NFL First Look: Week 3

The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, DVOA rankings, and each team’s projected starters to help you get an early start on the upcoming week.

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NFL Schedule & Vegas Lines

Road Team Home Team Vegas Line Over/Under Date Time Stadium
Baltimore Ravens at Jacksonville Jaguars BAL-4.0 39.5 Sunday 9:30 AM Wembley Stadium
Atlanta Falcons at Detroit Lions ATL-3.0 50.5 Sunday 1:00 PM Ford Field
Cleveland Browns at Indianapolis Colts CLE-1.0 41.0 Sunday 1:00 PM Lucas Oil Stadium
Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills DEN-3.0 40.0 Sunday 1:00 PM New Era Field
Houston Texans at New England Patriots NE -14.0 44.0 Sunday 1:00 PM Gillette Stadium
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets MIA-6.0 43.0 Sunday 1:00 PM MetLife Stadium
New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers CAR-5.5 46.5 Sunday 1:00 PM Bank of America Stadium
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles PHI-6.0 42.5 Sunday 1:00 PM Lincoln Financial Field
Pittsburgh Steelers at Chicago Bears PIT-7.0 44.0 Sunday 1:00 PM Soldier Field
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Minnesota Vikings MIN-2.0 41.0 Sunday 1:00 PM U.S. Bank Stadium
Seattle Seahawks at Tennessee Titans TEN-2.5 42.0 Sunday 4:05 PM Nissan Stadium
Cincinnati Bengals at Green Bay Packers GB -9.0 46.5 Sunday 4:25 PM Lambeau Field
Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers KC -3.0 47.5 Sunday 4:25 PM StubHub Center
Oakland Raiders at Washington Redskins OAK-3.0 54.5 Sunday 8:30 PM FedEx Field
Dallas Cowboys at Arizona Cardinals DAL-3.0 47.0 Monday 8:30 PM University of Phoenix Stadium

Implied Team Totals & Points Per Game

DVOA Matchups (Updated through Week 2)

Note: The DVOA rankings in this chart are for the defense listed in the “Matchups” column. It can help identify favorable matchups for the offense listed in the first column.

Offense Spread Implied Total Matchup Total DVOA vs. PASS vs. RUSH vs. RB-PA vs. WR1 vs. WR2 vs. TEs
New England Patriots -14.0 29.0 Houston 15 15 16 21 9 18 15
Oakland Raiders -3.0 28.8 at Washington 12 20 5 12 15 8 29
Green Bay Packers -9.0 27.8 Cincinnati 11 9 19 15 10 7 14
Atlanta Falcons -3.0 26.8 at Detroit 4 6 4 2 11 6 8
Carolina Panthers -5.5 26.0 New Orleans 31 32 17 29 30 30 25
Washington Redskins + 3.0 25.8 Oakland 27 22 26 14 25 21 11
Pittsburgh Steelers -7.0 25.5 at Chicago 24 26 15 4 31 14 31
Kansas City Chiefs -3.0 25.3 at L.A. Chargers 13 19 13 3 19 13 32
Dallas Cowboys -3.0 25.0 at Arizona 8 13 8 16 32 9 24
Miami Dolphins -6.0 24.5 at N.Y. Jets 29 29 27 30 29 27 5
Philadelphia Eagles -6.0 24.3 N.Y. Giants 26 24 22 17 7 26 20
Detroit Lions + 3.0 23.8 Atlanta 23 17 30 13 20 17 9
Tennessee Titans -2.5 22.3 Seattle 10 7 28 1 23 12 4
Los Angeles Chargers + 3.0 22.3 Kansas City 16 11 25 6 21 11 13
Arizona Cardinals + 3.0 22.0 Dallas 20 18 23 27 6 23 18
Baltimore Ravens -4.0 21.8 at Jacksonville 14 4 32 20 8 15 7
Denver Broncos -3.0 21.5 at Buffalo 3 5 7 9 12 2 27
Minnesota Vikings -2.0 21.5 Tampa Bay 5 12 1 23 16 5 2
Cleveland Browns -1.0 21.0 at Indianapolis 21 27 9 11 18 24 30
New Orleans Saints + 5.5 20.5 at Carolina 2 2 2 10 22 10 1
Indianapolis Colts + 1.0 20.0 Cleveland 25 25 10 25 27 3 23
Seattle Seahawks + 2.5 19.8 at Tennessee 22 21 21 18 5 29 17
Tampa Bay Buccaneers + 2.0 19.5 at Minnesota 28 28 14 8 14 32 26
Cincinnati Bengals + 9.0 18.8 at Green Bay 19 14 24 26 28 25 3
New York Jets + 6.0 18.5 Miami 30 31 6 31 26 28 22
Buffalo Bills + 3.0 18.5 Denver 9 16 3 19 3 19 16
Chicago Bears + 7.0 18.5 Pittsburgh 6 8 11 7 17 20 12
New York Giants + 6.0 18.3 at Philadelphia 16 10 29 32 13 4 10
Jacksonville Jaguars + 4.0 17.8 Baltimore 1 1 12 5 2 1 28
Houston Texans + 14.0 15.0 at New England 32 30 31 28 24 16 21

