MLB Grind Down: Thursday, April 21st

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2016-04-22 01:46:42

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis into the upcoming MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code and FanDuel promo code to receive the best perks in the industry.

LA Dodgers at Atlanta – 12:10 PM

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
LA Dodgers					Atlanta
			Clayton Kershaw					Matt Wisler
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			LAD -280					6.5
SP vs. Left	0.226	5	37.1%	2.2%	SP vs. Left	0.413	12	9.5%	12.1%
SP vs. Right	0.225	12	32.0%	5.2%	SP vs. Right	0.279	7	21.3%	3.7%

Pitcher Grind Down

				Salary:$13,000		Salary:$13,600
Clayton Kershaw
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:46.0		FPPG:27.4
				Pitcher Rating:99
Statistics	SIERA	K%	BB%	HH%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2015-16	2.29	33.1%	4.5%	25.0%	49.3%	30	14

Whew boy, Kershaw is getting expensive! Am I still willing to pay up for him? Of course I am. He is the best pitcher in baseball, he doesn’t really have any bad outings, and there are enough cheap bats that you can fit him into your lineup without too many problems. Kershaw boasts a 2.29 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 33.1%. Today he gets to face an offensively-challenged Braves’ team that is ranked dead last in wOBA against left-handed pitching. You can fade Kershaw in tournaments, but he is the top cash game option in the early-only and all-day slates.

				Salary:$5,700		Salary:$6,500
Matt Wisler
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:16.7		FPPG:9.5
				Pitcher Rating:29
Statistics	SIERA	K%	BB%	HH%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2015-16	4.88	15.4%	7.9%	28.3%	34.3%	9	18

Wisler was once a top prospect, but one that has yet to find success at the major league level. In 21 starts, he has a 4.88 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 15.4% and a walk rate of 7.9%. He is a fly ball pitcher that doesn’t fare well against left-handed hitters. That could spell trouble for him today against a very talented Dodgers’ lineup. As the biggest underdog on the board, Wisler can be avoided in all league formats.

Batter Grind Down

LA Dodgers

Dodgers Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.319 (9 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.164 (7 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.73 (7 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.28 (9 of 26)

The Dodgers are one of the best offenses in baseball, especially when they are facing a right-handed pitching. They have the ninth highest team total on the board at 4.28 runs. The left-handed bats in this lineup have the edge splits-wise, as Wisler has allowed a .413 wOBA and 12 home runs to hitters from that side of the plate. I should note that the Dodgers are letting Joc Pederson bat clean-up on his birthday.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Chase Utley	LEFT	0.296	0.142	2B	$2,800	2B	$3,300
2	Corey Seager	LEFT	0.375	0.186	SS	$3,300	SS	$3,800
3	Adrian Gonzalez	LEFT	0.360	0.224	1B	$3,300	1B	$3,900
4	Joc Pederson	LEFT	0.348	0.216	OF	$2,800	OF	$3,700
5	Trayce Thompson	RIGHT	0.348	0.160	OF	$2,100	OF	$2,900
6	Enrique Hernandez	RIGHT	0.254	0.090	OF	$3,000	2B/OF	$3,000
7	A.J. Ellis	RIGHT	0.285	0.085	C	$2,300	C	$2,500
8	Charlie Culberson	RIGHT	0.141	0.111	2B	$2,300	2B/SS	$2,000
9	Clayton Kershaw	LEFT	0.202	0.043	P	$13,000	P	$13,600
	Team Averages	—	0.290	0.140	—	$2,738	—	$3,138

Elite Plays – Chase Utley, Corey Seager, Adrian Gonzalez, Joc Pederson

Secondary Plays – Trayce Thompson, Enrique Hernandez

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Atlanta

Braves Offense
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.277 (30 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.101 (30 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.79 (21 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 2.22 (26 of 26)

