Valencia , Marcus Semien

Stackability – Red

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh – 7:05 PM ET

Cincinnati Pittsburgh
cincinnatimlb Brandon Finnegan pittsburghmlb Ryan Vogelsong
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
PIT -133 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.295 5 30.1% 18.2% SP vs. Left (2015-16) 0.381 18 33.0% 18.3%
SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.329 32 37.4% 21.1% SP vs. Right (2015-16) 0.299 8 29.2% 17.3%

Pitcher Grind Down

Brandon Finnegan
brandon-finnegan-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $8,300 Salary: $8,800
FPPG: 25.1 FPPG: 12.8
Pitcher Rating: 57.5 Pitcher Rank: 16
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 96.2 3.85 3.22 29.5% 11.6% 12.3% 41.9% 44.2% 32.6%
2016 28 94.7 4.91 4.17 19.7% 11.3% 9.6% 39.0% 39.0% 37.0%
2015 4 187.8 3.77 3.56 22.8% 10.7% 9.7% 54.3% 29.1% 30.8%

Brandon Finnegan: Finnegan has been a strikeout machine lately and will look to finish the season strong. The Pirates still have a couple bats that hit left-handed pitching pretty well, but it is hard to argue with the upside in Finnegan today.

Home:—ERA: 3.91 — K%: 21.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.310
Away:—ERA: 4.14 — K%: 19.7% — wOBA Allowed: 0.329

Ryan Vogelsong
ryan-vogelsong-300x200 FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,500 Salary: $4,700
FPPG: 14.0 FPPG: 6.9
Pitcher Rating: 52.5 Pitcher Rank: 20
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 85.3 5.20 4.78 15.5% 9.9% 5.9% 43.6% 36.6% 27.9%
2016 9 108.0 4.85 4.07 17.1% 9.7% 6.5% 44.5% 34.1% 30.7%
2015 22 105.0 4.54 4.67 18.1% 9.7% 6.3% 44.7% 36.1% 31.0%

Ryan Vogelsong: I think of Vogelsong as more of a smoke-and-mirrors pitcher, as his numbers never really lined up with his talent. The past couple games have caught up with him a bit, and there is not real reason to have a guy like this on a huge slate.

Home:—ERA: 3.30 — K%: 19.7% — wOBA Allowed: 0.298
Away:—ERA: 5.45 — K%: 16.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.365

Batter Grind Down

Cincinnati

Reds: Cincy has been pretty solid offensively over the past month or so, and I actually do not mind them here against Vogelsong. Do not get too carried away with exposure, but the potential is certainly there.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jose Peraza RIGHT 0.313 0.056 21.0% 0.488 SS $2,800 OF/SS $4,000
2 Zack Cozart RIGHT 0.313 0.168 29.0% 0.280 SS $3,500 SS $3,200
3 Joey Votto LEFT 0.419 0.236 41.9% 0.403 1B $4,000 1B $5,100
4 Adam Duvall RIGHT 0.343 0.281 37.2% 0.302 OF $2,900 OF $3,900
5 Brandon Phillips RIGHT 0.314 0.113 26.3% 0.301 2B $3,000 2B $3,200
6 Scott Schebler LEFT 0.326 0.189 36.2% 0.462 OF $2,800 OF $3,200
7 Eugenio Suarez RIGHT 0.309 0.155 32.7% 0.302 3B $2,900 3B $3,400
8 Tucker Barnhart SWITCH 0.316 0.121 27.6% 0.246 C $2,400 C $3,000
9 Brandon Finnegan LEFT 0.099 0.022 19.4% 0.000 P $8,300 P $8,800
Team Averages — 0.306 0.149 30.1% 0.309 — — — —

Elite Plays – Joey Votto

Secondary Plays – Jose Peraza , Scott Schebler , Adam Duvall

Stackability – Orange

Pittsburgh

Pirates: This was a lineup that could crush lefties, but there is not as much of a threat in it’s current form. With that said, if you are fading Finnegan, I love McCutchen in this one.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Josh Harrison RIGHT 0.338 0.122 37.7% 0.319 2B $3,500 2B $3,400
2 Josh Bell SWITCH 0.000 0.000 0.0% 0.308 1B $2,600 1B $3,100
3 Andrew McCutchen RIGHT 0.355 0.180 36.4% 0.337 OF $3,400 OF $3,400
4 Gregory Polanco LEFT 0.281 0.151 31.0% 0.236 OF $3,800 OF $3,700
5 Jung-Ho Kang RIGHT 0.329 0.177 38.1% 0.866 3B $3,500 3B $4,700
6 Sean Rodriguez RIGHT 0.348 0.191 35.9% 0.282 OF $2,400 OF/SS $3,800
7 Francisco Cervelli RIGHT 0.382 0.116 38.5% 0.274 C $2,700 C $2,700
8 Jordy Mercer RIGHT 0.349 0.151 27.4% 0.287 SS $2,600 SS $3,500
9 Ryan Vogelsong RIGHT 0.344 0.429 50.0% 0.115 P $6,500 P $4,700
Team Averages — 0.303 0.169 32.8% 0.336 — — — —

Elite Plays – Andrew McCutchen

Secondary Plays – Jung Ho Kang , Francisco Cervelli

Stackability – Orange

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About the Author

louiescards
Andrew Cook (louiescards)

Andrew “LouiesCards” Cook is a DFS veteran who has been playing since 2009. You will see him grinding MLB, NBA, and NFL with a main focus on DraftKings. Over the years he has held several roles at RotoGrinders helping write articles and features, both in-front and behind-the-scenes. Andrew was able to throw the first pitch out at a St. Louis Cardinals game, courtesy of DraftKings. You can follow Andrew on twitter @louiescards