MLB Grind Down: Saturday, July 23 - Page Two

by Ryan138 Last Updated 2016-07-23 19:54:09

Arizona at Cincinnati – 7:10 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Arizona					Cincinnati
			Robbie Ray					Keyvius Sampson
			LEFT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			ARI -130					9.5
SP vs. Left	0.302	3	25.9%	5.5%	SP vs. Left	0.396	4	18.6%	14.5%
SP vs. Right	0.338	19	23.0%	10.1%	SP vs. Right	0.369	8	16.5%	10.1%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Robbie Ray
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$7,800	Salary:		$8,300
					FPPG:		30.7	FPPG:		15.6
					Pitcher Rating:		64.4	Pitcher Rank:		14
L30 Days	5	99.6	3.28	4.60	28.7%	7.0%	12.1%	44.3%	32.9%	31.7%
2016	19	99.9	3.77	4.49	26.0%	8.9%	10.6%	45.1%	31.2%	34.7%
2015	23	98.1	4.05	3.52	21.8%	9.0%	9.0%	43.3%	34.6%	35.0%

Ray is always a possibility for GPP purposes, as he does sport a solid 26% strikeout rate on the year. He also has a very good SIERA of just 3.77, and he takes those numbers into Great American Ballpark today against a Reds squad that is ranked 24th in wOBA and 12th in ISO against lefties. He has some upside, but at his price, I would rather use pitchers like McHugh and Lackey.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Keyvius Sampson
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$5,300	Salary:		$4,000
					FPPG:		9.6	FPPG:		4.1
					Pitcher Rating:		43.0	Pitcher Rank:		26
L30 Days	0	0.0	4.80	3.86	21.7%	15.2%	12.8%	44.4%	33.3%	28.6%
2016	0	0.0	5.50	5.51	19.5%	17.1%	9.5%	32.7%	46.9%	27.5%
2015	12	87.0	4.91	6.54	16.7%	10.4%	8.6%	39.1%	38.5%	36.6%

Sampson is someone we do not need to spend a whole lot of time discussing. He has one of the highest SIERAs of anyone taking the mound tonight (5.50 SIERA/5.51 ERA). The matchup today is average against the Diamondbacks, who are ranked 15th in ISO and 17th in wOBA against righties. The have a very high projected total, and Sampson can be avoided in all formats.

Batter Grind Down

Arizona

While the Reds offense is in a good position to put up some runs tonight, the Diamondbacks are in a great position. They get a solid matchup against Sampson, who has allowed a .388+ wOBA from both sides of the plate. The D-backs have a projected team total of 4.93, which is the sixth highest of the entire day. The bats are in play from both sides of the plate and are a solid contrarian stack away from the Rockies and Red Sox tonight.

Diamondbacks Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.315 (17 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.160 (15 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 23.2% (26 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.44 (16 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.93 (6 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Jean Segura	RIGHT	0.299	0.098	0.303	2B	$3,100	2B	$4,900
2	Michael Bourn	LEFT	0.279	0.072	0.284	OF	$2,800	OF	$4,300
3	Paul Goldschmidt	RIGHT	0.394	0.234	0.337	1B	$4,400	1B	$4,800
4	Jake Lamb	LEFT	0.373	0.227	0.382	3B	$3,100	3B	$5,400
5	Welington Castillo	RIGHT	0.293	0.165	0.084	C	$2,900	C	$2,900
6	Brandon Drury	RIGHT	0.318	0.173	0.235	OF	$2,100	3B/OF	$4,800
7	Yasmany Tomas	RIGHT	0.286	0.119	0.217	OF	$2,500	OF	$2,800
8	Nick Ahmed	RIGHT	0.245	0.103	0.145	SS	$2,600	SS	$2,100
9	Robbie Ray	LEFT	0.175	0.109	0.310	P	$7,800	P	$8,300
	Team Averages	—	0.296	0.144	0.255	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Paul Goldschmidt, Jake Lamb, Jean Segura

Secondary Plays – Michael Bourn, Wellington Castillo, Yasmany Tomas

Stackability – GREEN

Cincinnati

The Reds in Great American can put up some crooked totals at times, and today could be another game where you can stack up both sides of the ball. Ray is a decent strikeout pitcher but has been hit hard against righties (.356 wOBA allowed) on the year. The Reds have a projected team total of 4.57, which is the 11th highest on the day.