Let’s see, Clayton Kershaw strikes out one-third of the batters that he faces. He also holds both left and right-handed hitters under a .230 wOBA and he has one of the lowest walk rates in baseball. With the lowest team total on the board, the Braves are an easy avoid today.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Nick Markakis	LEFT	0.283	0.060	OF	$3,300	OF	$2,900
2	Daniel Castro	RIGHT	0.293	0.167			2B/SS	$2,000
3	Freddie Freeman	LEFT	0.293	0.085	1B	$2,900	1B	$3,100
4	Adonis Garcia	RIGHT	0.382	0.268	3B	$2,400	3B	$2,800
5	Jeff Francoeur	RIGHT	0.279	0.112	OF	$2,200	OF	$2,000
6	Tyler Flowers	RIGHT	0.343	0.096	C	$2,500	C	$2,400
7	Erick Aybar	SWITCH	0.241	0.043	SS	$2,000	SS	$2,100
8	Mallex Smith	LEFT	0.203	0.091	OF	$2,400	OF	$2,900
9	Matt Wisler	RIGHT	0.088	0.000	P	$5,700	P	$6,500
	Team Averages	—	0.267	0.102	—	$2,529	—	$2,525

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

Seattle at Cleveland – 12:10 PM

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Seattle					Cleveland
			Nathan Karns					Cody Anderson
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			CLE -105					8.5
SP vs. Left	0.314	7	26.2%	11.9%	SP vs. Left	0.324	7	11.2%	7.5%
SP vs. Right	0.306	14	20.7%	5.9%	SP vs. Right	0.275	6	13.2%	5.7%

Pitcher Grind Down

				Salary:$8,100		Salary:$6,900
Nathan Karns
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:33.0		FPPG:16.2
				Pitcher Rating:56
Statistics	SIERA	K%	BB%	HH%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2015-16	3.88	23.7%	9.2%	34.1%	41.3%	15	7

Karns has been serviceable in his first two starts of the season, striking out 13 batters while allowing five runs over ten innings of work. He draws a tough matchup today against the Indians in Cleveland. This game is basically set as a pick ‘em with the over/under set at 8.5 runs. Karns has shown nice strikeout upside, but the Indians have the seventh lowest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching over the last two seasons. Karns is a deep GPP target today.

				Salary:$6,500		Salary:$5,100
Cody Anderson
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:16.0		FPPG:6.6
				Pitcher Rating:30
Statistics	SIERA	K%	BB%	HH%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2015-16	4.89	12.3%	6.5%	28.3%	44.9%	17	26

I mentioned in his last start that Anderson was going to have some serious regression this season. The gap between his SIERA and his ERA last year was way too big, which suggests he had some great fortune. He had an awful outing against the Mets and I’m not expecting him to fare much better against the Mariners. In general, we don’t want to target starting pitchers that have a strikeout rate of 12%.

Batter Grind Down

Seattle

Mariners Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.311 (17 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.166 (6 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.50 (24 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.22 (10 of 26)

If you look at Cody Anderson splits alone, this may not seem like a great matchup. However, as I mentioned above, the advanced statistics suggest that Anderson should have some regression this season. The Mariners have the tenth highest team total on the board today and as a team they have the sixth highest ISO against right-handed pitching. Hitters from both sides of the plate are in play here.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Norichika Aoki	LEFT	0.312	0.122	OF	$2,600	OF	$3,900
2	Seth Smith	LEFT	0.348	0.199	OF	$2,600	OF	$3,700
3	Robinson Cano	LEFT	0.357	0.190	2B	$3,500	2B	$5,100
4	Nelson Cruz	RIGHT	0.370	0.241	OF	$4,200	OF	$4,800
5	Kyle Seager	LEFT	0.318	0.165	3B	$3,400	3B	$4,600
6	Adam Lind	LEFT	0.363	0.200	1B	$2,100	1B	$4,200
7	Leonys Martin	LEFT	0.270	0.117	OF	$2,700	OF	$3,200
8	Steve Clevenger	LEFT	0.294	0.136	C	$2,200	C	$3,000
9	Ketel Marte	SWITCH	0.329	0.086	SS	$2,400	SS	$4,000
	Team Averages	—	0.329	0.162	—	$2,856	—	$4,056

Elite Plays – Seth Smith, Robinson Cano, Nelson Cruz, Adam Lind

Secondary Plays – Nori Aoki, Kyle Seager, Chris Iannetta

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Cleveland

Indians Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.315 (15 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.149 (17 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.83 (19 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.28 (8 of 26)

