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MLB Grind Down: Sunday, September 25th - Page Three

by Andrew Cook (louiescards) Last Updated 2016-09-25 14:54:38

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LA Angels at Houston – 2:10 PM ET

LA Angels Houston
Article Image Daniel Wright Article Image Joe Musgrove
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
HOU -180 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.405 2 44.4% 9.5% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.364 4 38.2% 20.2%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.444 3 39.3% 8.7% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.301 5 31.9% 23.9%

Pitcher Grind Down

Daniel Wright
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,600 Salary: $4,000
FPPG: 7.1 FPPG: 1.1
Pitcher Rating: 23.8 Pitcher Rank: 30
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 2 82.0 5.74 6.30 11.4% 9.1% 5.5% 37.5% 40.6% 39.4%
2016 5 96.2 5.43 7.48 9.1% 4.6% 5.8% 37.0% 38.0% 41.8%

Daniel Wright: This is not a guy we want on our teams today. Since being claimed by the Angels off of waivers, he has allowed 12 runs in just under 15 innings.

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 6.35 — K%: 9.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.375
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 8.27 — K%: 8.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.459

Joe Musgrove
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,200 Salary: $7,100
FPPG: 27.3 FPPG: 14.1
Pitcher Rating: 66.6 Pitcher Rank: 12
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 89.0 4.36 5.19 20.9% 8.7% 9.7% 42.3% 33.3% 34.6%
2016 9 97.9 3.95 4.42 22.3% 7.0% 10.0% 44.0% 35.2% 34.6%

Joe Musgrove: I am not a huge fan of pitching guys against the Angels because of the way they limit strikeouts. With that said, Musgrove has improved over each of his starts and looked really solid against the A’s. On this slate specifically, I do not hate the idea of having Musgrove shares.

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 1.86 — K%: 28.7% — wOBA Allowed: 0.238
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 7.27 — K%: 15.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.419

Batter Grind Down

LA Angels

Angels: It is pretty much Mike Trout that we want to look at from this lineup as everyone else has been inconsistent or just not producing at all.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Yunel Escobar RIGHT 0.318 0.064 27.0% 0.275 3B $2,800 3B $3,100
2 Kole Calhoun LEFT 0.327 0.158 35.4% 0.277 OF $3,400 OF $3,200
3 Mike Trout RIGHT 0.424 0.251 41.6% 0.345 OF $4,600 OF $5,500
4 Albert Pujols RIGHT 0.318 0.168 35.0% 0.216 1B $3,200 1B $4,000
5 C.J. Cron RIGHT 0.357 0.206 33.8% 0.241 1B $2,600 1B $3,600
6 Andrelton Simmons RIGHT 0.294 0.077 25.2% 0.391 SS $2,800 SS $3,400
7 Nick Buss RIGHT 0.310 0.193 29.2% 0.272 OF $2,200 OF $2,500
8 Carlos Perez RIGHT 0.251 0.121 23.9% 0.215 C $2,100 C $2,200
9 Cliff Pennington SWITCH 0.281 0.126 27.4% 0.238 SS $2,000 2B/SS $2,400
Team Averages — 0.320 0.152 30.9% 0.274 — — — —

Elite Plays – Mike Trout

Secondary Plays – C.J. Cron , Kole Calhoun

Stackability – Red

Houston

Astros: Whenever a pitcher is pitching as bad as Wright, you have to take notice of the offense facing him. The Astros are a high-upside group to begin with and it would be foolish not to have some exposure here if you are playing in tournaments.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 George Springer RIGHT 0.328 0.169 31.6% 0.267 OF $3,800 OF $4,000
2 Yuli Gurriel RIGHT 0.335 0.159 29.1% 0.290 3B $3,000 1B/3B $2,900
3 Jose Altuve RIGHT 0.396 0.206 32.7% 0.277 2B $3,700 2B $5,300
4 Carlos Correa RIGHT 0.361 0.195 35.7% 0.338 SS $3,600 SS $4,800
5 Evan Gattis RIGHT 0.331 0.259 34.1% 0.441 C $3,000 C $4,200
6 Marwin Gonzalez SWITCH 0.288 0.140 35.1% 0.208 1B $2,800 1B $3,600
7 Tony Kemp LEFT 0.306 0.115 33.9% 0.427 OF $2,100 OF $3,200
8 Jason Castro LEFT 0.338 0.210 39.4% 0.186 C $2,500 C $3,000
9 Teoscar Hernandez RIGHT 0.286 0.188 20.0% 0.280 OF $2,400 OF $2,800
Team Averages — 0.330 0.182 32.4% 0.302 — — — —