Projected Starters

Team QB RB1 RB2 WR1 WR2 WR3 TE
New England Patriots Tom Brady Mike Gillislee James White Brandin Cooks Chris Hogan Danny Amendola Rob Gronkowski
Oakland Raiders Derek Carr Marshawn Lynch N/A Amari Cooper Michael Crabtree Seth Roberts Jared Cook
Green Bay Packers Aaron Rodgers Ty Montgomery N/A Jordy Nelson Davante Adams Randall Cobb Martellus Bennett
Atlanta Falcons Matt Ryan Devonta Freeman Tevin Coleman Julio Jones Mohamed Sanu Taylor Gabriel Austin Hooper
Carolina Panthers Cam Newton Jonathan Stewart Christian McCaffrey Kelvin Benjamin Devin Funchess Russell Shepard Ed Dickson
Washington Redskins Kirk Cousins Rob Kelley Chris Thompson Terrelle Pryor Jamison Crowder Josh Doctson Jordan Reed
Pittsburgh Steelers Ben Roethlisberger Le’Veon Bell N/A Antonio Brown Martavis Bryant Eli Rogers Jesse James
Kansas City Chiefs Alex Smith Kareem Hunt N/A Tyreek Hill Chris Conley Albert Wilson Travis Kelce
Dallas Cowboys Dak Prescott Ezekiel Elliott N/A Dez Bryant Terrance Williams Cole Beasley Jason Witten
Miami Dolphins Jay Cutler Jay Ajayi N/A Jarvis Landry DeVante Parker Kenny Stills Julius Thomas
Philadelphia Eagles Carson Wentz Darren Sproles Wendell Smallwood Alshon Jeffery Torrey Smith Nelson Agholor Zach Ertz
Detroit Lions Matthew Stafford Ameer Abdullah Theo Riddick Golden Tate Marvin Jones Jr. Kenny Golladay Eric Ebron
Tennessee Titans Marcus Mariota DeMarco Murray Derrick Henry Rishard Matthews Eric Decker Taywan Taylor Delanie Walker
Los Angeles Chargers Philip Rivers Melvin Gordon N/A Keenan Allen Tyrell Williams Travis Benjamin Hunter Henry
Arizona Cardinals Carson Palmer Chris Johnson Andre Ellington Larry Fitzgerald J.J. Nelson Jaron Brown Jermaine Gresham
Baltimore Ravens Joe Flacco Terrance West Javorius Allen Mike Wallace Jeremy Maclin Breshad Perriman Nick Boyle
Denver Broncos Trevor Siemian C.J. Anderson N/A Demaryius Thomas Emmanuel Sanders Bennie Fowler Virgil Green
Minnesota Vikings Sam Bradford Dalvin Cook N/A Stefon Diggs Adam Thielen Laquon Treadwell Kyle Rudolph
Cleveland Browns DeShone Kizer Isaiah Crowell Duke Johnson Jr. Kenny Britt Rashard Higgins Ricardo Louis Randall Telfer
New Orleans Saints Drew Brees Mark Ingram Alvin Kamara Michael Thomas Ted Ginn Brandon Coleman Coby Fleener
Indianapolis Colts Jacoby Brissett Frank Gore Marlon Mack T.Y. Hilton Donte Moncrief Chester Rogers Jack Doyle
Seattle Seahawks Russell Wilson Chris Carson Thomas Rawls Doug Baldwin Paul Richardson Tyler Lockett Jimmy Graham
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Jameis Winston Jacquizz Rodgers N/A Mike Evans DeSean Jackson Adam Humphries Cameron Brate
Cincinnati Bengals Andy Dalton Jeremy Hill Giovani Bernard A.J. Green Brandon LaFell Tyler Boyd Tyler Eifert
New York Jets Josh McCown Matt Forte Bilal Powell Jermaine Kearse Robby Anderson Jeremy Kerley Austin Seferian-Jenkins
Buffalo Bills Tyrod Taylor LeSean McCoy Mike Tolbert Jordan Matthews Zay Jones Andre Holmes Charles Clay
Chicago Bears Mike Glennon Jordan Howard Tarik Cohen Kendall Wright Markus Wheaton Deonte Thompson Zach Miller
New York Giants Eli Manning Paul Perkins Shane Vereen Odell Beckham Jr. Brandon Marshall Sterling Shepard Rhett Ellison
Jacksonville Jaguars Blake Bortles Leonard Fournette N/A Marqise Lee Allen Hurns Keelan Cole Marcedes Lewis
Houston Texans Deshaun Watson Lamar Miller D’Onta Foreman DeAndre Hopkins Braxton Miller Bruce Ellington Ryan Griffin

First Look Legend

TERM DESCRIPTION
DVOA Football Outsiders’ total defense ranking
vs. PASS DVOA pass defense ranking
vs. RUSH DVOA ranking against the run
vs. RB-PA DVOA ranking against RBs catching the ball out of the backfield
vs. WR1 DVOA ranking vs. WR1s
vs. WR2 DVOA ranking vs. WR2s
vs. TEs DVOA ranking vs. TEs

Color Coding

1) BLUE represents the “elite” category (top 25th percentile).
2) GREEN represents the “above-average” category (top 50th percentile).
3) YELLOW represents the “below-average” category (bottom 50th percentile).
4) RED represents the “poor” category (bottom 25th percentile).

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on Twitter – @RG_Notorious