The Indians have not been the same offense without Michael Brantley in the lineup. They are still capable of a big outing though, and they draw a decent matchup today against Nathan Karns. While Karns does have a high strikeout rate, he has allowed a .305+ wOBA to hitters from both sides of the plate. The Indians have the eighth highest team total today at 4.28 runs.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Rajai Davis	RIGHT	0.324	0.159	OF	$3,400	OF	$3,300
2	Jason Kipnis	LEFT	0.396	0.173	2B	$3,600	2B	$4,400
3	Francisco Lindor	SWITCH	0.332	0.143	SS	$3,600	SS	$3,800
4	Carlos Santana	SWITCH	0.335	0.205	1B	$2,900	1B	$4,000
5	Marlon Byrd	RIGHT	0.311	0.200	OF	$3,100	OF	$3,500
6	Jose Ramirez	SWITCH	0.292	0.136	P	$4,000	3B/OF	$3,100
7	Lonnie Chisenhall	LEFT	0.288	0.133	OF	$2,400	3B/OF	$2,900
8	Roberto Perez	RIGHT	0.313	0.174	C	$2,000	C	$3,000
9	Tyler Naquin	LEFT	0.260	0.000	OF	$2,000	OF	$3,100
	Team Averages	—	0.317	0.147	—	$3,000	—	$3,456

Elite Plays – Jason Kipnis

Secondary Plays – Rajai Davis, Francisco Lindor, Carlos Santana

Stackability – GPP

Washington at Miami – 1:10 PM

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Washington					Miami
			Max Scherzer					Tom Koehler
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			WAS -170					7.0
SP vs. Left	0.282	14	26.1%	5.7%	SP vs. Left	0.342	16	17.9%	10.3%
SP vs. Right	0.236	16	35.2%	2.2%	SP vs. Right	0.314	6	15.9%	9.2%

Pitcher Grind Down

				Salary:$12,000		Salary:$12,400
Max Scherzer
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:41.0		FPPG:22.3
				Pitcher Rating:90
Statistics	SIERA	K%	BB%	HH%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2015-16	2.69	30.3%	4.1%	27.5%	36.5%	28	6

After completing my research for today’s slate, I realized that my model had Scherzer ranked ahead of Jake Arrieta. At first glance, I figured Arrieta would be right behind Clayton Kershaw as the top pitching option of the day. At the end of the day, we are splitting hairs here and we really don’t even need to use Scherzer since he and Kershaw are both in the early slate. He provides great upside in today’s matchup against the Marlins. For whatever reason, Scherzer has struggled with allowing home runs over the last two seasons. That should be negated by the massive Marlins Park that is one of the toughest ballparks to hit home runs in. It also helps that Giancarlo Stanton and Dee Gordon are both out of the lineup today.

				Salary:$6,800		Salary:$6,300
Tom Koehler
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:15.0		FPPG:4.4
				Pitcher Rating:38
Statistics	SIERA	K%	BB%	HH%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2015-16	4.71	16.9%	9.8%	33.3%	45.8%	18	28

Koehler hasn’t pitched well in his first two starts of the season, allowing seven runs over ten innings of work. Since the start of 2015, he has a 4.71 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 16.9%. He walks a few too many batters and his hard hit rate is high at over 33%. He comes into today’s game as a sizable underdog against a very capable Nationals’ offense. He can be avoided in both cash games and GPPs.

Batter Grind Down

Washington

Nationals Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.310 (18 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.151 (10 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.43 (10 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.91 (16 of 26)

The Nationals’ offense has played pretty well so far this season, averaging 4.43 runs per game. They have a slightly below-average team total today, but that has more to do with the park than it does their matchup. Tom Koehler is a low-strikeout pitcher that has allowed a .342 wOBA to left-handed hitters and a .314 wOBA to right-handed hitters.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Michael Taylor	RIGHT	0.266	0.125	OF	$2,500	OF	$3,200
2	Anthony Rendon	RIGHT	0.305	0.099	3B	$3,000	3B	$3,900
3	Bryce Harper	LEFT	0.475	0.363	OF	$6,000	OF	$5,300
4	Ryan Zimmerman	RIGHT	0.289	0.157	1B	$2,800	1B	$3,500
5	Daniel Murphy	LEFT	0.353	0.200	2B	$3,600	2B	$4,500
6	Jayson Werth	RIGHT	0.293	0.132	OF	$3,100	OF	$3,800
7	Wilson Ramos	RIGHT	0.272	0.132	C	$2,900	C	$3,200
8	Danny Espinosa	SWITCH	0.294	0.162	SS	$2,000	SS	$2,700
9	Max Scherzer	RIGHT	0.183	0.019	P	$12,000	P	$12,400
	Team Averages	—	0.303	0.154	—	$3,238	—	$3,763