Reds Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.310 (24 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.167 (12 of 30)
Team K% vs. LHP — 22.7% (19 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.22 (20 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.57 (12 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Zack Cozart	RIGHT	0.364	0.264	0.234	SS	$3,700	SS	$3,900
2	Billy Hamilton	SWITCH	0.286	0.136	0.276	OF	$3,200	OF	$3,400
3	Joey Votto	LEFT	0.397	0.198	0.492	1B	$4,000	1B	$3,400
4	Jay Bruce	LEFT	0.294	0.167	0.288	OF	$3,800	OF	$3,600
5	Adam Duvall	RIGHT	0.321	0.212	0.277	OF	$3,600	OF	$3,300
6	Brandon Phillips	RIGHT	0.319	0.102	0.326	2B	$2,700	2B	$2,900
7	Eugenio Suarez	RIGHT	0.378	0.232	0.320	3B	$3,500	3B	$4,300
8	Ramon Cabrera	SWITCH	0.358	0.067	0.379	C	$2,000	C	$2,400
9	Keyvius Sampson	RIGHT	0.000	0.000	0.000	P	$5,300	P	$4,000
	Team Averages	—	0.302	0.153	0.288	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Zack Cozart, Adam Duvall, Billy Hamilton

Secondary Plays – Joey Votto, Brandon Phillips, Jay Bruce

Stackability – YELLOW

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee – 7:10 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Chicago Cubs					Milwaukee
			John Lackey					Zach Davies
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			CHC -160					8.5
SP vs. Left	0.314	15	16.8%	9.0%	SP vs. Left	0.315	7	19.0%	8.5%
SP vs. Right	0.276	21	25.8%	4.5%	SP vs. Right	0.289	7	19.4%	6.6%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
John Lackey
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$8,800	Salary:		$10,600
					FPPG:		36.1	FPPG:		19.7
					Pitcher Rating:		70.6	Pitcher Rank:		10
L30 Days	5	105.4	4.39	6.75	22.8%	10.3%	10.3%	37.9%	37.9%	38.9%
2016	19	100.1	3.74	3.75	25.6%	7.6%	11.6%	39.0%	38.4%	34.2%
2015	33	94.8	3.90	2.77	19.5%	5.9%	9.4%	46.0%	33.3%	30.1%

Lackey sports a solid 3.94 SIERA on the season to go along with his above-average 25.6% strikeout rate. He has struggled a bit lately, as he has allowed four or more runs in four of his last five starts, including six home runs during that span. His matchup is solid today against a Brewers squad that is ranked 23rd in both wOBA and ISO against righties. Lackey has had success against Milwaukee, as he has kept this Brewers squad to a ERA under 3.00 over his last seven starts against them. At his price at FD, he makes one of the better mid-level pitchers.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Zach Davies
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$7,100	Salary:		$6,800
					FPPG:		28.8	FPPG:		14.8
					Pitcher Rating:		54.6	Pitcher Rank:		18
L30 Days	4	95.8	3.78	4.30	20.4%	4.1%	7.1%	48.6%	33.3%	30.1%
2016	16	92.4	4.08	3.79	20.0%	6.3%	7.8%	47.6%	31.7%	32.9%
2015	6	89.8	4.34	3.71	17.3%	10.8%	10.0%	57.6%	21.2%	32.0%

Davies has had a decent season so far for the Brewers. After 16 starts, he has a 3.76 ERA (4.08 SIERA) and a 20.0% strikeout rate. The problem today for Davies is the matchup against the Cubs, as he is a big underdog against an offense that is ranked third in the league in runs per game. Avoid him tonight.

Batter Grind Down

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs offense is in the blue tonight for team totals, as they sit at 4.60, which is the tenth highest of the entire slate. They get a decent matchup against Davies today, who should be attacked from the left side of the plate, as he has allowed a .347 wOBA (.274 to righties) on the year. The Cubs are a contrarian stack tonight, as they can always put up runs via the long ball.