Elite Plays – Carlos Correa , Evan Gattis

Secondary Plays – Jose Altuve , George Springer

Stackability – Yellow

Seattle at Minnesota – 2:10 PM ET

Seattle Minnesota
Article Image Taijuan Walker Article Image Hector Santiago
RIGHT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
SEA -127 9.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.301 15 30.0% 22.4% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.349 7 31.7% 18.6%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.341 10 28.2% 19.5% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.332 23 38.2% 18.7%

Pitcher Grind Down

Taijuan Walker
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,400 Salary: $9,500
FPPG: 25.7 FPPG: 13.6
Pitcher Rating: 64.1 Pitcher Rank: 14
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 93.4 4.19 4.88 19.0% 5.0% 12.2% 44.8% 40.2% 32.2%
2016 23 91.4 4.04 4.32 20.8% 5.7% 10.1% 44.2% 38.3% 29.0%
2015 29 90.7 3.69 4.56 22.2% 5.7% 10.0% 38.6% 39.0% 30.2%

Taijuan Walker: The new delivery has looked pretty good for Walker so far, and this Twins team is a group I do not mind picking on a bit. There is risk with Walker given the fact he has never fully lived up to the hype, but this slate is full of risk and the upside is pretty decent here as well.

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.45 — K%: 24.1% — wOBA Allowed: 0.314
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.47 — K%: 19.1% — wOBA Allowed: 0.319

Hector Santiago
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,600 Salary: $6,100
FPPG: 25.5 FPPG: 12.2
Pitcher Rating: 39.8 Pitcher Rank: 26
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 97.4 6.35 3.94 11.6% 10.1% 5.3% 26.0% 56.0% 42.6%
2016 31 95.7 5.04 4.82 18.6% 10.2% 8.5% 34.5% 50.0% 36.9%
2015 32 98.8 4.50 3.59 20.9% 9.2% 8.5% 29.9% 53.6% 33.6%

Hector Santiago: Just when we thought he might be putting it together, Santiago goes out and allows six runs to the Tigers. The Mariners are a lefty heavy team but they have the ability to plug in a couple capable right-handed bats. Not only that, but the couple of lefties in the heart of the order can also hit lefties creating some under owned talent.

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.20 — K%: 21.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.316
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 4.16 — K%: 18.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.332

Batter Grind Down

Seattle

Mariners: I basically just gave you my thoughts on the Mariners in the Santiago blurb but they make for one of the better team stacks that should not be too highly owned.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Guillermo Heredia SWITCH 0.280 0.082 20.8% 0.343 OF $2,700 OF $2,900
2 Franklin Gutierrez RIGHT 0.391 0.244 52.1% 0.328 OF $2,900 OF $3,900
3 Robinson Cano LEFT 0.336 0.188 30.7% 0.216 2B $3,800 2B $4,300
4 Nelson Cruz RIGHT 0.394 0.301 37.5% 0.357 OF $4,000 OF $5,100
5 Kyle Seager LEFT 0.325 0.212 35.8% 0.281 3B $3,900 3B $3,800
6 Dae-ho Lee RIGHT 0.340 0.192 29.0% 0.315 1B $2,700 1B $3,800
7 Leonys Martin LEFT 0.296 0.131 29.3% 0.324 OF $2,900 OF $3,800
8 Chris Iannetta RIGHT 0.330 0.129 34.1% 0.124 C $2,400 C $2,800
9 Shawn O’Malley SWITCH 0.285 0.099 19.7% 0.300 OF $2,100 OF/SS $2,900
Team Averages — 0.331 0.175 32.1% 0.288 — — — —