Elite Plays – Bryce Harper, Daniel Murphy

Secondary Plays – Anthony Rendon, Ryan Zimmerman, Michael Taylor

Stackability – NONE

Miami

Marlins Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.298 (28 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.121 (29 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.85 (18 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.09 (23 of 26)

The Marlins draw one of the worst pitching matchups today. As a team they do not hit right-handed pitching well and they are facing one of the best right-handed pitchers in all of baseball. With the fourth lowest team total on the board, their bats can be avoided – especially given the fact that Dee Gordon and Giancarlo Stanton are both out of the lineup.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Dee Gordon	LEFT	0.326	0.083	2B	$3,700	2B	$4,100
2	Martin Prado	RIGHT	0.307	0.095	3B	$2,800	3B	$2,700
3	Christian Yelich	LEFT	0.361	0.136	OF	$3,700	OF	$3,600
4	Giancarlo Stanton	RIGHT	0.362	0.267	OF	$4,700	OF	$3,900
5	Justin Bour	LEFT	0.350	0.240	1B	$2,600	1B	$2,500
6	Marcell Ozuna	RIGHT	0.275	0.110	OF	$2,800	OF	$3,000
7	Jacob Realmuto	RIGHT	0.278	0.127	C	$2,300	C	$2,400
8	Adeiny Hechavarria	RIGHT	0.277	0.089	SS	$2,600	SS	$2,800
9	Tom Koehler	RIGHT	0.150	0.022	P	$6,800	P	$6,300
	Team Averages	—	0.298	0.130	—	$3,150	—	$3,125

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

Tampa Bay at Boston – 1:35 PM

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Tampa Bay					Boston
			Jake Odorizzi					David Price
			RIGHT					LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			BOS -155					7.5
SP vs. Left	0.267	5	25.6%	4.6%	SP vs. Left	0.279	4	21.4%	3.0%
SP vs. Right	0.324	14	17.7%	8.4%	SP vs. Right	0.269	14	27.8%	6.0%

Pitcher Grind Down

				Salary:$7,700		Salary:$7,400
Jake Odorizzi
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:33.7		FPPG:20.0
				Pitcher Rating:59
Statistics	SIERA	K%	BB%	HH%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2015-16	3.81	22.0%	6.3%	28.1%	37.3%	9	3

Odorizzi has pitched well over the last two seasons, sporting a 3.81 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 22%. He has nice upside, but his splits away from home make me hesitant to target him on the road. His matchup against the Red Sox doesn’t help matters, as Boston is ranked ninth in team wOBA and third in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching. We should wait at least one more start before giving Odorizzi a longer look.

				Salary:$10,900		Salary:$11,600
David Price
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:44.0		FPPG:24.0
				Pitcher Rating:84
Statistics	SIERA	K%	BB%	HH%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2015-16	3.17	26.2%	5.3%	28.2%	40.3%	9	20

Price has allowed nine runs in his first three starts. While that’s not great from a real-life baseball perspective, we are just fine with it in DFS if he continues to strike batters out at the same rate. He already has 27 strikeouts this season. Today he gets to face his former team in the Rays. While they are better against left-handed pitching, this is still an offense that I don’t mind picking on. Price has massive strikeout potential and he should go under-owned with Clayton Kershaw and Max Scherzer in such great spots.

Batter Grind Down

Tampa Bay

Rays Offense
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.322 (9 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.171 (4 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 2.86 (29 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.43 (21 of 26)

The Rays actually have some decent numbers against left-handed pitching, ranking ninth in wOBA and fourth in ISO over the last two seasons. The problem is that this isn’t your average left-handed pitcher. David Price boasts an elite strikeout rate and he is tough on both left and right-handed hitters. The Rays are best suited as GPP plays here.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Logan Forsythe	RIGHT	0.402	0.302	2B	$3,300	2B	$3,400
2	Brandon Guyer	RIGHT	0.378	0.188	OF	$2,400	OF	$2,900
3	Evan Longoria	RIGHT	0.376	0.203	3B	$3,000	3B	$3,800
4	Steve Pearce	RIGHT	0.265	0.151	OF	$2,100	1B/OF	$2,700
5	Desmond Jennings	RIGHT	0.292	0.051	OF	$2,600	OF	$2,800
6	Steve Souza	RIGHT	0.334	0.198	OF	$2,900	OF	$3,300
7	Tim Beckham	RIGHT	0.299	0.209	SS	$2,200	2B/SS	$2,500
8	Kevin Kiermaier	LEFT	0.267	0.105	OF	$2,400	OF	$2,500
9	Curt Casali	RIGHT	0.269	0.220	C	$2,000	C	$2,600
	Team Averages	—	0.320	0.181	—	$2,544	—	$2,944