Cubs Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.330 (8 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.172 (11 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 23.0% (25 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 5.13 (3 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.60 (11 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Dexter Fowler	SWITCH	0.337	0.175		OF	$3,300	OF	$4,600
2	Kris Bryant	RIGHT	0.379	0.227	0.390	3B	$3,900	3B/OF	$4,800
3	Anthony Rizzo	LEFT	0.406	0.281	0.541	1B	$4,100	1B	$5,600
4	Ben Zobrist	SWITCH	0.339	0.175	0.171	2B	$3,600	2B	$4,100
5	Willson Contreras	RIGHT	0.393	0.254	0.287	C	$3,200	C/OF	$3,900
6	Jason Heyward	LEFT	0.335	0.137	0.254	OF	$2,900	OF	$3,200
7	Addison Russell	RIGHT	0.325	0.152	0.329	SS	$2,800	SS	$3,500
8	Miguel Montero	LEFT	0.317	0.156	0.320	C	$2,400	C	$3,200
9	John Lackey	RIGHT	0.131	0.027	0.000	P	$8,800	P	$10,600
	Team Averages	—	0.329	0.176	0.287	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Dexter Folwer, Anthony Rizzo, Ben Zobrist

Secondary Plays – Kris Bryant, Jason Heyward

Stackability – YELLOW

Milwaukee

Lackey has kept batters from both sides of the plate to a wOBA under .291 on the season. This Brewers squad has a total under four runs (3.90) and are in the bottom third of the league in terms of team totals. The Brewers are an easy avoid against Lackey today.

Brewers Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.306 (23 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.143 (23 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 26.2% (30 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 3.97 (27 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.90 (22 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Jonathan Villar	SWITCH	0.332	0.108	0.401	SS	$3,400	SS	$4,200
2	Scooter Gennett	LEFT	0.304	0.129	0.237	2B	$2,700	2B	$3,000
3	Ryan Braun	RIGHT	0.354	0.199	0.281	OF	$3,500	OF	$3,300
4	Jonathan Lucroy	RIGHT	0.351	0.162	0.395	C	$3,200	C	$4,400
5	Chris Carter	RIGHT	0.325	0.247	0.355	1B	$3,000	1B	$3,300
6	Kirk Nieuwenhuis	LEFT	0.297	0.168	0.152	OF	$2,600	OF	$2,900
7	Hernan Perez	RIGHT	0.254	0.046	0.369	3B	$2,400	3B/OF	$2,900
8	Ramon Flores	LEFT	0.253	0.063	0.170	OF	$2,400	OF	$2,600
9	Zach Davies	RIGHT	0.040	0.000	0.000	P	$7,100	P	$6,800
	Team Averages	—	0.279	0.125	0.262	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Ryan Braun

Stackability – RED

Detroit at Chicago White Sox – 7:10 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Detroit					Chicago White Sox
			Matt Boyd					Chris Sale
			LEFT					LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			CWS -180					8.5
SP vs. Left	0.416	6	13.9%	5.9%	SP vs. Left	0.274	4	32.9%	5.0%
SP vs. Right	0.359	16	19.5%	8.7%	SP vs. Right	0.281	36	28.5%	5.2%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Matt Boyd
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$6,200	Salary:		$6,000
					FPPG:		21.1	FPPG:		10.8
					Pitcher Rating:		48.1	Pitcher Rank:		22
L30 Days	2	93.5	3.16	0.82	30.2%	7.0%	8.0%	38.5%	34.6%	34.6%
2016	7	97.1	4.43	4.91	19.8%	8.1%	8.1%	40.0%	38.3%	31.7%
2015	12	83.6	4.83	7.53	17.1%	7.9%	8.2%	31.9%	51.9%	34.0%

Boyd comes into this game with a 4.91 ERA (4.42 SIERA) and a decent 19.8% strikeout rate. He gets a decent matchup against the White Sox tonight, but they have a very high total, and he is not someone that should be on anyone’s radar tonight.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Chris Sale
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$10,900	Salary:		$12,300
					FPPG:		42.8	FPPG:		23.4
					Pitcher Rating:		85.4	Pitcher Rank:		4
L30 Days	4	98.0	3.78	4.50	24.3%	7.2%	14.0%	47.9%	38.0%	37.0%
2016	19	106.1	3.61	3.18	24.5%	5.5%	10.6%	41.1%	37.2%	30.6%
2015	31	107.2	2.52	3.41	32.1%	4.9%	14.6%	42.6%	35.3%	25.1%

Sale was happy to get the break over, as I am sure he wanted to bounce back from that eight-earned-run game to the Braves right before the All-Star Game. He bounced back in a big way, as he went eight innings of unearned run ball just to see his bullpen give it away in the ninth. Sale will now bring his 3.60 SIERA and solid 24.5% strikeout rate into an average matchup against the Tigers today, who rank 16th in both wOBA and ISO. There are a lot of studs going tonight, which might make Sale a bit under owned in comparison to Scherzer and JoFer.