Elite Plays – Nelson Cruz

Secondary Plays – Franklin Gutierrez , Kyle Seager , Dae-ho Lee

Stackability – Yellow

Minnesota

Twins: Minnesota has a lot of red in their projected lineup with the main exception being Brian Dozier. This is a big reason why I do not mind Walker on the day and for the most part want nothing to do with the Twins hitters.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Brian Dozier RIGHT 0.372 0.270 33.5% 0.390 2B $3,600 2B $4,700
2 Jorge Polanco RIGHT 0.301 0.104 23.3% 0.302 3B $2,700 3B/SS $3,200
3 Robbie Grossman SWITCH 0.320 0.129 32.3% 0.384 OF $2,800 OF $3,700
4 Miguel Sano RIGHT 0.337 0.228 40.1% 0.283 OF $3,100 3B/OF $4,100
5 Max Kepler LEFT 0.343 0.228 33.3% 0.193 OF $2,600 OF $3,400
6 Eduardo Escobar SWITCH 0.272 0.095 26.2% 0.066 SS $2,000 3B/SS $2,000
7 Juan Centeno LEFT 0.298 0.125 33.3% 0.205 C $2,500 C $2,400
8 Byron Buxton RIGHT 0.295 0.189 23.7% 0.283 OF $3,100 OF $3,300
9 Logan Schafer LEFT 0.294 0.111 19.1% 0.279 OF $2,300 OF $2,400
Team Averages — 0.315 0.164 29.4% 0.265 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Brian Dozier , Miguel Sano

Stackability – Red

Texas at Oakland – 4:05 PM ET

Texas Oakland
Article Image Colby Lewis Article Image Jharel Cotton
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
OAK -106 8.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.283 7 37.7% 14.0% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.118 0 17.7% 20.0%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.293 10 37.0% 18.1% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.265 2 24.3% 14.0%

Pitcher Grind Down

Colby Lewis
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $7,100 Salary: $7,300
FPPG: 28.5 FPPG: 15.2
Pitcher Rating: 52.6 Pitcher Rank: 24
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 1 86.0 4.78 5.06 20.8% 8.3% 11.6% 29.4% 58.8% 47.1%
2016 17 93.9 4.85 3.40 16.2% 6.0% 8.4% 34.8% 47.6% 37.3%
2015 33 96.4 4.43 4.66 16.5% 4.9% 8.2% 33.7% 44.2% 33.3%

Colby Lewis: Even against an A’s team that we have picked on pretty much all season long, I will not start Colby Lewis. I guess what I am saying is never start Colby Lewis.

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 5.09 — K%: 15.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.320
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.35 — K%: 16.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.294

Jharel Cotton
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $5,500 Salary: $5,900
FPPG: 30.0 FPPG: 17.4
Pitcher Rating: 41.4 Pitcher Rank: 25
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 2 102.5 5.88 1.50 10.4% 6.3% 10.2% 30.0% 50.0% 20.0%
2016 3 93.3 4.78 1.50 16.2% 4.4% 11.4% 33.3% 50.0% 22.2%

Jharel Cotton: Cotton has done a tremendous job limiting runs from crossing the plate, but the strikeouts have been pretty hit or miss. This is a very dangerous Rangers team and while I think he will get some run support today, I would not run too many Cotton teams out there and nothing more than a tournament secondary pitcher on multiple pitcher sites.

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 1.46 — K%: 21.4% — wOBA Allowed: 0.170
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 1.59 — K%: 7.7% — wOBA Allowed: 0.277

Batter Grind Down

Texas

Rangers: This is an offense that does not get a ton of love but is more than capable of putting up a big number. The ISO throughout the lineup is indicative of the type of team we have here and although Cotton has been good to this point limiting runs it would not surprise me in the least to see Texas chase him early.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Carlos Gomez RIGHT 0.291 0.158 30.3% 0.390 OF $3,500 OF $3,300
2 Ian Desmond RIGHT 0.332 0.169 30.3% 0.302 OF $3,900 OF $3,500
3 Carlos Beltran SWITCH 0.342 0.207 34.5% 0.339 OF $3,800 OF $3,600
4 Adrian Beltre RIGHT 0.351 0.197 33.2% 0.452 3B $3,200 3B $3,700
5 Rougned Odor LEFT 0.347 0.247 33.8% 0.263 2B $3,700 2B $4,200
6 Jonathan Lucroy RIGHT 0.371 0.193 32.4% 0.278 C $3,200 C $4,400
7 Mitch Moreland LEFT 0.313 0.198 35.8% 0.188 1B $3,100 1B $2,500
8 Nomar Mazara LEFT 0.351 0.195 30.2% 0.381 OF $3,300 OF $3,800
9 Elvis Andrus RIGHT 0.327 0.123 25.9% 0.426 SS $2,800 SS $3,600
Team Averages — 0.336 0.187 31.8% 0.335 — — — —

