NFL First Look: Week 1
The wait is almost over my friends!
Opening night will be here before we know it and I can’t ever remember being this excited about an NFL season (pretty sure I say that before the start of every NFL season). I will be in Nashville for the RotoGrinders/DraftKings party, so if you happen to attend, come introduce yourself. The industry events are always a ton of fun.
As for the First Look, it is always a work in progress at the start of the season, so if there is anything that you would like to see added, please let me know by leaving a comment at the bottom of the page. After a few weeks into the season, I will start including DvP charts, but those carry little value when comparing year to year. I always like to wait a few weeks before diving into DvP rankings.
Oh, and I should mention that the new NFL RotoAcademy courses are now available! Click here to check mine out. It features everything that I have learned in weekly fantasy football over the last few years, all jam packed into one massive course: Notorious’ Blueprint to Weekly Fantasy Football.
NFL Schedule & Vegas Lines
| Road Team | Home Team | Vegas Line | Over/Under | Date | Time | Stadium | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Panthers | at | Denver Broncos | CAR-2.5 | 41.0 | Thu, Sep 8 | 8:30 PM | Sports Authority Field |
| Buffalo Bills | at | Baltimore Ravens | BAL-3.0 | 44.5 | Sun, Sep 11 | 1:00 PM | M&T Bank Stadium |
| Chicago Bears | at | Houston Texans | HOU-5.5 | 44.0 | Sun, Sep 11 | 1:00 PM | NRG Stadium |
| Cincinnati Bengals | at | New York Jets | CIN-2.5 | 41.5 | Sun, Sep 11 | 1:00 PM | MetLife Stadium |
| Cleveland Browns | at | Philadelphia Eagles | PHI-3.5 | 41.0 | Sun, Sep 11 | 1:00 PM | Lincoln Financial Field |
| Green Bay Packers | at | Jacksonville Jaguars | GB -4.5 | 48.0 | Sun, Sep 11 | 1:00 PM | EverBank Field |
| Minnesota Vikings | at | Tennessee Titans | MIN-2.5 | 41.0 | Sun, Sep 11 | 1:00 PM | Nissan Stadium |
| Oakland Raiders | at | New Orleans Saints | NO -1.5 | 51.0 | Sun, Sep 11 | 1:00 PM | Superdome |
| San Diego Chargers | at | Kansas City Chiefs | KC -6.5 | 44.5 | Sun, Sep 11 | 1:00 PM | Arrowhead Stadium |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | at | Atlanta Falcons | ATL-3.0 | 47.5 | Sun, Sep 11 | 1:00 PM | Georgia Dome |
| Miami Dolphins | at | Seattle Seahawks | SEA-10.0 | 44.0 | Sun, Sep 11 | 4:05 PM | CenturyLink Field |
| Detroit Lions | at | Indianapolis Colts | IND-3.5 | 51.5 | Sun, Sep 11 | 4:25 PM | Lucas Oil Stadium |
| New York Giants | at | Dallas Cowboys | DAL-1.0 | 46.0 | Sun, Sep 11 | 4:25 PM | AT&T Stadium |
| New England Patriots | at | Arizona Cardinals | ARI-6.0 | 47.5 | Sun, Sep 11 | 8:30 PM | University of Phoenix Stadium |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | at | Washington Redskins | PIT-3.0 | 50.0 | Mon, Sep 12 | 7:10 PM | FedEx Field |
| Los Angeles Rams | at | San Francisco 49ers | LA -2.5 | 43.5 | Sun, Sep 11 | 10:20 PM | Levi’s Stadium |
Team Totals
| Offense | Spread | Team Total | Pass DVOA | Run DVOA | Opponent | Total DEF DVOA | Pass DEF DVOA | Run DEF DVOA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis Colts | -3.5 | 27.5 | 28 | 30 | vs. Detroit Lions | 16 | 19 | 14 |