Batter Grind Down

Detroit

When the Tigers have a team total fewer than 4.00 runs you know they are facing a tough pitcher. The Tigers have the sixth-lowest total of the entire day, as they have to face Sale, who has kept batters to a wOBA under .275 from both sides of the plate. For all you BvPers, Victor Martinez is 18-for-36 with four home runs against Sale. Him and Miggy should be deep GPP plays only.

Tigers Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.319 (16 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.162 (16 of 30)
Team K% vs. LHP — 21.5% (16 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.63 (13 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.79 (26 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Ian Kinsler	RIGHT	0.368	0.186	0.425	2B	$3,300	2B	$4,400
2	Cameron Maybin	RIGHT	0.351	0.121	0.233	OF	$2,600	OF	$3,400
3	Miguel Cabrera	RIGHT	0.351	0.162	0.307	1B	$3,100	1B	$2,700
4	Victor Martinez	SWITCH	0.368	0.158	0.163	C	$2,700	1B	$2,700
5	Nick Castellanos	RIGHT	0.363	0.226	0.217	3B	$2,800	3B	$2,800
6	Justin Upton	RIGHT	0.275	0.137	0.301	OF	$2,600	OF	$3,000
7	Mike Aviles	RIGHT	0.267	0.081	0.227	2B	$2,100	3B/OF	$2,200
8	James McCann	RIGHT	0.367	0.234	0.106	C	$2,200	C	$3,200
9	Jose Iglesias	RIGHT	0.348	0.122	0.305	SS	$2,500	SS	$2,300
	Team Averages	—	0.340	0.159	0.254	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Victor Martinez, Miguel Cabrera

Stackability – RED

Chicago White Sox

When taking batters against Boyd, you want to look at the right side of the plate. Against righties, Boyd has allowed a .327 wOBA this year while keeping lefties under .250. The White Sox are rarely a stackable offense, which is why you should take advantage of any cheap righties hitting high up in the order tonight as they do have the ninth-highest team total on the day.

White Sox Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.324 (14 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.160 (20 of 30)
Team K% vs. LHP — 22.8% (20 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.04 (25 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.71 (9 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Adam Eaton	LEFT	0.313	0.069	0.361	OF	$3,400	OF	$4,100
2	Tim Anderson	RIGHT	0.374	0.241	0.263	SS	$3,000	SS	$3,900
3	Jose Abreu	RIGHT	0.281	0.123	0.331	1B	$3,400	1B	$3,100
4	Melky Cabrera	SWITCH	0.295	0.126	0.391	OF	$3,000	OF	$4,700
5	Todd Frazier	RIGHT	0.381	0.359	0.388	3B	$3,900	3B	$4,800
6	Dioner Navarro	SWITCH	0.324	0.223	0.091	C	$2,200	C	$2,700
7	Avisail Garcia	RIGHT	0.309	0.103	0.255	OF	$2,800	OF	$2,700
8	Tyler Saladino	RIGHT	0.270	0.109	0.479	SS	$2,500	3B/SS	$3,300
9	J.B. Shuck	LEFT	0.367	0.132	0.261	OF	$2,100	OF	$2,900
	Team Averages	—	0.324	0.165	0.313	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – Jose Abreu, Todd Frazier