Elite Plays – Carlos Beltran , Adrian Beltre

Secondary Plays – Ian Desmond , Rougned Odor , Jonathan Lucroy

Stackability – Yellow

Oakland

A’s: Colby Lewis is not a good pitcher but the A’s are not a good lineup either. This brings us to a scenario where I really do not like either.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Joey Wendle LEFT 0.289 0.057 30.4% 0.303 2B $2,400 2B $2,600
2 Stephen Vogt LEFT 0.316 0.157 27.0% 0.302 C $3,000 C $3,500
3 Ryon Healy RIGHT 0.353 0.195 28.0% 0.439 3B $3,400 3B $3,700
4 Danny Valencia RIGHT 0.324 0.145 31.6% 0.311 3B $2,900 3B/OF $3,500
5 Yonder Alonso LEFT 0.307 0.119 34.7% 0.347 1B $2,500 1B $3,100
6 Marcus Semien RIGHT 0.301 0.180 27.4% 0.281 SS $2,900 SS $3,300
7 Bruce Maxwell LEFT 0.349 0.137 43.2% 0.438 C $2,800 C $2,600
8 Brett Eibner RIGHT 0.262 0.163 21.2% 0.318 OF $2,000 OF $3,100
9 Jake Smolinski RIGHT 0.256 0.069 28.6% 0.170 OF $2,400 OF $2,400
Team Averages — 0.306 0.136 30.2% 0.323 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Stephen Vogt , Danny Valencia

Stackability – Red

Colorado at LA Dodgers – 4:10 PM ET

Colorado LA Dodgers
Article Image Tyler Anderson Article Image Brandon McCarthy
LEFT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
LAD -180 8.0
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.257 0 24.3% 21.0% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.331 1 36.7% 25.0%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.331 12 30.5% 22.2% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.233 1 37.3% 27.0%

Pitcher Grind Down

Tyler Anderson
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,500 Salary: $8,800
FPPG: 28.9 FPPG: 15.3
Pitcher Rating: 67.5 Pitcher Rank: 9
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 97.0 3.61 4.20 25.4% 7.1% 13.6% 45.1% 30.5% 29.4%
2016 18 94.1 3.71 3.58 21.9% 5.8% 11.1% 51.1% 28.9% 29.1%

Tyler Anderson: This is a very interesting situation we have today. Anderson has not been good lately keeping runs from crossing the plate but he has been excellent in the strikeout department. Not only that but the Dodgers are a team we can attack with left handed pitching making Anderson even more intriguing.

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.00 — K%: 21.1% — wOBA Allowed: 0.312
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 5.10 — K%: 23.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.316

Brandon McCarthy
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,000 Salary: $6,600
FPPG: 24.6 FPPG: 13.3
Pitcher Rating: 67.3 Pitcher Rank: 11
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
2016 8 74.4 4.91 3.63 26.2% 16.6% 7.6% 35.9% 42.3% 37.0%
2015 4 91.8 2.61 5.87 30.9% 4.3% 11.7% 38.3% 40.0% 47.5%

Brandon McCarthy: I do not want to pitch anyone coming off of the DL after a month with hip issues. You should 100% follow him on Twitter, but avoid him for DFS today.

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 4.82 — K%: 30.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.336
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.98 — K%: 22.5% — wOBA Allowed: 0.269

Batter Grind Down

Colorado

Rockies: It is kind of silly that a team that ranks this high in this many categories and has that much blue in their projected lineup facing a guy coming off the DL would have the lowest projected run total. This is a good opportunity to teach the lesson of not trusting one number but instead look at the entire picture. I love the Rockies bats today and would be a little surprised if they are in fact low owned.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Charlie Blackmon LEFT 0.406 0.277 38.7% 0.492 OF $3,700 OF $3,900
2 DJ LeMahieu RIGHT 0.390 0.135 34.9% 0.448 2B $3,200 2B $3,800
3 Nolan Arenado RIGHT 0.399 0.296 37.4% 0.350 3B $3,800 3B $4,000
4 Carlos Gonzalez LEFT 0.380 0.208 36.3% 0.332 OF $3,300 OF $3,600
5 Ryan Raburn RIGHT 0.272 0.136 37.7% 0.335 OF $2,200 OF $2,200
6 Tom Murphy RIGHT 0.542 0.600 42.9% 0.354 C $2,800 C $2,000
7 Stephen Cardullo RIGHT 0.490 0.533 28.6% 0.201 OF $3,000 1B $2,000
8 Cristhian Adames SWITCH 0.284 0.092 20.7% 0.237 SS $2,600 SS $2,000
9 Tyler Anderson LEFT 0.247 0.115 15.0% 0.276 P $6,500 P $8,800
Team Averages — 0.379 0.266 32.5% 0.336 — — — —