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Logan Forsythe, Evan Longoria

Stackability – NONE

Boston

Red Sox Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.319 (9 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.150 (13 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.71 (8 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.07 (15 of 26)

The Red Sox are playing at home and there is always the potential for a lot of runs to be scored in Fenway. However, their matchup is less than appealing, as Jake Odorizzi is an above-average pitcher with a high-strikeout rate. The right-handed bats have the edge in this matchup, as Odorizzi has allowed a .324 wOBA to hitters from that side of the plate.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Mookie Betts	RIGHT	0.343	0.187	OF	$3,900	OF	$4,700
2	Dustin Pedroia	RIGHT	0.337	0.121	2B	$2,800	2B	$3,700
3	Xander Bogaerts	RIGHT	0.317	0.104	SS	$3,900	SS	$3,600
4	David Ortiz	LEFT	0.419	0.330	1B	$3,800	1B	$4,600
5	Hanley Ramirez	RIGHT	0.310	0.164	1B	$2,900	1B	$3,900
6	Travis Shaw	LEFT	0.345	0.183	3B	$2,900	3B	$3,200
7	Brock Holt	LEFT	0.318	0.112	OF	$2,800	OF	$3,600
8	Christian Vazquez	RIGHT	0.303	0.100	C	$2,100	C	$2,900
9	Jackie Bradley	LEFT	0.329	0.234	OF	$2,400	OF	$2,900
	Team Averages	—	0.336	0.171	—	$3,056	—	$3,678

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Mookie Betts, Dustin Pedroia, David Ortiz

Stackability – GPP

Minnesota at Milwaukee – 1:40 PM

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Minnesota					Milwaukee
			Ricky Nolasco					Taylor Jungmann
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			MIL -115					8.5
SP vs. Left	0.306	3	17.5%	9.7%	SP vs. Left	0.318	3	19.3%	11.0%
SP vs. Right	0.367	1	20.2%	4.8%	SP vs. Right	0.328	10	22.0%	7.5%

Pitcher Grind Down

				Salary:$6,000		Salary:$6,600
Ricky Nolasco
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:25.5		FPPG:14.6
				Pitcher Rating:48
Statistics	SIERA	K%	BB%	HH%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2015-16	4.07	18.9%	7.1%	24.0%	44.9%	19	23

Nolasco has better numbers than I originally expected him to have. Since the start of last season, he owns a 4.07 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 18.9%. He’s one of those pitchers that is hard to trust until he can prove that he can string together a few quality starts. While I love the matchup against the Brewers, he has to face them in the hitter-friendly Miller Park. For now, let’s take a wait and see approach with Nolasco.

				Salary:$6,900		Salary:$6,800
Taylor Jungmann
				FanDuel:		DraftKings:
				FPPG:9.0		FPPG:2.7
				Pitcher Rating:54
Statistics	SIERA	K%	BB%	HH%	GB%	O-wOBA	O-K%
2015-16	4.13	20.8%	9.1%	30.3%	47.1%	26	22

Jungmann is making his 25th career start today. In the first 24, he has a 4.13 SIERA and a strikeout rate of 20.8%. He does walk too many batters for my liking, but his numbers have been much better at home. His strikeout rate jumps up to 22%, while his walk rate comes down to 8%. He is an intriguing tournament play in the early-only slate, as the Twins do not hit right-handed pitching well as a team, ranking 26th in wOBA and 22nd in strikeout rate.