Secondary Plays – Tim Anderson, Melky Cabrera

Stackability – YELLOW

LA Angels at Houston – 7:10 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
LA Angels					Houston
			Jered Weaver					Collin McHugh
			RIGHT					RIGHT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			HOU -185					9.0
SP vs. Left	0.339	22	13.1%	6.2%	SP vs. Left	0.311	15	20.8%	7.3%
SP vs. Right	0.341	23	13.4%	4.7%	SP vs. Right	0.329	17	20.7%	5.9%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Jered Weaver
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$6,700	Salary:		$6,200
					FPPG:		23.3	FPPG:		10.3
					Pitcher Rating:		28.6	Pitcher Rank:		29
L30 Days	4	92.3	5.54	4.70	13.3%	7.1%	9.5%	29.9%	50.6%	25.6%
2016	18	93.0	5.40	5.02	13.0%	6.1%	8.5%	30.2%	48.0%	33.5%
2015	26	94.2	4.88	4.64	13.5%	4.9%	8.3%	34.4%	46.5%	30.2%

July has been a decent month so far for Weaver. He has only made two starts in the month but has come away, only giving up two earned runs in thirteen innings pitched. Yet, Weaver at this point in his career has virtually no upside, as he brings his 13% strikeout rate into this matchup with the Astros. Houston is a boom or bust play, but with Weaver’s low strikeout rate, the boom is not exactly too large. Don’t play Weaver.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Collin McHugh
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$7,600	Salary:		$7,100
					FPPG:		29.2	FPPG:		14.7
					Pitcher Rating:		67.9	Pitcher Rank:		13
L30 Days	4	95.8	4.49	2.66	25.0%	13.0%	12.0%	43.3%	38.3%	31.2%
2016	19	97.4	4.04	4.25	22.2%	7.3%	11.1%	44.0%	37.5%	28.4%
2015	32	101.3	3.91	3.89	19.9%	6.2%	10.3%	45.4%	34.6%	25.1%

McHugh comes into this game with a 4.04 SIERA and a 22.2% strikeout rate. The matchup against the Angels is decent as they are a middle-of-the-league offense. The one concern is their low strikeout rate against righties, but since McHugh is not getting a premium price tag, he looks like a decent mid-level choice to pair up with one of the studs going tonight.

Batter Grind Down

LA Angels

The Angels come into this game as large underdogs against McHugh and with a projected team total of just 4.01, which is the tenth lowest of the day. There are a number of great offenses to target on the night slate, so the Angels should be mostly avoided, other than Trout, of course.

Angels Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.316 (16 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.142 (24 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 15.3% (1 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.66 (11 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.01 (21 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Yunel Escobar	RIGHT	0.337	0.091	0.251	3B	$3,100	3B	$2,800
2	Kole Calhoun	LEFT	0.332	0.162	0.378	OF	$3,500	OF	$3,400
3	Mike Trout	RIGHT	0.416	0.282	0.389	OF	$4,400	OF	$5,000
4	Albert Pujols	RIGHT	0.333	0.209	0.442	1B	$3,500	1B	$3,800
5	Daniel Nava	SWITCH	0.269	0.063	0.313	OF	$2,100	OF	$2,500
6	Andrelton Simmons	RIGHT	0.291	0.078	0.362	SS	$2,100	SS	$2,500
7	Ji-Man Choi	LEFT	0.276	0.125	0.327	1B	$2,400	1B/OF	$2,800
8	Jett Bandy	RIGHT	0.256	0.082	0.292	C	$2,500	C	$2,600
9	Gregorio Petit	RIGHT	0.320	0.134	0.323	SS	$2,000	2B/SS	$2,600
	Team Averages	—	0.314	0.136	0.342	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Mike Trout

Stackability – RED

Houston

While Weaver was pitching decent recently, Vegas has no faith in him to continue that against a strong Houston offense. The Astros come in with a projected team total of 4.99, which is the fourth highest of the entire day. Weaver is attackable from both sides of the plate, as he has allowed a .351+ wOBA to both lefties and righties.