Elite Plays – Nolan Arenado (It is Sunday afterall)

Secondary Plays – Charlie Blackmon , Carlos Gonzalez , DJ LeMahieu

Stackability – Yellow

LA Dodgers

Dodgers: For a team facing a pitcher giving up a ton of runs lately, I really do not have a ton of interest here. Corey Seager is obviously a guy who has hit lefties well, and you can run out Puig and Kendrick but for the most part this is a fade.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Howie Kendrick RIGHT 0.307 0.066 32.1% 0.328 2B $2,500 2B/OF $3,500
2 Corey Seager LEFT 0.313 0.167 41.2% 0.327 SS $4,100 SS $3,900
3 Justin Turner RIGHT 0.277 0.131 39.3% 0.327 3B $3,200 3B $3,400
4 Adrian Gonzalez LEFT 0.265 0.070 23.9% 0.219 1B $3,000 1B $3,500
5 Yasiel Puig RIGHT 0.329 0.225 30.0% 0.246 OF $2,700 OF $3,500
6 Yasmani Grandal SWITCH 0.333 0.147 34.0% 0.184 C $3,100 C $3,300
7 Kike Hernandez RIGHT 0.315 0.193 31.7% 0.356 OF $2,300 OF $3,200
8 Charlie Culberson RIGHT 0.289 0.028 30.0% 0.439 2B $2,200 2B/SS $2,200
9 Rich Hill LEFT 0.000 P $9,400 P $10,700
Team Averages — 0.304 0.128 32.8% 0.270 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Corey Seager , Yasiel Puig , Howie Kendrick

Stackability – Orange

San Francisco at San Diego – 4:40 PM ET

San Francisco San Diego
Article Image Johnny Cueto Article Image Clayton Richard
RIGHT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
SF -150 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.286 6 30.4% 22.8% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.308 0 17.0% 18.9%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.262 9 24.1% 21.2% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.342 3 29.3% 13.6%

Pitcher Grind Down

Johnny Cueto
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $9,600 Salary: $12,800
FPPG: 38.9 FPPG: 21.4
Pitcher Rating: 79.6 Pitcher Rank: 3
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 6 96.3 3.89 2.43 19.9% 5.8% 8.7% 51.3% 27.4% 30.4%
2016 31 102.8 3.65 2.79 22.0% 5.2% 9.2% 50.6% 29.3% 27.0%
2015 32 102.1 3.81 3.44 20.3% 5.3% 9.9% 42.4% 35.6% 28.7%

Ty Blach: Blach will make his first major league start today in San Diego, which is about as good as you can ask for. Even with that said, if he is available on your site it probably is not worth taking the risk on a guy we are not sure can cut it at this level.

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 2.88 — K%: 21.0% — wOBA Allowed: 0.264
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.32 — K%: 21.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.299

Clayton Richard
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $6,800 Salary: $5,000
FPPG: 7.6 FPPG: 3.5
Pitcher Rating: 55.0 Pitcher Rank: 21
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 95.0 3.53 1.17 18.2% 7.6% 9.7% 66.3% 15.3% 26.5%
2016 7 131.4 4.09 2.98 15.1% 9.3% 8.4% 66.5% 17.8% 25.9%
2015 3 205.0 3.33 3.83 12.2% 3.9% 6.2% 59.3% 14.7% 25.2%

Clayton Richard: He is producing ground balls at a very high rate and is not allowing runs since becoming a Padre, but the problem is that he also lacks strikeout upside which is only magnified when playing against the Giants. It is a good ballpark and he has had some success but this would be a very risky play even on a slate like this.