Batter Grind Down

Minnesota

Twins Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.299 (26 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.150 (13 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.00 (26 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.16 (12 of 26)

While I like Taylor Jungmann as a sneaky GPP play today, I also like a few of the Twins’ hitters against him. Since the start of last season, Jungmann has allowed a .328 wOBA and ten home runs to right-handed hitters. The Twins come in with the 12th highest team total of the 26 teams in action today.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Eduardo Nunez	RIGHT	0.377	0.127	SS	$2,900	3B/SS	$3,500
2	Brian Dozier	RIGHT	0.315	0.200	2B	$2,900	2B	$4,200
3	Joe Mauer	LEFT	0.318	0.113	1B	$3,100	1B	$3,700
4	Miguel Sano	RIGHT	0.379	0.241	OF	$3,100	OF	$4,200
5	Oswaldo Arcia	LEFT	0.328	0.194	OF	$2,500	OF	$3,600
6	Eduardo Escobar	SWITCH	0.313	0.156	SS	$2,400	SS	$2,800
7	Eddie Rosario	LEFT	0.302	0.188	OF	$2,300	OF	$3,400
8	Kurt Suzuki	RIGHT	0.263	0.081	C	$2,200	C	$2,500
9	Ricky Nolasco	RIGHT	0.000	0.000	P	$6,000	P	$6,600
	Team Averages	—	0.288	0.144	—	$2,675	—	$3,488

Elite Plays – Brian Dozier, Miguel Sano

Secondary Plays – Eduardo Nunez, Oswaldo Arcia

Stackability – GPP

Milwaukee

Brewers Offense
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.307 (19 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.140 (25 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.93 (17 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.34 (7 of 26)

The Brewers’ offense came alive last night, scoring ten runs against Tommy Milone and the Twins. They should be able to keep it going today against Ricky Nolasco, who hasn’t been particularly effective against hitters from either side of the plate. The Brewers have the seventh highest team total on the board at 4.34 runs.

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Domingo Santana	RIGHT	0.296	0.150	OF	$2,600	OF	$3,200
2	Scooter Gennett	LEFT	0.316	0.136	2B	$3,000	2B	$4,100
3	Ryan Braun	RIGHT	0.361	0.211	OF	$4,300	OF	$4,300
4	Jonathan Lucroy	RIGHT	0.332	0.137	C	$2,900	C	$3,700
5	Chris Carter	RIGHT	0.326	0.262	1B	$2,900	1B	$3,500
6	Aaron Hill	RIGHT	0.283	0.130	3B	$2,000	3B	$2,900
7	Ramon Flores	LEFT	0.216	0.020	OF	$2,000	OF	$3,100
8	Taylor Jungmann	RIGHT	0.308	0.037	P	$6,900	P	$6,800
9	Jonathan Villar	SWITCH	0.333	0.077	SS	$2,700	SS	$3,500
	Team Averages	—	0.308	0.129	—	$3,256	—	$3,900

MLB Grind Down: Thursday, April 21st

LA Dodgers at Atlanta – 12:10 PM

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

LA Dodgers

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Chase Utley, Corey Seager, Adrian Gonzalez, Joc Pederson

Secondary Plays – Trayce Thompson, Enrique Hernandez

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Atlanta

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

Seattle at Cleveland – 12:10 PM

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Seattle

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Seth Smith, Robinson Cano, Nelson Cruz, Adam Lind

Secondary Plays – Nori Aoki, Kyle Seager, Chris Iannetta

Stackability – Cash & GPP

Cleveland

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Jason Kipnis

Secondary Plays – Rajai Davis, Francisco Lindor, Carlos Santana

Stackability – GPP

Washington at Miami – 1:10 PM

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Washington

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Bryce Harper, Daniel Murphy

Secondary Plays – Anthony Rendon, Ryan Zimmerman, Michael Taylor

Stackability – NONE

Miami

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – NONE

Stackability – NONE

Tampa Bay at Boston – 1:35 PM

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Tampa Bay

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Logan Forsythe, Evan Longoria

Stackability – NONE

Boston

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – NONE

Secondary Plays – Mookie Betts, Dustin Pedroia, David Ortiz

Stackability – GPP

Minnesota at Milwaukee – 1:40 PM

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Minnesota

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Brian Dozier, Miguel Sano

Secondary Plays – Eduardo Nunez, Oswaldo Arcia

Stackability – GPP

Milwaukee

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Scooter Gennett, Ryan Braun, Jonathan Lucroy

Secondary Plays – Domingo Santana, Chris Carter, Aaron Hill

Stackability – Cash & GPP

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