Astros Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.322 (10 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.173 (10 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 24.0% (27 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.53 (15 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 4.99 (4 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	George Springer	RIGHT	0.336	0.171	0.265	OF	$4,000	OF	$4,200
2	Marwin Gonzalez	SWITCH	0.301	0.141	0.348	1B	$3,200	1B/3B	$3,800
3	Jose Altuve	RIGHT	0.351	0.159	0.486	2B	$3,900	2B	$5,500
4	Carlos Correa	RIGHT	0.370	0.226	0.389	SS	$3,700	SS	$5,200
5	Luis Valbuena	LEFT	0.351	0.229	0.321	3B	$3,100	3B	$4,000
6	Colby Rasmus	LEFT	0.323	0.207	0.000	OF	$2,900	OF	$3,700
7	Carlos Gomez	RIGHT	0.300	0.145	0.140	OF	$3,100	OF	$2,700
8	Preston Tucker	LEFT	0.327	0.228		OF	$2,000	OF	$2,900
9	Jason Castro	LEFT	0.327	0.197	0.319	C	$2,400	C	$3,300
	Team Averages	—	0.332	0.189	0.284	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – George Springer, Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa

Secondary Plays – Marwin Gonzalez, Luis Valbuena, Colby Rasmus

Stackability – GREEN

Minnesota at Boston – 7:10 PM ET

Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%	Stats	wOBA	HR All.	K%	BB%
Minnesota					Boston
			Ricky Nolasco					David Price
			RIGHT					LEFT
			Vegas Moneyline					Vegas Over/Under
			BOS -280					9.5
SP vs. Left	0.314	7	17.9%	6.6%	SP vs. Left	0.296	8	20.7%	3.3%
SP vs. Right	0.369	12	18.5%	5.3%	SP vs. Right	0.284	25	27.2%	5.9%

Pitcher Grind Down

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
Ricky Nolasco
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$5,800	Salary:		$4,300
					FPPG:		23.9	FPPG:		11.7
					Pitcher Rating:		31.4	Pitcher Rank:		28
L30 Days	5	102.0	5.96	5.34	9.4%	8.6%	6.3%	39.2%	43.1%	40.0%
2016	19	98.5	4.39	5.02	17.6%	5.2%	9.0%	42.4%	39.4%	34.6%
2015	8	83.1	4.10	6.75	20.2%	8.1%	9.3%	40.7%	31.7%	26.0%

Nolasco surprised a lot when he shut down the Detroit offense, as he allowed just one earned run in six innings. He will have to have similar luck again today as he has to face arguably the best offense in baseball. He is an easy avoid today.

Statistics	Starts	PitchPS	SIERA	ERA	K%	BB%	SS%	GB%	FB%	HH%
David Price
					FanDuel			DraftKings
					Salary:		$10,100	Salary:		$11,100
					FPPG:		36.6	FPPG:		19.3
					Pitcher Rating:		87.4	Pitcher Rank:		3
L30 Days	5	98.0	3.30	4.75	23.4%	2.9%	12.0%	41.4%	23.2%	42.4%
2016	20	104.0	3.35	4.36	25.8%	5.1%	12.6%	43.3%	30.3%	35.7%
2015	32	105.9	3.27	2.45	25.3%	5.3%	11.9%	40.4%	36.4%	28.2%

Price has been a bit inconsistent this year, posting a 4.36 ERA after 20 starts this season. His SIERA is a full run lower (3.35) than his current ERA, which means he has been unlucky so far this year and some improvements should be made over the second half. His strikeouts make him a solid option each time he takes the mound, as his rate sits at 25.8%. His matchup against the Twins is slightly tough as they are fourth in ISO and 12th in wOBA against lefties. Again, Scherzer and JoFer look like better stud options putting Price in play for tournaments.

Batter Grind Down

Minnesota

While Price has allowed a .315 wOBA to lefties and .313 to righties, it is very difficult to use the Minnesota offense against him today, as they come into this game with a projected total of 3.72, which is the fourth-lowest total of the slate. They are an easy fade tonight.

Twins Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. LHP — 0.327 (12 of 30)
Team ISO vs. LHP — 0.188 (4 of 30)
Team K% vs. LHP — 23.0% (21 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 4.37 (18 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 3.72 (27 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. LHP	ISO vs. LHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Eduardo Nunez	RIGHT	0.334	0.221	0.194	SS	$2,800	3B/SS	$4,600
2	Joe Mauer	LEFT	0.296	0.111	0.271	1B	$2,400	1B	$2,800
3	Miguel Sano	RIGHT	0.398	0.261	0.295	OF	$2,700	3B/OF	$3,200
4	Brian Dozier	RIGHT	0.360	0.251	0.265	2B	$3,400	2B	$4,500
5	Max Kepler	LEFT	0.313	0.190	0.319	OF	$3,100	OF	$3,200
6	Kennys Vargas	SWITCH	0.435	0.194	0.422	1B	$2,900	1B	$3,000
7	Robbie Grossman	SWITCH	0.374	0.163	0.305	OF	$3,200	OF	$3,300
8	Kurt Suzuki	RIGHT	0.309	0.117	0.285	C	$2,200	C	$3,100
9	Byron Buxton	RIGHT	0.193	0.097	0.135	OF	$2,400	OF	$2,300
	Team Averages	—	0.335	0.178	0.277	—	—	—	—