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.57 — K%: 15.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.309
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 3.15 — K%: 12.7% — wOBA Allowed: 0.333

Batter Grind Down

San Francisco

Giants: This is another team that even when they score runs it is often a situation where the fantasy production is pretty minimal. I like guys like Posey and Pence against the southpaw but do not go too crazy here.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Eduardo Nunez RIGHT 0.327 0.206 33.6% 0.422 3B $3,100 3B/SS $5,100
2 Angel Pagan SWITCH 0.308 0.156 23.5% 0.292 OF $3,200 OF $3,600
3 Buster Posey RIGHT 0.386 0.194 36.2% 0.339 C $3,500 C $4,900
4 Hunter Pence RIGHT 0.379 0.262 37.2% 0.442 OF $2,900 OF $4,300
5 Gorkys Hernandez RIGHT 0.407 0.222 62.5% 0.356 OF $2,400 OF $2,800
6 Brandon Belt LEFT 0.379 0.221 31.6% 0.374 1B $3,400 1B $4,500
7 Brandon Crawford LEFT 0.308 0.110 39.1% 0.277 SS $3,100 SS $3,300
8 Joe Panik LEFT 0.269 0.073 24.0% 0.191 2B $3,200 2B $3,200
9 Matt Cain RIGHT 0.232 0.286 33.3% P $5,200 P $4,800
Team Averages — 0.333 0.192 35.7% 0.337 — — — —

Elite Plays – Buster Posey , Hunter Pence

Secondary Plays – Eduardo Nunez , Brandon Belt

Stackability – Orange

San Diego

Padres: This is team that you simply cannot stack at this point but Schimpf as a filler option still exists, and the upside is solid with him.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Jon Jay LEFT 0.306 0.105 32.2% 0.267 OF $3,000 OF $2,600
2 Carlos Asuaje LEFT 0.000 0.000 0.0% 0.000 SS $2,100
3 Wil Myers RIGHT 0.340 0.206 32.3% 0.433 1B $3,300 1B $4,600
4 Ryan Schimpf LEFT 0.373 0.322 39.1% 0.277 2B $3,400 2B/3B $3,300
5 Alex Dickerson LEFT 0.333 0.214 30.5% 0.314 OF $3,100 OF $3,000
6 Hunter Renfroe RIGHT 0.000 OF $2,200 OF $2,100
7 Austin Hedges RIGHT C $2,300 C $2,100
8 Luis Sardinas SWITCH 0.237 0.080 20.3% 0.328 SS $2,800 SS $2,300
9 Clayton Richard LEFT 0.000 0.000 0.0% 0.000 P $6,800 P $5,000
Team Averages — 0.227 0.132 22.1% 0.202 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Ryan Schimpf

Stackability – Red

St. Louis at Chicago Cubs – 8:08 PM ET

St. Louis Chicago Cubs
Article Image Carlos Martinez Article Image Jon Lester
RIGHT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
CHC -165 8.5
Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K% Stats wOBA HR All. HC% K%
SP vs. Left (2016) 0.326 11 33.5% 18.3% SP vs. Left (2016) 0.237 3 31.6% 27.7%
SP vs. Right (2016) 0.240 3 23.6% 24.4% SP vs. Right (2016) 0.270 17 25.3% 23.7%

Pitcher Grind Down

Carlos Martinez
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $9,400 Salary: $9,200
FPPG: 32.6 FPPG: 16.8
Pitcher Rating: 68.9 Pitcher Rank: 5
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 99.0 3.62 2.73 25.0% 8.1% 11.5% 54.0% 27.6% 25.8%
2016 29 97.1 4.02 3.16 21.1% 8.6% 9.0% 56.1% 26.1% 29.0%
2015 29 98.1 3.44 3.01 24.4% 8.3% 10.5% 54.5% 25.5% 27.6%

Carlos Martinez: This game features two of the better pitching options on the board against each other. Martinez has been the Cardinals best pitcher both in real life and for fantasy purposes this season and he has decent potential anytime he takes the mound, but against a tough Cubs lineup I like him more for tournaments only.

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 3.69 — K%: 21.2% — wOBA Allowed: 0.311
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 2.48 — K%: 24.3% — wOBA Allowed: 0.277

Jon Lester
Article Image FanDuel DraftKings
Salary: $10,700 Salary: $13,000
FPPG: 38.4 FPPG: 21.2
Pitcher Rating: 91.4 Pitcher Rank: 2
Statistics Starts PitchPS SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% FB% HC%
L30 Days 5 101.4 3.39 0.50 26.0% 5.5% 11.2% 42.9% 31.0% 23.0%
2016 30 98.5 3.61 2.36 24.6% 6.4% 10.3% 46.4% 32.6% 26.7%
2015 32 99.5 3.19 3.34 25.0% 5.7% 10.4% 48.9% 29.3% 29.0%

Jon Lester: It has been a fantastic season for Lester who has pitched very well at home and against the Cardinals, which sets up nicely for him tonight. The win is not a sure thing for either side as this could turn out to be a pitchers duel with Martinez taking the hill for Saint Louis. I like him a bit more than the Redbirds hurler, but both are pretty solid options tonight.