| Seattle Seahawks | -10.0 | 27.0 | 2 | 3 | vs. Miami Dolphins | 25 | 29 | 20 |
| Arizona Cardinals | -6.0 | 26.8 | 3 | 16 | vs. New England Patriots | 12 | 15 | 10 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | -3.0 | 26.5 | 5 | 4 | at Washington Redskins | 21 | 20 | 22 |
| New Orleans Saints | -1.5 | 26.3 | 7 | 15 | vs. Oakland Raiders | 15 | 16 | 15 |
| Green Bay Packers | -4.5 | 26.3 | 16 | 10 | at Jacksonville Jaguars | 26 | 31 | 17 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -6.5 | 25.5 | 14 | 1 | vs. San Diego Chargers | 28 | 21 | 31 |
| Atlanta Falcons | -3.0 | 25.3 | 23 | 25 | vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 18 | 26 | 9 |
| Oakland Raiders | + 1.5 | 24.8 | 11 | 24 | at New Orleans Saints | 32 | 32 | 27 |
| Houston Texans | -5.5 | 24.8 | 22 | 26 | vs. Chicago Bears | 31 | 23 | 32 |
| Detroit Lions | + 3.5 | 24.0 | 15 | 27 | at Indianapolis Colts | 13 | 12 | 16 |
| Baltimore Ravens | -3.0 | 23.8 | 21 | 18 | vs. Buffalo Bills | 24 | 18 | 30 |
| Washington Redskins | + 3.0 | 23.5 | 6 | 32 | vs. Pittsburgh Steelers | 11 | 13 | 5 |
| Dallas Cowboys | -1.0 | 23.5 | 32 | 9 | vs. New York Giants | 30 | 28 | 21 |
| Los Angeles Rams | -2.5 | 23.0 | 31 | 14 | at San Francisco 49ers | 27 | 30 | 23 |
| New York Giants | + 1.0 | 22.5 | 18 | 23 | at Dallas Cowboys | 19 | 17 | 29 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | + 3.0 | 22.3 | 17 | 11 | at Atlanta Falcons | 22 | 22 | 25 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | -3.5 | 22.3 | 26 | 17 | vs. Cleveland Browns | 29 | 27 | 26 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | -2.5 | 22.0 | 1 | 7 | at New York Jets | 5 | 9 | 1 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | + 4.5 | 21.8 | 20 | 28 | vs. Green Bay Packers | 9 | 6 | 19 |
| Carolina Panthers | -2.5 | 21.8 | 9 | 6 | at Denver Broncos | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Minnesota Vikings | -2.5 | 21.8 | 19 | 8 | at Tennessee Titans | 23 | 24 | 24 |
| New England Patriots | + 6.0 | 20.8 | 4 | 12 | at Arizona Cardinals | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Buffalo Bills | + 3.0 | 20.8 | 12 | 2 | at Baltimore Ravens | 20 | 25 | 12 |
| San Francisco 49ers | + 2.5 | 20.5 | 29 | 22 | vs. Los Angeles Rams | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| New York Jets | + 2.5 | 19.5 | 10 | 21 | vs. Cincinnati Bengals | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| Chicago Bears | + 5.5 | 19.3 | 13 | 5 | at Houston Texans | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| Tennessee Titans | + 2.5 | 19.3 | 30 | 29 | vs. Minnesota Vikings | 14 | 11 | 18 |
| Denver Broncos | + 2.5 | 19.3 | 25 | 20 | vs. Carolina Panthers | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| San Diego Chargers | + 6.5 | 19.0 | 8 | 31 | at Kansas City Chiefs | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Cleveland Browns | + 3.5 | 18.8 | 27 | 19 | at Philadelphia Eagles | 17 | 14 | 28 |
| Miami Dolphins | + 10.0 | 17.0 | 24 | 13 | at Seattle Seahawks | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Projected Starters
Editor’s Note: Rob Gronkowski has been ruled OUT for Week 1.