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Miguel Sano, Brian Dozier

Stackability – RED

Boston

What are the odds that this Boston offense gets shut down two nights in a row? Highly unlikely, as they get a solid matchup against Nolasco and come into the game with a projected total of 5.78, which is the second-highest total behind the Rockies in Coors. Nolasco has allowed a .313 to lefties on the year and a .356 to righties, putting the entire offense in play today.

Red Sox Offense (2016)
Team wOBA vs. RHP — 0.359 (1 of 30)
Team ISO vs. RHP — 0.195 (3 of 30)
Team K% vs. RHP — 18.0% (3 of 30)
Runs Per Game — 5.69 (1 of 30)
Projected Run Total — 5.78 (2 of 30)

Projected Lineup

#	Player	Bats	wOBA vs. RHP	ISO vs. RHP	wOBA L14	FD Position	FD Salary	DK Position	DK Salary
1	Brock Holt	LEFT	0.318	0.122	0.448	OF	$3,200	OF	$3,900
2	Dustin Pedroia	RIGHT	0.352	0.144	0.379	2B	$3,600	2B	$4,300
3	Xander Bogaerts	RIGHT	0.338	0.118	0.288	SS	$3,700	SS	$4,400
4	David Ortiz	LEFT	0.439	0.350	0.418	1B	$4,400	1B	$5,600
5	Hanley Ramirez	RIGHT	0.320	0.157	0.372	1B	$2,800	1B	$4,200
6	Jackie Bradley Jr.	LEFT	0.381	0.284	0.359	OF	$3,600	OF	$5,100
7	Travis Shaw	LEFT	0.342	0.195	0.252	3B	$3,400	1B/3B	$4,700
8	Sandy Leon	SWITCH	0.316	0.099	0.449	C	$3,000	C	$3,000
9	Michael Martinez	SWITCH	0.289	0.119	0.000	SS	$2,000	2B/OF	$2,600
	Team Averages	—	0.344	0.176	0.329	—	—	—	—

MLB Grind Down: Saturday, July 23 - Page Two

Arizona at Cincinnati – 7:10 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Arizona

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Paul Goldschmidt, Jake Lamb, Jean Segura

Secondary Plays – Michael Bourn, Wellington Castillo, Yasmany Tomas

Stackability – GREEN

Cincinnati

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Zack Cozart, Adam Duvall, Billy Hamilton

Secondary Plays – Joey Votto, Brandon Phillips, Jay Bruce

Stackability – YELLOW

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee – 7:10 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Chicago Cubs

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Dexter Folwer, Anthony Rizzo, Ben Zobrist

Secondary Plays – Kris Bryant, Jason Heyward

Stackability – YELLOW

Milwaukee

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Ryan Braun

Stackability – RED

Detroit at Chicago White Sox – 7:10 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Detroit

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Victor Martinez, Miguel Cabrera

Stackability – RED

Chicago White Sox

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Jose Abreu, Todd Frazier

Secondary Plays – Tim Anderson, Melky Cabrera

Stackability – YELLOW

LA Angels at Houston – 7:10 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

LA Angels

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Mike Trout

Stackability – RED

Houston

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – George Springer, Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa

Secondary Plays – Marwin Gonzalez, Luis Valbuena, Colby Rasmus

Stackability – GREEN

Minnesota at Boston – 7:10 PM ET

Pitcher Grind Down

Batter Grind Down

Minnesota

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Miguel Sano, Brian Dozier

Stackability – RED

Boston

Projected Lineup

Elite Plays – Mookie Betts (check if playing), Dustin Pedroia, Xander Bogaerts, David Ortiz

Secondary Plays – Hanley Ramirez, Jackie Bradley, Brock Holt

Stackability – GREEN

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