NFL First Look: Week 3
The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, DVOA rankings, and each team’s projected starters to help you get an early start on the upcoming week.
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NFL Schedule & Vegas Lines
Road Team | Home Team | Vegas Line | Over/Under | Date | Time | Stadium | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Baltimore Ravens | at | Jacksonville Jaguars | BAL-4.0 | 39.5 | Sunday | 9:30 AM | Wembley Stadium |
Atlanta Falcons | at | Detroit Lions | ATL-3.0 | 50.5 | Sunday | 1:00 PM | Ford Field |
Cleveland Browns | at | Indianapolis Colts | CLE-1.0 | 41.0 | Sunday | 1:00 PM | Lucas Oil Stadium |
Denver Broncos | at | Buffalo Bills | DEN-3.0 | 40.0 | Sunday | 1:00 PM | New Era Field |
Houston Texans | at | New England Patriots | NE -14.0 | 44.0 | Sunday | 1:00 PM | Gillette Stadium |
Miami Dolphins | at | New York Jets | MIA-6.0 | 43.0 | Sunday | 1:00 PM | MetLife Stadium |
New Orleans Saints | at | Carolina Panthers | CAR-5.5 | 46.5 | Sunday | 1:00 PM | Bank of America Stadium |
New York Giants | at | Philadelphia Eagles | PHI-6.0 | 42.5 | Sunday | 1:00 PM | Lincoln Financial Field |
Pittsburgh Steelers | at | Chicago Bears | PIT-7.0 | 44.0 | Sunday | 1:00 PM | Soldier Field |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | at | Minnesota Vikings | MIN-2.0 | 41.0 | Sunday | 1:00 PM | U.S. Bank Stadium |
Seattle Seahawks | at | Tennessee Titans | TEN-2.5 | 42.0 | Sunday | 4:05 PM | Nissan Stadium |
Cincinnati Bengals | at | Green Bay Packers | GB -9.0 | 46.5 | Sunday | 4:25 PM | Lambeau Field |
Kansas City Chiefs | at | Los Angeles Chargers | KC -3.0 | 47.5 | Sunday | 4:25 PM | StubHub Center |
Oakland Raiders | at | Washington Redskins | OAK-3.0 | 54.5 | Sunday | 8:30 PM | FedEx Field |
Dallas Cowboys | at | Arizona Cardinals | DAL-3.0 | 47.0 | Monday | 8:30 PM | University of Phoenix Stadium |
Implied Team Totals & Points Per Game
DVOA Matchups (Updated through Week 2)
Note: The DVOA rankings in this chart are for the defense listed in the “Matchups” column. It can help identify favorable matchups for the offense listed in the first column.
Offense | Spread | Implied Total | Matchup | Total DVOA | vs. PASS | vs. RUSH | vs. RB-PA | vs. WR1 | vs. WR2 | vs. TEs |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New England Patriots | -14.0 | 29.0 | Houston | 15 | 15 | 16 | 21 | 9 | 18 | 15 |
Oakland Raiders | -3.0 | 28.8 | at Washington | 12 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 29 |
Green Bay Packers | -9.0 | 27.8 | Cincinnati | 11 | 9 | 19 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
Atlanta Falcons | -3.0 | 26.8 | at Detroit | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 8 |
Carolina Panthers | -5.5 | 26.0 | New Orleans | 31 | 32 | 17 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 25 |
Washington Redskins | + 3.0 | 25.8 | Oakland | 27 | 22 | 26 | 14 | 25 | 21 | 11 |
Pittsburgh Steelers | -7.0 | 25.5 | at Chicago | 24 | 26 | 15 | 4 | 31 | 14 | 31 |
Kansas City Chiefs | -3.0 | 25.3 | at L.A. Chargers | 13 | 19 | 13 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 32 |
Dallas Cowboys | -3.0 | 25.0 | at Arizona | 8 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 32 | 9 | 24 |
Miami Dolphins | -6.0 | 24.5 | at N.Y. Jets | 29 | 29 | 27 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 5 |
Philadelphia Eagles | -6.0 | 24.3 | N.Y. Giants | 26 | 24 | 22 | 17 | 7 | 26 | 20 |
Detroit Lions | + 3.0 | 23.8 | Atlanta | 23 | 17 | 30 | 13 | 20 | 17 | 9 |
Tennessee Titans | -2.5 | 22.3 | Seattle | 10 | 7 | 28 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 4 |
Los Angeles Chargers | + 3.0 | 22.3 | Kansas City | 16 | 11 | 25 | 6 | 21 | 11 | 13 |
Arizona Cardinals | + 3.0 | 22.0 | Dallas | 20 | 18 | 23 | 27 | 6 | 23 | 18 |
Baltimore Ravens | -4.0 | 21.8 | at Jacksonville | 14 | 4 | 32 | 20 | 8 | 15 | 7 |
Denver Broncos | -3.0 | 21.5 | at Buffalo | 3 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 27 |
Minnesota Vikings | -2.0 | 21.5 | Tampa Bay | 5 | 12 | 1 | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 |
Cleveland Browns | -1.0 | 21.0 | at Indianapolis | 21 | 27 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 24 | 30 |
New Orleans Saints | + 5.5 | 20.5 | at Carolina | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 10 | 1 |
Indianapolis Colts | + 1.0 | 20.0 | Cleveland | 25 | 25 | 10 | 25 | 27 | 3 | 23 |
Seattle Seahawks | + 2.5 | 19.8 | at Tennessee | 22 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 5 | 29 | 17 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | + 2.0 | 19.5 | at Minnesota | 28 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 26 |
Cincinnati Bengals | + 9.0 | 18.8 | at Green Bay | 19 | 14 | 24 | 26 | 28 | 25 | 3 |
New York Jets | + 6.0 | 18.5 | Miami | 30 | 31 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 28 | 22 |
Buffalo Bills | + 3.0 | 18.5 | Denver | 9 | 16 | 3 | 19 | 3 | 19 | 16 |
Chicago Bears | + 7.0 | 18.5 | Pittsburgh | 6 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 12 |
New York Giants | + 6.0 | 18.3 | at Philadelphia | 16 | 10 | 29 | 32 | 13 | 4 | 10 |
Jacksonville Jaguars | + 4.0 | 17.8 | Baltimore | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 28 |
Houston Texans | + 14.0 | 15.0 | at New England | 32 | 30 | 31 | 28 | 24 | 16 | 21 |
Projected Starters
First Look Legend
TERM | DESCRIPTION |
---|---|
DVOA | Football Outsiders’ total defense ranking |
vs. PASS | DVOA pass defense ranking |
vs. RUSH | DVOA ranking against the run |
vs. RB-PA | DVOA ranking against RBs catching the ball out of the backfield |
vs. WR1 | DVOA ranking vs. WR1s |
vs. WR2 | DVOA ranking vs. WR2s |
vs. TEs | DVOA ranking vs. TEs |
Color Coding
1) BLUE represents the “elite” category (top 25th percentile).
2) GREEN represents the “above-average” category (top 50th percentile).
3) YELLOW represents the “below-average” category (bottom 50th percentile).
4) RED represents the “poor” category (bottom 25th percentile).