Home (2015-16):—ERA: 2.84 — K%: 24.8% — wOBA Allowed: 0.280
Away (2015-16):—ERA: 2.89 — K%: 24.9% — wOBA Allowed: 0.272

Batter Grind Down

St. Louis

Cardinals: Saint Louis is fighting for their playoff life, but I do not know how much I trust this offense tonight facing Lester who has been great for Chicago. They have been pretty average overall against left-handed pitching and their main threat is swinging a cold bat right now.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. LHP ISO vs. LHP HC% vs. LHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Matt Carpenter LEFT 0.352 0.158 30.0% 0.311 2B $3,300 2B/3B $3,100
2 Jedd Gyorko RIGHT 0.318 0.160 32.7% 0.305 3B $2,800 2B/3B $2,700
3 Stephen Piscotty RIGHT 0.413 0.266 29.2% 0.256 OF $2,900 OF $3,500
4 Brandon Moss LEFT 0.303 0.154 37.3% 0.175 1B $3,200 1B/OF $2,900
5 Yadier Molina RIGHT 0.338 0.114 29.8% 0.295 C $2,700 C $2,400
6 Matt Adams LEFT 0.345 0.239 36.1% 0.373 1B $2,700 1B $3,000
7 Jhonny Peralta RIGHT 0.256 0.143 28.6% 0.225 SS $2,800 3B $2,300
8 Randal Grichuk RIGHT 0.337 0.246 36.6% 0.343 OF $3,300 OF $3,000
9 Carlos Martinez RIGHT 0.265 0.083 44.4% 0.568 P $9,400 P $9,200
Team Averages — 0.325 0.174 33.9% 0.317 — — — —

Elite Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Stephen Piscotty , Randal Grichuk

Stackability – Red

Chicago Cubs

Cubs: This is a more dangerous squad offensively than the Cardinals and while Martinez has been tough, I would much rather stack up the Chicago side of things if you are playing bats from this game.

Projected Lineup

# Player Bats wOBA vs. RHP ISO vs. RHP HC% vs. RHP wOBA L14 FD Position FD Salary DK Position DK Salary
1 Dexter Fowler SWITCH 0.356 0.165 28.1% 0.478 OF $4,000 OF $5,000
2 Kris Bryant RIGHT 0.388 0.253 41.2% 0.316 3B $4,200 3B/OF $4,800
3 Anthony Rizzo LEFT 0.408 0.277 39.1% 0.357 1B $4,600 1B $5,200
4 Ben Zobrist SWITCH 0.345 0.159 32.9% 0.293 2B $3,000 2B $4,000
5 Addison Russell RIGHT 0.314 0.163 29.4% 0.338 SS $2,300 SS $3,500
6 Jason Heyward LEFT 0.284 0.097 27.1% 0.348 OF $3,000 OF $3,200
7 Jorge Soler RIGHT 0.329 0.204 31.4% 0.311 OF $2,300 OF $3,700
8 Miguel Montero LEFT 0.314 0.161 30.1% 0.347 C $2,500 C $3,100
9 Jon Lester LEFT 0.136 0.049 23.7% 0.468 P $10,700 P $13,000
Team Averages — 0.319 0.170 31.4% 0.362 — — — —

Elite Plays – Anthony Rizzo

Secondary Plays – Kris Bryant , Dexter Fowler , Ben Zobrist

Stackability – Orange

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About the Author

louiescards
Andrew Cook (louiescards)

Andrew “LouiesCards” Cook is a DFS veteran who has been playing since 2009. You will see him grinding MLB, NBA, and NFL with a main focus on DraftKings. Over the years he has held several roles at RotoGrinders helping write articles and features, both in-front and behind-the-scenes. Andrew was able to throw the first pitch out at a St. Louis Cardinals game, courtesy of DraftKings. You can follow Andrew on twitter @louiescards